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DANIEL J. KOYS
Department of Management
DePaul University
101
102 PERSONNELPSYCHOLOGY
sumed a causal chain that says management practices (e.g., effective se-
lection) influence HR outcomes (e.g., employee performance and em-
ployee retention), which in turn influence organizational outcomes (e.g.,
customer satisfaction). Some of the studies have related HR activities
to organizational outcomes, leaving the intermediate step as a “black
box.” For example, some studies have shown significantrelationships be-
tween HR strategies (e.g., high performance and high commitment work
systems) and organizational performance (Arthur, 1994; Huselid, 1995;
nui, Pearce, Porter, & Tripoli, 1997). Other studies have shown rela-
tionships between specific HR activities (e.g., training, competitive pay,
advancement opportunities) and organizational effectiveness (Delaney
& Huselid, 1996; Ulrich, Halbrook, Meder, Stuchlik, & Thorpe, 1991).
Most of these studies used cross-sectionaldesigns. Longitudinal designs
can provide better evidence of causality.
Ryan, Schmit, and Johnson (1996) performed a longitudinal study in
multiple branches of a financial service organization. In each of 2 suc-
cessive years, their regression analyses showed that unit-level employee
satisfaction was related to unit-level customer satisfaction, employee
turnover, and a 60-day delinquency rate. This was as they expected. Un-
expectedly, their structural equation model showed that customer satis-
faction at Time 1 was related to employee satisfaction at Time 2, but
employee satisfaction at Time 1 was not related to customer satisfaction
at Time 2. Thus, they suggested that customer satisfaction causes em-
ployee satisfaction.
Employee Attitudes
Employee Behaviors
There are several reasons why these behaviors can influence orga-
nizational performance. Based on social exchange theory (Blau, 1964),
aggregate citizenship behaviors would improve group performance be-
cause they help people work together (Organ, 1988; Podsakoff,Ahearne,
& MacKensie, 1997). Employees who help each other would not have to
go to supervisors for help, leaving the supervisors free to do more impor-
tant things. Organizational citizenship behavior would also help coordi-
nate activities among team members and across groups (Podsakoff et al.,
1997). For example, courteous people would inform each other about
nonroutine demands, allowing them to take steps to mitigate problems.
The empirical evidence supports this theory. In one cross-sectional
study, civicvirtue and sportsmanshipwere positively correlated with unit
performance (Podsakoff & MacKenzie, 1994). A meta-analysis showed
that citizenshipbehaviors correlated with job satisfaction, perceived fair-
ness, organizational commitment, and leader supportiveness (Organ &
Ryan, 1995). Almost all of the studies in that meta-analysis used cross-
sectional designs.
Organizational citizenship behavior can also contribute to customer
satisfaction (Morrison, 1995). Conscientious employees would go be-
yond customer expectations. Altruistic workers would help internal and
external customers. Those exhibiting civic virtue would make sugges-
tions to improve quality and customer satisfaction. Sportsmanship and
courtesy would create a positive climate among employees that spills
over to customers. In another cross-sectional study, civic virtue, sports-
manship, and altruism were positively correlated with financial results
and customer satisfaction (Walz & Niehoff, 1996).
Employee retention can influence organizational effectiveness be-
cause more experienced employees would have greater knowledge of
organizational and customer goals (Schneider & Bowen, 1985). Costs
would be lower because a low turnover rate means less hiring and train-
ing activities. Empirical studies have shown that employee turnover does
have a negative correlation with organizational effectiveness. For exam-
ple, a study at Sears showed that as voluntary turnover decreased, finan-
cial performance (i.e., return on controllable assets) increased (Ulrich
et al., 1991). Ostroff (1992) reported negative relationships between
high school teacher turnover and student academic achievement, stu-
dents’ satisfaction, administrative performance, and the percent of stu-
dents who dropped out of high school.
Our study looks at three HR outcomes: employee satisfaction, orga-
nizational citizenship behavior, and employee turnover. We investigate
the relationship between unit-level measures of those HR outcomes in
one year and unit-level measures profitability and customer satisfaction
in the following year. Specifically,we test the following hypotheses:
DANIEL J. KOYS 105
Methods
HR Outcomes
Organization Effectiveness
Results
Discussion
Our data provide support for the proposition that HR outcomes in-
fluence organizational effectiveness(rather than the other way around).
Our first set of regression analyses shows that Year 1’s HR outcomes ac-
count for 14% to 31% of the variance in Year 2’s organizational effec-
tiveness. A second set of regression analyses shows that Year 1’s orga-
nizational effectiveness accounts for 0 to 7% of the variance in Year 2’s
HR outcomes.
TABLE 1
Descr@tive Statistics and Correlation Matrixn
N M S D 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
1. Employee satisfaction Year 1 28 5.51 .52
2. Employee satisfaction Year 2 28 5.41 .43 .30t
3. OCB Year 1 28 5.75 .62 .47** .32'
4. OCB Year 2 28 5.67 .60 .19 .61** .43"
5. Employeeturnover%Yearl 28 105 54.2 -.14 -.17 .05 -.04
6. Employeeturnover %Year2 28 86 38.3 -.18 .13 -.14 -.02 .27t F9
7. Profitas%ofsalesYear 1 28 26.8 4.97 .37* 2 .39* -22 .OO -3
8. Profitas%ofsalesYear2 28 26.7 4.22 35* .43** .46** . 5 S * -.20 -.28t .76**
9. Profit Year 1 28 19Ok 92k .10 -B .21 -0s .10 - a t .78'* .65** Q
10. Profit Year 2 28 259k 9k 37t .22 A** .39* -.22 -.24 .81** .94** .70** m
11. CustomersatisfactionYear1 24 6.30 .11 .49** &* .06 .29t -.lo -E .26 .44* .21 .33t
12. Customer satisfaction Year 2 24 6.28 .13 .61** .09 .ll -.21 -32t .08 .20 .12 .02 .lo .35t
"Bold coefficientsrepresent the correlation between an HR outcome in Year I and a business outcome in Year 2. Underlined coefficients represent
the correlation between a business outcome in Year 1and an HR outcome in Year 2.
1-tailedtests: tp < .10 'p < .05 *'p < .01
110 PERSONNEL PSYCHOLOGY
TABLE 2
HR Outcomes (Year 1) Predicting OrganizationalEffectiveness (Year 2)
Customer
Profit, Profit as % of satisfaction,
Year za sales, Year Za Year 2‘
Employee satisfaction,Year 1 (p) .06 .15 .62**
OCB, Year 1 (0) .41* .38t -.14
Employee turnover, Year 1 (p) -.19 -.16 -.13
RZ .24 .26 .40
R2corrected for shrinkage .14 .17 .31
F 2.501 2.79t 4.51..
~
O n = 28
b n = 24
tp < .10 * p < .05 *‘p < .01
TABLE 3
OrganizationalEffectiveness (Year 1) PredictingHR Outcomes (Year 2)
Employee Employee
satisfaction, OCB, turnover,
Year 2” Year Za Year 2”
Profit, Year 1 (0) -.13 .04 -.25
Customer satisfaction, Year 1 (8) .39 .29 .03
RZ .15 .09 .06
R~ Corrected for shrinkage .07 .oo -.03
F 1.80 1.01 .67
Profit as % of sales, Year 1 (0) .07 .14 -.21
Customer satisfaction,Year 1 (0) .34 .26 .03
RZ .14 .I1 .04
RZ Corrected for shrinkage .05 .02 .oo
F 1.64 1.24 .45
Our results show some support for the hypothesis that Year 1’s unit-
level employee satisfaction, organizational citizenship behavior, and
turnover predict Year 2’s unit-level profitability. However, only orga-
nizational citizenship behavior has a significant beta weight.
There is stronger support for the hypothesis that Year 1’s unit-level
employee satisfaction,organizational citizenship behavior, and turnover
predict Year 2’s unit-level customer satisfaction. However, only em-
ployee satisfaction has a significant beta weight. Although this implies
that employee satisfaction influences customer satisfaction, customer
satisfaction may still affect employee satisfaction (as Ryan et al., 1996,
reported). There may be a reciprocal relationship between employee
satisfaction and customer satisfaction similar to the reciprocal relation-
ship between employee perceptions of a “climate for service” and cus-
DANIEL J. KOYS 111
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