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INDONESIA’S CEMENT INDUSTRY: NOW and THE FUTURE
SMGR Corporate Presentation
JANUARY 2015
CEMENT INDUSTRY AT A GLANCE
2
Kuala
Lumpur
Singapore
1
1
SMGR
3
1 6
4 7
5
DOMESTIC CAPACITY (2014)
CEMENT INDUSTRY 2013 2014F 1) 2015F 1)
1. SEMEN INDONESIA 29.5 mn ton
• Design Capacity : 68.0 mio tons 71.5 mio tons 82.2 mio tons
• Production Capacity : 55.2 mio tons 60.0 mio tons 69.8 mio tons - Semen Padang : 7.3 mn ton
• Domestic Growth : 5.5% 6.0% 6.0% - Semen Gresik : 14.4 mn ton
• Domestic Utilization : 100% 100% 94% - Semen Tonasa: 7.8 mn ton
•Supply 2. Semen Andalas 2) 1.6 mn ton
Domestic : 58.0 mio tons 61.0 mio tons 65.8 mio tons
3. Semen Baturaja 1.3 mn ton
Export : 0.5 mio tons 0.5 mio tons 0.5 mio tons
Import : 3.3 mio tons2) 3.0 mio tons 3)) 3.0 mio tons3) 4. Indocement TP 20.5 mn ton
5. Holcim Indonesia 12.1 mn ton
6. Semen Bosowa 6.0 mn ton
1) Based on the Company’s forecast
7. Semen Kupang 0.5 mn ton
2) Imported cement by PT Semen Andalas (1.0 mio ton) and clinker by Bosawa and Kupang 2
3) Imported cement & clinker TOTAL 71.5 mn ton
ADDITIONAL INSTALLED CAPACITY IN THE NEXT 5 YEARS
New Cement Capacity from Existing Players (2013 – 2017)
No Company Targeted Plant Declared Capacity Prognose Design Capacity Investment Remarks
Location (mn tons) (mn tons) (US$ mn)
Semen Java, Sumatera, Upgrading +
1 11.5 9.0 970
Indonesia Sulawesi green/brownfield
Cement Mill +
2 Indocement Java, Kalimantan 8.8 6.3 1,560 (E)
brown/greenfield
3 Holcim East Java 3.8 3.4 680 (E) Brown/Greenfield
4 Bosowa Java, Sulawesi 7.9 3.4 620 Cement Mill + Brownfield
5 Semen Andalas Sumatera 1.6 0 300 Greenfield
6 Semen Baturaja Sumatera 2.6 1.5 325 Greenfield/Brownfield
TOTAL 36.2 23.6 4,130
New Cement Capacity from Potential Players (2013 – 2017)
No Company Targeted Plant Declared Capacity Prognose Design Investment Remarks + Local Partner
Location (mn tons) Capacity (mn tons) (US$ mn)
1 Siam Cement (Thailand) Sukabumi, West Java 1.8 1.8 (2016) 360 Greenfield
2 CNBM (China) Central Java 2.4 0 350 Greenfield, Semen Grobogan
3 Semen Merah Putih Bayah, Lebak, Banten 11.5 3.0 (2016) 600 Greenfield (PT Cemindo Gemilg)
4 Anhui Conch Cement Various 13.7 2,350 Greenfield
- Tanjung - South Kalimantan 3.8 400 Greenfield
- Tanah Grogot - East Kalimantan 3.8 3.0 (2016) 600 Greenfield
- Pontianak - West Kalimantan 3.8 600 Greenfield
- West Papua - West Papua 2.4 750 Greenfield
5 Ultratech Wonogiri, Centr Java 4.5 0 827 Greenfield
6 Semen Puger East Java 0.6 0 n.a Upgrading
7 Semen Barru Barru, South Sulawesi 3.3 0 470 Greenfield (Fajar Group)
8 Semen Panasia Ajibarang, Central Java 2.0 1.5 (2016) 240 Greenfield
9 Jui Shin Indonesia Karawang, West Java 1.5 1.5 (2015) n.a Greenfield
TOTAL 40.3 10.8 4,470
COMPARISON: CEMENT CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA 2013
201
kg/capita
kg
1.800
1.600
1.400
1.200
1.000
800
600
400
229
200
0
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Ch
Th
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m
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Source: Deutsche, Indonesia Cement Association
INDONESIA’S ECONOMY AND DOMESTIC CEMENT CONSUMPTION GROWTH
(mio tons)
48.0 14.5%
40.0 11.5%
40.8
38.1 39.1
9.7% 34.2
30.0 32.1 10.0%
31.5
30.2
27.2 27.5
6.3% 6.10% 6.00%
20.0 5.8% 5.4% 6.50%
5.1% 5.6% 6.80%
4.60%
6.6% 6.1% 6.0% 5.5%
Growth Growth Growth 5.70%
10.0
Growth
4.7% Growth Growth Growth
4.4%
: 4.2% : : :
: : :
2,8%
5.8% 4.2% 2.5% 1.8% 6.6%
1.1% 1.1% 1.8% 9.7% 19.4%
0.0 0.0%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
40 39.2
35 34.2
32.8
32.2
30 28.2
26.9
25.2 25.5
25 22.7
23.7 23.7
21.0
20.0
20 18.1
16.9
15
10.8 12.2 13
10 8.8
6.6
6.5 6.0 6.0 5.9 6.2
5.0 5.1
5 3.0 3.5 3.8
2.3
1.0 1.9
0
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Bulk • Ready
Ready-mix (infrastructure): ± 60%
± 22%
• Fabricator (pre-cast,
(pre fiber cement, cement based industry): ± 35%
JANUARY 2015
MARKET BY GEOGRAPHY
1
ST Sumatera
Sumatera Kalimantan
5 21.3% Java
SG Java
20.9%
%
57.5.%
56.3%
TOTAL
43.7 30.3 14.
14.6 5.8 3.1 2.1 0.3
INDONESIA
MARKET UPDATE - Cement Consumption FY2014
FY 2014 - SMGR Sales Volume (million tons) FY 2014 – Domestic Consumption (mio tons)
AREA FY 2013 FY 2014 CHANGE (%)
DESCRIPTION FY-13 FY-14 CHANGE (%)
Jakarta 5,379,767 5,782,219 7.5
DOMESTIC 25,449,714 26,155,918 2.8
Banten 3,474,592 3,204,137 (7.8)
Semen Indonesia 13,239,252 13,993,231 5.7
West Java 8,615,161 8,842,494 2.6
Semen Padang 6,927,490 6,742,831 (2.7)
Central Java 6,848,260 6,907,373 0.9
Semen Tonasa 5,282,971 5,419,856 2.6 Yogyakarta 986,157 998,579 1.3
JANUARY 2015
SMGR IS THE #1 CEMENT COMPANY IN INDONESIA
BRIEF HISTORY
1957 : Inauguration of Gresik I, installed capacity of 250,000 ton cement per annum
1991 : Initial Public Offering, Market Cap.: IDR0.63tn, resulting shareholding structure post IPO:
● Government of Republic of Indonesia: 73%
● Public: 27%
1995 : Acquisition of PT Semen Padang (Persero)) and PT Semen Tonasa (Persero)
1998 : Cemex became a strategic partner, Market Cap.: IDR4.9tn
2006 : Blue Valley Holdings bought Cemex’s 24.9% stake in SMGR, Market Cap.: IDR21.5tn
2010 : In March 31, Blue Valley Holdings sold all of its stake ownership in SMGR, Market Cap per April 30, 2010: IDR72.1tn
2011 : Total installed capacity of 20.00mm
0mm tons, Market Cap per June 29, 2012: IDR67.0tn
2012 : Acquisition of Thang Long Cement Vietnam, Total otal installed capacity of 2.3mm tons, Market Cap Dec 19th, 2012: IDR91.9tn
5,0
_ _ _ _ _ _
0,0
19 5
86
90
19 5
98
20 6
20 7
20 9
70
80
19 4
19 7
20 8
20 0
20 1
20 2
13
57
19 -
19 -
19 -
19 -
19 -
20 -
8
0
8
0
9
1
1
1
19
FOCUS IN CORE BUSINESS
OWNERSHIP STRUCTURE1
¹ As of Jan, 2014
REGIONAL CEMENT PLAYERS
SMGR Corporate Presentation
JANUARY 2015
COMPETITIVENESS OF SEMEN INDONESIA
Kiln 1 unit
Cement
1 unit
Mill Integrated Cement Plant 4 location
Kiln 13 Unit
Cement Mill 22 Unit
Grinding Plant 2 location
Cement Mill 4 Unit
Grinding 1 unit Cement
Plant Mill Warehouse 30 location
Packing Plant 23 location
Sea Port 12 location
Kiln 4 unit
Cement
6 unit
Mill
Potential Market
Cap. : 54.4 mio Cap. : 1.5 mio
Cap. : 5.6 mio
Export :
Clinker : 6.17
Cement: 5.77
Cap. : 75 mio
Cap. : - mio
Cap. : 66.4 mio
Cap. : 28.9 mio
Source : Global cement
STRATEGIC
TRATEGIC POSITION IN THE REGION
Kiln 1 unit
Cement Grinding 1 unit Cement
1 unit
Mill Plant Mill
NEW TARGET
Kiln 4 unit
Cement
6 unit
Kiln 4 unit Mill
Cement
6 unit
Mill
Kiln 4 unit
Grindin 3 unit Cement
Cement g Plant Mill
9 unit
Mill
FINANCIAL UPDATE
SMGR Corporate Presentation
JANUARY 2015
FINANCIAL SUMMARY: 9M-2014 RESULTS
Description 9M-2013 9M-2014 Change EBITDA (Rp billion)
(Rpbn) (%)
7.000 6090
5.838
Revenue 17,391 19,349 11.3 6.000
4.728
5.000
9,551 10,898 14.1 3.546 3.805
Cost of revenue 4.000
3.000
Gross profit 7,840 8,451 7.8 2.000
1.000
2,794 3,341 9.6
Operating expenses 0
9M10 9M11 9M12 9M13 9M14
5,104 5,209 2.1 EBITDA Margin (%)
Operating income
9M-10 9M-11 9M-12 9M-13 9M-14
Ebitda 5,838 6,090 4.3
34.5% 32.8% 34.6% 33.6% 31.5%
Net Income 3,906 4,088 4.7
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 9M2014 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 9M2014
2,00x
25,8%
0.56x 0,50x 24,0% 23,5%
20,1% 18,2% 17,4%
0,35x
0,14x
0,06x 0,04x
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
JANUARY 2015
SMGR LONG TERM STRATEGIC FOCUS
TOTAL CAPEX 6.0 755 MAIN SITE STORAGE MAIN SUB STATION
Installed Capacity
39,3 40,8
31,8 33,3
30
25,3
19 19 20,2
17,1 18
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F
CONCLUSION: WHY SMGR?
SMGR Corporate Presentation
JANUARY 2015
SMGR’s COMPARATIVE & COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE DRIVES
DRIVE SMGR
TO BE THE MARKET LEADER IN INDONESIA