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The term cash flow is in common use today in the news media and in company
financial statements. Much confusion has arisen over the definition and use of
cash flow. Cash flow may be expressed on the basis of before taxes or after taxes
but the basis must be stated. The after-tax cash flow is defined as net income
(profit) after taxes plus depreciation and depletion. Accountants use the concept
of funds or money flow that includes cash flow and other noncash items. Cash flow
is important to people preparing financial and engineering cost analyses.
For an engineer to be able to prepare economic evaluations of ventures or
projects, it is necessary to identify the sources of cash flow and the disposition of
monies. Simple diagrams analogous to the flow of materials through a process
may be used to illustrate the cash flow concept. The diagrams and discussion
leading to the cash flow model may be found in Figures 8.1 to 8.3.
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The term tD is the contribution to cash flow from depreciation and ð1 2 tÞR and
ð1 2 tÞC are contributions to cash flow from the revenues and the cash operating
expenses, respectively.
When two cash flow cases are compared, Eq. (8.2) may be modified as
follows:
DCF ¼ tðDDÞ þ ð1 2 tÞðDRÞ 2 ð1 2 tÞðDCÞ ð8:3Þ
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Cash Flow Concept 197
where
DCF ¼ difference in cash flow $
DD ¼ difference in depreciation and depletion $
DR ¼ difference in revenue $
DC ¼ difference in cash operating expenses $
There are some cases when revenue is not affected by a process; then
DR ¼ 0: An example would be comparing the cash flow for two processes
making the same product. Since the amount of product manufactured would be
the same, DR ¼ 0:
In Example 8.1, the use of the cash flow model is demonstrated. It is
advisable to first draw the cash flow model, label all streams, and then proceed
with the problem solution using a tabular format.
Example 8.1
Problem Statement:
A company is considering the manufacture of a new specialty chemical for
a limited market. To build the new plant, land must be acquired that is estimated
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198 Chapter 8
Calculate the summary of capital requirements and the yearly cash flow of
the venture using the cash flow model.
Solution:
Land $350,000
Fixed capital requirements $12,000,000
Working capital $1,500,000
Total capital requirements $13,850,000
For the yearly cash flow, see Table 8.1. According to Table 7.3, the
recovery period is 5 years and the class life is 9.5 years for the equipment to
manufacture this product. Note that the decrease in cash flow is significant
beginning in year 6, and thereafter depreciation is not applicable in years 7 – 11.
The cash flow diagram, Figure 8.6, is helpful for envisioning how cash flows in a
project during the first year of operation only. For subsequent years, a similar
diagram may be developed.
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Cash Flow Concept
TABLE 8.1 Cash Flow Table for Example 8.1
Net
Total oper- Cash oper- income After-tax
Selling Annual ating ating Operating Depreci- Gross 35% after cash
Sales, price, sales, expense, Depreciation, expenses, income, ation, profit, fit, taxes, Depreciation, flow,
Year MM lb/yr $/lb $MM $MM $MM $MM $MM $MM $MM $MM $MM $MM $MM
1 20 0.48 9.60 6.20 1.20 5.00 4.60 1.20 3.40 1.19 2.21 1.20 3.41
2 22 0.48 10.56 7.04 2.40 4.64 5.92 2.40 3.52 1.23 2.29 2.40 4.69
3 25 0.50 12.50 7.65 2.40 5.25 7.25 2.40 4.85 1.70 3.15 2.40 5.55
4 27 0.51 13.77 7.91 2.40 5.51 8.26 2.40 5.86 2.05 3.81 2.40 6.21
5 30 0.51 15.30 8.37 2.40 5.97 9.33 2.40 6.93 2.43 4.50 2.40 6.90
6 35 0.49 17.19 9.66 1.20 8.46 8.73 1.20 7.53 2.64 4.89 2.40 6.09
7 35 0.49 17.19 10.01 10.01 7.18 7.18 2.51 4.67 1.20 4.67
8 34 0.48 16.32 9.93 9.93 6.39 6.39 2.24 4.15 4.15
9 32 0.47 15.04 9.92 9.92 5.12 5.12 1.79 3.33 3.33
10 30 0.46 13.80 9.60 9.60 4.20 4.20 1.47 2.73 2.73
11 27 0.45 12.15 9.18 9.18 2.97 2.97 1.04 1.93 1.93
199
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200 Chapter 8
FIGURE 8.6 Cash flow diagram for Example 8.1 (first year of operation).
Example 8.2
Problem Statement:
A chemical manufacturer of a specialty product finds that to debottleneck
the operation, a new clarifying filter will be required. Two vendors presented bids
for the equipment. The cost estimates for the installation and operating expenses
were prepared by the firm’s engineering department. The data are as follows:
TABLE 7
Vendor A Vendor B
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Cash Flow Concept 201
Solution:
One cannot tell which vendor’s equipment to select based upon visual
inspection. A numerical comparison must be made. Figure 8.7 is the cash flow
analysis for vendor A’s equipment. The cash flow analysis for vendor B’s
equipment is shown in Figure 8.8.
A basic assumption in the analysis of this problem is that either vendor’s
equipment will provide the same service. From the problem statement, if vendor
A’s equipment is installed, it would cost the firm $98,500 more money than
“at present.” “At present” assumes nothing is to be done—the status quo is
maintained. Vendor A’s equipment will cost $10,950 more cash operating
expenses, resulting in $10,950 less operating income. The depreciation on this
equipment is $19,700 more. The gross profit is found by subtracting the
depreciation from the operating income, and the result is $30,650 less.
The income taxes is 35% of the gross profit, or $10,728. When the income tax is
subtracted from the gross profit, the net profit after taxes results, namely, $19,922.
By definition, after-tax cash flow is the sum of the depreciation and the net profit
after taxes, or $19,700 more and $19,922 less. Therefore, the after-tax cash flow
for this case is $222 less than doing nothing. (Note: The rules of algebra apply in
this analysis, namely, when a value is subtracted from another quantity the sign
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202 Chapter 8
is changed and the quantities are summed. All “more” quantities have a þ sign
and all “less” quantities have a 2 sign.)
In similar fashion, the case for vendor B’s equipment may be determined
and it resulted in $1298 more cash flow than doing nothing. Therefore, vendor B’s
equipment should be selected based on the fact that it generates more cash flow
than vendor A’s. There may be other considerations in the selection of either
equipment but the analysis above is strictly based on cash flow.
This problem may be solved using differences in cash flows of the two cases.
The larger investment should be compared to the lesser one because the resulting
numbers are positive, case B versus case A. The cash flow comparison of vendor
B’s equipment with vendor A’s equipment is shown in Figure 8.9.
The $1520 more cash flow checks with the cash flows for the individual,
vendor A’s and vendor B’s equipment, namely, $1298 more minus $222 less ¼
$1520 more cash flow in favor of vendor’s B equipment.
This “more –less” or “difference” analysis is particularly useful for small
plant investment problems involving additions or replacing equipment. We shall
again use this technique in Chapter 12.
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Cash Flow Concept 203
FIGURE 8.9 Cash flow diagram for Example 8.2 using difference method.
selected. There are normally two choices—time zero being when the plant starts
up and produces a salable product or when the first expenditure is made.
In Figure 8.10, time zero is selected as start-up. Expenditures for land and
equipment in this case are made prior to time zero and represent a negative cash
flow. At time zero, working capital is charged to the project, representing a
further negative cash flow. As the plant begins to operate, revenues are generated
from the sale of product and positive cash flows occur. Figure 8.10 represents a
historical flow of cash and the cumulative effect of cash flow for the project,
hence the name cumulative cash position plot. When the project terminates, the
land and working capital are recovered by the company. For this case, these
capital items may be regarded as interest-free loans to the project.
In the previous paragraph, time zero was selected as start-up. As an
alternative, it may be more convenient to select time zero when the first funds are
spent. The former approach is useful for cases when a new project is being
considered. The latter approach is frequently more convenient for cases when
equipment is being added to or an expansion of an already existing plant is to be
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204 Chapter 8
made. The selection of either time base is satisfactory for economic analysis as
long as consistency is maintained. The resulting decision based upon either time
base will be the same but the numbers may be different.
In order to illustrate the development of the cumulative cash position plot, a
modification of Example 8.1 will be used.
Example 8.3
Problem Statement:
Read again Example 8.1. The fixed capital investment is to be purchased
and installed over a 2-year period prior to start-up. Land will be available 2 years
prior to time zero, and working capital will be charged to the project at time zero.
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Cash Flow Concept 205
Both will be recovered at the end of the project. Using this information and the
data from Example 8.1, prepare a cumulative cash position table and plot.
Solution:
The cumulative cash position data are found in Table 8.2, and a cumulative
cash position plot for Example 8.3 is presented in Figure 8.11. If it assumed that
time zero for this analysis is start-up, the land is charged to the project
instantaneously 2 years prior to start-up. The firm may have already owned the
land or it may have been purchased at that time. In either case, the price of the land
is transferred to the project by the company’s accountants. This outflow of cash is
depicted in Figure 8.11 as a negative cash flow 2 years before start-up. Equipment
is purchased and installed over a 2-year period. In Figure 8.11, this expenditure is
shown as a uniform cash outflow over that period. The actual project expenditure
for the purchase and installation of equipment is a skewed bell-shaped curve
with the peak occurring about 60% between minus 2 years and zero (see Fig.
8.12). From an economic standpoint, the simplification of uniform cash flow does
not normally affect the ultimate decision although the absolute value of the cash
flow will vary whether it is uniformly or nonuniformly dispensed.
TABLE 8.2 Cumulative Cash Position Table for Example 8.3 with No Interest
Cash flows, $M
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Cash Flow Concept 207
Up to this point in the discussion, the cash flow patterns have been idealized
to illustrate the mechanics of calculating and displaying cash flow. In reality,
project expenditures as a function of project completion follow a skewed
bell-shaped curve, as displayed in Figure 8.12. Expenditures are stepwise
additions to the capital but in this plot have been smoothed. At about 60% project
completion, the maximum expenditures are made for a typical project. It should
be realized that in any given project, expenditure curves vary but will show a
similar pattern to Figure 8.12.
Example 8.4
Problem Statement:
Reread Example 8.3. The firm uses 20% continuous interest for its present
worth calculations. Discrete end-of-year or midyear convention may be used
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208 Chapter 8
TABLE 8.3 Cumulative Cash Position Table for Example 8.4 with 20% Interest
Cash flows, $M
After-tax Interest Present Cumulative
Time period Investment cash flow factor worth cash position
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Cash Flow Concept 209
Example 8.5
Problem Statement:
Small plastics, Inc. is considering the manufacture of novelty items for a
given market. Land may be purchased adjacent to their existing operation for
$425,000. An estimate of the fixed capital investment for the proposed operation
is $3,600,000. At start-up, $550,000 will be required as working capital. It will
take 2 years to prepare the land site, purchase and install the necessary
equipment. At the end of project, the land and working capital are recovered.
For this 11-year project, the following income and cash operating expenses have
been estimated:
TABLE
Cash operating
Year Income, $M expenses, $M
1 $3,700 $2,950
2 4,280 3,400
3 4,750 3,600
4 5,400 3,850
5 6,200 4,400
6 6,500 4,750
7 6,300 4,800
8 6,200 4,900
9 5,800 4,600
10 5,100 4,200
11 4,500 3,900
Solution:
Table 8.4 contains the major elements of a cash flow analysis. Across the
top of the table are the project years starting with 2 2 years and ending with the
eleventh year when the capital is recovered. In the left-hand column are the items
that contribute to the cash flow so that they may be considered properly at the
proposed time. Beneath the total capital investment are the individual entries
constituting the profit – loss statement. At the bottom left are the items after-tax
cash flow, capital recovery, and cumulative cash flow.
This template is constructed so that systematically various entries from
Example 8.5 are entered in the appropriate places. This template may be thought
to lie behind Table 8.4 and may be used for subsequent cases. The cumulative
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210
TABLE 8.4 Cash Flow Table for Example 8.5
Cash flow, $M
Year-item
investment 22 21 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 End 11
Land 2425
Fixed capital 21,000 2 2,600
investment
Working capital 2550
Total capital 21,425 2 2,600 2550
investment
Profit –loss
statement
Income 3,700 4,280 4,750 5,400 6,200 6,500 6,300 6,200 5,800 5,100 4,500
Expenses
Cash operating 2,950 3,400 3,600 3,850 4,400 4,750 4,800 4,900 4,600 4,200 3,900
expenses
Depreciation 360 720 720 720 720 360
Total operating 3,310 4,120 4,320 4,570 5,120 5,110 4,800 4,900 4,600 4,200 3,900
expenses
Operating income 750 880 1,150 1,550 1,800 1,750 1,500 1,300 1,200 900 600
Net income before 390 160 430 830 1,080 1,390 1,500 1,300 1,200 900 600
taxes
Federal income 137 56 151 291 378 487 525 455 420 315 210
taxes
Net income after 253 104 279 539 702 903 975 845 780 585 390
Chapter 8
taxes
After-tax cash flow 613 824 999 1,259 1,422 1,263 975 845 780 585 390
Capital recovery 975
Cumulative cash flow 21,425 2 4,025 2 4,575 2 3,962 23,138 2 2,139 2 880 542 1,805 2,780 3,625 4,405 4,990 5,380 6,355
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Cash Flow Concept 211
cash position plot, Figure 8.13, may be generated from data in Example 8.5 by
using appropriate commands in the electronic spreadsheet.
Once the base case has been established, “what if” analysis can be
conducted altering various entries that will result in different cash flow patterns.
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212 Chapter 8
REFERENCES
1. VW Uhl, AW Hawkins. Technical Economics for engineers. A.I.Ch.E. Continuing
Education Series No. 5. New York: American Institute of Chemical Engineers, 1971.
2. JR Couper, WH Rader. Applied Finance and Economic Analysis for Scientists and
Engineers. New York: Van Nostrand Reinhold, 1986.
3. LWT Cummings. Economic Evaluation of New Ventures. Philadelphia, PA: Wharton
School of Business, University of Pennsylvania, 1963.
4. DF Rudd, CC Watson. Strategy of Process Engineering. New York: Wiley, 1968.
5. KK Humphreys. Jelen’s Cost and Optimization Engineering. 3rd ed. New York:
McGraw-Hill, 1991.
PROBLEMS
8.1 To remedy a dust problem in the bulk packaging area of a fertilizer plant,
two wet-scrubbing systems have been proposed. The data are as follows:
A B
Machine A Machine B
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Cash Flow Concept 213
Determine:
a. Cash flow analysis for installing machine A.
b. Cash flow analysis for installing machine B.
c. Using the difference method, compare Machine A with Machine B.
d. On the basis of cash flow, which machine is to be preferred?
Use cash flow diagrams for this analysis.
8.3 Star Chemical Company manufactures a line of specialty products. The
land for a proposed venture may be considered negligible for this analysis.
The fixed capital investment is estimated to be $6,000,000. An adequate amount
of working capital is believed to be $1,000,000. The equipment is to be purchased
and installed over an 18-month period prior to start-up. The project is estimated
to have a 10-year life. For this investment, a 5-year MACRS depreciation with
the half-year convention is used. The projected sales, selling price, and cash
operating expenses are tabulated below.
If the federal income tax rate is 35%, provide the following for manage-
ment’s consideration:
TABLE
Projected sales
Year Sales, lb/yr Selling price, $/lb
1 15MM $0.28
2 17MM 0.28
3 19MM 0.26
4 20MM 0.27
5 20MM 0.28
6 20MM 0.29
7 18MM 0.30
8 17MM 0.30
9 15MM 0.28
10 13MM 0.28
Cash operating expenses
Year Expenses, $/lb
1 0.16
2 0.15
3 0.15
4 0.15
5 0.16
6 0.17
7,8 0.17
9,10 0.18
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214 Chapter 8
1 $75,000
2 80,000
3 90,000
4 100,000
5 82,000
6 76,000
7 74,000
8 70,000
9 68,000
10 65,000
At the end of the third year, new bearings must be installed for $30,000 and
again at the end of the sixth year for $40,000. Using the cumulative cash flow
diagram, assuming a 10-year project life and time zero occurs when the initial
equipment is purchased, show how the cash flows into and out of this venture are
effected if these bearings are considered as
a. Capital investment
b. Operating expense in the appropriate years
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Cash Flow Concept 215
1 4.0 $0.68
2 5.0 0.66
3 7.0 0.65
4 8.0 0.64
5 8.5 0.64
6 8.7 0.63
7 9.0 0.62
8 8.5 0.64
9 8.2 0.65
10 7.8 0.70
1 $2.0MM
2 2.5MM
3 2.7MM
4 2.8MM
5 3.0MM
6 3.1MM
7 3.3MM
8 3.4MM
9 3.4MM
10 3.5MM
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216 Chapter 8
the project. If the federal income tax rate is 35%, prepare a cash flow analysis and
a cumulative cash position diagram for the proposed project. From your analysis,
what is your opinion of the proposed venture, justifying all statement with
figures?
Projected sales
1 6.0 0.86
2 6.5 0.87
3 7.0 0.87
4 8.0 0.88
5 10.0 0.88
6 10.0 0.88
7 10.0 0.88
8 9.0 0.90
9 7.0 0.87
10 6.0 0.85
Cash operating expenses
Year Cash operating expenses, $/lb
1 0.30
2 0.31
3 0.31
4 0.33
5 0.34
6 0.35
7 0.35
8 0.36
9 0.36
10 0.37
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Cash Flow Concept 217
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