Академический Документы
Профессиональный Документы
Культура Документы
Alberto Refice
Annarita D’Addabbo
Domenico Capolongo Editors
Flood
Monitoring
through Remote
Sensing
Springer Remote Sensing/Photogrammetry
More information about this series at http://www.springer.com/series/10182
Alberto Refice • Annarita D’Addabbo
Domenico Capolongo
Editors
123
Editors
Alberto Refice Annarita D’Addabbo
Istituto di Studi sui Sistemi Istituto di Studi sui Sistemi
Intelligenti per l’Automazione (ISSIA) Intelligenti per l’Automazione (ISSIA)
Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche (CNR) Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche (CNR)
Bari, Italy Bari, Italy
Domenico Capolongo
Department of Earth and
Environmental Sciences
University of Bari
Bari, Italy
When we started our involvement in flood monitoring a few years ago, we were
aware of the large number of researchers coming from different fields who
contribute to several different aspects of producing and validating high-resolution
flood maps from remotely sensed and other data. Each of the relevant research fields,
including image and data processing, computing, hydrology, and geomorphology,
builds upon a mature and robust tradition.
Nevertheless, the steadily increasing flow of high-resolution, open-access remote
sensing data is leading to a paradigm change in the field of flood and, more generally,
hazard monitoring.
The availability of high-resolution images of large portions of the Earth’s surface
in several electromagnetic bands – on a regular, high-frequency basis – is triggering
the development of new algorithms and technologies to extract information and
knowledge about subtle effects and temporal developments of inundation events.
This in turn requires a synthesis work from traditionally separate research commu-
nities to develop common languages, standards, and methods.
This book presents a snapshot of some of the most up-to-date examples of
approaches to such a daunting endeavor. By reading the various chapters from
the outstanding research groups who agreed to contribute, whom we warmly
thank, the reader will gain an understanding of the wide spectrum of skills and
background necessary to extract meaningful flood information from remotely
sensed and ancillary data. More importantly, we hope this book will serve as a
reference toward the long-term objectives mentioned above, with the final goal of
increasing awareness and easing the impact of such catastrophic events on people.
v
Contents
vii
viii Contents
Index . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 209
Methods, Techniques and Sensors for Precision
Flood Monitoring Through Remote Sensing
Abstract In this chapter we introduce the subject matter of the book, highlighting
the many aspects of signal and image processing, modelling and interpretation
involved in the production of high-precision flood maps from remotely sensed
data. For each field linked to the flood mapping activity, we summarize some
basic definitions and research aspects, reviewing briefly some of the most recent
applications and citing appropriate literature. We then introduce organically the
subjects treated in each of the following chapters.
1 Introduction
Climate change and anthropogenic pressure are increasing frequency and intensity
of flood phenomena. In many countries, this causes increasing damages and threats
to life, property and cultural heritage. Countermeasures and preparedness directives
are being taken at local up to continental level [1, 71, 88]. Several environmental
agencies around the world support communities in protecting lives and property, by
providing tools and information to help them understand local flood risk and make
cost-effective mitigation decisions. Such information is usually provided in the form
of maps. In particular, flood inundation maps are used mainly for:
• Forecast scenarios
• Mitigation and planning – flood risk analyses
• Timely response
• Damage assessment
• Environmental and ecological assessments
These maps are traditionally created using hydraulic and topographic modelling,
to simulate and visualize a wide range of flooding scenarios. However, the methods
for estimation of flood risk maps based on inundation models and statistics are
sometimes not very accurate, because of the large uncertainties in land surface
topography, hydrological modelling and statistics [4]. Furthermore, the controlling
risk factors change geographically and temporally, and an understanding of their
physical and spatiotemporal characteristics is essential for the projection of future
flood risks and the development of effective flood mitigation measures [109].
Remote sensing plays an important role in all the phases of hazard management,
from the alert and preparedness phase to the emergency management and civil
protection and up to damage assessment for risk reduction.
Research and operational activities in the field of flood monitoring and prevention
benefit from availability of both optical and radar remotely sensed (RS) data. RS
data offer some long recognized advantages, such as the capability of providing
synoptic information over wide areas at low costs, the reliability of data acquisition
schedule, the immunity to local hindrances such as site accessibility or dangerous
environmental conditions, etc. RS data availability has increased over the past few
years, thanks to renewed efforts by several national space agencies in developing and
operating remote sensors with characteristics 1–2 orders of magnitude better than
those related to the legacy generation. As a result, such new-generation data give
more opportunities of use and allow new applications, often opening new research
fields. In the case of flood monitoring, high-resolution, multi-temporal data give the
chance to improve significantly the performances of forecast, alert and post-event
monitoring of inundation events. However, as is often the case, new opportunities
and applications pose new challenges: the nature of the data, the different size and
scale of the objects and the processes which can be now investigated, even the sheer
quantity of available data, all require new or more powerful tools to be suitably
dealt with. In the particular field which is the subject of this book, devising reliable
and robust methods to exploit remotely sensed data to their full potential involves
recurring to a large spectrum of fields of expertise and knowledge, which are not all
usually available to single scientists or research groups.
In the present introduction, we propose a short review of the main aspects linked
to last-generation remote sensing data analysis as applied to flood monitoring, by
briefly illustrating the links to research fields and theoretical backgrounds as can be
found at the present time.
Methods, Techniques and Sensors for Precision Flood Monitoring Through RS 3
Floods are broadly defined as events in which water covers land areas which are
not normally covered by water [28]. This definition covers a wide variety of events
under the geomorphic framework, as regards size, duration or cause. Consider, for
instance, the extremes of recurrent floods caused by large rivers, which can cover
thousands of hectares, and flash floods, typically affecting small areas in a short
time, but with potentially destructive effects.
Linked to the nomenclature connected to flood events is their management, which
includes monitoring as a measure to reduce damages connected to events. Flood
monitoring activities can be roughly divided into three broad sets, according to the
stage of operations with respect to the event occurrence [95]:
1. Forecasts
2. Emergency monitoring
3. Damage assessment
In spite of this perhaps somewhat artificial separation in time, the three kinds of
activity are actually closely intertwined. For instance, effective forecasts help direct-
ing emergency monitoring efforts to the most affected areas and infrastructures.
Also, precise damage assessment can be used as benchmark to improve the forecast
capabilities of current systems. The above subdivision determines the type of RS
approaches and data used in each activity. Forecasts involve mainly meteorological
information, so low- to medium-resolution optical data are usually involved. In
emergency monitoring, the emphasis is clearly on fast response and relatively high
resolution, so a potentially wide variety of sensors can be involved, working in
both the optical and microwave spectral regions. However, the typical bad weather
conditions associated to flood events, with thick cloud coverage present at least
during the initial surges, make particularly attractive data from imaging radars
with respect to optical sensors. Synthetic aperture radars are mostly insensitive
to cloud cover and also to sun illumination. The third type of application is the
one which involves the most advanced processing techniques. Remote sensing
can play here a key role in defining the spatial and temporal changes of factors,
which, in return, control flood generation and risk. For instance, data and algorithms
are very promising in defining two seldom defined features of flooding: one is
the spatiotemporal evolution of the flood. This often relies mainly on eyewitness
accounts, especially where no stream gauge measurements are available. Accounts
from eyewitnesses are occasionally cited in flash flood studies, and they have seldom
been, to our knowledge, systematically collected and analysed. Multi-temporal and
multisensor data allow a temporal and spatial reconstruction of flood inundation,
from the beginning until the end when all the inundated areas return dry. The
second is related to the sediment transfer processes, as, for example, erosion and
deposition on slopes and in river beds, hyperconcentrated mud, debris flows, etc.
Erosion and sedimentary features mainly focus on the post-flood investigation and
4 A. Refice et al.
constitute an indicator of the local runoff generation. Those features associated with
flooding have been documented in both modern and past cases [33]. However,
only a few studies have demonstrated the relationships between these features and
the corresponding hydraulic conditions that produced them, making it difficult to
evaluate, for example, the magnitude of palaeo-flooding. Reconstructions of palaeo-
flood hydrology are needed to improve prevention strategies to mitigate future
flooding events. The accuracy of such reconstructions is enhanced by the detailed
studies of modern analogues [109].
In this respect, multi-temporal and multisource RS can play, in our view, a central
role in filling the gap between these two different trends: the hydrological and
statistical approach, mainly based on global river and flood inundation models, and
the “geomorphological understanding” of floods based on ground effect evidence of
actual and historical events.
Several reviews on the use of remote sensing in flood monitoring have been [46,
94] and are being published at the time of this writing, e.g. [88, 101], so the reader
is referred to such works and the references therein, to get a better idea of the many
aspects of flood monitoring through RS.
3 Optical Data
Optical remote sensing data are broadly defined as data provided by sensors in the
spectral range going from short-wave infrared, through the visible range, up to the
ultraviolet [76]. As mentioned above, optical data constitute a very useful source
of data about flood extension and evolution. Clean water surfaces generally absorb
most of the incident e.m. energy, except in the specular direction. Therefore, they
are easily recognizable as “dark” areas in optical images acquired in geometries far
from sunglint. The separation becomes less immediate as one considers water less
clean, i.e. with increasing quantities of suspended sediments, or in case of increased
reflections from sunlight due to acquisition geometries with shallow incidence
angles or to the presence of wind roughening the water surface, thus increasing the
chance of local specular reflections. In some such cases, recurring to several spectral
bands can help. The main obstacle to the use of optical data for flood monitoring
comes from their sensitivity to the presence of clouds, which usually are present
during flood events. This factor alone hinders, to date, a widespread adoption of
optical data within operational flood monitoring contexts.
When cloud cover or sun illumination does not preclude data acquisition in the
optical domain, floodwaters can be detected with good precision by exploiting
several typical characteristics of inland water surfaces with respect to dry areas.
Methods, Techniques and Sensors for Precision Flood Monitoring Through RS 5
One is the reduced reflectance of clean and calm water with respect to land areas.
This behaviour is common to virtually all the optical spectral range, as long as the
acquisition is far from the specular direction. An additional way to distinguish the
presence of surface water is given by the availability of reflectance information in
the infrared thermal spectral bands. This is also generally low for water surfaces,
with respect to land areas.
Both these methods rely on assumptions which are broadly fulfilled when
monitoring flood events occurring over non-urban land areas, especially when using
low- [7] or medium-resolution data [48]. However, it is not uncommon to find local
violations, especially with high-resolution data [30]. For instance, artificial surfaces
may have very low reflectances and thus be mistaken for flooded areas. This is more
likely to occur on highly complex environments like urban areas, where pavements
and tarmacs may have a wide range of reflectance behaviours during a flood event.
This may also include flooded surfaces exhibiting artificially high reflectance, which
could be due, for instance, to a shallow water layer over a bright pavement or to
specular reflections from surrounding buildings. Such cases could be successfully
solved by sensors having infrared detection bands.
In fact, urban areas are admittedly among the most complicated types of
land cover for many remote sensing applications, in virtually all regions of the
e.m. spectrum, with flood monitoring making no exception (see also the radar
applications, later on).
areas. This condition can be generally assumed as verified in many cases. Reasons
for non-compliance include wind, which may roughen the water surface, or the
presence of vegetation, as well as surrounding walls or other man-made structures,
causing reflections. All these effects may cause backscatter returns from flooded
areas to increase, rather than decrease, with respect to dry areas. If such cases can
be excluded, flood monitoring from SAR reduces to rather simple image processing
steps, essentially consisting in thresholding of backscatter levels.
Literature about SAR backscatter applications to flood monitoring is becoming
more and more consistent as attention to remote sensing increases. In [59], a
comprehensive analysis of different backscatter levels in flooded and non-flooded
conditions is presented for several land cover classes. In [101] a review of recent
achievements in SAR flood monitoring is offered, starting from low-resolution,
global initiatives up to the most recent experiments with high-resolution SAR
systems. In [11] a sample use of airborne SAR data is shown on urban areas (Severn
River, UK).
Several conclusions can be learned by studying such literature. Many are
discussed and summarized in some of the chapters of the present book. Some
common points which can be noticed are the following:
• Due to the general shape of the e.m. scattering pattern, for monostatic radars,1
high backscattering from smooth surfaces is less and less likely as incidence
angles2 increase, so that also contrast between land and (calm) water surfaces
increases with incidence angles. In practice, then, large incidence angles are
better than smaller ones for discriminating water from other types of land
cover [58, 77].
• HH polarization is preferred over VV or cross-polarized channels (VH or HV),3
again because of contrast considerations: in fact, VV polarization results to
be less sensitive to the presence of water than HH polarization, while cross-
polarized channels exhibit generally more noise than co-polarized ones and
are thus less efficient [57, 75, 114], although combination of co- and cross-
polarized channels can improve discrimination capabilities of threshold-based
methods [41].
• Discrimination of flood over bare terrain surfaces is hindered by conditions of
increased return from water, e.g. in the presence of waves [81] or ice [82],
which increase the roughness of the water surface.
1
In a monostatic, active remote sensor, the receiving antenna is placed close (possibly coincides
with) the transmitting one. Otherwise, the sensor is said to be bistatic.
2
The incidence angle is defined as the angle between the direction of observation of the sensor
(also known as line of sight or LOS) and the vertical direction.
3
As coherent devices, the polarization of waves emitted and received by radar sensor antennae
can be controlled. Most currently available SAR instruments work with linear polarizations,
conventionally referred to the horizontal (H) or vertical (V) direction. Transmitted and received
polarization can be controlled independently, so that co-polarized (H-transmitted, H-received, or
HH, and V-transmitted, V-received, or VV), as well as cross-polarized, channels (VH or HV) can
be investigated [76, p. 541].
8 A. Refice et al.
• Cropland and urban areas are the most “difficult” land cover types, due to the
widespread presence of vertical structures – vegetation for cropland, buildings
and other man-made structures for urban areas – causing spurious reflections,
double bounce, layover and other effects increasing returns from flooded areas
with respect to dry ones [36, 62, 83].
• Forest canopies and wetlands are other types of land cover with good chances
of discrimination [111], especially when long wavelengths are used (e.g. L or P
band [42]).4
• An important factor limiting the use of SAR data at short wavelengths (X band)
is the possible influence of clouds on the backscatter images [60, 61].
• Performance with respect to wavelength is difficult to predict [101]: sensitivity
to surface roughness increases with frequency, so contrast with dry land may
decrease X-band SAR intensity images compared to lower frequencies, in case
of wind-roughened flooded areas. On the other hand, higher penetration may
increase the chance of double-bounce effects [42] leading to missed alarms
for flood detection. Other factors involve the increased sensitivity of higher
frequencies to atmospheric phenomena like rain or snow [85], as well as the
reduced effects of temporal interferometric decorrelation for L band compared
to C or X bands, which leads to increased contrast between land and water in
InSAR coherence images and thus generally better detection [78].
Thanks to their aforementioned desirable characteristics, especially their reli-
able availability, if properly planned, regardless of atmospheric or illumination
conditions, SAR-derived flood maps look promising for integration with hydraulic
models, which require regularly acquired external data for calibration or general
performance assessment [66, 67, 113] (see also Sect. 8).
SAR data, like all coherent imaging devices, are affected by speckle, which is
a high-frequency modulation of the detected intensity pattern, due to the coherent
nature of radar sensors. Speckle tends to be considered as noise, since this high-
frequency variation pattern is seen as superposed (multiplied) to an underlying
lower-frequency variation of the radar backscatter cross-section, linked to different
kinds of terrain. This is definitely the case in flood mapping applications, where the
typical purpose is to have a clear and physically consistent indication of the areas
affected by water. Speckle is considered in this case a nuisance and has to be filtered
out of the data. This can be done as a preprocessing step or, in some cases, through
post-processing of the mapping results.
SAR speckle filtering has become a wide and complex research field in itself (see,
e.g. a comprehensive review in [3]). One of the main issues is the multiplicative
nature of the speckle noise, which makes less effective many “traditional” filters,
used in image processing, which are designed for use with imagery affected by
4
Radar frequency ranges are divided into bands, whose names and limits derive mainly from
historical military conventions [105]. The most used by current satellite radar sensors are L (1
to 2 GHz), C (4 to 8 GHz) and X (8 to 12.5 GHz) bands, with P (<300 MHz) and, on the other
extreme, K bands (>12 GHz) mostly used in airborne sensors.
Methods, Techniques and Sensors for Precision Flood Monitoring Through RS 9
additive noise types. Many efforts have been devoted to devise SAR speckle
adaptive filters, which make use of the local statistics of the SAR signal itself, to
avoid averaging out localized features, thus retaining image resolution over highly
variable regions while allowing homogeneous areas to be averaged more heavily to
improve SNR. Among such filters, the most used and known are those by Lee [51],
Frost [32] and Kuan [49]. Many more, including many recent improvements on
classical filters and others based on other assumptions and principles, have become
recently available. Their description, together with references, can be found in
review works, such as [3, 72].
We just mention a particular kind of approach to speckle filtering, the so-called
nonlocal approach [24], which has been applied with success to multidimensional
SAR/InSAR data [23] and is gaining more and more attention in the SAR
community, spawning a considerable amount of research [27, 55, 115].
˝ ˛
I1 I2
D q˝ ˛˝ ˛; (1)
I1 I1 I2 I2
where the asterisk indicates complex conjugation. The average in the previous
formula is intended as an ensemble average, operated over a homogeneous sample.
In practice, it is often substituted by a summation over a finite image window W,
i.e. the following definition of a sample coherence is used [110]:
P
I1 .p/I2 .p/
p2W
Q D qP P : (2)
I
p2W 1 .p/I 1 .p/ p2W 2 I .p/I 2 .p/
Most of the considerations sketched above about SAR intensity and InSAR
coherence regard situations in which SAR backscatter from the Earth surface
can be interpreted in a somewhat heuristic fashion, i.e. in terms of higher or
Methods, Techniques and Sensors for Precision Flood Monitoring Through RS 11
One of the most innovative aspects of latest generation sensors is their much
increased capacity of acquiring images of the earth surface at regular, short intervals,
with respect to previous missions. This constitutes a formidable step forward in
the acquisition of data for the study of surface processes [39]. For the specific
case of flood monitoring, the availability of time series of remotely sensed images
constitutes an advantage from at least two points of view.
First, availability of frequent, detailed terrain maps for areas known to be peri-
odically interested by inundation phenomena allows to infer precious information
about the nature and genesis of the recurrent floods. This is true, for instance, for the
comprehension of phenomena occurring on wetlands [96]. Also, long time series
of detailed remotely sensed maps are very useful in the performance assessment
and calibration of hydraulic models [99]. An important field in this respect is
that covered by passive microwave instruments, which, in spite of their generally
low spatial resolution, have very high acquisition frequencies, up to hours, so that
very detailed time series of river discharge, and thus anomalies thereof preluding to
floods, can be acquired [22, 108].
12 A. Refice et al.
Second, for the analysis of specific events, the availability of large quantities of
data previous (or posterior) to the flood helps in shading light on the land cover
characteristics of “difficult” areas such as crops or urban areas, so that precision in
mapping can be increased [21, 84]. Also, following the post-flood water decline
may help understanding terrain evapotranspiration and absorption characteristics.
Together with remotely sensed data, effective methods to exploit their information
are needed. These typically rely on methods for identifying different categories
associated to complex land surfaces. In this respect, classification is one of the major
approaches to infer land cover information from remotely sensed data [68].
Actually, the problem of flood detection from remotely sensed images can be
considered as a particular instance of the more general topic of the detection of
land cover changes and transitions [104]. As basic principle, change detection
involves the analysis of at least two remote sensing images acquired over the same
geographical area at different times: for example, assuming that a flood occurred in
a given area at time t , two images acquired, respectively, at time t0 < t (before-
event image) and t1 t (co- or post-event image) are needed.
Traditionally, different pattern recognition methods and machine learning algo-
rithms have been used to automatically classify multi-temporal remotely sensed
images and to extract change information [17, 53]. In general, they can be divided
into:
• Supervised or semi-supervised techniques that allow to detect land cover transi-
tions but require an adequate amount of labelled samples to train the classifier;
• Unsupervised techniques that aim at discriminating between two opposite classes
(representing changed and unchanged areas) without any a priori knowledge
about the scene.
In the former case, data corresponding to image pixels for which the land cover
class is known in advance are mandatory. Operationally, these samples may come
from different sources, but they are often difficult and onerous to be collected,
also considering that multi-temporal information is needed. Moreover, flooded area
detection is usually needed in rapid mapping procedures to be performed shortly
after the event. For these reasons, in the mapping of flooded areas, only few exam-
ples of application of supervised classifiers are reported in literature [37, 44, 65].
More frequently, the flood detection problem has been tackled as a clustering or a
segmentation problem. Clustering is an unsupervised pattern recognition technique
that partitions a set of n unlabelled patterns into K groups, on the basis of some
similarity/dissimilarity measures, where the value of K may or may not be known a
priori [13]. These patterns can be the information directly extracted by the images or
indirect change indicators. Different unsupervised procedures have been reported in
the literature [12, 36, 84, 107]. Some examples are illustrated in subsequent chapters
of this book.
Methods, Techniques and Sensors for Precision Flood Monitoring Through RS 13
Flood maps derived from remotely sensed images are always, although to
different extents, affected by errors, no matter what type of images and which
pattern recognition algorithm have been used. To improve the accuracy of these
maps, different data fusion approaches have been proposed, based on the synergetic
use of different types of images and ancillary information. In the recent literature,
several examples of data fusion methods applied to flood monitoring can be found.
Surely, different factors have contributed to the strong interest in this topic, such as
the recent programmes of satellite data acquisition, which have received a significant
boost with the launch of new sensors, the new policies for data distribution of
archive as well as of newly acquired satellite data (e.g., the ESA Sentinels). Together
with the increased availability of multi-temporal, multisensor, multi-resolution and
multiplatform imagery data, suitable algorithms to manage these information have
to be considered. For example, the 2009–2010 Data Fusion Contest organized
by the Data Fusion Technical Committee of the IEEE Geoscience and Remote
Sensing Society was focused on the detection of flooded areas using multi-temporal
and multimodal images. Both high spatial resolution optical and SAR data were
provided, together with a digital elevation model. The goal was to investigate the
improvement derived from decision fusion. As expected, the best map is the one
obtained by using all the available data, the accuracy of which outperforms other
ones, obtained by considering only subsets of the data [52].
Many other applicative examples are available. In [67], two different statistical
methods have been used to integrate SAR data with high-precision topography
and a river flow model. In [102], two experimental studies about the synergetic
exploitation of remote sensing data and hydrometeorological models have been
presented. More recently, flood maps have been produced combining multi-temporal
SAR data and a hydrodynamic model by using a classification algorithm based on
fuzzy logic [86], and a procedure has been developed in order to estimate the
flooded area combining SAR imagery with ancillary information extracted from
digital elevation topography [14]. In this book, an application of a data fusion
model, based on Bayesian networks, is presented and discussed.
The last frontier of flood detection algorithms is their transformation into
operational services that are expected to:
• Usefully exploit the large amount of available imagery data and their high
temporal and spatial resolution, by fully exploiting the paradigms of the big data
analysis [54];
• Enhance the detection by merging remotely sensed imagery data with other
information, such as the one extracted by networks of ground or mobile sensors,
connected through the Internet or dedicated links;
• Operate in a near-real-time mode, also allowing to detect flood events lasting a
few days or hours and/or involving small areas (flash floods).
Nowadays, despite the increasing number of fully automated image processing
algorithms, only a few operational flood services, based on remotely sensed image
exploitation, exist [59]. For instance, the Fast Access to Imagery for Rapid
Exploitation (FAIRE) service, hosted on the European Space Agency’s (ESA) Grid
14 A. Refice et al.
7 Validation
Validation of flood maps remains one of the most critical aspects of the entire
monitoring efforts. To objectively validate a map or a mapping approach, it is
necessary to have independently derived data about flood extension and perform
some statistical comparisons between the proposed map and such ground-truth
data. However, due to all the problems cited in the preceding parts of this chapter,
having reliable ground-truth flood data over meaningful spatial extents is at present
considered difficult, and only a few cases are known in which this has been possible.
The most typical situation in which this comparison is possible, although invariably
on limited areal extents, is in case of availability of pictures or videos taken in situ
by eyewitnesses, in the immediate period after a flood event [83]. This is in fact the
traditional way in which independent ground truth is meant (see also considerations
in Sect. 2). It is easy to realize that such kind of data are fairly rare. Yet, they are
among the most useful data to assess objectively remote sensing-based approaches.
As a consequence of the difficulty in finding valuable ground truth, indirect
validation approaches are often adopted, such as comparison of data derived from
independent remotely sensed sources (e.g. radar vs. optical) or from independent
approaches (remote sensing vs. hydrological modelling). Such attempts must
necessarily consider the different nature of the data which are being compared,
to properly take into account possible biases, different assumptions and other
distortions. In particular, when comparing two different mapping methodologies,
uncertainties connected to both sides of the experiment should be kept in mind,
rather than considering one approach as “ground truth” and assess the other one with
respect to the former. This is particularly difficult in cases when the two approaches
come from knowledge fields traditionally distant from each other. Nevertheless,
Methods, Techniques and Sensors for Precision Flood Monitoring Through RS 15
when properly considered, often such comparisons may give a good idea of how
realistic is a mapping approach, provided this comparison is considered for its actual
value, i.e. basically qualitative.
A recent step forward in the direction of objective validation is the realization
of the possibility of applying rigorous statistical techniques to attach probabilities
to remote sensing-derived flood maps [21, 35, 97]. This allows to produce maps
reporting, e.g. the probability of each pixel or image object being actually flooded
at a particular date, based on knowledge coming from remotely sensed imagery
and other data. Such probabilistic maps can be used in several ways, e.g. by
converting them to binary maps through hard thresholding or by retaining the
uncertainty information in order to assess the capability of a given mapping
methodology to efficiently detect flooded areas. Rigorous probabilistic methods are
indeed used currently in model assessments and calibration through remotely sensed
data [10, 47] (see Sect. 8).
In spite of these recent advances, however, in many cases, none of the above-
mentioned methods are applicable, since simply no valid independent ground truth
is available. This happens especially in operational real-time or near-real-time
contexts or when few data are available for a given event (e.g. a single SAR or
optical image). In such cases, it is not uncommon to adopt heuristic, qualitative
methods of validation for remotely sensed flood maps, mainly based on simple rules
and common sense.
8 Hydrological Modelling
A pair of recent commentaries by P. Bates set the state of the art for the use of
remotely sensed data in hydrological modelling [8, 9], monitoring at a distance of
8 years the advancements in the discipline. Flood inundation research has in the
last years shifted from being a “data-poor” to a “data-rich” scientific field, mainly
thanks to remote sensing data [9]. There is now a consensus between remote sensing
professionals and hydrologists on the importance of integrating remote sensing-
derived data and hydrological modelling [64]. Several studies have explored the
potential of this integration, and significant progress has been achieved, especially
on how high-resolution SAR images can support or also advance hydrological
modelling (e.g. [38]). Studies on integrating remotely sensed data with flood
modelling are dated back to the late 1990s, and most of them have demonstrated a
great effectiveness in combining satellite-derived flood maps with digital elevation
models and distributed process models. In fact, integrating inundation maps with
topography can reveal complexities in water surface dynamics and in local flow
connectivity which are otherwise difficult to model numerically or observe with
remote sensing data alone. Despite this great effort, uncertainty in observations,
as well as model parameters and predictions, is still a major challenge in fluvial
hydrology research [26].
16 A. Refice et al.
Many research papers have explored the integration of remote sensing with
hydrological flood modelling covering several aspects; most of them focus on four
major challenges (see e.g. [99]):
• The use of remote sensing data to retrieve and evaluate flood hydrology
information, such as flood area extent, water stage, discharge, etc.;
• The use of remote sensing imagery to retrieve hydro-geomorphic parameters
(e.g. roughness parameters, river cross-section geometries, detailed floodplain
topography), which can be used to build model structures and to enhance process
representation in the model;
• The use of remote sensing observations to calibrate and validate hydrodynamic
models;
• The use of remote sensing information in terms of data assimilation with models.
One of the most common applications deals with the retrieval and mapping of
inundation area extent and other flood hydrology information, since hydrological
data collection is still considered a difficult task to date [106]. Inundation maps
have been traditionally drawn from aerial photography and, despite the high costs,
this is still one of the most reliable methods for accurate mapping. However, as
shown in the preceding sections, the recent availability of high-resolution satellite
imagery makes remote sensing-derived data very keen to flood monitoring and
mapping. In particular, the strengths of spaceborne radar imaging and its peculiar
characteristics, such as penetration of clouds, insensitivity to weather and possibility
of data acquisition during day and night, make them very useful for the monitoring
and mapping activities [89]. To map flood extent with optical images, the common
mapping techniques consist of digitizing the boundaries at the contrasting land-
water interface. Another approach involves the use of image processing for the
extraction of a binary map consisting of dry and wet (flooded) pixels using different
types of algorithms and bands. However, both approaches present drawbacks related
to the possible presence of cloud cover and to the inability to map inundation
beneath the vegetation canopies. For these reasons, active microwave imagery from
SAR has gained momentum as the most reliable source of information to map flood
extents. Besides inundation mapping, aerial photo, optical and SAR images have
been used to indirectly derive water stage, combining the elevation of the land-
water interface with digital elevation models or topographic maps. In particular,
thanks to the availability of high-resolution DEMs (e.g. LiDAR data5 ), which are
becoming more readily available, and the flood boundaries extracted from high-
resolution SAR or optical images, it is possible to derive water stage and flow depth
across the floodplain for a given event.
Hydrological and geomorphologic data retrieval from remotely sensed images
has also advanced the integration with hydraulic modelling. For example, in [106],
5
Light detection and ranging (LiDAR) sensors collect large clouds of precisely geocoded points,
which can be then fused together into high-resolution matrices or sparse representations of the
Earth surface, providing the highest-resolution DEMs available to date [116].
Methods, Techniques and Sensors for Precision Flood Monitoring Through RS 17
a high correlation between “width” (inundation area) and discharge in braided rivers
was found. It is thus suggested that the relationship can be applied to estimate
hydrologic variables from space. However, a central role is still played by high-
resolution LiDAR data, which can result in highly detailed topography of the
entire floodplain, on which hydraulic models are built and run. LiDAR-derived
vegetation height has been also used to derive roughness estimates, to be included as
floodplain friction parameterization in two-dimensional flood models. Roughness is
a parameter that strongly influences model results and is usually poorly constrained.
Another important hydrological application of remote sensing-derived data is
the calibration and validation of hydrodynamic models. There are many ways to
evaluate the performance of flood inundation models in predicting flood extent or
stage. However, the choice of the method depends on the details of the model,
the type and nature of the observed data and the calibration or validation exercise.
Several of the above-mentioned hydro-geomorphic types of information have been
used to calibrate and validate model parameters and to test model performance. The
most common method to evaluate model results is still the visual comparison by
an expert flood modeller, who checks for consistency between model results and
remotely sensed data, evaluating the hydraulic feasibility. Several papers propose
quantitative measures aimed at a more objective assessment of model performance,
mainly in terms of inundated area, and most of them are based on the comparison
using a pixel-by-pixel approach. In particular, binary maps of wet/dry pixels are
compared in terms of number of pixels correctly predicted as wet or dry, considering
underprediction and overprediction. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves
are also used to evaluate the performance of the binary classified images, consider-
ing variable discrimination thresholds. More sophisticated methods, aimed at taking
into account prediction uncertainties, apply fuzzy logic approaches to test predicted
inundation maps, considering, for example, a membership function that includes
assumptions of the probability of pixels being flooded [79, 80]. Studies that refer
to the use of remotely sensed water levels in the model calibration and validation
phase are still limited (see, e.g. [99]). Mason et al. [63] and Schumann et al. [100]
estimated the mean cross-sectional water levels used for model evaluation from the
intersection of SAR flood extent boundaries with a LiDAR DEM. The reason for the
scarcity of examples of this kind of study can be found in the lack of high-resolution
topographic data. This still remains an issue, although the increased availability of
high spatial and radiometric resolution SAR data suggests a potential increase of
this kind of studies.
The last application to integrate remote sensing-derived data and hydrological
modelling is related to data assimilation into hydraulic modelling. Data assimilation
is aimed at updating numerical models using both current and past observations,
to provide temporal continuity and dynamic coupling among the variables. This
kind of application is still in its infancy [117]. Most of the related works focus on
the assimilation of remote sensing-derived water levels in flood forecasting systems
(e.g. [2]). We point out the reader to a comprehensive analysis on land surface data
assimilation by Houser et al. [43]. They show that assimilation of remotely sensed
data can be achieved using basically four different classes of methods: (a) state
18 A. Refice et al.
updating methods to adjust internal model states based on observations, (b) input
updating methods that generate new estimates from input data that are run through
the simulation model, (c) error prediction methods that evaluate past errors between
observations and model predictions to estimate future errors and (d) parameter
updating methods, aimed at updating the parameters during the simulations.
In this chapter a summary of the most important aspects of detailed flood monitoring
through remote sensing has been attempted. We reviewed the basics of flood
monitoring practices, focusing on the commonly accepted standards for definition,
detection and updating of flood maps. We then listed the main sources of data which
are commonly used in flood monitoring activities, spanning through optical and
microwave instruments, the main sources of remotely sensed data used in this field.
We also tried to give a general idea of the main data processing techniques used to
extract flood extent and evolution information from earth observation data and to
integrate remotely sensed data into hydraulic inundation models, as well as to use
remote sensing-derived information with the general purpose of improving hydro-
geomorphic scenarios and enrich our knowledge of flood processes.
The rest of this book consists of a series of chapters covering some individual
aspects of these activities. In Chap. 2, remote sensing data analysis of channel
dynamics and geomorphic effects of floods are reviewed. In Chap. 3, the specific
case of DEM data to derive useful information about recurrent or future flood
events, as well as constrain hydraulic models for the identification of flooded
areas, is considered. Chapter 4 is devoted to the field of flood forecast and real-
time monitoring, with a review of some existing software solutions and online
operational systems to rapidly provide information and forecasts about flood events.
In Chap. 5, an interesting and rather unique test case, consisting of the study of a
dataset composed of many radar and optical acquisitions, is described. Chapter 6
starts a suite of three chapters dealing with the most useful type of data for
detailed flood monitoring, i.e. synthetic aperture radar data. In this case, important
processing details are reviewed for simple combinations of single images acquired
during the event or pairs of pre- and co- or post-event images. Chapter 7 is a very
comprehensive review of most known aspects of SAR image interpretation linked
to flood monitoring and detection in several land cover settings. Finally, Chap. 8
presents an innovative framework, based on Bayesian networks, which promises to
help in dealing with the increasing flow of information from remote, in situ and
other types of sensors, in order to extract relevant and unambiguous information
about the development, in time and space, of inundation phenomena.
Methods, Techniques and Sensors for Precision Flood Monitoring Through RS 19
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Remote Sensing as a Tool for Analysing Channel
Dynamics and Geomorphic Effects of Floods
Abstract Over the past two decades, the use of optical remote sensing in fluvial
geomorphology has become widely employed for several applications, due to
improvements in geospatial technologies and data availability. However, applica-
tions focused on change detection of channel dynamics and geomorphic response
to individual flood events are still relatively rare. Insights into the complexity of
interactions driving geomorphic changes might be obtained by application of diverse
remote sensing approaches, depending on several factors (e.g. temporal and spatial
resolution, magnitude of detected change). An overview about remote sensing as a
tool for channel dynamics and geomorphic response to flood detection is illustrated,
including discussion about advantages and limitations of optical remote sensing.
1 Introduction
channel dynamics and geomorphic effects of floods (e.g. bank erosion, channel
aggradation, channel avulsion), while other processes related to floods, such as
inundation processes, are not addressed in this work.
This chapter is organized into two main sections. The first section reports an
overview about the advance in channel change detection analysis over time, strictly
matching the progressive advance in technology and detection techniques. The
second section describes the change detection analysis using optical remote sensing
data by (1) analysing the potential for observing river changes through the use of
multi-resolution and multi-temporal data; (2) discussing assumptions, advantages
and limitations of optical remote sensing data applied to channel change detection;
(3) reviewing some studies on river response to flood event, with a focus on the
observed and investigated river changes; and (4), finally, describing how optical
remote sensing data have been employed to support channel change detection during
a flood event by means of an illustrative case study.
Flood events may or may not affect channel morphology, shaping channels and
floodplains. Since the early 1950s, research began to explore the effects of floods on
riverine landscape, and the comprehension of their role in determining the physical
processes driving channel forms and their impacts on morphodynamics became
a central theme of fluvial geomorphology. The examination of riverine landscape
revealed also to be strictly linked to advances in technology, and consequently it
drastically improved over the past decades (Marcus and Fonstad [50]; Mertes [51]).
Leopold and Maddock [43] argued that channel-shape adjustment during indi-
vidual floods occurred in response to a varying sediment load. In the early 1960s,
research explored physical effects induced on the natural landscape by floods
considering the relative importance of geomorphic processes of flood events with
variable discharge [74, 87]. In 1963 Schumm and Lichty investigated periods
of channel widening related to floods of high peak discharge and of floodplain
construction related to floods of low peak discharge in a semiarid region. Stewart
and La Marche [78] show that flood with recurrence interval >100 years largely
determine valley morphology, channel pattern and location and the character of
alluvial deposits. They mapped erosional and depositional features on post-flood
aerial photographs and determined the amount of destruction of land and forests
by comparing pre- and post-flood aerial photographs as support to field surveys.
However, prior to the 1970s, the sensors mainly consisted of black and white pho-
tographic film, and the platform was an airplane in the context of geomorphological
mapping [20]. In the 1970s, researchers began to analyse channel changes related
to flood magnitude, focusing on the effects of floods of extremely rare occurrence
[2, 24] and their effects across several climate regions [86]. However, most of these
RS for Channel Dynamics and Geomorphic Effects of Floods 29
works were based on traditional field survey observations of river cross sections and
relied on mostly qualitative, and rarely quantitative, flood-related impact studies
[35].
In 1972 the launch of Landsat I started the first continuously acquired collection
of space-based remote sensing data of terrestrial environments [85]. Nevertheless,
in the early phases of satellite remote sensing, the data available had 80 m ground
resolution, and the pioneering investigations in the field of application of remote
sensing to flood were predominantly focused on flood monitoring and mitigation,
with particular regard to the recognition of flood-prone regions of the USA [81]
and flood extents [77]. Large pixel sizes, in many cases larger than the stream
width, limited the use of satellite-based imagery in channel change detection and
river feature mapping. Subsequently, and until the late 1990s, researcher have
long used air photos to document changes in channel parameters, based on visual
interpretation or photogrammetric analysis [27, 38, 50]. In the mid-1980s, imaging
spectrometry became an earth observation tool, even if the increase of the spectral
resolution required a lower spatial resolution, slacking space-borne hyperspectral
development [17].
A significant shift in river research occurred during the mid-1990s, from field-
based surveys of river cross section, coupled with qualitative interpretation of aerial
photography through new tools available to fluvial geomorphologists [37]. The tech-
nical progress accomplished in the past two decades of research in remote sensing
made a considerable contribution to river sciences [8] and, among these methods,
optical remote sensing of rivers has experienced some of the more dramatic
advances [50]. Remote sensing becomes a reasonable alternative and a good support
to ground-based field survey when it can monitor or map the variable of interest [49].
In addition, digital elevation models (DEMs) became available during the 1990s
[35]. Optical remote sensing and DEMs greatly improved the ability to create and
manipulate detailed imagery of Earth’s surface, resulting in opportunities to detect
features not previously recognized [85]. Over recent years, additional advances in
technology allowed to overcome some logistic and cost constrains in investigating
changes in fluvial settings. The development of unmanned aerial systems (UASs),
able to fly in nonurban areas at very low altitudes and to deliver very high spatial
and temporal resolution imagery, reveals a significant potential in river sciences,
offering very interesting alternatives to traditional platforms [8, 81, 88].
processes [49]. Hence, the most efficient change detection techniques are able to
quantify areal surface, direction and rate of change and to estimate the accuracy of
change detection results [45]. Singh [75] reviewed a series of feasible procedures for
change detection using remotely sensed data in environmental fields, identifying the
post-classification comparison (i.e. comparison of independently classified images)
as the most common method. The following issues are addressed in this section: (1)
potential of observing river changes in response to a flood through optical remote
sensing data; (2) the use of remotely sensed data for channel change detection across
multi-resolution and multi-temporal data; (3) common assumptions, advantages and
limitations of remote sensing techniques for channel change detection analysis;
(4) the use of optical remote sensing data in concert with other remote sensing,
topographic and geospatial data; and (5) the application of optical data for channel
change detection by means of a real case study.
River Bollin, NW 2000 n.a. Occurrence and Aerial Aerial Reach (600 m) 2000–2001 [27]
England causes of photographs photographs
multiple cutoffs mapping
on a meandering
river
2001
Guadiana River, 5–6 >500-year Sedimentary and Pre- and Aerial Reach (500 m to One-flood [57]
Spain November erosive features post-flood aerial photographs 2 km) event
1997 photograph
mapping
(continued)
31
Table 1 (continued)
Time scale
32
comparison
3D changes
River Tay, Scotland, January 1993 40–65 years Land cover Classification Airborne Reach 1992–1994 [6]
UK change; comparison imagery-Daedalus 1268
bathymet- and (ATM); colour aerial
ric bathymetric photography of 1:12,000
change mapping
Lockyer Creek, January 2011 2000 years in the River bank DoD Multi-temporal LiDAR; Catchment One-flood [23]
South East upper catchment erosion high-resolution pre- and event
Queensland (SEQ), to 30 years post-flood aerial imagery
Australia downstream
Rio Puerco, New 2006 n.a. Topographic DoD QuickBird II Segment One-flood [60]
Mexico, USA changes panchromatic image (12 km) event
(0.6 m); multiple airborne
LiDAR (0.5 m)-derived
DEMs
Elbow River, June 19 and 23 500 years Sediment DoD; UAS survey: Reach One- flood [81]
southwestern 2013 erosion and geostatistical orthoimagery; DEMs event
RS for Channel Dynamics and Geomorphic Effects of Floods
Table 1 (continued)
Recurrence Spatial scale Time scale
interval Detection Remote sensing detection detection
River Flood event (year) purpose Method data analysis analysis Reference
River Dane, NW >20 year From 9 to Rates and Photogrammetric Set of aerial photographs Reach 1981–2002 [29]
England period 57 years occurrence of mapping to an (10 km)
erosion, accuracy of
deposition, ˙0.5 m
calibre of
sediment, and
morphological
changes
Thinhope Burn, 17 July n.a. Spatial patterns Pre- and Pre- and post- flood aerial Catchment One-flood [52]
Northern 2007 of erosion and post-flood aerial imagery; DEMs and reach event
England, UK deposition; photo
volumetric comparison;
changes DoD
Lockyer Creek, January 2000 years Areal changes Pre- and Multi-temporal Reach One-flood [83]
South East 2011 in the upper extend of post-flood aerial LiDAR-derived DEMs event
Queensland catchment geomorphic photos (5 cm); pre-and post-flood
(SEQ), Australia to 30 years features, comparison; aerial photos
downstream variation in DoD
channel width
Magra River, 25 October From 30 to Variation in Pre- and Pre- and post-flood aerial Reach One-flood [56]
Italy 2011 200 years channel width; post-flood aerial photos (0.50 m); LiDAR (1–6 km) event
eroded volumes photo derived DEM sub-reach
of sediment comparison; (300–
DoD 500 m)
n.a. not available data
M. Righini and N. Surian
RS for Channel Dynamics and Geomorphic Effects of Floods 35
Channel planform change has been the research focus of many fluvial geomor-
phologists (Gilvear and [17]). The main intent of planimetric change detection
analysis is to characterize or quantify channel and floodplain planform changes
[68]. Airborne and satellite-based remote sensing data have long been used to map
channel boundaries, bars, floodplain cover, in-stream islands and other features [20].
When a series of several images or at least a set of two images is available, it is
possible to observe changes on different timescales [21], related to one or to a series
of flood events with diverse magnitude and recurrence intervals.
Most of the studies analysing planimetric changes in response to diverse event
magnitude (i.e. from extreme to moderate floods) used airborne imagery across
diverse spatial scales (i.e. from catchment to morphologic units metre scale) and
time scales (i.e. from one flood event to wide temporal intervals >100 years). These
studies mainly focused on (1) channel width changes [25, 33, 56, 76, 80, 83],
(2) channel and geomorphic features pattern changes [27, 29, 44, 52, 57, 82], (3)
substrate type changes [26] (Fig. 1), (4) channel shifting [76] (Fig. 2), (5) bank
retreat [23, 56] (Fig. 3) and (6) land coverage changes [6].
Studies of large rivers are generally based on satellite imagery which provide
spatially extensive images over large areas for low costs. Therefore, if the pixel size
is suitable for the river size, the regular revisit frequency of orbital sensors allows
easier multi-temporal approach analysis compared to airborne data.
Kumar et al. [34] used multi-temporal satellite images to assess the impacts of
2011 monsoon flood in the alluvial Rapti River (India) quantifying both areal (i.e.
channel area, channel belt area, bar area) and linear characteristics of channel belt
before and after the flood (i.e. active channel and channel belt width, sinuosity,
channel central line shifting). Authors used Landsat MSS, TM, ETMC data,
with spatial resolution of 60, 30 and 15 m, respectively, in concert with SRTM
elevation data to map geomorphological features, quantify geomorphic processes
and resultant landforms at various spatial scales ranging from basin to reach level.
In this case, employment of medium spatial resolution data turned out to be suitable
for channel having an average initial channel width greater than 60 m at reach scale
and notable magnitude of change in terms of channel lateral expansion and shifting
and channel belt area variations. Higher spatial resolution space-borne imagery were
used by Buraas et al. [7] and Magilligan et al. [46] to investigate channel widening
that occurred in the Williams, White and Saxtons Rivers, Vermont (USA) during the
Tropical Storm Irene. Post-flood panchromatic satellite imagery from WorldView-1
(0.50 m of spatial resolution) were used to define major erosional features across
floodplains\ and channel width changes exceeding the natural “range of variability”
of channel width observed in the absence of extreme floods (i.e. pre-Irene 20-year
period) [46]. The available imagery allowed to analyse large portions of affected
channels (i.e. up to 40 km) at reach scale showing a channel widening up to 12 m
of net change, from average pre-flood width of 18 and 48 m, respectively, for the
Saxtons and White Rivers (Fig. 4). Furthermore, Buraas et al. [7] used satellite
36 M. Righini and N. Surian
Flow
Fig. 1 Example of cohesive mixed anastomosed channel type on the Sabie River, showing (a)
pre-flood and (b) change in morphologic unit composition following the extreme flood of 2000 on
aerial photographs (1:10,000 scale) [26]
RS for Channel Dynamics and Geomorphic Effects of Floods 37
Fig. 2 Variation in channel width and position on a set of aerial photos of Dinner and Twin Creeks:
(a) before the 1955 flood (1954 photograph), (b) after the 1955 flood (1960 photograph), (c) after
the 1964 flood (1966 photograph). Hillslope failures were also identified on the 1966 photos in
both basins [76]
Fig. 3 Digitalization of the active channel on colour aerial photos (spatial resolution D 0.50 m)
to evaluate variation in channel width (a) before the flood and (b) after the flood [56]
data as support for developing a method able to predict more susceptible reaches
to major geomorphic change. Space-borne data were also employed as support in
assessing the distribution and the role of riparian vegetation (i.e. type and density) in
influencing geomorphic effects during extreme flood affected the Rio Puerco, New
Mexico (USA) in 2006 [60]. Principally QuickBird II panchromatic images (0.61 m
of spatial resolution) were employed to map the distribution and pattern of plants
in the landscape using unsupervised classification approach in order to categorize
each pixel as either bare ground or vegetation (i.e. darkest areas). Satellite imagery
turned out to be effective for identifying young plants and sandbar willow compared
38 M. Righini and N. Surian
Fig. 4 Width changes on the White River on colour aerial photos (spatial resolution D 1 m): (a)
pre-image with channel delineation, (b) post-image displaying bank erosion, (c) pre-image with
island delineation, (d) post-image displaying erosion of the head on an island as cause for channel
widening [7]
to airborne LiDAR which was not suitable for detecting thin vertical stems and
branches, because of their difficulty in reflecting laser signals.
3.1.2 3D Changes
Hooke [28] recorded the magnitude and conditions of process and morphological
response of the channel (i.e. rates and occurrence of erosion, deposition, calibre of
sediment and morphological changes) related to discharge characteristics variations
for a sequence of more than 50 bends in a 10 km length reach in an active
meandering river in NW England over a 20-year period. Measurements and
monitoring of the study reach consisted of detailed field mapping, bends ground
photographs comparison and three sets of aerial photographs. Bank lines were
mapped photogrametrically to an accuracy of ˙0.5 m from air photos and the
digitized courses compared in ArcGIS to produce calculations of erosional and
depositional areas and rates [48].
Besides mapped riparian vegetation type and distribution, Perignon et al. [60]
presented the results of an airborne LiDAR differencing study (0.5 m of spatial
resolution) of the topographic effects on the Lower Rio Puerco, New Mexico (USA).
Authors analysed erosion and deposition volume changes along the channel and the
floodplain and removal of vegetation from river corridor.
Some works integrated the planimetric change detection analysis with topo-
graphic analysis. Grove et al. [23] and Thompson et al. [82] carried out a multi-
temporal LiDAR-derived DoD analysis to map and quantify the three-dimensional
form or morphology, volume and rates of different of bank erosion processes before
and after the flood (Fig. 5). The DoD approach was also used to quantify the eroded
volumes of sediment derived from riverbank retreat [56], the spatial patterns of
erosion and deposition and volumetric changes [52], volumetric changes in sediment
storage [22]. Tamminga et al. [81] used the same approach employing digital
elevation models produced from photogrammetry using pre- and post-flood high-
resolution (4–5 cm/pixel) imagery to detect reach-scale spatial patterns, volume
and area of erosion and deposition acquired by unmanned aerial systems (UASs) in
Elbow River, Alberta (USA). They also applied a different approach to investigate
reach-scale morphology and changes applying variogram analysis to topographic
data elevations in order to determine characteristic horizontal and vertical length
scales and variance of elevations taking into account varying channel complexity
and anisotropy in different directions.
Research is moving to use optical remote sensing data, usually in synergy with other
remotely sensed (i.e. LiDAR or SAR) and topographic data (e.g. DEMs, DTMs),
to extract other variables and parameters or indicators, potentially explanatory
for understanding river response to flood and for developing predictive models.
These approaches enable to extract and map the following variables or parameters:
(1) hydraulic variables, such as water surface slope, stream power [31, 48] or
specific stream power and shear stress [3, 16, 46], (2) morphological parameters and
indices, such as confinement index or confinement degree, defining valley setting
[69, 71, 80], the sinuosity index, the anabranching index [79], the braiding index
[1], the alluviation index [26] and the width ratio [33]; (3) channel instability
40 M. Righini and N. Surian
Fig. 5 Change (i.e. erosion/deposition, variation in channel width and reorganization of the
channel morphology) along unconfined reach of Lockyer Creek showing (a) pre-flood aerial
photos, (b) post-flood aerial photos, (c) elevation change from DoD [83]
or susceptibility parameters, such as the mobility index [4] or the erosion and
deposition index [28, 61] and the bend stress parameter [7]; and (4) sediment
connectivity indicators, like the connectivity index [10].
RS for Channel Dynamics and Geomorphic Effects of Floods 41
Natural processes frequently operate on larger spatial scale and longer time scales
than traditional river sciences and management [8]. In the past, understanding of
environmental changes was constrained by inability to quantify spatial variation
and change in fluvial landforms over long distance or long time periods. The
result of using numerous local measurements, or sporadic, spatially widespread
measurements, led to consider the channel as a discontinuous system [50]. The
relevance of such small scale for developing mechanistic models of changing
river channels and understanding larger systems might be problematic, and a
generalization from discrete patches to an integrated whole might be questionable
[89]. Then again, both the limited temporal scale of flooding and the transient effects
of changes on the river channel and floodplain, or the low frequency of geomorphic
effective flood events, constrained forecasting and prediction perspectives. Access to
and availability of remote sensing data, operating at a range of spatial and temporal
scales, enhanced the ability to survey wider areas, particularly in large or inacces-
sible fluvial systems, and allowed change-over-time analysis [18], overcoming the
issue of channel response to floods as temporary phenomena, usually followed by a
variable recovery period [86]. Indeed, remotely sensed data and imagery is the only
approach that could conceivably give continuous data over entire catchments [18]
and provide synoptic information [19, 50], retrospective viewing and multi-temporal
analysis.
Understanding of river processes and morphodynamics requires investigations
at larger scales considering a river catchment as a holistic system, involving both
floodplain and hillslope dynamics, and land use and human impact aspects. Remote
sensing approaches provide the possibility to investigate from catchment to local
scale and determine changes affecting the entire basin, such as disturbances on
channel-hillslope coupling, in order to better understand process linkages between
fluvial and hillslope systems [14, 71, 76, 80]. Moreover, the increasing availability
of metre-to-centimetre resolution imagery enables the exploration of smaller scales
and in-channel morphological changes and in-stream parameters. Recent research
indicates that optical imagery can provide fine-resolution watershed coverage of in-
stream features, representing rivers as continuous systems [50]. Hence, the necessity
to investigate rivers and their changes across different spatial and time scales has
become more challenging, and the data acquisition should depend on both the nature
and the scale of the purposed investigation [65].
Two interesting frameworks that link spatial scales, temporal scales and data
sources have been proposed by Prienstall and Aplin [65] and Rinaldi et al. [71].
Prienstall and Aplin [65] have suggested suitable spatial scales and data sources for
river environment representation in digital form, taking in consideration different
study scales (i.e. from catchment to micro-topography) (Fig. 6a). Rinaldi et al.
[71] have proposed an integrated approach for investigating geomorphic response
to extreme events, highlighting the complexity of interactions driving change
42 M. Righini and N. Surian
variability in riverine landscape across several spatial scales. Such approach outlines
a summary of the spatial scales and methods related to the various components of
an overall analysis of the geomorphic response to a flood event (Fig. 6b).
Fig. 6 Spatial scales and approaches for analysing river environments and investigating geomorphic response to extreme events proposed by (a) Priestnall and
Aplin [65] and (b) Rinaldi et al. [71] respectively
43
44 M. Righini and N. Surian
instantaneous field of view can largely determine the utility of remote sensing
for mapping channel morphology and in-stream features. For systems with coarser
spatial resolution, pixels might be contaminated by radiance from the stream banks,
and a pixel size of one half the mean channel width is a basic minimum requirement
[40]. Certain river settings do not work well for optical remote sensing, in particular
high energy and small headwater streams. Investigation of relatively small channels
may be also complicated by atmospheric conditions, vegetation cover and associated
shadows along banks, making more complex feature digitization or extraction
[40, 65].
Magnitude of change and accuracy Many authors recognized that estimates of
channel changes are often affected by several errors [71]. Positional inaccuracy in
digitized features considering channel or floodplain changes may often originate a
spatial error being similar or greater than the magnitude of geomorphic changes
[65]. Some works seemed to rely on inappropriate assumptions, where the mag-
nitude of the error estimated using the most conservative methods is close to the
magnitude of the measured change [55]. Mount and Louis [55] argued that rates
of river channel migration or widening are only valid if it can be demonstrated
that the amount of change in the measured parameters from images exceeds the
measurement errors. They concluded that estimation and propagation of error in
measurements of river channel movement from aerial imagery requires knowledge
of both the systematic error components and the random error components associ-
ated with the precision of feature identification and that it is necessary to consider
the following issues: (1) a number of possible assumptions relating to the homo-
geneity/heterogeneity of error components, directional and temporal independence
of errors and (2) the magnitude of systematic error compared to random error
components. Recent advances in combining the output of global positioning system
with image capture has increased the potential for accurate identification of an
absolute location and allowed ground records to be matched to individual pixels on
imagery, permitting more accurate image calibration and validation [20]. Changes
may be the result of cumulative errors. Scale distortions in the original imagery,
poor selection of ground control points used for georectification and the algorithms
used to transform the image to a specific coordinate system are possible sources of
errors. These errors can be considerable and may sum up when attempting to detect
change over time [30]. Hence, analyses of channel changes should include error
assessment.
The majority of digital change detection techniques depend upon the precise
accuracy of geometric registration of two images, which is very difficult to achieve
due to the lack of accurate ground control points [75], and on different scales
between the pixel dimension and the object to be analysed [51]. In spite of the
need to distinguish true geomorphic change from errors associated with image
registration, no widely accepted framework for defining positional errors in image
time series has been established [39]. Standard methods of characterizing accuracy
in remote sensing assume that the ground data are correct [49]. Users should also
consider the potential inaccuracy of supervised and unsupervised imagery classi-
RS for Channel Dynamics and Geomorphic Effects of Floods 47
The assessment of the error for 3D channel change detection approaches appears
to be clearer. For instance, the uncertainty related to the DEM of Difference
approach required the assessment of the minimum level of detection (LoD) that
is detectable above the noise of the data [5, 81]. Therefore, the uncertainty might
be either spatially uniform, constant within zones of similar characteristics, or
variable for every cell of the raster [36, 60]. However, the uncertainties related to
this approach might be related to several sources of error, such as systematic error
affecting the accuracy of the measurements, random error affecting the precision
of the data [23, 83], interpolation errors arising during the creation of DTMs from
point data or filtering errors referred to discarding all off-terrain points in order to
reconstruct the bare-earth only [13, 52, 60, 81].
Field validation and data matching As argued in the previous sections, satellites
offer to landscape studies a vantage point of Earth observation, computer compati-
bility of sensed data, historical perspectives and near-global coverage. Nevertheless,
spatial- and temporal-scale limitations of remotely sensed data imply that in-
depth fieldwork, using both traditional and technologically advanced data collection
techniques, will continue to be an integral part of the science of geomorphology
[84]. Many researchers have found remotely sensed data a valuable tool for
quantifying and detecting channel features and changes; however, few of them
have addressed the problems of quantification and validation of change within
the river and floodplain system from multi-date airborne or space-borne imagery
[6]. The comparison between manifold field measurements and remote sensing
techniques reveals a lower accuracy of remotely sensed data [50]. The dissimilarity
between remote sensing data and field information is a general problem because
of the mismatch between the scale of the objects and the spatial resolution of
the data [51]. Often a direct comparison with field records is employed; however,
advanced error analysis typically lacks due to sparse distribution of field data
[51]. Ghoshal et al. [22], in their study involving aerial photographs rectification
processes for planimetric analysis of lateral channel migration, used ground control
points collected in the field near river channels, to ensure greatest accuracy in
rectification where most channel-change measurements were taken. On the other
hand, the change detection algorithm employed by Bryant and Gilver [6] to ATM
data revealed subtle changes not noticed in the field. A remaining challenge is to
achieve an exact match between the categories of landscape classification from
the remote sensing analysis and data from the field survey or model outputs
[51]. For Marcus and Fonstand [50], logistical obstacles concern ground validation
procedures on time of imagery acquisition, which is difficult to accomplish at
watershed extents, particularly in large and difficult to access river basins.
Costs and data availability The spatial extent of the study and the number of
measurements needed over time are factors strictly driving costs [49]. Remote
sensing becomes a reasonable alternative to ground-based field surveys when it can
monitor or map the variables of interest and when it can do so on a cost-effective
or safer basis than ground-based techniques. One advantage of optical imagery for
remote sensing of rivers is that these data are widely available through government
RS for Channel Dynamics and Geomorphic Effects of Floods 49
mapping agencies and commercial vendors that usually collect and archive airborne
and satellite optical imagery also providing historical records. Aerial surveys are not
cheap to commission, and repeat coverage at short time intervals is usually limited
or impossible [11]. On the other hand, imagery from satellites is relatively cheap or
freely available, and the scale of the events roughly matches the resolution of the
satellite imagery [32].
In many studies, the use of combining diverse data sources and processing made
the channel change detection analysis more robust and accurate (Table 1) [47].
The widespread availability of geographic information systems (GIS) has allowed
the wide use of optical imagery for channel change mapping, because it made
easier the digitization of river features from aerial or satellite imagery and the
assessment of a wide variety of spatial and change-over-time analyses [49]. The two
technologies might be joined for a better examination of the landscape, investigating
the interrelationships of scale, pattern and process [71, 84]. Specifically, GIS
technology offers an analytical framework for data synthesis, capture, storage,
management, integration, analysis, display and forecast [73, 82, 83, 88]. In the
case of geomorphic changes in flood detection analysis, GIS techniques allow
to make several operations (e.g. overlay, intersect, merging) enhancing a multi-
spatial and temporal analysis and to characterize and quantify channel changes [15].
Particularly, the possibility of digitizing channel features allows the assessment of
the pre-flood morphological state of the channel and the definition of the post-flood
channel morphological state in a qualitative and quantitative way.
The merging of optical remotely sensed data with other spatial information
within a GIS offers the possibility of measurement and quantification of channel
changes by using different data sources and different approaches to characterize
also the nature of landscape changes, to assess GIS-derived geomorphic indices
and variables as described in Sect. 3.1 and to model the location and response of
phenomena through interfaces [82, 84]. For instance, the use of digital elevation
models derived by optical or radar remote sensing data within a GIS might provide
the extraction of several morphological and hydrological parameters (e.g. altitude,
slopes, orientation, basins and sub-basins, channel network, terraces, floodplain,
curvature, aspect, flow direction, flow accumulation) as useful support for a change
detection analysis. However, the consideration of an automated feature extraction
approach remains controversial, because different variables could influence the reli-
ability of this process [65]. Many authors described limits of automatic approaches
to channel mapping including, for example, water level [66], vegetation cover,
shadows and soil moisture [65, 69].
50 M. Righini and N. Surian
Fig. 7 Planimetric 2D changes (i.e. channel widening, floodplain planform change and reactiva-
tion and island formation) on the Posada River (northeastern Sardinia, Italy) at sub-reach scale:
(a) 2011 pre-flood satellite image from Basemap gallery available in ArcGIS Explorer Desktop by
the World Imagery service (spatial resolution D 1 m or higher); (b) 2014 post-flood WorldView-2
pan-sharped 4 band imagery (spatial resolution D 0.5 m)
largely exceeded errors) and (3) absolute values of pre- and post-flood geomorphic
features allowed to overcome shifting errors and to obtain net change values.
Furthermore, additional information was collected from digital elevation model
(10 m spatial resolution), topographic maps at 1:10,000 scale, and field survey
on representative reaches for minimizing errors, improving visual interpretation
and obtaining a more robust analysis. Besides, the proximity of available data to
the event allowed to minimize errors in considering possible natural geomorphic
changes before or after the 2013 flood. Finally, the described remote sensing
analysis allowed (1) a better understanding of channel dynamics and processes
during high-magnitude flood event, (2) defining the potential controlling factors of
channel widening (i.e. both morphological and hydraulic variables) and (3) devel-
oping predictive models describing magnitude and patterns of channel planimetric
changes [72].
4 Discussion
(see Sect. 3.3). The grain size analysis necessitates the use of high-resolution
airborne, space-borne or UAS imagery: in this case, availability of very high spatial
resolution can be crucial for an effective analysis. Land cover change analysis
is usually performed by classified imagery comparison, which does not really
need georeferencing and digitization error minimization for a qualitative analysis.
Nevertheless, this aspect might be subtle if accomplishing quantitative analysis. The
definition of erosional or depositional process is mostly performed by the use of
topographic data and by DoD approach. As described above, this kind of approach
might be affected by several sources of error; however, determining the minimum
level of detection (LoD) is fundamental, as well as the magnitude of change related
to data spatial resolution.
5 Final Remarks
The present availability of data with high spatial resolution and short revisit
time offers great opportunities and new challenges in the analysis of geomorphic
response to floods: (1) the possibility of time-sequential satellite image comparison;
(2) a broad areal coverage and a synoptic view of channel dynamics of individual
flood event across different scales (i.e. from in-stream units to the entire catchment);
(3) continuous measurements and data supply of channel response to flood of
the whole river corridor over long distances, particularly in large fluvial systems
and where accessibility is more difficult; (4) insights into the complexity of
interactions driving changes in riverine landscape during flood events; and (5)
deeper understanding of stream morphodynamics and potential to develop more
accurate models of geomorphic response to floods to assess the magnitude of the
flood event and areas of channel instability.
There are some key assumptions to be taken into account when optical remote
sensing approach is used: (1) the temporal proximity of images to the flood event,
for accurate analysis of the pre- and post-flood geomorphic characteristics; (2) the
size of watershed and stream channels; (3) relationships between channel width,
and other fluvial features, and the spatial resolution of the image; (4) magnitude
of channel changes that must be well identifiable to capture in-stream variations;
and (5) reduction of factors that may alter the quality of image interpretation or
classification, such as seasonal stage, weather conditions and vegetation canopy.
Furthermore, accuracy of optical remote sensing results is a still long debated aspect
due to several sources of error.
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The Use of DEM-Based Approaches to Derive
a Priori Information on Flood-Prone Areas
Abstract Knowing the location and the extent of areas exposed to floods is the most
basic information needed for planning flood management strategies. Unfortunately,
a complete identification of these areas is still lacking in many countries. Recent
studies have highlighted that a significant amount of information regarding the
inundation process is already contained in the structure and morphology of a
river basin. Therefore, several geomorphic approaches have been proposed for the
delineation of areas exposed to flood inundation using DEMs. Such DEM-based
approaches represent a useful tool, characterized by low cost and simple data
requirements, for a preliminary identification of the flood-prone areas or to extend
flood hazard mapping over large areas. Moreover, geomorphic information may be
used as external constraint in remote-sensing algorithms for the identification of
inundated areas during or after a flood event.
1 Introduction
The delineation of areas exposed to flood hazard raises complex problems regarding
the definition of flood events and the parameterization of hydraulic models (e.g. [27,
61]). The increasing damages caused by recent floods and weather-related events
forced river basin authorities and environmental agencies to invest significant efforts
in flood mapping. This need is motivated by the fact that more and more people live
in flood-prone areas [7] but also by the increasing frequency of extreme floods (e.g.
[19, 47]).
The original idea that the hydrological responses of a catchment could be indexed
on the basis of topography dates back to Kirkby [34]. He proposed the use of the
TOPMODEL topographic index, defined as ln(a/ tanˇ), which combines the local
upslope contributing area per unit contour length (a) and slope angle of ground
surface (tanˇ). It represents an index of convergence of the subsurface flow and it
is well correlated with spatial patterns of soil moisture. In fact, areas characterized
by high specific contributing area or minor characteristic slope have higher values
of topographic index and therefore higher probability to be saturated. This index
is commonly used to quantify the topographic control in numerous hydrological
models [3, 5, 39, 48] and is also known to be a good indicator of flood-prone areas
[9, 32, 40, 52].
Its ability in reproducing the flood-prone areas was improved by Manfreda et al.
[40] by changing the relative weight of the drained area with respect to the local
slope with an exponent n < 1. This exponent was introduced in order to provide a
measure of the relative value assumed by the hydraulic radius And in a given
point. Manfreda et al. [40] compared this ‘modified topographic index’ (TIm ) with
flood inundation maps obtained from hydraulic simulations and observed that the
DEM-Based Approaches to Derive Information on Flood-Prone Areas 63
researchers tested and evaluated their accuracy in different parts of the world (e.g.
[1, 24, 55, 64]).
For hydrological applications, the DEMs of HydroSHEDS (Hydrological Data
and Maps Based on Shuttle Elevation Derivatives at Multiple Scales, [28]) devel-
oped by the Conservation Science Program of the World Wildlife Fund can be used.
This dataset offers a suite of georeferenced hydrographic information for regional-
and global-scale applications with the great advantage of being homogeneous in
quality and freely available. This product is based primarily on elevation data
obtained during NASA’s Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) generated
using the synthetic aperture radar (SAR) technique [17], with ancillary data sources
including the SRTM Water Body Data [29], the river networks of the Digital
Chart of the World (DCW) [14] and ArcWorld [15] and the Global Lakes and
Wetlands Database [36]. SRTM provided a DEM available almost in near-global
coverage, mapping all land surfaces between 60ı north latitude and 56ı south
latitude. Unfortunately, in its original release, the SRTM data contain regions with
missing data point (voids or anomalies) and a large number of sinks or depressions
that can cause significant problems (see [16]). Instead, HydroSHEDS provides
continuous DEMs, so-called void-filled elevation model (DEM VOID), where voids
have been filled, and all not natural sinks and main elevation inconsistencies have
been identified and removed. Besides sinks, the original DEMs show a series
of other anomalies, like the influence of vegetation cover [56] that can cause
significant errors in the derived river courses and flow directions. Therefore, a
hydrologically conditioned elevation model (DEM CON) is also available in order
to establish continuous flow for hydrological applications. This model is obtained
after a sequence of hydrologic conditioning procedures, forcing the DEM to produce
correct river network topology and to produce a DEM-derived drainage network
coherent with the actual one. The processing steps of generating HydroSHEDS
are detailed in the dataset’s technical documentation [37]. Preliminary quality
assessments indicate that the accuracy of HydroSHEDS significantly improved that
of existing global watershed and river maps. Information about the data quality and
shortcomings of HydroSHEDS data can be found in Lehner et al. [38].
Note that since the conditioning process of the DEM-CON significantly alters
the original elevation data, its use should be limited only to the drainage network
identification procedures, while the quantitative measures of morphological charac-
teristics (e.g. local slope, curvature or elevation difference between points) should
be derived from the original DEM-VOID data [42].
Figure 1 provides a visual example of SRTM DEM of the Bradano river (located
in southern Italy) that will be used throughout the paper as reference case study.
Fig. 2 Overview of the four possible outcomes of a multiple statistic comparison between a test
prediction and a gold standard truth
Given the above definitions, the standard metrics generally used are:
• True positive rate: RTP D TP/(TP C FN) ! Sensitivity.
It defines how many correct positive results occur among all positive samples
available during the test.
• False negative rate: RFN D FN/(TP C FN) D 1 RTP ! Underestimation (error
type II).
It defines how many incorrect negative results occur among all positive samples
available during the test.
• True negative rate: RTN D TN/(TN C FP) !Specificity.
It defines how many correct negative results occur among all negative samples
available during the test.
• False positive rate: RFP D FP/(TN C FP)D 1 RTN ! Overestimation (error
type I).
It defines how many incorrect positive results occur among all negative samples
available during the test.
Linear binary classifiers seek to separate the datasets in two classes by using
a “linear boundary” which is a hyperplane in the space; in two dimensions, a
hyperplane corresponds to a simple line identified by the value of a threshold. Once
the threshold is found, we can use it to predict the class a new point belongs to by
simply checking on which side of the boundary it falls. Such a methodology can
be used to identify areas subject to flooding hazard using several morphological
features.
Starting from morphological descriptors presumed to be good flood-related
candidates, several classifiers have been built to delineate flood-prone areas based
solely on the information contained in DEMs. The values of these descriptors
usually vary widely and differ from one descriptor to the other. In order to apply
thresholds that cover the whole range of values, it is convenient to standardize them
through normalization. Specifically, the values are scaled and translated so that all
data assume a value between 1 and 1. Consequently, normalized thresholds are
applied and iteratively changed over a portion of the basin that plays the role of
calibration area. Every threshold represents the line that divides the values in two
classes, distinguishing flood-prone and non-flood-prone areas. Therefore, for every
threshold a potential flood-prone area binary map is obtained and compared to a
standard flood map assumed as “gold standard truth”. These standard maps have
been previously converted into binary maps, where the value 0 represents the areas
not flooded (area of minimal flood hazard) and the value 1 represents the flooded
areas. Classifier calibration is carried out minimizing the sum of the false positive
rate and the false negative rate (RFP C RFN ) in order to derive the optimal value of
the normalized threshold.
68 S. Manfreda et al.
With the aim to deepen our understanding on the potential of geomorphic descriptor
and to define new strategies for preliminary flood hazard detection, the mentioned
classifiers have been tested in several river basins located in different parts of
the world (Europe, the USA and Africa). Among the numerous DEM-derived
morphological features investigated in previous studies, two have proven to be
representative of flood exposure:
• The distance of each cell from the nearest stream, D [m], defined as the length
of the path hydrologically connecting the location under exam to the nearest
element of the drainage network.
• The Geomorphic Flood Index (GFI), ln(hr /H): this index compares in each point
of the basin a variable water depth hr. with the elevation difference H. In this
case, hr bAnr is computed as a function of the contributing area Ar in the nearest
section of the drainage network hydrologically connected to the point under exam
(‘r’ stands for ‘river’) (see Fig. 3). By taking into account an estimate of the water
level in the nearest element of the drainage network hr , we are considering the
nearest river as the hazard source. In this way, this index tries to describe the level
of safety of a given site with respect to the probable water level of the river due
to the relative position of that site and the magnitude of the drained basin.
The GFI is specifically developed by Manfreda et al. [43] and Samela et al. [58,
59] with the specific aim of identifying a morphological feature able to account
for the main features affecting flood diffusion. It represents a dimensionless ratio
DEM-Based Approaches to Derive Information on Flood-Prone Areas 69
Fig. 3 Description of the composite index GFI. Representation of the parameters H and hr in plan
(a) and in the cross-section (b)
Fig. 4 DEM-derived morphological descriptors of the Bradano river basin (Basilicata, Italy): (a)
distance to the nearest channel, D; (b) the Geomorphic Flood Index, GFI
between the potential water depth and the relative elevation of a location. Therefore,
it increases in areas potentially inundated or more likely to be flooded.
Figure 4 provides a visual description of the two indices introduced above for the
Bradano river basin (Basilicata, Southern Italy). These two indices have an opposite
behaviour with the first (D) decreasing when the considered point is closer to the
river network (source of risk), while the second increases its value. This means that
the binary classifier will consider as flooded all points below a given threshold for
the classifier D or above for the classifier GFI.
An example of application of a linear binary classifier for the delineation of the
flood-prone areas is depicted in Fig. 5 for the Bradano river. This graphs provide
a visual comparison of a flood map obtained with a hydraulic model and the one
obtained with this DEM-based approach. The DEM-based flood map reproduces
fairly well the hydraulic flood map with the clear advantage of extending the flood
mapping in the portion of the river basin not studied with hydraulic models.
70 S. Manfreda et al.
Fig. 5 (a) Flood hazard map derived by using a one-dimensional hydraulic modelling over the
Bradano river obtained with a 30-year return period. (b) Flood susceptibility map obtained by
using the linear binary classifier based on the Geomorphic Flood Index, ln(hr /H), on the entire
Bradano river basin
This kind of analysis has been carried out extensively over a wide range of
basins characterized by significant differences in terms of climate, morphology and
size. Table 1 summarizes the outcomes of the linear binary classification applied
DEM-Based Approaches to Derive Information on Flood-Prone Areas 71
to 21 river basins located in different parts of the world and obtained by using the
mentioned DEM-derived morphological descriptors.
It is necessary to remark that each application has been carried out using different
reference flood maps for calibration. In particular, the Flood Insurance Rate Maps
(FIRMs) developed by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) have
been adopted to train the classifiers in the US basins. Typically, these FIRMs are
derived by hydraulic analyses, but in some cases, approximate methods of analysis
are also used. For our purpose, flood inundation maps having a 500-year return
period have been used, excluding coastal areas that may result flooded due to storm
surge.
For the basins located in Italy, flood hazard maps produced by river basin
authorities have been adopted. Usually, these maps are the result of intense studies
regarding the main river and its most important tributaries, while many minor
tributaries are yet unstudied. Different return periods (T) have been chosen, such
as T D 200 years for the upper Tiber river basin; T D 500 years for the basins of
Basento, Sinni, Cavone, Noce and Agri; and T D 30 years for the Bradano basin.
Finally, for the ungauged subbasin of the Bulbula river (Ethiopia), a flood hazard
map has been first derived by performing a hydrologic/hydraulic analysis with a
300-year return period and then used to calibrate the classifiers.
These reference flood maps have been computed over several different basins,
by different authors and also with different methodologies. Nevertheless, the main
interest is to explore the reliability of DEM-based procedures in describing flood-
prone areas rather than derive flood maps with a specific return period or with a
specific reliability.
The performance measures reported in Table 1 have been computed within the
calibration areas defined by the standard flood hazard map mentioned. According
to the results of our studies, the GFI provides better performances, in terms of
minimization of the total error (RFP C RFN ) in 16 of 21 study cases. The accuracy
of the maps derived with the GFI has a mean RTP of about 82.1% (with a range of
values between 74.8% and 98.9%) with a RFN of about 17.9% (ranging from 14.3%
to 39.5%). By contrast, the maps derived with D have a mean RTP of 78.4% (ranging
from 45.8% to 97.8%) with a RFN of 21.6% (ranging from 10.4% to 41.5%).
Therefore, GFI seems to be more consistent and less sensitive to the change of
scale of application, DEM resolution, reference hydraulic map used for calibration
and different topography of the training area. In a few cases, the feature D provides
slightly better performances, and this is generally observed in flat areas. Given this
result, one may decide which classifier to use according to the mean slope of the
considered river basin.
The ensemble of the performances observed seems to endorse the classifier based
on the GFI as the most satisfactory among those analysed, and the most suitable to
detect the flood-prone areas in ungauged basins and for large-scale applications,
providing good accuracies with low data requirements.
It is also interesting to remark the limited range of variability of the calibrated
thresholds within a specific region. This may be extremely useful to extend the
application of the methodology in ungauged basins.
72
Table 1 Performances of the parameter D and the index GFI in all the basins investigated across the world
Flow distance, D Geomorphic Flood Index, ln(hr /H)
River basin Drainage area [km2 ] RTP RFP RFP C RFN AUC RTP RFP RFP C RFN AUC
a
Ohio (USA) 529,000 0.985 63.9% 20.9% 57.0% 0.777 0.515 81.6% 20.1% 38.5% 0.891
Delaware (USA)a 35,253 0.930 54.6% 19.7% 65.1% 0.716 0.510 76.7% 24.7% 48.0% 0.845
Upper Guyandotte (USA)a 2,481 0.945 89.5% 27.8% 38.2% 0.864 0.625 91.6% 18.7% 27.2% 0.917
Lower Guyandotte (USA)a 1,937 0.935 79.7% 22.0% 42.3% 0.849 0.590 86.7% 23.1% 36.5% 0.897
Tug (USA)a 4,078 0.945 86.1% 24.9% 38.8% 0.862 0.635 89.9% 21.1% 31.2% 0.910
Upper Levisa (USA)a 3,111 0.945 86.8% 28.5% 41.6% 0.846 0.610 89.1% 17.4% 28.3% 0.915
Big Sandy (USA)a 1,095 0.915 79.8% 24.8% 45.1% 0.844 0.550 85.1% 17.0% 31.9% 0.913
Tippecanoe (USA)a 5,158 0.880 86.1% 28.7% 42.6% 0.860 0.570 77.8% 33.7% 55.9% 0.762
Middle Wabash-Little Vermilion (USA)a 6,031 0.905 79.0% 23.5% 44.6% 0.846 0.515 74.8% 15.5% 40.8% 0.853
Vermilion (USA)a 3,836 0.905 82.9% 18.2% 35.3% 0.889 0.480 68.6% 16.6% 48.0% 0.826
Sugar (USA)a 2,198 0.915 76.2% 21.0% 44.8% 0.840 0.525 75.0% 21.6% 46.5% 0.832
Eel (USA)a 3,216 0.895 73.9% 29.0% 55.1% 0.802 0.585 78.6% 21.0% 42.4% 0.846
Upper Tiber (Italy)b 5,000 0.977 77.5% 22.4% 44.9% 0.848 0.379 85.9% 22.2% 36.3% 0.898
Bradano basin – 1D hydraulic model (Italy)c 2,765 0.928 78.4% 17.8% 39.5% 0.882 0.422 93.9% 14.3% 20.4% 0.950
Bradano outlet – 2D hydraulic model (Italy)c 2,765 0.842 45.8% 24.7% 78.9% 0.625 0.423 81.1% 26.7% 45.6% 0.791
Agri (Italy) 1,686 0.779 76.3% 37.4% 61.1% 0.765 0.396 78.8% 29.8% 51.0% 0.795
Basento (Italy) 1,537 0.864 96.8% 41.5% 44.7% 0.800 0.344 84.3% 19.5% 35.2% 0.885
Sinni (Italy) 1,292 0.811 74.9% 37.9% 63.0% 0.748 0.424 78.6% 39.5% 60.9% 0.748
Cavone (Italy) 648 0.777 81.4% 33.7% 52.3% 0.801 0.378 69.1% 30.0% 60.9% 0.737
Noce (Italy) 378 0.854 79.7% 40.4% 60.8% 0.763 0.45 77.3% 29.2% 51.9% 0.776
Subbasin of the Bulbula (Ethiopia)d 85 0.968 97.8% 10.4% 12.6% 0.971 0.512 98.9% 13.9% 15.0% 0.969
a
Samela et al. [59]
b
Manfreda et al. [42]
c
Manfreda et al. [43]
d
Samela et al. [58]
S. Manfreda et al.
DEM-Based Approaches to Derive Information on Flood-Prone Areas 73
6 Discussion
Fig. 6 Flood-prone areas (depicted in light blue) of the Ohio river basin according to the linear
binary classifier based on the GFI (panel 1). Comparison between the FEMA’s flood map (panel
2.A and 3.A) and the flood map obtained using the proposed DEM-based approach (panel 2.B and
3.B)
DEM-Based Approaches to Derive Information on Flood-Prone Areas 75
Moreover, the proposed features provide indications that may be used in other
contexts, such as in remote-sensing applications, where some a priori information
at large scale (like those provided by the GFI) can be used to identify areas most
likely to be flooded and help the design of new modelling schemes (e.g. [8]).
Finally, it is necessary to remark that the DEM-based method proposed in
this work cannot substitute for a comprehensive study on the flood hazard, since
geomorphologic analysis does not take into account the presence of flood defence
structures, such as levees and dams. In addition, processes like levee failure or
local scour may alter flood propagation in a way that is difficult to predict. Such
scenarios deserve specific attention and are out of reach for such simple method.
Notwithstanding a slight loss in accuracy, the proposed approach offers an economic
and fast alternative for floodplain mapping. Such flood maps may be useful for large-
scale flood preparedness and emergency response operations [33].
7 Conclusions
Floods account for about one-third of the economic losses and over half of the deaths
associated with natural disasters worldwide [2]. The exposure of human activities
is increasing with the expansion of cities, and, furthermore, there is a motivated
suspect that the frequency of great floods is increasing with time [47]. This imposes
in several countries the definition of procedures able to provide extended description
of the flood-prone areas in the next few years.
In ungauged or poorly gauged sites, the lack of data does not permit com-
prehensive hydrologic/hydraulic studies about the flooding hazard exposure and
deprives local authorities of reliable flood inundation maps. As a consequence, many
communities are currently living in scarcely monitored basins exposed to flooding
without any adequate assessments of areas potentially affected by the hazard.
In this scenario, geomorphic approaches represent a practical and economical
procedure to identify preliminarily the extent of flood-prone areas. This can be
achieved through an in-depth analysis of the basin morphology based on information
freely available worldwide, such as DEMs.
The most appropriate morphologic signatures for the delineation of the flood-
prone areas can be considered the GFI and the D. These classifiers have been tested
on several river basins highlighting that the index GFI consistently exhibited higher
accuracies among the others in each test and is the most suitable to detect the flood-
prone areas in data-poor environments and for large-scale applications; it provided
good accuracy with low requirements in terms of data and computational costs. The
parameter D generally performs better in flat areas.
Geomorphic methods may also be used to discriminate between inundation maps
derived for different return periods. Its application can lead to an extended flood
map obtained using for calibration a portion of the entire river basin. Samela et al.
[59] highlighted that a portion of the basin of approximately 2% may be sufficient
to this aim.
76 S. Manfreda et al.
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River Flood Forecasting System: An
Interdisciplinary Approach
Large cities and small settlements all over the world have experienced more than
once the destructive effects of floods. The number of floods is forecast to continue
in the foreseeable future, and there is an emerging trend of growth of the total
number of large-scale natural hydrological disasters [1–3]. In the current situation,
the forecasting of floods caused by spring floods and freshets of various origins is
one of the main components of safety providing for the settlements located in river
valleys, and it is an important scientific problem [4].
By now a number of systems and information services have been developed and
successfully used in emergency situations.
The United States Geological Survey (USGS) on its “WaterWatch” website
[5] daily collects and updates data from US hydrological information collected at
stream gauges, about current consumptions and levels of water (for 30 and more
years), as well as separately about drought and flood events. For each site, results of
observations statistical processing – monthly, annual, and multiyear average values
of the observed parameters – can be obtained.
The products of Danish Hydrological Institute (DHI) for intensive monitoring
of flood [6, 7] are special forecast and monitoring services for marine and
freshwater objects (processes), where hydrological forecasts (locally upgradeable
and adaptable in every case under the requirements and needs of customer-water
users) are implemented.
The European Flood Awareness System [8] is a European project based on the
LISFLOOD hydrological model [9], describing the runoff from a catchment area
and the flow in the channels system. The model has been specifically designed for
large watersheds and implemented by using GIS technologies.
Deltares Hydrological Institute, sited in Delft, the Netherlands, has a system
similar to the MIKE Flood Watch product. It is framed as a project, by the
Delft Flood Early Warning Systems [10], implementing real-time monitoring and
management of water resources, which can be adapted to the needs of each area
of interest. FEWS has been tested for flood forecasting and warning, presenting to
its users a wide range of tools for data processing and management, as well as an
interface that allows to apply different models.
Other existing models are, e.g., DHI Modeling complexes MIKE 11 [11] and
MIKE 21 [12], multilayer two-dimensional model Delft 3D Deltares (Delft, the
Netherlands) [13], model HEC-RAS [14], and FLO-2D [15], the body of the
American Corp of Military Engineers, and the French model TELEMAC [16].
River Flood Forecasting System: An Interdisciplinary Approach 83
The Weather Research and Forecast [17] model, developed by the US National
Center for Atmospheric Research, is used by ROSHYDROMET [18] and many
other organizations to solve a wide range of weather forecasting issues in real
time, as well as a dynamic core of computer modeling systems designed to study
air transportation for hydrological forecasts. The WRF model contains flexible
non-hydrostatic equations that take into account Earth surface heterogeneity: it
implements a technology for calculations of enclosed areas with one-way or two-
way influence; the model uses different coordinate systems depending on the type
of surface.
The LANCE service [19] provides the following data sets: MODIS corrected
reflectance, True Color, and Bands 7-2-1 and MODIS land surface reflectance,
Bands 1-2-1, and AIRS precipitation (day/night). MODIS data is used to produce
daily forecasts, connected with weather-related systems of coastal areas: MODIS
Water Vapor (day/night), Cloud Top Temperature (day/night), and Cloud Top
Pressure (day/night).
A further example of information product is the GIO EMS Mapping [20]
for proper response to floods which requires immediate action (rush mode). For
authorized users, three standard categories of cartographic information products are
proposed: reference maps (used as basic information), delineation maps (providing
an estimate of the scale of emergencies), and grading maps (providing spatial
coverage of emergencies and assessment of the damage occurred). All maps can
be provided in the form of overview maps or detailed maps. In addition, GIO EMS
Mapping provides for potential customers (users):
• Full-color maps printing (ISO A1) or their equivalents in GeoPDF file format
with high (300 dpi), medium (200 dpi), or low (100 dpi) resolution, as well as
metadata files
• Geospatial full-color maps ISO A1 or its equivalent in GeoTIFF and georefer-
enced JPEG global geotagging for file formats with high (300 dpi), medium (200
dpi), or low (100 dpi) resolution, as well as metadata files (which may be the
same as printed maps)
• Vector files for all the objects obtained in the analysis and interpretation of ESRI
shapefiles, with the projection file (.prj), Google Earth KML (or KMZ), as well
as the metadata file
• Radar satellites imageries (TerraSAR-X, COSMO-SkyMed, and RADARSAT)
• Optoelectronic satellites imageries (WorldView, GeoEye, Ikonos, Quickbird,
SPOT, Formosat, RapidEye, and the Pleiades)
• Additional thematic information about infrastructure facilities, population, etc.
• DEM/DTM for satellite imagery orthorectification and risks analysis
In its turn, DigitalGlobe provides information products: available levels of
Advanced Elevation Series [21] – map, accurate, and precision data DEM or DTM
in 32-bit GeoTiff file format, as well as metadata ISO 19115: 2003.
The Global Land Cover Facility [22] allows to carry out analyses of the landscape
at all levels from local to global. DEM data are available for the entire globe
(GLSDEM-2008) and derived from radar imagery (SRTM-2000).
84 V. Zelentsov et al.
The following custom services (information products) are available from ISRO
Remote Sensing Centre (India) [23]:
• Mapping and monitoring of floods in real time
• Assessment of flood damage
• Mapping of risks zones caused by possible rivers channels changes
The Centre is going to create flood early warning maps and to act as decision-
making support system, based on three-dimensional modeling on the basis of
hydrodynamic models of rivers and LiDAR data and satellite imageries.
Systems and services with a similar purpose are also being developed in the
Russian Federation. These include:
Ground-based and satellite-based flood monitoring, forecasting, and early warn-
ing system “GIS Amur” [24], which is used for:
• Collection, systematization, visualization, and analysis of data of hydrometeoro-
logical observations, calculations, and forecasts
• Automatic release of hydrological forecasts for Amur River basin
• Aggregation of ground-based, satellite, and model information for the analysis
of hydrological situation in the Amur River basin
• Real-time delivery of actual and prognostic information about hydrological
situation in Amur River basin for customers concerned
By using Research Center for Earth Operative Monitoring (NTs OMZ) [25]
archival materials of detailed resolution satellite imageries, it is possible to update
various thematic maps of scale smaller than 1:10,000, create digital ortho-images
with a resolution from 1 to 10 m, and generate DEM and DTM.
Today “NTsOMZ” is proposing to its customers:
• Products on natural flood monitoring, from thematic processing of satellite data
to exploiting information about hydrological facilities, ice conditions, and others
• Thematic geospatial data sets to verify patterns of flooding on the basis of remote
sensing materials (satellites data from Landsat 7, Meteor-M, and Resurs-P)
The running of flood monitoring and forecasting systems is based on models and
methods that can be conditionally combined into several large groups.
Satellite monitoring has been one of the most important methods so far. It
includes the use of both radar [26–32] and optical [33] images. Although the benefits
of this approach are widely known, it is far from being flawless from the decision-
making point of view. Most notably, it provides only post-event mapping and the
boundaries of an inundation as well as post-event damage analysis.
The second group of well-known methods are medium-term and long-term
forecasting for a period of several weeks to several months. These methods are based
on hydrological modeling, and they require large amounts of initial data, such as the
characteristics of the snow cover, soil properties, meteorological parameters, etc.
[34]. Naturally, medium-term and long-term forecasting give valuable information
which allows analyzing possible scenarios for probable flooding in the following
few months. Nevertheless, the low reliability of the initial data and the large time
River Flood Forecasting System: An Interdisciplinary Approach 85
interval of forecasting do not provide accurate estimates of the flooding time at each
specific point of the river valley.
So, the first basic question is whether it is possible to find a compromise
between the quality of the initial data and the duration of the forecast interval,
on the one hand, and the accuracy of forecasting on the other hand. In the
investigation presented here, this balance has been found by shifting to the short-
term (operational) forecasting of river floods. In this case the forecast is performed
in advance for 12–48 h, and initially it starts only when the water level increases.
The second basic question is how can we combine, integrate, and synchronize all
necessary remote sensing data, other heterogeneous data, information, and models
to predict the zones and depths of flooding and at the same time perform the
necessary verification and validation procedures to ensure the required reliability
of the results and provide the results to users in a timely and convenient form.
In previous papers [35, 36], it was described how satellite monitoring and
traditional hydrological forecasting approaches based on river physical processes
modeling can be enhanced by integrating different models and technologies – such
as input data clustering and filtering, digital mapping of river valleys relief, data
crowdsourcing, hydrological and hydrodynamic modeling, inundation visualization,
duly warning of stakeholders, and also techniques for flooding scenario generation
and comparison. The results described in that papers have been continuing the
investigations [37–42] on the use of heterogeneous data for flood monitoring and
forecasting. With that, they appear to be more universal in terms of types of data
integrated in the joint system.
The need to develop systems that combine heterogeneous data and models has
already been noted by a number of authors [43]. To date, however, experience
has yet to be gained in development and practical application of such systems. So
far there are no uniform principles of such systems architecture designing for the
integration of heterogeneous data (including RS data). Experience of information
technology developments and applications in other subject areas demonstrate that
the approach based on service-oriented architecture (SOA) [44] is an acceptable
one for design of distributed integrating systems.
The principles of software implementation of a flood forecasting system based
on SOA had been previously proposed, and the first successful case study using in
this system one of the possible hydrodynamic models – LISFLOOD [9] – had been
earlier described [35, 36].
But it should be noted that high-quality forecasts need fundamentally not one but
a complex ensemble of hydrodynamic models to choose model types and parameters
depending on the specifics of the riverbed section simulation, the nature of water
movement along the riverbed and floodplain, the initial data composition, and a
number of other factors. The multimodel approach can significantly improve the
forecasting quality but implies the development and implementation of new methods
of automatic (or interactive) model selection and the model parameters adjustment.
To date, some individual examples of the use of the multimodel approach are
already known, in particular, the use in running order of the 1D hydrodynamics and
2D flood spreading models [45]. These approaches call for further development of
86 V. Zelentsov et al.
sharing hydrodynamic models and remote sensing data, as well as automation of the
model choice.
So the third basic question is how can we choose and adjust the model
automatically. In this chapter, a method and algorithms for the multimodel approach
are presented in close correlation with the previous results related to operational
flood forecasting system (OFFS) creation and testing.
2 Hydrodynamic Models
Before describing satellite image application, let us consider the basic components
of a flood forecasting system, which specify requirements for an information support
for modeling.
Firstly, the basic components of the OFFS are the hydrodynamic models.
Thus far, various countries have developed and implemented a large number
of such models: the Russian software packages Flood, River, and STREAM-2D,
developed by V.V. Belikov, A.N. Militeev, and others [46]; Mike 21 of the Danish
Hydraulic Institute [47]; Delft 3D of the Deltares Institute in Delft, the Netherlands
[48]; HEC_RAS of the US Army Corps of Engineers [49]; and others. The models
mainly differ in the methods of schematization of the computational domain
(triangular, tetragonal, and mixed meshes), computational schemes and methods
(finite differences and finite elements), and sets of additional blocks (admixture
dissemination, load transport, etc.).
Regardless of the specific software implementation, mathematical models of
water flow movement are mostly based on the set of Saint-Venant equations [46].
When writing the set of Saint-Venant equations, the water flow can be represented
both in the one-dimensional (flow characteristics are averaged by cross section) and
in the two-dimensional (averaged by depth) schematizations. These equations are
widely used in computing the hydraulics of open channels [50]. They consider the
main forces operating on a stream with a free surface (gravity, friction, pressure, and
inertia; Coriolis’s force and wind influence can be considered in addition) and the
three-dimensional orography of the land surface.
As a basis for modeling water movement, one- and two-dimensional models
of the STREAM-2D software suite (an upgraded version of the River software
package) [46] were selected. This suite is based on approaches of irregular hybrid
computational meshes and original methods of interpolation [51]. It has demon-
strated high efficiency in solving various problems concerned with the analysis of
water flow dynamics and inundations caused by both natural and anthropic factors
including ice jams.
Detailed information about the topography of the region and the riverbed relief
is necessary for model setup. Water discharges and water levels at the modeling
area boundaries are utilized as the model input. As a result of modeling, one can
determine the flooded areas and obtain a spatial distribution of mean vertical flow
River Flood Forecasting System: An Interdisciplinary Approach 87
velocities, water surface levels, and depths at any point of the channel and the
inundated floodplain.
3 Models Selection
The design of OFFS implies, as was noted above, that no universal model exists to
describe flood development processes at river sections that are different in length
and configuration. When choosing hydrodynamic models to solve flood forecasting
problems, it is advisable to implement the multimodel approach: depending on the
length of the monitored section and the presence of initial data, it is possible to
choose between one-dimensional hydrodynamic models for river valley sections of
100–1000 km long and two-dimensional models for sections shorter than 100 km
with wide beds and floodplains, complex configurations, and with various structures
located inside them.
Combined (hybrid, complex, multiscale) computing using one-dimensional and
two-dimensional models can yield a significant effect in effort and fund economy
when investigating and monitoring lengthy river areas.
Therefore, a principal issue is to form a mechanism of choosing the most
adequate model for specific conditions. When building operational flood forecasting
systems, this technology is implemented through the creation of an intelligent
interface, which unites heterogeneous in situ and space-based data and expert
knowledge to be used later for forecasting.
The intelligent interface’s main purpose is to choose and adapt a specific model
to compute water propagation zones and flood depths on the basis of contextual
information (baseline data accuracy, flood dynamics, operational result efficiency,
etc.).
Thus far, the theory, methods, and technologies for the design and imple-
mentation of various model classes (conceptual, mathematical, logical–algebraic,
logical–linguistic, and mixed) of complex objects and complex processes have
been developed [52]. At the same time, quality assessment of models, their
systematization by various classes, and substantiations of the synthesis of new or the
choice from among the existing most preferable models for solving specific applied
problems remain practically unsolved under the current conditions. The topicality
of the above problems is amplified when the object analyzed is described not by one
model but by a polymodel complex, which includes heterogeneous and combined
models, to assess each of which a special system of indicators is necessary [53].
Assessment becomes even more complex if it is necessary to take into account
the time factor, which affects the model quality. This primarily concerns original
objects with significant structural dynamics under the action of various (objective,
subjective, internal, external, etc.) causes [53]. Then, the models used should be
adapted to changing conditions to preserve their accuracy. For this, it is necessary
well in advance, at the stage of model synthesis, to provide the model’s structure and
parameters with additional elements that, when used directly, will make it possible
88 V. Zelentsov et al.
to control the model quality, reducing the sensitivity of its corresponding quality
indicators to changes in the composition, structure, and content of initial data.
Within the theory of model qualimetry and polymodel complexes, which the authors
of this article are developing [52], several technologies of their structural–parametric
adaptation have been designed. One of them, applicable to operational flood
forecasting, is given in Fig. 1. When building OFFS, this technology is implemented
through the creation of an intelligent interface, which unites heterogeneous in situ
and space-based data and expert knowledge to be used later for forecasting.
The diagram given in Fig. 1 shows that, based on the results of modeling quality
assessment in block 6, it is possible to control the selection of models and their
structures (blocks 9 and 10) as well as adjust the model parameters (block 8).
The initial information for control is based on the results of comparing the actual
situation on the flooded areas that comes from block 4 with the results of simulation
and forecasting from block 5. In practice, satellite images of flooded areas are one of
the main data sources that come from block 4 for assessing the quality of modeling.
The intelligent interface main purpose is to choose and adapt a specific model to
simulate water propagation and flood depths on the basis of contextual information
(initial data accuracy, flood dynamics, operational result efficiency, etc.). The meth-
ods and algorithms that are currently being developed intensively within the theory
of evolutionary modeling have been chosen as the scientific basis for the adaptation
Fig. 1 Generalized technology to assess hydrodynamic models and control their quality: (1)
formation of targets and requirements on operational flood forecasting results, (2) input data
(scenarios) acquisition (formation), (3) formation of simulation objectives, (4) simulated system
op op
(object–original Ob<> ), (5) models (Obm< > ) of the analyzed system Ob<> , (6) assessing the quality
of the model (polymodel complexes), (7) model quality control, (8) model parameters control, (9)
model structures control, and (10) changing the model description concept (changing boundaries
within the object–medium pair)
River Flood Forecasting System: An Interdisciplinary Approach 89
The real-time OFFS has been created with the approach described above, and it is
based on the integrated use of in situ and remotely sensed data. This system allows
operational forecasting of the river water levels, discharges, inundation areas, and
depths of flooding and provides prior notification for the citizens in emergency
situations at a geoportal and/or by using mobile devices (smartphones, tablets,
computers). The system contains the following main components (Fig. 2):
• The input data collection and preprocessing components (blue color) provide
input data collection (e.g., satellite images, online hydrological data from
meteorological stations, a digital terrain model) and preprocessing (i.e., primarily
image processing, information filtering, and information fusion).
• Automatic modeling component allows forecasting of water levels, calculation
and forecasting of the water discharge, depths of flooding, and also automatic
modeling of the water spread using hydrodynamic models.
• Post-processing, publishing, and visualization components provide post-
processing of modeling results, output data storage in a database, flood map
vectorization and visualization of inundation areas.
on the river water levels are obtained from a hydrological station; (2) the observed
data are processed, by application of a smoothing with trend extraction, in order
to predict the river water levels in the short term; (3) if necessary, a symbolic
regression-based forecasting model is built which provides water flow discharge
forecasts; (4) water flow discharge data, accompanied by river terrain information,
are processed by an adaptive hydrodynamic model which simulates water flowing
routes and thus provides forecasts on water-covered territories in the river basin,
choice of the hydrodynamic model and its adaptation on the basis of integrated usage
of heterogeneous data comprising remote sensing data and river terrain model, and
execution of calculations; (5) visualization software, used for geo-presentation of
the river simulation results of water flows and inundation areas; and (6) archival of
data and images, satellite images of the current situation and data crowdsourcing
through a geoportal, used to validate and calibrate the hydrodynamic model.
Taking into account the vastness of river floodplains and the typical shortage of
in-situ data, the implementation of the flood forecasting systems implies extensive
use of Earth remote sensing (RS) data. In many cases, RS data are the basis for
flood monitoring. For example, when no gauging stations are available, gauging
stations fail or unforeseen events (such as dike breaches) happen. Georeferenced
and classified satellite data can provide information on flood extent (area) as well as
water levels for large flooded areas [32].
The inclusion of RS data in the flood forecasting systems compensates for the
shortage of in situ data and allows for additional adaptation of the models used. We
may single out the following vectors for implementing RS data in the OFFS design:
Updating cartographic information about the existing infrastructure in river
valleys – the boundaries of settlements in the flood zone, roads, and line structures
that affect the flow structure in floodplains and riverbed configurations. To this end,
high-resolution optical satellite images, obtained, for example, from satellites such
92 V. Zelentsov et al.
It follows from the previously described OFFS composition that the architecture
of the system should ensure flexible interaction of many components, including
the existing and potential software modules based on hydrodynamic models, input
data processing modules, forecast result visualization modules, control modules,
etc. In this respect, it is desirable to build an OFFS on the basis of a service-oriented
architecture [36, 59].
River Flood Forecasting System: An Interdisciplinary Approach 93
OFFS testing in a multimodel mode was performed on the Russian rivers: Oka River
(near Ryazan city), Northern Dvina River along its 100 km long course (from Veliky
Ustyug to Kotlas), and Protva River.
As an example of the methodology described above, we describe in more detail
the case study of Veliky Ustyug on the Northern Dvina River. The town of Veliky
Ustyug, with a population of about 30,000, is situated in the northern part of
European Russia at the confluence of the Sukhona and the Yug into the Northern
Dvina River, which originates from their junction. Veliky Ustyug is an ancient
Russian city, founded in the thirteenth century. The city was flooded repeatedly
during all its history. The recurrent floods are due to snow melting and ice jams. Ice
jams may cause more than 2 m additional water level rise. The last large flood was
observed in May 1998, when more than half of the city and nearby territories were
inundated. Significant floods took place also in April 2013 and in April 2016.
As a basis for modeling water movement, one- and two-dimensional models
of the STREAM-2D software suite (an upgraded version of the River software
package) [46] were selected.
Detailed information on the floodplains topography, with scale 1:25,000 and
1:10,000, was used for the STREAM-2D model setup. Data of the riverbed relief
and water surface slopes were obtained from detailed field surveys organized by
the lab of soil erosion and river channel processes of the Geography Faculty of
Lomonosov Moscow State University.
River Flood Forecasting System: An Interdisciplinary Approach 95
Table 1 Results of STREAM-2D model calibration and validation using remote sensing data for
Veliky Ustyug key study area
Difference Relative error
Discharges of between of modeled
the rivers at simulated and flooded area
their observed in comparison
Spatial confluence water levels at with remote
3
Satellite resolution, (m /s) gauging sensing data
Date image m Sukhona Ug station (cm) (%)
11.05.1998 Resource-01 30 4210 2780 1 7.9
05.05.2012 SPOT-5 10 3200 3900 31 8.5
18.04.2016 Resurs-P 2 3650 3300 15 7,0
from satellite imageries. The difference does not exceed 10% (Fig. 6). The figure
shows that during the simulation, the contours and depths of flooding, as well as
flooded infrastructure objects (red color), are determined and visualized.
Thus, the approach to flood forecasting proposed in this paper, as well as
OFFS realized on the basis of this approach, provides high accuracy of short-
term forecasting. This is achieved, on the one hand, by applying the most accurate
model for each specific section of the river bed and, on the other hand, through
the integrated use of heterogeneous information to select and adjust the model
parameters. An important role among these data is played by RS data, which provide
the calibration of mathematical hydrodynamic models. In fact, the proposed version
of the system construction shows how RS data can be embedded in the functioning
of flood forecasting systems in practice, and thus possibilities of using RS data for
this class of problems may be significantly expanded.
During steps of testing, the approach to OFFS creation on the basis of SOA
was proved to be promising. It provides high system versatility and the possibility
of its geographically distributed construction, since individual modules of the
system are implemented as web services with data exchange between them by
standard protocols. Convenient visualization of results, notification services, and an
automatic mode of operation provide an opportunity for wide practical application
of the described system.
The next steps in the development of OFFS are connected with the use of a wider
set of models and also with automation of RS data selection for modeling, in order
to achieve a correspondence between the parameters of satellite images (spatial
resolution, etc.), digital elevation models, and the characteristics of modeling
accuracy.
Acknowledgments The research described in this chapter is partially supported by the Russian
Foundation for Basic Research (grants 15-07-08391, 15-08-08459, 16-07-00779, 16-08-00510,
16-08-01277, 16-29-09482-Ñfi-i, 16-07-00925, 17-08-00797, 17-06-00108, 17-01-00139, 17-20-
01214), by the Russian Research Foundation (grants 16-19-00199, 17-11-01254), by ITMO
River Flood Forecasting System: An Interdisciplinary Approach 97
Fig. 6 Comparison of the modeling results (a) with the actual outlines (b) of inundation areas
(18.04.2016, Northern Dvina River)
98 V. Zelentsov et al.
University’s grant 074-U01, project 6.1.1 (Peter the Great St. Petersburg Polytechnic University)
supported by Government of Russian Federation, Program STC of Union State “Monitoring-SG”
(project 1.4.1-1), state order of the Ministry of Education and Science of the Russian Federation
№2.3135.2017/K, and state research 0073–2014–0009 and 0073–2015–0007.
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Monitoring Flood Extent and Area Through
Multisensor, Multi-temporal Remote Sensing:
The Strymonas (Greece) River Flood
Abstract Satellite monitoring of flood events at high spatial and temporal res-
olution is considered a difficult problem, mainly due to the lack of data with
sufficient acquisition frequency and timeliness. Typically, cloudy weather condi-
tions associated with floods obstacle the propagation of e.m. waves in the optical
spectral range, forbidding acquisitions by optical sensors. This problem is not
present for longer wavelengths, so that radar imaging sensors are recognized as
viable solutions for long-term flood event monitoring. In selected cases, however,
weather conditions may remain clear for sufficient amounts of time, enabling
monitoring of the evolution of flood events through long time series of satellite
images, both optical and radar. In this contribution, we present a case study of long-
term integrated monitoring of a flood event which affected part of the Strymonas
river basin, a transboundary river with source in Bulgaria, which flows then through
Greece up to the Aegean Sea. The event started at the beginning of April 2015,
due to heavy rain, and the flooded areas lasted up to the beginning of September.
Due to the arid climate characterizing the area in this period of the year, weather
conditions were cloud-free for most of the time interval covering the event. We
collected remotely sensed data, including one high-resolution, X-band, COSMO-
SkyMed and several C-band, Sentinel-1 SAR, and optical Landsat 8 images of
the area. The SAR backscatter and optical NDVI maps were thresholded to obtain
binary flood maps for each day. Threshold values for microwave and optical data
were calibrated by comparing one SAR and one optical image acquired on the same
date. Results allow to draw a multi-temporal map of the flood evolution with high
temporal resolution. The extension of flooded area can also be tracked in time,
allowing post-flood recovery monitoring, as well as to envisage future testing of
evapotranspiration/absorption models.
1 Introduction
The map on the left of Fig. 1 shows the large-scale location of the investigated area.
Table 1 shows the available data used. In the table, image dates are reported in
temporal sequence. Note the availability of both SAR and optical data on the date
of April 4, 2015, although acquired at different times. The L8 image acquired in
February shows no sign of flood and has been used to derive the “normal” river
course extension. Although some of the used frames do not cover entirely the
interest area (red rectangle in Fig. 1), each chosen image covers the total flooded
area at its respective acquisition date.
Maps with all the used data are reproduced in Fig. 2. The partial cloud cover is
visible in many of the optical images. Moreover, as mentioned, some of the images
do not cover completely the black rectangle. Nevertheless, it can be noticed that the
flooded area boundary at each date is completely covered by the image. Absence
of surface water in the uncovered scene areas can be safely assumed, since no
significant rain is recorded in the days following the flood, so that, for instance, since
no standing water can be seen on the southernmost “pool” in the SAR backscatter
S1 image of May 22, then the L8 NDVI image of June 14, and all subsequent ones,
can be safely used even though the southern part is not visible in some of them.
This partial coverage is accounted for during processing by properly masking out
uncovered parts from images (Fig. 3).
SAR images were absolutely calibrated. Then, they were speckle-filtered through
a filter based on a nonlocal paradigm [6], which has been shown to smooth out
homogeneous regions while retaining high resolution over terrain features causing
sharp signal variations, such as man-made point-like or linear features, or, more
appropriately, the sharp edges between water and dry areas. The speckle-filtered 0
images were then precisely geocoded through the range-Doppler algorithm [15];
optical images were radiometrically corrected to obtain ground reflectance values
[3] from which NDVI maps were derived.
Fig. 1 Left: location map. Right: detail map of the test area. Background is a RG combination
(red, red band; green, IR band) of the Landsat 8 optical image acquired on April 4, 2015, when
the flood has the maximum extension. The red rectangle delimits the region of interest; the black
polygon is the mask used to delimit data analysis
104 A. Refice et al.
Fig. 2 Maps of the dataset used. (a) COSMO-SkyMed 0 ; (b–f) Sentinel-1 0 ; (g–s) Landsat 8
NDVI. Images for each sensor are shown in temporal sequence, according to the acquisition dates
reported in Table 1. The black rectangle shows the area of interest
Strymonas (Greece) Flood Monitoring 105
Then, both SAR and optical images were resampled to a common grid with 10 m
spacing in both directions. A buffer zone, visible as a black polygon in the map
at the right of Fig. 1, largely encircling the maximum extent of the flooded area,
was considered around the river course, and values within such area were analyzed.
Figure 4 shows the normalized histograms of the various images, calculated over the
buffer area. As can be seen, despite different acquisition conditions and geometries,
thanks to the absolute calibration and atmospheric correction, and to the use of the
buffer zone reducing the amount of data, all histograms from each given sensor type
have similar behavior, mostly exhibiting a clear bimodal distribution, with a few
histograms having multiple peaks.
Both SAR backscatter and optical NDVI are expected to be low over water areas.
SAR data are sensitive to the roughness of the scattering interface, so that radiation
impinging on a very smooth surface is expected to be reflected mostly in the specular
direction, normally away from the sensor. Optical data scattered from water bodies
contain usually low amounts of infrared radiation, with respect to other spectral
components, so that NDVI, defined as .
NIR
R /=.
NIR C
R /, where
NIR and
R are reflectance values in the near-infrared and red spectral bands, respectively, is
expected to be low on water areas. A separation of water and non-water in such kinds
of data can thus be obtained by simple application of a threshold. Several work have
been devoted to the definition of more or less automated methods to determine such
threshold values. The main problem in this case is given by the typical very different
106 A. Refice et al.
COSMO-SkyMed HI
2015-04-01 Stack
Sennel-1 IW Calibraon
2015-04-04
Nonlocal speckle filtering
2015-04-16 (NLSAR)
2015-04-28
2015-05-22
2015-09-27 Geocoding
Landsat-8
Resampling
2015-02-15
2015-04-04
2015-05-06
2015-06-14 Calibraon
2015-06-23 (DN -> TOS reflectance)
2015-07-09
2015-07-16
i.landsat.toar (GRASS 7.2)
2015-07-25
2015-08-01
2015-08-10
NDVI computaon
2015-09-02
2015-09-11
2015-09-18 Resampling
populations of the two pixel classes, which alters the histogram appearance, often
making extremely difficult to discern a proper threshold value. Several approaches
have been proposed to deal with this problem [2, 12].
In our case, the use of the buffer area encircling the maximum extent of the
flood strongly limits the abovementioned problems, which may be due to different
numbers of flooded and non-flooded pixels in each data sample, so that a discernible
common feature of all the curves shown in Fig. 4 is a clear minimum at values
around 15 dB for SAR 0 and around 0:1 for the NDVI. This kind of common
behavior allows to assume that a single threshold value can be used (for each sensor
type) to separate water-covered areas in all the images, thus greatly simplifying the
data processing step.
To determine the best values for the thresholds to be used for the radar and optical
data, we observe that we have both types of data acquired on the single date of
April 4, 2015, at only a few hours difference. Assuming thus the ground truth to
be practically the same for both these acquisitions, we seek the threshold values
around the histogram minima which maximize the agreement between the flood
maps obtained by the two sensors, shown in Fig. 5. In practice, we consider a grid
of threshold value pairs, spanning intervals between 15 and 17 dB with a step of
0.1 dB, for SAR, and between 0:1 and 0:1 with a step of 0:005, for the NDVI. For
Strymonas (Greece) Flood Monitoring 107
0.035
CSK - 2015-04-01
0.03 S1 - 2015-04-04
S1 - 2015-04-16
0.025 S1 - 2015-04-28
S1 - 2015-05-22
S1 - 2015-09-07
0.02
pdf
0.015
0.01
0.005
0
-25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0
0
(dB)
L8 - 2015-02-15
0.03
L8 - 2015-04-04
L8 - 2015-05-06
L8 - 2015-06-14
0.025 L8 - 2015-06-23
L8 - 2015-07-09
L8 - 2015-07-16
0.02 L8 - 2015-07-25
L8 - 2015-08-01
L8 - 2015-08-10
pdf
0.015 L8 - 2015-09-02
L8 - 2015-09-11
L8 - 2015-09-18
0.01
0.005
0
-1 -0.8 -0.6 -0.4 -0.2 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1
NDVI
each pair of thresholds, we compare the SAR and the optical binary flood map and
compute a merit figure, given by Cohen’s K value [4], to determine their agreement.
As shown in Fig. 6, the K values calculated over the grid of pairs of SAR and NDVI
thresholds form a smooth surface, with a single, broad maximum, located around
the value pair [15:7 dB ( 0 ), 0:06 (NDVI)]. Given the relative smoothness of the K
surface (see Fig. 6), we do not seek for finer positioning of the maximum and use the
abovementioned pair of thresholds corresponding to the maximum K value to derive
binary maps for each date. We use the derived 0 and NDVI optimal thresholds over
108 A. Refice et al.
Fig. 5 (Left) Landsat 8 and (right) Sentinel-1 thresholded maps for the common date of April 4,
2015
X: -15.7
0.92 Y: 0.06
Z: 0.9228
0.91
K
0.9
0.1
0.05 -15
0 -15.5
-16
-0.05 -16.5
NDVI threshold -0.1 -17
0
threshold (dB)
Fig. 6 Illustration of the method used to choose the best thresholds for the SAR backscatter
and optical NDVI functions. The labeled point is the maximum of the surface, with the shown
coordinates corresponding to the 0 threshold (X), the NDVI threshold (Y), and max(K) (Z)
all the SAR and optical images, respectively, including both the maps for the date
of April 4, 2015, each with its optimal value, thus fully exploiting their slightly
different acquisition times.
Strymonas (Greece) Flood Monitoring 109
3 Results
The images help to reconstruct the post event flood recovery. The inundation affects
the lowland areas, depressed with respect to the main channel. The areas remained
flooded for long time, due to this particular geomorphological characteristic of this
part of the river basin. The extreme rainfall occurred in the Bulgarian part of the
basin, and subsequently the flood wave interested the depressed floodplain areas,
which were inundated although the rainfall in the Greek part of the basin was not
particularly intense.
The sequence of binary images constitutes a rather peculiar database. The time
evolution of the flooded area can be followed throughout the image sequence.
Figure 7 shows a combination of all the binary maps. Such combined map is
obtained by simply summing up the 1/0 binary images of each date, thus assigning
increasing indices to pixels being inundated in increasing numbers of dates with
respect to the total time series. It is possible to note how peripheral areas are reached
by the flood wave only on a few days around the maximum, while some pixels, close
to the river course, stay flooded for most of the investigated dates, forming probably
ponds which take long times to absorb and/or evaporate.
The total area occupied by flooded pixels in the region of interest can be
computed and plotted in a graph, showing its evolution in time. The graph is shown
Fig. 7 Multisensor, multi-temporal flood extent map. Areas with different colors are flooded until
the corresponding date on the colorbar
110 A. Refice et al.
10 7
7
CSK
6
S1
Flooded area (m2)
5 L8
DEM simulation
4
0
Mar-15 Apr-15 May-15 Jun-15 Jul-15 Aug-15 Sep-15 Oct-15
Date
Fig. 8 Temporal trend of the flooded area. Symbols stand for information from different sensors.
CSK COSMO-SkyMed, S1 Sentinel-1; L8 Landsat 8. Dashed line shows simulated data from the
DEM (© JAXA)
in Fig. 8. The trend of this plot shows a relatively sharp increase in total area,
from around 0 in February up to a maximum area of more than 6500 ha. Reported
maximal flooded area by the Copernicus site (www.copernicus.eu) is 6576 ha, in
very good agreement with the one estimated here. Data of this kind offer thus
a rather novel tool to investigate phenomena such as inundation dynamics and
evapotranspiration/infiltration processes, at an unprecedented spatial and temporal
resolution.
For instance, we used data from the © JAXA Global World DEM, obtained from
ALOS PRISM data [16, 17], to attempt understanding and reproducing the flood
event dynamics. Figure 9 shows the DEM height maps. Missing data are visible
in the upper part of the area, but the missing locations do not contribute to the
flood area computation. Note, instead, the increased height recorded along the river
course, which denotes the presence of elevated river levees. This is confirmed by
close inspection of optical images. It can be noticed how the lowland area in the
DEM map appears similar in shape to the maximum inundated area as visible
from the SAR S1 and optical L8 images of April 4, 2015 (see Fig. 2b, h). We
could then hypothesize that the flood phenomenon was controlled by the particular
geomorphological conditions that determined the long-lasting presence of water
on the floodplain. This seems justified by computing the ROC curve obtained
by varying the height threshold and using the maximum flood extent binary map
obtained from the L8 NDVI map in Fig. 2h as score (see Fig. 10). The area under
the ROC curve is 0.92, thus suggesting a good prediction capability of the simple
height threshold for the flood level.
To check the consistence of the mentioned conceptual process model for the
flood event, we determined first the most likely height level reached by water, by
computing, from the ROC curve, the optimal threshold, defined as that minimizing
Strymonas (Greece) Flood Monitoring 111
Fig. 9 ASTER DEM height map in hill-shaded view (© JAXA), draped on an optical image
(© Google)
0.2
ROC curve
Opt. threshold
0
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1
FPR
the misclassification cost [10], which results to be 4 m. Note that the DEM data
is recorded in integer values, so no better accuracy is allowed in the threshold
definition. We then simulated a progressive, steady decrease of the water level,
linearly in time from the date of the maximum extent (April 4) to the end of the
112 A. Refice et al.
monitoring (September 2015), computing the total extents of the DEM area below
each decreasing threshold. The resulting curve is plotted as a dashed line in Fig. 8.
As can be seen, the overall agreement of the two trends is rather good, despite
actual remotely sensed data show several oscillations with respect to the model.
This may depend on several factors, e.g., the possible occurrence of rain throughout
the monitored period – rain data are not available to us at the time of this writing –
or water pumping in selected areas.
Acknowledgements The work is partly supported by the Apulia Space Project (PON-REC
2007–2013, C.N. PON03PE_00067_6). Sentinel-1 imagery is provided by the European Space
Agency (ESA). COSMO-SkyMed imagery is provided by the Italian Space Agency (ASI) in the
framework of Project (ID 2888/5229) “Spectral and temporal coherence for vessel detection and
flood monitoring.” DEM data © Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA).
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Adaptive SAR Image Processing Techniques
to Support Flood Monitoring from Earth
Observation Data
Abstract This chapter addresses the exploitation of Earth Observation (EO) data
in the operational chains for flood monitoring and post-event damage assessment,
focusing specifically on the task of post-flood mapping. In this context, this work
provides a general review of our research into image processing techniques with an
emphasis on adaptive methods applied to synthetic aperture radar (SAR) images.
These procedures involve no restrictions on SAR acquisition parameters (frequency
band, polarization, spatial resolution, and observation angle). Depending on the
data availability, different maps can be produced. When multi-temporal images
are available, two different products can be generated: fast-ready flood maps;
and detailed flood maps;. The former is a color composite image that enhances
the visualization of changes that have occurred after an event. The latter is a
more detailed map obtained after a segmentation process. In contrast, when only
an image acquired on a single date is available, a water body map can be generated.
All these maps are intended as support for institutional interventions. Since only
methods of segmentation and numerical data fusion are applied, such results are not
final classification products. They are symbolic and not semantic maps, generated
using fast and simple procedures that can be used as input for a classification
purpose or employed by the user in other application tasks. The experiments
described here were performed on real SAR images related to different datasets. The
images were acquired from COSMO-SkyMed (CSK) and RADARSAT satellites.
1 Introduction
Hydrological natural disasters such as floods are considered one of the most frequent
calamities. Floods can have enormous human impact and can cause high levels of
economic damage [1]. Different causes can contribute to flood events, including
heavy rainfall, levee breaches, or dam failures. Therefore, during or after these
events, a well-timed monitoring system is essential to help manage the situation.
In this framework, Earth Observation (EO) data acquired from space-based
satellites can provide valuable and timely information that can be exploited to
monitor and quantify the damage. Moreover, knowing flood extents is important
for calibrating and validating hydraulic models [2]; detailed flood maps can also be
assimilated into models.
Both optical and radar data can be employed as important tools for flood
detection. The use of optical images is limited by weather conditions, in particular,
by the presence of clouds. In contrast, synthetic aperture radar (SAR) images allow
observation of wide areas with short revisit times and high resolution across all-
weather and lighting conditions.
In general, flood detection algorithms aim to identify areas with low backscatter
in SAR images. These regions behave as specular reflectors and appear as dark areas
in a SAR image.
The authors of [3] include a discussion of backscattering responses and radar
signatures of flooded terrain and observe that these common techniques may fail
when vegetation protrudes from the water surface or when flooded urban areas must
be detected. In these cases, both specular reflection and multiple reflections of the
radar energy may occur. Furthermore, producing maps of bare terrain or completely
inundated areas can become a challenging task. Finally, the presence of wind may
increase the roughness of the water’s surface, making it appear brighter and causing
missed detections of flooded areas.
The main processing steps that may be used to generate flood maps from
SAR images (not necessary in the following ordered sequence) are calibration,
co-registration, feature extraction, segmentation, classification, and multi-temporal
image analysis techniques.
The major goal of the work described in this chapter is to provide a general
review of our recent research in image processing techniques devoted to the analysis
of SAR intensity images in the context of flood monitoring [4] when neither
calibration nor a model is used. The underlying basic concepts deal with the purpose
of information extraction that requires minimal use of models, parameters, and
threshold values with the objective of making automatic and optimizing the major
image processing steps. To this end, methods that are unsupervised, adaptive, and
independent from the order of analysis are proposed and applied, starting at the very
beginning of the image processing chain and including histogram transformation,
de-speckling filtering, segmentation, and multi-temporal image analysis.
Adaptive SAR Image Processing for Flood Monitoring from EO data 117
2 Related Works
Several methods dealing with flood monitoring have been published in the lit-
erature. These studies mainly focus on simple visual interpretation, histogram
thresholding, image segmentation and classification, image texture approaches, and
multi-temporal change detection methods (see, e.g., the references reported in [7]).
118 S.G. Dellepiane and L. Gemme
3 Methodology
As described earlier, the available EO data may include different contexts concern-
ing flood monitoring. SAR image properties such as speckle noise, radar shadow,
and multiple bounce effects can create unwanted artifacts and degrade the contrast,
which makes image interpretation difficult. Therefore, data preparation through
adaptive image processing techniques is necessary to improve the input for the
subsequent steps, which include image segmentation and data fusion.
After data acquisition, operations such as calibration, geo-location, and orthorec-
tification of SAR image data are typically performed to improve the overall map
accuracy [18]. Moreover, speckle, which is intrinsically related to the backscattering
signal, must be reduced using appropriate filters, and enhancing the data contrast can
also improve the results of subsequent phases.
Depending on data availability, different products can be generated to detect flood
areas and produce maps as support to authorities.
When both pre- and post-event images of the interested region are available, two
processing products are proposed here that might either be used as flood maps or
serve as the basis for flood map generation. These products are based on fusing the
information content from both images. The first product (fast-ready flood map) is
Adaptive SAR Image Processing for Flood Monitoring from EO data 119
Land cover
Map
Pre-processing
Pre-processing B
Pre-event
Histogram transformation
Multi-temporal
Speckle filtering
Images
Co-registration SYMBOLIC DATA FUSION
R Binary Map
Pre-event
Detailed
Flood Map
Segmentation
Binary Map
B
Post-event
Fig. 1 The operation chain of the proposed methodology for flood monitoring
based on an RGB color composite, while the second product (detailed flood map)
employs a segmentation algorithm.
When only one post-event image is available, it is possible to identify the water
present in the image through segmentation techniques.
The operational chain for flood monitoring and post-event damage assessment
includes the following technical steps:
• Histogram transformation
• Speckle filtering
• Graph-based segmentation
• Multi-temporal analysis
Figure 1 presents a block diagram of a general processing chain that extends
from SAR data (input) to products (output). As shown, the process includes both a
numerical and a symbolic data fusion.
3.1 Preprocessing
involves two main phases, internal and external calibration, which include several
operations. The entire procedure may be affected by measurement errors [19, 20].
In particular, errors can occur for the fluctuations in the transmitted power, receiver
gains, system noise, and the illumination pattern of the antenna. To help solve the
problem of performing a precise calibration step, we proposed a novel approach
in [21] named “cross-calibration/normalization” that includes histogram truncation
and equalization steps. The image histogram is clipped at gray levels higher than the
95th percentile, and then, an equalization step able to match the two histograms into
a common uniform distribution model is performed. A generalization of this work
was subsequently proposed by Nazir et al. [22] and Amitrano et al. [23].
Speckle is responsible for the granular aspect of coherent image systems and
is caused by coherent processing of backscattered signals from multiple targets
distributed within the resolution cell. Speckle is often considered a multiplicative
noise, but it also contains significant information regarding the scene under obser-
vation. In the SAR community, various filters have been proposed for de-speckling
purposes, such as those of Lee and Frost (and their enhanced versions), Kuan,
Gamma MAP [24], and most recently, the speckle reducing anisotropic diffusion
(SRAD) filter [25].
In the experiments, the SRAD filter has been applied because it preserves edges
and information content. In addition, it overcomes some limitations of the classic
filters, such as the sensitivity to the shape and size of the filter window and the
capability to not enhance the edges. The SRAD filter is also adaptive and does not
utilize thresholds. It depends on only two parameters: the number of iterations, n,
and a “smoothing time step” parameter, œ, ranging between 0 and 1. We recently
proposed a novel method to evaluate the performance of speckle filters, including
some new statistical metrics and a new frequency-based approach. The results of this
evaluation method showed that the SRAD filter produces the best results compared
with several traditional filters [26].
When only a single SAR image acquired on a post-flood date is available, a binary
image product to identify water areas present in the scene can be generated.
This water body map can be used as a starting point for regional investigations.
When a land cover map is available, it can be combined with the water body map to
differentiate permanent water from flooded areas [4].
The presence of water can be localized through segmentation algorithms, which
can be manual or automatic. In this work, we propose and briefly describe a
semiautomatic approach. The segmentation method is an unsupervised process
based on graph theory [27]. The majority of SAR segmentation techniques are
manual or semiautomatic and supervised, with the necessity of a training set for
different radar bands, image mode, and polarization [28]. In addition, they are
based on statistical models and thresholding approaches [29], and they are affected
Adaptive SAR Image Processing for Flood Monitoring from EO data 121
where .s; vi / is the path from the source to a generic vertex vi and ws is the vertex
weight, is generated.
Finally, to obtain a binary map, a cut of the graph is performed. By cutting
the edges that show a cost larger than a given value (threshold), it is possible to
obtain a subgraph G(V 0 , E0 ) representing a connected component corresponding
to the ROI. The cost function and the criterion of graph visit guarantee that all
vertices belonging to the ROI have a good path connecting them with the root
in terms of intensity independent of spatial distance. When a tree shows a large
difference between two consecutive levels, the paths have exceeded a local gradient.
By changing the level of the graph cut, the tree can be interpreted as a multilevel
segmentation. By choosing a low cut level, a small and very homogeneous region
of interest can be obtained (since few cost values are taken into account); on
the contrary, by choosing a high cut level, a large region of interest is extracted,
potentially even covering the entire volume and with a more heterogeneous texture
(since the ROI includes many cost values).
The first product, the fast-ready flood map, consists of an RGB composition that
helps enhance the changes in an image. It is automatically generated without
user interaction, so it can support authorities during their initial interventions. The
second product, the detailed flood map, is more accurate and involves two steps:
a segmentation algorithm and an RGB association. Both these products can be
122 S.G. Dellepiane and L. Gemme
.i j/
Diff .i; j/ D 128 C
2
where i is the pixel value of the pre-event image and j is the pixel value of the
post-event image. It follows from the definition that the image of difference has no
negative values.
The composite image has the following characteristics [21]:
1. Low-backscattering areas from both images are displayed in dark red;
2. No-change, high-backscattering regions are rendered in cyan;
3. Results from decreased backscattering are rendered in magenta;
4. Changes due to an increase in backscattering are displayed in green.
Figure 2 shows a simple representation of this color association criterion, where
the circle corresponds to the pre-event condition and the square is related to the
post-event condition. Dark gray level means low backscattering, whereas light gray
level means high backscattering. The intersections of these shapes represent the four
possible cases previously described.
Detailed flood maps are generated after completing the image segmentation
process described in Sect. 3.2. After applying the algorithm, a symbolic data
fusion is carried out. The binary map of the pre-event image is associated with
the green channel, whereas the binary map of the post-event image is associated
with the red channel. The result is a color image in which yellow corresponds to
permanent water (water areas identified in both images), red represents the low-
backscattering areas present only after the event (floodwaters), and green identifies
the low-backscattering areas present only before the event.
Figure 3 shows a schematic representation of the aforementioned color associa-
tion.
4 Application
The experiments considered three case studies. Specifically, two flood events are
considered. The former occurred in an area between Liguria and Tuscany (Italy), on
October 2011. During that event, caused by a strong precipitation, about 542 mm
of rain fell in just 6 h. Therefore, the Magra and the Vara rivers overflowed causing
heavy damages in different towns. The latter took place in El Salvador in 2011,
during the autumn months. Strong rains hit Central America forcing the authorities
to declare a state of emergency and to ask for international aid. Many areas near the
Lempa River were evacuated.
In addition, a dataset of multi-temporal images representing a rice paddy area
that lies between Piedmont and Lombardy (Italy) is analyzed. The considered area
is flat and rich of rivers and canals that allow abundant land irrigation, essential
for the cultivation of rice. Because of their agricultural systems, rice fields can be
used as a flood event simulation by considering “dry paddies” as similar to preflood
conditions and “flooded paddies” as similar to post-flood conditions.
In this section, the considered datasets are first presented, and then, some
experimental results are shown and discussed.
124 S.G. Dellepiane and L. Gemme
Table 1 Dataset of multi-temporal images of the flood event that occurred in Liguria, on October
25, 2011
Name Acquisition date Acquisition time Look side Orbit direction
CSK 1 13/5/2011 17:32:01 R Descending
CSK 2 26/10/2011 17:13:03 R Descending
4.1 Datasets
Regarding the flood event that occurred on October 25, 2011, in Liguria, near the
Magra River, a multi-temporal dataset consisting of two images is available (see
Table 1): one before and one after the event. The images were acquired by the
CSK constellation in StripMap HIMAGE mode and provided as geocoded terrain
corrected, GTC_B level 1D products.
For the flood that occurred in El Salvador in October 2011, images acquired
by different sensors were analyzed. A multi-temporal pair consisting of two
RADARSAT images and a single-date image from the CSK mission (see Table 2)
are available.
Concerning the multi-temporal pair, the available data were acquired on Decem-
ber 25, 2001, and October 22, 2011, respectively. Therefore, we made a comparison
between a historical image and an image acquired during the period of strong rains,
in order to highlight the changes. The image data are provided in two different
product formats, SAR Georeferenced Fine (SGF) and SAR Systematic Geocoded
(SSG), respectively. Both images are acquired in HH polarization.
The CSK image was acquired in StripMap HIMAGE modality on October 22,
2011, and provided as GTC_B product. The geometric resolution (both ground
range and azimuth) is 5 m. The image polarization is HH.
The dataset representing rice fields consists of three pairs of images, each
composed of a pre-event (2010) and one of three post-event (2011) acquisitions. The
images were acquired from the CSK satellite constellation in StripMap HIMAGE
mode (GTC_B product, level 1D). The geometric resolution (both ground range
and azimuth) is 5 m. For the experiments, only the pair Pre_A – Post_3A has been
employed, because the greater the interval between the times of image acquisition,
the greater the differences that can be observed. For further information, Table 3
shows the main features of the whole dataset.
Adaptive SAR Image Processing for Flood Monitoring from EO data 125
Table 3 Dataset of multi-temporal CSK images acquired in Piedmont and representing paddy
fields
Name Acquisition date Beam off-nadir angle (ı ) Polarization Look side Orbit direction
Pre_A 04/10/2010 24.13 HH R Ascending
Post_1A 27/05/2011 48.2 HH R Ascending
Post_2A 10/06/2011 38.56 HH R Ascending
Post_3A 16/06/2011 24.13 HH R Ascending
This section presents and discusses some of the results of the operational chain,
obtained after applying the proposed methods to the datasets introduced in the
previous section.
The first case study refers to the flood event occurred in Liguria on October 25,
2011. Figure 4 displays the SAR image acquired after the considered event, with
the analyzed area evidenced by the red rectangle. Figure 5 shows the detailed view
of the confluence of the Magra River with the Vara River (near La Spezia), acquired
on May 13, 2011 (Fig. 5a), and on October 26, 2011 (Fig. 5b). By looking at the
original images, it can be immediately noticed that the river is very swollen. The
fast-ready map (Fig. 5c) helps noticeably in highlighting and revealing the flooded
areas, mainly near the river (magenta color), compared to the other regions.
126 S.G. Dellepiane and L. Gemme
Fig. 5 Multi-temporal images of the flood that occurred near La Spezia (a) before and (b) after
the flood event. (c) The corresponding fast-ready map
The second case study concerns the flood event that occurred in El Salvador. In
October 2011, heavy rains from a tropical depression caused the break of banks in
several points of Lempa River. One of the hardest hit areas includes the province
of Usulután, in the southeast of the Country. In this section, we analyzed some of
these zones close to the Lempa River, the Lake Suchitlán Cerrón Grande and the
Jiquilisco Bay. More details about the areas affected by flooding can be found in the
document [32].
The Lempa River overflowed in several places; therefore, we analyzed its path
with greater attention.
Figure 6 shows the multi-temporal pair of images with three highlighted areas,
that have been analyzed in detail (red, yellow and green rectangles).
Figure 7 displays the detail in the yellow rectangle, near the coast, whereas Fig. 8
shows the detail in the green rectangle. In both cases, in the fast-ready flood maps,
it is evident the presence of several points where the river overflowed (in magenta
color).
In addition to the areas along the path of the river previously analyzed, observing
Fig. 6, it is evident that a change occurred also in the reservoir or Lake Suchitlán
Cerrón Grande (see red rectangle). This is the largest lake in El Salvador, and it was
formed with the creation of the Hydroelectric power plant of Cerrón Grande in the
Lempa River. Figure 9 shows a detailed view over the lake Suchitlán Cerrón Grande
Adaptive SAR Image Processing for Flood Monitoring from EO data 127
Fig. 6 A multi-temporal pair of images acquired from the RADARSAT satellites, representing an
area of El Salvador acquired on (a) December 2001 and on (b) October 2011
Fig. 7 A detail of the Lempa River, near the coast, (a) in a normal situation and (b) after strong
rains. (c) The corresponding fast-ready map
Fig. 8 A detail of the Lempa River, (a) in a normal situation and (b) after strong rains. (c) The
corresponding fast-ready map
128 S.G. Dellepiane and L. Gemme
Fig. 9 Detailed views representing the lake Suchitlán Cerrón Grande (a) in a normal situation
and (b) after a period of strong rains. The second row shows the (c) pre- and (d) post-event
segmentation contours overlaid on the original images, and the third row shows the two proposed
products: (e) the detailed map and (f) the fast-ready map
of the images shown in Fig. 6, acquired on December 2001 and October 2011,
respectively (Fig. 9a, b). Because a multi-temporal pair of images was available,
both products of the proposed method can be generated.
After the manual assignment of six seed points placed inside the water areas,
the segmentation algorithm starts, and two binary images are obtained. For a better
visualization, the contours of the segmented images are overlaid on the original
image (Fig. 9c, d). Then, the two binary maps are associated to the green and red
colors, generating the detailed flood map (Fig. 9e). The yellow regions correspond
to water in both areas (permanent water). Areas in green color correspond to low
backscattering in the pre-event image, whereas areas in red color correspond to low
backscattering in the post-event image.
The fast-ready flood map (Fig. 9f) focuses attention on the extent of the flooded
areas while enhancing the changes that have occurred (as well as indicating stable
water). In particular, areas in green and magenta color indicate changes occurred
after the event. The green color corresponds to areas where the backscattering signal
Adaptive SAR Image Processing for Flood Monitoring from EO data 129
is increased (probably due to the vegetation or water areas from the first date that
were dry on the second date). The magenta color is related to areas where the
backscattering is decreased (possible flooded zones).
Thanks to both products, it is possible to highlight the areas where changes
occurred. The detailed map allows to better visualize these areas (as indicated by
the white arrows in Fig. 9e, in correspondence of the dam in the lower part and of
agricultural fields in the upper part).
Specifically, the fast-ready map is a raster map, whereas the detailed map is
a vector map. In fact, the detailed map allows subsequent processing such as the
contour identification, the generation of a vector map, and the computation of some
measurements, for instance, related to the surface.
Finally, Fig. 10a shows the original CSK single-date image, acquired on October
22, 2011, at 11:24, with a focus on the Jiquilisco Bay (see blue rectangle). This
area is located on the southeast Pacific coast, in the Department of Usulután, and
is a reserve which includes the largest mangroves in El Salvador and several bays,
canals, and forests. In addition, it has a relevant importance in the prevention of
natural disasters, such as floods and earthquakes.
During the flooding event of October 2011, Jiquilisco was the municipality with
the largest number of displaced persons, 30% of its total population [32].
Figures 10b, c show, respectively, a detailed view of the Jiquilisco Bay and the
corresponding water body map, after applying the segmentation method described
in Sect. 3.2. For the segmentation, eight seed points have been utilized to generate
the cost image, and finally, a cut of the tree has provided the binary map.
In this case, the “water class” includes both permanent water (such as rivers) and
changed areas (such as floodwaters). This preliminary result can later be integrated
with a land cover map or with a priori information about the area under observation.
Figure 11 displays details of rice paddy fields near the Po River from the third
dataset and some intermediate processing results. Figures 11a, b show the multi-
temporal image pair acquired on October 4, 2010 (Pre_A of Table 3), and June 16,
2011 (Post_3A of Table 3), respectively. Figures 11c, d show preprocessed images
after applying the histogram transformation and the SRAD filter with n D 5 and
œ D 0.8. As can be observed, speckle is reduced and contrast is enhanced.
Finally, Figs. 11e, f show the generated fast-ready maps; the former was obtained
applying the color association explained in Fig. 2 (Sect. 3.3) to the original images
without any elaboration, whereas the latter is the result after applying the same
color association to the processed images (filtering and histogram truncation). The
dark red color represents permanent water such as rivers or lakes (weak scatter)
on both dates. The cyan regions correspond to unchanged no-water areas such as
cities (strong scatter). The magenta color indicates decreased backscattering, which
can indicate where the water level has risen to cover the rice plants. The green
130 S.G. Dellepiane and L. Gemme
Fig. 10 (a) The original image CSK image acquired on October 22, 2011. (b) The detailed view
of the Jiquilisco Bay and c the corresponding binary map
5 Conclusions
Flood monitoring and detection are important aspects of providing support for civil
protection and other authorities. In this context, EO data can play an important role,
Adaptive SAR Image Processing for Flood Monitoring from EO data 131
Fig. 11 Some experimental results from the dataset representing rice paddy fields. (a, b) Original
CSK images acquired on October 4, 2010 (pre-event), and June 16, 2011 (post-event), respectively;
(c, d) the previous images, after applying histogram transformation and de-speckle filtering; (e)
fast-ready map starting from the original images, without any elaboration; (f) fast-ready map after
applying the histogram transformation and the de-speckle filtering to the original images
especially the SAR images that allow continuous and effective observations of the
Earth.
In this chapter, various image processing techniques have been proposed to
support flood monitoring and damage assessment. These techniques can adapt to the
image content and are independent of the image acquisition mode, spatial resolution,
polarization, and other parameters. In particular, an operational chain targeted
toward flood mapping is proposed. Depending on data availability, three possible
products are suggested. These products are not classification maps, since we applied
symbolic associations; they are intermediate products intended to provide benefit to
the authorities to support interventions or to be used as input for subsequent model-
based systems.
132 S.G. Dellepiane and L. Gemme
When only an image from a single date is available, a water body map is
generated. In this case, the result is a bipartition of the image into water and no-
water areas. It can be considered as a preliminary result that can be integrated with
a land use map or with other information.
The second approach starts from a multi-temporal pair of images of the same
ground area and results in a fast-ready flood map consisting of a color composite
image that provides a fast and easy way to identify the changes that occurred after
an event. The third approach, also based on multi-temporal data, is generated after an
initial graph-based segmentation process and results in detailed flood maps. These
are more precise maps that highlight both steady (permanent) water and changes.
This last product can be used as an additional information layer in geographical
information systems for event management. Furthermore, the detailed flood maps
can be assimilated into complex hydrological prevision models to take advantage of
the EO data.
Acknowledgments This work is framed in the context of the “OPERA—Civil protection from
floods” pilot project funded by the Italian Space Agency in cooperation with the Italian Department
for Civil Protection.
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Flood Mapping in Vegetated and Urban Areas
and Other Challenges: Models and Methods
Abstract Floods are the most frequent weather disasters in the world and the most
costly in terms of economic losses. Mapping flood extension is fundamental to
ascertain the damage and for relief organization. Spaceborne synthetic aperture
radar (SAR) systems represent a powerful tool to monitor floods because of their
all-weather capability, the very high spatial resolution of the new generation of
instruments, and the short revisit time of the present and future satellite constel-
lations. However, mapping flooded vegetated and urban areas still represents a
challenging problem.
Modeling different targets both in the presence and in the absence of flood
water is a very complex task. In the first part of the chapter we review these
challenging conditions, showing their potential effects on radar data and in particular
on COSMO-SkyMed images. In some cases the potential of electromagnetic models
to predict the radar response is shown.
A second part of the chapter illustrates a number of strategies one can exploit,
with examples showing the achievable performances with respect to a simple
mapping of dark areas in the SAR image.
N. Pierdicca ()
Department of Information Engineering, Electronics and Telecommunications, Sapienza
University of Rome, Rome, Italy
e-mail: nazzareno.pierdicca@uniroma1.it
L. Pulvirenti
CIMA Research Foundation, Savona, Italy
M. Chini
Luxembourg Institute of Science and Technology, Belvaux, Luxembourg
1 Introduction
Floods are the most frequent weather disasters in the world and the most costly
in terms of economic losses. Mapping flood extension is fundamental to ascertain
the damage and for relief organization. Spaceborne synthetic aperture radar (SAR)
systems represent a powerful tool to monitor floods because of their all-weather
capability, the very high spatial resolution of the new generation of instruments, and
the short revisit time of the present and future satellite constellations.
The main mechanism producing a high contrast in the radar image between
flooded and non-flooded terrain is the specular reflection from standing water
leading to a very low radar backscatter. However, the radar signatures of the
Earth surface are often ambiguous, depending on several factors (e.g., structure
and geometry of the target, presence, and type of vegetation) that are generally
unknown. For instance, mapping flooded vegetated and urban areas represents a
challenging problem. Other challenges that may be encountered are related to
surface topography (e.g., false alarms due to shadows), to particular land covers
(e.g., wet snow, very dry soils), and to atmospheric conditions (heavy precipitation
when radar frequency is high, or high wind). In this chapter, we review these
challenging conditions and explain in an intuitive manner the scattering mechanisms
that affect the radar response. The literature about electromagnetic models able to
predict quantitatively the microwave response of microwave sensors is reviewed. In
addition, we present some methods developed to cope with these problems as well
as case studies where these methods were successfully exploited.
The capability to detect and monitor floods using microwave sensors originates from
the very high sensitivity of the microwave interaction with natural media to the
presence of water in the media itself. Liquid water is a highly dissipative medium
with large values of dielectric constant. The latter is determined by the combined
effect of dielectric relaxation of water molecular dipoles and ohmic losses in the
presence of electric conductivity. In fact, water modifies the dielectric properties of
the earth surface (e.g., it increases the permittivity of the soil) but also its geometric
characteristics (e.g., the roughness of the surface in the presence of standing water
as compared to that of soil).
The major mechanism producing a high contrast in the radar image between
flooded and non-flooded terrain is the predominant specular reflection from the
smooth water surface having high permittivity, as compared to the diffuse scattering
from a rough and dry soil, as depicted in Fig. 1. Specifically, the smooth water
surface covering the terrain reflects the impinging radar signal mainly in the specular
Flood Mapping Challenges: Models and Methods 137
Fig. 1 Scattering mechanisms determining the radar signature of a flooded bare terrain for low
(left) and high (right) incidence angle
direction (i.e., the direction forming an angle with respect to the perpendicular to
the surface equal to that of the incidence wave). This produces a sharp scattering
pattern around this direction and a very low backscatter measured by a monostatic
radar, which implies a dark tone in the radar image. Conversely, the rough non-
flooded terrain scatters the signal in many different directions and may produce a
higher scattering coefficient ( 0 ) in the backward direction too, which determines a
brighter image tone. This mechanism is therefore driven mainly by the difference in
roughness between standing water and terrain. However, the different permittivity
plays also a significant role. In simple terms, the higher permittivity of the standing
water increases the contrast between the electromagnetic wave impedance of the
upper media (air) and that of the terrain. This implies that the total fraction of
reflected power (i.e., the so-called surface albedo) increases with respect to that
of dry soil. This effect has a strong impact on the surface emissivity, i.e., one
minus the surface albedo, according to the Kirchhoff principle. The presence of
water increases the surface albedo and thus significantly decreases the emissivity
and the natural thermal emission detected, e.g., by a microwave radiometer (i.e.,
the so-called brightness temperature). In a radar image, although the albedo of the
water surface is larger, the scattered energy is predominantly directed in the specular
direction, and then the image taken by a monostatic radar appears dark. Note that
the situation may change with a bistatic radar, if the scattered signal is observed in
a direction very different from the one of the illuminating antenna. Moreover, when
illuminating a rough surface, the amount of electromagnetic energy not reflected
back in the upper hemisphere goes across the surface boundary. It is of minor interest
for the imaging radar, as it is generally dissipated into the soil, unless there are
inhomogeneities or stratifications that produce some volume scattering.
In practice, there is always a mixture of coherent reflection in the specular
direction and incoherent diffuse scattering in any direction, as even standing
water is not perfectly smooth. Considering the irradiation pattern from a rough
surface, including coherent specular and diffuse incoherent components, it can
138 N. Pierdicca et al.
be demonstrated that the contrast between dark flooded areas and bright rough
bare soil is generally higher for larger incidence angles, as schematically depicted
in Fig. 1 [62]. Put simply, the scattering from a smooth surface decreases more
sharply as a function of the incidence angle than that of a rough surface. This is
due to the prevalence of the coherent reflection, which has a very sharp angular
pattern, although not exactly unidirectional. Then, the water surface is brighter
when observed at steep angles and thus less contrasted with respect to the terrain
characterized by a wider scattering pattern. However, in the works using current
satellite radar systems, with intermediate values of the incidence angle, this effect
was rarely noticed and becomes more complicated when the soil is covered by
vegetation (see below).
It must be also considered that the volumetric soil moisture content (SMC)
increases the complex soil permittivity [38, 40], and this implies an increase of the
contrast between the electromagnetic impedances of air and terrain. Consequently,
for a constant roughness, the backscattered 0 increases with SMC, and the contrast
in SAR images between dark flooded and non-flooded terrain is generally larger for
moist soils.
The contrast between backscatter from flooded and non-flooded soil can be
significantly reduced in the presence of strong wind that roughens the water surface,
as schematically depicted in Fig. 2. This is still an open problem for flood mapping
from SAR, since radar scattering of wind-roughened surfaces has been deeply
investigated only for the open ocean (e.g., [42, 55]). For instance, the relationship
between wind (speed and direction) and ocean waves is a function of water depth
and fetch and is generally defined for well-developed waves in equilibrium with the
wind and for deep sea. In flooded terrains, we may encounter many different and
unknown situations (different depths, obstacles that screen the wind flow, and so on),
where it is difficult to predict the radar signal, even if we know the meteorological
conditions accurately. The contrast between flooded and dry surfaces may even
completely disappear in extreme cases (high backscatter from high wind-roughened
water surface).
Fig. 2 Scattering mechanisms determining the radar signature of a flood in the presence of
variable wind speed that roughens the water surface
Flood Mapping Challenges: Models and Methods 139
The models mentioned above generally consider roughness whose dimensions are
in the order of or a few times larger than the radar wavelength (wavelengths of 2–
10 cm when considering the presently operating spaceborne radars). Indeed, the
Earth surface is characterized by its large-scale topography, which is generally
known in the form of a digital elevation model (DEM). The effect of the topography
can be modeled in a simpler way. The geometric (image deformation) and radio-
metric (backscattered intensity modulation) effects of the topography are known as
foreshortening, layover, and shadowing, in addition to the slant-range to ground-
range deformation of a SAR image occurring on a flat surface as well. Here, it is
assumed that the reader already knows these basic concepts of radar imaging, which
are summarized in Fig. 3. From the point of view of flood mapping, it is worth to
point out the occurrence of false alarms due to the presence of shadow. The low
level of backscatter (close to the noise floor of the radar system) located on the side
of a relief opposite to that of the radar can be confused with the presence of smooth
and dark water. The bright pixels on the side of the slope looking toward the radar
do not produce errors in this respect, unless the slope is so steep to mix up different
parts of the surface in the same pixel (layover), a case that hampers the interpretation
of the image. These effects can be predicted if one has an accurate DEM available
to orthorectify the image and compute the local incidence angle in each pixel (i.e.,
Fig. 3 Foreshorting (upper left panel), layover (upper right panel), and shadow (lower panel) in
a side-looking radar image
Flood Mapping Challenges: Models and Methods 141
incidence with respect to the local orthogonal to the surface). Then, a map of areas in
shadow, which occurs when the local incidence angle is larger than /2 rad, can be
computed to avoid false alarms. It is understood that looking at floods in deep valleys
surrounded by highly relieved terrains poses some additional challenges for image
interpretation. Shadow effects increase with the increase of radar off-nadir angle,
so that in case of complex topography, a relatively small incidence angle should be
preferred, although if it is too small the layover effect becomes very important.
So far, we have compared the radar signature of the bare and rough soil to that of the
water. Another important mechanism occurs when flood regards vegetated areas. It
is related to the double-bounce mechanism due to the multiple reflection from the
horizontal surface and the vertical structures (e.g., the trunk in case of forest or stems
for agricultural crops), forming a sort of dihedral type of scattering, as depicted in
Fig. 4 in the case of forest. It complements or may even overcome the contributions
from single scattering from vegetation, attenuated scattering from the surface, and
multiple interactions between the various scattering elements. This mechanism can
be highly enhanced by the presence of water under the vegetation, since the coherent
specular reflection of the surface increases dramatically in flooded conditions, as
discussed before (water has a high permittivity and is usually very flat [29, 41]). This
mechanism may occur in the presence of any type of vertical structure, either natural
or manmade. It can make the radar return from flooded vegetated or urban areas
higher than that under non-flooded conditions, as opposite to what happens over bare
soil or any other case in which the water submerges completely the earth surface.
The contrast between flooded and non-flooded 0 of a forest, that in this case is
positive, is however strongly dependent on the characteristics of the vegetation and
the observing system.
A major factor, as depicted in Fig. 4, is that the double-bounce enhancement
can become the predominant effect when the radar signal is able to penetrate into
the vegetation, as in the case of low vegetation biomass, low frequency, small
incidence angle, or proper polarization. Another major factor is the predominance of
the double-bounce effect in case of HH observations, since the specular reflection
from the horizontal surface is much higher for horizontally polarized impinging
waves compared to vertical waves (where there is a minimum of reflectivity at the
Brewster angle of incidence).
The penetration into the canopy increases at longer wavelengths. This is because,
given an extinction process within the media (due to dielectric or ohmic losses,
but also to volume scattering in different directions), the attenuation of the wave
is a function of a related fraction of the wavelength, and then longer wavelengths
go deeper into the media. Consequently, the wave reaches the surface (soil or
floodwater) and produces a double-bounce effect when the frequency is low or
the vegetation is not very dense and high. It is not easy to predict the occurrence
and the intensity of these mechanisms, considering the large number of parameters
142 N. Pierdicca et al.
Fig. 4 Double-bounce scattering mechanisms determining the radar signature of a flooded (left)
and non-flooded (right) terrain under vegetation. It shows schematically the larger contribution of
double bounce at lower frequency, characterized by higher penetration through the canopy, and the
brighter signature of the HH image
that can influence the penetration of the wave and its absorption and extinction
through the vegetation layer (e.g., vegetation height, density, aboveground biomass,
vegetation water content, shape and orientation of its constitutive elements like
branches, leaves, and stems or trunks). In summary, the contrast between flooded
and non-flooded vegetation decreases or even disappears if the penetration depth
is small and the vegetation single and multiple scattering are the main processes
contributing to the radar return. As a rule of thumb, one can consider that the double-
bounce scattering enhancement is more important at low frequencies (P and L band).
Of course, this is dependent on the density and structure of the vegetation. Then, it
might be also observed at higher frequency (say, C and X band, especially at HH
polarization) in case of relatively transparent agricultural crops with small elements
and low leaf area index (LAI). As for forest, double bounce generally occurs at
low frequency only, unless we are looking at deciduous leafless trees. It must be
understood that these are not firm quantitative rules to be used when processing
images, since the problem is very complex, but they may provide guidelines to
address the human image interpretation.
The penetration is also dependent on the polarization, since the vegetation
elements elongated parallel to the plane of oscillation of the electric field are
those interacting the most with the electromagnetic wave. Generally, horizontal
polarization penetrates more than vertical one into vegetation since the orientation
of most elements is predominantly vertical. However, as for polarization, the higher
specular reflectivity of the water surface in HH is the main reason for preferring this
Flood Mapping Challenges: Models and Methods 143
Fig. 5 Scheme of double-bounce mechanisms of radar backscatter from vegetation for different
frequencies and soil moisture
trunks, branches, leaves, ground surface) that determine absorption and scattering
volumetric coefficients [7, 60, 61]. In order to introduce a realistic structure of
the vegetation, a vertically stratified medium is generally considered, each layer
representing different parts of plants and trees (e.g., trunks in the lower layers and
foliage in the upper layers). Alternatively, one can rely on simpler models, such
as those considering a unique homogeneous layer or neglecting some scattering
mechanisms (e.g., multiple interactions between vegetation elements or vegetation–
soil interactions). The most popular simplified model is the so-called water cloud
model, which assumes the vegetation responds to the radar similarly to a cloud
of water droplets [1]. In Fig. 6, the 0 computed by a model which assumes the
vegetation as a collection of discrete scatterers [7, 18] is reported as a function
of SMC. Three cases are considered, i.e., a bare soil, a typical forest (biomass
of 50 t/ha), and a wheat field (plant height of 70 cm), for different incidence
angles. Note that the case of SMC equal to 80–100% actually displays the model
predictions produced by replacing the rough soil with a fairly flat water surface to
simulate the flood. We can see that 0 increases with SMC, as previously discussed.
While the simulations predict a strong decrease of 0 for bare flooded soils, a
significant increase is predicted for flooded vegetated or forested areas. However,
the magnitude of this increase depends on the type of vegetation, incidence angle,
and polarization as discussed before (e.g., it is higher at relatively low incidence
angle, mainly because of the higher penetration through the foliage).
It is also interesting to understand what happens for a vegetated flooded area
as a function of the water depth. At least for agricultural crops, as the water
level increases, the phase center of the double-bounce scattering tends to rise and
becomes less attenuated by the remaining emergent vegetation. The enhancement of
the double-bounce intensity depends on the water depth. For intermediate stage of
crop growth, 0 increases with water depth, because of the less attenuated double-
bounce effect, up to a certain level, when the emerging part of the plants becomes
small and is no more capable to generate a relevant double-bounce signal. For a
well-developed canopy, the scattering from the vegetation becomes predominant,
and the presence of the underlying water is hardly detected by the radar [43].
The techniques of radar polarimetry and interferometry deserve their own section.
They may represent a step forward for flood mapping by radar. Operationally, the
flood mapping application requires a very rapid response of the Earth observation
system, and possibly repeated image acquisitions to follow the evolution of the
event. These can be feasible only by a satellite constellation (e.g., COSMO-SkyMed
or Sentinel 1A/B). The polarimetric radars presently operational (e.g., Radarsat-
2, ALOS-2) do not satisfy these requirements, although they can occasionally
provide a suitable image after a flood. Nonetheless, radar polarimetry has a great
potential to provide a reliable detection of the scattering mechanisms and an
Flood Mapping Challenges: Models and Methods 145
Fig. 6 Backscattering
coefficient ı at horizontal
polarization (HH) in dB
predicted by the models
described in Bracaglia et al.
[7] and Ferrazzoli and
Guerriero [18] versus the
SMC [%] for a bare soil
(upper panel), a terrain
covered by forest (middle
panel), and a wheat plant
(lower panel); three different
incidence angles (20ı , 35ı ,
and 45ı ) are considered. The
simulations performed under
flooded conditions are also
included (SMC in the range
80–100%) [43]
Fig. 7 Simple explanation of the capability to discriminate the presence of a double bounce by
looking at the phase between horizontal-horizontal and vertical-vertical radar observations. In
case of a dihedral (left panel), the received horizontal electric field has the same direction of the
transmitted horizontal, whereas the vertical component of the received and transmitted fields are
opposite. In case of single bounce from a plate, the horizontal received field is opposite with respect
to the incident one, but the vertical component remains as the previous case
of phased array antennas. It is likely that a previous image collected with the
same geometry is not available for generating the interferogram. In this respect, the
Sentinel-1A/B constellation, thanks to its large swath and short repetition interval,
may represent a step forward in this direction.
As far as polarimetry is concerned, it may support flood mapping, especially
thanks to the capability to single out the contribution of the double bounce with
respect to other volume and surface scattering mechanisms, which helps in detecting
its possible enhancement due to the presence of water under vegetation. This capa-
bility is due to the ability of a radar polarimeter not only to measure the magnitude
of co-polarized (i.e., HH, VV) and cross-polarized (e.g., HV) backscatter, but also
to observe the phase difference between them. Simply speaking, it must be observed
that the double reflection from a metallic dihedral produces a double reversal of the
electric field on the surface (the reflected field is always opposite to the incidence
one over a metallic surface as the sum of the total tangential components must
be zero). Conversely, a single bounce from an orthogonal metallic plate produces
only one inversion. As shown in Fig. 7, the horizontal component of the returned
field from a dihedral has the same direction of the incident one, whereas it has the
opposite direction in case of the plate, i.e., it has a 180ı difference in phase. Then,
a radar polarimeter can single out the amount of double bounce produced by the
canopy and compare that amount before and after the flood to see if there is an
enhancement due to the floodwater [16, 21].
Flood Mapping Challenges: Models and Methods 147
Radar imaging of urban areas is very complex, especially when the radar resolution
is not very high and many scattering components sum up in the same resolution
cell. It is therefore currently very challenging to contour the flood in urban areas,
which for obvious reasons would be very desirable when managing this kind of
disaster. A single building produces a very high backscattered signal due to the
double bounce, which originates from the combined reflection of the horizontal
ground and the vertical wall facing toward the radar, similarly to what happens
in case of trees [20]. The very bright pixels, almost saturating the image in some
cases, are located at the side of the building footprint closest to the radar. There
are additional scattering components from the building as well. For instance, the
layover of the roof return and the ground, which is located at a nearest range
with respect to the building footprint, can also produce a high signal partially
superimposed to that related to the double bounce (the reader can refer to Fig. 8
to understand that a vertical wall can easily produce a layover effect). Then, there
is the return from the other parts of the roof at longer range distance and finally
the shadow extending to a range distance larger than that of the building footprint
(Fig. 8). Some studies have exploited the dihedral corner reflection to assist flood
detection in urban areas, showing the enhancement of the backscatter when the
ground is covered by standing water [31, 35]. The complexity of the problem,
which includes mutual shadowing between buildings in dense urban settlements,
higher-order bounces (triple bounces can be very likely), specular reflection from
gamble roofs, and scattering from other element like windows, makes the flood
mapping very unreliable. A very powerful technique able to identify changes due
148 N. Pierdicca et al.
Fig. 8 Scattering
mechanisms determining the
radar signature of a flooded
and non-flooded urban area
Some surfaces can be sufficiently smooth and have low backscatter (e.g., asphalted
roads, flat rock) to be confused with floodwater. Furthermore, there are other
situations, not comparably intuitive, which can produce false alarms in a flood
detection procedure.
One effect easily observed during a flood event, when heavy precipitations may
occur, is the atmospheric attenuation of the radar signal. The amount of absorption
(water is a highly dissipative medium) and scatter (a function of drop size) of
the radar signal due to water drops is higher at higher frequencies. Therefore,
a high attenuation from heavy rain can be observed in the images collected at
higher frequency, such as X-band. This produces very low backscatter that can be
misinterpreted as floodwater [47]. This problem is not severe at lower frequencies
(C and especially L band) but can be important at X band if one discriminates the
flood just using the image intensity.
Another effect that can cause false alarms in flood mapping if not correctly
detected is the attenuation due to wet snow. The snowpack is quite transparent in the
microwave spectral range when it is dry, as ice is not much dissipative (ice particles
scattering can be observed at higher frequencies). When the snow is wet (i.e., there
is a certain amount of liquid water), similarly to the case of rain, it becomes a
very absorbing material that produces very low backscatter and can therefore be
Flood Mapping Challenges: Models and Methods 149
misinterpreted as floodwater [47]. In this case, one can rely on ancillary information
to avoid committing false alarm errors. For instance, it is generally expected that in
flat areas (e.g., valleys in case of mountainous areas), the information on topographic
slope and local incidence angle can be very useful to mask areas where very low
backscatter is likely not due to the presence of floodwater.
In this section, we summarize algorithmic approaches that have been used to map
flood in three main land cover classes, such as bare soil, vegetated, and urban
areas. The more challenging sites are still urban and vegetated areas, since many
variables concur to characterize the backscattering signal, albeit some issues are
still open for what concerns bare soil areas. In particular, here we tackle all those
stimulating situations where accurate flood mapping can require proper strategies
based on the acquisition of more informative data sets, either from satellite or from
ancillary data sources supported by models. The possibility to exploit mission data
provided by radars working at different frequencies and/or polarizations represents
a unique opportunity to improve the accuracy of flood mapping. The increasing
accessibility of images systematically acquired by new satellite constellations (i.e.,
Sentinel-1) represents a step forward in this application. Indeed, the availability of
images with short repeat time is very powerful, especially when supported by a
good knowledge of the land cover and related scattering mechanisms. Exploitation
of InSAR coherence is another useful tool, given that an interferometric pair of
images is collected during the flood event.
The majority of SAR-based flood mapping algorithms deal with the detection of
water in bare soils or scarcely vegetated areas, using approaches that are quite
well established; they provide maps that are reliable and frequently used for
emergency services [54]. The algorithms to detect flood in bare soils can be split
in two main families, the ones that make use of just one image, i.e., the flooded
one, and those that take advantage of one image more, i.e., the reference image,
which usually observes the same region but in dry conditions. The first group of
algorithms searches for pixels with low backscatter values, associable with a high
probability of the presence of standing water, while the others detect the decrease
of backscattering with respect to a dry condition image, making use of change
detection approaches. Both approaches have advantages and drawbacks. Indeed, on
the one hand the use of just one image reduces the processing time and avoids
relying on another satellite acquisition, which is quite advantageous especially
with satellites such as COSMO-SkyMed for which an interferometric reference
150 N. Pierdicca et al.
acquisition is generally not available. On the other hand, false alarms may occur
because there are land cover classes that have backscatter values comparable with
water or even lower, such as smooth surfaces (flat roofs or asphalted areas), very dry
regions (deserts), and shadowed regions. The latter false positives can be removed
in case an interferometric reference acquisition is available, using change detection
approaches, since the geometry is exactly the same in both images. However, the
shadow area remains a region where we do not have any information; thus hydraulic
models or other ancillary data can be used to fill the gap [41, 48]. Interferometric
acquisitions are images acquired from the same orbit, with identical looking angle
and just separated by a perpendicular baseline, which can reach hundreds of meters.
Thus, in case of change detection approaches, interferometric acquisitions are
preferable because the detected changes can be directly ascribed to the occurred
changes on the surface, so dispelling the possibility of being due to changes on
incidence angle and avoiding using surface scattering models to correctly interpret
them [44].
Using only the flood image and reducing the flood mapping issue to a classifi-
cation problem between two classes, i.e., water and non-water, the backscattering
thresholding is undoubtedly the fastest and most frequently applied technique.
Generally, the threshold is identified as the maximum backscatter value associated
with open water, and consequently, all pixels having an intensity value that is
lower than the fixed threshold are classified as inundated [33]. Different approaches
can be used to derive these thresholds, subjective visual inspection, or automatic
procedures depending on global (one threshold for the entire image) or on local
information (one threshold for each subregion of the image). Parametric algorithms
are generally used to automatically extract the best threshold value, although their
efficiency is known to be strongly hampered when the respective fractions of
the image occupied by the different classes are strongly unbalanced or when the
distribution functions significantly overlap due to the presence of the speckle noise.
To overcome these difficulties, tiling approaches with fixed [5, 34] or variable [15]
tiles size are needed. With this kind of classification algorithms, the uncertainty is
higher in the portion of the histogram where both distribution classes overlap [23];
thus, it is exactly in this region that algorithms have to find an efficient solution to
avoid high false alarms rates. Indeed, a thresholding algorithm inevitably produces
a binary map with a number of misclassified pixels that depends on the extent of
the overlapping distributions. Several approaches have been proposed to deal with
the issue of the overlap region, such as (1) combining the Otsu thresholding method
on tails of fixed size with region growing [47]; (2) using thresholding, tailing, and
fuzzy logic in the post-processing phase [34]; (3) integrating thresholding, change
detection, and region growing [36]; and (4) hierarchical tiling and region growing
[15]. Statistically based approaches have been also directly applied to solve the two-
class problem in the image difference using an expectation–maximization algorithm
with generalized Gaussian distributions [3] or using a support vector machine and a
similarity measure [6].
Although the detection of flood in bare soil is quite straightforward, some
unsolved issues and some false alarms may still be present. In this respect, soil
moisture plays an important role, increasing the backscattering value with respect
Flood Mapping Challenges: Models and Methods 151
to dry conditions, whereas flooded vegetation gives rise to the double-bounce effect
(water surface-tree trunks). Ancillary data and land cover maps can be fruitfully
used in order to disentangle these issues, but also the InSAR coherence can add
further information content to the analysis based only on the incoherent part of
the backscattering. In this respect, in the case of the Tsunami in Japan on 2011, the
InSAR coherence was used to interpret the increase of backscatter occurred between
two COSMO-SkyMed acquisitions with a time span of 1 day in areas where the
flood extent was receding toward the shore [10]. In these areas, the receding process
led to an increase of the backscatter from one day to the next, which is similar to the
effect of an increasing soil moisture content. The large value of InSAR coherence
between the two acquisitions indicated that there was not any change in the spatial
arrangement of the scatterers on the terrain, so that the variation of backscatter has
been ascribed to changes in soil moisture. In this particular case of an inland flood
caused by a tsunami, the InSAR coherence has been used also to detect another
secondary effect caused by the big earthquake, such as the liquefaction occurred in
urban areas [11]. Although this phenomenon has a relatively small magnitude, it
occurs frequently in case of a seismic event and is always easily detectable by the
InSAR coherence [12].
Of course, having at disposal a long time series of SAR data, the seasonality
of the backscattering can be modeled, thus characterizing the seasonal behavior of
the soil moisture and land cover. To this purpose in Schlaffer et al. [51], harmonic
analysis of a multitemporal time series of more than 500 ASAR scenes with a
spatial resolution of 150 m was used to characterize the seasonality in backscatter
under non-flooded conditions. In this study, pixels that were inundated during a
flood event showed strong deviations from the seasonal trend inferred from the
harmonic model. The residuals, i.e., flooded pixels, were classified by means of
an automatic threshold optimization algorithm, after masking out areas which were
unlikely to be flooded using a topography-derived index. Furthermore, in Schlaffer
et al. [52], multitemporal C-band ASAR data have been used to retrieve harmonic
model parameters of permanent water bodies, seasonal open water, persistently
flooded vegetation, and seasonally flooded vegetation. They were used to classify
wetland areas at regional scale, such as the case of the Kafue River basin in Zambia,
where a time series of around 100 SAR images spanning a time period of almost
2 years has been used. Nowadays similar approaches, although computationally
expensive, could be made possible by the availability of frequent and systematic
acquisitions provided by the Sentinel-1 ESA satellite constellation.
sufficient. This increase can make the backscatter from flooded vegetation higher
than that from non-flooded vegetation, so that the former may appear brighter in
a SAR image. However, flooded vegetation does not always have a clear radar
signature that can be easily detected, and frequently a support from vegetation
scattering models is necessary, especially in the change detection approaches, if
interferometric acquisitions are not available [44]. It is worth pointing out the
importance to account for speckle noise, which generally prevents the comparison
with modeled backscattering on a pixel basis. The application of standard multi-
looking techniques to reduce the speckle effect prevents the full exploitation of SAR
image spatial resolution, penalizing very high-resolution sensors, such as COSMO-
SkyMed, which have the potential for a detailed mapping of the landscape, i.e., an
accurate flood boundary delineation. A possible efficient way to deal with speckle
is the segmentation approach, as done by Pulvirenti et al. [44], where the image
segmentation has been accomplished by using the morphological profile by open
and close filters [39]. The morphological operators were applied to a multitemporal
series of five COSMO-SkyMed images in order to extract information on the
spatial extension of homogeneous objects present in the scene. The morphological
profiles carry information at different spatial scales, thus singling out the radar
response directly related to the targets that have to be classified and coping with
the speckle noise in radar data. It is important to highlight that the signature of
each segment, which represents the main information derived from the segmentation
procedure, was almost speckle free, since the averaging process within each segment
drastically reduces the speckle noise. Morphological operators are widely exploited
in very high spatial resolution images, both SAR and optical, to extract contextual
information for supporting urban classification [4, 9, 44], and the basic operators are
erosion and dilation [56]. Generally, they are applied to images using structuring
elements (SE) of known shape, corresponding to specific geometrical structures,
to depict how structures in the image match those specific elements. Two other
morphological operators obtained from the previous ones are the opening and
closing operators. The function of opening is to dilate an eroded image in order
to recover as much as possible of the original image, while the function of closing
is to erode a dilated image in order to recover the initial shape of image structures
that have been dilated. The characteristic of the filtering process provided by the
opening and closing operators is that not all structures within the original image
are recovered when these operators are subsequently applied. The size of the SE,
with respect to the size of the structures actually shown in the scene, conditions
the output of the filtering operation. In fact, some structures in the images may
have a high response for a given selected size and a lower response for other sizes.
In particular, this technique is used to isolate bright (opening) and dark (closing)
structures in the image. Moreover, dealing with high-resolution data, we generally
have a reduced number of scatterers per resolution cell, meaning that the speckle
cannot be considered fully developed [50]. Thus, no assumption, or unreliable
ones, can be done on the distribution of speckle, a reason to prefer nonparametric
segmentation approaches.
Flood Mapping Challenges: Models and Methods 153
ing, typical of forested and urban areas, while a DEM was useful for including
simple hydraulic considerations on the dependence of inundation probability on
surface characteristics. Contextual information was taken into account as well, in
the post-processing phase to remove false alarms or to include missed pixels [41]. A
Bayesian network was also proposed by D’Addabbo et al. [17] to integrate remotely
sensed data, such as multitemporal SAR intensity images and InSAR coherence
data, with geomorphic and other ground information to detect flood in vegetated
areas.
Franceschetti et al. [20] explained that the double-bounce effect in urban areas is
typically represented in SAR images by a very bright line that appears on the side of
the wall that is illuminated by the radar. It is worth mentioning that double-bounce
paths have the same length as the range of the intersection between the ground and
the front wall of the building. In this case, even if the building is surrounded by
smooth asphalt surfaces, so that the change in soil roughness may be negligible,
the increase of reflectivity due to the increase of the dielectric constant implies, in
principle, a considerable increase of the double-bounce effect. Stemming from this
principles, Mason et al. [35] investigated the possibility to detect urban flood looking
at the layover regions, estimating double scattering strength using one TerraSAR-X
image (3 m resolution) in conjunction with a high-resolution LiDAR height map of
the urban area. They also used a SAR simulator to generate maps of layover/shadow
from LiDAR data, to estimate the position of double scattering ridges in the SAR
image. Observations of double-bounce backscattering strength were compared to
the predictions from an electromagnetic scattering model to identify flooded areas.
The possibility to measure this increase of backscattering in the double-bounce
area highly depends on the geometric accommodation of the building façade with
respect to the line of sight of the SAR sensor, resulting in higher or lower sensitivity
to backscattering change magnitude. Indeed, if we consider the angle between the
flight direction and the street alignment, the increase is very high at 0ı (i.e., walls
parallel to the azimuth direction) but is reduced for larger angles. Stemming from the
model results of Ferro et al. [19], which assumes for simplicity an isolated building,
Pulvirenti et al. [49] found that for angles greater than 5–10ı , the increase of the
backscattering is in the order of 3.5 dB. As a consequence, even in an ideal situation
of an isolated building surrounded by a homogenous ground surface, the increase
of the double bounce due to the presence of floodwater is not very high if buildings
are not parallel to the SAR flight direction. This increase of backscattering can be
hardly detected taking into account only the intensity, especially in a complex urban
environment where the assumption of isolated buildings is often unrealistic. Hence,
the idea to couple intensity data with other features extracted from SAR data, such
as the coherence, has been developed using COSMO-SkyMed images for the Japan
tsunami event on 2011 (stripmap mode, 3 m resolution, [10]). For that event, images
Flood Mapping Challenges: Models and Methods 155
with a temporal baseline of 1 day were available, and some areas showed a stable
value of intensity within the double-bounce ridges, combined to a very low value
of coherence. Low coherence in urban areas affected by a seismic event, as the
Japanese earthquake, is generally due to damage in manmade structures (e.g., [8, 9]).
In that particular case, the interferometric pair was a post-seismic one, characterized
by short temporal (24 h) and spatial (10 m) baselines, so that the low coherence
values could not be ascribed to collapse of buildings, or to spatial decorrelation
[65], but to the presence of floodwater. The presence of water between buildings
was confirmed by optical images available over the area.
The interferometric coherence measures the degree of correlation between two
complex (phase and amplitude) SAR images. It is particularly related to the change
in the spatial arrangement of the scatterers within a pixel [12] and thus to geometric
changes in the scene. An interferometric pair can be built using two images taken
before the flood (hereafter denoted as pre-event pair), after the flood (post-event
pair), or one image before and another after the flood (co-event pair). It is expected
that flooded areas exhibit low coherence that help distinguishing them from non-
flooded regions, especially over targets where this feature is expected to be high.
Urban areas are generally considered as coherent targets [58]; thus the temporal
baseline should not affect the interpretation in a significant way in a stable urban
environment; however, it must be verified that a loss of coherence is not due to an
increase of the perpendicular baseline, which is another parameter that can affect its
magnitude. Indeed, the increase of the spatial baseline and, namely, its perpendicular
component implies a decrease of the coherence, thereby reducing the capability of
this feature to help discriminating changed and unchanged urban targets [65]. The
temporal baseline is in some way related to the changes in the scene. For this reason,
we should privilege pairs of images with short temporal baselines, especially in
vegetated areas. In an urban area, there is no such a strict constraint, because the
presence of vegetation is rather limited.
The role of the interferometric coherence in complementing intensity SAR data
for mapping floods in urban areas has been further investigated in Pulvirenti et al.
[49], where a proof of concept on how to integrate the two features was developed.
They firstly discussed the advantages of using intensity and coherence from a
theoretical point of view and then verified the hypothesis for the flood event that hit
the Emilia–Romagna region (Northern Italy) in January 2014 and was imaged by
COSMO-SkyMed satellites. The short revisit time of the COSMO-SkyMed images,
as well as a dedicated acquisition plan tailored to the requirements of the Italian
Civil Protection Department, allowed a data set of radar interferometric observations
of the event to be collected. Results showed that the analysis of the multitemporal
trend of the coherence was useful for the interpretation of SAR data since it enabled
a considerable reduction of classification errors that could be committed considering
intensity data only. Not only the InSAR coherence but also the classical Differential
SAR Interferometry (DInSAR) technique was used to measure the water-level
variation in vegetated areas where the water was receding.
It is worth to highlight that changing the spatial resolution changes the building
archetype in a SAR image. Indeed, with metric resolution images (e.g., 1 m), the
156 N. Pierdicca et al.
individual scattering mechanisms of a building can be detected and singled out, such
as layover, double-bounce (for which the presence of the water is expected to have
a role), shadow, and roof direct return. With decametric resolution (e.g., 20 m), the
contributions are mixed in the same resolution cell [13], thus the information about
changes can be extracted more at regional scale rather than for each building. In this
respect, in Chini et al. [14], the capabilities of the InSAR coherence to detect water
in urban areas have been also showed with lower-resolution images (i.e., 20 m),
such as the ones provided by the Sentinel-1 satellite mission. The test case was a
flood event that occurred in Sicily (Italy) on November 2015, and the dataset was
composed of three Sentinel-1 images. Two of those were acquired before the event,
and one was obtained during the event. To highlight the presence of water in urban
areas, two coherence maps were computed, one pre-event and one co-event. Their
mean values at the scale of villages/cities were calculated, and villages affected by
the flash flood event showed a decrease of coherence in the co-event one, while for
those villages far from the event, the coherence remained stable.
Gaps still remain in urban areas, such as shadowed areas or complex urban
structures where SAR backscattering does not provide any clue about the possible
presence of water, and they could be solved by the assimilation of the flood maps
into hydraulic models [22, 30, 63]. For the assimilation procedures, the flood maps
should be provided in terms of probability of a pixel being flooded [26, 53], in
order to characterize all uncertainty in flood mapping delineation [25]. Moreover,
the direct assimilation of probabilistic flood maps into hydrodynamic models is
beneficial because it eliminates the intermediate step of extracting water levels from
a binary flood extent map. Additionally, models enable a more accurate and reliable
short- to medium-range prediction of flooded areas and provide indications of other
related hydraulic variables, such as water elevation, river discharge, flood duration,
and flow velocity. If used as inputs to different types of impact models, these
variables can better assess the economic, social, and environmental consequences
of floods. Indeed stakeholders in flood management are particularly interested in
urban areas and all the information characterizing the areas in terms of hazard [24].
In the previous sections it was pointed out that the simple assumption that floodwater
is a smooth surface that behaves as a specular reflector giving low backscatter does
not account for complications in SAR imagery due to the presence of vegetation
or urban settlements. It was also underlined that, even in an ideal case in which
flood involves only bare or sparsely vegetated soils, speckle noise generally prevents
image classification using only the backscattering value on a pixel basis. Hereafter,
we present some examples of operational or semioperational algorithms, in which
flood mapping in vegetated and urban areas is accomplished. The bare soils case is
tackled as well, given that it is always accounted for in any flood mapping algorithm.
The presented examples, developed by the authors, make use of the fuzzy logic
Flood Mapping Challenges: Models and Methods 157
An image processing technique that can be considered very useful for flood mapping
is the fuzzy logic [64]. In fact, a fuzzy approach intrinsically accounts for the various
uncertainties inherent to the detection of floodwater, especially in vegetated terrains
and urban settlements. Pierdicca et al. [41] firstly applied it for flood mapping
purposes. The fuzzy sets represent an extension of the classical notion of set. While
in classical set theory an element either belongs or does not belong to the set,
elements of a fuzzy set have degrees of membership. These degrees are described
by a membership function whose values are real numbers in the interval [0–1].
The fuzzy theory is suitable for representing the sets for which the definition of
a membership criterion is a difficult task. This is the case of the set of flooded pixels
in SAR images. The fuzzy logic enables to combine several pieces of information in
a classification algorithm in order to improve the reliability of maps of inundated
areas. In particular, it is useful to integrate in the classification procedure prior
information (e.g., a DEM of the area hit by the flood, land cover maps), simple
hydraulic considerations (e.g., the dependence of inundation probability on surface
slopes or the nearness to permanent water bodies), and contextual information.
A first example of application of a flood mapping algorithm based on fuzzy logic
concerns the event occurred in the Alessandria district (Northern Italy) on November
5–6, 1994 [41]. A pair of ERS Precision Images (PRI), collected before (October 3,
1994) and after (November 9, 1994) the inundation, were used, together with a DEM
of the area and a land cover map (CORINE land cover). The flood image is shown
in Fig. 9, where not only dark areas indicating the presence of floodwater in bare
soils but also very bright spots indicating the occurrence of intense double-bounce
effects are clearly visible.
The classification scheme applied to the dataset collected to map the Alessandria
flood is illustrated in Fig. 10. It can be seen that five fuzzy sets are generated. For the
dark pixels (areas of low backscatter), the fuzzy set is defined through the standard
Z membership function (Pal and Rosenfeld [37]), for which the lower the intensity
of the pixel, the higher the degree of membership. More interesting for the topic of
this chapter is the fuzzy set of high difference between the backscatter of flood and
pre-flood images. To define this set, which encompasses the areas where a double-
bounce effect takes place (e.g., vegetated flooded areas) or increases its intensity
due to the presence of floodwater (e.g., urban areas), the standard S function (i.e.,
1–Z) is used; standard S and Z functions are shown in Fig. 11. The values of the
parameters of these functions (x1 and x2 ; see Fig. 11) can be chosen based on a
158 N. Pierdicca et al.
supervised analysis of the available data (especially if some ground truth data are
available) or based on other kinds of data, such as the predictions of models able to
simulate the radar return from floodwater (see the following).
Looking at Fig. 10, the use of the fuzzy logic to complement the information
brought by SAR (both pre-flood and flood images) with ancillary information, such
as that provided by a DEM, can be noted. In this example the fuzzy rules based on
the DEM consider that there is a high probability of flood occurrence in low altitude
areas, in flat areas, as well as in concave areas [41]. Hence, in the scheme of Fig.
10, the DEM is processed to compute slope and concavity, the latter being derived
from the DEM Laplacian. The different fuzzy sets are then combined through the
fuzzy union (i.e., computing the maximum membership degree) and the weighted
average of the degrees. Then, contextual information is taken into account through
a correction of the membership degree of each pixel based on the statistics of
the degree of membership of the neighbors. Finally, the so-called defuzzification
process transforms a fuzzy number into a crisp number. It is performed by simply
classifying as flooded the pixels having a final membership degree greater than
0.5. The result of the application of the fuzzy algorithm described above for the
Alessandria case study is shown in Fig. 12.
The accuracy of the map shown in Fig. 12 is assessed using data derived from
a ground survey performed when the inundation reached its maximum extension
[41]. Since the SAR image of the flood was acquired 3 days after the flood,
only the commission errors (false alarms) can be evaluated. 87% of the pixels are
correctly classified as flooded, and a 5% of false alarm is obtained (the residual
8% corresponds to rivers). It is interesting to note that through the fuzzy algorithm
accounting also for the increase of the backscatter due to the double-bounce effect,
even pixels located in the urban area of the city of Alessandria were correctly
classified as flooded.
Flood Mapping Challenges: Models and Methods 159
Fig. 10 Block diagram of a fuzzy logic-based flood mapping algorithm (From Pierdicca et al.
[41], © 2008 by the authors)
As mentioned above, since in most of the cases ground truth data are not available
to precisely set the values of the parameters x1 and x2 of the fuzzy membership
functions (Fig. 11), one can rely on the simulations of models able to predict
the radar return from flooded surfaces. An example is represented by the models
developed at the University of Rome Tor Vergata [7, 18] to simulate the radar return
from agricultural and forested areas and proposed by Franceschetti et al. [20] to
predict the backscatter from urban areas. Pulvirenti et al. [45] and Pulvirenti et al.
[46] used these models to map floods from very high-resolution X-band COSMO-
160 N. Pierdicca et al.
Fig. 13 COSMO-SkyMed Image of the Shkodër (Albania) flood acquired on January 10, 2010
(left panel) and result of the application of the fuzzy algorithm (right panel). For the right panel,
white, non-flooded; cyan, flooded; blue, water bodies according to the land cover map; black, no
data (From Pulvirenti et al. [44], © Author(s) 2011)
Fig. 14 Multitemporal map showing the time evolution of the January 2010 Shkodër (Albania)
flood. It has been produced by applying a fuzzy logic-based algorithm, trained by backscatter
simulations, to nine COSMO-SkyMed images whose acquisition dates are reported in the legend.
White no data, gray non-flooded (From Pulvirenti et al. [44], © Author(s) 2011)
SAR image (see Fig. 13, left panel), which can be therefore assumed as flooded.
Since the DEM of the area does not show significant changes in the height of the
forested area with respect to the surrounding inundated zones, there is no physical
reason to suppose that only this area is not covered by water.
Figure 14 aims at demonstrating the utility of recently launched constellations of
satellites hosting SAR sensors (COSMO-SkyMed, Sentinel-1) to monitor the tem-
poral evolution of a flood. In particular, it shows a multitemporal map representing
time evolution of the Shkodër flood; the gradual receding of water can be clearly
observed. The short revisit time of COSMO-SkyMed data enables to produce flood
maps with an unprecedented temporal resolution.
Flood Mapping Challenges: Models and Methods 163
In the previous examples, flood mapping algorithms based on fuzzy logic have been
applied in the framework of a pixel-based classification. To better cope with the
speckle noise, it is possible to apply the fuzzy logic, as well as any other flood
mapping algorithm (even simple image thresholding), in the framework of an object-
based approach, i.e., after having performed a segmentation of the SAR images [44,
46]. An example of segmentation procedure that can be applied to multitemporal
SAR images is shown in Fig. 15.
The procedure schematized in Fig. 15 is based on mathematical morphology and
uses the opening and closing operators. In this example, a multitemporal dataset
of five SAR images is used, but the scheme can be easily adapted to any number
of SAR images composing a multitemporal time series. The opening and closing
operators are applied to the SAR intensity images, using square structuring elements
with different sizes (3 3, 5 5, 7 7, : : : . , 27 27 for this example). In this way, a
multitemporal morphological profile is created, which, for the example illustrated in
Fig. 15, is composed by 27 elements for each SAR image (13 element for the closing
operator, 13 elements for the opening operator plus the original backscattering
image), for a total of 135 inputs (27 elements 5 days). After the input space
is created, a K-means clustering algorithm is applied to the set of 135 features,
in order to account for the contextual information, about the extension of objects
brought by the morphological profile and for the evolution in time of the intensity
164 N. Pierdicca et al.
through the five available SAR acquisitions. In the example in Fig. 15, it is assumed
that 20 represents a reliable estimate of the number of classes distinguishable in
the observed scene. The spatial contiguity is considered in the last step of the
segmentation procedure, which is the class disaggregation into segments. The pixels
included in each segment belong to the same class and are contiguous in space.
An example of application of the morphological segmentation to a time series of
COSMO-SkyMed images is shown in Fig. 16. The time series refers to the flood
that occurred in Tuscany (central Italy) in December 2009. In particular the SAR
images were acquired on December 20, 2009 (pre-flood), December 30 and 31
2009, and January 1 and 4, 2010. The segments highlighted in yellow, orange and
magenta deserve particular attention since they are vegetated areas. A photo taken
on the ground of the yellow object under non-flooded conditions is shown in the
right panel of Fig. 16. The classification is obtained by using a fuzzy logic-based
algorithm trained by the outputs of the simulations produced by applying the Tor
Fig. 16 Image obtained as result of the segmentation process applied to five COSMO-SkyMed
images of the December 2009 Tuscany (Italy) flood (see text for the acquisition dates). The various
segments are represented by different gray levels, except for some objects that are highlighted
using different colors. A photo taken on the ground in the yellow region a few months after the
flood is shown in the right panel (From Pulvirenti et al. [46], © 2012 IEEE)
Flood Mapping Challenges: Models and Methods 165
Fig. 17 Left panel: map of flooded areas produced using the COSMO-SkyMed image of the
Tuscany (Italy) flood acquired on December 30, 2009. White non-flooded, cyan flooded, blue water
bodies according to the CORINE Land Cover. Central and right panels: screenshots derived from
a video found on the “you reporter” website (http://youreporter.it) during a flight performed on
December 26, 2009 over the region hit by the inundation. The zones enclosed by the yellow box in
the central panel and by the orange box in the right panel are highlighted with the same colors in
the left panel (From Pulvirenti et al. [46], © 2012 IEEE)
Vergata model. The model is able to predict the increase of the backscatter due to the
double-bounce effect caused by the presence of standing water. The result is shown
in Fig. 17, together with two photos of the yellow and orange objects taken from
an airplane after the flood occurrence. Even in this example, the possibility of SAR
to detect floodwater beneath vegetation in some conditions (e.g., forests with low
density of trees or leafless trees) clearly emerges. The double bounce represented
the key to detect flooded vegetation also in this case study.
In the previous examples, the detection of the flooded vegetated and urban
areas has been based on the detection of the double-bounce effect. This detection
considered the change in the backscatter due to the change in the dielectric constant
between soil and water as well as the decrease of the surface roughness (in the
absence of significant winds). However, through this simplified modeling, not all
the multitemporal radar signatures of flooded vegetation ad urban areas can be
explained. An example of possible ambiguities in the radar signature of flooded
vegetation is shown in Fig. 18, which refers to the COSMO-SkyMed images of the
flood that hit the Alessandria district (northern Italy) in April 2009. The images
166 N. Pierdicca et al.
Fig. 18 RGB composition of three COSMO-SkyMed intensity images of the 2009 Alessandria
(Italy) flood. Red April 29, 2009, green April 30, 2009, blue May 1, 2009 (From Pulvirenti et al.
[45], © 2010 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved)
were acquired on April 29, 2009, April 30, 2009, and May 1, 2009. In the zones
that appear blue in Fig. 18, the radar return measured on May 1 is considerably
larger than that measured on the two previous days. Some small areas appear red
(high backscatter on April 29) and green (high backscatter on April 30). Interpreting
these features is not a simple task, and again electromagnetic models turn out to be
helpful in this respect. The water level was not considered in the previous examples.
However, it may have a considerable role in determining the radar return from
flooded crops (with relatively small height). In fact, an increase of the water level
implies a decrease of the relative height of the stem emerging from water. This
decrease may reduce the attenuation from the emerged vegetation but may also
cause a decrease of the double-bounce effect (stems emerging from water are too
short to produce a strong dihedral return). Even in flooded urban areas, the presence
of standing water might increase the intensity of the double-bounce effect, but if the
water level is not negligible with respect to the building height, the dihedral size
diminishes, and a decrease of the radar cross section occurs [31].
Flood Mapping Challenges: Models and Methods 167
theta=50˚
-5
sigma0 [dB]
-10
bare soil, SMC=40%
h=26.5 flood
h=26.5 no flood, SMC=40%
-15 h=60.5 flood
h=60.5 no flood, SMC=40%
h=75.5 flood
h=75.5 no flood, SMC=40%
0
theta=25˚
-5
sigma0 [dB]
-10
-15
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
hw [cm]
Fig. 19 Radar return versus water level (hw ) for a terrain covered by wheat, as predicted by the
model used by the authors (X band, horizontal polarization). Three kinds of plant heights (h) are
considered: h D 26.5 cm (blue dashed line), h D 60.5 cm (red line), and h D 75.5 cm (magenta-
dotted line). The simulations performed under non-flooded conditions are also included, assuming
SMC D 40%. Upper panel, incidence angle equal to 50ı ; lower panel, incidence angle equal to
25ı (From Pulvirenti et al. [45], © 2010 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved)
Figure 19 shows a simulation performed using the Tor Vergata model [7] that
considers the water level as input parameter. It regards a small leaves’ plant as wheat
and X-band, horizontal polarization. By analyzing Fig. 19, it can be inferred that the
effect of the entire wheat plant on the electromagnetic radiation is basically that of
an attenuating layer. For non-flooded soils, the backscatter initially decreases with
the growth of the plant and then remains approximately constant when scattering
comes from the vegetation layer only (see asterisks and squares in the figure),
i.e., the contribution of the soil is completely masked. For a wheat plant at an
intermediate stage of growth (h D 60.5 cm; red solid lines), an increase of the water
level implies that the scattering center of the double-bounce scattering mechanism
moves toward the upper part of the stem, while the aforementioned attenuating
vegetation layer becomes thinner. Consequently, the double-bounce backscattering
becomes the predominant effect and causes an increase of the backscatter. For
hw > 30–35 cm, the emerging stem becomes so small that it is not capable of giving
rise to a considerable double-bounce enhancement, and the backscatter decreases.
As for h D 26.5 cm (blue dashed lines), the stem is short and thinner with respect
to a developed plant, so that a further shortening due to the increase of hw causes
a decrease of the backscatter because the specular reflection due to the underlying
water tends to become the predominant mechanism.
168 N. Pierdicca et al.
By accounting for the results of Fig. 19, it is possible to explain the multitemporal
radar signatures of Fig. 18. In the areas that appear red in Fig. 18, there is a
considerable decrease of the backscatter from April 29 to April 30, 2009. Such a
large drop is caused by a change of the surface conditions from flooded to non-
flooded. On April 29, the flood conditions give rise to a large double-bounce effect,
and the drop of SAR intensity on the following day can be explained by assuming
that on April 30 the receding of water is completed. In the areas that appear green in
Fig. 18, there is a change from a specular-like surface to a situation in which a strong
double-bounce effect occurs. Vegetation is completely covered by water on April
29, while, on April 30, the decrease of the water level implies that the emerging
stems are tall enough to give rise to a strong double-bounce backscattering. As for
the decay occurring from April 30 to May 1, the explanation is the same as that
previously given for the red areas, that is the complete receding of the water. As
for the blue areas, even though one can think that the increase of the SAR intensity
from April 30 to May 1 can be due to the water receding, the presence of vegetation
should be taken into account. This means that the aforementioned explanation is
valid for bare fields but for vegetated soils is not always acceptable. In the latter
case, an abrupt increase is again due to the transition from a situation of plants
totally submerged by water to a situation in which the water level decreases and
a strong double-bounce effect takes place. A flood evolution map based on the
previous considerations is shown in Fig. 20.
In the last examples discussed above, in order to tackle the ambiguities of the radar
signature of flooded areas, we have relied on the analysis of multitemporal intensity
data, possibly complemented by ancillary data, such as land cover maps or DEMs,
and by the information provided by electromagnetic models. The detection of the
double bounce was the key to remotely sense floodwater. However, the intensity
of the double bounce contribution to the backscattered signal depends on several
parameters. For instance, considering vegetation, single scattering and/or absorption
due to canopy can mask the enhancement of the double-bounce mechanism. Even
parameters as plant density and structure influence intensity of the double-bounce
contribution. As for urban settlements, the double-bounce radar cross section
decreases as the platform flight direction differs from the direction of alignment
of the buildings and the adjacent roads [49]. As a consequence, the detection of
the double bounce is not always possible using intensity data; in these cases the
coherence may represent a source of complementary data.
An example of joint use of intensity and coherence data is shown in Fig. 21. It
regards the COSMO-SkyMed images of the Japan tsunami occurred on March 11,
2011 and, in particular, an area of interest located in the Sendai harbor. The images
Flood Mapping Challenges: Models and Methods 169
Fig. 20 Flood evolution map derived from the analysis of the COSMO-SkyMed images of the
2009 Alessandria (Italy) flood (see Fig. 18). White non-flooded, sea green flooded on April 29,
purple flooded on April 29, cyan flooded throughout April 29–May 1, blue water body (From
Pulvirenti et al. [45], © 2010 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved)
were acquired 1 day and 2 days after the event in interferometric mode. It can be
seen that there are some dark zones corresponding to sea and rivers characterized
by low intensity and low coherence. In the blue area placed in the upper left part of
the figure, the intensity increases on March 13; this means that in this area, which
is prevalently bare, the flooding water present on March 12 recedes on March 13.
For the Sendai case study, it is interesting to focus on the urban area in the central
part of Fig. 21. There are again some blue pixels close to dark ones representing
areas flooded on March 12 that get dry on the following day, and there are many
pixels that appear cyan, i.e., low coherence between the images but high intensity in
both the images (generally larger than 0 dB and reaching almost 7 dB; see [10]). For
most of the pixels that appear cyan in Fig. 21, the intensity values do not change very
much between March 12 and March 13, 2011. Low coherence between two images
together with large backscattering that is similar between the two interferometric
170 N. Pierdicca et al.
Fig. 21 RGB color composite images of the Sendai harbor created by using the COSMO-SkyMed
observations of the 2011 Japan tsunami acquired on March 12 and March 13, 2011. Red coherence
between the two images, green March 12 intensity, blue March 13 intensity (From Chini et al. [10],
© 2012 IEEE)
acquisitions can be explained by supposing that cyan pixels represent flooded urban
areas on both March 12 and March 13, 2011.
A second example regarding the joint use of intensity and coherence data refers to
the flood that hit the Emilia–Romagna region (Italy) on January 19, 2014. Figure 22
shows the multitemporal intensity and coherence images created taking advantage
of the COSMO-SkyMed interferometric acquisitions performed on December 16,
2013, January 5, 2014, and January 21, 22, and 23, 2014. The area hit by the flood
is clearly visible; in particular, the area that appears in dark red tone in the left panel
(low backscatter on January 21–22) represents the core of the flooded region. Few
cyan areas denote an increase of the backscatter, while, for the magenta areas, the
backscatter increase from January 21 to January 22, 2014 can be ascribed to the
water receding. In the right panel of Fig. 22, the blue color prevails due to the small
temporal baseline of the January 22–23 pair. The core of the flooded areas appears
mainly in red tone (pre-event coherence higher than co-event and post-event ones)
Flood Mapping Challenges: Models and Methods 171
Fig. 22 RGB color composites of the area hit by the 2014 Emilia–Romagna flood created using
COSMO-SkyMed data. Left panel: R January 5, 2014 intensity, G January 21, 2014 intensity, B
January 22, 2014 intensity. Right panel: R pre-event coherence (December 16, 2013–January 5,
2014), G co-event coherence (January 5–21, 2014), B post-event coherence (January 22–23, 2014)
(From Pulvirenti et al. [49], © 2015 IEEE)
and black tone (even the pre-event coherence is low because of the presence of
vegetation or changes in soil roughness). For the topic of this chapter, the core of
the flooded region (mainly corresponding to open water) is not very important, while
it is interesting to focus on some vegetated and urban areas.
Figure 23 is the same as Fig. 22 but zoomed on a small area of interest. In
particular, two regions of interest (ROI) are drawn and the multitemporal trends
of the average values of intensity and coherence for these ROIs are shown in
Fig. 24. Looking at Fig. 23, it can be seen that the ROIs have the same color in
172 N. Pierdicca et al.
Fig. 23 Same as Fig. 22 but zoomed on an area of interest (From Pulvirenti et al. [49], © 2015
IEEE)
Fig. 24 Temporal trends of the average values of the backscatter (upper panel) and the coherence
(lower panel) in the ROIs drawn in Fig. 23
the intensity RGB but different colors in the coherence RGB. This is reflected by
the multitemporal trends that are similar for what concerns intensity and different
for what concerns coherence. This means that using only the intensity data, these
two areas would be likely classified as belonging to the same class (non-flooded
areas). The pre-event coherence of ROI1 is considerably higher than that of ROI2,
so that ROI1 was a bare or, at most, scarcely vegetated field, as opposed to ROI2.
Flood Mapping Challenges: Models and Methods 173
Fig. 25 Same as Fig. 22 but zoomed on the Bomporto village (From Pulvirenti et al. [49], © 2015
IEEE)
The temporal trend of the coherence for ROI1 supports the hypothesis that this field
is not flooded; its increase is mostly related to the temporal baseline, and co-event
coherences (December 16, 2013 to January 21, 2014 and January 5 to January 21,
2014) are high. For ROI2, the pre-event coherence is quite low, so that the field is
vegetated (actually, it is a vineyard). The strong increase of the post-event coherence
of ROI2 (from 0.1 to 0.7) indicates the occurrence of the double-bounce effect
due to the presence of water. This double-bounce effect is not detected by intensity
data (small difference between the backscatter of January 5 and January 21, 2014)
probably because the contribution of the double-bounce (dihedral) effect to the total
backscatter does not exceed the strong decrease of the soil backscatter due to the
presence of standing water.
The 2014 Emilia–Romagna case study is very interesting for the purpose of
mapping flooded urban areas. Figures 25 and 26 are analogous to Figs. 23 and
24, but for the urban area of Bomporto, in the Modena district. Two zones can
be visually detected (highlighted by green and magenta ellipses). Even in this case,
while the multitemporal trend of the SAR intensities is very similar, the trend of
the coherence is totally different. The area highlighted by the green ellipse in Fig.
25 appears as white/gray, so that no substantial changes in the backscatter occurred
in the period January 5–22. Conversely, in the area that appears in magenta tone in
the right panel, the co-event coherence drops off due to the presence of floodwater
on January 21, 2014. Even in this case, without the use of the coherence, this area
would be labeled as non-flooded. Note that also for the urban area of Bomporto, the
post-event coherence increases. As opposed to what happens for the post-event pair
of images of the Japan tsunami, in this case the presence of water in urban areas
implies an increase of the coherence. The reason can be ascribed to the fact that
for the Japan test case, the water is not stagnant, and also a lot of debris is present
174 N. Pierdicca et al.
Fig. 26 Temporal trends of the average values of the backscatter (left panel) and the coherence
(right panel) for the areas highlighted in green and magenta in Fig. 25 (Bomporto village)
[10], so that a decorrelation between post-event images occurs. For the Bomporto
case study, on the contrary, stagnant water forms the horizontal surface of a double-
bounce structure giving high coherence. Note that, again, intensity data are not able
to detect the increase of the double bounce involving the smooth water surface and
vertical walls.
The left panel of Fig. 27 shows the map of flooded areas obtained including in a
classification algorithm based on a simple segmentation technique (region growing)
both intensity and coherence data. It can be noted that the classification labels as
flooded most of the urban pixels in the villages of Bastiglia and Villavara, whereas
the town Bomporto results as partially flooded, in agreement with the previous
discussion. The right panels of Fig. 27 show two photos taken in the Bomporto
village and, in particular, in the zone highlighted by the magenta ellipse in Fig. 25
showing that this zone was actually flooded on January 22–23, 2014.
Acknowledgments The work of Marco Chini was supported by the National Research Fund
of Luxembourg through the MOSQUITO (C15/SR/10380137) project. The COSMO-SkyMed ©
images are © of the Italian Space Agency (ASI), delivered by ASI under a license to use.
Flood Mapping Challenges: Models and Methods 175
Fig. 27 Left panel: flood map for the 2014 Emilia–Romagna flood. Blue flooded agricultural areas,
cyan flooded urban areas, background, January 21, 2014 intensity. Right panels: Photographs taken
in the urban area of Bomporto (From Pulvirenti et al. [49], © 2015 IEEE)
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Data Fusion Through Bayesian Methods for
Flood Monitoring from Remotely Sensed Data
1 Introduction
advantage of giving a snapshot of a very large area in a short time, but other
information may be needed to get precise knowledge about some critical areas.
Natural disaster scenarios are typical examples of complex situations in which
different factors have to be considered to provide accurate and robust assessments.
In particular, in flood detection, the presence of many land cover types, each
one with a particular signature in the presence of inundations, requires modeling
the behavior of different “objects” in remotely sensed images (not necessarily
corresponding to land cover categories) in order to associate them to flood or no-
flood conditions. Generally, the fusion of data, such as multi-temporal, multi-sensor,
multi-resolution, and multi-platform image data, together with other information
provided by various sources, seems essential for a consistent interpretation of
complex scenes: the information obtained by data synergy exploitation is better
(qualitatively and quantitatively, in terms of accuracy, robustness, etc.) than the one
obtained from each source used individually [9]. In the case of flooding, information
provided by human expertise or objective measurements such as distance from the
river, terrain elevation, hydrologic information, or some combination thereof, can be
opportunely merged with remotely sensed images to lead to better performances in
detection. So, effective methods able to manage different types of data and images
and exploit their information are needed.
In this chapter, we describe a class of statistical methods for estimating flood
extension by the fusion of remotely sensed images, acquired from different sensors
at different times, and ancillary data. The proposed method is based on probabilistic
graphical models, an elegant framework which combines uncertainty (probabilities)
and logical structure (independence constraints) to compactly represent complex,
real-world phenomena [14, Ch. 2]. In particular, it is based on Bayesian networks
(BNs), one of the most common types of graphical models, originated from the
classical Bayesian inference theory [1, 18]. In recent years, BNs and, more
generally, probabilistic graphical models have been used as data mining tools in
many information fields, but they have rarely been used to process remote sensing
data. In [27], a BN has been applied to two Landsat TM data acquired at different
times on the same area, obtaining an overall change detection classification accuracy
that overcomes the one obtained by other methods. However, to our knowledge,
the capability of BNs to join different kinds of data has been scarcely exploited.
In [12], a simple probabilistic graphical model has been applied to estimate the
state of roads during flooding, combining a digital elevation model (DEM) with
satellite optical images: the obtained results outperform other methods based only
on the exploitation of imagery data or only on DEM information. On the other
hand, BNs have been successfully used to construct risk assessment systems for
natural disasters, such as rockfalls [33], avalanches [16], or wildfires [23]: various
kinds of data, such as land cover types extracted from the Corine Land Cover
database and road and building densities, have been fused by means of BNs to
obtain reliable risk maps, although none included remotely sensed imagery. Here,
BNs are presented and critically analyzed in a flood detection problem. By using
some test cases, we show how a BN, opportunely conceived and designed, can be
used to integrate multi-temporal remote sensed images and ancillary data, allowing
to both mitigate the false alarms and to correctly identify flooded areas in events
Bayesian Methods for Flood Monitoring from RS data 183
characterized by complex land cover ground conditions and time evolution. The
final goal is the implementation of an automatic tool able to provide, as output
products, probabilistic flood maps, i.e., maps having, for each pixel, the probability
value that the corresponding area has been reached by the inundation, by considering
as input data:
• M multi-temporal imagery sets, each one composed of mi I i D 1; : : : ; M images
acquired at different times, on the same geographical area from the same ith
source. Various sources on different platforms (such as satellite radar and optical
data, aerial photography, imagery acquired by camera on autonomous vehicles,
etc.) can be considered.
• N ancillary information data sets from different sources (such as digital eleva-
tion models, expert information, geological and hydrogeological models, land
use/cover maps, etc.).
This chapter is organized as follows. In Sect. 2, the theoretical principles at the
basis of the proposed method are discussed in details. Some experimental appli-
cations are presented and critically analyzed in Sect. 3, together with information
on the study area and the considered flood event, the available data, as well as
the reference data used for the evaluation. Finally, in Sect. 4, some conclusions are
drawn.
BNs combine probability theory and graph theory, introducing graph structures into
a probabilistic model to represent dependence assumptions among the involved
variables [1, 18]. A BN is characterized by many attractive properties that can be
particularly useful in modeling many real-world systems. First of all, it naturally
provides a general methodology for handling data fusion, allowing the joint
distribution of all variables to be written down tractably, even in cases where its
explicit representation is particularly large. Moreover, a BN graphical structure
can be based on prior knowledge, allowing to construct models that provide an
accurate reflection of the understanding of a domain. Alternatively, the structure
may be learned from data, or even a combination of the two approaches can be used:
pose a prior BN and update it based on observations. Finally, it enables inference:
as previously mentioned, the BN captures the joint distribution of all variables, and
via inference, any/all conditional distribution(s) of interest, in any direction, can be
expressed. These features appear particularly suited for the application domain of
natural disaster monitoring and assessment [35]. The interactions of the variables
of a “system” are encoded through a directed acyclic graph (DAG; see Fig. 1): the
nodes of the DAG represent the random variables, and the edges linking them
correspond to direct influence of one node on another, modeled as conditional
184 A. D’Addabbo et al.
D E
probabilities [1, 18]. In a graph, for each i and j, if Xi ! Xj , the following definitions
hold:
• The variable Xi is a parent of the variable Xj .
• The variable Xj is a descendant of the variable Xj .
For example, in the graph depicted in Fig. 1, the variable C is a parent of D and
E and it is a descendant of A and B.
The BN structure thus provides information about the underlying processes
and the way various variables communicate and share “information” as it spreads
around the network. Formally speaking, the DAG encodes conditional independence
assumptions between variables, and the following assumption holds: each random
variable X is conditionally independent from its non-descendants, i.e., it is inde-
pendent from its non-descendants given its parents. For example, in the DAG in
Fig. 1, the variables D and E are conditionally independent given their parent C, i.e.,
p.D; EjC/ D p.DjC/ p.EjC/. By considering this assumption, the DAG in Fig. 1
represents the following joint probability between the involved variables:
Further insight about this formula will be given in the following subsection, when
the particular application to the flood detection problem will be faced.
In the flood detection problem, the BN framework helps to elegantly gather together
several approaches which combine imagery data, external a priori information
extracted from simple data such as distance from river courses, or more complex
ones such as hydrologic flood models, or, e.g., terrain height or slope. Moreover,
Bayesian Methods for Flood Monitoring from RS data 185
A1 C1 I1
A2 C2 I2
F
AN CM IM
Fig. 2 BN scheme
In order to obtain flood probability maps, we are interested to infer the following
conditional probability value
X X
::: p.F D flood; I1 D I1 ; : : : ; IM D IM
;
C1 CM
C1 ; : : : ; CM ; A1 D A1 ; : : : ; AN D AN /
X X
D ::: p.I1 D I1 ; : : : ; IM D IM
jF D flood;
C1 CM
(4)
C1 ; : : : ; CM ; A1 D A1 ; : : : ; AN D AN /
p.F D flood; C1 ; : : : ; CM ; A1 D A1 ; : : : ; AN D AN /
X X
D p.I1 D I1 jC1 / : : : p.IM D IM
jCM /
C1 CM
In the case of remotely sensed images, it is worth noting that InSAR coherence
carries information about the temporal stability of the microscopic arrangement
of the individual scatterers on the terrain, so it measures the degree of similarity
of two SAR images, at the level of the speckle pattern of single pixels. So, strictly,
the coherence computed between two SAR acquisitions is not independent
from them. However, although InSAR coherence cannot be considered as a
channel independent from SAR intensity, their probabilities satisfy a conditional
independence property.
• Each Ci term, with i D 1; : : : ; M, is conditionally independent of the A1 ; : : : ; AN
nodes and of each other Cj ; j ¤ i term in the network given its parent F. So, if
we know that a given pixel corresponds to a “flooded area,” the knowledge of the
ancillary data and of each other Cj class (i.e., vegetated flooded area) no longer
gives us information about the Ci one. Formally:
Each term in Eq. (6) has been operationally computed in the manner described in
the following. However, it is worth noting that each term could be computed in a
different way, by using different algorithms, models, and ideas.
The p.Ii D Ii jCi;j / terms. Each p Ii D Ii jCi;j is given as an mi -dimensional
probability function generated by a mixture of Ki distributions j D 1; : : : ; Ki .
Here, Ki Gaussian distributions N .Ci;j ; †Ci;j /; j D 1; : : : ; Ki , are considered.
The parameters fCi;j ; †Ci;j g of each function can be automatically computed by
applying a clustering algorithm [3]. In the present case, a K-means algorithm is
considered [3], which can be substituted by any other clustering procedure. In
particular, it is important to point out that the K-means algorithm works considering,
for each pixel in the input images, only the spectral information, while spatial
context information is not used. Thus, an interesting option could be to consider
a spatial context-based clustering method, especially when very high resolution
images are considered in input, i.e., when it is reasonable the assumption that a
pixel is surrounded by pixels of the same class [5]. Moreover, while it is common
to assume Gaussian statistics for most data sets coming from optical sensors, it is
worth noting that full-resolution SAR and InSAR data are usually modeled through
different distribution functions, such as gamma or Wishart [19, 31, 34]: however,
if the number of looks of the filtered SAR images is sufficiently high, both the
SAR intensity and InSAR coherence pdfs can be well approximated with Gaussian
functions. Thus, the abovementioned use of Gaussian multivariate pdfs is justified
assuming, as is very often the case, that a consistent multilook filtering is applied
to the data in the preprocessing steps. The number Ki of each hidden variable Ci
(i.e., the number of clusters in the K-means algorithm) can be set by the user if
some a priori knowledge about the analyzed area is available; otherwise, it can be
determined by a trial-and-error procedure, in order to find the value that provides a
good representation of the different classes believed to be present in the scene. This
has to be chosen by considering that it is mandatory to avoid under-clustering, but
over-clustering is not a problem. In fact, if the number of clusters is too low, there
could be mixed clusters, composed of objects with different spectral signatures.
In this case, the final result could be severely compromised. On the contrary, if
the number of clusters is higher than the best one, there could be several clusters
associated with the same spectral signature, but this does not compromise the final
result.
The p.Ci;j jF/ terms. The probabilities p.Ci;j jF/; j D 1; : : : ; Ki , for each indepen-
dent source data set, i D 1; : : : ; M, are computed by applying the Bayes rule:
p.FjCi;j /p.Ci;j /
p.Ci;j jF/ D ; (7)
p.F/
Bayesian Methods for Flood Monitoring from RS data 189
where the p.Ci;j / terms, derived from the previous p Ii D Ii jCi;j computation,
are given by the relative numbers of pixels in each of the Ci;j clusters and the
p.FjCi;j / are assigned by the user. These are crucial terms because they disclose
the relation between each Ci;j object and the flood condition, i.e., they model the
electromagnetic response of different classes in flood and no-flood condition. As
mentioned, the signal return from some land cover classes can be very complex and
strongly depends on acquisition, system, and environmental parameters; moreover,
the possible presence of water (with land cover classes partially submerged) makes
the modeling even more difficult. Several studies have been conducted about the
characterization of the spectral behavior of different semantic classes in different
ranges of the e.m. spectrum [6, 15]. A few of these consider the backscatter behavior
of some land cover classes in flooded conditions [21, 25]. Here, a simple model is
considered, which computes the p.F D floodjCi;j / terms by comparing the Ci;j
values (previously computed) with empirical thresholds, suitably determined. This
model is based on the following considerations about different types of images.
In optical images, the reflectance of clean water is maximum at the blue end of
the e.m. spectrum and decreases as wavelength increases. Turbid water typically
contains suspended sediment, which increases the reflectance in the red end of
the spectrum, accounting for its brownish appearance. The reflectance of bare
soil depends on its composition, but generally it increases monotonically with
increasing wavelength. Vegetation can be identified by the high NIR but generally
low visible reflectance. As mentioned in Chap. 1, several indices have been proposed
to highlight the specific presence of water in optical images. Nevertheless, red and
near-infrared are among the most diffused bands in use with optical sensors. For
these reasons, a model considering as input the Normalized Difference Vegetation
Index (NDVI) [15] is considered here. NDVI is defined as:
NIR
R
NDVI D ; (8)
NIR C
R
where
NIR and
R are the reflectances in the NIR and red band, respectively. Often,
the use of the radiances instead of the reflectances in NDVI computation is justified
by assuming constant atmospheric and other effects on the two close spectral bands.
A suitable threshold on the NDVI value allows to distinguish between water from
other land cover classes in conditions of low-medium turbidity, while often very
turbid water and mud cannot be safely distinguished from bare soils [15]. If more
images, acquired before and during the flood, are available, it is possible in principle
to distinguish permanent water from flooded areas.
When InSAR coherence is considered, low values are commonly associated with
water. So, by setting a threshold value, it is possible to separate water areas from
other land cover classes. However, an overestimation of flooded area is possible
because other classes (such as forests or other vegetated areas) may also exhibit
typically low coherence value. If more coherence images (acquired before, during,
and/or after the event) are available, it is possible in principle to distinguish areas
showing low coherence values even in dry conditions (typically vegetated terrains),
190 A. D’Addabbo et al.
from flooded areas, which usually exhibit a reduction of coherence during the
inundation. It should not be forgotten that the InSAR coherence information is a
change measurement and thus refers to the changes occurred on the surface between
the two acquisitions defining the InSAR image pair. Here, we assign coherence
information to both the dates of acquisition of the images composing the InSAR pair.
In SAR backscattering intensity images, smooth open water can be easily
detected when the flat water surface acts as a specular reflector, and so the
backscattered signal is very low. A threshold value can then be used to separate
water from other classes. Moreover, by considering more images (acquired, e.g.,
before and during or after the inundation), it is possible to separate permanent water
from flooded areas. As we have seen, other typical behaviors can be isolated if a time
series of SAR images is available. For example, over partially flooded crop land, in
many cases the backscattered signal increases during an inundation, due to double-
bounce effects [30]; however, these effects are difficult to be modeled because they
show a great variability depending on crop characteristics (plant structure, plant and
leaf density, relative height with respect to water level, growth stage, etc.) and also
on the acquisition system (such as frequency band, acquisition angle, polarization).
A similar situation may occur in urban areas, where other effects (such as layover)
could heavily influence the flood detection. More details can be found in [25].
Therefore, in order to consider the double-bounce effects, it is important to have
some experience with backscattering images and to have some information on the
land cover.
The p.FjA1 ; : : : ; AN / term. The conditional probability p.FjA1 ; : : : ; AN /, repre-
senting the a priori probability of flood based only on the ancillary data, can be
modeled in different ways. We recall that the N ancillary information sources,
available on the analyzed scene, can be mathematically not independent among
each other. So, a function depending on the whole set Ak ; k D 1; : : : ; N has to be
considered. This corresponds to consider a single variable that is a combination of
the Ak . However, it is possible to consider each p.FjAk /; k D 1; : : : ; N probability
term as independent from the other ones, assuming that the F variable is not directly
observed [18]. This position is a useful simplification. In the following, both cases
have been considered.
In any case this probability term can be modeled in various ways. Here, two
different monotonic functions bounded in the [0,1] interval are considered:
1. A sigmoid function:
1
p.FjA/ D ;
1 C expŒ .A /
3 Experimental Results
Several flood events occurred in the last years in the Basilicata region (Southern
Italy) and, in particular, in its coastal area on the Ionian Sea, due to its intrinsic litho-
logical and geomorphological properties [4]. In this area, several rivers are flowing
(see Fig. 3). The surrounding land cover is mainly agricultural, characterized by
cereal and vegetable crops or fruit shrubs, while an extended area near the river
mouths and along the coast is occupied by pine forest stands [11]. The frequency
of extreme events has increased, in the last 5 years [24], causing several flooding
episodes, even two–three in the same year, with great damage for agriculture and
industries. This process is enhanced by the agricultural land use of the alluvial
plains, which has reduced the extent of the natural river beds, increasing flood risk.
We focus on an inundation event occurred on Nov. 2–6, 2010. The event was due to
a rainfall occurred in the late morning of November 2. The rainfall lasted about 6 h,
with most of it concentrated in 2 h (10 a.m.–12 a.m.). The Bradano River provoked
inundations that affected several areas during the night between November 2 and 3,
2010. The peak flow at the gauging station SS106 (close to the outlet, see Fig. 4)
was recorded on November 3, at 6 a.m. [29]. This peak produced an inundation that
propagated in the surrounding areas, producing floods during Nov. 3–6.
The acquisition dates of the available input imagery data are reported in Table 1.
For the considered event, there are images (reported in bold characters in Table 1)
acquired during the inundation, thus offering a useful observation data set to follow
the temporal evolution of the flood wave phenomenon, while the other scenes may
act as reference data.
• SAR intensity data. All the SAR images are acquired in stripmap mode
by the COSMO-SkyMed Italian satellite constellation, with a ground pixel
size of approximately 33 m2 , in the same geometry (ascending), polarization
192 A. D’Addabbo et al.
Fig. 3 Location of the test site. Bottom-right inset shows large-scale location of the Basilicata
coastal area (small red square). River names, approximate position of the SS106 streamflow
station, and test area (red rectangle) are indicated on the georeferenced map of one of the SAR
images used in the processing. Background is an optical image from Google EarthTM
Table 1 Acquisition dates of Event date SAR images InSAR pairs Optical images
available imagery data. Bold
text indicates co-event 2010 October 2 October 2–3 November 6
acquisitions October 3 November 3–4
October 10
November 3
November 4
November 11
Bayesian Methods for Flood Monitoring from RS data 193
Fig. 4 Description of the flood event recorded during November 2–4, 2010. The graph describes
the temporal evolution of the water level recorded at the SS106 streamflow station and of the
rainfall amount averaged over the basin area
(VV), and incidence angle (38ı ). Preprocessing included standard SAR intensity
calibration. All the images were precisely co-registered at sub-pixel precision on
a common master, using height information from SRTM data [22]. A filtering
step was performed using a nonlocal approach [10]. Final filtered intensity
images were geocoded to a common reference frame, thus obtaining regular-grid
UTM maps with a posting of 3 m in both dimensions.
• InSAR coherence data. The coherence images have been obtained from the
1-day interferometric SAR pairs among the previously described data. Spatial
baselines for the data set are contained within a few hundred meters interval,
which is an order of magnitude smaller than the critical baseline value for
COSMO-SkyMed data. This ensures that geometric decorrelation [36] is neg-
ligible in the considered data set, so that 1-day separation InSAR pairs exhibit
coherence information which is mainly affected by temporal variations between
the two acquisitions. Interferometric processing was thus performed through
the DORIS open source software [17]. Coherence was computed on a 1111
pixels sliding window, previously removing the systematic topographic phase
from the data. These images were also geocoded to the same reference frame as
the intensity ones.
• Optical data. A RapidEye [28] optical image, at a ground resolution of 5 m,
acquired on November 6, 2010, which presents sufficient cloud-free information
around the study area, was available for the flood event considered. It is acquired
in five spectral bands, of which the ones corresponding to the red and near-
infrared intervals were used to obtain the NDVI according to Eq. (8), with
radiance values in place of reflectance. The NDVI maps were geocoded to the
194 A. D’Addabbo et al.
same reference frame of the other images, covering part of the test area covered
by the SAR data.
• Ancillary data. The following ancillary data sources were considered:
– Distance from the river. The Euclidean distance from the Bradano River bed
was used, based on the heuristic principle that the higher the distance by the
river, the lower the probability that a pixel could belong to the flooded class.
– Geomorphic flooding index (GFI). This ancillary datum is computed from
the definition in [20, 32]:
First of all, the flood event has been analyzed by considering only the six multi-
temporal SAR intensity images listed in Table 1 and the distance from the Bradano
River as ancillary datum. The corresponding BN scheme is reported in Fig. 5.
A F C I
Fig. 5 BN scheme in which only the SAR intensity data and the distance from the river have been
considered
1
The contributing area, or drainage area, of a given river point is the sum of the hydrologically
connected area upslope that point. A contributing area can be generally calculated for every
landscape point by iteratively summing unitary “parcels” or pixels upslope a given point (see,
e.g., [2]).
Bayesian Methods for Flood Monitoring from RS data 195
Table 2 Probability values P.FjC/ assigned to clusters for the Nov. 3 and 4, 2010, test cases.
Centroid arrays consist of the six backscattering intensities (in dB) in all the available acquisitions,
in temporal order from left to right (Oct. 2, 3, and 10, Nov. 3, 4, and 11)
Centroid value (dB) P.FjC/
I1 I2 I3 I4 I5 I6 03/11/10 04/11/10
9.17 9.04 9.62 16.74 7.32 8.68 0.90 0.10
8.03 8.89 9.47 9.45 16.59 9.55 0.10 0.90
9.02 9.34 10.05 13.93 17.48 17.32 0.90 0.90
7.00 7.40 7.79 5.25 4.79 6.59 0.70 0.70
6.97 8.13 8.79 6.56 6.24 8.59 0.70 0.70
17.11 17.36 17.56 16.76 16.68 17.08 0.10 0.10
1.65 2.16 2.48 0.04 0.19 1.96 0.05 0.05
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
(a) (b)
Fig. 6 Probabilistic flood maps produced by the BN approach for the dates of Nov. 3 (a) and Nov.
4, 2010 (b), on the area highlighted by the red rectangle in Fig. 3
two rows of Table 2 are associated to no-flood conditions, and consequently low
probability values were assigned. Generally, very low probabilities were assigned to
all the clusters showing constantly high or constantly low intensity values.
The probability p.FjA/, with A given by the distance d from the river in this
case, has been computed as a sigmoid function of d, which decays with different
steepness in each of the monitored days, according to some information available on
the considered event; for this reason, the parameters reported in the second column
of Table 5 have been used. The flood maps depicted in Fig. 6 represent the final
p.FjI; A/ > 0:5 posterior probability of flood, computed on the basis of the available
evidence.
To have an idea of the performances of the method, the two BN-derived flood
maps of the 2010 event have been compared with other reference flood maps,
independently obtained from hydraulic modeling (see [29] for details). An overall
accuracy A D 92% and A D 96% is obtained, respectively, for the Nov. 3 map
and for the Nov. 4 map, considering the binary maps with p > 0:5. Actually, the
sets of flood and no-flood pixels are very unbalanced on the maps (the extension of
the flooded area is relatively small with respect to the total analyzed area), so the
true positive rate (TPR) and false positive rate (FPR) values are also considered to
give more objective evaluations. They are defined as:
TP
TPR D I (10)
TP C FN
FP
FPR D I (11)
FP C TN
Bayesian Methods for Flood Monitoring from RS data 197
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
TPR
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
03/11/2010
0.1
04/11/2010
0
0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1
FPR
Fig. 7 ROC curves obtained by comparing the flood probability maps in Fig. 6 with the reference
data for Nov. 3 and Nov. 4, respectively
where TP is the number of true positives, i.e., the actual flood data that are correctly
classified; FP is the number of false positives, i.e., negative data classified as
positive; TN is the number of true negatives, i.e., the actual no-flood data that
are correctly classified; and FN is the number of false negatives, i.e., positive data
classified as negative. In Fig. 7, the corresponding receiver operator characteristic
(ROC) curves, obtained by using increasing threshold P values for the BN-derived
probability maps, are reported: a good agreement with the reference maps has been
obtained, with areas under the curve (AUC) values for the Nov. 3 map and for
the Nov. 4 map equal to 0.94 and 0.81, respectively. As can be seen, these figures
correspond to moderately prudent estimators, with reasonable sensitivities sided by
very good specificities.
Although only some of the available images have been used, promising results
have been obtained. However, there are some critical behaviors that require a more
detailed analysis. In particular, the colored polygons in Fig. 8 have been considered.
The red polygon is a false alarm example: it shows a mean probability value,
computed on its area, equal to P.F D floodjI; A/ D 0:73, although it is modeled
as not flooded by the abovementioned hydrogeological model. In fact, its SAR
intensity mean values, computed on the polygon area, for the dates corresponding
to the flood event, are lower than the values measured in the other available images,
as reported in Table 3. Although the SAR intensity decrease, exhibited in this area
198 A. D’Addabbo et al.
during the event, is not comparable with the ones observed in actual flooded areas,
it was labeled by the BN network with high posterior probability values.
The other three polygons highlighted in Fig. 8 correspond to areas covered by
vineyards, as it can be observed by two optical images, freely available on Google
Earth, acquired before (April 4, 2010) and after the event (March 12, 2011) (see [7]
for further details). They are very likely examples of missed identifications; in fact,
the abovementioned hydrogeological model predicts water levels in these areas in
the range 50–115 cm. In these cases, by considering the typical vineyard structure, it
is reasonable that a double-bounce effect occurred in these areas, although the SAR
backscatter increase is lower than the ones exhibited in other areas characterized by
the same effect.
Fig. 8 A detail of the probabilistic flood map for Nov. 3, shown in Fig. 6a, with some areas
highlighted by using different colors
Table 3 Mean probability values P.FjI; A/ assigned to each polygon in Fig. 8 for the Nov. 3, 2010
test case. Centroid arrays consist of the six mean backscattering intensities (in dB), computed on
each polygon, in the whole available acquisitions, in temporal order from left to right (Oct. 2, 3, 10,
Nov. 3, 4, and 11)
Centroid value (dB)
Polygon I1 I2 I3 I4 I5 I6 P.FjA; I/
Red 7.15 8.88 10.42 13.67 13.06 14.79 0.73
Green 9.60 9.24 9.35 9.98 8.39 7.41 0.53
Blue 6.81 6.15 7.52 6.72 5.98 7.56 0.26
Yellow 7.25 6.53 7.34 7.66 6.52 7.36 0.31
200 A. D’Addabbo et al.
C1 I1
A F
C2 I2
Fig. 9 BN scheme in which the SAR backscatter (I1 ) and InSAR coherence (I2 ) data are used,
considered as conditionally independent
forming the InSAR pair, or even for any time interval between the first and the
second sensor passage, but not at the time of the two acquisitions. Since the InSAR
coherence image is inevitably associated with both the acquisition dates of the
pair, in the above cases, this may lead to an overestimation of the time interval
during which a particular area was interested by floodwater. This aspect could be
a drawback in the following flood dynamics, but it can be overcome when the
coherence information is suitably merged with other kinds of data. Again, various
tests were performed in this case, finding that K2 D 8 clusters give a reliable
representation of the analyzed scene, showing several distinguishable behaviors. In
particular, three different temporal trends can be pointed out: clusters characterized
by constantly high coherence value, clusters having constantly low coherence value,
and clusters showing a significant reduction of coherence during the flood event.
The probabilities p.C2 jF/ have been computed by applying the Bayes rule, with
the P.FjC2 / terms assigned by the user. An example of some assigned P.FjC2 /
is reported in Table 4. In particular, the clusters showing significant decrease of
coherence are assigned high values of P.FjC2 /; clusters exhibiting constantly low
coherence values are given lower values. Finally, all the other clusters, showing
constantly high intensity value and high coherence value, are given very low
probabilities. It is important to note that, for example, a given pixel can be
characterized by an intermediate value of P.FjC1 / and a high value of P.FjC2 /,
because the two kinds of data have been considered as independent.
A probability value to be flooded is assigned to each pixel in the analyzed
scene by using Eq. (3), i.e., by fusing SAR intensity data, InSAR coherence data,
and distance from the river. The flood maps depicted in Fig. 10 represent the final
Bayesian Methods for Flood Monitoring from RS data 201
Fig. 10 Probabilistic flood maps produced by the BN approach through the scheme in Fig. 9, for
the dates of Nov. 3 (a) and Nov. 4, 2010 (b). Location and grayscale are the same as in Fig. 6
posterior probabilities of flood. The two probabilistic flood maps have been again
compared with the same reference flood maps previously cited, independently
obtained from hydraulic model [29]. The best overall accuracy values, obtained by
varying the probability threshold values, are respectively, A D 92% and A D 96%.
In Fig. 11, the corresponding ROC curves are reported: a good agreement with the
reference maps has been obtained, with AUC values for the November 3 and 4 maps,
respectively, equal to 0:95 and 0:83. Moreover, all the four polygons previously
considered are correctly classified.
We have then also considered the information extracted from an optical image, i.e.,
a RapidEye multispectral image [8, 28], whose red and infrared bands were used
to compute, for each pixel, the corresponding NDVI index. We used this image
together with the other data used in the preceding experimental setup, with the
additional optical image node considered, as in Fig. 9, conditionally independent
from the other SAR and InSAR image nodes. In this case, the optical image has been
used only to follow the flood dynamics, because it has been acquired in a different
date with respect to the SAR acquisition. In principle, optical or other data, acquired
in dry conditions, could also be used as additional ancillary (“A”) nodes within the
202 A. D’Addabbo et al.
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
TPR
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
03/11/2010
0.1 04/11/2010
0
0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1
FPR
Fig. 11 ROC curves obtained by comparing the flood probability maps in Fig. 10 with the
reference data for Nov. 3 and Nov. 4, respectively
Finally, the same imagery data have been considered as the preceding experiment,
but another ancillary information source, i.e., the GFI, has been added. Two different
relations between the two ancillary data sources have been explored. First of all, the
conditional probability function P.FjA1 ; A2 / has been modeled as a sigmoid. In our
case, P.FjA1 ; A2 / is a function of two independent variables, for which the following
linear relation is considered:
A D t1 A1 C t2 A2 (12)
where t1 and t2 have been introduced to properly take into account the contribution
of each variable. In this way, the two ancillary variables, i.e., the GFI and the
distance from the river course, have been combined into a single variable which can
be interpreted as a “modified” Euclidean distance, modulated by the weight factors
t1 and t2 which also serve as a normalization constant to bring both variables within
a common interval. These weights, together with the sigmoid function parameters,
and , have to be set by considering information about the considered event.
Anyway, this particular relation between variables is not mandatory for the success
204 A. D’Addabbo et al.
Table 5 Function type and parameters for each considered ancillary datum
Ancillary data type A1 (Distance d, m) A2 (GFI)
Function type Sigmoid Piecewise Linear
Parameters for date 2010-11-03 D 1=300, D 300 g1 D 1, g2 D 4
Parameters for date 2010-11-04 D 1=700, D 100 g1 D 3, g2 D 4
Parameters for date 2010-11-06 D 1=100, D 100 g1 D 3, g2 D 4
Fig. 13 Probability flood maps: (a) Nov. 3, (b) Nov. 4, (c) Nov. 6, 2010, through the BN scheme
described in Sect. 3.6. Location and grayscale are the same as in Fig. 6
of the proposed methodology, and other forms could be used. For instance, in order
to avoid having to set these parameters, which often require a detailed knowledge
of the flood evolution, which is what we want to predict, the independence between
ancillary data can be considered. This additional case was then also considered,
and the two ancillary information sources were thus considered as conditionally
independent. The probability terms were modeled according to a sigmoid function
for the variable A1 D d and according to a piecewise linear function for the
variable A2 D GFI, respectively. The type of function selected and the parameters
are reported in Table 5. The flood maps depicted in Fig. 13 represent the final
posterior probabilities of flood. The two maps for November 3 and 4 have been
compared again with the same reference flood maps, independently obtained by
using a hydrologic flood model [20]. No model result was available for the date
of November 6. In Fig. 14, the two corresponding receiver operator characteristic
(ROC) curves are reported: a fair agreement with the reference maps has been
obtained, with areas under the curve (AUC) values for the November 3 and 4 maps
equal to 0.94 and 0.86, respectively. The best overall accuracies, obtained by varying
the probability threshold values, are, respectively, equal to 93% and 96%, for Nov.
3 and 4.
Bayesian Methods for Flood Monitoring from RS data 205
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
TPR
0.5
0.4
0.3
03/11/2010
0.2 04/11/2010
0.1
0
0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1
FPR
Fig. 14 ROC curves obtained by comparing the probability maps in Fig. 13a,b with the reference
maps for Nov. 3 and Nov. 4
4 Conclusions
Obviously, more elaborated information, for example, explicit e.m. simulation tools
to rigorously infer the expected backscattering response of flooded/nonflooded areas
to the incoming e.m. radiation, in both optical and microwave spectral bands, can
also be considered to obtain better results. Moreover, different BN schemes (i.e.,
different ways to merge imagery data) can be considered, in order to exploit the
internal dependencies among these variables. In conclusion, BNs appear to be a
powerful tool to perform data fusion in the analysis of complex real-world systems,
such as natural hazard detection. The goal appears thus to be feasible, of setting up
an automated procedure, based on BN, to extract unambiguously flooded areas from
satellite images, resolving ambiguities through inference of a priori information
from data acquired before or after the event, in absence of flood conditions.
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Index
A I
Adaptive image processing, 118 Intelligent interface, 87–89, 93
Automatic flood detection techniques, 49, 89, Interdisciplinary approach, 81–97
183
M
B Multimodel simulation, 85
Bayesian networks (BNs), 13, 18, 154, Multi-temporal analysis, 41, 42, 49, 119
182–191, 194, 198, 200–206 Multi-temporal flood monitoring, 2, 119, 195
Binary classifiers, 17, 63, 67–70
O
C Operational forecasting, 85, 89
Change detection, 12, 14, 27–53, 117, 147, Optical and SAR remotely sensed data, 49
150, 152–153, 181, 182 Optical remote sensing, 4, 27–30, 39, 41–42,
Color composite image, 122, 170 46, 50, 54
D R
Data fusion, 13, 118, 119, 122, 181–206 Remote sensing data, 2, 13, 15, 16, 18, 30–32,
DEM-based approaches, 61–76 34, 41, 48, 85, 86, 91–92, 95, 96, 186
DEM-based flood area assessment, 157, 182 River floods, 27, 81–97, 101–112
F S
Fast-ready flood map, 117–119, 121, 122, 126, SAR backscatter modeling, 136, 143, 149–150,
128, 132 151, 154–156, 190, 198, 200
Flood hazard maps, 66, 70, 71 SAR-based flood monitoring, 162
Flood monitoring, 1–18, 29, 84, 85, 91, SAR image segmentation, 117, 118
101–112, 115–132, 181–206 SAR-optical data integration, 103, 203–205
Flood response, 27–54, 83 SAR polarimetry and interferometry for flood
mapping, 144–147
Service oriented architecture (SOA), 85, 96
G
Geomorphic changes, 37, 46, 49, 50, 52, 53
Geomorphological mapping, 35, 67, T
68, 109 Time series analysis, 12, 151