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ARTIFICIAL
INTELLIGENCE
The End of the Beginning
Sponsored by
SPONSOR PERSPECTIVE
We’re in the early days of seeing how AI and ML can be applied, but we know they’ll DOUG MERRITT
be key to making meaningful things happen. The enclosed survey found that nearly PRESIDENT & CEO
one-third of respondents have already begun to use AI and ML, and early adopters SPLUNK
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ARTIFICIAL
INTELLIGENCE
The End of the Beginning
Enterprise use of artificial intelligence (AI) and one of its offshoots, machine
75%
OF LARGE ORGANIZATIONS ARE
learning (ML), is about to make the jump from early-adopter to fast-follower CURRENTLY USING AI/ML.
status, according to a recent survey of 283 executives conducted by Harvard
Business Review Analytic Services. The majority of respondents (61%) are actively
evaluating the technology and exploring use cases, while the remainder have
already begun to use AI/ML in one form or another, with nearly one-third of all
70%
OF RESPONDENTS SAID PREDICTIVE
respondents in the production or pilot stages. FIGURE 1 ANALYTICS WAS THE TOP AI/ ML
APPLICATION AREA OF INTEREST.
Large organizations (those with 10,000 or more employees) were much more
likely than smaller businesses to be currently using AI/ML; 75% of large
organizations in the survey were currently using AI/ML, versus 39% of companies
with 1,000 to 4,999 employees. 61%
OF RESPONDENTS ARE ACTIVELY
Early-adopter organizations that have investigated, piloted, or deployed the EVALUATING AI/ML TECHNOLOGIES
AND EXPLORING USE CASES.
technologies are expecting to realize or have already realized a diverse array of
AI/ML benefits, according to the survey, from a better customer experience to
improved revenues. These wide-ranging benefits are heightening interest in AI/ML
within the C-suite, the survey revealed. 51%
OF RESPONDENTS CITED STAFFING AS
Companies that have deployed AI/ML “are happy with the benefits they see,” A TOP AI/ML CHALLENGE.
especially the increased profits that come from better serving customers, says
Philipp Gerbert, senior partner and managing director for Boston Consulting Group
and fellow of the Henderson Institute for AI in Business. “Everyone’s appetite has
been whetted.” Organizations that are less mature in their use and understanding
of AI/ML have a high expectation of leveraging these technologies to create positive
business value over the next five years, according to Gerbert.
Pulse Survey | Artificial Intelligence: The End of the Beginning Harvard Business Review Analytic Services 1
FIGURE 1 research officer, Dresner Advisory.
NO LONGER ON THE SIDELINES OF AI “Although only maybe a third of
organizations are currently building
Nearly one-third of respondents are using AI/ML in pilot or production mode.
predictive models, a lot of people are
We are exploring use cases for the technology interested and are watching.”
40% Predictive analytics enables a wide
variety of use cases, according to
We are currently in pilot or production with the technology
Maribel Lopez, principal analyst at
27%
Lopez Research. “Let’s say you’re an
We are actively evaluating the technology IT security engineer, and you’re trying
21% to discover cybersecurity breaches or
minimize network outages. These are
We are currently testing the technology situations where you have a lot of your
12% own data that you can use along with
outside data to begin to predict issues
We have no need for AI/ML before a problem happens.”
0%
In the survey, anomaly detection (cited
by 34%) and text classification/event
SOURCE: HARVARD BUSINESS REVIEW ANALYTIC SERVICES SURVEY, SEPTEMBER 2018
correlation (34%) are also high on the
ML priority list, with IoT applications
(34%) and sentiment analysis (28%)
rounding out the roster.
AI/ML: Finally Getting Real
AI/ML has been in development for
many years; the difference now is
Top- and Bottom-Line Benefits
The widespread interest in predictive
that concrete uses for and benefits
analytics, anomaly detection, and
of the technology are coming into
event correlation is helping expand
focus. Because AI/ML can quickly
the expected benefits of using AI/ML
sift through vast volumes of data, these
technologies from the bottom line to
systems can enable
top-line interests. Survey respondents
organizations to more quickly and
are, for example, are expecting AI/
accurately do the following:
ML use to improve the customer
• Predictive analytics. ML systems experience, speed decision making,
2 Harvard Business Review Analytic Services Pulse Survey | Artificial Intelligence: The End of the Beginning
FIGURE 2
running data from 12 million mobile
app interactions through an ML
algorithm, the retailer now knows
BENEFITS BEYOND REDUCED COSTS
Beyond increased efficiency and productivity, survey respondents see AI/ML as a way to
exactly what customers have bought improve the customer experience and speed decision making.
and what they might want to buy
next. Now, the retailer is sending a few More efficient work processes
hundred thousand personalized offers 48%
per week, and the resulting revenue
increases have been impressive. Improved productivity
“Personalization is an enormous driver 48%
of value,” says Gerbert.
Improved customer experience
AI/ML works especially well on 43%
so-called optimization problems, such
as making pricing adjustments in spare Reduced costs
parts or extras/variants to yield huge 42%
gains, adds Gerbert, or aligning aircraft
operations pricing based on improved Faster decision making
predictive maintenance. 40%
Pulse Survey | Artificial Intelligence: The End of the Beginning Harvard Business Review Analytic Services 3
frameworks for ML, deep learning, and Even among those senior leaders who
other AI variants. grasp the importance of AI/ML to
their future success, they’ll need to go
Whereas once a company would need a
beyond keeping themselves informed,
staff of high-caliber data scientists even
the results suggest, as less than half
to experiment with AI, leading industry
have articulated the opportunity for
players now offer services to handle
AI/ML within their organizations, and
discrete functions such as speech
even fewer have developed a timetable
recognition or sentiment analysis—
for its use.
with minimal staff and infrastructure
needed. And most software vendors The highly technical nature of AI/
are infusing their applications with AI ML can be an impediment to getting
capabilities wherever possible. adequate support from the top of
the organization. “There is a huge
disconnect between the people who
Garnering Top Executive understand AI and the people who
Support would fund the initiatives,” says Lopez.
With both top- and bottom-line
The gap is difficult to bridge because
benefits expected, it’s not surprising
it requires an explanation of fairly
that AI/ML has come to the attention
complicated mathematical concepts.
of senior executives, with more than
half of survey respondents saying
their business leaders understand the Challenges to Overcome
technology and its benefits. FIGURE 3 At As AI/ML takes hold as a competitive
the same time, almost four in 10 senior differentiator, organizations will find
leaders do not understand AI/ML, it more difficult to hire and retain
according to the survey, indicating a talent with highly sought-after skills,
wide gap between the “haves” and the particularly with the scarcity of
“have nots.” highly trained data scientists and data
engineers needed for a major in-house
initiative. In the survey, respondents
named inadequate staffing and skills as
the number one challenge for adopting
AI/ML. FIGURE 4 Particularly with digital
giants such as Google and Amazon
enticing available talent, salaries are
elevating far above many organizations’
means. This is expected to remain a
FIGURE 3
challenge in the near term.
STEPPING UP THE SENIOR MANAGEMENT ROLE Hiring skilled experts for a full-
Executive-level understanding of AI/ML varies widely. But even where managers understand
fledged internal AI/ML team will
the technologies’ benefits, they’re often not effectively communicating their vision throughout
the organization. mainly remain the purview of the
large enterprise, says Dresner. These
• STRONGLY OR SOMEWHAT AGREE
• STRONGLY OR SOMEWHAT DISAGREE teams consist of a data engineer, who
prepares the data to be put in the
Our senior management has a strong understanding of AI and machine learning and the benefits it can provide model, as well as a data scientist (often
the organization a Ph.D.), who looks at the intersection
51% of what the company is trying to
38% learn and the available data, and then
Our senior management has communicated well how the opportunity for AI and machine learning will benefit selects appropriate techniques or
the organization algorithms. Domain experts also play
43% a critical role. “It’s not so hard to get
44% people who are trained in the basic AI
Our senior management has indicated a timetable for testing and launching AI and machine learning algorithms. It’s hard to find someone
29% who is good in AI who has domain
49% expertise” in marketing, for example,
says Gerbert. That’s where cross-
SOURCE: HARVARD BUSINESS REVIEW ANALYTIC SERVICES SURVEY, SEPTEMBER 2018 functional teams are needed.
4 Harvard Business Review Analytic Services Pulse Survey | Artificial Intelligence: The End of the Beginning
ALMOST FOUR IN 10 SENIOR
LEADERS DO NOT UNDERSTAND
AI/ML, INDICATING A WIDE GAP
BETWEEN THE “HAVES” AND THE
“HAVE NOTS.”
FIGURE 4 Another example is an insurance
TALENT AND DATA ARE TOP CHALLENGES company that wants to use a set
of images taken by adjusters after
The biggest challenges of AI/ML adoption revolve around finding people with the right skills
and preparing the data for meaningful insights. automobile crashes. You can easily
upload all the images to a database,
Inadequate staffing/skills but the key challenge is creating the
51% taxonomy or naming convention, says
Lopez. “What do you want to call this:
Incomplete or incorrect data scraped bumper, dented bumper, good
41% bumper?” she asks. Once you create the
taxonomy and feed the images into the
Expense of infrastructure upgrades model, a new image can be uploaded
31% from the field, recognized, and then
tagged as a certain type of problem.
Not sure where to begin or where to focus
“You don’t have to be super-skilled to
29%
feed in the images. But knowing what
Not applicable/we do not use AI/ML to call them is important,” she says.
20% Also, someone needs to be responsible
for checking the output of the ML
Lack of C-suite buy-in models: Did we get the answer we
13% expected? “If not, you’ll have to review
your process to see how the error may
Other have been introduced,” Lopez says.
4%
Where some enterprises are building
Don’t know their own teams and data sets in-house,
2% others are accessing data and tools
from startups and smaller providers,
SOURCE: HARVARD BUSINESS REVIEW ANALYTIC SERVICES SURVEY, SEPTEMBER 2018 says Brea. “In particular, it’s all about
access to the data,” he says. There are
a variety of ways to gain that crucial
access—build your own data set or
leverage public-domain information
“It’s not ‘My Ph.D. can beat up your
(such as certain health records, weather
Ph.D.,’” says Cesar Brea, partner in
data, or geographic information
Bain & Company’s Advanced Analytics
systems data). Many organizations are
group. “Blended teams are the key.”
partnering with research organizations
Software vendors are beginning to and universities, as well.
respond to the talent challenge by
embedding AI/ML functions that
enable use by ordinary business users
The Hidden Opportunity:
with a modicum of training—the
AI/ML in IT Operations
While survey respondents were
so-called citizen data scientist. It is
well-versed in the use of AI/ML to
worth noting that the need for training
perform predictive analytics, anomaly
cannot be eliminated—which many
detection, and event correlation, very
organizations might be tempted to do
few were aware of how these AI/ML
in order to speed things up.
functions could be used to proactively
Another key challenge, according to monitor security threats and systems
respondents, is data quality. “The data and network operations. More than
cleaning challenge is significant,” Lopez 40% of respondents (most of whom
says. She offers the example of training do not sit in IT) were unaware of these
an ML system to recognize a certain IT-related uses of AI/ML, and only a
breed of dog. “I have all these images, tiny minority were currently using AI/
but I might just upload unrelated ML in this way.
garbage. Someone has to clean them,
At the same time, most respondents
someone has to tag them, someone has
realized that a more robust and secure
to plot something. Magical insights are
IT infrastructure is crucial for AI/ML
not going to just pop out.”
success. FIGURE 5 No wonder, then, that
6 Harvard Business Review Analytic Services Pulse Survey | Artificial Intelligence: The End of the Beginning
FIGURE 5
Very important
78%
Important
15%
Moderately important
5%
Slightly important
0%
Not important
1%
Pulse Survey | Artificial Intelligence: The End of the Beginning Harvard Business Review Analytic Services 7
METHODOLOGY AND PARTICIPANT PROFILE
A total of 283 respondents drawn from the HBR audience of readers (magazine/
newsletter readers, customers, HBR.org users) completed the survey.
ANNUAL REVENUES
20% 9% 9% 12% 12% 28%
$10 BILLION $5 BILLION TO $2 BILLION TO $1 BILLION TO $500 MILLION TO LESS THAN
OR HIGHER $9.9 BILLION $4.9 BILLION $1.9 BILLION $999.9 MILLION $500 MILLION
SENIORITY
21% 18% 14% 10% 9%
MANAGER/ SENIOR DIRECTOR VICE PRESIDENT EXECUTIVE
SUPERVISOR MANAGEMENT/ MANAGEMENT/
DEPARTMENT HEAD BOARD MEMBERS
REGIONS
42% 31% 16% 6% 3%
NORTH AMERICA EUROPE ASIA/PACIFIC LATIN AMERICA MIDDLE EAST/AFRICA
8 Harvard Business Review Analytic Services Pulse Survey | Artificial Intelligence: The End of the Beginning
hbr.org/hbr-analytic-services
CONTACT US
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