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HEINEKEN Europe
Rediscovering growth
25
1 NOVEMBER 2016 | LONDON
Disclaimer
This presentation contains forward-looking statements with regard to the financial position and results of
HEINEKEN’s activities. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause
actual results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements.
Many of these risks and uncertainties relate to factors that are beyond HEINEKEN’s ability to control or estimate
precisely, such as future market and economic conditions, the behaviour of other market participants, changes in
consumer preferences, the ability to successfully integrate acquired businesses and achieve anticipated synergies,
costs of raw materials, interest rate and foreign exchange fluctuations, change in tax rates, changes in law,
changes in pension costs, the actions of government regulators and weather conditions. These and other risk
factors are detailed in HEINEKEN’s publicly filed annual reports.
You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the
date of this presentation. HEINEKEN does not undertake any obligation to publicly release any revisions to these
forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of these materials.
Market share estimates contained in this presentation are based on outside sources such as specialised research
institutes in combination with management estimates.
2
Stefan Orlowski
President
2015
Europe
President
2013 Americas
Managing Director
2009 HEINEKEN UK
Managing Director
2005
Central & Eastern Europe
3
“There are no
mature markets, only
mature mindsets.”
- Theodore Levitt
4
Summary
5
Agenda
Summary
6
Europe – stabilisation of volumes after years of decline; value opportunities
1) Europe is a large beer market of 396mhl (20% of global volume) 3) Population growth stable but GDP per capita
with high per capita consumption expected to accelerate…
Beer per capita consumption 2015 (litres)
71 67 2.9%
56 54 2.5%
Global average: 27
18
12 0.2% 0.2%
2
2) Beer volume and per capita consumption have declined but now 4) … creating pockets of growth
expected to stabilise
Europe beer volume (mhl) Europe per capita consumption (litres) Europe volume 2015-2020 CAGR
0.9%
68 0.8%
67 67
400
397
396
0.1%
2010 2015 2020 2010 2015 2020 Total beer market Premium segment1 Cider
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Notable differences within markets…
Varied consumption patterns Volume performance varies by market On/off-trade split differs by market
Beer per capita consumption 2015 (litres) Market beer volume growth 2015 (%) % of volume from on-trade (2015)
3.3%
141 3.1% 59%
2.5% 52%
47%
1.8%
101
82
33%
0.1%
46
17%
28 12%
-1.0%
-1.3%
UK
France
Belgium
Netherlands
Germany
Italy
Spain
Czech Poland Spain Portugal Italy Ireland Spain UK Italy France Poland
Republic
Source: Canadean
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..and with new challenges and opportunities emerging
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HEINEKEN has the leading market share, despite increased competition
Number of active brewing … with strong positions in its largest
HEINEKEN is the leading brewer in
companies in Europe1 has increased markets
Europe…
HEINEKEN beer volume market share 2015
6,000
5,000 HEINEKEN
4,000
Competitor A
3,000
Others
2,000
Competitor B
1,000
Competitor C
0
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
#1 position #3 or lower
#2 position Export markets
Source: Canadean
1 Source: National brewers’ associations, total EU 28
2 Europe as defined by HEINEKEN
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The European beer market is expected to grow, especially premium and specialty
7.0%
• European retail sales value
6.0% CAGR of 2.3% expected
Retail sales value 2016-20 CAGR (%)
0.0%
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
Retail sales value 2016-20 growth (€bn)
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Premium beer is expected to outperform mainstream in our largest markets
6.0%
• Our largest 8 markets
5.0% represented 75% of
HEINEKEN Europe
4.0% volume in 2015
3.0%
• In 6 of the top 8 markets
2.0% expected premium
volume growth is ahead
1.0% of the European average
0.0% • HEINEKEN has #1 or #2
-1.0%
position in the 8 largest
markets shown
-2.0%
Austria France Italy Netherlands Poland Romania Spain UK
HEINEKEN
market position #1 #2 #1 #1 #2 #2 #2 #1
Total beer market volume 2015-20 CAGR Premium beer market volume 2015-20 CAGR Europe1 premium beer market volume 2015-20 CAGR
12
Agenda
Summary
13
Europe: a significant contributor to HEINEKEN
Europe
25 Europe 41%
OpCos
share of HNV
Beer Volume
2015
55
Breweries
2 Europe
Designated
Europe 50%
cider plants
share of HNV
Revenue
232 2015
Brands
\
28,000
Direct
employees Europe
Europe 35%
share of HNV
Operating
HEINEKEN OpCo Joint Venture Export markets Profit 2015
Source: Company data
OpCo: Operating company
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Strategy to Win in Europe
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Heineken® a clear #1 in premium, and continues to grow
Other premium
brands
Other brands
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UEFA Champions League sponsorship: a unique global asset
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Leveraging scale and footprint to drive international brand growth
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Leveraging local brands to capture value in premium
Leveraging domestic premium Rediscovering hidden ‘jewels’
Zywiec variants Sagres Bohemia
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Innovation expanding the category and driving growth
• Comprehensive portfolio with a premium price point1 • C.5% of Europe’s consolidated beer volume
• Award winning quality • Double digit volume CAGR over the last 5 years
• Extensive R&D capabilities • Satisfying increased consumer demand for health and moderation
• More attractive cost structure following supply chain development • Capturing consumers from outside traditional beer category
• C. 0.5mhl in Europe (excl. UK) • Attractive expected growth profile
• European cider market expected to outperform beer 2015-2020
(Canadean)
Source: Company data
1 Excluding Strongbow UK 2 Low and no alcohol has alcohol by volume of 3.5% or less
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Driving end to end productivity with Global and European scale
• Driving out bad complexity • Pan European roll-out of new cider concept
• Leveraging European and global scale (talent, shared services, IT, • Leveraging global scale and local knowledge
procurement, brewery footprint, e-commerce)
• Using existing returnable bottle types
• Enhancing functional productivity everywhere
• Advertising: using central designs and communication
• Affordable premium positioning
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Driving sustainable growth through Brewing a Better World
1 In scope are barley, hops, cider apples, fruit concentrates, sugar, rice, sorghum, wheat, maize
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Heineken® F1: Breaking new ground in responsible consumption
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Agenda
Summary
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The right brands and brewery footprint to capture growth
International brands:
25
Optimal footprint balancing global scale and local presence
26
Wholesale in selected markets increasing customer and consumer proximity
27
Star Pubs & Bars strategically important in the UK
• Strategic benefit:
29%
• Synergies with on trade brewing operations
Continuing to increase
Delivering
margins improved
and EBIT
• Unique consumer touchpoints
performance
• Unique platform for seeding innovations
EBIT
• People and talent Margin
Average
EBIT per
• Delivering sustainable and attractive profit margin and cash pub
return to HEINEKEN
Source: Company data
28
Agenda
Summary
29
Europe is positively contributing to HEINEKEN performance and margin
improvement
Improved performance in Europe is driving balanced Europe Operating profit (beia) margin1
growth at HEINEKEN
7.3%
10.1%
3.5%
2.3%
2009 2015
Consolidated Beer Volume Revenue Operating Profit (beia)
1Restated for 2009 using revised Europe definition following reorganisation in June 2015
Source: Company data
30
Agenda
Summary
31
Summary
32
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