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Stock Report | September 24, 2016 | NYS Symbol: CRM | CRM is in the S&P 500

salesforce.com inc
S&P Capital IQ
Recommendation
HOLD ★★★★★ Price 12-Mo. Target Price
$70.39 (as of Sep 23, 2016 4:00 PM ET) $90.00
Report Currency
USD
Investment Style
Large-Cap Growth
S&P Capital IQ Equity Analyst S. Kessler

GICS Sector Information Technology Summary This leading provider of on-demand enterprise applications is best known for its
Sub-Industry Application Software customer-relationship management offering.

Key Stock Statistics (Source S&P Capital IQ, Vickers, company reports)

52-Wk Range $84.48– 52.60 S&P Oper. EPS 2017E 0.95 Market Capitalization(B) $46.176 Beta 1.00
Trailing 12-Month EPS $0.32 S&P Oper. EPS 2018E 1.28 Yield (%) Nil S&P 3-Yr. Proj. EPS CAGR(%) 30
Trailing 12-Month P/E NM P/E on S&P Oper. EPS 2017E 74.1 Dividend Rate/Share Nil S&P Quality Ranking C
$10K Invested 5 Yrs Ago $23,405 Common Shares Outstg. (M) 656.0 Institutional Ownership (%) 91

Price Performance Analyst's Risk Assessment


30-Week Mov. Avg. 10-Week Mov. Avg. GAAP Earnings vs. Previous Year Volume Above Avg. STARS
LOW MEDIUM HIGH
12-Mo. Target Price Relative Strength Up Down No Change Below Avg.
Our risk assessment reflects the considerable
80
competition in the software-as-a-service (SaaS)
space, and a lack of traditional profitability.
Share Price

50
40 Revenue/Earnings Data
30 Revenue (Million U.S. $)
4-for-1 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q Year
2017 1,917 2,037 -- -- --
2016 1,511 1,635 1,712 1,809 6,667
Volume(Mil.)

60
2015 1,227 1,319 1,384 1,445 5,374
40 2014 892.6 957.1 1,076 1,145 4,071
20 2013 695.5 731.7 788.4 834.7 3,050
0
2012 504.4 546.0 584.3 631.9 2,267
5 3 3 3
2
1
1 Earnings Per Share (U.S. $)
OND J FMAM J J A SOND J FMAM J J A SOND J FMAM J J A SOND J FMAM J J A SOND J FMAM J J A SON
2017 0.06 0.33 E0.21 E0.25 E0.95
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2016 0.01 Nil -0.04 -0.04 -0.07
2015 -0.16 -0.10 -0.06 -0.10 -0.42
Past performance is not an indication of future performance and should not be relied upon as such.
2014 -0.12 -0.12 -0.21 -0.19 -0.39
Analysis prepared by Equity Analyst S. Kessler on Sep 01, 2016 08:47 PM, when the stock traded at $75.91. 2013 -0.04 -0.02 -0.39 -0.04 -0.48
Highlights Investment Rationale/Risk 2012 Nil Nil Nil Nil -0.02
Fiscal year ended Jan. 31. Next earnings report expected: NA. EPS
➤ We see sales rising 25% in FY 17 (Jan.) and 21% ➤ We view the software-as-a-service (SaaS) cat- Estimates based on S&P Capital IQ Operating Earnings; historical
in FY 18. CRM's expansion from a single prod- egory as showing much healthier growth than GAAP earnings are as reported in Company reports.

uct offering centered on sales force manage- software or IT more generally, but also note
Dividend Data
ment, to adjacent and related products, has that it is crowed and competitive. However,
been a major contributor to growth. Acquisi- CRM's pioneering position has helped make it a No cash dividends have been paid.
tions and internal development are important key platform provider, we believe, attracting
Past performance is not an indication of future performance and
for this effort. Recent purchases have been fo- considerable enterprise interest and activity.
should not be relied upon as such.
cused on digital marketing solutions. Also, internal development and M&A have en-
➤ The annual gross margin has been trending hanced its importance and growth. We note a
lower, as CRM focuses on market share and 2014 partnership to make CRM offerings avail-
new business models and offerings, but we sta- able via Microsoft (MSFT) platforms. Also, we
bility from FY 16 to FY 19. EBITDA margins im- see considerable opportunities as to digital
proved notably in FY 15 and FY 16, given greater marketing. We view CRM as a strong growth
scale and efficiencies related to expenditures. company.
We see the widening trend to continue through ➤ Risks to our opinion and target price include the
FY 19. We note that EBITDA margins narrowed potential for a significant downturn in the global
notably in FY 14, and during that year (July economy, notable deceleration in growth in
2013), CRM acquired ExactTarget, a provider of sales or bookings and more competition than
cross-channel digital marketing solutions, for we anticipate.
its largest ever M&A deal. ➤ Our 12-month target price is $90. Cloud-focused
➤ CRM reported non-GAAP EPS of $0.34, $0.41 business software peers recently had an aver-
and $0.35 in FY 12, FY 13 and FY 14, respectively. age enterprise value to forward EBITDA multi-
EPS improved notably in FY 15 to $0.52 and FY ple of 35X. Applying a premium to account for
16 to $0.75. We project further EPS gains to CRM's market position and growth profile re-
$0.95 for FY 17 and $1.28 for FY 18. sults in our target. We also note CRM's poten-
tial as an M&A target.

Please read the Required Disclosures and Analyst Certification on the last page of this report.
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This document is not intended to provide personal investment advice and it does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any specific person who may receive this report. Investors should seek
independent financial advice regarding the suitability and/or appropriateness of making an investment or implementing the investment strategies discussed in this document and should understand that statements regarding future prospects may not be realized.
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Unless otherwise indicated, there is no intention to update this document.
Stock Report | September 24, 2016 | NYS Symbol: CRM

salesforce.com inc
Business Summary September 01, 2016 Corporate Information

CORPORATE OVERVIEW. salesforce.com was founded in 1999. The company's first product offering was a Office
customer relationship management solution. Over time, through internal development and acquisitions, the The Landmark @ One Market, Suite 300, San
company has expanded its set of offerings to include technology for service management, social comput- Francisco, CA 94105.
ing and digital marketing management.
Telephone
The company reports results with two segments, subscription and support, and professional services and 415-901-7000.
other. Over the last few years, CRM generated 93% to 94% of revenues from subscription and support, and
the remaining 6% to 7% professional services. Overall, the company has gross margins in line with other Fax
software companies, reflecting subscriptions and support that garner relative high gross margins and ser- 415-901-7040.
vices that are higher cost and deliver lower related margins.
Website
The enterprise shift to software-as-a-service (SaaS) computing is in its early days, in our opinion. We are http://www.salesforce.com
seeing enterprises embracing this model for many classic business purposes. Associated set-up costs and
deployment times are lower than with traditional enterprise solutions. As corporations are charged more
based on the number of seats and associated activity, costs and expenses become more variable. Enter- Officers
prises find it easier to scale up or down in terms of employees as IT costs are no longer fixed and the SaaS
solutions can scale more effectively and efficiently. Also, as an outsourced service, the costs of upkeep Chrmn & CEO Secy & General
and modification are shifted from the enterprise to the SaaS provider. We believe that SaaS offerings in M.R. Benioff Counsel
general, and CRM's solutions in particular, are attractive to enterprises of all sizes. CRM has observed B.F. Norton
about a 50/50 split of revenue from existing accounts and new accounts. COO
K.G. Block
The U.S. accounted for 70% of FY 16 revenues. International sources contributed 30% of FY 16 revenues,
with contributions from Europe of 17%, Asia Pacific of 8.9% and the Americas excluding the U.S. of 3.7%. CFO
M.J. Hawkins
CRM was the first to market and proved to enterprises and enterprise software companies that SaaS tech-
nology was sufficiently robust and scalable. Now, many enterprise companies have been actively embrac-
ing the on-demand computing paradigm. Also, over the past several years, Oracle (ORCL), SAP (SAP), Mi- Board Members
crosoft (MSFT), Adobe (ADBE) and IBM (IBM), among others, have embraced SaaS approaches and offer- M. R. Benioff C. A. Conway
ings. We note considerable related M&A activity to acquire technologies, enhanced platforms and add to A. G. Hassenfeld N. Kroes
applications to help meet the growing demand of enterprise customers. C. L. Powell S. R. Robertson
MARKET PROFILE. Gartner expected that global spending on SaaS will have a compound annual growth J. V. Roos L. J. Tomlinson
rate (CAGR) of 19.5% from 2012 to 2016, ending with a $32.8 billion market size. North America is currently R. L. Washington M. G. Webb, Jr.
the largest SaaS market, followed by Europe. S. D. Wojcicki

IMPACT OF MAJOR DEVELOPMENTS. In June 2013, CRM announced a partnership with Oracle (ORCL). In
September 2013, CRM and Workday (WDAY) announced that they had deepened their partnership. In May Domicile
2014, CRM announced a new relationship with Microsoft (MSFT). These kinds of alliances are key to Delaware
CRM's market leadership and growth, we believe.
Founded
Over the past few years, CRM has made a number of acquisitions to round out its portfolio of offerings. 1999
Some of the larger purchases were RelatedIQ in August 2014 for around $390 million, ExactTarget in July
2013 for about $2.6 billion, Buddy Media in August 2012 for $736 million, and Radian6 Technologies in May Employees
2011 for $337 million. These purchases expanded CRM's technologies and offerings in the social media 19,742
and marketing areas.
Stockholders
FINANCIAL TRENDS. The company grew revenues from $1.7 billion in FY 11 to $6.7 billion in FY 16. Howev- 202
er, over the same period, GAAP net income went from a positive $65 million to a negative $47 million, and
we note significant investments and allocations for stock-based compensation. In fact, over the indicated
period, stock-based compensation expense increased from $120 million to $593 million.

Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission.


Stock Report | September 24, 2016 | NYS Symbol: CRM

salesforce.com inc
Quantitative Evaluations Expanded Ratio Analysis

S&P Capital IQ NR 1 2 3 4 5 2016 2015 2014 2013


Fair Value LOWEST HIGHEST Price/Sales 6.99 9.11 8.71 10.22
Rank Based on S&P Capital IQ's proprietary quantitative model, stocks Price/EBITDA 99.99 NM NM NM
are ranked from most overvalued (1) to most undervalued (5). Price/Pretax Income NM NM NM NM
P/E Ratio NM NM NM NM
Fair Value NA Avg. Diluted Shares Outstg (M) 661.6 624.1 597.6 564.9
Calculation Figures based on calendar year-end price

Investability 77 Key Growth Rates and Averages


Quotient LOWEST = 1 HIGHEST = 100
Percentile CRM scored higher than 77% of all companies for which an S&P Past Growth Rate (%) 1 Year 3 Years 5 Years 9 Years
Capital IQ Report is available.
Sales 24.07 30.00 32.46 32.69
Net Income NM NM NM NM
Volatility LOW AVERAGE HIGH

Ratio Analysis (Annual Avg.)


Technical BEARISH Since August, 2016, the technical indicators for CRM have been Net Margin (%) NM NM NM NM
BEARISH.
Evaluation % LT Debt to Capitalization 20.55 24.23 18.17 16.27
Return on Equity (%) NA NA NM NM
Insider Activity NA UNFAVORABLE NEUTRAL FAVORABLE

For further clarification on the terms used in this report, please visit www.spcapitaliq.com/stockreportguide

Company Financials Fiscal Year Ended Jan. 31

Per Share Data (U.S. $) 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007
Tangible Book Value 0.74 NM NM 0.89 1.01 1.35 1.88 1.20 0.93 0.60
Cash Flow 0.51 0.08 -0.01 -0.14 0.24 0.26 0.24 0.13 0.07 0.03
Earnings -0.07 -0.42 -0.39 -0.48 -0.02 0.12 0.16 0.09 0.04 Nil
S&P Capital IQ Core Earnings NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Dividends Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil NA Nil Nil Nil Nil
Payout Ratio Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
Calendar Year 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
Prices:High 82.90 67.00 58.37 41.19 40.03 37.81 18.74 18.80 16.38 11.15
Prices:Low 54.95 48.18 36.09 23.79 23.52 15.08 6.30 5.21 8.89 5.41
P/E Ratio:High NM NM NM NM NM NM NM NM NM NM
P/E Ratio:Low NM NM NM NM NM NM NM NM NM NM

Income Statement Analysis (Million U.S. $)


Revenue 6,667 5,374 4,071 3,050 2,267 1,657 1,306 1,077 749 497
Operating Income 466 169 -60.6 84.0 122 173 159 84.7 37.1 8.91
Depreciation 387 314 226 195 141 75.8 53.2 21.0 16.8 12.5
Interest Expense 72.5 73.2 77.2 31.0 17.1 24.9 2.00 0.11 0.05 0.19
Pretax Income 64.3 -213 -358 -128 -33.3 104 142 85.6 46.2 12.5
Effective Tax Rate 173.8% NM NM NM NM 33.2% 40.5% 43.9% 50.6% 78.4%
Net Income -47.4 -263 -232 -270 -11.6 69.7 80.7 43.4 18.4 0.48
S&P Capital IQ Core Earnings NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

Balance Sheet & Other Financial Data (Million U.S. $)


Cash 1,341 995 839 868 778 497 1,242 698 451 252
Current Assets 4,347 3,550 2,680 2,016 1,672 1,075 1,706 1,069 741 419
Total Assets 12,771 10,693 9,153 5,529 4,164 3,091 2,460 1,480 1,090 665
Current Liabilities 5,617 4,390 3,980 2,918 2,323 1,276 908 767 606 377
Long Term Debt 1,294 1,371 1,302 NA Nil 473 450 4.05 Nil 0.01
Common Equity 5,003 3,975 3,039 2,318 1,587 1,276 1,044 672 452 282
Total Capital 6,297 5,346 4,913 2,839 2,084 1,749 1,507 687 461 286
Capital Expenditures 710 417 299 180 171 369 53.9 61.1 43.6 22.1
Cash Flow 340 51.5 -6.65 -75.8 130 145 124 64.4 35.2 13.0
Current Ratio 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 1.9 1.4 1.2 1.1
% Long Term Debt of Capitalization 20.6 25.6 26.5 Nil Nil 27.0 29.9 0.6 Nil 0.0
% Net Income of Revenue NM NM NM NM NM 4.2 6.2 4.0 2.5 0.1
% Return on Assets NA NM NM NM NM 2.5 4.1 3.4 2.1 0.1
% Return on Equity NA NM NM NM NM 6.0 9.4 7.7 5.0 0.2

Data as originally reported in Company reports.; bef. results of disc opers/spec. items. Per share data adj. for stk. divs.; EPS diluted. E-Estimated. NA-Not Available. NM-Not Meaningful. NR-Not Ranked. UR-Under
Review.

Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission.


Stock Report | September 24, 2016 | NYS Symbol: CRM

salesforce.com inc
Sub-Industry Outlook Industry Performance
Our fundamental outlook for the Application S&P 1500. In 2015, the Application Software index GICS Sector: Information Technology
Software sub-industry for the next 12 months is rose 19.8%, compared with a 1.0% drop in the S&P Sub-Industry: Application Software
neutral. IDC saw spending on software as flat in 1500. We think this performance reflects enthusiasm
2015, and projected annual gains of around 6% related to cloud offerings and related opportunities. Based on S&P 1500 Indexes
through 2019, reflecting a strong U.S. dollar, We believe growth related to the cloud and in Five-Year market price performance through
somewhat uncertain global macroeconomic bookings are requisite to drive the sub-industry Sep 24, 2016
conditions, and a shift to "cloud computing." We see higher in 2016 and beyond. We tend to favor
the June 2016 Brexit leave decision contributing to companies with offerings of mission critical S&P 1500 Sector Sub-Industry
dollar strength versus the British pound and euro, products, strong franchisees, and what we view as 160%
and economic challenges in Europe. healthy balance sheets. As application software
companies hire, invest and adjust related to
We continue to believe technology spending levels demand, we see limited margin expansion ahead.
will be linked to the broader global economy. We 110%
expect sales cycles for software to remain long in --Scott Kessler
the context of the past decade or so, with layers of

% Change
approval still in place as customers remain cautious.
We think buyers for some time have been focused 60%

on return on investment and cost of ownership, and


this emphasis was more pronounced during the
recent Great Recession, as customers became more
selective about upgrading to new releases, and 10%

vendors faced heightened competition. More


recently, buyers have better positioned themselves
by purchasing more from fewer vendors, some of
which have perhaps regained some leverage -40%

through M&A. We see the emergence of cloud


offerings offering clients and users more flexibility.

We think productivity enhancements offered by -90%

software often makes it an attractive investment. 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

We continue to expect growth for analytical NOTE: All Sector & Sub-Industry information is based on the
software that enables more informed Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS)
decision-making and/or helps operational efficiency.
We believe the critical role the Internet plays within Past performance is not an indication of future performance
businesses and organizations has created demand and should not be relied upon as such.
for cloud software (often referred to as SaaS or
"software as a service" solutions).

In the first half of 2016, the S&P 1500 Application


Software index rose 5.0%, versus a 3.1% gain in the

Sub-Industry : Application Software Peer Group*: Application Software - Larger Cos.


Stk.Mkt. Recent 52 Fair S&P Return on LTD to
Stock Cap. Stock Week Yield P/E Value Quality IQ Revenue Cap
Peer Group Symbol (Mil. $) Price($) High/Low($) Beta (%) Ratio Calc.($) Ranking %ile (%) (%)
salesforce.com inc CRM 46,176 70.39 84.48/52.60 1.00 Nil NM NA C 77 NM 20.6
Adobe Systems ADBE 53,556 107.47 108.50/71.27 1.31 Nil 55 NA B 97 13.1 21.4
Blackbaud Inc BLKB 2,907 66.28 71.76/49.89 1.16 0.7 NM 57.90 B+ 64 4.0 65.3
Citrix Systems CTXS 13,571 84.91 90.00/60.91 1.80 Nil 34 103.90 B+ 93 9.8 40.2

NA-Not Available NM-Not Meaningful NR-Not Rated. *For Peer Groups with more than 15 companies or stocks, selection of issues is based on market capitalization.

Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission.


Stock Report | September 24, 2016 | NYS Symbol: CRM

salesforce.com inc
S&P Capital IQ Analyst Research Notes and other Company News
SALESFORCE.COM, INC. (CRM 77.73***): CRM announces the proposed purchase
of SteelBrick, a provider of a "next-generation quote-to-cash platform," delivered
September 16, 2016
on the Salesforce platform. SteelBrick offers apps for automating the
Salesforce announced Tony Prophet will join the company as Chief Equality
deal-closing process, from generating quotes and configuring orders to
Officer, effective September 26, 2016. Prophet will be responsible for leading the
collecting payments. We think this makes sense for CRM as the company
company's equality initiatives, focusing on gender, LGBTQ and racial equality. He
continues to look to add value with new offerings and features. The consideration
will report to Salesforce Chairman and CEO Marc Benioff. Prophet is a respected
contemplated is valued at some $360 million ($300 million net of cash acquired)
leader who has held senior executive roles at Microsoft and HP. He most recently
after accounting for CRM"s existing investment in SteelBrick. We see closing by
served as Microsoft's Corporate Vice President of Education Marketing. He
April. /S. Kessler
currently serves on the Board of Directors of Gannett, where he chairs the
Transformation Committee.
November 19, 2015
11:31 am ET ... S&P CAPITAL IQ REITERATES HOLD OPINION ON SHARES OF
September 1, 2016
SALESFORCE.COM, INC. (CRM 80.95***): We raise our 12-month target by $9 to
12:34 pm ET ... S&P GLOBAL REITERATES HOLD OPINION ON SHARES OF
$84. Peers have an average enterprise value to projected calendar year '16 sales
SALESFORCE.COM, INC. (CRM 74.23***): Our 12-month target remains $90. Peers
of 5.8X. Using this multiple to CRM and allowing for a premium given the CRM's
have a median enterprise value to forward sales multiple of 35X, and applying a
market position and growth profile, results in our target. We also increase our
premium given CRM's market position and growth profile results in our target. We
EPS estimates for FY 16 (Jan.) to $0.75 from $0.73 and FY 17 to $0.98 from $0.96.
trim our EPS estimates for FY 17 (Jan.) to $0.95 from $1.01 and FY 18's to $1.28 from
CRM posts non-GAAP Oct-Q EPs of $0.21 vs. $0.14, $0.02 above the Capital IQ
$1.30. CRM posts non-GAAP Jul-Q EPS of $0.24 vs. $0.19, $0.02 above the Capital
consensus. Revenues rose 24% (27% with constant forex) and deferred revenues
IQ consensus. Revenues and deferred revenues rose 25% and 26%, on par with
rose 27% (30%). We still see a strong growth story and full valuation. /S. Kessler
our expectations. CRM is lower, reflecting end-of-quarter "softness," notably in
the U.S. We see growth concerns and note recent M&A activity. /S. Kessler
August 21, 2015
12:08 pm ET ... S&P CAPITAL IQ REITERATES HOLD OPINION ON SHARES OF
June 2, 2016
SALESFORCE.COM, INC. (CRM 69.3***): We trim our 12-month target price by $4
10:41 am ET ... S&P GLOBAL REITERATES HOLD OPINION ON SHARES OF
to $75. Peers trade at a ratio of enterprise value to estimated '15 calendar year
SALESFORCE.COM, INC. (CRM 83.71***): CRM announces the pending purchase
sales of 6.6X, and we think CRM deserves a premium on what we see as strong
of Demandware (DWRE 75, NR), a provider of enterprise cloud commerce
market leadership, execution and growth. We raise our EPS estimates for FY 16
solutions, in a transaction valued at $2.8 billion (net of cash acquired, and we
(Jan.) to $0.73 from $0.69 and FY 17 to $0.96 from $0.91. CRM posts non-GAAP
note $196 million in cash and short-term investments as of March) or $75 per
Jul-Q EPS of $0.19 vs. $0.13, $0.02 above our estimate. Revenues rose 24% (28% in
share. DWRE is up 56% today on this news, and we note implied enterprise value
constant currency) and deferred revenues rose 29% (33% in constant currency).
to EBITDA multiples of 4.9X and 3.9X for '16 and '17, which based on the Capital IQ
We see a sustainable growth story and a full valuation. /S. Kessler
consensus, are very comparable to peer medians. We think this makes strategic
sense for CRM, as it pursues commerce-related opportunities. /S. Kessler
May 21, 2015
09:05 am ET ... S&P CAPITAL IQ REITERATES HOLD OPINION ON SHARES OF
May 19, 2016
SALESFORCE.COM, INC. (CRM 70.16***): We maintain our 12-month target of $79.
09:16 am ET ... S&P GLOBAL REITERATES HOLD OPINION ON SHARES OF
Peers trade at an average enterprise value to projected calendar year '15 sales
SALESFORCE.COM, INC. (CRM 77.87***): We raise our 12-month target by $6 to
of 6.9X. We believe CRM deserves a premium, given what we see as strong
$90. Cloud-focused business software peers have an average enterprise value to
market positioning, notable growth, and possible M&A interest, and our target
forward EBITDA multiple of 31X. Applying a premium to account for CRM's
implies a 7.9X multiple. We also maintain our EPS estimates of $0.69 for FY 16
market position and growth profile results in our target. We maintain our EPS
(Jan.) and $0.91 for FY 17. CRM posts Apr-Q non-GAAP EPS of $0.16 vs. $0.11,
estimates for FY 17 (Jan.) and FY 18 of $1.01 and $1.30. CRM posts non-GAAP
$0.02 above our estimate and the Capital IQ consensus. Revenues rose 23% (27%
Apr-Q EPS of $0.24 vs. $0.16, $0.01 above our estimate and the Capital IQ
in constant currency) and deferred revenues rose 31% (36% in constant
consensus. Revenues rose 27% (28% with neutral forex), with deferred revenues
currency). /S. Kessler
up 31% (32%). We believe CRM continues to benefit from notable demand and
execute well. /S. Kessler

February 25, 2016


10:43 am ET ... S&P CAPITAL IQ REITERATES HOLD OPINION ON SHARES OF
SALESFORCE.COM, INC. (CRM 67.97***): We maintain our 12-month target of $84.
Peers have an average enterprise value to '16 projected EBITDA multiple of 33X.
Using this and allowing for a premium, given what we see as CRM's strong
positioning and growth profile, results in our target. We raise our FY 17 (Jan.) EPS
estimate to $1.01 from $0.98 and set FY 18's of $1.30. CRM posts non-GAAP Jan-Q
EPS of $0.19 vs. $0.14, on par with the Capital IQ consensus. Revenues rose 25%
(27% with neutral forex) and deferred revenues rose 29% (31%), despite a
maturing Sales Cloud. We see healthy growth, but note a FY 17 P/E of 67X. /S.
Kessler

February 8, 2016
10:08 am ET ... S&P CAPITAL IQ REITERATES HOLD OPINIONS ON BUSINESS
CLOUD SOFTWARE COMPANIES (CRM 58.51***): On Friday, disappointing
results/guidance from Tableau Software (DATA 41, NR) and LinkedIn (LNKD 108,
NR), led to 49% and 44% stock declines that day. Shares of business-focused
cloud software names we cover, such as Salesforce.com (CRM 59 ***), Ultimate
Software (ULTI 166 ***) and Manhattan Associates (MANH 49 ***) fell 9%-13%.
DATA and LNKD indicated weakness in business software/Internet spending, and
we note their perceived high growth, premium P/Es, absence of dividends, and
limited relative buybacks. For CRM, MANH and ULTI, we see healthy growth, but
negative sentiment. /S. Kessler

December 24, 2015


11:53 am ET ... S&P CAPITAL IQ REITERATES HOLD OPINION ON SHARES OF

Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission.


Stock Report | September 24, 2016 | NYS Symbol: CRM

salesforce.com inc
Analysts' Recommendations Wall Street Consensus Opinion

Monthly Average Trend Buy Buy/Hold Hold Weak Hold Sell No Opinion CRM Trend BUY
B BH H WH S

Wall Street Average Companies Offering Coverage


B
Over 30 firms follow this stock; not all firms are
BH
displayed.
H
Arete Research Services LLP
WH
Argus Research Company
S
Atlantic Equities LLP
Number of Analysts Following Stock BMO Capital Markets Equity Research
BTIG
60 Barclays
BofA Merrill Lynch
40
Brean Capital
20 CLSA
Canaccord Genuity
Citigroup Inc
Stock Price ($ 000)
Cowen and Company
1000
D.A. Davidson & Co.
Daiwa Securities Co. Ltd.
1000
Deutsche Bank
Everbright Securities Co. Ltd.
1000
Evercore ISI
Exane BNP Paribas
1000
O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S
FBN Securities, Inc.
First Analysis Securities Corporation
2014 2015 2016
Goldman Sachs
JMP Securities
Of the total 48 companies following CRM, 48 analysts currently publish recommendations.
JP Morgan
Jefferies LLC
No. of % of Total 1 Mo. Prior 3 Mos. Prior MKM Partners LLC
Recommendations Macquarie Research
Buy 31 65 31 30 Mizuho Securities USA, Inc.
Buy/Hold 14 29 14 15 Morgan Stanley
Hold 2 4 2 2 Morningstar Inc.
Weak Hold 1 2 1 1 Nomura Securities Co. Ltd.
Sell 0 0 0 0
No Opinion 0 0 0 0
Total 48 100 48 48
Wall Street Consensus Estimates Wall Street Consensus vs. Performance

For fiscal year 2017, analysts estimate that CRM


Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2016 Actual $-0.07 will earn US$ 0.95. For the 2nd quarter of fiscal
2 year 2017, CRM announced earnings per share of
US$ 0.33, representing 35% of the total annual
1 estimate. For fiscal year 2018, analysts estimate
that CRM's earnings per share will grow by 34%
0 to US$ 1.27.

-1 M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S

2015 2016

Fiscal Years Avg Est. High Est. Low Est. # of Est. Est. P/E
2018 1.27 1.40 1.01 41 55.4
2017 0.95 0.97 0.93 43 74.1
2018 vs. 2017 34% 44% 9% -5% -25%

Q3'18 0.32 0.39 0.26 30 NM


Q3'17 0.21 0.23 0.20 40 NM
Q3'18 vs. Q3'17 52% 70% 30% -25% NA

A company's earnings outlook plays a major part in any investment decision. S&P Capital IQ organizes the earnings estimates of over 2,300
Wall Street analysts, and provides their consensus of earnings over the next two years, as well as how those earnings estimates have
changed over time. Note that the information provided in relation to consensus estimates is not intended to predict actual results and should
not be taken as a reliable indicator of future performance.

Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission.


Stock Report | September 24, 2016 | NYS Symbol: CRM

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Glossary EBIT - Earnings Before Interest and Taxes


EBITDA - Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization
EPS - Earnings Per Share
S&P Capital IQ STARS EV - Enterprise Value
Since January 1, 1987, S&P Capital IQ Equity Research has ranked a universe of U.S. FCF - Free Cash Flow
common stocks, ADRs (American Depositary Receipts), and ADSs (American FFO - Funds From Operations
Depositary Shares) based on a given equity's potential for future performance. FY - Fiscal Year
Similarly, S&P Capital IQ Equity Research has ranked Asian and European equities P/E - Price/Earnings
since June 30, 2002. Under proprietary STARS (STock Appreciation Ranking System), P/NAV - Price to Net Asset Value
S&P Capital IQ equity analysts rank equities according to their individual forecast of an PEG Ratio - P/E-to-Growth Ratio
equity's future total return potential versus the expected total return of a relevant PV - Present Value
benchmark (e.g., a regional index (S&P Asia 50 Index, S&P Europe 350® Index or R&D - Research & Development
S&P 500® Index)), based on a 12-month time horizon. STARS was designed to meet ROCE - Return on Capital Employed
the needs of investors looking to put their investment decisions in perspective. Data ROE - Return on Equity
used to assist in determining the STARS ranking may be the result of the analyst's ROI - Return on Investment
own models as well as internal proprietary models resulting from dynamic data inputs. ROIC - Return on Invested Capital
ROA - Return on Assets
S&P Capital IQ Quality Ranking SG&A - Selling, General & Administrative Expenses
(also known as S&P Capital IQ Earnings & Dividend Rankings) - Growth and SOTP - Sum-of-The-Parts
stability of earnings and dividends are deemed key elements in establishing S&P WACC - Weighted Average Cost of Capital
Capital IQ's earnings and dividend rankings for common stocks, which are designed to
capsulize the nature of this record in a single symbol. It should be noted, however, that Dividends on American Depository Receipts (ADRs) and American
the process also takes into consideration certain adjustments and modifications Depository Shares (ADSs) are net of taxes (paid in the country of
deemed desirable in establishing such rankings. The final score for each stock is origin).
measured against a scoring matrix determined by analysis of the scores of a large and
representative sample of stocks. The range of scores in the array of this sample has
been aligned with the following ladder of rankings: S&P Capital IQ Qualitative Risk Assessment
Reflects an S&P Capital IQ equity analyst's view of a given company's operational risk,
A+ Highest B Below Average
or the risk of a firm's ability to continue as an ongoing concern. The S&P Capital IQ
A High B- Lower
Qualitative Risk Assessment is a relative ranking to the S&P U.S. STARS universe,
A- Above Average C Lowest
and should be reflective of risk factors related to a company's operations, as opposed
B+ Average D In Reorganization
to risk and volatility measures associated with share prices. For an ETF this reflects on
NR Not Ranked
a capitalization-weighted basis, the average qualitative risk assessment assigned to
holdings of the fund.
S&P Capital IQ EPS Estimates
S&P Capital IQ earnings per share (EPS) estimates reflect analyst projections of future
EPS from continuing operations, and generally exclude various items that are viewed
STARS Ranking system and definition:
as special, non-recurring, or extraordinary. Also, S&P Capital IQ EPS estimates reflect
★★★★★ 5-STARS (Strong Buy):
Total return is expected to outperform the total return of a relevant benchmark, by a
either forecasts of S&P Capital IQ equity analysts; or, the consensus (average) EPS
wide margin over the coming 12 months, with shares rising in price on an absolute
estimate, which are independently compiled by Capital IQ, a data provider to S&P
basis.
Capital IQ Equity Research. Among the items typically excluded from EPS estimates
are asset sale gains; impairment, restructuring or merger-related charges; legal and
★★★★★ 4-STARS (Buy):
Total return is expected to outperform the total return of a relevant benchmark over the
insurance settlements; in process research and development expenses; gains or
coming 12 months, with shares rising in price on an absolute basis.
losses on the extinguishment of debt; the cumulative effect of accounting changes;
and earnings related to operations that have been classified by the company as
★★★★★ 3-STARS (Hold):
Total return is expected to closely approximate the total return of a relevant
discontinued. The inclusion of some items, such as stock option expense and
benchmark over the coming 12 months, with shares generally rising in price on an
recurring types of other charges, may vary, and depend on such factors as industry
absolute basis.
practice, analyst judgment, and the extent to which some types of data is disclosed by
companies.
★★★★★ 2-STARS (Sell):
Total return is expected to underperform the total return of a relevant benchmark over
the coming 12 months, and the share price not anticipated to show a gain.
S&P Capital IQ Core Earnings ★★★★★1-STAR (Strong Sell):
S&P Capital IQ Core Earnings is a uniform methodology for adjusting operating Total return is expected to underperform the total return of a relevant benchmark by a
earnings by focusing on a company's after-tax earnings generated from its principal wide margin over the coming 12 months, with shares falling in price on an absolute
businesses. Included in the S&P Capital IQ definition are employee stock option grant basis.
expenses, pension costs, restructuring charges from ongoing operations, write-downs
of depreciable or amortizable operating assets, purchased research and development,
M&A related expenses and unrealized gains/losses from hedging activities. Excluded
Relevant benchmarks:
In North America, the relevant benchmark is the S&P 500 Index, in Europe and in
from the definition are pension gains, impairment of goodwill charges, gains or losses
Asia, the relevant benchmarks are the S&P Europe 350 Index and the S&P Asia 50
from asset sales, reversal of prior-year charges and provision from litigation or
Index, respectively.
insurance settlements.

S&P Capital IQ 12-Month Target Price


The S&P Capital IQ equity analyst's projection of the market price a given security will
command 12 months hence, based on a combination of intrinsic, relative, and private
market valuation metrics, including S&P Capital IQ Fair Value.

S&P Capital IQ Equity Research


S&P Capital IQ Equity Research U.S. includes Standard & Poor's Investment Advisory
Services LLC; Standard & Poor's Equity Research Services Europe includes
McGraw-Hill Financial Research Europe Limited trading as S&P Capital IQ; Standard
& Poor's Equity Research Services Asia includes: McGraw-Hill Financial Singapore
Pte. Limited, Standard & Poor's Investment Advisory Services (HK) Limited, Standard
& Poor's Malaysia Sdn Bhd, and Standard & Poor's Information Services (Australia)
Pty Ltd.

Abbreviations Used in S&P Capital IQ Equity Research Reports


CAGR - Compound Annual Growth Rate
CAPEX - Capital Expenditures
CY - Calendar Year
DCF - Discounted Cash Flow
DDM - Dividend Discount Model
Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission. Copyright © 2016 Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC.
STANDARD & POOR'S, S&P, S&P 500, S&P CAPITAL IQ, S&P EUROPE 350 and STARS are registered trademarks of Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC.
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Disclosures which is regulated by the Australian Securities & Investments Commission; and in
Japan, by McGraw-Hill Financial Japan KK ("MHF Japan"), which is registered by
S&P Capital IQ ranks stocks in accordance with the following ranking methodologies: Kanto Financial Bureau. SPIAS, MHFRE, SPIAS HK, MHFSPL, S&P Malaysia, SPIS
and MHF Japan, each a wholly owned subsidiary of McGraw Hill Financial, Inc.
operate under the GMI brand.
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by S&P Capital IQ equity analysts. For reports containing STARS recommendations S&P Capital IQ and its affiliates provide a wide range of services to, or relating to,
refer to the Glossary section of the report for detailed methodology and the definition many organizations, including issuers of securities, investment advisers,
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intermediaries, and accordingly may receive fees or other economic benefits from
those organizations, including organizations whose securities or services they may
Quantitative Stock Reports: recommend, rate, include in model portfolios, evaluate or otherwise address.
S&P Capital IQ's quantitative recommendations quantitative recommendations are
determined by ranking a universe of common stocks based on 5 measures or model
For details on the S&P Capital IQ research objectivity and conflict-of-interest policies,
categories: Valuation, Quality, Growth, Street Sentiment, and Price Momentum. In the
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quantitative recommendations refer to the Glossary section of the report for detailed and for a list of companies mentioned in a Research Report that own more than 5% of
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generate the different types of Research Reports are reasonable and appropriate.
Generally, S&P Capital IQ does not generate reports with different ranking S&P Capital IQ and/or one of its affiliates has performed services for and received
methodologies for the same issuer. However, in the event that different methodologies compensation from this company during the past twelve months.
or data are used on the analysis of an issuer, the methodologies may lead to different
views or recommendations on the issuer, which may at times result in contradicting
assessments of an issuer. S&P Capital IQ reserves the right to alter, replace or vary
models, methodologies or assumptions from time to time and without notice to clients. General Disclosure

STARS Stock Reports: Notice to all jurisdictions:

S&P Capital IQ Global STARS Distribution as of June 30, 2016 Where S&P Capital IQ's Research Reports are made available in a language
Ranking North America Europe Asia Global other than English and in the case of inconsistencies between the English and
translated versions of a Research Report, the English version will control and
Buy 24.6% 17.8% 30.0% 23.7%
supersede any ambiguities associated with any part or section of a Research
Hold 48.0% 57.8% 45.0% 49.6%
Report that has been issued in a foreign language. Neither S&P Capital IQ nor its
Sell 27.4% 24.4% 25.0% 26.7% affiliates guarantee the accuracy of the translation.
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
Assumptions, opinions and estimates constitute our judgment as of the date of this
Quantitative Stock Reports: material and are subject to change without notice. This document may contain forward
looking statements or forecasts, such statement or forecasts are not a reliable
The rankings for Quantitative reports have a fixed distribution based on relative indicator of future performance.
weightings as described in the Glossary section of the report.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Analyst Certification No content (including ratings, credit-related analyses and data, valuations, model,
software or other application or output therefrom) or any part thereof (Content) may be
modified, reverse engineered, reproduced or distributed in any form by any means, or
STARS Stock Reports are prepared by the equity research analysts of Standard
stored in a database or retrieval system, without the prior written permission of
& Poor's Investment Advisory Services LLC ("SPIAS"), McGraw-Hill Financial
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regarding any and all of the subject securities or issuers. Analysts generally
timeliness or availability of the Content. S&P Parties are not responsible for any errors
update stock reports at least four times each year. No part of analyst
or omissions (negligent or otherwise), regardless of the cause, for the results obtained
compensation and SPIAS', MHFRE's or S&P Malaysia's compensation was, is, or
from the use of the Content, or for the security or maintenance of any data input by the
will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views
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AND ALL EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED
TO, ANY WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A
About S&P Capital IQ's Distributors: PARTICULAR PURPOSE OR USE, FREEDOM FROM BUGS, SOFTWARE ERRORS
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Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission. Copyright © 2016 Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC.
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Stock Report | September 24, 2016 | NYS Symbol: CRM

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