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Critical Insights on MaineTM Tracking Survey

~ Fall 2010 ~

Residents’ Views on Politics, the Economy,


& Issues Facing the State of Maine

Focus Groups • Surveys • Public Opinion Polling

120 Exchange Street, Portland, Maine 04101


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Telephone: 207-772-4011 • Fax: 207-772-7027 120 Exchange Street
Portland • Maine
www.criticalinsights.com
October
May 2010 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Introduction

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120 Exchange Street
Portland • Maine
October 2010
May 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Background & Methodology
• Each Spring and Fall, Critical Insights conducts the Critical Insights on MaineTM
Tracking Survey, a comprehensive, statewide public opinion survey of registered
voters which covers a variety of topics of interest to business, government, and the
general public.
– In addition to general interest items – the results of which are released to the media as a
public service – the survey also includes a number of proprietary items included in the poll on
behalf of sponsoring entities, with results of those items released only to those sponsors.
• For the current wave of the study, Critical Insights completed a total of 600 telephone
interviews with randomly selected voters across the state between October 13-17,
2010.
– With a sample of 600 interviews, results presented here have an associated sampling error of
+/- 4.0 percentage points at the 95% confidence level.
• It should be noted that estimates are less precise for voter intentions measured for the 1st and 2nd
Congressional districts; with sub-samples of approximately 300 voters in each district, these district-
level samples have an associated sampling error of +/- 5.7 percentage points at the 95% confidence
level
– All interviews were conducted with self-reported registered voters; final data was statistically
weighted according to relevant demographics to reflect the voter base in Maine.
– On average, the entire survey instrument – including both general interest items and all
subscriber questions – was 15 minutes in administrative length.
• This document presents results of general interest questions which Critical Insights
makes public to the media.
– Where appropriate, comparisons of current results are made with findings from past iterations
of the Critical Insights on MaineTM Tracking Survey.

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120 Exchange Street
Portland • Maine
October 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Research Highlights

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120 Exchange Street
Portland • Maine
October 2010
May 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Issues Facing Maine &
Perceptions of the Economy

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120 Exchange Street
Portland • Maine
October 2010
May 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Perspectives on Issues Facing the State of Maine
• Similar to results observed six months ago in the most recent iteration of the
Critical Insights on MaineTM Tracking Survey, residents continue to be concerned
about the economy, as fully one-third cited this as the most important issue facing
Maine – the same proportion as was noted in both the Spring 2010 and Fall 2009
surveys.
– However, despite continuing concerns, unprompted mentions regarding the economy
stand at about half the frequency noted in the Fall of 2008, when economic concerns hit
a 10-year high of 59% for the Critical Insights on MaineTM Tracking Survey.
– Specific concerns about unemployment, which was noted by only 11% of Maine
residents 12 months ago, rose to second place in the Spring (27%) and Fall (30%) 2010
assessments.
• Interestingly, while broad concerns about the economy are higher among more well-educated
Mainers, those with only a high school diploma or some college are significantly more likely to
cite specific concerns about unemployment.
– Despite the attention given to health care at the national level, the issue seems to have
been trumped by the economy, with unprompted concerns about health care lagging in
terms of top-of-mind stated concerns at 5% currently (down from 17% in the Fall 2009
wave of the survey).
– Taxation and education round out the top five concerns mentioned by Mainers, with
results remaining generally consistent with results from recent waves of Critical
Insights on MaineTM.
• Education continues to be an issue among younger residents, while the issue of taxation remains
a key issue among residents in the southern part of Maine.
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120 Exchange Street
Portland • Maine
October 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Issues Facing the State of Maine
In your opinion, what is the most important issue facing Maine today? *

100

80

60
Percent

40

20

0
Spr Fall Spr Fall Spr Fall Spr Fall Spr Fall Spr Fall Spr Fall Spr Fall Spr Fall Spr Fall Spr Fall
'00 '00 '01 '01 '02 '02 '03 '03 '04 '04 '05 '05 '06 '06 '07 '07 '08 '08 '09 '09 '10 '10
Economy 8 9 14 22 13 17 21 15 12 14 17 16 12 16 13 16 36 59 35 31 33 33
Unemployment 7 11 13 15 19 19 24 26 27 25 23 17 17 14 17 17 6 12 27 11 27 30
Taxes 12 9 10 7 15 16 15 14 26 25 21 21 20 34 24 18 10 8 7 10 9 8
Health care 9 9 12 4 11 16 12 13 10 13 7 12 9 12 14 15 5 7 7 17 7 5
Education 27 16 15 5 8 9 8 7 5 4 4 4 5 5 7 9 2 1 3 3 7 6

* Top responses shown.


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120 Exchange Street
Portland • Maine
October 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Perspectives on Near-Term Economic Concerns

• Consistent with broader concerns about employment as a general issue facing


Maine, when voters were asked to cite the specific economic concern that will be
causing them the most worry over the next six months, fully one-third of voters
(32%) noted the prospect of a job loss.
– Other chief financial concerns in the near term include the overall cost of living (20%)
and concerns about taxes (15%).
• Similarly, while one-third of voters noted the prospect of a job loss as their chief
financial concern, when residents were asked specifically to note their level of
concern over the next 12 months that they or someone else in the household might
be out of work, 31% claimed to be concerned.
– Concern was most acute among less highly-educated Mainers.

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120 Exchange Street
Portland • Maine
October 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Near-Term Economic Concerns
As you think about the next 6 months what economic or financial situations concern
you the MOST?

Job loss 32

Cost of living 20

Taxes 15

Economy 12

Price of gas/utilities 12

Health care 11

Education 7

Gov't spending/Debt 5

0 20 40 60 80 100
Percent
* Top responses shown. Multiple responses accepted.
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120 Exchange Street
Portland • Maine
October 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Concern Over Job Loss

How concerned are you that in the next 12 months you or someone else in your
household might be out of work and looking for a job?

Concerned
31%

Less
concerned
53%

Neutral/
Unsure
16%

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120 Exchange Street
Portland • Maine
October 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Maine Residents’ Views on the Economy
• Reversing a recent upward trend that was first noted in the Spring 2009 wave of
Critical Insights on MaineTM, only 1-in-5 residents feel that the economy is doing
better than it was 12 months ago, compared to the figure of 31% observed in the
Spring 2010 survey.
– The proportion of poll respondents saying the economy is “somewhat” or “much worse”
than it was a year ago also reverses the recent trend, with 38% stating that the economy
is worse, compared to 32% six months ago.
• GOP voters are more likely than those in other political parties to say the economy has gotten
worse.
– Still, it is worth noting that these results are substantially more positive than the results
observed in the spring and fall of 2008, during the nadir of residents’ perspectives on
the economy.
• Looking ahead to the coming year, about one-third of Mainers (35%) anticipate
things will improve – down from 43% in the most recent survey.
– While optimism has declined a bit, the proportion expecting things to be “worse” 12
months from now has remained stable over the past year.

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120 Exchange Street
Portland • Maine
October 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Maine Residents’ Views on the Economy

• As was noted in the Spring ‘10 survey, current sentiments about the overall
status of the economy is generally consistent across subgroups of Maine
voters, with the exception that Democrats are more optimistic than are
Republicans.
– Nearly 1-in-5 (19%) self-described Republican respondents believe the economy is
“much worse” than 12 months ago; in contrast, about 3-in-10 (29%) Democrats feel
the economy is “somewhat better.”
– Looking ahead to the next year, Democrats are significantly more likely than either
Republicans or Independent voters are to say the economy will improve.
• Residents’ overall sense of economic pessimism is also reflected in their
estimates of the timing for economic recovery, with a strong majority (66%)
noting that they believe the recession will last at least two years.

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120 Exchange Street
Portland • Maine
October 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Residents’ Perceptions
of the Current State of the Economy
Compared with 12 months ago, how would you describe the overall status of the
economy? Would you say it is…

100

80

60
Percent

40

20

0
Spr Fall Spr Fall Spr Fall Spr Fall Spr Fall Spr Fall Spr Fall Spr Fall Spr Fall Spr Fall Spr Fall
'00 '00 '01 '01 '02 '02 '03 '03 '04 '04 '05 '05 '06 '06 '07 '07 '08 '08 '09 '09 '10 '10
Better 39 39 11 7 17 10 6 16 20 20 10 7 13 17 9 6 1 1 10 27 31 21
About the same 45 48 39 26 38 32 28 35 31 36 39 23 34 40 42 33 8 7 18 31 36 40
Worse 15 13 49 67 44 56 66 47 49 43 50 70 52 41 47 61 91 92 71 41 32 38

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120 Exchange Street
Portland • Maine
October 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Residents’ Perceptions
on the Future State of the Economy
Now think about the future of the economy. In the next 12 months, do you think the
economy will be . . .
100

80

60
Percent

40

20

0
Spr Fall Spr Fall Spr Fall Spr Fall Spr Fall Spr Fall Spr Fall Spr Fall Spr Fall Spr Fall Spr Fall
'00 '00 '01 '01 '02 '02 '03 '03 '04 '04 '05 '05 '06 '06 '07 '07 '08 '08 '09 '09 '10 '10
Better 24 20 23 33 47 34 36 33 29 30 14 12 17 18 16 12 15 35 46 43 43 35
About the same 50 55 38 24 36 38 36 38 37 41 33 33 35 44 46 35 26 26 27 34 33 38
Worse 23 17 37 41 14 26 25 27 31 25 51 53 44 31 37 49 55 33 24 20 19 20

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120 Exchange Street
Portland • Maine
October 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Length of the Recession

How long do you think the current recession will last: Six months, 1 year, 2 years or
More than 2 years?

It's over
3%
Don't know Six months
5% 3%

1 year
23%
More than
two years
40%

2 years
26%

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120 Exchange Street
Portland • Maine
October 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Maine Residents’
Personal Household Financial Situation
• Despite the economic downturn and employment concerns, Maine residents’ ability
to save – a key indicator of personal and household financial health – seems to be
holding steady over the past year.
– While only a small bloc of residents (15%) are saving more than they did last year, the
proportion of residents saving less has dropped appreciably since 2008.
– Among different income brackets, lower- and middle-income households are finding it
harder to save than upper-income households. Nearly half (47%) of households making
under $75k say they are saving less than they did last year, compared to about 3-in-10
(28%) households making $75k or more.
• While personal savings results have remained fairly stable over the last 12 months,
Maine residents’ anticipated levels of holiday spending are estimated as less than
2009.
– Indeed, nearly half of the residents polled (48%) suggest that their holiday spending this
year will be less than in ’09; this is particularly true among lower income residents.
– Notably, very few residents (3%) claim that they will be spending more during the
upcoming holiday season.

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120 Exchange Street
Portland • Maine
October 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Residents’ Household Financial Situation:
Personal Savings
Compared to last year, would you say your household is putting more into personal
savings, about the same amount, or saving less?
100

80

60
Percent

40

20

0
Spr Fall Spr Fall Spr Fall Spr Fall Spr Fall Spr Fall Spr Fall Spr Spr Fall Spr Fall Spr Fall Spr Fall
'99 '99 '00 '00 '01 '01 '02 '02 '03 '03 '04 '04 '05 '05 '06 '07 '07 '08 '08 '09 '09 '10 '10
More 21 20 26 19 21 17 23 14 17 15 15 15 12 9 11 12 9 7 8 12 13 16 15
About the same 44 45 42 46 40 45 42 41 43 41 37 36 38 35 35 35 38 32 35 41 42 39 42
Less 35 35 31 35 39 38 35 45 40 44 48 48 49 56 54 52 51 60 56 45 44 42 42

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120 Exchange Street
Portland • Maine
October 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Intended Holiday Spending

Thinking about the upcoming holiday season, are you planning to spend MORE than
you did last year on holiday gifts, will you spend about the SAME as you did last year, or
will you spend LESS than you did last year?

More
3%

Same
49% Less
48%

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120 Exchange Street
Portland • Maine
October 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Observations on
National and State Politics

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120 Exchange Street
Portland • Maine
October 2010
May 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Maine Residents’ Perspectives
on the Direction of the Nation
• Overall, Maine residents tend to be slightly less optimistic than the country as a
whole concerning the nation’s overall direction.
– Indeed, only about one-quarter of Maine residents (25%) say the country is headed in the
right direction, while 60% say the country is on the wrong track; by comparison, close to
half (47%) of US residents feel that the country is on the wrong track.
• Additionally, Maine residents are feeling less positive about the direction of the
nation today than they have in recent measurements.
– In the Spring 2009 Critical Insights on MaineTM survey, 59% of Maine residents felt the
country was going in the right direction; this figure experienced a decline to 47% in Fall
2009 and to just 25% currently.
• Both Democrats and Independents tend to have a more positive outlook regarding the nation’s
direction than do Republicans.
• While residents’ outlook on the direction of both Maine and the nation as a whole
continues to be less optimistic, the rates of optimism are similar for both Maine
and the U.S. in the most recent survey results; however, only about one-quarter of
residents feel that the state and nation are headed in the right direction.
– Maine residents today are less likely to say the state is headed in the right direction than
they were in Spring 2010.
– The proportion of residents who state that the nation is on the right track has dropped at a
substantially higher rate from the Spring 2009 survey (59%) to the current rate of 25%.

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120 Exchange Street
Portland • Maine
October 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Direction of the Nation: Maine vs. U.S.
All in all, do you think things in the nation are generally headed in the right
direction, or do you feel that things are off on the wrong track?

Maine Residents Fall '10 25 60 15

US Fall '10* 32 59 9

Maine Residents Spring '10 37 47 16

US Spring '10** 33 59 8

Maine Residents Fall '09 47 42 11

US Fall '09*** 44 54 2

Maine Residents Spring '09 59 35 6

US Spring '09**** 45 40 7

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

*Source: NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll. Oct. 14-18, 2010 Right Direction Wrong track Unsure
**Source: NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll, March 11, 13-14, 2010
***Source: Washington Post/ABC News poll, Oct. 15-18, 2009
****Source: CBS News poll, May 6-12. 2009
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120 Exchange Street
Portland • Maine
October 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Views on President Obama’s
Handling of Budget Deficit
Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Barack Obama is handling
the federal budget deficit?

Maine Residents
31 60 10
Fall '10

US Fall '10* 39 58 3

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Approve Disapprove Don't know/refused

*Source: ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Aug. 30-Sept. 2, 2010


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120 Exchange Street
Portland • Maine
October 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Views Toward Extending Tax Cuts

When it comes to the current tax rate for households with income over $250,000
a year, would you like to see the tax cut end or not?

Maine Residents
51 41 8
Fall '10

US Fall '10* 49 45 6

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

End Not end Don't know/refused


*Source: NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll. Sept. 22-26, 2010
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120 Exchange Street
Portland • Maine
October 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Views on Immigration Issues

• Mainers and the U.S. as a whole view the President’s handling of illegal
immigration similarly, with only about one-quarter of Maine residents surveyed
(27%) approving of President Obama’s handling of illegal immigration.
– Self-described Democrats and Independents in Maine hold a more favorable view than
do Republicans in terms of the President’s handling immigration.
• Fully half of Maine residents support providing a legal avenue for illegal
immigrants already in the US to become citizens, while about 4-in-10 are opposed
to this proposal with the remainder undecided.
– Support for this issue is highest among women and Democrats.

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120 Exchange Street
Portland • Maine
October 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Views on President Obama’s
Handling of Illegal Immigration
Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Barack Obama is handling
illegal immigration?

Maine Residents
27 50 23
Fall '10

US Fall '10* 28 60 12

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Approved Disapprove Don't know/refused


*Source: Quinnipiac University Poll. Aug. 31-Sept. 7, 2010
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120 Exchange Street
Portland • Maine
October 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Views Toward Amnesty for
Illegal Immigrants
Do you favor or oppose providing a legal way for illegal immigrants already in
the U.S. to become U.S. citizens?

Maine Residents
51 40 9
Fall '10

US Fall '10* 50 48 2

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Favor Oppose Don't know/refused


*Source: AP-National Constitution Center Poll. Aug. 11-16, 2010
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Portland • Maine
October 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Perspectives on Notable Republican Politicians
• With an eye toward 2012, poll respondents were asked to indicate whether they
have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of several key Republican politicians
making news today and who have been mentioned as having national aspirations
for the Presidency in 2012.
• Notably, no single tested Republican politician garners a favorable rating among a
majority of Maine residents polled.
• Among specific names, former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney garners the
largest bloc of favorable feedback among voters, but at just 38%; meanwhile,
Sarah Palin and Newt Gingrich garner the highest unfavorable ratings (51% and
52%, respectively).
– Not surprisingly, favorability ratings tend to break along party lines, with Democrats
having significantly lower favorability ratings than Republicans or even Independents.
– More well-educated residents (i.e. those with a college degree) are more likely to have an
unfavorable view of the Sarah Palin, Newt Gingrich, Christine O’Donnell and Mitt
Romney.
• Notably, even one-quarter of Republicans have an unfavorable opinion of Sarah Palin and Newt
Gingrich.
• It should be noted that substantial blocs of residents are unable to form an opinion
of the listed politicians, with Christine O’Donnell (49%), Jeb Bush (35%), Mitt
Romney (28%), Newt Gingrich (24%), and Sarah Palin (19%) each generating a
sizable number of “Don’t know” or “Not sure” responses.

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120 Exchange Street
Portland • Maine
October 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Favorability Ratings:
Sarah Palin
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of . . . ?

Maine Residents Fall


'10 30 51 19

US Fall '10 38 58 4

0 20 40 60 80 100
Favorable Unfavorable Don't know/refused

*Source: AP-GfK Poll conducted by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Media. Sept. 8-13, 2010
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120 Exchange Street
Portland • Maine
October 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Favorability Ratings:
Newt Gingrich
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of . . . ?

Maine Residents Fall


'10 24 52 24

US Fall '10 36 38 26

0 20 40 60 80 100
Favorable Unfavorable Don't know/refused

*Source: AP-GfK Poll conducted by GfK Roper Public Affairs & Media. Sept. 8-13, 2010
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120 Exchange Street
Portland • Maine
October 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Favorability Ratings:
Christine O’Donnell
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of . . . ?

Maine Residents Fall


'10 17 34 49

Delaware Residents
Fall '10 39 44 17

0 20 40 60 80 100
Favorable Unfavorable Don't know/refused

*Source: Rasmussen Delaware State Survey. September 2, 2010


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120 Exchange Street
Portland • Maine
October 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Favorability Ratings:
Mitt Romney
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of . . . ?

Maine Residents Fall


'10 38 34 28

US Residents Fall
'10 36 28 36

0 20 40 60 80 100
Favorable Unfavorable Don't know/refused

*Source: Gallup Poll. July 8-11, 2010


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120 Exchange Street
Portland • Maine
October 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Favorability Ratings:
Jeb Bush
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of . . . ?

Maine Residents Fall


22 43 35
'10

Florida Residents
45 42 13
July '10*

US Residents Spring
33 40 27
'09**

0 20 40 60 80 100
Favorable Unfavorable Don't know/refused

*Source: Public Policy Polling. July 23, 2010


**Source: CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. May 14-17, 2009
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Portland • Maine
October 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Voter Preferences

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Portland • Maine
October 2010
May 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Stated Voter Political Affiliation

In what political party are you registered to vote? Percent of Sample


Democrat 35%
Republican 33

Independent 29

Don’t know/Refused 4

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120 Exchange Street
Portland • Maine
October 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Approval Ratings for Governor John Baldacci

• With John Baldacci’s second term coming to a close, his overall approval rating
for the most recent survey represents the lowest observed score over the course of
measurement (35% currently, down from 39% in the Spring 2010 survey).
– Disapproval ratings (55%) also represent the highest observed to-date.
• Until the most recent iteration of Critical Insights on MaineTM, approximately 4-
in-10 Maine voters have approved of the Governor’s job performance over the past
eight years, while about half disapprove of the way he has handled his job.
– Voters in the southern part of Maine are more likely to have a favorable view of
Baldacci’s tenure as Governor.

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120 Exchange Street
Portland • Maine
October 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Residents’ Approval Rating
of Governor John Baldacci
Looking back on the last 8 years, do you approve or disapprove of the way Governor
Baldacci has handled his job as governor of Maine? *
100

80

60
Percent

40

20

0
Fall Spr Fall Spr Fall Spr Fall Spr Fall Spr Fall Spr Fall Spr Fall
'03 '04 '04 '05 '05 '06 '06 '07 '07 '08 '08 '09 '09 '10 '10
Approve 72 54 61 43 46 47 49 48 44 39 43 40 38 39 35
Disapprove 12 31 28 45 45 39 41 42 47 48 47 53 52 48 55
Don't Know 16 16 12 12 8 12 8 9 9 13 10 7 10 12 10

* Question wording in previous waves: In general, do you approve or disapprove of the way Governor Baldacci is handling his job as
governor of Maine?
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120 Exchange Street
Portland • Maine
October 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Maine Gubernatorial Race

• At 32%, Republican Paul LePage leads the group of candidates for the Blaine House,
followed by Democrat Libby Mitchell (20%) and Independent Eliot Cutler.
– LePage’s support is strongest among males, voters with total household earnings greater than
$50K and households with children;
– Mitchell’s support is strongest among college educated residents, while Mitchell is strongest
among lower income residents (<$50K annually).
• Two-weeks out from Election Day, close to one in five voters remain uncommitted at
this point in time.

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120 Exchange Street
Portland • Maine
October 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Voter Preference for Governor’s Race
If the election for the Maine Governor’s seat were to be held tomorrow, how would you
vote? Would you vote for…

Paul LePage 32

Libby Mitchell 20

Eliot Cutler 19

Shawn Moody 5

Kevin Scott 1
^

Undecided 21

0 20 40 60 80 100
Percent
38
120 Exchange Street
Portland • Maine
October 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
1st and 2nd Congressional District Races

• At this point, the race between Chellie Pingree and challenger Dean Scontras is in a
statistical dead-heat among the 295 CD1 voters included in Critical Insights on
MaineTM.
– Pingree’s lead of 45-40 over her opponent lies within the +/- 5.7% margin of error for the
CD1 sub-sample of 295 voters.
– Pingree has significantly greater levels of support with more highly-educated residents, while
Scontras has greater support among residents with a household income greater than $50K.
• In the 2nd CD, support for incumbent Rep. Michael Michaud sits at 49% presently, a
19 percentage point lead over Republican challenger Jason Levesque.
– With two weeks before the election, 1-in-5 voters in the 2nd District are undecided in this
race.

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120 Exchange Street
Portland • Maine
October 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Voter Preference for
Congressional District 1 Race
Now turning to the Congressional races, if the election were held tomorrow, would you
vote for… *

Chellie Pingree 45

Dean Scontras 40

Don't know 13

0 20 40 60 80 100
Percent

* Asked of Congressional District 1 residents only (n=295); Associated sampling error of +/- 5.7% at 95% confidence.
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120 Exchange Street
Portland • Maine
October 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Voter Preference for
Congressional District 2 Race
Now turning to the Congressional races, if the election were held tomorrow, would you
vote for… *

Michael Michaud 49

Jason Levesque 30

Don't know 20

0 20 40 60 80 100
Percent

* Asked of Congressional District 2 residents only (n=305); Associated sampling error of +/- 5.7% at 95% confidence.
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Portland • Maine
October 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Stated Voter Intentions on Question 2
“Do you favor a $5,000,000 bond issue to be awarded on a competitive basis to increase access to
dental care in Maine, $3,500,000 to be used for a community-based teaching dental clinic affiliated
with or operated by a college of dental medicine to be matched by $3,500,000 in other funds, and
$1,500,000 to be used to create or upgrade community-based health and dental care clinics across the
State to increase their capacity as teaching and dental clinics? ” If you were voting tomorrow, please
tell me how you would vote: Yes or No.

Don't know
• Overall, half of the Maine voters polled
13% (50%) report that they intend to vote
‘Yes’ on Question 2, the bond issue to
increase access to dental care.
– Support for this ballot question is highest
among Democrats and older residents
Yes (65+).
50%
• Of the remaining voters, 37% state that
No they intend to vote ‘No,’ and 13% are
37%
undecided at this point in time.

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October 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Sample Profile

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120 Exchange Street
Portland • Maine
October 2010
May 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Respondent Gender and Age

Into which of the following


categories does your age fall? Percent of Sample
18 to 34 14%

35 to 44 28
Male
47% Female 45 to 54 26
53%
55 to 64 15

65 to 74 14

75 and older 3

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120 Exchange Street
Portland • Maine
October 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Household Composition

How many adults 18 years of age or older, including


yourself, live in your household? Percent of Sample
1 13%
2 60
3 or more 24

How many children, under the age of 18, live in your


household? Percent of Sample
1 14%
2 20

3 or more 11

None 55

45
120 Exchange Street
Portland • Maine
October 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Tenure of Residency in Maine

How many years have you lived in the State of Maine? Percent of Sample
Less than 5 years 2%
5 to 10 years 5

More than 10 years 90

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120 Exchange Street
Portland • Maine
October 2010 www.criticalinsights.com
Socio-Economic Dimensions:
Education and Income
What is the highest level of education you have completed? Percent of Sample
Some high school or less 11%
Graduated high school 17
Technical/Vocational/Community College 3
Some college 20
Graduated college 34
Graduate school 12

Which of the following categories best describes your total household


income before taxes last year? Percent of Sample
Less than $15,000 2%
$15,000 to $24,999 5
$25,000 to $34,999 5
$35,000 to $49,999 10
$50,000 to $74,999 17
$75,000 or more 21
Don’t know/Refused 39

47
120 Exchange Street
Portland • Maine
October 2010 www.criticalinsights.com

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