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To help you:
~ Or ~
Loved
And Manipulated
REMINDER
Direct Personal Path
• Path chosen by dictators and despots
• Hands on the lever to make things go
• Working for a politician
• Or
You
Education
Mobilization
Education of Politicians
“If we could just get them to understand
_____ then they will support us.”
Millions
of workers in this country STILL
live under the threat of forced union
dues.
-George W. Bush
Electoral Reality 57
Mobilization Model
The Universe
(Everybody making the decision)
100% 50% + 1
Electoral Reality 58
Mobilization Model
The Universe
(Everybody making the decision)
Mobilization Model
The Universe
(Everybody making the decision)
40% are
REGISTERED 50% + 1 of Univ
to vote 30% + 1 of Elig
20% + 1
Electoral Reality 60
Mobilization Model
The Universe
(Everybody making the decision)
24%
50% + 1 of Univ
ACTUALLY
30% + 1 of Elig
vote
20% + 1 of Reg
12% + 1
Electoral Reality 61
Mobilization Model
The Universe
(Everybody making the decision)
D 50% + 1
8% 30% + 1
20% + 1
Electoral Reality 62
Mobilization Model
The Universe
(Everybody making the decision)
D R 50% + 1
8% 8% 30% + 1
20% + 1
Electoral Reality 63
Mobilization Model
The Universe
(Everybody making the decision)
D 6% R 50% + 1
8% 8% 30% + 1
20% + 1
2%
Electoral Reality 64
Mobilization Model
The Universe
(Everybody making the decision)
D 3%+1 R 50% + 1
8% 8% 30% + 1
20% + 1
2%
“Political success is determined by
the number and effectiveness of
the political activists on either
side.”
-Morton Blackwell
It’s a very small sliver of people
that make the difference.
Voter Turnout
Partisan mood of electorate
Candidate (for or against)
Single Issue/Philosophy
Run, do
not walk from someone who thinks
we should hold voter registration drives.
But why?
Recent Examples?
Care to
Don’t Care
Converter
Candidates
or issues can come along and
convert DON’T CARES to CARES.
Recent Examples?
2008
Nice – they don’t like confrontation.
Pleasure or Pain
If you show up to work on time do you get
a raise?
Voting to protect liberty is not an
extraordinary accomplishment, but
standard operating procedure. . .
INERTIA
Inertia plays into your hands.