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r

Talla (cm) Edad (Años)


Estudiante Años Meses X*Y 0.26923753
Y X 185

1 158 19.42 19 5 3067.83333 180


2 175 20.17 20 2 3529.16667 175
3 175 22.42 22 5 3922.91667
170
4 155 19.75 19 9 3061.25 f(x) = 2.1924866
R² = 0.07248885
5 159 18.67 18 8 2968 165
6 165 21.00 21 0 3465
160
7 156 19.17 19 2 2990
8 165 18.75 18 9 3093.75 155

9 162 19.08 19 1 3091.5 150


10 169 19.58 19 7 3309.58333
145
11 160 20.75 20 9 3320
12 156 20.08 20 1 3133 140
18.00 18.50 19.00 19.50
13 170 19.25 19 3 3272.5
14 180 19.17 19 2 3450
15 173 20.17 20 2 3488.83333
Sumatoria 2478 297.42 49163.3333
Edad vs Talla
185

180

175

170 f(x) = 2.1924866797x + 121.7278613341


R² = 0.07248885
165

160

155

150

145

140
18.00 18.50 19.00 19.50 20.00 20.50 21.00 21.50 22.00 22.50 23.00
3.66
DAM
Estudiante Talla (cm) Y Peso (kg) X X*Y Ȃ ε |ε|
1 165 60 9900 161.82 3.18 3.18
2 162 65 10530 165.26 -3.26 3.26
3 180 84 15120 178.33 1.67 1.67
4 159 58 9222 160.45 -1.45 1.45
5 160 58 9280 160.45 -0.45 0.45
6 155 55 8525 158.38 -3.38 3.38
7 156 49 7644 154.26 1.74 1.74
8 178 68 12104 167.32 10.68 10.68
9 165 78 12870 174.20 -9.20 9.20
10 175 75 13125 172.14 2.86 2.86
11 156 55 8580 158.38 -2.38 2.38
Sumatoria 1811 705 116900 Sumatoria 40.2552263
64.0909091
r
0.83269681
Pendiente
r^2 �=𝒎𝒙+𝒃+�
0.6876974
Intersecto
120.561212
Sf 1.03

Syx
1747.12685

Sf
1.03 No Podemos Calcular Estimaciones Por intervalos
porque el error de estimación es incalculable por lo
tanto se asume SYX =1,03 Para hallar el Sf
22.98 -0.1% 2.19%
EMC PME PEMA
ε^2 ε/Yt |ε|/Yt
10.09 0.019 0.019
10.64 -0.020 0.020
2.80 0.009 0.009
2.10 -0.009 0.009
PEMA siempre debe ser mayor que PME, sin embargo pueden
0.20 -0.003 0.003 ser iguales
11.46 -0.022 0.022
3.03 0.011 0.011
113.96 0.060 0.060
84.67 -0.056 0.056 Cuando PEMA=PME y son altos el pronostico esta sesgado
8.19 0.016 0.016
5.69 -0.015 0.015
252.82 -0.01 0.24

L0 Ls
159.56 164.44 Talla vs Peso
185
180
175 f(x) = 0.6876973981x + 120.5612122124
R² = 0.6933839808
170
165
160
155
150
145
140
45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90
E, sin embargo pueden

nostico esta sesgado

eso

22124

0 75 80 85 90
3.609 23.337 0.1%
DAM EMC PME
E Talla (cm) Y Peso (kg) X Ȃ ε |ε| ε^2 ε/Yt
1 165 60 161.372 3.628 3.628 13.166 0.02199062
2 162 65 164.714 -2.714 2.714 7.365 -0.0167519
3 180 84 178.058 1.942 1.942 3.771 0.01078877
4 159 58 160.054 -1.054 1.054 1.110 -0.0066271
5 160 58 160.054 -0.054 0.054 0.003 -0.0003357
6 155 55 158.097 -3.097 3.097 9.592 -0.0199813
7 156 49 154.255 1.745 1.745 3.044 0.01118354
8 178 68 166.752 11.248 11.248 126.511 0.06318934
9 165 78 173.731 -8.731 8.731 76.234 -0.0529166
10 175 75 171.607 3.393 3.393 11.510 0.01938614
11 156 55 158.097 -2.097 2.097 4.398 -0.013443
Sumatoria 39.702 256.703 0.01648279

R^2 0.6987
2.15%
PEMA
|ε|/Yt
0.02199062
0.01675189
185
0.01078877
0.00662712 180
0.0003357 f(x) = 126.1844356889 exp( 0.004129132 x )
175 R² = 0.6986595577
0.01998135
0.01118354 170
0.06318934
165
0.05291656
0.01938614 160
0.01344301 155
0.23659403
150

145

140
45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90
80 85 90
3.817 22.653 -0.1%
DAM EMC PME
E Talla (cm) Y Peso (kg) X Ȃ ε |ε| ε^2 ε/Yt
1 165 60 162.242 2.758 2.758 7.604 0.01671265
2 162 65 165.861 -3.861 3.861 14.909 -0.0238347
3 180 84 177.455 2.545 2.545 6.479 0.01414079
4 159 58 160.710 -1.710 1.710 2.923 -0.0107528
5 160 58 160.710 -0.710 0.710 0.504 -0.0044356
6 155 55 158.309 -3.309 3.309 10.946 -0.0213454
7 156 49 153.086 2.914 2.914 8.491 0.01867893
8 178 68 167.901 10.099 10.099 101.987 0.05673504
9 165 78 174.104 -9.104 9.104 82.886 -0.0551767
10 175 75 172.331 2.669 2.669 7.124 0.01525169
11 156 55 158.309 -2.309 2.309 5.329 -0.0147983
Sumatoria 41.987 249.182 -0.0088244

R^2 0.6978
2.29%
PEMA
|ε|/Yt
0.01671265 185
0.02383471
180
0.01414079
0.01075276 175 f(x) = 45.2106065979 l n(x) - 22.8669248455
R² = 0.6977952597
0.00443556
170
0.02134542
0.01867893 165
0.05673504
160
0.05517674
0.01525169 155
0.01479834
150
0.25186262
145

140
45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90
80 85 90
3.828 22.563
DAM EMC
E Talla (cm) Y Peso (kg) X Ȃ ε |ε| ε^2
1 165 60 162.265 2.735 2.735 7.480
2 162 65 165.978 -3.978 3.978 15.821
3 180 84 177.121 2.879 2.879 8.289
4 159 58 160.689 -1.689 1.689 2.853
5 160 58 160.689 -0.689 0.689 0.475
6 155 55 158.228 -3.228 3.228 10.417
7 156 49 152.954 3.046 3.046 9.281
8 178 68 168.049 9.951 9.951 99.022
9 165 78 174.109 -9.109 9.109 82.974
10 175 75 172.428 2.573 2.573 6.618
11 156 55 158.228 -2.228 2.228 4.962
Sumatoria 42.104 248.191

R^2 0.699
-0.1% 2.30%
PME PEMA
ε/Yt |ε|/Yt
0.01657576 0.01657576 185
-0.0245525 0.02455247
180
0.01599444 0.01599444
-0.0106226 0.01062264 175 f(x) = - 0.0064948978x^2 + 1.5550461149x + 92.3645711687
R² = 0.6990056482
-0.0043063 0.00430625
170
-0.0208226 0.02082258
0.01952885 0.01952885 165
0.05590449 0.05590449
160
-0.0552061 0.05520606
0.0147 0.0147 155
-0.0142788 0.01427885
150
-0.0070853 0.25249239
145

140
45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 9
3645711687

75 80 85 90
11.103 176.759
DAM EMC
E Talla (cm) Y Peso (kg) X Ȃ ε |ε| ε^2
1 165 60 170.472 -5.472 5.472 29.943
2 162 65 176.738 -14.738 14.738 217.209
3 180 84 199.637 -19.637 19.637 385.604
4 159 58 168.047 -9.047 9.047 81.845
5 160 58 168.047 -8.047 8.047 64.751
6 155 55 164.541 -9.541 9.541 91.031
7 156 49 158.183 -2.183 2.183 4.765
8 178 68 180.565 -2.565 2.565 6.578
9 165 78 192.983 -27.983 27.983 783.037
10 175 75 189.375 -14.375 14.375 206.641
11 156 55 164.541 -8.541 8.541 72.949
Sumatoria 122.128 1944.351

R^2 0.7007
-6.7% 6.70%
PME PEMA
ε/Yt |ε|/Yt 185
-0.0331636 0.03316364 180
-0.0909753 0.09097531
175 f(x) = - 0.0003384115x^3 + 0.0606640331x^2 - 2.8168201279x + 185.7570748069
-0.1090933 0.10909333 R² = 0.7007472388
-0.0568981 0.05689811 170
-0.0502925 0.0502925
165
-0.0615548 0.06155484
-0.0139923 0.01399231 160
-0.014409 0.01440899 155
-0.1695927 0.16959273
150
-0.0821429 0.08214286
-0.05475 0.05475 145
-0.7368646 0.73686461
140
45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90
+ 185.7570748069

85 90
498.678 360405.954
DAM EMC
E Talla (cm) Y Peso (kg) X Ȃ ε |ε| ε^2
1 165 60 -165.380 330.380 330.380 109150.944
2 162 65 -281.068 443.068 443.068 196308.810
3 180 84 -1071.390 1251.390 1251.390 ###
4 159 58 -127.579 286.579 286.579 82127.638
5 160 58 -127.579 287.579 287.579 82701.796
6 155 55 -77.707 232.707 232.707 54152.781
7 156 49 9.211 146.789 146.789 21547.040
8 178 68 -367.671 545.671 545.671 297757.059
9 165 78 -761.403 926.403 926.403 858222.889
10 175 75 -626.187 801.187 801.187 641901.410
11 156 55 -77.707 233.707 233.707 54619.196
Sumatoria 5485.461 ###

R^2 0.8173
295.3% 295.35%
PME PEMA
ε/Yt |ε|/Yt 185
2.00230303 2.00230303 180
2.73498457 2.73498457 f(x) = 0.0003245584x^4 - 0.086353662x^3 + 8.5042167419x^2 - 366.5572626833x + 5987.5102631063
R² = 0.817323375
175
6.95216444 6.95216444
1.80238491 1.80238491 170
1.79737 1.79737
165
1.50133871 1.50133871
0.94095577 0.94095577 160
3.06556854 3.06556854 155
5.61456485 5.61456485
150
4.57821429 4.57821429
1.498125 1.498125 145
32.4879741 32.4879741
140
45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90
+ 5987.5102631063

5 90
3.771 22.683
DAM EMC
E Talla (cm) Y Peso (kg) X Ȃ ε |ε| ε^2
1 165 60 162.055 2.945 2.945 8.671
2 162 65 165.618 -3.618 3.618 13.092
3 180 84 177.569 2.431 2.431 5.911
4 159 58 160.570 -1.570 1.570 2.463
5 160 58 160.570 -0.570 0.570 0.324
6 155 55 158.269 -3.269 3.269 10.687
7 156 49 153.379 2.621 2.621 6.869
8 178 68 167.661 10.339 10.339 106.892
9 165 78 174.029 -9.029 9.029 81.525
10 175 75 172.184 2.816 2.816 7.927
11 156 55 158.269 -2.269 2.269 5.149
Sumatoria 41.476 249.512

R^2 0.7044
0.0% 2.26%
PME PEMA
ε/Yt |ε|/Yt 185
0.01784617 0.01784617 180
-0.0223352 0.02233518
175 f(x) = 53.2766159127 x^0.2717138563
0.01350716 0.01350716 R² = 0.7044334081
-0.0098713 0.00987128 170
-0.0035596 0.00355959
165
-0.0210914 0.02109137
0.01680098 0.01680098 160
0.05808344 0.05808344 155
-0.0547218 0.0547218
150
0.0160889 0.0160889
-0.0145459 0.01454591 145
-0.0037985 0.24845179
140
45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90
85 90
DAM EMC PME PEMA R^2
Lineal 3.660 22.984 -0.081% 2.191% 0.6876974
R Exponencial 3.609 23.337 0.150% 2.151% 0.6987
e
g Logaritmica 3.817 22.653 -0.080% 2.290% 0.6978
r
e Polinomica G2 3.828 22.563 -0.064% 2.295% 0.699
s
i Polinomica G3 11.103 176.759 -6.699% 6.699% 0.7007
ó
n Polinomica G4 498.678 360405.954 295.345% 295.345% 0.8173
Potencial 3.771 22.683 -0.035% 2.259% 0.7044