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1 Assumptions
AmazonFresh
Ø Grocery
industry
market
in
U.S
($675
billion
and
esDmated
growth
of
13,58%)
Ø Unlikely
long-‐term
viability
of
home
deliveries
for
grocery
(hassles
of
distribuDng
food
products,
the
service
level
pressures
of
retail,
and
the
low
margins
of
grocery)
Ø Warehouses
with
specific
technology
for
the
grocery
industry
and
located
in
strategic
posiDons
Ø Dependency
from
delivery
companies
such
as
UPS
and
FedEX
($5
billion
shipping
costs
2015)
Ø Omni-‐channel
strategy
leveraging
on
Amazonfresh
Ø Walmart
grocery’s
data
are
esDmated
as
the
55%
of
Walmart’s
financial
results
based
on
the
total
weight
of
the
grocery
industry
Contents
1 Assumptions
IDENTIFICATION OF MAJOR SUPPLY CHAIN’S PROBLEMS FOR THE GROCERY INDUSTRY
1
STRATEGIC
PROCUREMENT
2
WAREHOUSE
3
MAKE
OR
BUY
TRANSPORT
4
PURE
ONLINE
RETAILER
• Strong
partnerships
with
MANAGEMENT&LOCATION
• More
variability
and
more
• L a c k
o f
p h y s i c a l
suppliers
and
supply
chain
• New
capacity
and
cost
challenges
costs
in
the
grocery
delivery
stores
and
the
providers
will
be
vital
to
including
expenses
for
picking
model
compared
to
the
challenge
of
a
future
m a t c h
h i g h
s h o p p e r
addiDonal
online
orders,
acquiring
p a c k a g e
d e l i v e r y
o n e
mulD-‐channel
retail
expectaDons
addiDonal
D C
s pace
a nd
p rocessing
(AmazonFresh)
5
peak
seasoning
demand
End-to-end Supply-chain Annex 1
1 STRATEGIC PROCUREMENT
• AmazonFresh
allows
shopping
online
and
on
mobile
• AmazonFresh
is
not
Amazon
customers’
only
opDon
for
apps
offering
doorstep
delivery
of
a
limited
selecDon
of
grocery
and
household
items:
groceries.
Ø Prime
Pantry
service:
for
packaged
goods
• Assortment:
between
10,000
and
30,000
items,
Ø Prime
Now
service:
available
in
a
number
of
major
metros
including
400+
produce
items,
500+
meat
and
seafood
across
the
U.S,
it
partners
with
some
local
grocery
stores
items,
1,300+
beverage
items
and
4,000+
health
and
to
offer
a
more
limited
selecDon
of
perishables
beauty
items.
• Since
2007
slow
expansion
in
U.S.
market:
beyond
Seafle,
today
it
is
available
in
ciDes
in
New
York,
New
Jersey,
ConnecDcut,
Massachusefs,
Pennsylvania,
Delaware,
Maryland,
New
Hampshire,
West
Virginia,
Illinois;
and
in
areas
of
Northern
California.
Ø Sort
other
two
opDons
out
and
use
the
partnerships
with
local
groceries
in
strategic
urban
areas
to
offer
grocery
pickup
sites
(like
Morrison’s
partnership
in
U.K.)
rather
than
building
new
locaDons
around
the
country
allowing
• But
where
compe(tors
have
largely
partnered
with
local
to
achieve
procurement
and
to
explore
new
markets
grocers,
Amazon
instead
has
been
invesDng
firstly
in
more
easily.
refrigerated
warehouses
and
inventory.
That
has
slowed
its
ability
to
expand
at
a
quicker
pace,
but
it
could
assure
Ø Agreements
to
sell
its
own
brand
of
grocery
items
(Happy
long-‐term
growth.
Belly
including
nuts,
tea,
and
oil,
Wickedly
Prime
snacks
6
and
treats,
and
Mama
Bear
baby
products).
End-to-end Supply-chain Annex 2
• Regional
transporta(on
infrastructure
by
adding
smaller
Ø Reduce
dependency
from
the
delivery
companies
by
distribu(on
centers
to
handle
"last-‐mile"
logisDcs.
leveraging
the
AmazonFresh
grocery
delivery
trucks
• Thousands
of
products
are
delivered
same
day
the
order
Ø Create
the
Amazon’s
new
distribu(on
arm,
Amazon
is
placed
or
the
day
a_er
(own
delivery
trucks,
cargo
LogisDcs,
becoming
a
logisDcs
company
in
its
own
right
planes,
(ny
drones
that
will
take
stuff
directly
to
and
compeDng
with
companies
such
as
UPS
and
Royal
customers’
doorstep)
Mail.
Ø Amazon
needs
its
own
logisDcs
operaDon
to
further
increase
Sunday
and
Same
Day
deliveries,
supporDng
its
ambiDous
Prime
membership
plans.
Ø The
move
will
save
$3
billion
a
year
globally
and
£122
million
in
the
UK
alone.
• But
sDll
needs
of
cold-‐chain
delivery
infrastructure
and
shipping
standards
(keep
food
cold,
manage
large
orders
and
schedule
them
within
Dght
delivery
windows).
• UPS,
USPS
and
FedEx
do
not
-‐
for
now
at
least
-‐
have
the
capability
to
deliver
groceries
generally
8
End-to-end Supply-chain Annex 4
COSTS:
Ø Leasing
opDon
allows
to
avoid
costs
of
infrastructure
and
increase
mobility
Cost
–Time
–Quality
Framework:
Ø Costs
saving
due
to
no
fees
by
shipping
couriers
•Indicates
benefits
of
introduced
recommendaDons
for
the
major
problems
of
the
Amazon’s
supply
chain
in
the
grocery
Ø Grocery
stores
reduce
the
costs
of
home
deliveries
industry
in
terms
of
Dme,
costs
and
quality
•Major
problems
are
strategic
procurement,
warehouse
management
&
locaDon,
make
or
buy
transportaDon
QUALITY:
decisions
and
lack
of
omni-‐channel
strategy
Ø Higher
quality
through
collaboraDon
1 Assumptions
2
2 End-to-End
End-to-End Supply
Supply Chain
Chain
Demand
forecast
• Orders
are
processed
and
prepared
for
• Orders
are
prepared
for
same-‐day
delivery
or
the
delivery
in
the
same
day
before
10
for
“free
store
pickup”
in
the
shop
before
the
and
processing
am;.
Aver
10
am
orders
are
prepared
for
“cut-‐off
Dme”;
orders
next
day
shipping;
• No
possibility
to
add-‐drop
products
but
possibility
to
modify
the
order
re-‐starDng
from
the
beginning;
• Algorithm
to
predict
the
demand;
Procurement/
• Restaurants
and
neighbouring
shops;
• Food
producers
that
have
to
pay
a
fee
for
the
Suppliers
• No-‐long
term
agreement;
products
stocked
on
Walmart
shelves;
• Partnership
with
HomeGrocer;
Logistics
• Dependency
from
third
party
logisDc
• Partnership
with
Uber
and
Lyv;
companies;
• Two
hour
delivery
window;
• Two
hour
delivery
window
•
Walmart
grocery
trucks;
12
Supply-chain activity analysis Annex 1
STRATEGIC
PURCHASING
The
forecasted
growth
of
grocery
industry
could
strengthen
the
posiDon
of
Walmart
at
the
expense
of
AmazonFresh.
The
market
will
be
more
compeDDve,
also
other
players
would
enter
and
the
possibility
to
find
the
“right”
suppliers
will
be
lower.
In
this
situaDon
AmazonFresh,
to
compete
with
others,
needs
to
develop
a
strategic
purchase
process.
Purchasing
is
strategic
because
food
is
perishable
and
the
quality’s
is
more
important
than
other
products.
The
availability
of
products
is
tricky
because
of
the
difficulDes
in
the
demand
forecast,
especially
for
seasonality
products.
The
creaDons
of
partnership
with
the
suppliers
help
to
share
informaDon
and
create
more
accurate
forecasts
avoiding
“out-‐of-‐stock”
products.
AmazonFresh
on-‐line
grocery’s
demand
will
increase
of
112%.
Amazon
needs
higher
products’
stocks
available
for
the
final
market
located
in
geographical
areas
strategic
for
the
delivery
.
For
these
reasons
AmazonFresh
is
invesDng
in
refrigerated
warehouses
and
inventories.
Threats
• Integrate
inventory
system
to
• D i ffi c u l D e s
i n
t h e
reduce
variable
costs
construcDon
of
warehouses
• Develop
informaDve
systems
to
l o c a t e d
i n
s t r a t e g i c
avoid
“out-‐of-‐stocks”
geographic
areas
• UX
design
and
tech
design
need
• High
costs
to
maintain
and
to
be
improved
implement
these
structures
LOGISTICS
AmazonFresh
offers
a
service
of
quickly
delivery,
in
a
window
of
two
hours.
The
logisDc
challenge
is
to
increase
the
speed
of
delivery,
maintain
or
reduce
the
costs
and
at
the
same
Dme
ensure
the
quality
of
food
that
need
to
be
shipped
at
controlled
temperature.
SWOT ANALYSIS
17
Contents
1 Assumptions
2
2 End-to-End
End-to-End Supply
Supply Chain
Chain
33 Mapped
Mapped Activity
Activity Analysis
Analysis
Margin
0,00%
5,38%
margin
shareholders
could
not
be
acracted
by
• ROE
will
increase
42,74%
4,23%
4,69%
4,91%
low
profitability
Net
sales
$8,699.59
§ Outbound
logisDcs
≈
shipping
Net
sales
$267,108.05
costs
Cost
of
sales
$5,825.23
§ Procurement
≈
5%
Cost
of
sales
$200,797.30
§ 8,13%
of
Amazon’s
revenues
Gross
profit
$2,874.36
come
from
Grocery
market
Gross
profit
$66,310.75
§ Infrastructure≈
35%
Net
income
$48.45
Net
income
$8,999.65
Pros
Cons
• New
strategy
(Vendor
• Opera(ng
in
the
daylight
F l e x )
g i v e s
of
physical
stores
will
give
AmazonFresh
a
bigger
tradi(onal
retail
rivals
a
warehouse
footprint,
chance
to
quickly
match
enabling
it
to
ship
more
Amazon's
best
ideas.
g o o d s
f a s t e r
a n d
• The
different
range
of
cheaper
store
formats
planned,
• O p ( m a l
s h i p p i n g
physical
retail
loca(ons,
loca(ons
allow
to
finish
technology
systems
to
and
allocate
the
final
install
and
maintain,
more
product
close
to
the
employees
to
hire
and,
of
consumer
course,
keeping
inventory
• A
lot
of
collabora(ons
stocked.
and
low
number
of
• Walmart’s
scale
and
price
suppliers
mean
lower
c o m p e ( ( v e n e s s
w i l l
procurement
expenses
further
ease
the
firm’s
• Ways
to
cut
further
into
transi(on
into
this
omni-‐
offline
sales
channel
model.
21
AmazonFresh’s value-chain and competitor analysis Annex 3
Current Future
SHAREHOLDERS
SHAREHOLDERS
SC
op#miza#on
• Suffer
from
small
margin
translaDng
• An
increasing
of
taxes
will
decrease
1 Assumptions
33 Mapped
Mapped Activity
Activity Analysis
Analysis
23
AmazonFresh business Canvas model future implications
Flexibility
of
supply
chain,
through
Electronic
Data,
Adop(on
of
in-‐store
digital
technologies:
Interchange
with
supply
chain
members,
permit
to
promptly
respond
to
environment
and
demand
Ø InteracDon
technologies
changes
Enhanced
speedness
of
delivery
through
automaDc
Ø Shelf
technologies
IT
order
management
systems
Streamlined
processes
in
order
to
make
the
Ø Mobile
payments
technologies
operaDons
lean
and
agile
Amazon
Walmart
More
focused
on
providing
a
superior
customer
More
focused
on
offering
low
prices
to
its
consumers
experience
and
Dme
savings
and
money
savings
Use
of
technologies
also
inside
warehouses
in
order
Leveraging
of
high
volumes
managed
in
order
to
take
to
reduce
delivery
Dmes
advantage
of
scale
economies
permizng
to
offer
low
prices
to
consumers
DistribuDon
acDviDes
implemented
by
Third
Party
Own
distribuDon
system
LogisDc
Providers
Developing
of
a
physical
store
network
Expanding
on
online
food
shopping
and
delivery
Ongoing
network
building
with
food
suppliers
Established
supplier
network
and
relaDonships
that
in
turn
permits
to
negoDate
low
prices
with
them
Consumers
primarily
interested
in
speed
of
shopping
Consumers
primarily
interested
in
low
prices
and
and
consumers
interested
in
fresh
or
gourmet
wide
array
of
products
products
27
Contents
1 Assumptions
33 Mapped
Mapped Activity
Activity Analysis
Analysis
28
Comparison of Supply-chain-strategies between AmazonFresh
and Walmart
AmazonFresh
Walmart
Logis(cs
Ø Concerning
long-‐life
food
products
Ø Concerning
physical
stores,
Walmart
postponement/
AmazonFresh
centralizes
it
and
ships
decentralizes
shipping
directly
to
specula(on
aver
the
orders
(postponement)
distribuDon
centres
near
supermarkets
Ø Concerning
short-‐life
food
products,
Ø Concerning
online
pla|orm,
Walmart
as
the
AmazonFresh’s
ones,
it
centralizes
and,
aver
having
received
decentralizes
and
ships
directly
near
the
orders,
ships
the
products
urban
centres
before
the
orders
Purchasing
Medium
quanDDes
of
stock
High
quanDDes
of
stock
Logis(cs
Third
Party
LogisDc
Providers
and
ongoing
Own
distribuDon
fleet
and
other
providers;
development
of
own
distribuDon
assets
Manufacturing
No
Manufacturing
acDviDes
but
ongoing
No
Manufacturing
acDviDes
but
only
development
of
own
private
label
labelling
of
products
with
own
brands
Supplier
Management
Extensive
exchange
of
informaDon
Use
of
long-‐term
contracts
in
order
to
through
IT
systems
in
order
to
coordinate
reduce
transacDon
costs
the
acDviDes
Customer
Service
Amazon
Prime,
Amazon
Fresh
Sam’s
Club
29
Logistic speculation vs. Logistic postponement Annex 1
We
decided
to
consider
only
the
logisDc
side
of
Amazon’s
supply
chain
strategy,
given
that
the
enterprise
doesn’t
manage
the
manufacturing
acDvity.
So
we
analysed
if
Amazon
implements
a
speculaDon
or
a
postponement
AmazonFresh
logisDc
strategy.
From
the
chart
it
seems
to
be
that
the
enterprise
chooses
to
follow
a
speculaDon
logisDc
strategy.
This
results,
actually,
is
influenced
by
the
characterisDcs
of
the
product
managed,
overall
we
are
referring
to
the
fresh
products
offered
through
AmazonFresh.
The
freshness
of
that
kind
of
products
requires
the
decentralizaDon
of
them,
in
order
to
make
them
near
urban
centres
also
before
receiving
orders
from
customers.
30
AmazonFresh between agility and learness Annex 2
Time
Commercial
SURVIVE
THRIVE
effecDveness
Commercial
DIE
QUICKLY
DIE
SLOWLY
ineffecDveness
Commercial
effecDveness
in
grocery
industry
Walmart
and
AmazonFresh
offer
a
high
quality
is
based
on
the
customer
service,
quality
of
of
service
but
Walmart,
offering
the
possibility
food
and
compeDDve
prices.
AmazonFresh
to
add-‐and-‐drop
products
also
aver
the
order’s
offers
a
wide
range
of
products
at
compeDDve
confirm,
creates
more
value
for
the
final
prices
for
the
industry.
Walmart
has
a
level
of
customers.
effecDveness
higher
than
AmazonFresh
because
offers
more
convenient
promoDons.
In
relaDon
to
costs
and
Dme
AmazonFresh
and
Walmart
have
similar
structures.
They
offer
the
Walmart
is
more
efficient
than
AmazonFresh
same
delivery
Dme
and
their
lead
Dme
are
in
terms
of
operaDons
thanks
to
its
more
or
less
equal.
In
terms
of
cost
structure
purchasing
process
(higher
number
of
AmazonFresh,
at
the
moment,
has
less
fixed
suppliers),
warehouses’
number
(36
vs
12)
costs
(less
warehouses,
no
costs
for
own
and
delivery
process.
However
AmazonFresh
delivery
process)
than
Walmart
but
these
costs
is
not
inefficient
but
presents
an
higher
will
increase
due
to
AmazonFresh’s
investments
number
of
improving
areas
than
Walmart.
31
in
these
operaDons.
Lead-time AmazonFresh Annex 3
1 Assumptions
33 Mapped
Mapped Activity
Activity Analysis
Analysis
33
Efficiency obtained by the GSC of AmazonFresh and anticipated
problems
An(cipated problems
37
Customer service approach obtained by the GSC of
AmazonFresh and anticipated problems
38
Total quality management obtained by the GSC of AmazonFresh
and anticipated problems
39
Digital supply-chain approach obtained by the GSC of
AmazonFresh and anticipated problems
Ø Demand
forecast
is
driven
by
collecDng
Ø Streamline
processes
and
reduce
human
and
analysing
data
and
informaDon
intervenDon
in
order
to
shorten
lead
Dmes.
from
sales
and
customer
needs
Ø Widespread
adopDon
of
new
technologies
and
robots
inside
An(cipated
problems
warehouses
and
sortaDon
centers
Ø Tracking
system
in
order
to
oversee
Ø High
costs
related
to
robots
investments
products’
physical
flows
and
IT
systems
Ø Necessity
to
conDnuously
update
technology
systems
Ø Training
and
educaDon
acDviDes
on
technology
systems
for
supplier
in
order
to
maximise
the
coordinaDon
with
them
40
Inventory management approach obtained by the GSC of
AmazonFresh and anticipated problems
An(cipated
problems
Ø Low
lead
Dmes
Ø Good
forecasts
in
demand
Ø High
seasonality
(i.e.
Christmas,
Easter,
etc.)
Ø Inventories
↑
Ø High
perishable
-‐>
need
of
fast
deliveries
Current
situa(on
41
Working capital resultant by the GSC of AmazonFresh and
anticipated problems
42
Outsourcing/Insourcing obtained by the GSC of AmazonFresh
and anticipated problems
Margin
the
right
Dme;
42,74%
4,23%
4,69%
4,91%
Ø AutomaDng
and
streamlining
Inbound
Outbound
MKT,
Sales
logis(cs
Opera(ons
logis(cs
your
operaDons;
&
Services
0,56
43
Number of Suppliers and Relations obtained by
the GSC of Amazon and anticipated problems
Current
situaDon
Goals
Ø Strengthen
partnerships
with
third-‐
party
sellers
and
manufacturers
Ø The
vast
majority
of
Amazon’s
through
Marketplace
suppliers
are
based
in
the
United
States,
followed
by
the
United
Ø The
GSC
of
Amazon
allow
suppliers
to
Kingdom
and
Japan,
but
the
site
offers
plan
for
the
growth
and
to
develop
products
from
companies
from
experDse
about
a
different
concept
of
around
the
world.
supply
chain.
On
the
other
side,
Amazon
receives
important
data
about
Ø 3
categories
of
suppliers:
General
customers.
Vendor/supplier
and
Partners
that
can
be
Publisher/Manufacturer
or
Third
party
The
former,
also
called
first-‐ AnDcipated
problems
party
sellers,
use
Vendor
Central
web
interface
to
sell
in
bulk
to
Amazon
and
the
registraDon
is
by
invitaDon
only.
Ø Independents
now
sell
44%
of
all
items
The
lafer
use
Seller
Central
web
on
Amazon
worldwide
and
their
sales
interface
to
manage
and
view
their
are
growing
faster
than
those
of
the
orders
and
anyone
can
sell.
host
site.
Although
Amazon
could
increase
its
revenues
from
service
fees,
the
company
could
help
its
compeDtors
to
become
bigger.