|CAPACITY ASSURANCE STRATEGIES re Tee ee USMS Common Sense aT Maintenance MCAThs rice focuses on this type of arponch in reohingeome common maintenance Ung oe ‘minennc coe ang Thevoainbetr eee ‘titenocsdchion ling The betes ton of maintenance nc iproved equipment el ‘biny and incu compeny oe Silos, io, sos (Computerised Maintenance Management System), EAMs (Enerprie Aset Management msems) and CM have ws that inhibit heir elec; ere are some of these drawbacks—plus ugetons or ome, |LRCM peys ite atenion to historic data and is fen seen as competitive to the main historical dat source (the CMS) Any objective view, though, sees them complementary to each other. Howe for example, 0 beter tack the occurence frequency of RCM fare ‘modes tan ona CMMS work order? And how bet 0 start RCM analyisthanby examining flute modes tha, Ive actully occurred? The relation link RCM and CMS databases f 2.An RCM realty is that fare modet FMs) are not comprehensive; thee dependent on Wit sensi: ‘ppled by RCM snaps, Studie show thatthe gap Detween the FMs predicted and thote actualy observed ‘an be huge. Relig thir tation rears enhancing "the ROM databace by ein actual maintenance exer ec ast happens rom the CHS. Most ure naps pres the ture by looking back wards (Lathe CMMShisery), Thisapproach however, "ply omis, for example the RCM concep of poten th fares (PS). There are two exons forth Fst, the CMMS doesnot low for sich data to be cole, ‘Second, the tehnicans are not eine 6 ecognne acta Re Song this poten eal fr minor mada: to the MMS work order preessand modicamofraningat ‘the proverbial ol fe (ce for he working in dy day mattenance persion) 4.0M data should prompt intligent decion-making. “The steps ace involved. ist collect the right data (nd stop callecng the wrong data). Second, do the right analysis Third use the dita for making the right dei son In ou experience, upwards of 70% of the dt as ‘no predicive ait and, of coarse, key dss miing ‘A cited point i reution of the problem i that CM lata must reate to the fare mode the question is how to emorsrate this ‘SEPTEMBER 2008 CAPACITY ASSURANCE STRATEGIES Cease) ‘Thesimpl statement above uses a number ofa, 1 Which fates do we predict Refer to the objective of ‘maintenance “edi ale” and we "Cost faite ab the peimary determing factor, defined ee aeease stearate Penalty Costs, on Costs, Fines PAY} ered bation (inion ed seg rere rex) ne know tt an eget tae pay Ise repair cos Sey etonnentl ot poli brane ee So nee toe cto ins ede os ipl are cox report (ig that sey salneanes manages ‘Sold e o ihe ds ach mont Fig 1 Amsintecance mine sbaldrectve Sipe ‘singl ilrcost rope every month ‘That ype of report daws ou attention to the overall tof the faites eater than frequency and duration. ‘Bad Actor are redefined as"Bad Cost Actor” ronune.com (23ay CAPACITY ASSURANCE STRATEGIES 2. How dowe measure resitancet flr! Thi has rest ‘heoreial importance—bul asa praca ise ‘complecand not wel understood. By sabttating perfor mance” ta pron for"relstance oar the concept ‘Dxome simpler nd eae to underand As iltrated in Fig therefore,» 1000-GPM pur has "aed if it pars “ony” 999 gallons per minute (he required amount being necesary for fedtock supp cooing ‘Purpose, etc). Thus an instance of functional fare (FB) canbe gui defined and jut a ety recorded ‘on the work order, 4.2 Tho conoptt“portrncs” sour understand than escent alre” _2.Asperformance slides down the slippery scope of the PF ‘ate, the point of acteration in the tte of dreds tone fen clearly apazetin practic, thus suggerting the PF pla Acne can dene « ec ‘condition value forthe P pont (nthe Fig 2 ea ite1100 gon per minute) Using ePaper tion greatly eases data collection and analy: Equally Important the fact hat the PF acs as warning signal needing a malstenance response What if the PF and FF points are not predicable? ‘Or what if theyre denial? Les use eletonie and slectrieal equipment as an example. The PF and FF points cleat exs—but are simultaneous, Condition ‘monitoring will not help excep o advise of complete fare Here, we tespond wih standby uns, pug-out gin placements nd sir techniques-(Note the ‘Sagar in Fig 3) Stow does age Bt into the equation? As Nowlan and Heap pointed outage deel impact fare in only 2 all umber of ser. et intitivey, we el hat ae 24) wanTenance TEcaNOLOGY 3. Conon nostro wil at blp when PE ad FF nr apredcabie rental an lnportant factor AS an aleratv lets define ia "wothing ge” This has wo implications for poy of failure: bad and stress neptve) and aut orice Sa te Ln on dca eh swe deta to operating hous hgh equls tot time ‘minus outof-service time). Thi" equires us to record “pensions” on the work ble (aba alteratie @ 2 ProranF. 9 6 Hom dower the multe sears ofCM dato the we nse Proprtonl Hats Moding ee tcl showing which veal bare rece ipa on th fate ode ih te ie pone Techie it no EXAKT, 1 proc devloped by Dr Aten Jasin tthe ‘aie oan Repent we of hs tool a Shr mot CM dat a le norton he Incidence of fle and th, ame gore preicorSck dt doesnt wed colin ya ‘chr wrtng og nd oe coin veri re frequen nising 7am predicting fale, the predictive ability of Co data ‘st be acre and content. EXAKT achies this by providing probaly of fallure in «given period (Completion of» mission, prioe to « mainunance shutdown, ete), and applying statistical test showing ‘onfdenclevels Relating the thee elements of flare probability confidence levels and cot of falure proves Song insght into the “bes” maintenance tac 12 follow Low confidence levels prompt both conservative sexion (6 preempt the FF point) and enhanced data ‘collection, specially when the cos flares high ‘Sepreween 20a