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BATTERY
MATERIALS
EDITION
SIMON MOORES
Benchmark Mineral Intelligence
CHRIS BERRY
House Mountain Partners
ANTHONY
Cobalt 27
MILEWSKI
“...we may need double the
world’s cobalt supply, with a
majority of it going into EV
batteries.”
WILLEM MIDDELKOOP
Co-Author, The Tesla Revolution
www.weare121.com
www.psl.com.au
1
Patersons
Patersons # has over
has ranked
by number of equity 85,000
clients with Funds
issues in Australia
every year since Under Management
2003 by reference to and Advice of
Thomson Reuters
League Tables $13.6 billion
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solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, any regulated products, securities or investments. The publishers of The Assay do not, and should not be construed as acting to,
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do not, and shall not be construed as, making any recommendation or providing any investment or other advice with respect to the purchase, sale or other disposition
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ligence unless otherwise stated.
WELCOME TO
THE ASSAY
In this edition we look at ‘Battery Materials’. With Tesla leading the charge,
the electric vehicle market is on the verge of massive expansion. The falling
cost of solar panels and wind turbines means that renewable energies are
finally becoming cost competitive. Environmental concerns (particularly in
China) are driving a dynamic shift from hydrocarbon-dependent economies
towards a renewable energy future. However, neither EVs nor renewable
power generation is possible without effective battery storage, and vast
quantities of raw materials will be required to meet the demand for batteries
to support the world’s energy future.
Read on for a wide range of mining companies looking to supply the “battery
revolution” and expert analysis on the key metals that will contribute to this
fast expanding market.
On behalf of 121 Group, we hope you enjoy this First Edition of The Assay.
Andrew Krelle
Editor
Company Profiles
8. Lithium Australia
26. Cobalt 27
Insights
6. The Tesla Revolution - Willem
Middelkoop
Interviews
38. Financing Battery Material Projects
- Chris Berry
Willem Middelkoop (Geneva, 1962) is founder of the Commodity Discovery Fund, and is a writer. He became a well-
known personality through his work as stock market commentator for the Dutch business television channel RTLZ.
Middelkoop predicted the onset of the credit crisis in his book “Als de dollar valt” (If the dollar falls) – 2007. Subse-
quent publications were “De permanente oliecrisis” (The permanent oil crisis) – 2008, “Overleef de kredietcrisis”
(Surviving the credit crisis) – 2009, “Goud en het geheim van geld” (Gold and the secret of money) – 2012, and The Big
Reset – 2013. In total, he sold more than 100,000 copies of his books.
6
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based society and we will have entered a whole a few days for its Model 3 electric car in early
new era. 2016. The energy revolution has started.
"The
We have burned half of all easily accessed and One of the biggest challenges is meeting
transformation
of our energy
cheap fossil fuels. A strong global movement our 24/7 demand for electricity, given the
has emerged. Many politicians, businesses and fluctuating sources of solar and wind. The end
citizens are working towards a fully-renewable of cheap oil and increasing needs of electric systems is here
energy system. Their motivation can be found transport makes the challenge even bigger. to stay. "
in a mixture of concerns over climate change,
After writing The Tesla Revolution we
air pollution (especially in Asia), and worries
understand much better why demand for
over fossil fuel supply security.
copper will keep growing, why platinum is
In the 2015 Paris Agreement, nearly 200 needed for future fuel cell production, and why
governments present agreed to move towards oil under $50 is not sustainable. The world of
low-carbon energy systems so as to reduce energy is changing fast and we will see many
greenhouse gas emissions as fast as possible. more changes arriving soon. It’s time to prepare
Even the Saudi and Russian governments are accordingly - for companies and investors.
on board: as Russian President Vladimir Putin
said, “our ability to successfully address climate
change will determine the quality of life for all
people on the planet.”
7
COMPANY EXPOSURE COMPANY LISTING STOCK CODE
LITHIUM AUSTRALIA
COMPANY OVERVIEW TEAM
Lithium Australia NL believes disruptive lithium chemical production will Adrian Griffin – Managing Director
power the energy revolution that’s transforming the world as we know it. To Bryan Dixon – Non-Executive Director
that end, the Company has developed SiLeach®, an exclusive technology that Barry Woodhouse – Company Secretary & CFO
can process all lithium silicates into battery-grade materials without the need
George Bauk – Non-Executive Chairman
for ‘roasting’. This advance on traditional processing methods is a world first.
Lithium Australia NL (‘LIT’) has one over-arching goal: the application of its
disruptive processing technologies to the production of lithium chemicals on a LATEST ANNOUNCEMENTS
commercial scale and at an operating cost in the lowest quartile.
11/01/2018 SiLeach process is novel, inventive and patentable
To achieve its ends, LIT is: 28/12/2017 Graphite spinout BEM receives conditional ASX approval
• procuring access to feed materials with low exposure to mining costs; 13/12/2017 Commences drilling at Sadisdorf, Germany
• processing materials considered waste by other operators; 07/12/2017 Maiden lithium Mineral Resource estimate at Sadisdorf,
• developing strong strategic partnerships, and Germany
• maintaining equity in resource projects globally. 01/11/2017 VSPC cathode product passes major milestone
06/07/2017 Large Scale Pilot Plant study exceeds design criteria
Shareholder structure
Retail 77.03%
PROJECTS
North America Australia
Electra project – Sonora, Mexico, Pilbara region, Western Australia
Metals Tech – Quebec, Canada Goldfields region, Western Australia
PROJECTS
From alpha-spodumene to zinnwaldite:
SiLeach ® is the ultimate processing solution
SILEACH ® – THE FUNDAMENTALS Before SiLeach
9 WWW.LITHIUM-AU.COM
COMPANY EXPOSURE COMPANY LISTING STOCK CODE
NEMASKA LITHIUM
TEAM
COMPANY OVERVIEW
Michel Baril – Chairman of the Board
Nemaska Lithium (TSX:NMX and OTCQX:NMKEF) is building North America’s Guy Bourassa – President & CEO
richest and largest hard rock lithium project and lithium salts (LiOH and Li2CO3) François Biron – Director
processing facility through a unique deposit in Nemaska and a state-of-the-art Paul-Henri Couture – Director
transformation plant in Shawinigan, both located in the province of Québec, René Lessard – Director
Canada. The project is fully permitted and construction has begun, making it
LATEST ANNOUNCEMENTS
one of the next fully integrated lithium salts suppliers in the world.
09/01/2018 Nemaska Lithium releases 2018 feasibility study
Once in commercial production, Nemaska Lithium is projecting to be one of the
lowest cost producers of lithium hydroxide and lithium carbonate in the world. 08/01/2018 Nemaska Lithium delivers second shipment of battery grade
(source - NI43-101 compliant feasibility study of January 8, 2018) lithium hydroxide from Whabouchi Concentrate and releases
product purity specifications
The Company is well positioned to enter the chain of supply with lithium
concentrate by 2018 and lithium salts by 2019. Qualification of Nemaska 19/12/2017 Nemaska Lithium makes reclamation bond installment for
Lithium’s lithium salts with key customers began in 2017. Whabouchi Mine and announces exercise of warrant and
options
CAPITAL STRUCTURE AND SHAREHOLDERS
14/12/2017 Nemaska Lithium signs deal for sale of Sirmac property to
Investissement Québec Inc. 7.35% Abe resources and receives mining lease for Whabouchi
Lithium mine
TQC Group (Netherlands) Cooperatief UA 4.77%
04/11/2017 Nemaska Lithium confirms first delivery of battery grade
BlackRock Investment Management (UK) Ltd. 4.45%
lithium hydroxide from Whabouchi Mine concentrate
Global X Management Co. LLC 3.16%
RobecoSAM AG 1.25% KEY FINANCIALS (JANUARY 2018)
Fidelity (Canada) Asset Management ULC 1.18%
Share Price C$1.85
Van Eck Associates Corp. 1.08%
Shares Outstanding 401.6m
Hauck & Aufhäuser Privatbankiers AG 0.97%
OFI Global Asset Management, Inc. 0.93% Market Capital C$743m
Debt $0
Others 68%
PROJECTS
Nemaska Whabouchi Project
• H2-2018: Commissioning
of Commercial Mine and STRATEGIC OFFTAKE CUSTOMERS
Concentrator
• FMC
Shawinigan Hydromet Plant • Johnson Matthey
• Q4 2017: Phase 1 Plant to • Multi-year contracts for Quantities - this accounts for ~42% of annual
produce, commercial lithium production
salts samples • Combination of fixed and market pricing
• Investment grade counterparties
• H2-2019 Commissioning of
Hydromet plant
Nemaska Lithium is committed to a low carbon footprint,
environmentally responsible production model throughout its
process from concentrate to finished lithium salts.
GREEN LITHIUM PRODUCTION
At both the Hydromet plant and mine site the Company has designed a project
that takes into account the goal of minimising the project footprint and recycling
where possible.
Initiatives include:
• co-disposal of filter-pressed tailings with waste rocks at the mine site;
• almost-100% process water reuse at both sites,
• low GHG emissions due to use of electrolysis with hydroelectricity
• valorization of all side products with the result of having no waste at
Hydromet site.
NEOMETALS LTD
THE EVOLUTION OF LITHIUM
COMPANY OVERVIEW TEAM
Neometals Ltd (ASX: NMT, OTC: RDRUY) is a Western Australian minerals Steven Cole – Chairman
project developer with interests in lithium, titanium, vanadium and nickel Christopher Reed – Managing Director
projects. The Company is primarily focused on its Mount Marion and Barrambie David Reed – Non-Executive Director
projects. Neometals is developing itself in multiple positions in the Lithium-Ion Natalia Streltsova – Non-Executive Director
battery commodities supply chain through its 3 key business units – Lithium, Doug Ritchie – Non-Executive Director
Titanium, and Technology. COMPANY ANNOUNCEMENTS
12/12/17 Update on downstream lithium projects
INVESTMENT PROPOSITION 06/12/17 Neometals admitted to NASDAQ international designation
• Undervalued lithium producer 17/11/17 Neometals’ Mike Tamlin on increased production at Mt Marion
• Expected re-rating with consistent steady-state production 08/11/17 Barrambie Titanium Project - update
• Cash, cash flow & growth 31/10/17 Neometals features in 60 Minutes story on batteries
»» 13.8% cash flow from Mt Marion concentrates
»» Downstream conversion to LiOH KEY FINANCIALS (JANUARY 2018)
»» Technology: developing a diversified portfolio, licence potential
Share Price A$0.43
»» Secured strong partners for Neomet process
»» Titanium: The Big One, completed BFS Shares Outstanding 543.5m
PROJECTS SUMMARY
PROJECT BUSINESS UNIT OWNERSHIP
Mt Marion Lithium Operation Lithium 13.8%
WA Lithium Hydroxide Project Lithium 100%
Barrambie Titanium Project Titanium 100%
100%
Lithium Battery Recycling
Technology Commercialisation
Technology
Rights; 50% IP
Lithium Titanate Research
Technology 100%
Project
Neomet Process Technology Technology 25% Net Profit Interest
Lithium Hydroxide Processing
Technology 70%
Technology - ELi Process
Lithium Brine Processing
Technology 100%
Technology - Dexter Process
PRODUCTION - Mt Marion Lithium Operation
GLOBALLY SIGNIFICANT OPERATION –
• Mt Marion Lithium Project is located approximately 40km south west of
Kalgoorlie, Western Australia
400KT CONCENTRATES PA (~50KT LCE)
• Jointly owned by Neometals Ltd (13.8%), China’s lithium producer Jiangxi
Ganfeng Lithium Co., Ltd (43.1%) and a local mining services business (43.1%).
• 400kt concentrates per year (~50kt LCE)
• JORC Resource 77.8Mt @ 1.37% Li2O* across 6 deposits
• 2HFY17 Production 156,000 dmt
• 1QFY18 Production +100,000 wmt
• FY18 Forecast 450,000t of 6% & 4% Li2O
• 1HFY18 EBITDA A$72M** (100% basis)
• C1 costs A$369/t CIF (~US$290/t)
• Total costs A$460/t CIF (~US$360/t) Mt Marion Aerial
• LOM Take or Pay Contract* January 2017
First ore to beneficiation
• Price linked to International LCE price
TITANIUM - Barrambie Titanium Vanadium Iron Project GLOBALLY SIGNIFICANT TITANIUM RESOURCE
• Plans to exploit one of the world’s highest grade hard rock titanium deposits
• Beneficiate with a proprietary acid leach process to produce high purity TiO2,
Fe2O3 and V2O5 from the Barrambie deposit.
• The process route shows potential to operate at lowest quartile costs.
• JORC Resource 48Mt @ 22% TiO2
• Formal laboratory-scale test work in Canada has confirmed high-purity (>99%)
TiO2 can be precipitated selectively from a leach solution at recoveries >90%
• NEOMET PROCESS: 3 Product Efficiency
13 WWW.NEOMETALS.COM.AU
COMPANY EXPOSURE COMPANY LISTING STOCK CODE
Payback Period (from commencement of production) 1 year 8 months Production Total Costs $97,677 $2,791
15 WWW.NEOLITHIUM.CA
Cobalt - Chasing
Electric Dreams
By Anthony Milewski, Chairman, Cobalt 27
Anthony’s career in the mining industry includes time spent as a company director, advisor, founder and inves-
tor. Anthony has managed numerous mining investments at various stages of development and across a broad
range of commodities. Prior to joining Pala, Anthony worked at Firebird Management, where he focused on
natural resource investments in Africa, Central Asia and the Former Soviet Union. Anthony previously worked
at Renaissance Capital and Skadden, Arps in Moscow and has lived and worked in Africa and Russia, including a
year as a Fulbright scholar.
16
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Annual cobalt production is approximately 100,000 tonnes, Times have also changed for artisanal miners in the DRC.
with over half coming from the Democratic Republic of the Companies such as Apple and Tesla are requiring suppliers to
Congo (DRC). Half of it is used in the broader battery industry show sourcing data to avoid negative publicity associated with
in one form or another (including the cellphone market). The child labour. Even if the cobalt price goes higher it is unlikely
amount of cobalt required to supply expected future demand that cellphone and carmakers are willing to buy and use conflict
is staggering. Analysts are not great at predicting future cobalt, so there will be a far smaller corresponding increase in
penetration and adoption rates for new consumer products. artisanal mining compared to 2008.
But, if we take their projected rates as a guide, the cobalt market
Will someone invent a new battery and ‘engineer out’ cobalt,
will need to expand dramatically between now and 2025. Bank
as sometimes suggested? This is nonsense. Carmakers say that
analysts have 2025 EV penetration rates at anywhere from a
even if a new battery was invented today we would not see it in
few per cent to upwards of 15 per cent. If we imagine a world
an electric car for at least eight years.
in 2025 with 10 per cent EV penetration we may need double
the world’s cobalt supply, with a majority of it going into EV That is not to say that scientists are not working on new battery
batteries. technology. Instead, it highlights the time it takes to create a
new battery, make it cost effective and then convince carmakers
Perhaps this all sounds like the bull markets that precipitated
and regulators it is safe enough to be in a car. I am reminded of
huge spikes in the uranium price and the rare earths market at
Betamax v VHS. The argument about which format was better
various points over the past decade. Should we worry?
was largely academic. VHS was the format of choice for the film
First and foremost, a critical distinction between cobalt and industry and crushed Betamax. The same is true of the lithium
uranium/rare earths is that unlike the “if you build it they ion battery. The market has chosen the lithium ion battery as the
will come” mentality that surrounded both of those latter winner for a decade.
commodities, the gigafactories of the world are currently being
There are other aspects of the cobalt market to consider: battery
built. The industrial capacity that requires cobalt exists and is
chemistry changes; new projects coming into production; and
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THE ASSAY
the possibility of collecting additional material from existing The world needs more cobalt. Around 98 per cent of the world’s
operations and tailings. cobalt is a byproduct of copper or nickel. This makes increasing
supply difficult. That said, cobalt is like all other commodities –
Lithium ion battery chemistry will change in the next five years.
there is a price point which acts as an incentive to bring on new
The two most common chemistries are the NCA (a combination
supply. The current cobalt price is just off the 20-year inflation-
of lithium with nickel, cobalt, aluminum oxide, used by Tesla)
adjusted average, and in my opinion a long way from the
and NMC (lithium with nickel, manganese and cobalt oxide,
incentive price. When the price of cobalt is high enough there
used by most everyone else).
are mines in North America, Africa, Russia, Cuba, and Australia
The NMC configuration is a ratio of 5-2-3 of nickel, manganese that can and will be built.
and cobalt. A 6-2-2 configuration is being rolled out and
If history is a guide, the market will go well past the incentive
companies are working on an 8-1-1 configuration, which is
price for new cobalt production, sparking investment in new
probably four or five years away. I would note that all of these
mines. There are few large-scale new mines with significant
changes in chemistries are built in supply demand models and
cobalt credits that I can think of that will be in production in
are expected. Even the lithium air battery, a decade out, contains
the next three years, and the timeline for most mines is more
cobalt. If the price goes high enough you may see companies put
like four to six years. The two obvious cobalt producers that will
more scientists on the task of changing the chemistry to the 8-1-
enter the market are Katanga and ERG’s mine.
1 and so theoretically this could be brought forward a few years.
18
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When a commodity moves sharply the market possible to engineer-out at this time. Cobalt’s
always seems to manage to find units in price at $30 per pound is less than 1 per cent of
forgotten places. That may come in the form of the price of an EV and well below the incentive
"The world adding or changing a circuit at an HPAL (High price for new mines.
needs more Pressure Acid Leach) facility, or optimising a
cobalt. Around current process for cobalt. There are tailings in
Investing in cobalt producers and the metal is
an exciting pure play on the EV adoption trend.
ninety eight places such as the DRC that could be brought
19
COMPANY EXPOSURE COMPANY LISTING STOCK CODE
PIEDMONT LITHIUM
THE WORLD’S BEST-LOCATED LITHIUM PROJECT
COMPANY OVERVIEW TEAM
Piedmont Lithium is an emerging lithium company focused on the development Ian Middlemas – Chairman
of its 100%-owned Piedmont Lithium Project in North Carolina, with the goal Keith D. Phillips – President & CEO
of becoming a strategic domestic supplier of lithium to the increasing electric Anastasios (Taso) Arima – Executive Director
vehicle and battery storage markets in the U.S. The Piedmont Lithium Project is Robert Behets – Non-Executive Director
located in one of the premier regions in the world for lithium exploration given Levi Mochkin – Non-Executive Director
its favourable geology and ideal location with easy access to infrastructure, Mark Pearce – Non-Executive Director
power, R&D centers for lithium and battery storage and major high-tech
population centres.
COMPANY ANNOUNCEMENTS
24/01/18 Piedmont launches Scoping Study with the appointment of
MAJOR SHAREHOLDERS Primero and CSA
17/01/18 US Policy changes on critical minerals and corporate taxes
NASDAQ Securities Australia Pty Ltd. 9.48% reinforce core advantages of the Piedmont Lithium Project
AustralianSuper Pty Ltd 5.64% 09/01/18 Piedmont enhances Senior US Executive team
12/12/17 Comprehensive Drilling Programme commences at The
Ian Middlemas 3.61% Piedmont Lithium Project
Sapphire Chip Pty Ltd 1.87% 28/11/17 Further High-Grade Assay results continue to extend
mineralisation at The Piedmont Lithium Project
Top 20 Shareholders 50.50%
14/11/17 Piedmont continues aggressive land strategy
Officers and Directors 14.20% 03/11/17 Completion of institutional placement raising A$16m
01/11/17 Phase 2 Drilling Programme completed and further High-Grade
WHY PIEDMONT? Assay results
11/10/17 Piedmont commences trading in The United States and admitted
• High-Growth Sector – lithium is a high-growth sector for both to Nasdaq International Designation
consumer products and investors 05/10/17 Piedmont Lithium to present at the Cathodes 2017 Conference
• Project That “Checks All The Boxes” – the world’s best located lithium 26/09/17 Four Kilometres of mineralisation confirmed at the Piedmont
project with strong project fundamentals and ability to rapidly develop Lithium Project
the high-grade deposit 13/09/17 Piedmont secures additional Lithium Mineral Rights
• Strong Board – extremely well credentialled Board with a proven
history of developing mineral resource projects and delivering
KEY FINANCIALS (JANUARY 2018)
shareholder value
Share Price A$0.21/ US$16.70
• Solid Shareholder Base – major shareholders who share the vision for
Piedmont to become a new strategic supplier of lithium to the high- Shares/ADRs Outstanding 554.0m/5.54m
growth US market
Market Capital A$116m/ US$92.5m
• Maiden Resource - Expected Q2 2018
Cash/Equiv US$14.0m
Debt 0
PROJECT ADVANTAGES
• Proximity to downstream markets – located within 15 miles of the only two large
scale lithium processing facilities in the U.S. providing potential cost savings and
certainty of supply;
• Existing infrastructure – ready access to high quality roads and rail, low-cost power
and skilled labour force; and
• Stable and investment friendly jurisdiction – stable legal regime, established 9
month permitting process for mining operations with low taxes and no state mining
royalties
PROJECTS INFRASTRUCTURE
• 100% interest in the Piedmont Lithium Project • Good access to established infrastructure and labour market
• Located approximately 40 kilometres west of Charlotte, »» Access to labour is a significant strategic advantage for Piedmont located outside Charlotte
North Carolina • 11.5 GW of large scale power within 50 km of the project
• Located within the world-class Carolina Tin-Spodumene »» McGuire Nuclear Power Station (2.3 GW)
Belt (“TSB”)
»» Transcontinental Natural Gas Pipeline
• Along trend to the Hallman Beam and Kings Mountain
• A major highway just south of the project
mines, provided most of the western world’s lithium
between 1950 and 1990 »» I-85 Interstate Highway
• The TSB has been described as one of the largest lithium • Two nearby railways with access to major international ports, and a major international
provinces in the world airport
»» Charlotte/Douglas Int. Airport
Hole 17-BD-53 10.5m @ 1.06% Li2O from 56m and 5.5m @ 1.39% Li2O from
Hole 17-BD-29 5.0m @ 1.44% Li2O from 30m and 3.0m @ 1.26% Li2O from
21 WWW.PIEDMONTLITHIUM.COM
COMPANY EXPOSURE COMPANY LISTING STOCK CODE
Average Gross Operating Cash flow Per Annum - Year 1-10 US$74.8m
23 WWW.PLYMOUTHMINERALS.COM
COMPANY EXPOSURE COMPANY LISTING STOCK CODE
STRATEGIC SHAREHOLDERS
• CE Mining
• CE Mining II
“demand for nickel could reach 400,000 tonnes should electric
vehicles reach 10 per cent of the global fleet, enough to cause a
supply deficit” Glencore Chief Executive Ivan Glasenberg
INCREASED DEMAND-ELECTRIC VEHICLE (EV) GROWTH
• Market in deficit 2016 onwards
– Supply closures on ferronickel side
– Chinese stainless demand strong
– Stock reducing from highs
SUPPLY – LIMITS TO NPI MARKETS • High grade ore, Indonesia, produces HG NPI, direct
300 stainless feed
INVESTMENT SUMMARY
• Leveraging off US$180m historical spend on mine, plant and infrastructure
• Strong Government and Community support with all key mine infrastructure and permits in place
• Company de-risked with CSR commitments cleared, water security improved, costs reduced
• Key technical operating management in place at site
• Robust project returns with short-run to cash flow positive, driven by competitive operating costs and low start-up Capex requirement (US$40m)
• Exploration potential both down-dip and in region
• Value add product of metal or battery-grade sulphate demonstrated and pilot and feasibility study step to start. Separate financing planned
• Expert project development team with African operating experience, proven mine restart capabilities and a track record of delivering superior shareholder
returns
• Financing of restart underway
25 WWW.CNMPLC.CO.UK
COMPANY EXPOSURE COMPANY LISTING STOCK CODE
COBALT 27
COMPANY OVERVIEW TEAM
Anthony Milewski – Chairman, CEO & Director
Cobalt 27 Capital Corp. (“Cobalt 27”) is a minerals company that offers pure-
play exposure to cobalt, an integral element in key technologies of the electric Justin Cochrane – President & COO
vehicle and battery energy storage markets. Cobalt 27 has acquired one of the Cindy Davis – CFO
world’s largest stockpiles of physical cobalt and intends to manage and grow Frank Estergaard – Director
a cobalt-focused portfolio of streams, royalties and direct interests in mineral Nick French – Director
properties containing cobalt. Cobalt 27 identified cobalt as a commodity with John Kanellitsas – Director
attractive supply-and-demand fundamentals driven by the rapidly growing Candace MacGibbon – Director
electric vehicle and battery energy storage markets.
ADVISORY BOARD
Cobalt 27’s management team evaluated various opportunities to invest in
Jonathan Hykawy – Managing Director, Stormcrow
cobalt and decided the most attractive structure would be to create a company
Phil Day – 20 years focused on mining operations and design
with an asset base underpinned by physical cobalt material and enhanced with
Andrew Ferguson – Executive Director and CEO of APAC Resource
growth opportunities in the form of streams, royalties and direct interests in
Robert Mitchell – Managing Member of Portal Capital, Portfolio Manager of
mineral properties containing cobalt.
Green Energy Metals Fund and Co. , and Odysseus Fund
Neil Warburton – Non-Executive Director at Independence Group
Vincent Metcalfe - Vice President at Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd.
COBALT 27 STRATEGY
Ted Miller - Ford Motor Co. senior manager of energy storage and materials
Cobalt 27’s strategy of holding physical cobalt, streams and royalties will strategy and research
avoid the operational, environmental, closure, capital risks and the binary Mark Selby - President & CEO of RNC Minerals
upside/downside associated with typical mining companies. Similarly, Cobalt Dr. Prabhakar Patil - Former CEO of LG Chem Power Inc.
27 will not be exposed to any operational and competitive risks borne by the Andrew Ham - PhD Structural Geology; 20+ years mining investment
automakers and battery producers. By holding physical cobalt and cobalt
LATEST ANNOUNCEMENTS
streams and royalties, the Company will be able to participate in cobalt price
appreciation while minimising exposure to risks. 11/01/18 Cobalt 27 announces Andrew Ham joins advisory board
22/12/17 Cobalt 27 announces full exercise of over-allotment option
CAPITAL STRUCTURE AND SHAREHOLDERS
21/12/17 Cobalt 27 appoints two new directors as it focuses on
Pala Investments Ltd. (Switzerland) 18.6% streaming
19/12/17 Cobalt 27 closes $85M bought deal offering
Portal Capital 11.1%
11/12/17 Cobalt 27 announces filing of prospectus supplement and
Blackrock 8.8% purchase of additional cobalt
Fir Tree Partners 3.7% 07/12/17 Cobalt 27 announces $85M bought deal offering of common
shares
Sovereign Wealth Fund 2.9%
Cobalt 27 Focus
27 WWW.CO27.COM
Cobalt Shifts From
Metal To Chemical
Markets
By George Heppel, Consultant, CRU International
George joined CRU in 2017 as a Consultant within the Nickel, Stainless Steel and Special Alloys team.
He is responsible for reporting on the Cobalt and Molybdenum markets, including annual market out-
looks, quarterly updates and monthly monitors. George worked in pricing analysis and forecasting in
the energy industry, focusing on sulphur and its end-use markets. After that, he moved into the minor
metals trading sector with a primary focus on nickel-cobalt superalloys, as well as alloy addition ele-
ments (Re, Ta, Hf, W, Mo) and rare earth elements. George has experience working with minor metals
in the USA and the UK, and his scientific background has been a particular benefit in analysing minor
metal end-use markets. George has Masters in materials science from Oxford University.
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THE ASSAY
30
Vanadium -
Another Important
Battery Option
By Gavin Wendt, Founding Director & Senior Resource Analyst, MineLife
Gavin is the Founder of MineLife and the Senior Resource Analyst. He is the author of both the Resource Bulletins
and the Weekly Reports. Gavin has been involved in the Australian share market for the past 20 years as a re-
source analyst, employed in the stockbroking and finance industries. He specialises in researching and evaluating
mining and energy companies for clients of all types.
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THE ASSAY
Deutsche Bank price forecasts for 99.5% and 98.5% lithium carbonate, lithium hydroxide and 6%
spodumene concentrate
32
www.theassay.com
VRBs are ideal for “grid-constrained” solar and wind-farms what they were three years ago and are set to come down
that currently struggle to sell their electricity at times of further. VRB can be stacked up to increase storage capacities,
peak production, but find other forms of storage to be whereas lithium-ion storage capacities are somewhat boxed-
uneconomical. Furthermore, VRBs boast a longer continuous in by initial design. Unit cost for large-scale VRB goes down,
discharge run time (6-10 hours versus 2-5 hours) than whereas it goes up for lithium-ion batteries. This means on
lithium-ion batteries. The downside however for VRB is their a large-scale deployment, VRB is already likely competitive
relatively lower round-trip efficiency (measured by power with lithium-ion batteries today.
out over power in) of 70% compared to 85% with lithium
The cost of energy storage is, roughly, the up-front capital cost
batteries.
of the storage device, divided by the number of cycles it can
From a cost perspective, Tesla’s current battery costs are be used for. If a battery costs $100 per kwh and can be used
estimated to be ~$150 to ~$200 per kilowatt-hour – well 1,000 times before it has degraded unacceptably, then the cost
below the industry average pack costs of ~$350 per kilowatt- is one tenth of a dollar (10 cents) per cycle. This compares
hour – and could reach its <$100 per kilowatt-hour target in with the cost of base-load power generation from wholesale
the intermediate term as Gigafactory production ramps up. natural gas electricity from a new plant, which costs roughly
7 cents per kwh (not including the cost of carbon emitted).
By comparison, the VRB cost is slightly behind the curve at
$300/kWh to $500/kWh – however these costs are half of
33
V2O5 micro-tubes produced by laser evaporation
www.theassay.com
35
COMPANY EXPOSURE COMPANY LISTING STOCK CODE
TNG LTD
COMPANY OVERVIEW TEAM
TNG is an Australian resources company focused on the evaluation and Paul Burton – Managing Director
development of its Mount Peake Vanadium-Titanium-Iron project. TNG’s main Rex Turkington – Non-Executive Director
focus is the evaluation and development of its 100%-owned Mount Peake Stuart Cow – Non-Executive Director
Vanadium-Titanium-Iron Project, located in the highly prospective Arunta John Davidson – Non-Executive Director
Geological Province some 80km north-east of Alice Springs in the Northern
Territory. COMPANY ANNOUNCEMENTS
TNG & MOUNT PEAKE OVERVIEW 25/01/2018 Mount Peake Project EIA approval
• EIA approved 21/12/2017 TNG signs agreement with EMC to evaluate alternative
power sources for Mount Peake
• Simplified corporate structure enables focus on Mount Peake and TIVAN
18/12/2017 Mine Site EIS on track for completion
• Focus has been on de-risking and locking down final designs:
24/11/2017 TNG Receives Research and Development Rabat
»» Engineering Designs and layouts for mine nearing completion 20/11/2017 Updated Feasibility Study Results
»» TIVAN process flow sheet completed 15/11/2017 TIVAN Patent Update
»» Mine area cleared by Traditional Owners for construction 09/11/2017 Final EIS Addendum Submitted
»» LOM water aquifer secured
• Updated Feasibility Study confirms a robust, high-value project KEY FINANCIALS (JANUARY 2018)
• Permitting anticipated: mine site EIS expected to be approved in Q1,
2018; plant site EIS expected to be approved in Q2 2018 Share Price A$0.16
• Final Investment Decision targeted mid-2018
Shares Outstanding 804.5m
• Darwin land site for TIVAN processing facility secured
Market Capital A$128.7m
• Successful demerger and listing of Todd River Resources (ASX:TRT)
Cash/Equiv A$5.1m
MAJOR SHAREHOLDERS Debt 0
Management - 4%
Retail - 73%
TIVAN ®
STRATEGIC PARTNERS
TNG’s 100% owned TIVAN® process has been under development by TNG and its
Binding LOM WOJIN Vanadium – Binding Term Sheet for metallurgical consultants in Australia since 2009.
Off-take LOM Off-take Agreement
• Process designed primarily for extracting vanadium, preferably as vanadium
Agreements pentoxide, from a titano-magnetite ore body (a geological igneous rock
GUNVOR Iron – Binding Term Sheet for LOM Off- formation that with iron, titanium and vanadium)
take Agreement • Separates the titanium and iron preferably as ferric oxide and titanium dioxide.
• Existing processes cannot extract all three of these elements at industrial-
Project SMS Group • European-based global
commodity-grade commercial products.
Development engineering giant
• Conventional methods of extracting vanadium from titano-magnetite ore
Agreements • Binding agreement for deposits is through a salt roasting energy-intensive, pyro-metallurgical process,
engineering, design and suitable for only a narrow range of selected ore compositions and water leach
construction of the TIVAN™ route to recover a water soluble vanadium compound.
refinery in Darwin • The fundamental difference and innovation introduced by the TIVAN® process
route is that the vanadium is recovered entirely through a hydrometallurgical
Downer • Global engineering and services route incorporating leaching and solvent extraction.
provider • Benefits: with the same flow-sheet hematite and titanium dioxide are separated
• Pre-Mine development, and recovered as saleable by-products in addition to vanadium pentoxide.
operations and investment TIVAN™ PROCESS: THE KEY INGREDIENTS
Pre-production capital estimate A$853 million (Stage 2 expected Highly economic • Multiple revenue streams from products with
(including all infrastructure) to be covered from revenue) process one common processing train
• Low operating cost
Total operating costs (including
mining, processing, transport & A$185 per tonne FLOW SHEET
royalties)
Theoretical flowsheet: Primary and Secondary Crushing
Net cash flow (life-of-mine) A$11.7 billion
• High Pressure Grinding Rolls (HPGR)
• Magnetic Separation
Payback period 3 years
• Atmospheric Leaching (leaving a titanium dioxide residue)
Net annual operating cash flow • Counter Current Washing of Residues
A$738M
(pre-tax) • Solvent Extraction
• Ammonium Metavanadate Precipitation, Calcination and Vanadium Petoxide
IRR pre-tax 44% Flaking
• Acid Regeneration
NPV (at 8% discounted) A$4.7 billion
• Iron Precipitation
• Tailings Disposal
• Ammonia Recovery
37 WWW.TNGLTD.COM.AU
Financing Battery
Material Projects
Q&A with Chris Berry, Founder, House Mountain Partners
Based in New York, Chris has been an independent analyst since 2009 with a focus on Energy Metals includ-
ing lithium, cobalt, graphite, vanadium, and rare earths. His research provides strategic insights to institu-
tional clients and has a specific focus on how disruptive trends in energy, strategic metals, and technology
create opportunities. Before shifting focus to analysis of these trends, Chris gained twelve years of capital
markets experience on both the buy side and sell side.
W
hat are the obstacles facing battery materials dollars per year.
companies when trying to raise finance?
Additionally, there is a broad lack of awareness surrounding
The markets for battery metals have traditionally how the lithium-ion battery supply chain works. A lithium
suffered from several challenges. The size and murky pricing molecule travels thousands of miles from when it’s mined to the
dynamics have forced many commodity investors to shun these time when it’s placed in a phone or electric vehicle. The rapid
markets in favour of commodities with more liquidity, such as evolution of the lithium-ion supply chain has forced even the
copper or iron ore. As an example, the lithium market is roughly experts to rethink as the market has expanded. While around
200,000 tonnes in size when measured in lithium carbonate $1.2bn has been raised for lithium project development and
equivalent units (LCEs) and generates perhaps $2bn per year in expansion in 2017, we are going to need to maintain this pace
revenue. Compare that to copper which is roughly 23,000,000 until 2022 to ensure supply and demand can stay balanced.
tonnes and generates revenues in the hundreds of billions of
38
www.theassay.com
Before looking at the potential financial returns of a given a disaster and thankfully it appears that many lithium projects
project, many of the conversations I have with investors focus in existence today have learned the lesson that building a
first on understanding the battery metals market: supply multi-faceted project all at once is unwise.
and demand, end uses, offtake agreements, and supply chain
participants. Companies trying to raise financing for various
projects have had to follow this same approach, as these
metals are still new to many institutional investors.
How do companies win over investors who are hesitant to
invest in battery metals projects?
What risks do companies face when developing their With the rapid price increases in lithium and cobalt, there is a
projects? definite degree of FOMO, or fear of missing out. The hesitancy of
investors can only be overcome through time and experience.
Finding the deposit and building the mine are (almost) the
One of the biggest factors that can help investors get past
easy parts of this process. Getting them commissioned on time
their fears is looking for company management experience.
and on budget and establishing binding offtake agreements are
Does the senior team and board have experience in lithium,
the real challenges that make the battery metals sector unique.
cobalt, or graphite project development and production? Do
During the last lithium boom in 2010-12, roughly $1bn was they have experience with unique processing techniques?
raised in the sector as demand was expected to triple between Has the process been commercialised elsewhere? Does
2010 and 2016. Essentially, leading lithium projects tried to management have relationships with downstream supply
do everything all at once, including establishing a resource, chain participants?
confirming project economics, building the mine, building the
If not, you may want to continue your research and find those
concentrator, and building a conversion facility to produce
companies that do. Many companies are riding the wave of
battery grade lithium chemicals. This strategy turned out to be
high prices and news from countries that are de-carbonising
39
THE ASSAY
their economies or supply chains. This is the beholder with respect to these deposits.
positive long-term, but can muddle the true End users are incredibly careful in terms
potential (or risks) of a given company. of who they enter into agreements with
and spend a great deal of time looking at
various deposits and management teams.
Several companies are developing their Offtake discussions typically take longer
own processing techniques. What are than many people think as established
the risks associated with this approach end users of cobalt, lithium, or graphite
and how does it impact their ability to don’t want to rush into a deal with a junior
"Volkswagen
raise project finance? developer with no history of successfully recently made
Any “black box” technology is risky as
operating a mine. headlines by
much of it is proprietary and will remain There is also a distinction here – it’s announcing its
so in order to protect a company’s not just battery manufacturers that are intentions to
competitive advantage. These companies looking to lock down long term supply of acquire large
must prove that their technology can be these metals. Volkswagen recently made
amounts of cobalt
headlines by announcing its intentions
scaled up to a production level consistent
with traditional mines (25,000 tonnes to acquire large amounts of cobalt over a
over a ten year
per year LCE), though the ultimate size ten year period reportedly worth $50bn. period reportedly
of production depends on the size and The fact that you’ve got multiple players worth $50bn."
flexibility of the company’s balance sheet. along these supply chains looking at long-
Unique processing technologies were term supply contracts is positive for metals
made de rigeur in a previously sleepy prices and a sign that everyone is taking
lithium market where only the lowest cost the shift towards vehicle electrification
producers could even hope to compete seriously – but due diligence is of
with the established players such as SQM. paramount importance.
40
www.theassay.com
Governments can do a great deal with rebates on exploration Like all resources, battery material projects exist in less
or perhaps tax rebates on construction downstream (on developed countries. What jurisdictions would you be
conversion facilities, instance) but can also sometimes push cautious of developing projects in?
too hard with higher royalty schemes in response to robust
Obviously, the Democractic Republic of the Congo comes to the
markets. This is akin to killing the goose that laid the golden
top of mind with respect to cobalt. The DRC was responsible for
egg.
over 60 per cent of cobalt production in 2016, and paradoxically,
This is not an easy problem to solve as much of the supply I see cobalt production from the country increasing rather
chain exists in Asia where labour costs are lower than in other than decreasing in the coming years as the size and grade of
parts of the world. those resources is almost unbeatable. Everyone in the cobalt
world is looking for a pure play opportunity, but this is easier
said than done.
Which jurisdictions are offering incentivised funding
Bolivia has always been problematic in the lithium sector as
opportunities for companies?
producers and offtake partners are concerned about resource
I suppose a blatant example of a government pushing the nationalism. I’ve also heard rumblings about “trillions” of
green agenda would be the State of Nevada offering Tesla an dollars of mineral wealth (including lithium) in Afghanistan.
incentive package worth $1.25bn over 20 years to build the
The robust demand backdrop is a real opportunity for lesser
Gigafactory. Similar types of arrangements are being discussed
developed countries though it remains to be seen how some of
in Chile and South Korea.
these countries handle new interest in their mineral deposits
Given the low-cost advantage that Asian-based manufacturing differently than in past booms. I do see a prime opportunity
has, I would expect to see the majority of this capacity be built for Europe and Canada, in particular, to build projects that can
in that part of the world; however there is a unique opportunity feed these growing battery metals supply chains.
for western governments to establish ‘next-generation’ supply
chains. Let’s hope they don’t squander it.
41
COMPANY EXPOSURE COMPANY LISTING STOCK CODE
BATTERY MINERALS
COMPANY OVERVIEW TEAM
Battery Minerals Limited, an ASX listed company (ASX: BAT), is a diversified David Flanagan – Executive Chairman
mining development and minerals exploration company dedicated to exploring Ben Van Roon – Chief Operating Officer
for and developing mineral deposits in Mozambique. Andy Cardoso – Mozambique Country Director
Tony Walsh – Company Secretary & GM Corporate
The Company’s core commodity targets are graphite, zinc/lead and
Jeff Dawkins – Chief Financial Officer
copper. BAT is maintaining a focus on its two graphite development
assets located in Mozambique, Montepuez and Balama, which are
COMPANY ANNOUNCEMENTS
expected to come into production in late 2018 and 2021 respectively.
22/01/17 Battery Minerals signs offtake agreement with Keshuo
MAJOR SHAREHOLDERS 19/01/17 Battery Minerals signs 3rd binding offtake agreement with
Farjoy Pty Ltd. 12.55% Qingdao Black Dragon
18/01/17 Battery Minerals signs binding offtake agreement with GEM
Mitchell Group Holdings 3.45% 19/12/17 Battery Minerals signs binding offtake agreement
BAS Investments Pty Ltd 2.75% 07/12/17 Battery Minerals exploration update Montepuez and Balama
Pacific Development Corporation 2.00% 01/12/17 Battery Minerals prepares to develop Montepuez Graphite
Project
Top 20 Shareholders 35.34%
Battery Minerals completed a $20m placement via a $19.5 share placement Shares on Issue (post Nov17/Jan18 capital raising) 763.5m
in January, 2018. The placement was strongly supported by Battery Mineral’s
largest shareholder, which has maintained its 12.55% interest in the Company, Board and Management >10% fully diluted
and institutional investors. Share Price (as at 22 January 2018) 8.5cps
The Company is now fully-funded for its next phase of growth, including: Market Cap (post Nov17/Jan18 capital raising) A$55m
• Significant drilling programme underway at Montepuez, with results due
Enterprise Value A$33m
shortly
• Planning, design and early development works at Montepuez including Top 20 Shareholders 44.7%
orders placed for the crusher and detailed engineering
Unlisted Options and Performance Rights 407m
• Accelerate a DFS on Battery Mineral’s Balama graphite project with
expected completion June 2018
PROJECTS
MONTEPUEZ GRAPHITE PROJECT
Advanced Graphite Project (DFS and Value Engineering Study completed
and published)
• Proven Logistics: bulk sample delivered to port in 2017 means
260km logistics chain now proven
• Port Allocation Approved: at Pemba Port for 100,000tpa of
graphite concentrate
• Huge Resource/Reserve Inventory:
»» Probable Ore Reserve 41.4Mt @ 8.8% TGC @ 4%
TGC cut-off for a 30+year mine life
»» Indicated & Inferred Resource 105.9Mt @ 7.74% TGC
@ 2.5% cut-off
»» Significant exploration potential
• Fast Development Timetable
»» Approvals expected in March Quarter 2018 - Construction started
in early 2018
»» First shipment March Quarter 2019
»» Concentrate production of 50Ktpa @ 96.7% TGC
• Initial production of 45,000 - 50,000tpa of graphite concentrate
growing to 100,000tpa.
• Low Capex of US$42.3M, lowest quartile Opex of US$337 per
tonne.
• Short payback of less than 2 years
• Able to expand to 100ktpa:
»» US$25-29M for additional 45-50ktpa capacity 42
BALAMA GRAPHITE PROJECT
Concept study justifies move to feasibility study
• Balama Total Resource of 16.3Mt at 10.4% TGC2
(6% TGC cut-off), for a 20+ year mine life, based
on Montepuez type production parameters
• Additional resource potential down-dip, along
strike
• Preliminary test work concentrate recovery 93%,
with 63% of product plus 150 micron high value
flake
• Favourable flake distributions - September 2017
Benchmark Minerals published basket price
US$1217/t
43 WWW.BATTERYMINERALS.COM
COMPANY EXPOSURE COMPANY LISTING STOCK CODE
TALGA RESOURCES
A PATH TO INDUSTRIAL-SCALE GRAPHENE SUPPLY AND
COMMERCIALISATION - UNIQUELY PLACED WITH MULTIPLE CRITICAL
MINERALS SOUGHT FOR BATTERY SUPPLY CHAIN
Apart from having the highest grade technical resource in the world, the COMPANY ANNOUNCEMENTS
Company’s Vittangi project hosts extremely conductive graphite that supports
16/01/17 Commercial Supply and Development Agreement with Haydale
a unique exfoliation process that allows separation of graphite particle layers
05/12/17 Funding success in UK Faraday Battery Programmes
without the requirement for crushing and grinding. The graphitic materials
24/11/17 Talga graphene technology boosts epoxy resin markets
produced are of a high quality and suitable for a range of large volume additive
09/10/17 Further Talga Li-ion Battery success
and technology applications.
05/10/17 High grade cobalt results from Ahmavuoma Project in Sweden
Talga’s non-graphite assets include copper hosted cobalt as well as iron 11/07/17 Talga MOU with Heidelberg Cement
ore assets which are all to be commercialised to support core graphene 07/07/17 Talga Graphene Boosts Li-ion Battery Performance
developments.
TALGA STRATEGY
Talga’s strategy will see the company leverage from vertical integration to
commercialise industrial quantities of raw and value-added graphite and
graphene materials/products. During the development phase while feasibility
studies are completed and permits pending, Talga will continue to scale up
its processing facilities, lock in commercial undertakings with customers and
pursue early revenue before full scale mining commences
TALGA OPPORTUNITY • Not constrained to one market - • End users currently validating
big value proposition to remove the products and strategy to
On path to be the world’s largest-
a supply and pricing bottleneck deliver business case
volume, best-margin supplier
across multiple large markets
of graphene and micrographite • Talga’s markets totally different
materials • Business model revolves around to flake graphite players with
• Own 100% of a unique ore body making real world products exception of batteries
in tier 1 mining and technology perform better and with new
• Talga is doing it now, not just
materials destination functionality today
talking about it
Vertically integrated operations provide economic advantages
PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT ROADMAP TALGA’S GRAPHENE STATUS
“Technology Readiness Level” reflects where products are in the process • Test processing facility and feed from trial mining in storage
towards validation • Process scaled up several orders of magnitude from conception
• Process output from Germany feeding inventory, process R&D programmes, product
prototyping and samples for industry partners
• Focus on both raw materials and chemically tuned ‘products ‘where the latter falls
into four sectors (construction, energy, composites and coatings)
• Validation on raw materials and products evidenced by multiple collaboration and
joint development programmes
• Ability to produce basket of goods including few layered graphene, graphene
nanoplatelets and micrographite
• First sales of sample quantities into development programmes
• Feasibility study currently underway to supply option clarity to lodge exploitation
permits
• Scale up of test facility continues with Phase 3 being commissioned and engineering
design considerations underway for the process scale up
PRINCIPAL ACTIVITIES AND SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN STATE OF AFFAIRS
TALGA OPERATIONS The principal activities of Talga for the last 12 months have comprised of graphite exploration and development,
including trial mining in Sweden and graphite/graphene research, process and product development through the
Group’s test facility in Germany and technology operation in the UK. Significant changes in the state of affairs of the
Group during the financial year were as follows:
• Strategic shift to manufacture value-added ‘fit for purpose’ graphitic carbon products in addition to raw
materials;
• Commercial undertakings including collaboration and joint development agreements with significant
industrial end users that validate Talga’s products and strategy;
• Commissioning of Phase 2 test facility in Germany;
• Completion of second trial mining campaign in Sweden, followed by completion of rehabilitation exercise;
• Appointment of European project manager and senior product development/technology staff;
• Positive advancements across all graphene process and product research/partnering programmes;
• Increased size, grade and status of Vittangi graphite mineral resource in Sweden;
• Established a graphene product development facility in Cambridge with the incorporation of the UK
subsidiary, Talga Technologies Limited;
• Appointment of new Chairman, Terry Stinson;
• Completed the sale of Talga’s Pilbara based gold projects in Western Australia;
• Capital initiatives raising a combined ~$13.2m; and
• Significant exploration drilling results and commencement of evaluation campaign across Talga’s cobalt and
1. Upstream – Source-Unique Graphite Ores copper projects in northern Sweden.
• 100%-owned Vittangi graphite project near
Kiruna in northern Sweden
• World’s highest-grade graphite resource
(JORC/NI43-101)
• Wide, uniform mineralisation starts at surface
– can support >20 year mine life and more for
industrial scale production
• Talga has in-house ‘value added’ product Operating in a top mining jurisdiction with producing infrastructure on the doorstep of
SWEDEN European markets. Extremely low-cost power, port agreement in place and direct road/rail
development capabilities – starts with internal options.
prototype testing followed by external
LOW COST Sub $30m capex and strong returns indicated from Vittangi project scoping study.
validation with end users
DEVELOPMENT Advanced down the path to production with scoping level financial metrics published and
• Products developed by Talga are important STATUS trial mining complete and feasibility underway.
to unlock value-add margins (as distinct from Single applications for graphene alone forecast to dwarf the graphite market and strong
DEMAND
‘raw’ graphite and graphene revenue) demand for both products out of Europe and elsewhere.
• Talphene TM, is the brand of Talga graphene SCALE Massive resource growth profile – particularly at graphene producing projects.
enhanced products Dual product stream with majority of forecast revenue coming from graphene which
DIVERSITY uncouples Talga from sole reliance on graphite market.
45 WWW.TALGARESOURCES.COM
COMPANY EXPOSURE COMPANY LISTING STOCK CODE
Graphite, Lithium, Cobalt, REE Leading Edge Materials TSX:LEM, OTCQX:LEM, FSE:7FL
• Unique Asset Mix – focused on graphite, lithium, cobalt, REEs and Market Capital C$73.2m
tungsten
Cash/Equiv C$3.8m
• Skilled & Experienced Team – highly experienced management and
operating teams. The LEM team have a demonstrated potential to access Debt 0
the capital required for project development Year High-Low C$1.01-0.51
• Modern, fully-permitted, operational graphite production facility, with measured and indicated
resource of 7.7Mt @ 9.3% graphite
• Permitted for up to 100Kt per annum feed, producing up to 94% C concentrate
• Test work to produce high purity graphite for emerging markets has been successful. Optimisation
work is on-going
• Excellent infrastructure: road, power, ports, water and services
• Unique ability to underpin a secure and sustainable European graphite supply chain.
• Recent HPC test results on 18,650 cells made using Woxna graphite concentrate has yielded
excellent results for automotive-grade battery material
• LEM is working with graphite end users in the LIB market to align product specification targets with
their requirements
• Engineering and optimisation of the value add process to produce high-value battery-grade
materials is well advanced
RARE EARTH ELEMENTS - Norra Kärr REE Project (Sweden) NUMEROUS VALUE-ADD OPPORTUNITIES
• Norra Kärr is a nepheline syenite intrusion which is 300m wide, 800m long and begins at surface
• One of the world’s largest heavy REE resources, with the capacity to supply all of Europe’s heavy REE
requirements for more than 20 years
• Norra Kärr is a large, well-drilled resource that begins from surface to at least 300m depth
• Extensive metallurgical testwork completed indicating ore can be processed via a simple flowsheet with
high recovery
• Resource grade of 0.61% TREO. 52% HREO/TREO = high basket price
• Comprehensive Pre-Feasibility Study (PFS) completed in Q1 2015:
»» 1.18Mt/year @ 0.59% grade REO
»» 20 year mine life
»» Low CAPEX
»» Assuming a 10% discount rate, US$313 million after-tax NPV @ 10%; IRR of 20%; Payback: 4.9 years
»» CAPEX: US$378.2 million; OPEX: US$20/kg REO Ave
Simon Moores is Managing Director of Benchmark Mineral Intelligence, an online publishing and consultancy
business specialising in critical minerals and metals, disruptive technology and emerging markets. Moores has
also worked as business journalist focusing on non-metallic minerals such as lithium, graphite, rare earths,
potash, TiO2 pigment and feedstocks (rutile, ilmenite).
T
he lithium-ion battery market is clearly growing NMC in particular is being favoured by the majority of electric
rapidly. But what kind of numbers are we talking vehicle manufacturers and we expect NMC to be the dominant
about here? battery chemistry by 2019.
Without a doubt, huge growth is on the horizon. The lithium At present, LCO (lithium cobalt oxide), the cobalt-rich battery
market is expected to grow from 180,000 tpa LCE (lithium in your iPhone or laptop, still accounts for half the market.
carbonate equivalent) in 2018 to more then 700,000 tpa This will shift as EVs take off. Tesla is about the only major EV
LCE by 2027. This represents a huge disruption, that is being producer focused on the NCA chemistry, a Panasonic creation.
driven by the battery EV space. However, Panasonic’s future lies in both NCA and NMC.
48
www.theassay.com
811
523 The most extreme version of
111 Five parts nickel, two parts
manganese and three parts
the NCM battery which con-
One part nickel, manganese tains very high nickel content
and cobalt is the most common cobalt. On the cusp of and the least cobalt of all. SK
NMC chemistry today. However, commercial use Innovation, the Korean battery
cathode producers have been maker, recently announced it
favouring higher nickel and was using this chemisty howev-
lower cobalt chemistries in a er as Benchmark discovered on
bid to improve energy density a recent trip to Seoul, this is still
and lower raw material risks very much a test phase product
622 but it will be very interesting to
Similar to 523 though not see the real world results which
yet commercialised could define the future of the
battery sector
supply chain for cobalt has forced producers to develop be integral to the EV industry and there will not be an EV
lower-cobalt contained chemistries. industry without DRC cobalt. Opportunities do exist for niche
producers to produce conflict-free cobalt outside of the DRC.
• LCO – Cobalt rich - around 60% of this battery is cobalt.
But the bulk of material will still have to come from the DRC.
• NMC – Nickel Manganese Cobalt - is likely to become
the most common chemistry of the future as most EV
manufacturers are favouring this. Within this NMC What occurs chemically for a battery to be no longer
there are a number of sub chemistries all of which have usable and how does the battery composition affect the
varying amounts of cobalt. longevity of specific batteries?
• NCA – Nickel Cobalt Aluminium – the classic Panasonic The cathode and anode degrade to a level that intercalation is
chemistry that is pretty much exclusively used by Tesla no longer as effective. For the anode especially, degradation
in its EVs and the formation of dendrites is an issue. This is why pure
silicon anodes will just not work as an option, as they break
• LFP – Lithium Iron Phosphate - the classic powerful
down too easily. However, graphite anodes enhanced with
chemistry that is, or best to say was, ideal for e-buses (the
3% silicon are looking to be the most effective option.
chemistry is famous for being in BYD buses). However,
as China moves to higher energy density batteries and
NMC ramps up, LFP’s days are numbered
How recyclable are these batteries? What percentage of
the key materials contained with Lithium-ion batteries
can be salvaged?
Can cobalt be substituted for alternative minerals and at
what price would substitution be considered? The biggest problem with battery recycling is the consistency
of the chemistry and the format of the batteries. For example,
No cobalt can’t be substituted. If you want a cobalt-free
battery recyclers at present are receiving many forms of cells
cathode (which some companies are developing, such as
– from iPhone to laptops to power tools. The cells are small
Nano One in Canada), you need to change the chemistry
and the chemistry differs quite a bit.
fundamentally. It’s Benchmark’s belief that while cobalt
consumption will be reduced in lithium-ion batteries, overall Once much larger EV batteries start entering the recycling
market growth will far outweigh this trend. Cobalt will circuit, they will either be NCM or NCA and they will be
49
THE ASSAY
similar formats – cylindrical cell, pouch or prismatic. This I have discussed lithium and cobalt above, but nickel is also
offers more consistency to recyclers and will help the another key mineral to watch. While nickel is a 2 million
industry take off post 2022. Cobalt, due to its value and tonne business, our data shows that the battery space only
percentage in an LCO battery, is the most favoured material represents 75,000 tonnes of this market. This market is
to recycle. Lithium has been continually discussed as well, set to see lithium-like growth going forward, especially as
with Umicore leading the way in recovering small amounts higher nickel cathodes come into play.
of lithium from batteries.
50
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COMPANY EXPOSURE COMPANY LISTING STOCK CODE
Graphite Mine Development and Battery Alabama Graphite Corp. TSX:CSPG | OTCQB:CSPGF | FWB:1AG
Materials Processing Technologies
ALABAMA GRAPHITE
COMPANY OVERVIEW TEAM
Alabama Graphite Corp. (TSXV:CSPG | OTCQB:CSPGF) or ‘AGC’ is a Canadian- Donald K. D. Baxter – President & Chief Executive Officer
listed natural, flake graphite exploration and development company, as well as Tyler W. P. Dinwoodie – Executive Vice President
an aspiring US-sourced-and-manufactured battery-materials producer. As the Douglas C. Bolton – Chief Financial Officer & Corporate Secretary
only known graphite development company with its core business based on the Jesse R. Edmondson – Director of Business Development
production of secondary-processed, specialty battery-ready graphite products, Ann-Marie M. Pamplin – Director of Investor Relations
namely, Coated Spherical Purified Graphite (CSPG), AGC does not intend to Randy A. Moore – Strategic Advisor
sell any primary-processed graphite concentrate. AGC intends to divert and Dr. Robert B. Cook – Strategic Advisor
process 100% of run-of-mine graphite into secondary processed, battery-ready
LATEST ANNOUNCEMENTS
graphite products — specifically CSPG — for use in Li-ion batteries, in addition
to Purified Micronized Graphite (PMG). A highly experienced team leads the 08/01/18 Alabama Graphite announces reporting of financial results for
Company with more than 100 years of combined graphite mining, graphite fiscal 2017 and provides update
processing, specialty graphite products and applications, and graphite sales 13/12/17 Westwater Resources, Inc. to acquire Alabama Graphite Corp.
expertise. 16/10/17 Alabama Graphite provides corporate update
10/10/17 Alabama Graphite announces Letter of Intent (LOI) to supply
As America’s leading graphite development company, AGC is focused on the battery-ready graphite products to U.S. lead-acid battery
development of its flagship Coosa Graphite Project in Coosa County, Alabama manufacturer
— the most advanced flake graphite project in the contiguous United States of 21/09/17 AGC Receives Positive Evaluation Results for ULTRA-PMG™
America. product from RSR Technologies; Improved Dynamic Charge
Acceptance (DCA) by +194%
MAJOR SHAREHOLDERS 24/07/17 AGC Receives Adem permit for final infill trenching programme
for the Coosa Graphite Project Feasibility Study
US-based Investment Fund 3.0%
High-net-worth Investor 2.6%
High-net-worth Investor 2.3%
KEY FINANCIALS (JANUARY 2018)
High-net-worth Investor 2.1%
Shares Price as at October 2017 C$0.08
Donald K. D. Baxter 2.0%
Tyler W. P. Dinwoodie 1.4% Shares Outstanding 145.3m
High-net-worth Investor 1.3%
Market Capital C$10.9m
High-net-worth Investor 1.3%
High-net-worth Investor 0.8% Cash C$1.3m
High-net-worth Investor 0.7% Debt C$0
Others 78%
FLAGSHIP PROJECT
(Alabama, USA)
AGC’S CSPG IN LITHIUM-ION BATTERY TESTING AGC succeeded in producing high-performance Silicon-enhanced Coated Spherical
Purified Graphite (Si-CSPG) for Li-ion batteries.AGC’s Si-CSPG was tested, performed
well and exceeded theoretical electrochemical performance of premium-quality
graphite; AGC’s Si-CSPG delivered Reversible Capacity above 405 mAh/g; exceeding
the Maximum Theoretical Specific Capacity for Li-ion Anode Graphite (which is 372
mAh/g).
• AGC conducted independent preliminary electrochemical test results for its CSPG
in lithium-ion batteries. The test results demonstrated that AGC’s CSPG responded
very well in CR2016 lithium-ion battery coin cell (half-cell with Lithium counter
electrode; see above schematic) performance testing.
• The CSPG test results — representing a 94.91% efficient battery — are regarded
as excellent in the lithium-ion battery industry and exceed the specifications of
Due to environmental and cost concerns, management of AGC believes that the
major battery manufacturers.
growing American lithium-ion battery industry requires a US-sourced, cost-
• The Company’s innovative, proprietary specialty CSPG manufacturing process
competitive alternative to current — primarily Chinese and environmentally
which utilises environmentally sustainable processing methods.
unsustainable — sources of CSPG. According to UK-based Benchmark Mineral
• Test results on the Company’s CSPG exceed the performance of the comparison
Intelligence, a leading independent source for data on the Li-ion battery global supply
benchmark of commercially available grade material.
chain, the United States will require more than 150,000 tonnes of anode graphite by
• The test results confirm AGC’s potential midstream capability to manufacture and
2020 (total global demand is forecasted to be more than 780,000 tonnes of anode
tailor lithium-ion battery anode grade graphite in order to create value-added
graphite by 2020).
products to meet highly demanding downstream customer specifications.
53 WWW.ALABAMAGRAPHITE.COM
Baby Steps Into The
World of New
Battery Investings
By Charles Whitfield, Founding Partner, Drumrock Capital
Mr. Whitfield has been on the board of Galaxy since 2013 with responsibilities for corporate finance, M&A and
strategy, taking a lead in the negotiations with creditors, debt holders and new financing parties. He has been
a Director of Drumrock Capital, a turnaround specialist, since 2008 assisting several early stage and distressed
resource and technology companies. Previously he was MD with Citigroup heading Structured Equity for
AsiaPac, and at Deutsche Bank, where he was head of the Strategic Equity Transaction Group for AsiaPac. Mr.
Whitfield received his MBA (Finance and Strategy) from Columbia Business School and BA Economics from
The University of Exeter.
O
ver the last decade in the battery and technical material In the underlying materials market, opinions seem to swing
industry I have got used to the naysayers. People wildly. One moment there is concern that there is going to be
doubted the rise of electrification of transport; the a glut of materials such as lithium; next, it is going to be so rare
need for buffering capacity for renewable energy; the speed of that alternative material technologies will have to replace it.
converting existing battery applications to lithium-ion (Li-ion) These divergences are sure indicators that we are still in an
ones; and the additional applications that would be created by immature market that trades on imperfect data rather than one
the greater energy density of this technology. Now many of the with broad knowledge and understanding. Even research from
same investors are concerned that they have missed the train: established houses has sometimes been so wide of the mark
that everything is fully valued and there are no opportunities that it has been met by those in the industry with a reaction of
to invest. laughter or despair.
54
www.theassay.com
There are many challenges faced by investors new to the space, material makers, specialists who produce cathode, anode,
and this article aims to provide some guidance and highlight electrolyte or separator materials. These relatively small players
opportunities for those looking to get exposure to the technical are highly segmented - without in-depth knowledge it is hard to
materials market. know who to back.
Many of the companies involved in the new battery industry This leads most investors to the most upstream part of the chain:
are broad-based conglomerates with only a small part of their battery minerals and battery mineral producers.
earnings coming from their Li-ion business lines. In addition, the
Unlike commodities such as oil, gold and coffee, battery minerals
industry has historically been made up of a protracted string of
lack a standardised specification which can be traded through
companies undertaking individual processes: extraction, primary
forwards or futures. I would argue that (with the possible
processing, battery chemical, battery material, battery assembly.
exception of cobalt) any standardisation is a long way off
This was compounded by the fact that much of the value chain
because as battery technology changes, so do the specifications
for the production of cathode (lithium based) batteries had little
of the required materials.
or no overlap with the anode (carbon based) supply chain. All
these factors made it hard to anticipate which materials would Hence, a frequent complaint of investors is that the market for
reflect the growth in the sector, and a bewildering choice of these materials is not transparent, so they cannot do proper
where to invest. valuations. I would argue that this is all relative: granted, you
cannot track daily prices of spherodised graphite or lithium
Starting at the end of the process, battery assemblers are large
carbonate on a Bloomberg terminal in the same way that you
conglomerates who have exposure to many unrelated businesses
can many raw materials, but with a little detective work, it is
and revenue streams. Most of the large battery producers such as
possible to track down pricing for certain specifications and
Panasonic, NEC, LG Chem and Samsung SDI are large electronics
at least see trends over time. There is actually an abundance
firms with diverse earnings so investment gives little actual
of research published by some of the Chinese brokers which
battery exposure.
has substantial detail on pricing, industry trends and the
The next step back up the manufacturing chain is the battery performance of Asian participants (but you probably need to be
55
THE ASSAY
Lithium Graphite
The lithium production industry has been around a lot longer The graphite industry is in many aspects a few years behind
than lithium batteries – it has a history of use in ceramics, that of lithium, but with signs that history is repeating itself
pharmaceuticals and engineering applications. Lithium was in terms of lack of foresight of trends in supply and demand.
often a byproduct and so the longer established producers Again, the industry has been driven by producers in China
are multi-product chemical companies such as SQM (a potash who created cheap, low-cost graphite for a range of industries.
producer), FMC and Abermarle (multi chemical companies). Now, the increasing quality demanded by the battery sector
Solely Lithium-focused producers tend to be younger and and the diminishing supplies in China means alternative
smaller but give you better exposure to the market. These supplies are required. There are large projects underway in
56
www.theassay.com
Africa - However graphite is not a commodity and both the ore elsewhere in the world, most notably Canada. Cobalt is more of
body and the end product must have the correct attributes to a commoditised market and the processing technology is more
meet market needs. established so risks should be lower.
57
THE ASSAY
they need to know that they can run these at whether it made sense to combine a lithium
capacity with a stable supply of material. and a graphite producer, I would have seen
few synergies. As more consolidation happens
One of the impacts of this search for input
elsewhere, it is now possible that the buyer for
stabilisation is consolidation both up the
lithium carbonate will also be the buyer for
supply chain and across the various materials,
cobalt and graphite. Simultaneously, mining
which in turn is creating a shift in the relative
power of the different stages of the industry.
companies, trading houses and electronics "There is now
companies are looking to add battery material
consolidation
divisions, so companies that can be moved to
at all levels
An example of this has been the shift in relative
power of battery chemical companies and a consolidated model may trade at a premium.
extractors. A few years ago, the price setters of the supply
of lithium were the companies (mainly in
Another market theme is jurisdiction. Security
chain. Their
of supply means not only having a contract that
China) who converted spodumene to lithium
gives you access to material, but enforceability
loss of pricing
carbonate. The scarcity of supply of primary
of that contract. That means that supplies power has
now prompted
lithium feedstock meant that converters had
from stable countries will carry a premium.
little market power, with battery material
companies and assemblers agreeing direct
Western producers also are seeking to avoid converters to
deals with primary producers on future
dependence on China, and certain countries
try to invest
in Africa and South America are less desirable
production, and using the processors to
due to political risk, from export controls to tax
upstream and
convert the material on a set-cost basis (toll
and royalty regimes. The dependence on DRC make company
manufacturing).
for cobalt is the most obvious example, but acquisitions
There is now consolidation at all levels of the there are others: Tanzania recently changed to secure raw
supply chain. Their loss of pricing power has the rules on graphite, affecting producers
materials."
now prompted converters to try to invest there.
upstream and make company acquisitions to
The battery industry is a developing market
secure raw materials. For example, Sichuan
with changing technology and difficult pricing,
Tianqi’s acquisition of half of Talison, and
but that is the opportunity. With constant need
Jiangxi Ganfeng’s 43 per cent investment in
for development capital there will be plenty of
Neometal. At the other end of the process, as
activity and scope for attractive returns.
research and development has become more
expensive, battery producers are cutting out
the intermediary step of battery material
makers and bringing this business in-house.
58
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