DISTRIBUCION NORMAL

1- dada la seria historica de caudales medios anuales, en m^3/s, que corresponden a un registro de 50 años para el rio santa
ORDEN PRECIPITACION(MM) Qpromedio Vmaximos
1 665.6352941 893.0136315 913.63 574.881523 761.790112 913.63
2 1147.570588 1786.027263 1550.86 1149.763046 1408.55522 1786.02726
3 1814.770588 2498.727263 2388.31 1500.963046 2050.69272 2498.72726
4 2428.770588 3226.427263 3089.56 1723.763046 2617.13022 3226.42726
5 3090.070588 4516.427263 3768.41 2163.563046 3384.61772 4516.42726
6 3688.470588 6224.727263 4457.64 2692.163046 4265.75022 6224.72726
7 4213.270588 7991.727263 5118.79 3353.463046 5169.31272 7991.72726
8 5068.470588 8758.127263 5905.69 4206.963046 5984.81272 8758.12726
9 5727.570588 9422.027263 6551.59 4932.363046 6658.38772 9422.02726
10 6281.070588 10111.42726 7139.33 5394.263046 7231.52272 10111.4273
11 7097.370588 11134.72726 8019.03 6362.763046 8153.47272 11134.7273
12 7779.070588 12121.52726 8871.13 6994.763046 8941.62272 12121.5273
13 8500.670588 13083.92726 9643.83 7533.411531 9690.45985 13083.9273
14 9060.970588 13801.82726 10353.13 8044.511531 10315.1098 13801.8273
15 9674.070588 14627.32726 11199.33 8530.211531 11007.7348 14627.3273
16 10356.87059 15540.02726 11948.93 9268.111531 11778.4848 15540.0273
17 10957.67059 16321.07813 12798.43 10054.61153 12532.9476 16321.0781
18 11576.87059 17031.88682 13419.33 10789.41153 13204.3747 17031.8868
19 12500.07059 17775.08682 14313.73 11543.51153 14033.0997 17775.0868
20 13286.87059 18215.99899 15329.03 12526.71153 14839.6528 18215.999
21 13764.57059 19109.01262 15982.23 12808.69591 15416.1273 19109.0126
22 14564.67059 20002.02625 16912.73 13337.34998 16204.1942 20002.0263
23 15291.67059 20895.03989 17795.43 14245.84998 17056.9976 20895.0399
24 15854.77059 21751.16121 18532.63 14626.24998 17691.2029 21751.1612
25 16484.87059 22748.46121 19459.83 15129.98331 18455.7863 22748.4612
26 17220.37059 23312.41207 20398.03 15684.58331 19153.849 23312.4121
27 17910.67059 24173.53638 21290.53 16127.48331 19875.5551 24173.5364
28 18569.07059 25066.55001 22249.03 16664.18331 20637.2085 25066.55
29 19250.07059 25959.56364 23191.53 17148.68331 21387.4619 25959.5636
30 19852.37059 26852.57727 23934.33 17473.68331 22028.2403 26852.5773
31 20693.17059 27830.37407 24890.23 18031.68331 22861.3645 27830.3741
32 21488.47059 28855.37407 25910.53 18776.98331 23757.8395 28855.3741
33 22047.57059 29487.37407 26520.73 19158.78331 24303.6145 29487.3741
34 22657.77059 30394.17407 27185.33 19668.93483 24976.5524 30394.1741
35 23461.97059 31397.67407 28024.13 20214.93483 25774.6774 31397.6741
36 23962.87059 32148.49074 28672.23 20695.73483 26369.8315 32148.4907

Qpromedio= 13610.5565 S= 7792.42173

METODO DE LA DISTRIBUCION NORMAL

a)Averiguar si se ajustan a la distribucion normal

b)Si se ajusta ala distribucion normal, calcular:

b)
P(Q≥150)=F(Q=150)
P(Q≥150):
=
=

PARA Q=150
2.- calculo de probabilidades

a) PARA P(Q≤150)m3/s :

P(Q≤150)=F(Q=150) c)

CALCULO DE Z PARA Q=150: PARA Q = 70

Z(interpolando)= Z=
Z= -1.7273907 0.79898
Z(150)= 0.8023

PARA Q= 180

Z=
FUNCION DE LA DISTRIBUCION NORMAL
0.000060

0.000050

0.000040

0.000030

0.000020

0.000010
1.2000
0.000000
0.00 5000.00 10000.00 15000.00 20000.00 25000.00 30000.00

1.0000

0.8000
1.0000

0.8000

0.6000

0.4000

0.2000

0.0000
0.00
 Fun. de Distribucion
funcion de la Diferencia Maxima
istro de 50 años para el rio santa(peru) distr. De la distr. de la Teorica
probabilida
z ordenado(x) densidad California Weibull Hazen California
d
-1.6488798 761.79 0.000013 0.0496 0.0278 0.0270 0.0138889 -0.0218
-1.5658805 1408.56 0.000015 0.0587 0.0556 0.0541 0.0416667 -0.0031
-1.4834751 2050.69 0.000017 0.0690 0.0833 0.0811 0.0694444 0.0144
-1.4107843 2617.13 0.000019 0.0792 0.1111 0.1081 0.0972222 0.0320
-1.3122928 3384.62 0.000022 0.0947 0.1389 0.1351 0.125 0.0442
-1.1992172 4265.75 0.000025 0.1152 0.1667 0.1622 0.1527778 0.0514
-1.0832632 5169.31 0.000028 0.1393 0.1944 0.1892 0.1805556 0.0551
-0.9786103 5984.81 0.000032 0.1639 0.2222 0.2162 0.2083333 0.0583
-0.8921705 6658.39 0.000034 0.1862 0.2500 0.2432 0.2361111 0.0638
-0.8186202 7231.52 0.000037 0.2065 0.2778 0.2703 0.2638889 0.0713
-0.7003065 8153.47 0.000040 0.2419 0.3056 0.2973 0.2916667 0.0637
-0.5991634 8941.62 0.000043 0.2745 0.3333 0.3243 0.3194444 0.0588
-0.5030653 9690.46 0.000045 0.3075 0.3611 0.3514 0.3472222 0.0537
-0.422904 10315.11 0.000047 0.3362 0.3889 0.3784 0.375 0.0527
-0.3340196 11007.73 0.000048 0.3692 0.4167 0.4054 0.4027778 0.0475
-0.2351094 11778.48 0.000050 0.4071 0.4444 0.4324 0.4305556 0.0374
-0.1382894 12532.95 0.000051 0.4450 0.4722 0.4595 0.4583333 0.0272
-0.0521252 13204.37 0.000051 0.4792 0.5000 0.4865 0.4861111 0.0208
0.05422489 14033.10 0.000051 0.5216 0.5278 0.5135 0.5138889 0.0062
0.15772969 14839.65 0.000051 0.5627 0.5556 0.5405 0.5416667 -0.0071
0.23170855 15416.13 0.000050 0.5916 0.5833 0.5676 0.5694444 -0.0083
0.33284103 16204.19 0.000048 0.6304 0.6111 0.5946 0.5972222 -0.0193
0.44228113 17057.00 0.000046 0.6709 0.6389 0.6216 0.625 -0.0320
0.52366858 17691.20 0.000045 0.6997 0.6667 0.6486 0.6527778 -0.0331
0.62178741 18455.79 0.000042 0.7330 0.6944 0.6757 0.6805556 -0.0385
0.71136967 19153.85 0.000040 0.7616 0.7222 0.7027 0.7083333 -0.0394
0.80398607 19875.56 0.000037 0.7893 0.7500 0.7297 0.7361111 -0.0393
0.90172891 20637.21 0.000034 0.8164 0.7778 0.7568 0.7638889 -0.0386
0.99800879 21387.46 0.000031 0.8409 0.8056 0.7838 0.7916667 -0.0353
1.08023976 22028.24 0.000029 0.8600 0.8333 0.8108 0.8194444 -0.0266
1.18715443 22861.36 0.000025 0.8824 0.8611 0.8378 0.8472222 -0.0213
1.3021989 23757.84 0.000022 0.9036 0.8889 0.8649 0.875 -0.0147
1.3722381 24303.61 0.000020 0.9150 0.9167 0.8919 0.9027778 0.0017
1.45859609 24976.55 0.000018 0.9277 0.9444 0.9189 0.9305556 0.0168
1.56101932 25774.68 0.000015 0.9407 0.9722 0.9459 0.9583333 0.0315
1.63739534 26369.83 0.000013 0.9492 1.0000 0.9730 0.9861111 0.0508

0.0713
 d) EL PERIODO DE RETORNO
PARA P(Q≥150) m3/s : P(Q≤190=F(Q=190)
P(Q≥150)=F(Q=150) PARA Q = 190

1-P(Q<150)
1-F(Q=150)

ARA Q=150 INTERPOLANDO:(Z(0.185)

Z= -1.7273907

P(Q≥150)= 1.72739066 Z(150)= 0.8023

PARA P(70m3/s ≤ Q ≤ 180 m3/s)

-1.737657 F(Q=70)=F(Z=-2.21)

INTERPOLANDO:
Z(70)= 0.9864
ARA Q= 180
e) EL CAUDAL PARA UN
-1.7235408 F(Q=180)=F(Z=0.35)

INTERPOLANDO:
Z(180)= 0.6368

LUEGO :
F(180) - F(70)= 0.6368-0.9864

PARA P(70m3/s ≤ Q ≤ 180 m3/s)= -0.3496

Funcion de Distribucion de Probabilidad Normal

1.2000

1.0000

0.8000
1.0000

0.8000

0.6000

0.4000

0.2000

0.0000
0.00 5000.00 10000.00 15000.00 20000.00 25000.00

Col umn L Col umn M Col umn N Col umn O

Diferencia Maxima

Weibull Hazen
-0.0226 -0.0357
-0.0046 -0.0170
0.0121 0.0005
0.0290 0.0181
0.0404 0.0303
0.0469 0.0376
0.0498 0.0412
0.0523 0.0444
0.0571 0.0500
0.0638 0.0574
0.0554 0.0498
0.0498 0.0449
0.0439 0.0398
0.0422 0.0388
0.0362 0.0336
0.0254 0.0235
0.0145 0.0133
0.0073 0.0069
-0.0081 -0.0077
-0.0221 -0.0210
-0.0241 -0.0222
-0.0358 -0.0332
-0.0492 -0.0459
-0.0511 -0.0470
-0.0573 -0.0524
-0.0589 -0.0532
-0.0596 -0.0532
-0.0596 -0.0525
-0.0571 -0.0492
-0.0492 -0.0405
-0.0446 -0.0352
-0.0387 -0.0286
-0.0231 -0.0122
-0.0087 0.0029
0.0052 0.0176
0.0237 0.0369

0.0638 0.0574
d) EL PERIODO DE RETORNO PARA UN CAUDAL DE 190 m3/s
P(Q≤190=F(Q=190)
PARA Q = 190

Z= -1.7222575

NTERPOLANDO:(Z(0.185)
Z(190)= 0.57335

SUSTITUYENDO EN LA FORMULA:

T= 2.34384156

ESTO SIGNIFICA QUE CADA 2 AÑOS EL CAUDAL DE 190 m3/s SERA IGUALADO O EXCEDIDO

e) EL CAUDAL PARA UN PERIODO DE RETORNO DE 75 AÑOS

P(X<x)= 0.98666667

para 0.987 tendremos que:

Z= 2.2

Normal

DONDE :
Q= 30753.8843 m3/s

EL Q PARA UN PERIODO DE RETORNO DE 75 AÑOS ES DE 331.03 m3/s

20000.00 25000.00 30000.00

Col umn O
 DISTRIBUCION LOG NORMAL DE 2
PARAMETROS

ORDEN PRECIPITACION(MM) Qpromedio Vmaximos

1 665.6352941 893.0136315 913.63 574.881523 761.790112 913.63
2 1147.570588 1786.027263 1550.86 1149.763046 1408.55522 1786.02726
3 1814.770588 2498.727263 2388.31 1500.963046 2050.69272 2498.72726
4 2428.770588 3226.427263 3089.56 1723.763046 2617.13022 3226.42726
5 3090.070588 4516.427263 3768.41 2163.563046 3384.61772 4516.42726
6 3688.470588 6224.727263 4457.64 2692.163046 4265.75022 6224.72726
7 4213.270588 7991.727263 5118.79 3353.463046 5169.31272 7991.72726
8 5068.470588 8758.127263 5905.69 4206.963046 5984.81272 8758.12726
9 5727.570588 9422.027263 6551.59 4932.363046 6658.38772 9422.02726
10 6281.070588 10111.42726 7139.33 5394.263046 7231.52272 10111.4273
7097.370588 11134.72726 8019.03 6362.763046 8153.47272 11134.7273
7779.070588 12121.52726 8871.13 6994.763046 8941.62272 12121.5273
8500.670588 13083.92726 9643.83 7533.411531 9690.45985 13083.9273
9060.970588 13801.82726 10353.13 8044.511531 10315.1098 13801.8273
9674.070588 14627.32726 11199.33 8530.211531 11007.7348 14627.3273
10356.87059 15540.02726 11948.93 9268.111531 11778.4848 15540.0273
10957.67059 16321.07813 12798.43 10054.61153 12532.9476 16321.0781
11576.87059 17031.88682 13419.33 10789.41153 13204.3747 17031.8868
12500.07059 17775.08682 14313.73 11543.51153 14033.0997 17775.0868
13286.87059 18215.99899 15329.03 12526.71153 14839.6528 18215.999
13764.57059 19109.01262 15982.23 12808.69591 15416.1273 19109.0126
14564.67059 20002.02625 16912.73 13337.34998 16204.1942 20002.0263
15291.67059 20895.03989 17795.43 14245.84998 17056.9976 20895.0399
15854.77059 21751.16121 18532.63 14626.24998 17691.2029 21751.1612
16484.87059 22748.46121 19459.83 15129.98331 18455.7863 22748.4612
17220.37059 23312.41207 20398.03 15684.58331 19153.849 23312.4121
17910.67059 24173.53638 21290.53 16127.48331 19875.5551 24173.5364
18569.07059 25066.55001 22249.03 16664.18331 20637.2085 25066.55
19250.07059 25959.56364 23191.53 17148.68331 21387.4619 25959.5636
19852.37059 26852.57727 23934.33 17473.68331 22028.2403 26852.5773
20693.17059 27830.37407 24890.23 18031.68331 22861.3645 27830.3741
21488.47059 28855.37407 25910.53 18776.98331 23757.8395 28855.3741
22047.57059 29487.37407 26520.73 19158.78331 24303.6145 29487.3741
22657.77059 30394.17407 27185.33 19668.93483 24976.5524 30394.1741
23461.97059 31397.67407 28024.13 20214.93483 25774.6774 31397.6741
23962.87059 32148.49074 28672.23 20695.73483 26369.8315 32148.4907
MEDIA ARIT= 9.2531 S= 0.87822761

Funcion de Distribucion de Pro

FUNCION DE LA DISTRIBUCION LOG NORMAL DE 2 PARAMETROS
0.4500 0.4000
0.4000 0.3500
0.3500 0.3000
0.2500
0.3000
0.2000
0.2500 0.1500
0.2000 0.1000
0.1500 0.0500
0.1000 0.0000
0.00 2000.00 4000.00 6000.00
0.0500
0.0000 Column M Column N
0.00 2000.00 4000.00 6000.00 8000.00 Column O Column P
 Vmax= 7231.52272
Vmin= 761.790112 Xo= PARAMETRO DE POSICION
mediana= 3825.18397
Xo= -26602.321
DISTRIBUCION LOGNORMAL 2 PARAMETROS

Fu. De Fun. de Distribucion

Y=ln(x) Disrtibucion distribucion Teorica
de Densidad Probabilidad
z ordenado(x) California Weibull Hazen
-1.5165782 761.79 6.6357 0.0054 0.0014 0.03 0.03 0.01
-1.4853271 1408.56 7.2503 0.0337 0.0113 0.06 0.05 0.04
-1.4542996 2050.69 7.6259 0.0816 0.0320 0.08 0.08 0.07
-1.4269298 2617.13 7.8698 0.1314 0.0576 0.11 0.11 0.10
-1.3898455 3384.62 8.1270 0.1997 0.0999 0.14 0.14 0.13
-1.3472699 4265.75 8.3584 0.2704 0.1542 0.17 0.16 0.15
-1.3036105 5169.31 8.5505 0.3299 0.2119 0.19 0.19 0.18
-1.2642063 5984.81 8.6970 0.3717 0.2633 0.22 0.22 0.21
-1.2316597 6658.39 8.8036 0.3985 0.3044 0.25 0.24 0.24
-1.2039663 7231.52 8.8862 0.4163 0.3381 0.28 0.27 0.26
-1.1594185 8153.47272 9.0062 0.4367 0.3893 0.31 0.30 0.29
-1.1213358 8941.62272 9.0985 0.4473 0.4301 0.33 0.32 0.32
-1.0851526 9690.45985 9.1789 0.4526 0.4664 0.36 0.35 0.35
-1.0549701 10315.1098 9.2414 0.4542 0.4947 0.39 0.38 0.38
-1.021503 11007.7348 9.3064 0.4534 0.5242 0.42 0.41 0.40
-0.9842611 11778.4848 9.3740 0.4500 0.5548 0.44 0.43 0.43
-0.9478061 12532.9476 9.4361 0.4445 0.5826 0.47 0.46 0.46
-0.9153633 13204.3747 9.4883 0.4382 0.6056 0.50 0.49 0.49
-0.87532 14033.0997 9.5492 0.4292 0.6320 0.53 0.51 0.51
-0.8363481 14839.6528 9.6051 0.4192 0.6557 0.56 0.54 0.54
-0.8084933 15416.1273 9.6432 0.4116 0.6716 0.58 0.57 0.57
-0.7704146 16204.1942 9.6930 0.4007 0.6918 0.61 0.59 0.60
-0.7292079 17056.9976 9.7443 0.3885 0.7120 0.64 0.62 0.63
-0.6985636 17691.2029 9.7808 0.3792 0.7261 0.67 0.65 0.65
-0.6616196 18455.7863 9.8231 0.3680 0.7419 0.69 0.68 0.68
-0.6278898 19153.849 9.8603 0.3577 0.7553 0.72 0.70 0.71
-0.5930176 19875.5551 9.8972 0.3471 0.7684 0.75 0.73 0.74
-0.5562152 20637.2085 9.9349 0.3361 0.7812 0.78 0.76 0.76
-0.5199636 21387.4619 9.9706 0.3254 0.7930 0.81 0.78 0.79
-0.4890017 22028.2403 10.0001 0.3164 0.8025 0.83 0.81 0.82
-0.4487459 22861.3645 10.0372 0.3049 0.8140 0.86 0.84 0.85
-0.405429 23757.8395 10.0757 0.2929 0.8255 0.89 0.86 0.88
-0.3790576 24303.6145 10.0984 0.2858 0.8321 0.92 0.89 0.90
-0.3465419 24976.5524 10.1257 0.2773 0.8398 0.94 0.92 0.93
-0.3079771 25774.6774 10.1571 0.2674 0.8484 0.97 0.95 0.96
-0.2792198 26369.8315 10.1800 0.2603 0.8544 1.00 0.97 0.99
 D) CAUDAL PARA UN PERIODO DE RETORNO DE 75 AÑOS
Funcion de Distribucion de Probabilidad LogNormal 2 Parametros

0.4000
0.3500
0.3000
0.2500
0.2000
0.1500
0.1000
F(Q=q)= 0.98666667
0.0500
0.0000
0.00 2000.00 4000.00 6000.00 8000.00
Column M Column N DE LA TABLA OBTENEMOS QUE:+P34:P
Column O Column P

Z= 2.2

M3= -3.5720957

S= 0.73636806

Cs= -12.425268

ρy= -1.3345637

Uy= 10.3248285

LnQ= Z*ρy+Uy
Q=

EL CAUDAL PARA UN PERIODO DE 75 ES:

Q= 113.3393
RO DE POSICION

PARAMETROS

Diferencia Maxima
(Xi-Xprm)^3 Ln(X-Xo)
California Weibull Hazen
0.0263 0.0256 0.0124 -17.930886 10.2169876
0.0443 0.0428 0.0304 -8.0328542 10.2403481
0.0514 0.0491 0.0375 -4.3078396 10.2630139
0.0535 0.0505 0.0396 -2.6465128 10.2825899
0.0390 0.0352 0.0251 -1.4278477 10.3085172
0.0125 0.0080 -0.0014 -0.71615 10.3374776
-0.0174 -0.0227 -0.0313 -0.3467753 10.3663291
-0.0411 -0.0471 -0.0550 -0.1719479 10.3916728
-0.0544 -0.0612 -0.0683 -0.0907739 10.4121321
-0.0603 -0.0678 -0.0742 -0.0493699 10.4292169
-0.0838 -0.0920 -0.0977 -0.0150426 10.4561016
-0.0968 -0.1058 -0.1107 -0.0036938 10.4785251
-0.1052 -0.1150 -0.1191 -0.0004078 10.4993741
-0.1058 -0.1163 -0.1197 -1.597E-06 10.5164391
-0.1075 -0.1188 -0.1214 0.00015142 10.5350267
-0.1103 -0.1223 -0.1242 0.0017705 10.5553128
-0.1103 -0.1231 -0.1242 0.00613475 10.5747793
-0.1056 -0.1191 -0.1195 0.01301927 10.5917904
-0.1042 -0.1185 -0.1181 0.02596594 10.6123954
-0.1002 -0.1152 -0.1141 0.04361578 10.6320495
-0.0882 -0.1040 -0.1021 0.05937175 10.645864
-0.0807 -0.0972 -0.0946 0.08516744 10.6644456
-0.0732 -0.0904 -0.0870 0.1185603 10.684172
-0.0594 -0.0774 -0.0733 0.14700474 10.6985938
-0.0474 -0.0662 -0.0613 0.18527032 10.7157082
-0.0331 -0.0526 -0.0470 0.22387529 10.7310819
-0.0184 -0.0386 -0.0323 0.2673289 10.7467317
-0.0034 -0.0245 -0.0173 0.31693148 10.7629863
0.0125 -0.0093 -0.0014 0.36938311 10.7787434
0.0308 0.0083 0.0169 0.41687735 10.7920074
0.0471 0.0238 0.0332 0.48216644 10.808994
0.0634 0.0393 0.0495 0.55665766 10.8269557
0.0846 0.0598 0.0707 0.6040507 10.8377348
0.1046 0.0791 0.0908 0.66451325 10.8508674
0.1239 0.0976 0.1100 0.73899347 10.8662228
0.1456 0.1186 0.1317 0.79639689 10.8775216
 0.0535 0.0505 0.0396 -35.720957 103.248285

ODO DE RETORNO DE 75 AÑOS

F(Z)

OBTENEMOS QUE:+P34:PF(0.987)

nQ= Z*ρy+Uy
1617.745 m3/s

ODO DE 75 ES:

m3/s
 DISTRIBUCION LOG NORMAL DE 3
PARAMETROS

ORDEN PRECIPITACION(MM) Qpromedio Vmaximos

1 125.46 129.52 132.22 134.18 134.31 131.138 134.31
2 138.87 139.66 140.44 141.8 142.05 140.564 142.05
3 143.54 146.2 150.88 154.02 157.76 150.48 157.76
4 162.36 162.64 164.08 168.72 169.15 165.39 169.15
5 174.87 177.01 179.8 190.36 192.43 182.894 192.43
6 192.81 202.8 203.23 204.33 206.97 202.028 206.97
7 209.18 214.21 216.93 223.3 223.92 217.508 223.92
8 233.64 240.93 241.7 242.19 244.16 240.524 244.16
9 255.78 255.91 260.79 274.26 274.78 264.304 274.78
10 280.46 287.12 315.56 338.73 351.82 314.738 351.82

Funcion de la distr. log normal de 3 parametros Funcion de Distribucion de Probabilidad

1.0000 1.2000
0.9000
1.0000
0.8000
0.7000 0.8000
0.6000 0.6000
0.5000
0.4000
0.4000
0.3000 0.2000
0.2000 0.0000
0.1000 100.00 150.00 200.00 250.0
0.0000 Column L Co
100.00 150.00 200.00 250.00 300.00 350.00
Column N Co

PARA UN PERIODO DE RETORNO DE 500 AÑOS SE TIENE :

F(Q=q)= 0.998

Z= 2.9
SEGÚN LA DISTRIBUCION NORMAL EL CAUDAL
 Vmax= 314.738 PROMEDIO= 4.7878349
Vmin= 131.138 S= 0.45334359
mediana= 192.461
Xo= 69.4437662
DISTRIBUCION LOGNORMAL 3 PARAMETROS
Fu. De Fun. de Distribucion Diferencia Maxima
Y=ln(X-Xo) Disrtibucion distribucion Teorica
ordenado(x) de Densidad Probabilidad California Weibull Hazen California
131.14 4.1222 0.2995 0.0710 0.1000 0.0909 0.0500 0.0290
140.56 4.2644 0.4518 0.1241 0.2000 0.1818 0.1500 0.0759
150.48 4.3949 0.6044 0.1930 0.3000 0.2727 0.2500 0.1070
165.39 4.5638 0.7788 0.3106 0.4000 0.3636 0.3500 0.0894
182.89 4.7314 0.8732 0.4504 0.5000 0.4545 0.4500 0.0496
202.03 4.8872 0.8591 0.5868 0.6000 0.5455 0.5500 0.0132
217.51 4.9976 0.7906 0.6782 0.7000 0.6364 0.6500 0.0218
240.52 5.1421 0.6484 0.7828 0.8000 0.7273 0.7500 0.0172
264.30 5.2723 0.4972 0.8574 0.9000 0.8182 0.8500 0.0426
314.74 5.5025 0.2540 0.9425 1.0000 0.9091 0.9500 0.0575
0.1070

ion de Distribucion de Probabilidad LogNormal 3 Parametros

1.2000
1.0000
0.8000
0.6000
0.4000
0.2000
0.0000
100.00 150.00 200.00 250.00 300.00 350.00
Column L Column M
Column N Column O

M3= 0.00228673
EVALUANDO LOS RESULTADOS ME QUEDARIA CON
S= 0.45334359 NORMAL DE 3 PARAMETROS YA QUE ES MAS PRECIS
PARAMETROS PARA EL ANALISIS DE

Cs= 0.03408785

ρy= -0.050094
Uy= 4.7878349
 LnQ= Z*ρy+Uy
Q= 103.809989 m3/s

EL CAUDAL PARA UN PERIODO DE 500 AÑOS ES DE :

Q= 103.81 m3/s

TRIBUCION NORMAL EL CAUDAL PARA UN PERIODO DE 500 AÑOS ES DE :

Q= 372.4163 m3/s
S
Diferencia Maxima
(Xi-Xprm)^3 Ln(X-Xo)
Weibull Hazen
0.0199 -0.0210 -0.2949354 4.12219047
0.0577 0.0259 -0.143436 4.26437188
0.0797 0.0570 -0.06067 4.39489639
0.0531 0.0394 -0.0112465 4.56378797
0.0041 -0.0004 -0.0001801 4.73136427
-0.0413 -0.0368 0.00098161 4.88721817
-0.0419 -0.0282 0.00923606 4.99764619
-0.0555 -0.0328 0.0444739 5.14213265
-0.0392 -0.0074 0.11369479 5.27228255
-0.0334 0.0075 0.36494882 5.50245844
0.0797 0.0570 0.0229 47.8783

ESULTADOS ME QUEDARIA CON LA DISTRIBUCION LOG

AMETROS YA QUE ES MAS PRECISO POR QUE USA MAS
RAMETROS PARA EL ANALISIS DE ESTA.