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■ Overall context on 4 IR
■ Lessons learnt from other countries
■ Aspiration for Indonesia‟s 4IR
2
Industrial Revolution (4IR) utilizes the latest technology to link
the physical, digital and biological spheres of production
3
In the long term combined and connected technologies will
unlock new mechanisms for creating and distributing value
Creating value from converging technologies
Technologies
Internet of Things Advanced analytics & AI AR / VR / Wearables Advanced robotics 3D printing
Technology
Individual readiness
New skills Tech-augmented Operators
Security
Source: WEF – A.T. Kearney: Technology and Innovation for the Future of Production: Accelerating Value Creation 4
4IR Country Readiness Index (CRI) measures ~100 countries‟
readiness to face Industry 4.0
Country Readiness Index Framework and Drivers
Future of Production Capabilities
Structure of
Drivers of Production
Production
Country preparedness to
capitalize on emerging
Current baseline of production
technologies to transform
their production systems
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Demand Technology & Institutional Global Trade Human Sustainable
Scale Complexity
Environment Innovation Framework & Investment Capital Resources
Effectiveness of
Technological institutions, rules, Ability to
Capacity, Access to
Access to demand advancement and regulations, in participate in The manufacturing The diversity and
education, and resources and
and structure of the ability to shepherding international trade share in the sophistication of
agility of the labor sustainable use of
consumption generate new technological and attract foreign economy production
force resources
innovations development and investment
novel businesses
Drivers of
Production
High Potential Entrants Global Leaders
8.0
7.5 Singapore
7.0
6.5 Japan
6.0 Korea, Rep.
Malaysia
5.5 Indonesia
5.0
China
4.5 India
4.0 Best-fit line Vietnam Thailand
3.5 Mexico
3.0 Philippines
2.5
2.0 Cambodia
1.5
1.0
0.5 Followers Legacy Champions
0.0
1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.5 8.0 8.5 9.0
Structure of
ASEAN Benchmark All Others Production
1. Axes are on a 10 point scale, but have been magnified to show variances between countries
Source: A.T. Kearney, World Economic Forum 6
Indonesia has been showing tremendous growth in the past 15
years
xx Growth from 2000 to 2015
GDP ranking1 Change
2000 2005 2010 2015 (‟00-‟15)
#1 United States United States United States United States 0
#2 Japan Japan China China +4
#3 Germany Germany Japan Japan -1
: : : : :
#15 Netherlands Australia Mexico Mexico -6
#16 Argentina Netherlands Netherlands Indonesia +11
#17 Turkey Turkey Turkey Turkey 0
#18 Switzerland Switzerland Indonesia Netherlands -3
#19 Sweden Sweden Switzerland Switzerland -1
#20 Russian Federation Belgium Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia 3
#21 Belgium Saudi Arabia Sweden Argentina -5
#22 Austria Austria Belgium Sweden -3
#23 Saudi Arabia Norway Poland Nigeria +30
#24 Poland Poland Iran, Islamic Rep. Poland -
#25 Hong Kong SAR, China Indonesia Norway Belgium -4
#26 Norway Denmark Argentina Thailand +6
#27 Indonesia South Africa Venezuela, RB Iran, Islamic Rep. +9
GDP: USD 165 Bn USD 286 Bn USD 755 Bn USD 861 Bn x5.2
GDP/capita: USD 0.8 K USD 1.3 K USD 3.1 K USD 3.3 K x4.3
Population: 212 Mn 227 Mn 243 Mn 258 Mn x1.2
1. Current US$ basis
Source: The World Bank; A.T. Kearney 7
In 2017, Indonesia successfully improved its rank in the latest
Global Competitiveness Index
Global competitiveness ranking comparison Non-Exhaustive
2016/2017 2017/2018
Ranking Country Ranking Key insights
7 Standard
Deviation
6
Indonesia 0.7
5
Malaysia 2.8
4
Thailand 2.5
3 4.7
Turkey
2 Mexico 2.6
1
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
-1
-2
-5
-6
Source: World Bank, The Economist, A.T. Kearney 9
Indonesia has successfully built an economic virtuous cycle
Economic
Virtuous
Cycle
Social Foundation
Political Education
Safety
Stability level
1. Based on data from ILO, average Indonesian‟s earnings increased by 115% between the period 2004-2015
Source: The World Bank; IMF; A.T. Kearney 10
The next 15 years will be a golden period for Indonesia;
Indonesia will enjoy the demographic bonus peak
Demographic Bonus and Average GDP Growth
Limited Source of • Government Debt is 28% of GDP and Domestic Credit to Private
Funding Sector is 39% of GDP, FDI Net Inflow is 0.4% of GDP; all are below
ASEAN average
Source: IMF; The World Bank; A.T. Kearney 12
Productivity per cost in Indonesia is flattening; weakening
Indonesia‟s position in the global competition
Comparative Growth in Labor Cost and Productivity1
Labor Productivity Productivity/Cost
Labor Cost Comparison3
Comparison2 Comparison
280 200 2.2
2.0
260
China 180 1.8
240
1.6
220 160
1.4
-46%
200 India 1.2
140
180 1.0
-38% -6%
0.8
160 120
0.6
140 Indonesia‟s productivity
100 0.4 improvement is slower than
120 labor cost increase
Indonesia 0.2
100 80 0.0
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
30.5 -9.7
Singapore 318 41.0 10.5 19.1 18.3
Indonesia 0.8
Vietnam 185
Malaysia 128
Brunei 83
56.5 54.2 +6.4
64.8 68.9
Laos 68 14.7
8.3
Thailand
Philippines 65
Myanmar 43
50.0 53.3 93.6 91.1 +5.8
Indonesia 37 -3.3
Vietnam 2.5
10.0 +1 pp 9.4%
9.4
9.1
Transport, storage & comm. 8.9
■ Overall context on 4 IR
■ Lessons learnt from other countries
■ Aspiration for Indonesia‟s 4IR
18
Governments and policy makers globally face important
opportunities and challenges in preparing for the onset of 4IR
Fourth Industrial Revolution Strategy
Opportunities Challenges
• How can we develop a flourishing • How ready is the national industrial
innovation ecosystem for 4IR base to compete in a digital future?
technologies? • Where are we best positioned to
• Can we leverage 4IR to build a establish a sustainable competitive
competitive industrial base and position in the 4IR landscape?
leapfrog competitors with legacy • What skills will the workforce require
assets? Fourth for use to thrive in the future
• To what extent should the country Industrial environment?
forgo investments in legacy Revolution • How can we most productively
technologies and place aggressive Strategy manage the social, cultural, and
bets on the future? regulatory, impacts of the 4IR?
• How can we share risks and returns • How can we best manage the
with foreign investors? fundamental economic impacts in
• How can we integrate small and terms of employment, particularly
medium sized enterprises, and when diversification and job creation
entrepreneurs in 4IR innovation and are so urgent?
preparation? • …
•…
The most developed countries around the world develop national strategies to
prepare for the rapid advancements and impacts of the 4IR
Catapult (HVMC)1
2011 benefits visible
2
• Priority sectors and key technologies must be identified for effective
Focus Areas resource allocation
2
– e.g. Germany focusing on IoT and CPS; China -10 focus sectors
Budget 3
and • Initial state support and funding is needed to kickstart the adoption;
Key points
funding however, complementary private investment is equally important
model
4
• A collaborative effort from policy makers, implementing agencies,
Stakeholders corporates, technology leaders and research hubs is key for
success
5
• Policy should also address negative implications of IR 4.0, for
Implications example, on SMEs and low skilled labor
• Comprehensive IR 4.0 strategy in place • Thailand 4.0 is aimed at creating a value • A broader manufacturing industry
focusing on capability development, based economy roadmap in place but is yet to be
industry transformation and • Identified 10 priority sectors for implemented
reskilling workforce investment – 5 existing industries and 5 • Appointed nodal agency to coordinate
• Planned investment of SGD 3.3Bn over new industries to support future the process among stakeholders
4 years for R&D in advanced competitiveness • Secured Japan’s backing (investment
manufacturing and engineering • Created a fund of ~$280Mn to investment commitments) to better prepare for IR
– Special programs for industry aligned in R&D for targeted industries 4.0
R&D for robotics and 3D printing
– Alliance with 13 companies to develop
IoT solutions Malaysia Vietnam
• Earmarked SGD 4.5Bn to develop
individual transformation roadmaps for
23 industries across 6 clusters • Govt. close to formulating IR 4.0 strategy - • Ministries reviewing current strategies
Invited suggestions from industry, and action plans with development
– Facilitating SMEs to access advanced
collaborated with other nations trends in IR 4.0
manufacturing equipment's &
expertise • Agreements with Chinese and German • Govt. push on developing IT infra,
players for investments in robotics, incentives to encourage investments
• Commenced New skilling programs as
manufacturing, etc. • Working with Siemens for education
per industry needs
• Programs in place to upskill workforce and training for Industry 4.0
for next generation technologies
■ Overall context on 4 IR
■ Lessons learnt from other countries
■ Aspiration for Indonesia’s 4IR
24
Implementing 4IR can help to accelerate Indonesia to become a
global top 10 economy by 2030
Aspiration
Aspiration “To become a global top 10 economy in 2030 by regaining net
statement export advantage, driving share of GDP from manufacturing, and
competing in productivity, as a result from advancement in
2030 technology and innovation”
1 2 3 4
APAC Inspiring the
Revive net
Aspiration Undisputed export
productivity- Manufacturing
elements global leader to-cost Tech
advantage
champion Revolution
Coordination scheme
Reporting line Key success factors
Coordination line 1. Progressive
President / Minister of Industry aspirations that are
xx Stakeholder
encouraging
xx Objective Taskforce for 4IR roadmap 2. Nationwide collabo-
implementation
rative efforts i.e.
involving
Support representative from
Policymakers
providers each stakeholder
group
Tech 3. Clear governance
Tech users
suppliers
including roles &
responsibilities, KPI,
Economic Competi-
growth
Welfare
tiveness timeline & milestones
Americas Atlanta Calgary Dallas Houston New York San Francisco Toronto
Bogotá Chicago Detroit Mexico City Palo Alto São Paulo Washington, D.C.
Asia Pacific Bangkok Hong Kong Kuala Lumpur Mumbai Seoul Singapore Taipei
Beijing Jakarta Melbourne New Delhi Shanghai Sydney Tokyo
27