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Daily Kos National Supreme Court survey September 2018 Overview This report contains the results of

Daily Kos

National Supreme Court survey September 2018

Overview

This report contains the results of a survey of 2139 adults in the United States from September 29-30, 2018. The survey was conducted online, among selected members of the Civiqs research panel. Sampled individuals were emailed by Civiqs and responded using a personalized link to the survey at civiqs.com.

The survey results are weighted by age, race, gender, education, and party identification to be representative of the population of adults in the United States. The general design effect due to weighting is 1.07. The survey has a margin of error of ±2.2% at the 95% confidence level, accounting for the design effect. All survey results in this report are reported as percentages.

Contact

For more information, please contact Drew Linzer (drew@civiqs.com), Chief Scientist, Civiqs.

More information about Civiqs can be found online at civiqs.com/methodology.

Topline Results

1.

How

much

have

you

heard

about

President

Trump's

nomination

of

Brett

Kavanaugh

to

the

U.S.

Supreme

Court?

 

A

A

Nothing

lot

little

at

all

93%

6%

1%

2.

Do

you

support

or

oppose

the

confirmation

of

Support

 

44%

 

Oppose

50%

Neither

support

nor

oppose

3%

Unsure

 

3%

3.

Did

you

watch

the

Senate

Judiciary

Christine

Blasey

Ford

on

Thursday?

 

Yes,

all

of

it

35%

Yes,

some

of

it

46%

No,

but

I

heard

about

it

after

 

17%

No,

I

didn't

watch

or

hear

about

it

2%

Unsure

 

0%

Committee

Brett

Kavanaugh

to

hearings

with

Brett

the

Supreme

Kavanaugh

Court?

and

4.

College

professor

Christine

Blasey

Ford

has

accused

Supreme

Court

nominee

Brett

Kavanaugh

of

sexually

assaulting

her

at

a

party

when

they

were

both

in

high

school.

From

what

you

have

seen

or

heard,

do

you

find

Christine

Blasey

Ford

credible?

 

Yes,

credible

51%

No,

not

credible

40%

I

don't

know

9%

5.

Supreme

Court

nominee

Brett

Kavanaugh

denies

the

accusations

made

by

college

professor

Christine

Blasey

Ford.

From

what

you

have

seen

or

heard,

do

you

find

Brett

Kavanaugh

credible?

 

Yes,

credible

45%

No,

not

credible

46%

I

don't

know

8%

6.

Between

Christine

Blasey

Ford

and

Brett

Kavanaugh,

who

do

you

believe

more?

Christine

Blasey

Ford

49%

 

Brett

Kavanaugh

 

44%

Both

equally

3%

Neither

 

1%

Unsure

3%

7.

Do

you

think

the

Senate

Judiciary

Committee

has

treated

Brett

Kavanaugh:

 
Fairly 43% Unfairly 43% Unsure 14%
Fairly
43%
Unfairly
43%
Unsure
14%

Daily Kos · National · September 29-30, 2018 · Page 2 / 20

8.

Do

you

think

the

Fairly

52%

Unfairly

35%

Unsure

14%

Senate

Judiciary

Committee

has

treated

Christine

Blasey

Ford:

9.

Do

you

support

or

oppose

further

FBI

investigation

of

claims

against

Brett

Kavanaugh?

 

Support

 

56%

 

Oppose

32%

Neither

support

nor

oppose

10%

Unsure

 

2%

10.

Would

you

be

more

or

less

likely

to

support

re-electing

your

state’s

U.S.

Senators

if

they

vote

to

confirm

Brett

Kavanaugh

to

the

Supreme

Court?

More

likely

 

37%

Less

likely

49%

It

would

have

no

effect

12%

Unsure

3%

11.

Do

you

think

President

Trump

should

withdraw

his

nomination

of

Brett

Kavanaugh

to

the

Supreme

Court?

 

Yes,

withdraw

48%

No,

do

not

withdraw

47%

Unsure

4%

12.

Do

you

think

Brett

Kavanaugh

should

withdraw

himself

from

being

considered

for

the

Supreme

Court?

Yes,

withdraw

49%

No,

do

not

withdraw

47%

Unsure

4%

13.

Overall,

how

much

trust

and

confidence

do

you

have

in

the

United

States

Supreme

 

Court?

A deal

great

22%

A amount

fair

44%

Not

very

much

26%

None

at

all

5%

Unsure

4%

14.

If

the

election

for

U.S.

House

of

Representatives

were

held

today,

would

you

vote

for

the:

Democratic

candidate

48%

Republican

candidate

43%

Someone

else

3%

Unsure

6%

candidate 43% Someone else 3% Unsure 6% Daily Kos · National · September 29-30, 2018 ·

Daily Kos · National · September 29-30, 2018 · Page 3 / 20

15.

Do

you

approve

or

disapprove

of

president?

 

Approve

44%

Disapprove

 

52%

Neither

approve

nor

disapprove

4%

  52% Neither approve nor disapprove 4% the way Donald Trump is handling his job as

the

way

Donald

Trump

is

handling

his

job

as

Daily Kos · National · September 29-30, 2018 · Page 4 / 20

Crosstabs

1.

How

much

have

you

heard

about

President

Trump's

nomination

of

Brett

Kavanaugh

to

the

U.S.

Supreme

Court?

 
 

Total

Democrat

Republican

Independent

Female

Male

 

A

lot

93%

93%

92%

92%

92%

93%

A

little

6%

5%

7%

7%

6%

6%

Nothing

at

all

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

 

Total

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

 

A

lot

93%

88%

93%

94%

96%

93%

91%

95%

91%

A

little

6%

9%

6%

6%

3%

6%

7%

3%

8%

Nothing

at

all

1%

3%

1%

0%

1%

1%

2%

1%

2%

 

Total

Non-College

College

grad

Postgrad

 

A

lot

93%

92%

94%

97%

A

little

6%

7%

5%

3%

Nothing

at

all

1%

1%

1%

1%

 

Total

Midwest

Northeast

South

West

A

lot

93%

91%

 

93%

94%

93%

A

little

6%

9%

6%

5%

7%

Nothing

at

all

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

 

Total

Support

Kav

Oppose

Kav

Kav

Credible

Ford

Credible

 

A

lot

93%

94%

96%

94%

 

96%

A

little

6%

6%

4%

6%

3%

Nothing

at

all

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

3% Nothing at all 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% Daily Kos · National · September 29-30,

Daily Kos · National · September 29-30, 2018 · Page 5 / 20

2.

Do

you

support

or

oppose

the

confirmation

of

Brett

Kavanaugh

to

the

Supreme

Court?

 

Total

Democrat

Republican

Independent

Female

Male

 

Support

44%

5%

88%

48%

 

40%

49%

Oppose

50%

90%

7%

45%

54%

45%

Neither

support

nor

oppose

3%

2%

3%

4%

2%

4%

Unsure

3%

2%

3%

3%

3%

2%

Total

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Support

44%

31%

43%

50%

51%

46%

23%

43%

57%

Oppose

50%

58%

52%

46%

45%

49%

72%

47%

38%

Neither

support

nor

oppose

3%

6%

3%

2%

2%

3%

3%

5%

3%

Unsure

3%

5%

2%

2%

1%

3%

2%

4%

2%

Total

Non-College

College

grad

Postgrad

 

Support

44%

47%

41%

32%

Oppose

50%

46%

56%

62%

Neither

support

nor

oppose

3%

3%

2%

3%

Unsure

3%

3%

2%

2%

Total

Midwest

Northeast

South

West

Support

44%

42%

 

45%

45%

46%

Oppose

50%

50%

49%

50%

49%

Neither

support

nor

oppose

3%

3%

3%

3%

3%

Unsure

3%

4%

2%

2%

2%

Total

Support

Kav

Oppose

Kav

Kav

Credible

Ford

Credible

Support

44%

100%

0%

95%

4%

Oppose

50%

0%

100%

 

2%

93%

Neither

support

nor

oppose

3%

0%

0%

2%

2%

Unsure

3%

0%

0%

1%

1%

0% 2% 2% Unsure 3% 0% 0% 1% 1% Daily Kos · National · September 29-30,

Daily Kos · National · September 29-30, 2018 · Page 6 / 20

3.

Did

you

watch

the

Senate

Judiciary

Committee

hearings

with

Brett

Kavanaugh

and

 

Christine

Blasey

Ford

on

Thursday?

 
 

Total

Democrat

Republican

Independent

Female

Male

 

Yes,

all

 

of

it

35%

32%

37%

37%

 

38%

33%

Yes,

some

of

it

46%

47%

45%

45%

43%

49%

No,

but

I

heard

about

it

after

17%

19%

15%

16%

17%

16%

No,

I

didn't

watch

or

hear

about

it

2%

2%

3%

2%

2%

2%

Unsure

 

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

 

Total

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Yes,

all

 

of

it

35%

22%

34%

39%

44%

34%

32%

 

45%

37%

Yes,

some

of

it

46%

48%

48%

45%

43%

46%

54%

38%

51%

No,

but

I

heard

about

it

after

17%

26%

16%

14%

12%

18%

12%

16%

12%

No,

I

didn't

watch

or

hear

about

it

2%

4%

2%

1%

1%

3%

2%

1%

0%

Unsure

 

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

 

Total

Non-College

College

grad

Postgrad

 

Yes,

all

 

of

it

35%

35%

36%

30%

Yes,

some

of

it

46%

46%

45%

50%

No,

but

I

heard

about

it

after

17%

16%

18%

17%

No,

I

didn't

watch

or

hear

about

it

2%

3%

1%

2%

Unsure

 

0%

0%

0%

0%

 

Total

Midwest

Northeast

South

West

Yes,

all

 

of

it

35%

32%

 

38%

34%

38%

Yes,

some

of

it

46%

47%

43%

47%

45%

No,

but

I

heard

about

it

after

17%

18%

17%

16%

16%

No,

I

didn't

watch

or

hear

about

it

2%

3%

2%

2%

2%

Unsure

 

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

 

Total

Support

Kav

Oppose

Kav

Kav

Credible

Ford

Credible

Yes,

all

 

of

it

35%

41%

34%

40%

 

35%

Yes,

some

of

it

46%

45%

48%

45%

48%

No,

but

I

heard

about

it

after

17%

13%

17%

13%

16%

No,

I

didn't

watch

or

hear

about

it

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

Unsure

 

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

1% 1% Unsure   0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Daily Kos · National · September 29-30,

Daily Kos · National · September 29-30, 2018 · Page 7 / 20

4.

College

professor

Christine

Blasey

Ford

has

accused

Supreme

Court

nominee

Brett

Kavanaugh

of

sexually

assaulting

her

at

a

party

when

they

were

both

in

high

school.

From

what

you

have

seen

or

heard,

do

you

find

Christine

Blasey

Ford

credible?

Total

Democrat

Republican

Independent

Female

Male

Yes,

credible

51%

 

90%

11%

46%

 

55%

48%

No,

not

credible

40%

5%

79%

43%

36%

44%

I

don't

know

9%

5%

11%

11%

9%

8%

 

Total

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Yes,

credible

51%

 

58%

53%

47%

48%

50%

69%

52%

39%

No,

not

credible

40%

32%

39%

43%

44%

41%

21%

41%

55%

I

don't

know

9%

10%

8%

9%

8%

8%

10%

7%

6%

 

Total

Non-College

College

grad

Postgrad

 

Yes,

credible

51%

 

47%

59%

65%

No,

not

credible

40%

44%

33%

30%

I

don't

know

9%

9%

9%

4%

 

Total

Midwest

Northeast

South

West

Yes,

credible

51%

 

52%

 

51%

50%

52%

No,

not

credible

40%

36%

40%

41%

43%

I

don't

know

9%

11%

 

8%

9%

6%

 

Total

Support

Kav

Oppose

Kav

Kav

Credible

Ford

Credible

 

Yes,

credible

51%

4%

96%

6%

100%

No,

not

credible

40%

86%

0%

86%

 

0%

I

don't

know

9%

9%

4%

8%

0%

I don ' t know 9% 9% 4% 8% 0% Daily Kos · National · September

Daily Kos · National · September 29-30, 2018 · Page 8 / 20

5.

Supreme

Court

nominee

Brett

Kavanaugh

denies

the

accusations

made

by

college

professor

Christine

Blasey

Ford.

From

what

you

have

seen

or

heard,

do

you

find

Brett

Kavanaugh

credible?

 
 

Total

Democrat

Republican

Independent

Female

Male

 

Yes,

credible

45%

7%

88%

 

49%

41%

50%

No,

not

credible

46%

85%

6%

41%

51%

42%

I

don't

know

8%

8%

6%

10%

8%

8%

 

Total

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

 

Yes,

credible

45%

33%

43%

52%

52%

47%

23%

44%

61%

No,

not

credible

46%

55%

47%

43%

42%

45%

67%

47%

33%

I

don't

know

8%

12%

10%

5%

6%

8%

10%

9%

6%

 

Total

Non-College

College

grad

Postgrad

 

Yes,

credible

45%

48%

41%

35%

No,

not

credible

46%

44%

52%

56%

I

don't

know

8%

8%

7%

9%

 

Total

Midwest

Northeast

South

West

Yes,

credible

45%

44%

 

46%

46%

46%

No,

not

credible

46%

46%

46%

46%

46%

I

don't

know

8%

10%

8%

7%

8%

 

Total

Support

Kav

Oppose

Kav

Kav

Credible

Ford

Credible

 

Yes,

credible

45%

97%

1%

100%

 

6%

No,

not

credible

46%

0%

91%

0%

88%

I

don't

know

8%

2%

7%

0%

7%

I don ' t know 8% 2% 7% 0% 7% Daily Kos · National · September

Daily Kos · National · September 29-30, 2018 · Page 9 / 20

6.

Between

Christine

Blasey

Ford

and

Brett

Kavanaugh,

who

do

you

believe

more?

 

Total

Democrat

Republican

Independent

Female

Male

 

Christine

Blasey

Ford

49%

89%

7%

43%

53%

45%

Brett

Kavanaugh

44%

6%

86%

47%

40%

48%

Both

equally

3%

1%

4%

4%

3%

3%

Neither

1%

1%

1%

2%

2%

1%

Unsure

3%

3%

3%

4%

3%

3%

Total

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Christine

Blasey

Ford

49%

58%

50%

44%

46%

47%

69%

47%

39%

Brett

Kavanaugh

44%

31%

42%

49%

50%

45%

24%

44%

57%

Both

equally

3%

5%

2%

3%

2%

3%

2%

4%

4%

Neither

1%

3%

2%

1%

0%

2%

1%

3%

0%

Unsure

3%

4%

4%

3%

2%

3%

5%

3%

0%

Total

Non-College

College

grad

Postgrad

Christine

Blasey

Ford

49%

45%

53%

60%

Brett

Kavanaugh

44%

47%

38%

31%

Both

equally

3%

3%

4%

3%

Neither

1%

2%

1%

2%

Unsure

3%

3%

4%

4%

Total

Midwest

Northeast

South

West

Christine

Blasey

Ford

49%

50%

48%

47%

49%

Brett

Kavanaugh

44%

41%

45%

44%

46%

Both

equally

3%

3%

3%

4%

2%

Neither

1%

1%

1%

2%

1%

Unsure

3%

5%

2%

3%

2%

Total

Support

Kav

Oppose

Kav

Kav

Credible

Ford

Credible

Christine

Blasey

Ford

49%

0%

96%

1%

93%

Brett

Kavanaugh

44%

95%

1%

94%

3%

Both

equally

3%

4%

1%

4%

3%

Neither

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

Unsure

3%

1%

2%

1%

2%

1% 0% 0% Unsure 3% 1% 2% 1% 2% Daily Kos · National · September 29-30,

Daily Kos · National · September 29-30, 2018 · Page 10 / 20

7.

Do

you

think

the

Senate

Judiciary

Committee

has

treated

Brett

Kavanaugh:

 

Total

Democrat

Republican

Independent

Female

Male

Fairly

 

43%

74%

12%

38%

 

46%

40%

Unfairly

43%

9%

80%

47%

40%

47%

Unsure

 

14%

18%

8%

15%

14%

13%

 

Total

18-34

35-49

50-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Fairly

 

43%

43%

43%

42%

45%

42%

65%

 

44%

30%

Unfairly

43%

31%

42%

49%

48%

45%

24%

43%

52%

Unsure

 

14%

27%

15%

9%

7%

14%

11%

13%

18%

 

Total

Non-College

College

grad

Postgrad

 

Fairly

 

43%

40%

47%

56%

Unfairly

43%

46%

40%

32%

Unsure

 

14%

14%

13%

12%

 

Total

Midwest

Northeast

South

West

Fairly

 

43%

43%

 

44%

42%

43%

Unfairly

43%

43%

45%

43%

42%

Unsure

 

14%

14%

11%

14%

14%

 

Total

Support

Kav

Oppose

Kav

Kav

Credible

Ford

Credible

Fairly

 

43%

6%

78%

8%

76%

Unfairly

43%

87%

5%

86%

8%

Unsure

 

14%

7%

17%

7%

16%

86% 8% Unsure   14% 7% 17% 7% 16% Daily Kos · National · September 29-30,

Daily Kos · National · September 29-30, 2018 · Page 11 / 20

8.

Do

you

think

the

Senate

Judiciary

Committee

has

treated

Christine

Blasey

Ford:

 

Total

Democrat

Republican

Independent

Female

Male

 

Fairly

 

52%

33%

72%

53%

 

50%

53%

Unfairly

35%

53%