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m T (años) 5 10 20 45 80 120

1 11 162 111 62 51 45 40
2 5.50 150 105 60 33 26 24
3 3.67 120 93 54 27 19 15
4 2.75 118 70 53 27 19 15
5 2.20 96 66 44 27 17 13
6 1.83 96 60 43 25 16 11
7 1.57 96 54 35 25 14 10
8 1.38 90 48 28 14 11 8
9 1.22 85 43 28 13 10 7
10 1.10 68 41 21 9 5 4

m T (años) log(d) log(t) log(i)


X2 X1 Y X1Y X2Y X22
1 11 0.699 1.041 2.210 2.301 1.544 0.489
2 5.50 0.699 0.740 2.176 1.611 1.521 0.489
3 3.67 0.699 0.564 2.079 1.173 1.453 0.489
4 2.75 0.699 0.439 2.072 0.910 1.448 0.489
5 2.20 0.699 0.342 1.982 0.679 1.386 0.489
6 1.83 0.699 0.263 1.982 0.522 1.386 0.489
7 1.57 0.699 0.196 1.982 0.389 1.386 0.489
8 1.38 0.699 0.138 1.954 0.270 1.366 0.489
9 1.22 0.699 0.087 1.929 0.168 1.349 0.489
10 1.10 0.699 0.041 1.833 0.076 1.281 0.489
1 11 1.000 1.041 2.045 2.130 2.045 1.000
2 5.50 1.000 0.740 2.021 1.496 2.021 1.000
3 3.67 1.000 0.564 1.968 1.111 1.968 1.000
4 2.75 1.000 0.439 1.845 0.811 1.845 1.000
5 2.20 1.000 0.342 1.820 0.623 1.820 1.000
6 1.83 1.000 0.263 1.778 0.468 1.778 1.000
7 1.57 1.000 0.196 1.732 0.340 1.732 1.000
8 1.38 1.000 0.138 1.681 0.233 1.681 1.000
9 1.22 1.000 0.087 1.633 0.142 1.633 1.000
10 1.10 1.000 0.041 1.613 0.067 1.613 1.000
1 11 1.301 1.041 1.792 1.867 2.332 1.693
2 5.50 1.301 0.740 1.778 1.316 2.313 1.693
3 3.67 1.301 0.564 1.732 0.978 2.254 1.693
4 2.75 1.301 0.439 1.724 0.758 2.243 1.693
5 2.20 1.301 0.342 1.643 0.563 2.138 1.693
6 1.83 1.301 0.263 1.633 0.430 2.125 1.693
7 1.57 1.301 0.196 1.544 0.303 2.009 1.693
8 1.38 1.301 0.138 1.447 0.200 1.883 1.693
9 1.22 1.301 0.087 1.447 0.126 1.883 1.693
10 1.10 1.301 0.041 1.322 0.055 1.720 1.693
1 11 1.653 1.041 1.708 1.778 2.823 2.733
2 5.50 1.653 0.740 1.519 1.124 2.510 2.733
3 3.67 1.653 0.564 1.431 0.808 2.366 2.733
4 2.75 1.653 0.439 1.431 0.629 2.366 2.733
5 2.20 1.653 0.342 1.431 0.490 2.366 2.733
6 1.83 1.653 0.263 1.398 0.368 2.311 2.733
7 1.57 1.653 0.196 1.398 0.274 2.311 2.733
8 1.38 1.653 0.138 1.146 0.159 1.895 2.733
9 1.22 1.653 0.087 1.114 0.097 1.842 2.733
10 1.10 1.653 0.041 0.954 0.039 1.578 2.733
1 11 1.903 1.041 1.653 1.722 3.146 3.622
2 5.50 1.903 0.740 1.415 1.048 2.693 3.622
3 3.67 1.903 0.564 1.279 0.722 2.434 3.622
4 2.75 1.903 0.439 1.279 0.562 2.434 3.622
5 2.20 1.903 0.342 1.230 0.421 2.342 3.622
6 1.83 1.903 0.263 1.204 0.317 2.292 3.622
7 1.57 1.903 0.196 1.146 0.225 2.181 3.622
8 1.38 1.903 0.138 1.041 0.144 1.982 3.622
9 1.22 1.903 0.087 1.000 0.087 1.903 3.622
10 1.10 1.903 0.041 0.699 0.029 1.330 3.622
1 11 2.079 1.041 1.602 1.668 3.331 4.323
2 5.50 2.079 0.740 1.380 1.022 2.870 4.323
3 3.67 2.079 0.564 1.176 0.664 2.445 4.323
4 2.75 2.079 0.439 1.176 0.517 2.445 4.323
5 2.20 2.079 0.342 1.114 0.381 2.316 4.323
6 1.83 2.079 0.263 1.041 0.274 2.165 4.323
7 1.57 2.079 0.196 1.000 0.196 2.079 4.323
8 1.38 2.079 0.138 0.903 0.125 1.878 4.323
9 1.22 2.079 0.087 0.845 0.074 1.757 4.323
10 1.10 2.079 0.041 0.602 0.025 1.252 4.323
86.355 23.125 90.719 38.104 120.800 138.591
Peri. De Retorno
Duracion (min) i
X
1
2
m x1 (Tr) x2 y
1.084 0.728 1 11.00 5 162
0.548 0.517 2 5.50 5 150
0.318 0.394 3 3.67 5 120
0.193 0.307 4 2.75 5 118
0.117 0.239 5 2.20 5 96
0.069 0.184 6 1.83 5 96
0.039 0.137 7 1.57 5 96
0.019 0.097 8 1.38 5 90
0.008 0.061 9 1.22 5 85
0.002 0.029 10 1.10 5 68
1.084 1.041 1 11.00 10 111
0.548 0.740 2 5.50 10 105
0.318 0.564 3 3.67 10 93
0.193 0.439 4 2.75 10 70
0.117 0.342 5 2.20 10 66
0.069 0.263 6 1.83 10 60
0.039 0.196 7 1.57 10 54
0.019 0.138 8 1.38 10 48
0.008 0.087 9 1.22 10 43
0.002 0.041 10 1.10 10 41
1.084 1.355 1 11.00 20 62
0.548 0.963 2 5.50 20 60
0.318 0.734 3 3.67 20 54
0.193 0.572 4 2.75 20 53
0.117 0.446 5 2.20 20 44
0.069 0.342 6 1.83 20 43
0.039 0.255 7 1.57 20 35
0.019 0.180 8 1.38 20 28
0.008 0.113 9 1.22 20 28
0.002 0.054 10 1.10 20 21
1.084 1.722 1 11.00 45 51
0.548 1.224 2 5.50 45 33
0.318 0.933 3 3.67 45 27
0.193 0.726 4 2.75 45 27
0.117 0.566 5 2.20 45 27
0.069 0.435 6 1.83 45 25
0.039 0.325 7 1.57 45 25
0.019 0.229 8 1.38 45 14
0.008 0.144 9 1.22 45 13
0.002 0.068 10 1.10 45 9
1.084 1.982 1 11.00 80 45
0.548 1.409 2 5.50 80 26
0.318 1.074 3 3.67 80 19
0.193 0.836 4 2.75 80 19
0.117 0.652 5 2.20 80 17
0.069 0.501 6 1.83 80 16
0.039 0.374 7 1.57 80 14
0.019 0.263 8 1.38 80 11
0.008 0.166 9 1.22 80 10
0.002 0.079 10 1.10 80 5
1.084 2.165 1 11.00 120 40
0.548 1.539 2 5.50 120 24
0.318 1.173 3 3.67 120 15
0.193 0.913 4 2.75 120 15
0.117 0.712 5 2.20 120 13
0.069 0.547 6 1.83 120 11
0.039 0.408 7 1.57 120 10
0.019 0.288 8 1.38 120 8
0.008 0.181 9 1.22 120 7
0.002 0.086 10 1.10 120 4
14.385 33.283 Σ

∑▒ 〖� =𝑁𝑎_(0+) 𝑎

Σ(𝑥_1 �)=𝑎_0 Σ𝑥_1+


Σ(𝑥_2 �)=𝑎_0 Σ𝑥_2

60 23.12 86.35
23.12 14.39 33.28
86.35 33.28 138.59

K 187.19
m 0.57
n 0.68
Tr d log*i (log*i)(log*Tr)(log*i)(log*d)
x1 log x2 log y log X1 Y X2 Y X1 2 X2 2 X1 X2
1.04 0.699 2.210 2.301 1.544 1.084 0.489 0.728
0.74 0.699 2.176 1.611 1.521 0.548 0.489 0.517
0.56 0.699 2.079 1.173 1.453 0.318 0.489 0.394
0.44 0.699 2.072 0.910 1.448 0.193 0.489 0.307
0.34 0.699 1.982 0.679 1.386 0.117 0.489 0.239
0.26 0.699 1.982 0.522 1.386 0.069 0.489 0.184
0.20 0.699 1.982 0.389 1.386 0.039 0.489 0.137
0.14 0.699 1.954 0.270 1.366 0.019 0.489 0.097
0.09 0.699 1.929 0.168 1.349 0.008 0.489 0.061
0.04 0.699 1.833 0.076 1.281 0.002 0.489 0.029
1.04 1.000 2.045 2.130 2.045 1.084 1.000 1.041
0.74 1.000 2.021 1.496 2.021 0.548 1.000 0.740
0.56 1.000 1.968 1.111 1.968 0.318 1.000 0.564
0.44 1.000 1.845 0.811 1.845 0.193 1.000 0.439
0.34 1.000 1.820 0.623 1.820 0.117 1.000 0.342
0.26 1.000 1.778 0.468 1.778 0.069 1.000 0.263
0.20 1.000 1.732 0.340 1.732 0.039 1.000 0.196
0.14 1.000 1.681 0.233 1.681 0.019 1.000 0.138
0.09 1.000 1.633 0.142 1.633 0.008 1.000 0.087
0.04 1.000 1.613 0.067 1.613 0.002 1.000 0.041
1.04 1.301 1.792 1.867 2.332 1.084 1.693 1.355
0.74 1.301 1.778 1.316 2.313 0.548 1.693 0.963
0.56 1.301 1.732 0.978 2.254 0.318 1.693 0.734
0.44 1.301 1.724 0.758 2.243 0.193 1.693 0.572
0.34 1.301 1.643 0.563 2.138 0.117 1.693 0.446
0.26 1.301 1.633 0.430 2.125 0.069 1.693 0.342
0.20 1.301 1.544 0.303 2.009 0.039 1.693 0.255
0.14 1.301 1.447 0.200 1.883 0.019 1.693 0.180
0.09 1.301 1.447 0.126 1.883 0.008 1.693 0.113
0.04 1.301 1.322 0.055 1.720 0.002 1.693 0.054
1.04 1.653 1.708 1.778 2.823 1.084 2.733 1.722
0.74 1.653 1.519 1.124 2.510 0.548 2.733 1.224
0.56 1.653 1.431 0.808 2.366 0.318 2.733 0.933
0.44 1.653 1.431 0.629 2.366 0.193 2.733 0.726
0.34 1.653 1.431 0.490 2.366 0.117 2.733 0.566
0.26 1.653 1.398 0.368 2.311 0.069 2.733 0.435
0.20 1.653 1.398 0.274 2.311 0.039 2.733 0.325
0.14 1.653 1.146 0.159 1.895 0.019 2.733 0.229
0.09 1.653 1.114 0.097 1.842 0.008 2.733 0.144
0.04 1.653 0.954 0.039 1.578 0.002 2.733 0.068
1.04 1.903 1.653 1.722 3.146 1.084 3.622 1.982
0.74 1.903 1.415 1.048 2.693 0.548 3.622 1.409
0.56 1.903 1.279 0.722 2.434 0.318 3.622 1.074
0.44 1.903 1.279 0.562 2.434 0.193 3.622 0.836
0.34 1.903 1.230 0.421 2.342 0.117 3.622 0.652
0.26 1.903 1.204 0.317 2.292 0.069 3.622 0.501
0.20 1.903 1.146 0.225 2.181 0.039 3.622 0.374
0.14 1.903 1.041 0.144 1.982 0.019 3.622 0.263
0.09 1.903 1.000 0.087 1.903 0.008 3.622 0.166
0.04 1.903 0.699 0.029 1.330 0.002 3.622 0.079
1.04 2.079 1.602 1.668 3.331 1.084 4.323 2.165
0.74 2.079 1.380 1.022 2.870 0.548 4.323 1.539
0.56 2.079 1.176 0.664 2.445 0.318 4.323 1.173
0.44 2.079 1.176 0.517 2.445 0.193 4.323 0.913
0.34 2.079 1.114 0.381 2.316 0.117 4.323 0.712
0.26 2.079 1.041 0.274 2.165 0.069 4.323 0.547
0.20 2.079 1.000 0.196 2.079 0.039 4.323 0.408
0.14 2.079 0.903 0.125 1.878 0.019 4.323 0.288
0.09 2.079 0.845 0.074 1.757 0.008 4.323 0.181
0.04 2.079 0.602 0.025 1.252 0.002 4.323 0.086
23.12 86.35 90.72 38.10 120.80 14.39 138.59 33.28

∑▒ 〖� =𝑁𝑎_(0+) 𝑎_1 Σ𝑥_(1+) 𝑎_2 Σ𝑥_2 〗


90.72=60𝑎_0+23.12𝑎_1+86.35𝑎
Σ(𝑥_1 �)=𝑎_0 Σ𝑥_1+𝑎_1 Σ(𝑥_1^2 )+𝑎_2 Σ 〖 (𝑥 〗 _1 𝑥_2) 38.1=23.12𝑎_0+14.39𝑎_1+33.2
120.8=86.35𝑎_0+33.28𝑎_1+138
Σ(𝑥_2 �)=𝑎_0 Σ𝑥_2+𝑎_1 Σ(𝑥_1 𝑥_2 )+𝑎_2 Σ(𝑥_2^2)
matriz inv
90.72 0.18832272 -0.0701837 -0.1004831 Alfa 2.272
38.1 -0.0701837 0.18244545 -8.2401E-05 Beta x1 0.574
120.8 -0.1004831 -8.2401E-05 0.0698424 Beta x2 -0.682
5
10
20
45
80
120
Beta x2 Beta x1 Alfa
-0.6827926 0.57357128 2.27363075
300.00 TR=11 TR=5.5 TR=3.67 TR=2.75 TR=2.2 TR=1.83 TR=1.57 TR=1.38

250.00

200.00

150.00

100.00

50.00

0.00
0.00 20.00 40.00 60.00 80.00 100.00 120.00 140.00
70.00

60.00

50.00

40.00

30.00

20.00

10.00

0.00
0.00 20.00 40.00 60.00 80.00 100.00 120.00 140.00
Tr (Peri. De Retorno) 11 5.5 3.67 2.75
Duracion Intencidad
5.00 248.48 167.38 132.91 112.75
10.00 155.09 104.47 82.96 70.37
20.00 96.80 65.21 51.78 43.92
45.00 55.77 37.57 29.83 25.31
80.00 37.71 25.40 20.17 17.11
120.00 28.62 19.28 15.31 12.99

Tr 11.00 5.50
Duracion I P I
5.00 12.37 20.71 8.33
10.00 25.85
20.00 32.27
45.00 41.83
80.00 50.28
120.00 57.25
2.2 1.83 1.57 1.38 1.22 1.1
Intencidad
99.28 89.39 81.91 76.11 70.94 66.88
61.97 55.79 51.13 47.50 44.28 41.74
38.68 34.82 31.91 29.65 27.64 26.05
22.28 20.06 18.39 17.08 15.92 15.01
15.07 13.57 12.43 11.55 10.77 10.15
11.44 10.30 9.44 8.77 8.17 7.70

3.67 2.75 2.20


P I P I P I
13.95 6.62 11.08 5.61 9.40 4.94
17.41 13.83 11.73
21.74 17.26 14.64
28.18 22.37 18.98
33.87 26.90 22.82
38.56 30.62 25.98
1.83 1.57 1.38
P I P I P I P
8.27 4.45 7.45 4.08 6.83 3.79 6.34
10.33 9.30 8.52 7.92
12.89 11.61 10.64 9.88
16.71 15.05 13.79 12.81
20.09 18.09 16.58 15.40
22.87 20.60 18.87 17.54
1.22 1.1
I P I P
3.53 5.91 3.33 5.57
7.38 6.96
9.21 8.68
11.94 11.26
14.36 13.53
16.35 15.41