Mainstreet Canada 31january2019a

POLL EMBARGOED UNTIL 1ST FEBRUARY 2019, 6 AM EST
Canadians’ Attitudes
Foreign Policy
Priorities
1st February 2019
METHODOLOGY ABOUT MAINSTREET
The analysis in this report is based on results of a With 20 years of political experience in all three
survey conducted between January 12th to 18th, levels of government, President and CEO Quito
2019 among a sample of 7941 adults, 18 years Maggi is a respected commentator on international
of age or older, living in Canada. The survey was public affairs.
conducted using automated telephone interviews
(Smart IVR). Respondents were interviewed on Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet
both landlines and cellular phones. The survey is Research has provided accurate snapshots of
intended to represent the voting population of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP
Canada. government in Alberta, and was the only polling firm
to correctly predict a Liberal majority government
The survey was conducted by Mainstreet Research in the 2015 federal election. Mainstreet also
and was not sponsored by a third party. accurately predicted the 2018 Ontario election and
was the first to predict that a CAQ majority win in
The sampling frame was derived from both the 2018 Quebec election. Mainstreet Research
a national telephone directory compiled by is a member of the World Association for Public
Mainstreet Research from various commerically Opinion Research and meets international and
available sources and random digit dialing. The Canadian publication standards.
part of the survey that dialed from the directory was
conducted as a stratified dial of the ten Canadian CONTACT INFORMATION
provinces. In the case of random digit dials, In Ottawa:
respondents were asked the additional question Quito Maggi, President
of what region of the country they resided in. quito@mainstreetresearch.ca
The margin of error for this poll is +/- 1.1% and is In Toronto:
accurate 19 times out of 20. Dr. Joseph Angolano, Vice President
joseph@mainstreetresearch.ca
(full methodology appears at the end of this
report) Find us online at:
www.mainstreetresearch.ca
twitter.com/MainStResearch
facebook.com/mainstreetresearch
PROTECTING JOBS THE MOST IMPORTANT FOREIGN POLICY FOR CANADIANS
1st February 2019 (Ottawa, ON) – Three-quarters of Canadians think that protecting Canadian jobs
should be a top foreign policy priority, followed by taking measures to protect Canada from terrorism,
and promoting Canadian business and interests abroad.
Those are the findings from Mainstreet Research’s latest UltraPoll, a conglomeration of ten provincial
polls. The poll surveyed 7941 Canadians between January 12th and 18th 2019. The poll has a margin
of error of +/- 1.1% and is accurate 19 times out of 20.
“Trade issues are at the top of Canadians’ thinking about foreign policy at the beginning of the
year,” said Quito Maggi, President and CEO of Mainstreet Research. “More Canadians also think
that reducing illegal immigration should be a top priority, but conversely do not want to see legal
immigration reduced.”
The survey did not find many differences among the regions in Canada, except for Quebec.
Quebecers are the least concerned about terrorism, and Quebec is the only province that has
attracting more skilled workers to the country in their top three foreign policy priorities.
“We also found that reducing illegal immigration made the top three in Alberta and the Prairies,”
added Maggi.
On the other hand, the survey found big differences among different party supporters.
Some notable observations for party supporters’ top three foreign policy priorities:
1) Liberals say that their top three priorities are protecting Canadian jobs, promoting Canadian
business, and aiding refugees fleeing violence from around the world. Liberals are also more focused
on foreign policy than other party supporters - more than 50% of Liberals cited 6 of the 8 policy
priorities asked as top priorities.
2) Conservative voters’ top three are as follows; protecting Canadian jobs, protecting Canada from
terrorism, and reducing illegal immigration
3) NDP voters’ top three are; protecting jobs, aiding refugees fleeing violence from around the world,
and promoting and defending human rights and democracy in other countries.
4) The following are the People’s Party voters top three; protecting Canadian jobs, reducing illegal
immigration, and taking measures to protect Canada from terrorism.
-30-
For additional information or to arrange an interview, contact:

Joseph Angolano, 647-894-1552 - joseph@mainstreetresearch.ca
We will now read you a series of statements about foreign
policy. Which do you think should be a top foreign policy
priority?
Taking measures to protect Canada from

61.8% 25% 13.2%
terrorism
Protecting the jobs of Canadian workers 75.9% 12.7% 11.4%
Promoting Canadian business and

59.6% 21.6% 18.8%
economic interests abroad
Reducing illegal immigration to Canada 51.4% 37% 11.7%
Promoting and defending human rights and

38.9% 45.8% 15.3%
democracy in other countries
Aiding refugees fleeing violence from

42.8% 40.3% 16.9%
around the world
Attracting skilled workers from other

42.8% 43.6% 13.6%
countries
Reducing legal immigration to Canada 30.7% 54.3% 15%
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Top Foreign Policy Priority Not a Top Foreign Policy Priority Not Sure
priority? (regional breakdown)
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
54.6%
71.1%
66.4%
58.7%
65.8%
70.4%
82.7%
77.7%
77.2%
76.2%
53.6%
62.7%
53.8%
59.0%
53.8%
45.7%
67.8%
58.5%
48.3%
52.6%
62%
73%
66%
42%
0
Taking measures to protect Protecting the jobs of Promoting Canadian business Reducing illegal immigration to
Canada from terrorism Canadian workers and economic interests abroad Canada
BC AB Prairies ON QC Atlantic
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
39.0%
27.6%
30.6%
37.2%
49.4%
38.6%
47.3%
31.9%
35.4%
43.8%
46.1%
37.0%
32.9%
31.3%
40.7%
36.3%
27.3%
38.4%
36.9%
30.5%
27.7%
30.2%
45%
60%
0
Promoting and defending Aiding refugees fleeing Attracting skilled workers Reducing legal immigration to
human rights and democracy violence from around the world from other countries Canada
in other countries
BC AB Prairies ON QC Atlantic
priority? (party breakdown)
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
54.3%
77.6%
42.1%
60.8%
49.7%
69.3%
71.8%
82.9%
69.9%
79.8%
68.1%
79.5%
64.0%
61.2%
49.8%
68.2%
50.7%
61.9%
32.5%
74.9%
32.4%
67.1%
41.9%
70%
0
Taking measures to protect Canada Protecting the jobs of Canadian Promoting Canadian business and Reducing illegal immigration to Canada
from terrorism workers economic interests abroad
LPC, Trudeau CPC, Scheer NDP, Singh Bloc, Blanchet Green, May People's Party, Bernier
60
50
40
30
20
10
55.1%
18.4%
54.9%
49.8%
46.2%
19.9%
58.6%
63.6%
35.6%
49.4%
27.6%
50.7%
45.6%
50.6%
40.1%
37.6%
20.9%
23.6%
40.8%
28.1%
37.6%
23%
36%
42%
0
Promoting and defending human rights Aiding refugees fleeing violence from Attracting skilled workers from other Reducing legal immigration to Canada
and democracy in other countries around the world countries
LPC, Trudeau CPC, Scheer NDP, Singh Bloc, Blanchet Green, May People's Party, Bernier
Breakout Tables
We will now read you a series of statements about foreign policy. For
each statement, please press 1 if you think that it should be a top foreign
policy priority, press 2 if you think that it should not be a top foreign
policy priority, or press 3 if you are not sure.
Taking measures to protect Canada from terrorism.

Total Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ BC AB Prairies ON QC Atlantic
Top foreign policy priority 61.8% 64.9% 58.8% 56.1% 60.8% 67.7% 62.8% 54.6% 71.1% 66.4% 62% 58.7% 65.8%
Not a top foreign policy priority 25.0% 24.4% 25.5% 32% 27.8% 18.9% 19.9% 31.7% 18.3% 20.4% 25% 26.7% 21%
Not sure 13.2% 10.7% 15.7% 11.8% 11.4% 13.4% 17.2% 13.7% 10.7% 13.1% 13% 14.5% 13.2%
Unweighted Frequency 7941 4516 3425 1433 1947 2380 2181 887 857 1563 1127 979 2528
Weighted Frequency 7941 3932 4009 2208 1989 2187 1557 1082 898 517 3044 1855 545
LPC, CPC, NDP, Bloc, Green, People's Party, Another

All Undecided
Trudeau Scheer Singh Blanchet May Bernier Party
Top foreign policy priority 61.8% 54.3% 77.6% 42.1% 60.8% 49.7% 69.3% 56.9% 56.5%
Not a top foreign policy
25% 29.2% 14% 45.2% 18.3% 40.3% 19.7% 28.6% 15.5%
priority
Not sure 13.2% 16.5% 8.4% 12.7% 20.9% 10% 11.1% 14.5% 27.9%
Unweighted Frequency 7941 2658 3045 665 101 568 306 115 483
Weighted Frequency 7941 2799 2770 791 171 568 328 120 394
Protecting the jobs of Canadian workers

All Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ BC AB Prairies ON QC Atlantic
Top foreign policy priority 75.9% 77.7% 74.0% 75.8% 77% 77% 73% 70.4% 82.7% 77.7% 77.2% 73% 76.2%
Not a top foreign policy priority 12.7% 12.4% 13.1% 13.2% 12.8% 12.0% 13.1% 16.4% 9.4% 11.4% 12.3% 13.5% 12.4%
Not sure 11.4% 9.8% 12.9% 11.0% 10.2% 11.1% 13.9% 13.2% 7.9% 11% 10.5% 13.5% 11.4%

All Undecided
12.7% 14.5% 9.1% 18.7% 8.8% 17.9% 12% 17.2% 7.2%
priority
Not sure 11.4% 13.7% 8.0% 11.4% 11.5% 14% 8.5% 12% 17.5%
Promoting Canadian business and economic interests abroad
Not sure 18.8% 13.4% 24.2% 19.8% 15.4% 18.2% 22.6% 20.0% 16.3% 22% 19.6% 15.9% 23.4%

All Undecided
21.6% 17.0% 23.2% 28.8% 17.6% 28.4% 20% 36.4% 16.4%
priority
Not sure 18.8% 19.0% 15.6% 21.3% 14.2% 21% 17.8% 22% 34.9%
Reducing illegal immigration to Canada

Not sure 18.8% 13.4% 24.2% 19.8% 15.4% 18.2% 22.6% 20.0% 16.3% 22% 19.6% 15.9% 23.4%

All Undecided
21.6% 17.0% 23.2% 28.8% 17.6% 28.4% 20% 36.4% 16.4%
priority
Not sure 18.8% 19.0% 15.6% 21.3% 14.2% 21% 17.8% 22% 34.9%
Promoting Canadian business and economic interests abroad

Top foreign policy priority 51.4% 56.9% 46% 48.4% 54.9% 53.8% 47.7% 45.7% 67.8% 58.5% 48.3% 52.6% 42%
Not a top foreign policy priority 37% 34% 39.9% 42.1% 36% 33.4% 35.8% 44.8% 24.7% 30.1% 40.1% 33.9% 41%
Not sure 11.7% 9.1% 14.2% 9.4% 9.2% 12.7% 16.5% 9.6% 7.5% 11.4% 11.6% 13.5% 16.9%

All Undecided
Top foreign policy priority 51.4% 32.5% 74.9% 32.4% 67.1% 41.9% 70% 54.8% 48.4%
37% 52.2% 18.7% 56.6% 20.8% 47.4% 21.1% 36.7% 22.7%
priority
Not sure 11.7% 15.3% 6.4% 11% 12.2% 10.7% 8.8% 8.5% 29%
Promoting and defending human rights and democracy in other countries
Top foreign policy priority 38.9% 34.9% 42.7% 44.7% 39.5% 33% 37.9% 39.0% 27.6% 30.6% 37.2% 49.4% 38.6%
Not sure 15.3% 12.2% 18.4% 13.1% 11.9% 17.4% 19.8% 15.6% 13.4% 17.9% 14.7% 15.1% 19.3%

All Undecided
45.8% 29.4% 67.5% 34.7% 33.6% 40.2% 65% 37.8% 33%
priority
Not sure 15.3% 15.5% 14.1% 10.4% 16.6% 13.6% 15% 18.5% 33.2%
Aiding refugees fleeing violence from around the world

Top foreign policy priority 42.8% 38.5% 47.0% 49.6% 40.4% 37.1% 44.3% 47.3% 31.9% 35.4% 43.8% 45% 46.1%
Not a top foreign policy priority 40.3% 47.7% 33% 35.9% 44.4% 44.0% 36% 36.0% 53.3% 45.6% 40.3% 36.7% 34.1%
Not sure 16.9% 13.8% 20% 14.5% 15.2% 18.9% 19.7% 16.7% 14.8% 19.0% 15.9% 18.3% 19.8%

All Undecided
Top foreign policy priority 42.8% 58.6% 23% 63.6% 35.6% 49.4% 27.6% 41.5% 34.9%
40.3% 23.3% 61.3% 27.4% 42.7% 35.2% 58.1% 45.3% 28.8%
priority
Not sure 16.9% 18.1% 15.7% 9.0% 21.7% 15.4% 14.4% 13.3% 36.2%
Attracting skilled workers from other countries

Top foreign policy priority 42.8% 47.1% 38.6% 44.4% 45.4% 39.3% 42.2% 37.0% 32.9% 31.3% 40.7% 60% 36.3%
Not a top foreign policy priority 43.6% 42.7% 45% 42.9% 42.8% 47.8% 40% 46.2% 54.1% 55.9% 46.5% 27.7% 48.2%
Not sure 13.6% 10.2% 17% 12.8% 11.8% 12.9% 17.8% 16.9% 13.0% 12.8% 12.9% 12.7% 15.5%

All Undecided
43.6% 35.9% 52.3% 39.6% 34.2% 44.8% 47.9% 41.1% 44.9%
priority
Not sure 13.6% 13.3% 11.6% 14.8% 15.2% 15.1% 14.4% 9.1% 24.6%
Reducing legal immigration to Canada
Top foreign policy priority 30.7% 32.4% 29% 26.6% 31.1% 33.6% 31.8% 27.3% 38.4% 36.9% 30.5% 27.7% 30.2%
Not a top foreign policy priority 54.3% 54.8% 53.8% 59.8% 56.8% 50.9% 48% 58% 46.1% 48.5% 56% 55.5% 52.1%
Not sure 15% 12.8% 17.2% 13.5% 12.1% 15.5% 20.2% 14.7% 15.6% 14.7% 13.5% 16.8% 17.7%

All Undecided
54.3% 64.4% 44.5% 63.1% 42.1% 58.3% 47.6% 48.2% 40.1%
priority
Not sure 15% 14.7% 13.2% 13.3% 17.1% 13.5% 14.8% 13.4% 35.5%
Full Questionnaire
We will now read you a series of Aiding refugees fleeing violence from
statements about foreign policy. For around the world
each statement, please press 1 if you Yes
think that it should be a top foreign No
policy priority, press 2 if you think that Not Sure
it should not be a top foreign policy
priority, or press 3 if you are not sure.
Attracting skilled workers from other
countries
(order of questions randomized) Yes
No
Taking measures to protect Canada Not Sure
from terrorism
Yes Reducing legal immigration to Canada
No Yes
Not Sure No
Not Sure
Protecting the jobs of Canadian workers
Yes What is your gender?
No Male
Not Sure Female
Promoting Canadian business and What is your age group?

economic interests abroad 18 to 34 years of age
Yes 35 to 49 years of age
No 50 to 64 years of age
Not Sure 65 years of age or older
Reducing illegal immigration to Canada

Yes
No
Not Sure
Promoting and defending human rights

and democracy in other countries
Yes
No
Not Sure
Methodology
The analysis in this report is based on results of a survey conducted between January 12th,
2019 and January 17th 2019, among a sample of 7941 adults, 18 years of age or older, living
in Canada. The survey was conducted using Interactive Voice Recording. Respondents were
interviewed on both landlines and cellular phones. The survey is intended to represent the
voting population of Canada.
This survey was conducted by Mainstreet Research and has not been sponsored by any third-
party organization.
The sampling frame was derived from both a national telephone directory compiled by
Mainstreet Research from various commercially available sources and random digit dialing.
The survey that dialed from the directory was conducted as a stratified dial of the ten Canadian
provinces. In the case of random digit dials, respondents were asked the additional question
of what region of the country they resided in. Respondents were dialed at random.
At least two attempts were made to complete an interview at every sampled telephone
number. The calls were staggered over times of day and two days to maximize the chances
of making contact with a potential respondent. Interviewing was also spread as evenly as
possible across the field period.
The questionnaire used in this survey is available in this report and online at www.
mainstreetresearch.ca. Questions are asked as they appear in the release document. If
a question is asked of a subset of the sample a descriptive note is added in parenthesis
preceding the question.
The sample was weighted by population parameters from the Canada 2016 Census for adults
18 years of age or older in Canada. The population parameters used for weighting are age,
gender, and region.
The margin of error for this poll is +/- 1.1% at the 95% confidence level. Margins of error are
higher in each subsample.
The margins of error for each subsample is as following: Males: +/- 1.46%, Females: +/- 1.68%,
18-34 age group: +/- 1.68%, 35-49 age group: +/- 2.2%, 50-64 age group: +/- 2.01%, 65+
age group: +/- 2.11%, British Columbia: +/- 3.35%, Alberta: +/- 3.35%, Prairies: +/- 2.48%,
Ontario: +/- 2.92%, Quebec: +/- 3.13%, Atlantic Canada: +/- 1.97%.
Totals may not add up 100% due to rounding.
In addition to sampling error, one should bear in mind that the wording of questions and
practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of
opinion polls. Moreover, all sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of
error, including, but not limited to coverage error, and measurement error.

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POLL EMBARGOED UNTIL 1ST FEBRUARY 2019, 6 AM EST

For additional information or to arrange an interview, contact:

Taking measures to protect Canada from

Protecting the jobs of Canadian workers 75.9% 12.7% 11.4%

Promoting Canadian business and

Reducing illegal immigration to Canada 51.4% 37% 11.7%

Promoting and defending human rights and

Aiding refugees ﬂeeing violence from

Attracting skilled workers from other

Reducing legal immigration to Canada 30.7% 54.3% 15%

Taking measures to protect Canada from terrorism.

LPC, CPC, NDP, Bloc, Green, People's Party, Another

Protecting the jobs of Canadian workers

LPC, CPC, NDP, Bloc, Green, People's Party, Another

LPC, CPC, NDP, Bloc, Green, People's Party, Another

Reducing illegal immigration to Canada

LPC, CPC, NDP, Bloc, Green, People's Party, Another

Promoting Canadian business and economic interests abroad

LPC, CPC, NDP, Bloc, Green, People's Party, Another

LPC, CPC, NDP, Bloc, Green, People's Party, Another

Aiding refugees fleeing violence from around the world

LPC, CPC, NDP, Bloc, Green, People's Party, Another

Attracting skilled workers from other countries

LPC, CPC, NDP, Bloc, Green, People's Party, Another

LPC, CPC, NDP, Bloc, Green, People's Party, Another

Promoting Canadian business and What is your age group?

Reducing illegal immigration to Canada

Promoting and defending human rights

Totals may not add up 100% due to rounding.

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