Академический Документы
Профессиональный Документы
Культура Документы
Introduction 3
Momentum Style 5
Value Style 9
Technical Analysis 15
Summary 16
What to do Next 17
The best strategy (or strategies) are the ones that are right for
you; whether that’s one of them, some of them, or a mix of all
of them together.
The best strategy is the one that’s in alignment with who you
are or want to be as a trader. Because if you find yourself trad-
ing a strategy that’s not in alignment with who you are as a
trader or the kinds of stocks you want to be in, you’re going
find yourself abandoning that strategy the moment the market
hits a rough patch.
Not only will you lose money, but it can also feel like the market
is stacked against you. But it’s not.
Kevin Matras
We’ve all heard the old adage ‘the trend is your friend’. And
who doesn’t like riding a trend?
These are the kinds of stocks that will likely go day after day,
week after week, and maybe even several months in a row. And
of course, this also includes stocks making new 52-week highs.
First off, if you’re one of them, there’s no reason why you should
be afraid of stocks making new 52-week highs. But if you’re
uncomfortable buying stocks making new highs, that’s okay.
Don’t trade them. Remember, the best strategy is the strategy
that’s right for you. The momentum style might not be the right
style for you in this case.
In fact, aside from the Zacks Rank, if I could only pick one item
to use for the rest of my life to picks stocks with, it would have
to be the Price to Sales ratio.
But a word of caution, it’s not as easy as just looking for stocks
with the highest growth rates. So don’t go out and start look-
ing for stocks with a 500% or 1,000% growth rate. While there
will definitely be such stocks out there that do well -- my studies
have shown that those kinds of companies will typically under-
perform.
And why is that? To many, that sounds like the opposite of what
should be happening.
But one of the reasons for this is because many growth stocks
are priced for perfection. For example: a stock that earns 1 cent,
that is then expected to earn 6 cents, is a 500% growth rate.
So if you’re the person that just got into that stock the day
before, and you’re wondering why on earth a 400% growth
rate stock is going down? That’s why!
The key is the belief that they’re undervalued. That they are, for
some reason, trading under what their true value or potential
really is. The value investor hopes to get in before the market
‘discovers’ this and moves higher.
I know a lot of investors out there look at P/Es. But not all low
P/E stocks are good value stocks. Many companies have low
P/Es because they don’t have any real growth to speak of. They
lack earnings power. And people aren’t willing to pay up for
these stocks because there’s nothing to pay up for.
The key to finding true value stocks that are ready to move is to
make sure there’s a catalyst. Buying a stock and sitting with it
for years just because you believe it’s undervalued won’t make
you any money.
It’s been said that value investing is one of the most profitable
ways to invest. And it’s true.
But that doesn’t mean they’re not making money. Far from it. A
lot of these companies might be great companies, generating
huge amounts of cash. But because of their size, they may not
have the same growth opportunities they once had.
For example: let’s say there was a small-cap company that does
$100 million in sales and someone comes up with a great idea
that will increase sales by an additional $100 million. That’s great
news. And that company is now looking at a 100% growth rate.
But apply that to a mid-cap company that does $1 billion in sales
and that $100 million idea is now only a 10% increase in sales.
Now apply that same $100 million to a company that does $10
billion in sales and that’s only a 1% increase.
Simply put, for some of these companies, the law of big numbers
makes it harder to grow at the same pace that a younger and
smaller company is capable of. But the consistency of earnings
can be pretty impressive in its own right.
But don’t worry if you don’t fit perfectly into any one particu-
lar style. Most people have parts of some or all of the different
trading styles in them, including myself.
The ‘All Style’ Style is really just a combination of the best parts
of the different styles rolled into one.
In fact, you’ll find winning stocks all around you. Think about
the last car you bought. Once you decided what kind of car you
wanted, you probably saw them everywhere. They didn’t just
magically appear on the road. They were always there. You just
became aware of them.
And the same can be said for picking stocks. Once you’ve iden-
tified what kind of trader you are and the style that suits you
the best, it’ll become easier to find stocks with those kinds of
characteristics. This can help you take full advantage of the next
big move in the market and even outperform when the market
isn’t as cooperative.
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