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Change in Estimates
Inline performance - Consolidated revenue at Rs11.1bn, up 8.2% yoy; EBITDA up 3.5%
EPS Chg FY18E/FY19E (%) (0.4)/(1.1)
yoy to Rs 1.6bn; EBITDA margin at 13.8% (-70bps yoy); APAT at Rs1.1bn, +16% yoy
Target Price change (%) 6.5
Decorative volume growth at ~11%. Have gained marginal market share (0.1-0.2%) in Target Period (Months) 12
FY17. General and Automotive business reported subdued performance while some uptick
Previous Reco HOLD
was seen in Protective coating aided by infra segment
Emkay vs Consensus
Gross margin at 42.2%, down 180bps yoy, impacted by increase in input cost while EBITDA EPS Estimates
margins decline curtailed to 70bps yoy at 13.8% due to lower A&P spends. Have initiated FY18E FY19E
YTD’17 price increase of 5.5% to offset increasing in input cost Emkay 5.7 7.0
We have largely kept our earnings unchanged, however we are enthused by healthy volume Consensus 5.3 6.4
performance in decorative segment despite challenging market condition. Berger Paint has Mean Consensus TP (12M) Rs 225
been consistently gaining market share and benefiting from mix improvement. We continue Stock Details
to maintain Hold rating with price target of Rs245/share (35x FY19E) Bloomberg Code BRGR IN
Face Value (Rs) 1
An in-line performance; volume growth at lower double digit Shares outstanding (mn) 971
Berger Paints Q4FY17 results performance of in line with our expectation on revenue as well
52 Week H/L 277 / 174
as profitability front. Key highlights: (1) Revenue at Rs 11.1bn, up 8.2% yoy with deco volume
M Cap (Rs bn/USD bn) 247 / 3.83
growth of ~11% yoy. International business also reported steady revenue growth of 13.8%
yoy (2) EBIDTA at Rs 1.6bn, up 3.5% yoy, Gross margin declined by 180bps yoy to 42.2%, Daily Avg Volume (nos.) 9,98,239
largely a function of higher input cost while EBITDA margin declined was curtailed to 70bps Daily Avg Turnover (US$ mn) 3.7
yoy at 14.5% due to lower other expenditure which grew by mere 1.8% yoy seems to be a
Shareholding Pattern Mar '17
function of lower A&P spends. (3) APAT at Rs1.1bn, grew 16% yoy.
Promoters 75.0%
Domestic decorative volumes grew ~11% led by market share gain FIIs 10.9%
Domestic revenue at Rs10.2bn, up 7.7% yoy, with ~11% volume growth in decorative paints, DIIs 3.2%
driven by new product launches and strong growth in advertised products & construction Public and Others 10.9%
chemicals. Have gained market share by 0.1-0.2% in domestic decorative business. General
Industrial and Automotive business reported subdued performance while Protective business Price Performance
lines saw some uptick especially in infra segment aided by initiatives taken by government. (%) 1M 3M 6M 12M
Tier-3 town had slowed down in Q4FY17 however Tier 1-2 saw healthy pick-up led by pent Absolute (1) 10 13 25
up demand post demonetization. There may be some glitch in demand during GST, however Rel. to Nifty (6) 2 (5) 7
post GST initiatives on distribution expansion and favorable macros should drive volume
uptick, we expect 15%/16% volume growth for FY18/19E.
Relative price chart
Rs % 30
Steady performance amid challenges; Retain Hold 275
We have largely kept our earnings unchanged; however we are enthused by healthy volume 250 22
performance in decorative segment despite challenging market condition. Berger Paint has been 225 14
consistently gaining market share and benefiting from mix improvement. We continue to 200 6
maintain Hold rating on stock with price target of 245/share (35x FY19E).
175 -2
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Berger Paints (BRGR IN) India Equity Research | Result Update
Gross margins marred by higher inputs while EBITDA margins decline curtailed
by lower A&P
Gross margins at 41.6%, down 190bps yoy, impacted by firming of input costs. Company has
taken a price hike of ~5.5% YTD’17 to offset increase in inputs. EBITDA margins decline curtailed
to 70bps yoy at 15.5% aided by lower other expenses (grew by mere 1.4% yoy) a function of
lower distribution & marketing spends. International operations’ profitability was steady with
gross margin of 48.7% (+110bps yoy) and EBITDA margin at 4.1% (+10bps yoy). While input
cost is drifting down from Q4FY17 levels, we believe from here on drivers for margin expansion
are volume traction and a better product mix.
Berger Paints also acquired Saboo Hesse Wood Coatings Pvt. Ltd. (SHWCPL) 51% stake in a
JV with Hesse Shares GmbH of Germany which hold remaining 49%. The company is in wood
coating business and the stake is acquired at a consideration of Rs 15mn.
Emkay Research is also available on www.emkayglobal.com, Bloomberg EMKAY<GO>, Reuters and DOWJONES.
June 5, 2017 2
Berger Paints (BRGR IN) India Equity Research | Result Update
YTD YTD
Margins (%) Q4FY16 Q3FY17 Q4FY17 (bps) (bps) (bps)
'FY17 'FY16
EBIDTA 15.1 15.6 14.5 -70 -110 15.8 15.3 50
EBIT 12.7 13.3 12.0 -70 -130 13.4 12.9 50
EBT 13.3 13.6 13.3 0 -40 14.3 13.1 120
PAT 8.8 9.3 9.5 60 20 9.8 8.7 100
Effective Tax rate 34.7 32.7 30.2 -450 -250 33.1 34.1 -110
Source: Company, Emkay Research
Emkay Research is also available on www.emkayglobal.com, Bloomberg EMKAY<GO>, Reuters and DOWJONES.
June 5, 2017 3
Berger Paints (BRGR IN) India Equity Research | Result Update
Balance Sheet
Y/E Mar (Rs mn) FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18E FY19E
Equity share capital 694 694 971 971 971
Reserves & surplus 11,913 14,927 18,045 21,683 22,420
Net worth 12,606 15,621 19,016 22,654 23,391
Minority Interest 0 0 0 0 0
Loan Funds 6,088 3,095 4,062 4,062 3,322
Net deferred tax liability 579 625 707 707 687
Total Liabilities 19,273 19,342 23,784 27,423 27,400
Net block 9,307 9,629 11,359 12,463 10,015
Investment 1,345 3,475 4,721 4,721 2,992
Current Assets 15,433 15,074 17,545 21,457 25,233
Cash & bank balance 1,698 1,053 1,025 3,566 3,931
Other Current Assets 118 1,032 1,134 1,134 2
Current liabilities & Provision 7,886 9,348 10,464 11,839 11,845
Net current assets 7,547 5,726 7,082 9,618 13,388
Misc. exp 70 0 0 0 0
Total Assets 19,273 19,342 23,784 27,424 27,400
Cash Flow
Y/E Mar (Rs mn) FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18E FY19E
PBT (Ex-Other income) (NI+Dep) 3,794 5,188 5,943 7,542 9,434
Other Non-Cash items (90) (23) 82 0 0
Chg in working cap (1,512) 1,223 (1,302) 6 (3,426)
Operating Cashflow 3,454 5,999 3,993 6,685 5,283
Capital expenditure (1,265) (815) (2,922) (2,330) 712
Free Cash Flow 2,189 5,183 1,071 4,355 5,995
Investments (438) (2,131) (1,246) 0 1,730
Other Investing Cash Flow (372) (360) (545) (627) (5,221)
Investing Cashflow (1,829) (2,960) (4,169) (2,330) (2,227)
Equity Capital Raised 23 (31) 278 0 0
Loans Taken / (Repaid) 806 (2,993) 967 0 (741)
Dividend paid (incl tax) (1,169) (1,327) (1,466) (1,877) (3,253)
Other Financing Cash Flow (927) 63 141 157 824
Financing Cashflow (1,768) (4,561) (243) (1,886) (3,335)
Net chg in cash (143) (1,522) (419) 2,469 (279)
Opening cash position 1,841 1,698 1,053 1,025 3,566
Closing cash position 1,697 176 634 3,493 3,287
Source: Company, Emkay Research
Emkay Research is also available on www.emkayglobal.com, Bloomberg EMKAY<GO>, Reuters and DOWJONES.
June 5, 2017 4
Berger Paints (BRGR IN) India Equity Research | Result Update
Key Ratios
Profitability (%) FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18E FY19E
EBITDA Margin 12.1 15.3 15.8 16.0 16.3
EBIT Margin 9.9 12.9 13.4 13.8 14.3
Effective Tax Rate 34.5 34.1 35.4 33.4 32.7
Net Margin 6.1 8.6 9.2 9.8 10.0
ROCE 25.1 30.1 30.9 32.6 37.1
ROE 22.3 26.3 24.8 26.5 29.6
RoIC 30.6 37.1 38.5 42.9 50.6
Emkay Research is also available on www.emkayglobal.com, Bloomberg EMKAY<GO>, Reuters and DOWJONES.
June 5, 2017 5
Berger Paints (BRGR IN) India Equity Research | Result Update
05-Dec-14
02-Dec-15
28-Nov-16
31-May-16
28-May-17
07-Jun-14
04-Jun-15
10-Nov-15 157 236 12m Accumulate Prashant Kutty
12-Aug-15 159 245 12m Accumulate Prashant Kutty
02-Jun-15 144 215 12m Accumulate Prashant Kutty Source: Bloomberg, Company, Emkay Research
04-Feb-15 153 230 12m Accumulate Prashant Kutty
10-Nov-14 128 400 12m Accumulate Prashant Kutty
08-Aug-14 108 355 12m Accumulate Pritesh Chheda
06-Jun-14 89 280 12m Accumulate Pritesh Chheda
Source: Company, Emkay Research
Emkay Research is also available on www.emkayglobal.com, Bloomberg EMKAY<GO>, Reuters and DOWJONES.
June 5, 2017 6
Berger Paints (BRGR IN) India Equity Research | Result Update
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June 5, 2017 7