Southeast Asia: Democracy
Under Siege
Democracy is in retreat across Southeast Asia. The
U.S, pivot to Asia is one reason why. Joshua
Kurlantzick explains.
By Joshua Kurlantzick
‘Throughout much of the 1990s and early 2000s, Southeast Asia was
one of the world’s bright spots for democracy. Even Myanmar, long
one of the most repressive nations in the world, seemed to be
changing. In 2010 and 2011, the xenophobic leadership of the
Myanmar army, which had ruled the country since 1962, began a
transition to civilian government by holding elections thatultimately helped create a partially civilian parliament. The
country seemed poised for free elections in 2015 that would
solidify its democratic change
Since the early 2010s, however, Southeast Asia’s democratization
has stalled and, in some of the region’s most economically and
strategically important nations, it has even reversed. Over the past
decade, Thailand has undergone a rapid and severe democratic
regression and Malaysia’s democratic institutions and culture have
regressed as well. While less drastic, there have also been troubling
developments in a number of other countries.
In Malaysia, the Jong-ruling Barisan Nasional (BN) coalition has
cracked down on dissent and tried to destroy what had been an
emerging, and increasingly stable, two-party system. However, this
has changed since Malaysia’s BN government won a narrow
victory in the 2013 election in large part because of its strong
support from the most conservative and anti-opposition ethnic
Malays. Following the election, the government has “rewarded”
these loyal constituents by proposing a raft of new legislation that
aims to suppress the opposition and entrench economic and
political preferences for ethnic Malays, disempowering ethnic
Indians and Chinese, who together represent about one-third of the
country’s population For example, the government essentially
reinstated the despised Internal Security Act (ISA), which allows
Malaysia’s government to detain people without trial indefinitely,
often on vague charges.
Things have been just as bleak in Thailand, which has been mired
in political crisis since 2006, when the Thai military launched a
coup while then-Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra was abroad.
Since that time, Thailand has been plagued by repeated cycles of
street protests and counterprotests, rising street violence and
political instability, short-lived governments brought down
through extra-constitutional means, and the return of harsh
crackdowns on dissent. Thai institutions have become increasingly
polarized and politicized, and few Thais now trust the integrity of
the judiciary, the civil service, or other national institutions. Even
the king, once so revered that Thais worshipped him like a god, has
had his impartiality questioned by many Thais.
algSince their high point in late 2012, Myanmar’s political reforms
have regressed as well. After initially loosening media restrictions,
the government has tightened them again. To cite just one recent
instance, five journalists were arrested in February 2014 for
reporting on the construction of a weapons factory in the country,
alarming press watchdogs. Meanwhile, initial hopes that
Myanmar’s military would scale back its role in politics have
proven unfounded. The military has written clauses into the
constitution reserving a quarter of the seats in parliament for the
armed forces, effectively giving itself veto power over any
constitutional amendments. Members of the military have also
allegedly been involved in new anti-Muslim paramilitary groups
that are emerging throughout Myanmar. These groups have been
accused of bombing entire Muslim neighborhoods, as well as
burning down Muslim homes and shops, and massacring Muslim
families, President Thein Sein has alternated between ignoring the
atrocities, defending the paramilitaries, or denying that mass
Killings of Muslims have taken place at all.
Meanwhile, Southeast Asia’s most authoritarian states have halted
reforms. Over the past three years, Vietnam launched its largest
crackdown on activists, religious leaders, bloggers, and other civil
society leaders in more than a decade. It has also passed one of the
most restrictive online speech laws in the world, forcing Internet
providers to block and filter content more thoroughly.
similarly, in Laos, which had cracked its door slightly open over
the last two decades, the government has resumed tightening its
grip over politics and society. In 2012, for example, the government
shut down one of the few radio shows that discussed Lao politics
and began forcing foreign aid workers to leave the country for
making mild public criticisms of the government.
Tobe sure, democracy has enjoyed some successes in Southeast
Asia in recent years. For example, Indonesia’s presidential election
this year brought to power former Jakarta Mayor Joko “Jokowi”
Widodo, the first non-establishment candidate to hold the position.
Moreover, outside observers deemed the elections free and fair,
with some calling them the most transparent in the country’s
history.