Академический Документы
Профессиональный Документы
Культура Документы
Lect.dr. Crîşmaru N.
Bacău
2018
CUPRINS
CAPITOLUL 1
Procesul modelarii.......................................................................................................................pag.1
CAPITOLUL 2
Clase de modele.........................................................................................................................pag.13
CAPITOLUL 3
Modelarea în teoria si practica finantelor..................................................................................pag.29
3.1. Modelul costului capitalului...............................................................................................pag.38
3.2. Modelul fundamental al pietei de capital...........................................................................pag.42
3.3. Modelul de evaluare a optiunilor........................................................................................pag.47
3.4. Modelul de arbitraj financiar..............................................................................................pag.50
3.4.1. Modelul de arbitraj pe piata valutara...............................................................................pag.53
3.4.2. Modelul de arbitraj pe piata monetara.............................................................................pag.58
3.5. Modelul de management financiar.....................................................................................pag.63
3.6. Modelul ipostazelor agentului economic............................................................................pag.67
3.6.1. Rolul pietei monetare în sprijinirea comportamentului rational
al agentului economic......................................................................................................pag.74
3.6.2. Rolul pietei de capital în sprijinirea comportamentului rational
al agentului economic......................................................................................................pag.77
3.6.3. Rolul jucat de functionarea simultana a celor doua piete in sprijinirea
comportamentului rational al agentului consumator.......................................................pag.83
CAPITOLUL 4
Modelarea preferintelor consumatorului...................................................................................pag.87
4.1. Utilitatea. Analiza cardinala si ordinala.............................................................................pag.88
4.2. Curbe de indiferenta...........................................................................................................pag.92
4.3. Rata marginala de substituire...........................................................................................pag.100
CAPITOLUL 5
Modelul DE optim al consumatorului.....................................................................................pag.105
5.1. Dreapta bugetului.............................................................................................................pag.107
5.2. Punctul de consum optim.................................................................................................pag.110
5.3. Variatia punctului optim de consum în raport cu variatia bugetului de consum..............pag.112
5.4. Variatia punctului optim de consum în raport cu variatia preturilor unitare ale bunurilor
consumate................................................................................................................................pag.115
5.5. Efectul de substituire si efectul de venit...........................................................................pag.117
5.5.1. Cazul bunurilor normale................................................................................................pag.117
5.5.2. Cazul bunurilor inferioare.............................................................................................pag.122
5.6. Modelul dinamic al consumatorului.................................................................................pag.124
5.6.1. Modelul dinamic al consumatorului cu piata monetara................................................pag.126
5.6.2. Modelul dinamic al consumatorului cu piata monetara si de capital............................pag.128
CAPITOLUL 6
Functia de productie................................................................................................................pag.133
6.1. Proprietatile functiei de productie....................................................................................pag.138
6.2. Randamentul de scara.......................................................................................................pag.142
6.3. Izocuanta si rata marginala de substituire........................................................................pag.148
6.3.1. Izocuanta........................................................................................................................pag.148
6.3.2. Rata marginala de substituire........................................................................................pag.152
6.4. Indicatori de eficienta ai functiilor de productie..............................................................pag.154
6.5. Functia productivitatii muncii..........................................................................................pag.160
CAPITOLUL 7
Reteta de fabricatie si pretul factorilor de productie............................................................pag.163
7.1. Reteta optima de fabricatie............................................................................................pag.164
7.2. Variatia retetei optime...................................................................................................pag.168
7.2.1. Influenta variatiei preturilor factorilor........................................................................pag.168
7.2.2. Influenta variatiei productiei......................................................................................pag.170
7.3. Functiile privind cererea de factori de productie...........................................................pag.172
CAPITOLUL 8
Obiectivele gestiunii economico-financiare a firmei...........................................................pag.174
8.1. Functiile de cost de productie........................................................................................pag.175
8.1.1. Functia de cost pe termen lung...................................................................................pag.176
8.1.2. Functia de cost pe termen scurt..................................................................................pag.180
8.2. Modele ale optimului cifrei de afaceri...........................................................................pag.185
8.3. Modele ale optimului valorii întreprinderii...................................................................pag.190
CAPITOLUL 9
Echilibrul pietei perfecte......................................................................................................pag.195
9.1. Functia de oferta............................................................................................................pag.200
9.2. Modelul evaluatorului general.......................................................................................pag.204
9.3. Modelul Cobweb...........................................................................................................pag.208
9.4. Modelul Laffer...............................................................................................................pag.215
CAPITOLUL 10
Componentele financiar-monetare în modelele de crestere economica...............................pag.222
10.1. Conexiunile financiar-monetare în modelul neoclasic................................................pag.225
10.2. Conexiunile financiar-monetare în abordarea keynesista............................................pag.234
Bibliografie...........................................................................................................................pag.250
CAPITOLUL 1
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4
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j = xij / Xj
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n
X i = ∑ x ij + Yi , (1)
j=1
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X = A*X + Y, (3)
în care X = ;i n*1 A= Dij n*n Y= <i n*1,
de unde avem:
X = (E – A) –1 * Y, (4)
–1
în care (E – A) = $ij n*n,
5
n
X i = ∑ A ij * Yj , (5)
j=1
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6
%/5H[LVW YDULDELOHGHWLS x (fluxuri sau produs global ), variabile
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cum sunt sistemul (2) sau (5), ambele de tip nedeterminat având n
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formularea a trei genuri de probleme:
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global
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7
economice deschide un nou orizont de investigare –
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modelului – UHOD LL OHJ WXUL FRQGL LRQ UL OLPLWH – SHUPLW V GH
RE LQ YDORUL QXPHULFH DOH XQRU YDULDELOH UH]XOWDWH ILH GLQ VROX LD
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8
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ar trebui luate.
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HO OH DFFHSW úL SH FDUH VH ED]HD] vQ VWXGLHUHD RELHFWXOXL FHUFHWDW
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9
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de subiect.
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S(iv)
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10
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ipoteze.
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bine teoria.
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11
DSDU HOHPHQWH FH GHS úHVF WHRULD úL FDUH VXQW YHULILFDWH vQ OLPLWHOH
originalului:
Po+1(M) → Po+1(O), Po+2(M) → Po+2(O), …, Po+m(M) → Po+m(O)
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dreptYDODELOHDOHXQRUDGLQQRLOHSURSULHW LGHDH[SOLFDúL
12
CAPITOLUL 2
CLASE DE MODELE
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WULGLPHQVLRQDO ú D P G 5ROXO DFHVWRU PRGHOH HVWH LPSRUWDQW vQ
accesibile etc.
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13
PRGHOH HVWH GH D vQ HOHJH IXQF LRQDUHD RELHFWXOXL VWXGLDW vQ PHGLXO
PDUú OD GLIHULWH UHJLPXUL GH YLWH] vQFRQGL LL PHWHR GLIHULWH YkQW
m1 ∗ m 2
f = (6)
d2
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care nu au nici-R OHJ WXU GLUHFW FX FHO GH FDUH DSDU LQH RELHFWXO
FHUFHW ULL LQL LDOH $VWIHO PRGHOXO HVWH XWLOL]DW úL vQ GRPHQLXO
14
UL UHJLXQL SURYLQFLL GHSDUWDPHQWH MXGH H RUDúH HWF ÌQ DFHVW
UHFLSURFH /D QLYHOXO XQHL UL FRHILFLHQ LL I SRW IL GH H[HPSOX
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loFDOLW L úL SULQ FRQVHFLQ GLUHF LD SRODUL] ULL DFHVWRU OHJ WXUL 3RW
FDUH JUDYLWHD] YLD D HFRQRPLF GLQWU XQ WHULWRULX GDW úL GH
-
asemenea, pot fi identificate, “zonele de polari]DUH´ DOH ILHF UXL
FHQWUHGHSRODUL]DUH
15
b) Aspectul modelului este un criteriu care distinge modele
GHWHUPLQLVWHúLPRGHOHVWRKDVWLFH
realizat prin vinderea unui ziar (b) úL SLHUGHUHD FDX]DW GH
QHYLQGHUHD úL UHVSHFWLY UHWXUQDUHD OD UHGDF LH VDX OD GLVWULEXLWRU D
fie z cu valori [o, Z], z FRQVLGHUDW FXQRVFXW FD úL GLVWULEX LD GH
probabilitate p(z):
p(0) p(1) p( Z)
p(z) =
0 1 Z
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FkúWLJ SRVLELO úL SHQWUX DFHDVWD HO WUHEXLH V GHFLG ]LOQLF QXP UXO
16
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n −1 Z
R (m) = ∑ p(z)[b ∗ z − p ∗ (n − z)]+ ∑ p(z) ∗ b ∗ z (7)
z=0 z=n
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GDU RSHUD LXQHD GH VWRFDUH vQ VLQH SURGXFH FRVWXUL FDUH QX SRW IL
c) Factorul timp HVWH XQ FULWHULX FDUH GLVWLQJH PRGHOH VWDWLFH úL
modele dinamice.
Modelul static este acela în care variabilele nu sunt indexate
temporal sau în care variabilele se definesc independent de timp.
$FFHS LXQHD RSHUD LRQDO HVWH F vQ DFHVW PRGHO QX H[LVW UHOD LL
17
³SHVWHWLPS´vQWUHYDULDELOHOHVDOH 'HH[HPSOXUHOD LDGH VWUXFWXU
DYHQLWXOXLQD LRQDO
Y=C+S (8)
în care Y este venitul, C – FRQVXPXO úL 6 – economiile, este o
UHOD LHSUHVXSXV DILDGHY UDW LQGLIHUHQWGHPRPHQWXOGHUHIHULQ
YDULDELOHOHDGLF V VFULHP
Yt = Ct + St t = 1,2,…,T (8.1)
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GH DVHPHQHD F UHOD LD QX HVWH ³SHVWH WLPS´ DGLF QX OHDJ GRX
FRQGL LLOHXQHLHFRQRPLLvQFKLVH0RGHOXOFXSULQGH
• HFXD LDVWUXFWXULLYHQLWXOXL
Yt = Ct + St (9)
• HFXD LDGHHFKLOLEUXPDFURHFRQRPLF
18
St = It (10)
• HFXD LDFRQVXPXOXL
Ct = α ∗ Yt (11)
• HFXD LDLQYHVWL LLORU
FDUH HVWH YDORDUHD LQYHVWL LHL FDUH DVLJXU FUHúWHUHD FX R XQLWDWH D
venitului IYúLDQXPH
β
I Y = Yt / Yt −1 = (13.1)
α + β −1
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19
1− α
rY = I Y − 1 = , (13.2)
α + β −1
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GLUHFWSURSRU LRQDOFXUDWDHFRQRPLVLULL
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α+β-1>0 (13.3)
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stare de la momentul t:
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20
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21
f) Gradul de generalitate este un criteriu ce distinge modele
generale – UHIHULWRDUH OD DQVDPEOXO XQXL VLVWHP VWXGLDW úL
$FHDVWD vQVHDPQ F VLVWHPXO 6 HVWH FXQRVFXW DIL DOF WXLW GLQWU -un
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i,j = 1,2,…,n. Într-R DERUGDUH PDL FRPSOH[ VH SRDWH FRQVLGHUD F
quartet etc.
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vQ FDUH FHO GH UHIHULQ VH UHJ VHúWH FD R FRPSRQHQW LDU
subsistemul este sistemXO FH HVWH LQFOXV vQ FHO GH UHIHULQ FD XQD
22
D UHOD LLORU LQFOXVH QDWXUD YDULDELOHORU PRGXO GH construire, modul
GHWUDWDUHDUHDOLW LLúD
Macrosistem
Sistem R
SA
1
3
SC
2
SB
subsistem (1,2,3)
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n –QXP UXOGHVRUWLPHQWHIDEULFDWH
23
i – indice pentru identificarea resursei (i = 1,2,…,m)
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xj –FDQWLWDWHDGHSURGXF LHSHQWUXVRUWLPHQWXOM
aij –FRQVXPXOVSHFLILFGHUHVXUV i pentru sortimentul j
bi –YROXPXOGLVSRQLELOSHQWUXIDEULFD LHGLQUHVXUVDL
xjmin – FDQWLWDWHD PLQLP DFFHSWDW D VH IDEULFD GLQ
sortimentul j
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sortimentul j
(xjmin ≥ 0, xjmax ≥ 0, xjmin < xjmax)
&XDFHVWHQRWD LLPRGHOXOVHSRDWHVFULH
n
max ∑ c j ∗ x j (14)
j=1
UHVWULF LLOHGHIDEULFD LH
∑a
j=1
ij ∗ x j ≤ bi , i = 1,2,…,m (15)
FRQGL LLVXSOLPHQWDUH
24
Modelul este simbolic (matematic), determinist, static, de
decizie, microeconomiFSDU LDOÌQSOXVVHPDLSRDWHDG XJDF HVWH
deosebit.
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*
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contractele de aprovizionare.
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(14) – (16)).
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25
m
min ∑ b i ∗ x i (17)
i =1
∑a
i =1
ij ∗ xi ≥ cj , j = 1,2,…,n (18)
DOH F UHL VROX LL [i UHSUH]LQW ³SUH XULOH XPEU ´ DOH VXUVHORU
respectiv cuantumul cX FDUH DU SXWHD FUHúWH YDORDUHD IXQF LHL VFRS
primare c* în cazul în care volumul disponibil din resursa iDUFUHúWH
FXRXQLWDWH$FHVW³SUH ´HYLGHQWQXHVWHXQSUH GHSLD SHUPLWH
LHUDUKL]DUHD LPSRUWDQ HL UHVXUVHORU vQ FD]XO GDW FD úL GHWHUPLQDUHD
3UHVXSXQHP F XQD GLQ UHVWULF LL ILH b m1 VH UHIHU OD FRQVXPXO GH
YDORDUHD SURGXF LHL PDUI úL F D IRVW OXDW GHFL]LD SURJUDPXOXL GH
* *
SURGXF LH [j ÌQ DFHVW FD] YDORDUHD SURGXF LHL PDUI HVWH F , iar
FRQVXPXO GH HQHUJLH HOHFWULF DIHUHQW HVWH b*m1 . Decidentul ar
26
HOHFWULF úL DVWD FX DWkW PDL PXOW FX FkW HQHUJLD HOHFWULF DU IL R
UHVXUV VFXPS 3HQWUX D RE LQH DVWIHO GH LQIRUPD LL VH UH]ROY R
UHVWULF LLOH «P1 +1, m1+1, m1« P DU U PkQH DFHOHDúL FD úL
FRQGL LLOH VXSOLPHQWDUH úL V DU DG XJD vQ SOXV R UHVWULF LH
-
SULYLQGSURGXF LDPDUI
∑c
j =1
j ∗ xj > 0 (15.1)
**
6ROX LDDFHVWHLSUREOHPHDUIL[j , care ar da o valoare bm**1 a
c** − c*
e= (20)
b∗m1 − b*m*1
27
care DUDW FH YDORDUH GH SURGXF LH PDUI VH SLHUGH SHQWUX FD]XO
XQLWDU
PLQLPL]DUHDFRQVXPXOXLGHHQHUJLHHOHFWULF 8QDVWIHOGH³UHJUHW´
28
CAPITOLUL 3
MODELAREA ÎN TEORIA
ù,35$&7,&$),1$1 (/25
ILQDQ HORU GH LQVWUXPHQWHOH úL WHKQLFLOH GH OXFUX SH FDUH OH
XQLL ILOR]RIL úL LVWRULFL DL úWLLQ HL SRWULYLW F UHLD R úWLLQ vúL
DWXQFL FkQG SRDWH GHILQL úL FDQWLWDWLY FRQFHSWHOH FX FDUH RSHUHD]
FD úL UHOD LLOH SH FDUH OH SUHVXSXQH vQWUH IHQRPHQHOH VDX SURFHVHOH
GLQVIHUDVDGHSUHRFXS UL
29
general, a fi parcurs trei mari etape:
a) în anii ’70 – ¶ DL VHF ;,; VH FRQWXUHD] VSHFLDOL]DUHD
dedicate;
b) SkQ vQ DQLL ¶ – ¶ DL VHF ;; XUPHD] R SHULRDG OHQW GH
VLQHVW W WRDUHúLGHFRQVWLWXLUHDXQHLPHWRGRORJLLVSHFLILFH
metodologiei de cercetare.
3HULRDGD GH SkQ OD ILQHOH VHF ;,; – începutul sec. XX
HVWH R SHULRDG GH DFXPXO UL FDQWLWDWLYH úL GH VSHFLDOL]DUH
LVWRULFL DL úWLLQ HORU DL ILQDQ HORU vQ SDUWLFXODU vQWU -o diviziune de
RUGLQXO ,, DGLF R GLYL]LXQH FDUH SURGXFH LQGLYLGXDOL] UL vQ FDGUXO
XQRU LQIRUPD LL QXPHULFH IDSW FDUH GHFODQúHD] XQ SURFHV GH
LQRYD LH úL SUHFL]LH WHUPLQRORJLF GDU úL XQXO GH DGDSW UL
30
GHFDOFXODO GREkQ]LL úLDO SULPHORU GHDVLJXUDUH OHJDWH SXWHUQLF GH
SUHOXFUDUHD LQIRUPD LHL QXPHULFH DX FRQGXV OD DSDUL LD úL
GH]YROWDUHDXQRUFDSLWROHvQPDWHPDWLFLDúDFXPVXQWPDWHPDWLFLOH
VSXQH F HUD IRUPXODW GRDU PRGHOXO GREkQ]LL VLPSOH úL FHO DO
dobânzii compuse.
3HULRDGD GH SkQ vQ DQLL ¶ – ’60 ai sec. XX este o
SHULRDG GH GHOLPLW UL FDOLWDWLYH )LQDQ HOH VH GH]YROW FD R úWLLQ
GH OXFUX ÌQ FH SULYHúWH PHWRGRORJLD VH SURGXFH XQ DQXPLW JHQ GH
LQIRUPD LHL QXPHULFH DGLF VH H[WLQG PXOW XWLO izarea tabelelor
QXPHULFH D FDOFXOHORU WDEHODWH ÌQ SXEOLFLVWLF VH SURGXF DSDUL LL
/D QLYHOXO YkUIXOXL FHUFHW ULL VH SURGXFH WUHFHUHD GH OD
31
lor în arealul economic la formarea unei teorii distincte a unor
DVWIHO GH FKHVWLXQL GDU QHL]RODW FL LQWHJUDW vQ WHRULD HFRQRPLF
GH -0 .H\QHV GH OD ³7UDWDW GHVSUH PRQHG ´ – 1930) la
³7UDWDW GHVSUH GREkQG úL RFXSDUHD IRU HL GH PXQF ´
FHUFHWDUH HFRQRPLF vúL GRYHGLVH OLPLWHOH PDL DOHV SUDFWLFH GDU úL
FX PDUHD FUL] – GHFODQúDW SULQ FUDKXO ILQDQFLDU GLQ
32
FRQVLGHU ILH HQGRJHQL PRGHOXOXL vQ EXQ SDUWH ILH H[RJHQL XQLL
GLQWUHDFHúWLD
IRORVLQG FHOH GRX IXQF LL VH RE LQH UDWD GH HFKLOLEUX D GREkQ]LL
• DWUDF LD VSUH LQYHVWL LL GHVFUHúWH RGDW FX FUHúWHUHD UDWHL
LDU SH GH DOW SDUWH VH VFKLPE UDSRUWXO ULVFFkúWLJ vQ
GHIDYRDUHDLQYHVWL LHL
33
• DWUDF LD VSUH HFRQRPLVLUH FUHúWH RGDW FX FUHúWHUHD UDWHL
Lo = Lo(SR) (24)
$FHDVW DERUGDUH D HFKLOLEUXOXL HFRQRPLF XWLOL]HD]
GHS úLUHD HL vQ FD]XO vQ FDUH V DU IL GHFODQúDW 3H GH DOW SDUWH
-
DFHDVW DERUGDUH IDFH WUHFHUHD vQ SODQXO PHWRGRORJLHL F WUH
34
GH]YROWDUHD XWLOL] ULL ORU FDUH VH SURGXF vQ OHJ WXU GLUHFW FX
ILQDQ HORU
RSWLPL]DUHDSRUWRIROLXOXLGHDFWLYHú a.
3UREOHPDWLFD FRQFHSWXDO GHILQL LL FXDQWLILF UL HWF
VWUXFWXUDW LQL LDO SH DF LXQL úL REOLJD LXQL LDU PDL WkU]LX úL SH
RS LXQL VXQW DERUGDWH GH +HQU\ 0DUFRYLW] vQ úL DSRL
GHSHQGHQ HL IXQF LRQDOH vQWUH FHL GRL WHUPHQL úL FDUH D U PDV vQ
6& PDL H[DFW FRVWXO SH FDUH vO VXSRUW UHVSHFWLYD 6& SHQWUX
35
distinct) sub forma teoremei mai sus meQ LRQDWH
3° PRGHOXO IXQGDPHQWDO DO SLH HL GH FDSLWDO FDUH SHUPLWH
HYDOXDUHDSUH XOXLDFWLYHORUSHDFHDVW SLD
FRQWULEX LHL OXL :LOOLDP 6KDUSH SULQ OXFUDUHD ³0RGHOXO SLH HL GH
capital” úL FDUH D U PDV FXQRVFXW vQ WHRULD ILQDQ HORU FD
VLPSOLILFDW GH F WUH %ODFN úL R IRUP ELQRPLDO GH
F WUH-RKQ&R[6HEDVWLDQ5RVVúL0DUN5XELQVWHLQ
36
0RGHOXO D IRVWIRUPXODW GH 6WDQOH\ 5RVV úL UHSUH]LQW
LQGLFDWRUL FDOLWDWLYL GH WLS UDW FDOFXOD L SH ED]D GDWHORU ILQDQFLDU -
FRQWDELOHGHELODQ VDXDDOWRULQIRUPD LLDYkQGDFHVWFRQ L nut. Unul
VDX PDL PXO L LQGLFDWRUL FDOLILF R DQXPLW FDUDFWHULVWLF D VW ULL
economico-ILQDQFLDUHDILUPHLFDUHSRDWHILDVWIHOHYDOXDW FDOLWDWLY
vQPRGVHFYHQ LDOúLDSRLSHWRWDO
UHVXUVH ILQDQFLDUH úL FDUH SHUPLWH H[SOLFDUHD WLSXOXL GH HILFLHQ SH
FDUH R RE LQH XQ DJHQW HFRQRPLF GDW GDU úL FRQWULEX LD úL
FRPSRUWDPHQWXO OXL GH IDFWXU UD LRQDO vQ FRQGL LLOH H[LVWHQ HL
37
3.1. Modelul costului capitalului
GLYLGHQGXO HVWLPDW DUH R UDW GH G3 GH UHJXO G3 < d2);
ponderea acestei surse în totalul capitalului SC este p3;
• vPSUXPXWEDQFDUSHQWUXFDUHGREkQGDUHDO SO WLW HVWHGHG4 %;
ponderea acestei surse în totalul capitalului este p4.
127 VH DVXP F VXUVHOH GH FDSLWDO VXQW H[FOXVLYH DGLF
∑p
i =1
i =1
38
Tabelul 1
Nr. Sursa Costul 3RQGHUHVXUV Cost ponderat
crt. capitalului capital în total capital al capitalului
1. împrumut obligatar d1 p1 d1 * p1
2. DF LXQLSUHIHUHQ LDOH d2 p2 d2 * p2
3. DF LXQLRUGLQDUH d3 p3 d3 * p3
4. împrumut bancar d4 p4 d4 * p4
COST MEDIU AL 4
CAPITALULUI (CMC) - - ∑d
i =1
i pi
În general avem:
n n
CMC = ∑ d i ∗ p i cu ∑p i =1 (25)
i =1 i =1
ILHF UHL VXUVH GH FDSLWDO 1H YRP UHIHUL VXFFLQW OD GHWHUPLQDUHD
GREkQ]LLUHDOHúLDUDWHLGHGLYLGHQG
1 + dn
dr = −1 (26)
IGP
XQGH ,*3 UHSUH]LQW LQGLFHOH JHQHUDO DO SUH XULORU úL VH FDOFXOHD]
astfel:
IGP = 1 + ri (26.1)
39
În determinarea ratei reale a dobânzii, pentru cazul când
YDORULOHUDWHORUQRPLQDO DGREkQ]LLúLLQIOD LHLDXYDORULPLFLSkQ
dr = dn – ri (26.2)
ÌQ DFHODúL WLPS SHQWUXFDOFXOH PDL ULJXURDVH WUHEXLHDYX L vQ
YHGHUH úL DO L IDFWRUL JHQHUDOL GH FRVWXUL FXP VXQW SULPHOH GH
UDPEXUVDUHFRPLVLRDQHOHVSH]HOHEDQFDUHúD
GLQWUH DF LRQDUL ,QWHUYLQ DVWIHO PRGHOHOH úL PHWRGHOH GH SUHGLF LH D
UDSRUW FX SUH XULOH GH SH SLD D ILQDQFLDU PRQHWDU úL vQ UDSRUW FX
-
HILFLHQ D XWLOL] ULL FDSLWDOXOXL XWLOL]DUH DERUGDW FD SURFHV
iQYHVWL LRQDO
40
ÌQ FH SULYHúWH VLWXDUHD ID GH SUH XULOH SLH HL ILQDQFLDU -
PRQHWDUHHVWHHYLGHQW UHOD LD
CMC ∈ min d i ; max d i (27)
i i
FHHD FH ULGLF SUREOHPD RSRUWXQLW LL GLQDPLFH D VWUXFWXULL
−1 t2
∑ I t (1 + d) −t = ∑ FFPt (1 + d) −t ,
t = − t1 t =1
(28)
It FXDQWXPXOLQYHVWL LHLvQDQXOW
41
IOX[XUL ILQDQFLDUH SR]LWLYH ÌQ P VXUD vQ FDUH &0& < d, structura
FDSLWDOXOXLHVWHFRQYHQDELO vQUDSRUWFXHILFLHQ DVD
(t = 0).
respectiv.
5HQWDELOLWDWHD XQXL DFWLY vQ WHUPHQL DEVROX L LD IRUPD
FkúWLJXOXL JHQHUDW GH SRVHVLD DFWLYXOXL FkúWLJ & FDUH DUH GRX
42
B
V= (29.2)
d
&RPSDUD LD 9 YHUVXV 3 G R LPDJLQH GHVSUH HILFLHQ D
LQYHVWLULL UHVSHFWLY SRVHVLHL úL H[SORDW ULL DFWLYXOXL vQ FDX] FDUH
GLQWUHFDUHUH LQHP
r=B/P (29.3)
$FHDVWD vQWUHJHúWH LPDJLQHD GHVSUH HILFLHQ D LQYHVWL LHL GH
de mediul economic;
ii. HVWH SRVLELO HVWLPDUHD SUREDELOLW LL DSDUL LHL ILHF UHLD GLQ
vPSUHMXU ULOHSRVLELOHDILJHQHUDWHGHPHGLXOHFRQRPLF
43
FUL] SLHUGHUHGHYLWH] HWF
n QXP UXO GH vPSUHMXU UL SH FDUH OH SRDWH JHQHUD PHGLXO úL FDUH
n n
r = ∑ p j ∗ rj cu ∑p j =1 (30)
j=1 i =1
DVWIHO vQFkW SUREDELOLW LOH Si VXQW DFHOHDúL vQ FDOFXOXO UHQWDELOLW LL
44
vPSUHMXU UL GDWH FRQWULEX LD DFWLYXOXL
j i la rentabilitatea medie a
portofoliului este pi* pj * rij LDU UHQWDELOLWDWHD PDUJLQDO D
dispersie UHOD LH DO F UHL FRQ LQXW HVWH vPSU úWLHUHD YDORULORU
SRVLELOH vQ MXUXO PHGLHL FX FkW DFHDVWD HVWH PDL PLF FX DWkW
³VXUSUL]H´ GHFkW vQ PLF P VXU 3HQWUX XQ DFWLY ILQDQFLDU DFHDVWD
LQYHVWLWRU GHRDUHFH HO VH YD DU WD VDX QX LQWHUHVDW GH UHVSHFWLYXO
activ în IXQF LH GH FRPSRUWDPHQWXO V X PDL H[DFW GH DYHUVLXQHD
GHDFWLYHOHFXGLVSHUVLHPLF vQILJGHWLSXO
45
• GDF DUHDWUDF LHID GHULVFLQYHVWLWRUXOVHYDDU WDLQWHUHVDWGH
1
r
p2 p1 p
2
r r
)LJ'HSHQGHQ DUHQWDELOLWDWHU – risc (V)
r
3HQWUX H[SUHVLD FDQWLWDWLY D ULVFXOXL VH XWLOL]HD] DEDWHUHD
n
σ= ∑ p (r
j=1
j j − r) (33)
46
PHQWUX FDUDFWHUL]DUHD XQXL DFWLY RDUHFDUH GXS FULWHULXO
GH VHSDUD LH FDUH SHUPLWH GHOLPLWDUHD XQRU ]RQH GH LQYHVWL LH
YkQ] UL GH DFWLYH vQ IXQF LH GH UHQWDELOLWDWHD úL ULVFXO ORU 3H ED]D
DFHVWHL WHRUHPH VH FRQVWUXLHúWH GUHDSWD GH VLJXUDQ D SLH HL 60/
0RGHOXOGHHYDOXDUHDRS LXQLORU
Bursa din Chicago în anii 1971 – ÌQ (XURSD RS LXQLOH DX
DS UXW OD %XUVD GLQ /RQGUD vQ GXS FDUH V DX U VSkQGLW UDSLG
-
úLODDOWHEXUVH$FHVWLQVWUXPHQWILQDQFLDUDUHDQWHFHGHQWHvQLVWRULD
47
VXEQXPHOHGHDUYXQ VDXPDLUHFHQWDFRQW
2S LXQHD HVWH XQ FRQWUDFW FDUH SHUPLWH FD OD XQ WHUPHQ
YLLWRU VWDELOLW V SRDW IL FXPS UDWYkQGXW XQ VWRF GH DF LXQL OD XQ
VLPXOWDQFDUDFWHUIDFXOWDWLYúLREOLJDWRULX
SULPDGHRS LXQH
UHPXQHUDWSHQWUXDFHVWVHUYLFLXSULQSULPDGHRS LXQH
FXPS UDUHDYkQ]DUHD ORU ÌQ FD]XO vQ FDUH UHQXQ OD ILQDOL]DUHD
48
• nivelulSUH XOXLGHFRWDUHSFDODF LXQLORUODWHUPHQ
• QLYHOXOSUH XOXLGHH[HUFL LX
• QLYHOXOSULPHLGHRS LXQH
pe + po ~ pc (34)
'DF FRQWUDFWXO HVWH GH FXPS UDUH QXPLW &$// DWXQFL
DYDQWDMXOEHQHILFLDUXOXLDSDUHvQVLWXD LDvQFDUH
pe + po < pc (35)
úL HYLGHQW DFHVWD YD GRUL V -l finalizeze, realizând uQ FkúWLJ & GH
P ULPH
VDX OXQL $YkQG vQ YHGHUH GHFDODMXO GH WLPS P ULPHD UHDO D
FkúWLJXOXL VH GHWHUPLQ SULQ FRUHOD LD FX IDFWRUXO WLPS IRORVLQG FD
UDW GH DFWXDOL]DUH UD UDWD GREkQ]LL SH SLD D EDQFDU VDX WD[D GH
QHJDWLY DGLF VH VXSRUW R SLHUGHUH GH P ULPH –C. În acest caz,
FRPSRUWDPHQWXO V X YLV -à-vis de finalizarea contractului poate fi
QXDQ DWSRUQLQGGHODUDSRUWXOGHP ULPHvQWUHSLHUGHUHúLSULPDGH
49
RS LXQH
ILGHP ULPHDSR – C.
'DF FRQWUDFWXO HVWH GH YkQ]DUH QXPLW 387 DWXQFL
DYDQWDMXOEHQHILFLDUXOXLDSDUHvQVLWXD LDvQFDUH
pe + po > pc (36)
úL HYLGHQW DFHVWD YD GRUL V -O ILQDOL]H]H UHDOL]kQG XQ FkúWLJ & GH
P ULPH
XQHLVROX LLSULYLQGPRGLILFDUHDVWUXFWXULLXQXLSRUWRIROLXGHDFWLYH
comSRQHQWHvQVHQVXOLQWURGXVSULQUHOD LD
50
ÌQ PRGHOXO 6KDUSH SUH XO XQXL DFWLY SH SLD D FDSLWDOXULORU
HVWH HYDOXDW OXkQG vQ FRQVLGHUDUH UHQWDELOLWDWHD vQ FRQGL LL GH ULVF
DGLF SUHVXSXQkQGXQVLQJXUIDFWRUGHLQIOXHQ
K
ri = ai + ∑b
k =1
ik ⋅ Fk + ε i , i = 1,2,…, m (37)
Fk P ULPHDIDFWRUXOXLGHLQIOXHQ N
activului i
bik FRHILFLHQW GH LQWHQVLWDWH D LQIOXHQ HL factorului k în
cazul activului i
i = factor de abatere
&RHILFLHQWXO GH LQWHQVLWDWH DUH VHPQLILFD LD GH ³PDUJLQDO´
vQFDUHIDFWRUXONVHPRGLILF FXRXQLWDWHDVWIHOF
bik = ∂ ri / ∂ Fk (37.1)
3HQWUX EXQD IXQF LRQDUH D PRGHOXOXL VH LPSXQ FkWHYD
51
− QXP UXO GH REVHUYD LL SHQWUX GHWHUPLQDUHD FRHILFLHQ LORU D úL E
WHQGLQ DGHGHSHQGHQ
− QXP UXO GH DFWLYH GLQ SRUWRIROLX P WUHEXLH V ILH PXOW PDL
PDUHGHFkWQXP UXOIDFWRULORUGHLQIOXHQ .
m K
rp = ∑ p i ∗ (a i + ∑ b ik ∗ Fk + ε i ) (38)
i =1 k =1
DVHP Q WRDUH UHOD LHL LDU Si S VWUHD] VHPQLILFD LD GLQ DFHDVW
VROX LL DOH DFHVWXL PRGHO úL VXQW LQWURGXVH SULQ P ULPLOH Zi ,
UHSUH]HQWkQGYDULD LDSRQGHULLDFWLYXOXLLGXS VFKLPEDUHDVWUXFWXULL
wi = pi – p’I (39)
'DF Zi > UH]XOW F V D UHQXQ DW WRWDO VDX SDU LDO OD
-
activul i DGLF V DX I FXW YkQ] UL GLQ DFHVW DFWLY GDF Zi
- < 0
UH]XOW F V -a majorat cota activului ivQWRWDOSRUWRIROLXDGLF V -au
I FXWDFKL]L LLGLQDFHVWDFWLY
m
CaracteristicD SUREOHPHLGH DUELWUDM HVWH F
∑w
i =1
i = 0 úL HVWH
52
OLPLW vQVHDPQ F XQ DJHQW HFRQRPLF I U D IDFH SODVDPHQWH
0RGHOXOGHDUELWUDMSHSLD DYDOXWDU
YRU IL HIHFWXDWH WUDQ]DF LL GH YDOXWH 'H DVHPHQHD SUHVXSXQH
GHP ULPH9 ∗ V ∗ B.
53
&RQGL LDGHDFWLYDUHDPRGHOXOXLHVWHIL[DUHDYDOXWHLFXFDUH
VH vQFHS WUDQ]DF LLOH úL EXUVD XQGH GHEXWHD] DFHVWH WUDQ]DF LL
DGLF VXFFHVLXQHD vQ FDUH GHFXUJ WUDQ]DF LLOH OD GLIHULWH EXUVH úL FH
YLQGH úL FH YDOXW VH FXPS U 6ROX LRQDUHD HVWH DVHP Q WRDUH
FLvOvPSUXPXW GHODREDQF
5DWDGHUHQWDELOLWDWHDRSHUD LXQLLGHDUELWUDMHVWH
SF − SI
r= (40)
SI
unde SF = suPDILQDO RE LQXW vQXUPDRSHUD LXQLLGHDUELWUDM
54
3HQWUX H[HPSOLILFDUH V SUHVXSXQHP F IL[ P ³WHDWUXO GH
RSHUD LXQL´ OD EXUVHOH PHQ LRQDWH vQ WDEHOXO úL F XUP ULP V
DUELWU P GH GRO ari americani (USD), prin intermediul lirei
VWHUOLQH*%3IUDQFXOXLIUDQFH])5)úLIUDQFXOXLHOYH LDQ68)
WUDQ]DF LRQHD] DOWH YDOXWH GHFkW FHOH VSHFLILFDWH vQ DFHODúL WDEHO
Tabelul 2
BURSA Cursul de schimb
Amsterdam (A) 1 GBP = 1,60 USD
Paris (P) 1 FRF = 0,18 USD
1 SUF = 3,36 FRF
Zürich (Z) 1 GBP = 8,95 FRF
1 SUF = 0,60 USD
5H]XOWDWHOHRE LQXWHSULQDFHVWDUELWUDMVXQWGDWHvQWDEHOXO
Tabelul 4
Traseu Rezultat (USD) Rentabilitatea
arbitrajului (r)
a - 68,28 - 0,68 %
b + 68,75 + 0,69 %
c + 80,00 + 0,8 %
d + 11,17 + 0,11 %
55
ÌQ FHHD FH SULYHúWH SULPD GLQWUH SUREOHPHOH DGLDFHQWH
PHQ LRQDWH PDL VXV VH SRW LGHQWLILFD VFKLPE UL XQLFH GH FXUV VDX
VFKLPE ULVLPXOWDQHDOHPDLPXOWRUFXUVXUL
$UELWUDMXOQXPDLDUHVHQVGHRDUHFHHIHFWXOV XHVWHQHJDWLY
$PVWHUGDP *%3 DU FUHúWH FX FXUV 86' OD =ULFK
*%3 DU VFDGH FX FXUV )5) úL OD 3DULV )5) DU
FUHúWH FXUV 86' úL 68) HFKLYDOHQW FX 68)
)5) (YLGHQW SRW IL LGHQWLILFDWH úL DOWH PRGLILF UL VLPXOWDQH
56
GREkQG SH FDUH O -ar putea accepta agentul economic, în cea mai
IDYRUDELO VLWXD LHSHQWUXHOWUDVHXO c), ar fi maxim 80 USD (10080
rezultatul arbitrajului – VXPD OXDW FX vPSUXPXW 5 ata
DIHUHQW GH GREkQG HVWH GH FHHD FH vQVHDPQ DQXDOL]DW
$FHVW SUDJ IRDUWH ULGLFDW DO GREkQ]LL FUHHD] R PDUM GH
LQWHUHVDQW XQ FkúWLJ PLF FKLDU vQ FRQGL LLOH OX ULL FX vPSUXPXW D
cDSLWDOXOXL GH SRUQLUH ÌQ UHDOLWDWH PDUMD VH UHVWUkQJH PXOW GDWRULW
IDSWXOXL F RSHUD LXQHD QX VH SRDWH ILQDOL]D GHFkW vQ PLQLP GH
RUH FHHD FH vQMXP W HúWH PDUMD GH PDQHYU LDU SH GH DOW SDUWH
FRQGL LLOH OX ULL FX vPSUXPXW D FDSLWDOXOXL GH SRUQLUH úL I U D LQH
UHOD LD
d∗n
r= , (41)
360
unde: G UDWDDQXDOL]DW DGREkQ]LLH[SULPDW vQSURFHQWH
57
FRPLVLRDQHOHúLVSH]HOHEDQFDUHH[SULPDWHSURFHQWXDOILHFDWXQFL
( d + c) ∗ n
r= (41.1)
360(1 − t )
0RQGLDOL]DUHD SLH HL YDOXWDUH vQ FRQGL LLOH LQIRUPDWL] ULL
DFFHVXOUDSLGIDFLOúLTXDVLXQLYHUVDOODLQIRUPD LHSOXVGLPLQXDUHD
WLPSLORU GH RSHUDUH úL DOH H[LVWHQ HL RSHUD LLORU GH D rbitraj au avut
FD HIHFW DFFHQWXDUHD LQWHUFROHU ULL FXUVXULORU GLIHULWHORU YDOXWH OD
SULQFLSDOHOHEXUVHYDOXWDUHGDUúLODPDUHDPDMRULWDWHDE QFLORUFD
úL LQL LHUHD RSHUD LXQLORU FRQMXJDWH DOH E QFLORU FHQWUDOH DOH
SUHGLOHF LHSHQWUXDFHOHYDOXWHFXLPSDFWPDMRUSHSODQPRQGLDO
0RGHOXOGHDUELWUDMSHSLD DPRQHWDU
GLIHULWHORU YDOXWH FX UDWHOH GH GREkQG SHQWUX GHSR]LWH OD WHUPHQ
VWU LQH GH GLIHULWH E QFL VDX vQ GLIHULWH UL 8Q DJHQW HFRQRPLF
poate DVWIHO V SUHLD XQ FUHGLW vQWU R YDOXW RDUHFDUH vO FRQYHUWHúWH
-
58
la vedere într-R DOW YDOXW SHQWUX FDUH HVWH QHJRFLDW XQ FXUV OD
WHUPHQ úL FUHHD] XQ GHSR]LW EDQFDU vQ DFHDVW D GRXD YDOXW
UHIDFH vQ VHQV LQYHUV ³WUDVHXO´ LQL LDO úL FkúWLJ GLIHUHQ D SHVWH
PXOW SUREOHPH FRQH[H DGLDFHQWH SULYLQG VHQVXO úL P VXUD vQ FDUH
HVWHLQIOXHQ DWDUELWUDMXOGDF
de pornire;
− VHVFXPSHúWHVHLHIWLQHúWHFUHGLWXOSHSLD DYDOXWHLGHSRUQLUH
− VHVFXPSHúWHVHLHIWLQHúWHFUHGLWXOSHSLD DYDOXWHLPLMORFLWRDUH
− SH SLD D DPHULFDQ UDWD GREkQ]LL OD FUHGLWHOH vQ 86' SH OXQL
este d1 = 4%;
− SH SLD D JHUPDQ UDWD dobânzii la depozitele în DEM pe 3 luni
este d2 = 8%;
− FXUVXO GH VFKLPE OD YHGHUH DO P UFLL FY HVWH 86'
59
ÌQ DFHVW FD] 86' HVWH YDOXWD GH SRUQLUH úL SLD D PRQHWDU
DPHULFDQ HVWH SLD D HL LDU '(0 HVWH YDOXWD PLMORFLWRDUH úL SLD D
PRQHWDU JHUPDQ HVWH SLD D HL $UELWUDMXO SUHVXSXQH RSHUD LXQL SH
a) SHSLD DDPHULFDQ
RSHUD LXQHD E RE LQkQGX VH R VXP vQ GRODUL &$86' FD
-
rezultat al arbitrajului
CAUSD = CDEMt : ct = 1.013.245 USD
60
c) SHSLD DDPHULFDQ
rentabilitatea r:
B = CAUSD – CUSD = + 3.245 USD
r = B/CUSD = 0,325%
'HREVHUYDWF P ULPHDvQWHUPHQLDQXDOL]D LDUHQWDELOLW LL
este de 1,298%.
ÌQ FH SULYHúWH SUREOHPHOH DGLDFHQWH DYHP XUP WRDUHOH
rezultate:
− DEM are la vedere un curs (cv’) mai mic/mai mare decât cel
SUHVXSXVvQSUREOHP
61
d’2 < d1 → %¶%úLU¶ r
3RUQLQG GH OD UHOD LD FDUH G P ULPHD EHQHILFLXOXL vQWU -o
RSHUD LXQH GH DUELWUDM SH SLD D PRQHWDU F úL GH OD UHOD LLOH GH
ckúWLJXOXLPRQHWDUE
cv d ∗t d ∗t
b= (1 + 2 ) − (1 + 1 ) (42)
ct 12 12
astfel încât:
B = b * CI, (42.1)
vQ FDUH QRWD LLOH vúL S VWUHD] FRQ LQXWXO SUHFL]DW PDL VXV GDU vQ
RSHUD LXQHD
QX DUH QLFL R LQIOXHQ GH IRQG FL GRDU XQD G e dimensiune a
FXDQWXPXOXL FkúWLJXOXL 'H DVHPHQHD H[SULPDUHD VFDGHQ HL VH
SRDWH IDFH vQ RULFH DOW IUDF LXQH GH DQ ]L V SW PkQ vQ FDUH FD]
vQ OXQL GHRDUHFH HVWH FHD PDL X]XDO vQ GHILQLUHD RSHUD LXQLORU SH
62
cv 12 + d 1 ∗ t
> (42.2)
ct 12 + d 2 ∗ t
În cazul numeric presupus avem 0,99 33 77 4 > 0,98 36 60
3H ED]D DFHVWHLFRQGL LL SRW IL IRUPXODWH SUREOHPH GH ³SUDJ´ GH
WLSXO FDUH HVWH FXUVXO ODWHUPHQ PD[LP FDUH DU IDFH FD RSHUD LXQHD
GH DUELWUDM V DLE UH]XOWDW IDYRUDELO vQ FRQGL LLOH vQ FDUH FHLODO L
parametriL VXQWFXQRVFX L VDX FDUH HVWH UDWD PLQLP D GREkQ]LL SH
SLD D OD WHUPHQ D YDOXWHL PLMORFLWRDUH FDUH IDFH FD RSHUD LXQHD GH
DUELWUDM V DLE UH]XOWDW IDYRUDELO vQ FRQGL LLOH vQ FDUH FHLODO L
'(0V ILHGHPLQLP
penWUXRULFH6&vQWUXFkWUHIOHFW FRUHODUHDUHVXUVHORUFXQHYRLOHILH
63
SXQFWLIRUP OD XQ PRPHQW GDW ILH FD YDULD LH D DFHVWRUD SH
64
GHSHQGHQ HLFLIUHLGHDIDFHUL –IDFWRULGHLQIOXHQ FRVWXUL – factori
GH LQIOXHQ 3UDJXO GH UHQWDELOLWDWH HVWH vQ HOHV FD DFHO YROXP
QLYHO GH SURGXF LH ILH 4 SHQWUX Fare profitul este nul. În model
sunt incluse:
− IXQF LDGHYHQLW
CA = CA (p (D/S), Q) (43.1)
− IXQF LDGHFRVW
CT = CT (Q) (43.2)
− IXQF LDGHVWUXFWXU DFRVWXOXL
CF = CT (0) (43.3)
CV = CT (Q) – CT (0) (43.4)
CVM = CV / Q (43.5)
− UHOD LDGHH[SUHVLHDSURILWXOXL
PT = CA – CT, (43.6)
unde: CA = cifra de afaceri
p SUH XOXQLWDUGHYkQ]DUHDSURGXF LHL
D FHUHUHDSLH HL
S RIHUWDGHSLD
Q YROXPXOSURGXF LHLIDEULFDWH
65
CVM = costuri variabile medii
'DF vQ UHOD LD LQHP VHDPD GH – úL GH
PRGXOGHGHILQLUHDSUDJXOXLGHUHQWDELOLWDWHSXWHPV VFULHP
PT = PT (p (D / S), Q) = 0, (43.7)
de unde expresia pragului de rentabilitate este:
Q = [PT]-1 (p (D / S), 0) (44)
'HRDUHFHGHUHJXO IXQF LD&7QXHVWHRIXQF LHOLQLDU úL
DFHVWOXFUXHVWHIRDUWHSUREDELOúLSHQWUXIXQF LD&$HVWHSRVLELOFD
YDORDUHD OXL 4 GLQ V QX ILH XQLF DVWIHO vQFkW VH SRDWH YRUEL
CA = p ∗ Q (45.1)
CT = CF + CVM ∗ Q, (45.2)
astfel încât pentru PT = 0 avem:
Q = CF / (p – CVM) (46)
LDUGDF 37 ≠ YRUELPGHQLYHOXOGHSURGXF LHFHSHUPLWHRE LQHUHD
DSUHFLHUHD PDL EXQ úL WRWRGDW VLQWHWLF D ULVFXOXL GH IDOLPHQW ÌQ
66
fost elaborate modele de evaluare a riscului de faliment cum sunt
PRGHOXO $OWPDQ FXQRVFXW úL FD PRGHOXO = PRGHOXO &RQDQ -
+ROGHUPRGHOXO%&)%DQFD&HQWUDO )UDQFH] úD
vL GH LQH úL SULQ DFHDVWD HO HVWH SURGXF WRU (O RE LQH XQ YHQLW GLQ
QX HVWH R FDWHJRULH DSDUWH GH DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL FL GRDU SR]L LD SH
FDUHVHVLWXHD] ODXQPRPHQWGDWFRQVXPDWRUXO
'LQ SXQFW GH YHGHUH DO H[LVWHQ HL úL XWLOL] ULL UHVXUVHORU
− XQLWDWHGHFRQVXPFDUHHFRQRPLVHúWH8&(
67
ÌQWUH DFHVWH XQLW L GH FRQVXP 8& VH SURGXF SURFHVH GH
vQVHPQ WDWHD ORU FD VHJPHQWH DOH SLH HL QD LRQDOH VDX PRQGLDOH
globale.
UCD sunW 8& FDUH VH vPSUXPXW RSHUD LXQH UHDOL]DW
− UHGXFHUHDVROGXULORUORUPRQHWDUHFDVDFRQWXULvQEDQF
DO LL SH FDUH OH DUH vQ SRVHVLH úL SH FDUH OH -a dobândit la un
moment anterior când se afla în ipostaza de UCS;
− YkQ]DUHDGHKkUWLLGHYDORDUHHPLVHGHHDvQV úL
a) FUHúWHUHDVROGXULORUORUPRQHWDUH
68
b) UHGXFHUHD GHELWHORU SURSULL SULQ U VFXPS UDUHD KkUWLLORU GH
c) FXPS UDUHDGHKkUWLLGHYDORDUHHPLVHGHDOWH8&
DFRSHULUHD GLQ SURSULLOH YHQLWXUL D QHYRLORU VDOH GH FRQVXP úL GH
H[LVWHQ HL DFHVWRU SLH H SRVLELOLW LOH 8&' VH H[WLQG OD SRVLELOLWDWHD
DQJDM ULL XQRU UHVXUVH VXSOLPHQWDUH LDU DOH 8&( OD SDUWLFLSDUHD ORU
OD DOWH DFWLYLW L $VWIHO FRQVXPXO VH SRDWH H[WLQGH D]L S e seama
DQJDM ULLYHQLWXULORUYLLWRDUH
XQHL SLH H IQDQFLDU EDQFDUH VXQW LQWHUHVDQWH DWkW SHQWUX DJHQ LL
-
HFRQRPLFL FkW úL SHQWUX VWDUHD JHQHUDO D PHGLXOXL vQ FDUH HL
69
(i) WLWOXULOH ILQDQFLDUH ³FRUHFWH´ FUHDWH úL WUDQVIHUDWH GH 8&' -
urile “potrivite” la UCS-XULOH ³SRWULYLWH´ OD SUH XULOH
conform abilit LL SDUWLFLSDQ LORU GH D OH XWLOL]D SH SLD (D
FXSULQGH úL SUH XULOH WLWOXULORU FX VFRSXO GH D HYDOXD GDF HOH
DVWIHO vQFkW V QX HPLW VHPQDOH IDOVH QLFL GHVSUH HPL WRU QLFL
output-urilor.
(ILFLHQ D RSHUD LRQDO VH UHIHU OD YDORDUHD RXWSXW -ului
RE LQXWODRXQLWDWHGHLQSXWúLHVWHRHILFLHQ ]LV WHKQLF .
&RPSRUWDPHQWXO DJHQ LORU HFRQRPLFL SURGXF WRUL VDX
FRQVXPDWRUL vQ SR]L LD GH 8&' 8&6 VDX 8&( VH VXSXQH
vQILQDQ HvQSDUWLFXODU
70
− SUHFL]DUHDVFRSXULORUPDWHULDOHDOHDF LXQLLHFRQ omice
− OXDUHD GHFL]LLORU vQ FRQFRUGDQ FX DFHVWH VFRSXUL úL vQ YHGHUHD
UHDOL] ULLORU
GH FRQVXP úL FDUH OD QLYHOXO DJHQWXOXL HFRQRPLF QX HVWH
DFWLYLWDWHD SHQWUX D UHDOL]D HO vQVXúL XQ DYDQWDM úL QX SHQWUX D
FDUDFWHU SHUPDQHQW GDU FHO PDL DGHVHD ³GH IXQGDO´ úL FDUH
GHYLQHRSHUD LRQDOGLQWLPSvQWLPS
treptat a averii;
− scopul agentului consumator (SAC), maximizarea uWLOLW LL
consumului.
71
3HQWUX DJHQWXO SURGXF WRU $3 P ULPHD DYHULL
PRGHOHORULQWURGXVHvQFDSúLSULQUHVSHFWLYDQRWDUH
/DSURGXF WRUVHSRDWHGLVWLQJHXQDQXPLWGXDOLVPGHVFRS
úL FKLDU R RSR]L LH vQWUH PDQDJHU úL DF L onar ca urmare a atribuirii
XQRUSULRULW LGLIHULWHLQWHUHVHORULPHGLDWHúLGHSHUVSHFWLY $VWIHO
GH]YROW ULL YLLWRDUH D FRQVROLG ULL vQ WLPS D ILUPHL úL GHFL D
SHQWUX FDUH YD DF LRQD úL SHQWUX PD[LPL]DUHD SURILWXOXL SULQ FDUH
FX R FRW PDL PLF D SURILWXOXL GLVWULEXLW DU SXWHD DVLJXUD DFHVW
R ILUP FRQVROLGDW FX R SR]L LH EXQ SH SLD úL FX SURILWXUL
72
GLYLGHQGH LQWHUHVDQWH úL vQ YLLWRU 3H GH DOW SDUWH DF LRQDULDWXO
WHRULD ILQDQ HORU D VHOHFWDW úL IRUPXODW ³WHRULD DJHQ LHL´ FDUH DUH FD
PDQDJHUXOXLúLDF LRQDULORU
6FRSXOV XQHPLMORFLWDUHFDHIHFWFRQH[HFRQRPLLOHSULQFDUHHOvúL
SRDWH QXDQ D SR]L LD GH FRQVXPDWRU LQYHVWLWRU úL SRDWH DVSLUD OD
-
realizarea scopului intermitent (fig. 7).
3UREOHPD GH GHFL]LH D FRQVXPDWRUXOXL DUH R GXEO
FRQRWD LH vQ UDSRUW FX XWLOL]DUHD YHQLWXOXL V X SH GH R SDUWH
VWUXFWXUD SH SURGXVH D FRQVXPXOXL V X úL SH GH DOW SDUWH VWUXFWXUD
problema economiilor:
− DGLPHQVLXQLLORUFDGLIHUHQ vQWUHYHQLWúLFRQVXP
73
− D SODVDPHQWXOXL ORU FD VXUV GH YHQLWXUL YLLWRDUH úL implicit
SHQWUXXQFRQVXPYLLWRUvQDFHVWVHQVHFRQRPLLOHSRWILvQ HOHVH
ca un consum viitor.
$OWHUQDWLYD SODVDPHQWXOXL HVWH SRVLELO FD XUPDUH D
H[LVWHQ HL SLH HL PRQHWDUH úL D SLH HL GH FDSLWDO ÌQ OLSVD DFHVWRU
GLPLQX ULL SXWHULL GH FXPS UDUH D YHQLWXOXL V XDWXQFL SUXGHQ D YD
5ROXOSLH HLPRQHWDUHvQVSULMLQLUHDFRPSRUWDPHQWXOXL
UD LRQDODODJHQWXOXLHFRQRPLF
HFRQRPLF SRDWH vPSUXPXWD RULFH VXP vQ OLPLWD VROYDELOLW LL VDOH
SHFDUHSHQWUXVLPSOLILFDUHRYRPOLPLWDODYHQLWXOV X
Fie rata GREkQ]LL SH SLD D PRQHWDU GP úL GRX
74
UHIHULQ vQ OHJ WXU FX FRQVXPXO V X )LH FXQRVFXW QLYHOXO
YHQLWXOXL V X OD FHOH GRX PRPHQWH 90 XP úL 91 = 2000
u.m. Tot pentru simpliILFDUHD SUH]HQW ULL YRP FRQVLGHUD GRDU FHOH
DPEHOH YHQLWXUL RE LQXWH vQ DFHO PRPHQW 91 úL YDORDUHD YLLWRDUH D
75
DVWIHOvQFkWP ULPHDFRQVXPXOXLV XWRWDOODPRPHQWXOW HVWH
3080
2000
1000
prezent
1000 2000 2852,85
)LJ(FXD LDSLH HLPRQHWDUH
se consume numai 1500 u.m., atunci CT1 (PM) = 1500, iar CT0
30 XP$FHDVWDvQVHDPQ F VHLDFXvPSUXPXWD]LSH
76
SLD DPRQHWDU RVXP DF UHLYDORDUHGHUDPEXUVDUHODPRPHQWXO t
HVWHHJDO FXDGLF XPVXP FXFDUH
vúLYDURWXQMLYHQLWXOPRPHQWXOXLúLYDSXWHDFRQVXPDvQSOXVSHVWH
DE LQHvQPRPHQWXOW GHODXQFRQVXPvQYDORDUHGHXP
SH FDUH OH SODVHD] SH SLD D PRQHWDU XUPkQG V OH UHFXSHUH]H vQ
FRQVXPXOODQLYHOXOGRULW$VWIHOGHSRVLELOLW LSRWILIRUPXODWHúL
SHED]DXQRURS LXQLSULYLQGFRQVXPXOFXUHQW&0 .
ÌQ DEVHQ D SLH HL PRQHWDUH QX VH SRDWH YRUEL GH R GUHDSW D
5ROXOSLH HLGHFDSLWDOvQVSULMLQLUHDFRPSRUWDPHQWXOXL
UD LRQDODODJHQWXOXLHFRQRPLF
DWULEXWHOH GH SLD SHUIHFW DJHQWXO HVWH LQIRUPDW SH GHSOLQ DVXSUD
77
SLHUGHULLVDXGHYDORUL] ULL
plasDPHQWSHQWUXFDUHLQGLFDWRULLGHLQYHVWL LHúLFULWHULLOHGHDOHJHUH
VXQWFXQRVFX LWDEHO
SRW IL DYXWH vQ YHGHUH úL DOWHOH 'LQWUH DFHVWHD WUHL vO FRQVLGHU P
VXUSOXVXOXL GH SODVDPHQW FDUH FRPELQDW FX DO GRLOHD DUDW DWkW
suplimentar.
Potrivit acHVWHL MXGHF L RS LXQHD GH SODVDPHQW HVWH D WUHLD
FDUHSUHVXSXQHRUHQXQ DUHD]LODXQFRQVXPGHXPvQYHGHUHD
VXSOLPHQW ULL FRQVXPXOXL YLLWRU FX XP $OHJHUHD HVWH WHQWDQW
úL vQ UDSRUW FX SLD D PRQHWDU FDUH RIHU XQ FkúWLJ GH GRDU ID
de FkWHVWH FHO GH SH SLD D GHFDSLWDO &RQVXPXULOHFHORU GRX
78
2S LXQHD SHQWUX SODVDPHQWH SRDWH DYHD vQ YHGHUH QX QXPDL
XQXOFLGRX VDXPDLPXOWHSODVDPHQWHÌQDFHVWFD]VHFRQVWUXLHúWH
FD PDL VXV úL vQ SOXV GHWHUPLQkQG SULQ DGL LH P ULPHD LQYHVWL LLORU
FRPELQDWHúLIOX[XOILQDQFLDUSR]LWLYUH]XOWDW
rentabilitate 21%.
3 VWUk nd regula de alegere (venitul marginal), nivelul
FRQVXPXOXLvQVLWXD LDXQHLRS LXQLSOXUDOLVWHQHUHSHWLWLYHHVWH
CT0 = V0 – I0 = 0 (49.3)
CT1 = V1 + VI0 = 3180 (49.4)
ÌQ FD]XO RS LXQLL SOXUDOLVWH UHSHWLWLYH VH DUH vQ YHGHUH
FkWH XP úL vQF GRX GH FkWH XP LQYHVWL LH XP
flux financiar pozitiv 1210, venit net 210 u.m., venit marginal
FRPSDUDWLY FX YDULDQWD DQWHFHGHQW FD P ULPH D
79
CT1 = V1 + VI0 = 3210 (49.5)
3LD D FDSLWDOXULORU SUH]LQW úL HD SRVLELOLWDWHD F onsumului
prezent dintr-un venit viitor prin emiterea azi a unor titluri de
YDORDUHREOLJD LXQLFDUHV ILHU VFXPS UDWHvQPRPHQWXORE LQHULL
6XFFHVXO YLQGHULL REOLJD LXQLORU HVWH GHWHUPLQDW GH UDWD GH GREkQG
SURPLV GH UHJXO SHVWH FHD D SLH HL PRQHWDUH SHQWUX D FUHD VDX
YkQ]DUHD VXE SDUL U VFXPS UDUHD FX SULP HWF 7RDWH DFHVWHD
,QWHUYDOXOGHGREkQG FHDUSXWHDILDYXWvQYHGHUHHVWH
acel moment
80
GN UDWDGREkQ]LLSHSLD DGHFDSL tal
m = cota din fluxul financiar pozitiv VI0 generat la momentul
W SH VHDPD LQYHVWL LHL ,0 HIHFWXDW OD PRPHQWXO W úL
REOLJD LXQLD]LúLvQFRQWXOUHVSHFWLYXOXLYHQLWYLLWRU
n = cotD GLQ YHQLWXO GH OD PRPHQWXO W FDUH HVWH FRQVXPDW OD
YRP FRQVLGHUD FHOH GRX VLWXD LL H[WUHPH FRQVXP LQWHJUDO vQ
prezenW úL FRQVXP LQWHJUDO vQ YLLWRU ÌQ FD]XO FRQVXPXOXL LQWHJUDO
vQ SUH]HQW XUPHD] FD YHQLWXO 91 GH OD PRPHQWXO W V ILH
(dobânda, costul propriu-]LV DO HPLWHULL úL SODV ULL HYHQWXDOHOH DOWH
81
3H GH DOW SDUWH IOX[XO ILQDQFLDU SR]LWLY JHQHUDW GH
investirea venitului V0, respectiv VI0 YD IL DQJDMDW vQ DFHODúL PRG
Presupunând I0 = 1000 u.m. în varianta cu maximum de venit
PDUJLQDO úL DQXPH FRQIRUP FDUH DVLJXU XQ IOX[
ILQDQFLDUSR]LWLYGHYDORDUHDSUH]HQW DFRQVXPXOXLSHVHDPD
sa va fi:
VP(VI0) = VI0(1 + dk)-1 = 1080,36 u.m. (51.2)
5H]XOW RYDORDUHWRWDO DFRQVXPXOXLODPRPHQWXO W GH
P ULPH
conform (49.5).
viitor
3210
2000
1000
prezent
1000 2000 2866,07
82
6HSRDWHVFULHúLDLFLHFXD LDSLH HLGHFDSLWDO
vQVSULMLQLUHDFRPSRUWDPHQWXOXLUD LRQDO
al agentului consumator
F DOHJHUHD SODVDPHQWXOXL SH SLD D GH FDSLWDO V D I FXW FD PDL VXV
-
UH LQkQG GLQWUH YDULDQWHOH SRVLELOH SH FHD FDUH SUHVXSXQH LQYHVWL LD
SODVDPHQWXOXL YD IL DQJDMDW SH SLD D PRQHWDU SULQ OXDUHD FX
83
ÌQ VLWXD LD vQ FDUH VH RSWHD] SHQWUX FRQVXPXO vQ YLLWRU DO
3210
2000
1000
prezent
1000 2000 2972,22
84
([SUHVLDFRQVXPXULORUWRWDOHODILHFDUHPRPHQWW úLW
vQ FRQGL LLOH IXQF LRQ ULL VLPXOWDQH D FHORU GRX SLH H HVWH GDW GH
UHOD LLOH
FHO DO GHSR]LWHORU 3HQWUX DFHODúL PRWLY VH IDF vQV SODVDPHQWH vQ
úL vQ FRQWXO F URUD V VH DQJDMH]H OD PRPHQWXO W OXDUHD FX
REOLJD LXQL SH SLD D FDSLWDOXULORU GHRDUHFH UDWD GREkQ]LL HVWH GH
SODVDPHQWHORU VXE IRUPD LQYHVWL LLORU HVWH HVHQ LDO SHQWUX D UHDOL]D
85
PD[LPXP GH FRQVXP $VWIHO GDF VH LD GUHSW FULWHULX UDWD
I0 = 100,
C0 = V0 – I0 = 900,
VI0 = 125,
VP(VI0) = 125 * (1 + +0,08)-1 = 115,74,
V1 = 2000VP(V1) = 2000 (1 + 0,08)-1 = =1851,85,
CT0(PM,PK) = C0 + VP(VI0) + VP(V1) = 2867,59,
CT1(PM,PK) = C0 * (1 + dm) + VI + V1 = 3097,
DGLF VH RE LQ FRQVXPXUL VXE FHOH PHQ LRQDWH PDL VXV ILJ úL
UHOD LLOHúL
86
CAPITOLUL 4
02'(/$5($35()(5,1 (/25
CONSUMATORULUI
cont GH UHVWULF LLOH OD FDUH VXQW VXSXúL HL úL GHFL]LLOH ORUÌQFHHDFH
vO SULYHúWH SH FRQVXPDWRU VH SUHVXSXQH F HO FXQRDúWH SUH XULOH
SUHIHULQ H V RSWH]H vQ UDSRUW FX JXVWXULOH VDOH úL FX VDWLVIDF LD SH
VH SRDWH IRUPXOD vQ FRQWLQXDUH R SUREOHP FRQH[ GDU FDUH WRWXúL
SURGXVH FHUHUH F UHLD SURGXF WRUXO WUHEXLH V -L U VSXQG SH SLD
cu oferta lui.
87
4.1. 8WLOLWDWHD$QDOL] FDUGLQDO úLRUGLQDO
&HOH GRX DERUG UL GDX U VSXQVXUL GLIHULWH vQ FHHD FH
SULYHúWH SRVLELOLWDWHD P VXU ULL XWLOLW LL GD HVWH U VSXQVXO DQDOL]HL
GDW GH YDORULOH SH FDUH OH LD IXQF LD GH XWLOLWDWH WRWDO SHQWUX
• LQH[LVWHQ DEXQXOXLvQSURSULHWDWHDFRQVXPDWRUXOXL
• DFFHVXOODEXQVHIDFHSULQSLD
• IRUPDUHDXQHLFRUHOD LLvQWUHLQWHQVLWDWHDQHYRLLUHVSHFWLYJUDGXO
GH VDWLVIDF LH DúWHSWDW SH GH R SDUWH úL SUH XO GH DFKL]L LH DO
88
(ii) JUDGXO GH VDWLVIDF LH FUHúWH IRDUWH PXOW DWXQFL FkQG FRQsumul
HVWH IRDUWH PLF DGLF DWXQFL FkQG QHYRLD HVWH SUDFWLF WRWDO
QHDFRSHULW
(iii) JUDGXO GH VDWLVIDF LH QX PDL FUHúWH DWXQFL FkQG FRQVXPXO HVWH
IRDUWHPDUHDGLF DWXQFLFkQGVHLQVWDOHD] VDWXUD LD
VXSOLPHQWDUVHQXPHúWHXWLOLWDWHPDUJLQDO
UM Q x = UTx′ (Q x ) (5)
∑ 80 = 87 ()
L (5.1)
=1
VSRUXO WRW PDL PLF GH XWLOLWDWH SH P VXU FH JUDGXO GH VD LHWDWH
FUHúWH
FRQWLQXH FRQVXPXO GDF DFHVW OXFUX QX PDL SURGXFH QLFL XQ
HIHFWIDYRUDELOSULYLQGVDWLVIDF LDúLDFHVWOXFUXFXDWkWPDLPXOW
89
cu câW SHQWUX ILHFDUH XQLWDWH FRQVXPDW vQ SOXV WUHEXLH SO WLW
UT UM
UM(Q) UT(Q)
Qmax Q
)LJ*UDILFXOXWLOLW LLWRWDOHúLDOXWLOLW LL marginale
$ERUGDUHD FDUGLQDO HVWH UH]XOWDWXO VWXGLLORU HIHFWXDWH GH
úFROLL PDWHPDWLFH vQ HFRQRPLH vQ WLPS FH DERUGDUHD RUGLQDO HVWH
UH]XOWDWXO VWXGLLORU OXL 9 3DUHWR úL - +LFNV HFRQRPLúWL DL DQLORU
90
VDXSDQHUHOHFRúXULOHGHSURGXVHYj = { vij / i∈ B ; j = 1, 2, …m ;
vij FDQWLWDWHDGHEXQLLQWUDW vQFRPSRQHQ DYHFWRUXOXLGHFRQVXP
(ii) UHFLSURFD OXL L vQ PXO LPHD GHILQLW D SDQHUHORU GH SURGXVH
FRQVXP GDF SULPXO HVWH SUHIHUDW FHOXL GH -al doilea, iar acesta
GLQXUP FHOXLGH -al treilea, atunci primul este preferat celui
de-al treilea:
(∀)vp, vqúLYr ∈ V GDF Y Y úL Y Y ⇒Y Y .
91
DGLF PXOWLSOLFkQG FDQWLW LOH GLQ EXQXULOH L L «Q FDUH
LQWU vQ VWUXFWXUD SDQHUXOXL GH SURGXVH VH RE LQH XQ QRX SDQHU
GHSURGXVHvQDFHHDúLPXO LPHvQFDUHHVWHLQFOXVúLFHOGLQWkL
DVWIHO vQFkW GDF H[LVW GRL YHFWRUL Yp úL Yq ∈ V pentru care
FHO SX LQ FRPSRQHQWD L D ORU HVWH vQ UHOD LD v ip > v iq (oricare ar
ILDFHDVW FRPSRQHQW L «QDWXQFL Y Y .
3UHVXSXQkQG87IXQF LDGHXWLOLWDWHSXWHPVFULH
4.2. &XUEHGHLQGLIHUHQ
XWLOLWDWHDDGLF
92
ce vectorul v ′j este (n+1)-dimensional:
( )
v ′j = v1 j , v 2 j ,..., v nj , UT v j .
93
87 D[DSHQWUXUHSUH]HQWDUHDP ULPLLXWLOLW LL
ÌQ ILJXUD $ % úL & UHSUH]LQW YHFWRUL GH FRQVXP FX
DFHHDúL XWLOLWDWH DVWIHO vQFkW UHSUH]HQWDUHD ORU VH IDFH vQ DFHODúL
plan.
3RWULYLW SURSULHW LL Y GH OD XWLOLWDWHD RUGLQDO úL
FRQVHFLQ HORU DFHVWHLD úL SHQWUX FD XWLOLWDWHD V U PkQ
v ′p = v1p , v 2 p , ct
v ′q = v1q , v 2q , ct ,
este necesar ca, de exemplu, v1p > v1q úL Y2p < v2q 'DF GRULP V
RE LQHGRLYHFWRULGHIRUPD
v s′ = v 1s → ∞, v 2s → 0, ct
94
v ′t = v 1t → 0, v 2 t → ∞, ct ,
v ′r .
Într-XQ SODQ LPDJLQHD DFHVWHL PXO LPL GH YHFWRUL HVWH R
FXUE DVLPSWRWLF ODFHOHGRX D[HFHGHOLPLWHD] SODQXO
y1
2
y2
x1 x2 x(v1)
)LJ&XUEDGHLQGLIHUHQ
i =1 au fost reprezenWDWH SH DEVFLV úL QRWDWH WUDGL LRQDO FX [ LDU
SHQWUX EXQXO L DX IRVW UHSUH]HQWDWH SH RUGRQDW úL QRWDWH FX \
95
&HL GRL YHFWRUL GH FRQVXP LQFOXG FDQWLW L GLIHULWH GLQ FHOH GRX
VDWLVIDF LH SULQ FRQVXP GDU YD FRQVXPD FDQWLW L GLIHULWH GLQ FHOH
GRX EXQXUL
UT = f(x,y). (8.1)
3UHVXSXQkQG F IXQF LD HVWH H[SOLFLWDW vQ UDSRUW FX \ VH
RE LQHSHQWUX87 FWH[SUHVLDFXUEHLGHXWLOLWDWH
y = [f ] (x , ct ) .
−1
(8.2)
y = U0 3
x . (8.3)
96
din A în B presupune reducerea lui y (y2 < y1 GXS FXP
XWLOLW LL SULPHD ILH FW2 ) este mai mare decât a celei de-a doua
(fie ct1). Astfel, într-R SURLHF LH vQ SODQXO ED]HL D XQHL PXO LPL
GHFXUEHGHLQGLIHUHQ FHDFXRYDORDUHPDLPDUHDXWLOLW LLVH
YD J VL GHSODVDW PDL VSUH GUHDSWD $VLPSWRWLVPXO OD D[H VH
FRQVHUY ILJ
y2 B
y1
A
C u4
y3
u2 u3
u1
x1x2 x3 x
)LJ$PSODVDUHDvQSODQXOED]HLDXQHLPXO LPLGHFXUEHGHLQGLIHUHQ
97
$FHDVW SURSULHWDWH VH SRDWH SURED SULQ IDSWXO F SH RULFDUH
GRX FXUEH GH LQGLIHUHQ ILH 81 úL 82 VH SRDWH J VL FkWH XQ
'LQ ILJXUD VH REVHUY UHOD LD GH RUGLQH vQWUH FRPSRQHQWHOH
OXL$ úL% UHVSHFWLY[1 < x2 úL\1 < y2, astfel încât % $ úLGH
SXQFW & XQD GLQ FRRUGRQDWH QX PDL UHVSHFW UHOD LD GH ordine
GHFDUHVHEXFXU SXQFWXO%DVWIHO\1 > y3.
(iii) FXUEHOH GH LQGLIHUHQ DOH XQHL PXO LPL IDPLOLL GDWH QX VXQW
VHFDQWH ÌQ FD]XO vQ FDUH DU IL ILJXUD DU vQVHPQD F
YHFWRUXO $ FRUHVSXQ]kQG LQWHUVHF LHL FHORU GRX FXUEH 81 úL
U2 DUH DFHHDúL XWLOLWDWH úL FX YHFWRUXO % UHVSHFWLY FW1 úL FX
vectorul C (respectiv ct2), ceea ce este imposibil atâta vreme
cât U2HVWHVXSHULRDU OXL81 (ct2 > ct1).
y1 A
C
y3
y2 U2
B U1
x1 x 2 x 3 x
)LJ&XUEHOHGHLQGLIHUHQ QXVHLQWHUVHFWHD]
98
(iv) RULFH FXUE GH LQGLIHUHQ HVWH FRQYH[ ILJ FHHD FH GLQ
SXQFWGHYHGHUHJUDILFvQVHDPQ F RULFDUHDUILDUFXO$%HOVH
YD VLWXD VXE FRDUGD OXL FX H[FHS LD FHORU GRX SXQFWH H[WUHPH
$ úL % $GLF XQ SXQFW & GH SH FRDUGD $% VH YD DIOD SH DOW
acesteia.
y1
A
y3 C
B U2
y2
U1
x1 x3 x2 x
)LJ&RQYH[LWDWHDFXUEHLGHLQGLIHUHQ
FRQVXP $ úL % FRQGXFH OD XQ DOW YHFWRU GH FRQVXP & SHQWUX
99
dreapta lui U1 $OWIHO VSXV FRQVXPDWRULL SUHIHU SDQHUH GH
PDL DSURSLDWH GHFkW vQ FD]XO OXL $ úL % DGLF UDSRUWXO GLQWUH
FHOH GRX FDQWLW L HVWH PDL DSURSLDW GH vQ FD]XO & GHFkW vQ
FD]XO$úL%
'H SLOG SHQWUX D SUHJ WL R SU MLWXU HVWH QHYRLH GH J
dHRDUHFH QX VH SUHFL]HD] úL GH PXOWH RUL QLFL QX HVWH QHYRLH
FD]XO FRQIHF LRQ ULL XQXL FRVWXP GH KDLQH E UE WHúWL KDLQ
ILJ VH REVHUY F UDSRUWXO \[ VH PLFúRUHD] SH P VXU FHQH
100
GHSODV P GH OD SXQFWXO $ OD SXQFWXO % úL FUHúWH GDF GHSODVDUHD VH
IDFHvQVHQVLQYHUVGHOD%F WUH$
9DULD LD DFHVWXL UDSRUW DWXQFL FkQG YDULD LD OXL [ HVWH ∆x ,
H[SULP P ULPHD UDWHL PDUJLQDOH GH VXEVWLWXLUH 506y/x DGLF
YDULD LD OXL \ DWXQFL FkQG [ YDULD] FX R XQLWDWH DVWIHO vQFkW
XWLOLWDWHD U PkQH DFHHDúL 'HRDUHFH YDULD LLOH OXL [ úL \ DX VHQVXUL
vQWRWGHDXQDQHJDWLY
∆y
RMS y x = − (9.1)
∆x
În acest sens, RMSy/x DUDW FX FkWH XQLW L DU WUHEXL P ULW
FHHDFHGLQSXQFWGHYHGHUHJUDILFUHYLQHODIDSWXOF 506HVWHGH
101
5DWD PDUJLQDO GH VXEVWLWXLUH DUH GRX SURSULHW L
importante:
(i) SH P VXU FH XQ EXQ HVWH VXFFHVLY úL FRQWLQXX vQORFXLW GLQ
y4 D
y3 C
y2 B
y1 A
x 6x 5x 4 x 3 x 2 x1 x
)LJ&UHúWHUHDUDWHLPDUJLQDOHGHVXEVWLWXLUH
102
∆y B y 2 − y1
RMS1 = A
=
∆x B x 2 − x1
A
∆y D y 4 − y3
RMS2 = C
=
∆x D x 4 − x3
C
∆y F y6 − y5
RMS 3 = E
= ,
∆x F x6 − x5
E
utilitate:
UT=UT(x,y), (10.1)
SHQWUXFDUHFDOFXO PXWLOLWDWHDPDUJLQDO WRWDO DGLF VSRUXOGH
103
XWLOLWDWH JHQHUDWGHFUHúWHUHDVLPXOWDQ DFRQVXPXOXLOXL[úL\
([SUHVLD DFHVWHLD HVWH GDW GH GHULYDWD WRWDO D IXQF LHL 87 úL
anume:
∂UT ∂UT
dUT = ⋅ dx + ⋅ dy (10.2)
∂x ∂y
úL LPSOLFLW G87 SXWHP VHOHFWD UDSRUWXO G\G[ FDUH HVWH GH
IXQF LHL 87 vQ UDSRUW FX [ úL UHVSHFWLY \ DGLF XWLOLW LOH
104
CAPITOLUL 5
vQ FRQGL LLOH vQ FDUH GHPHUVXO V X HVWH LQIOXHQ DW GH PDL PXO L
factori:
- PXO LPHDEXQXULORUSHFDUHOHDUHvQYHGHUHSHQWUXFRQVXP
vpj / vqjSúLT∈ B;
- SUH XULOHXQLWDUHSi la care seSURFXU EXQXULOH i;
- VXPDGHEDQLGLVSRQLELO SHQWUXFRQVXP RúLFDUHvLGHILQHúWH
bugetul de consum;
- XWLOLWDWHD SH FDUH HO R FRQIHU ILHF UHL XQLW L GR]H
105
n
∑p
i =1
i ∗ vi = R (11.2)
n
max L = UT( v1 , v 2 ,..., v i ,..., v n ) + λ(R − ∑ p i ∗ v i ) ,
i =1
(11.3)
unde λHVWHSDUDPHWUXOOXL/DJUDQJH ∈ R+.
Pentru optim sunt necesare:
∂L
DFRQGL LLGHRUGLQXO, =0 i = 1,2,..,n
∂ vi
∂2L
EFRQGL LLGHRUGLQXO,, <0 i = 1,2,…n
∂ vi
2
ÌQ FH SULYHúWH FRQGL LLOH GH RUGLQXO ,, DFHVWHD VXQW
106
XWLOLWDWH DUH SURSULHWDWHD Y UHOD LD DVWIHO vQFkW FRQGL LD GH
ÌQFHSULYHúWHFRQGL LDGHRUGLQXO,DYHP
∂L
= UTv’i − λp i = 0 (11.4)
∂ vi
sau
UM Vi
UM Vi − λp i = 0→ λ = (11.5)
pi
5HOD LD QH SHUPLWH V IRUPXO P FRQGL LD GH RSWLP úL
107
px · x + py · y = R (12.1)
px R
y=− ⋅x + , (12.2)
py py
FDUH SRDWH IL VFULV FD HFXD LD RULF UHL GUHSWH \ = mx + n, în care
coeficientul unghiular al dreptei (panta) este m = -px / py, iar
ordonatar la origine n = R / py,QWHUSUHWDUHDHFRQRPLF DOXL n este
FDQWLWDWHD GH SURGXV FDUH VH SRDWH SURFXUD GDF EXJHWXO 5 VH
y
R/py
A
y1 ·1
·2 B
y2
x1 x2 R/px x
Fig. 18 Dreapta bugetului de consum
IDSWXOF YDORDUHDFRQVXPXOXLHVWHDFHLDúLúLDQXPH5
R = px · x1 + py · y2 = px · x2 + py · y2
'H DVHPHQHD VH FDUDFWHUL]HD] SULQ IDSWXO F SUH]LQW
DFHLDúLYDORDUHDSDQWHLúLDQXPH – px / py.
108
'UHDSWD GHWHUPLQ vQ SODQXO [ \ WUHL ]RQH GLQ SXQFW GH
1 (fig. 18);
- zona de dedesubtul dreptei cu consumuri prea ieftine în raport
FXEXJHWXO5DúDFXPHVWHFRQV umul reprezentat prin punctul
2 (fig. 18);
- zona dreptei propriu-]LVH FX FRQVXPXUL ³L]REXJHWDUH´ DGLF
FXDFHODúLEXJHW5
ÌQ FD]XO vQ FDUH YDORDUHD OXL 5 VH PRGLILF vQ SODQXO [ \
vor apare mai multe drepte de buget, paralele (fig. 19) caracterizate
SULQUHOD LDGHRUGLQH51 < R2 <…..
R1 R2 R3 R4
x
Fig. 19 Familia dreptelor bugetului
109
5.2. Punctul de consum optim
&DQWLW LOH[úL\GLQEXQXULOHúLFHSRWILSURFXUDWHFXXQ
EXJHW 5 GDW VXQW YDULDWH úL GHWHUPLQ R PXO LPH GH YHFWRUL GH
− ]RQ GH GHDVXSUD FXUEHL GH LQGLIHUHQ FX QLYHOH GH XWLOLWDWH
PDLPDULDúDFXPHVWHXWLOLWDWHDFDUDFWHULVWLF SXQFWXOXL
− ]RQ GH GHGHVXEWXO FXUEHL GH LQGLIHUHQ FX QLYHOH GH XWLOLWDWH
PDLPLFLDúDFXPHVWHXWLOLWDWHDFDUDFWHULVWLF SXQFWXOXL
utilitate.
Astfel, unele consumuri sunt inaccesibile (cum sunt cele
UHSUH]HQWDWH SULQ SXQFWHOH GLQ ILJ úL LDU DOWHOH
SH GUHDSWD GH EXJHW FDUH DVLJXU DFFHVXO OD FHD PDL ³vQDOW ´ FXUE
GHLQGLIHUHQ ILJ
110
y
R/py
U5
U4
U3
U1 U2 U3 U4
R/px x
Fig. 20 Determinarea punctului de consum optim
111
VH FDUDFWHUL]HD] SULQ IDSWXO F DUH R SDQW – px/py pe dreapta de
FRQVXPFRQIRUPúLRUDW PDUJLQDO GHVXEVWLWX LHGHP ULPH
px UM x
RMS y / x = - =- , (13)
py UM y
VXEVWLWXLUH HVWH HJDO FX UDSRUWXO SUH XULORU XQLWDUH úL FX UDSRUWXO
XWLOLW LORUPDUJLQDOH
YDULD LHDFRQVXPXOXLRSWLPvQUDSRUWFXEXJHWXOGHFRQVXPQXPLW
curba consum-venit.
3XQFWHOH GH FRQVXP RSWLP VH FDUDFWHUL]HD] SULQ FUHúWHUHD
FDQWLW LORUFRQVXPDWHDWkWGLQEXQXOFkWúLGLQEXQXO
112
y
Curba consum-venit
B
U4
A
R3 R4
R2 U3
R1 U2
U1
xA < xB < xC < xD úL VLPXOWDQ \ A< yB < yC < yD OXFUX ILUHVF GDF
LQHP VHDPD GH IDSWXO F EXJHWXO GH FRQVXP D FUHVFXW $VWIHO GH
bunuri se zic QRUPDOH (VWH SRVLELO vQV FD SHQWUX XQ FRQVXPDWRU
GLQEXQXULHVWHDSUHFLDWFDLQIHULRUvQUDSRUWFXFHO ODOW
113
y
Curba consum-venit
x = bun inferior
U2
B U4
A R3 R4
R1 U3
R2
U1
xAxDxCxB
x
y U3
U4
U2
U1
R4
yC C
yB Curba consum-venit
B R3
yD D y = bun inferior
yA A
R2
R1
114
În acest caz curba consum-YHQLW HVWH GHYLDW PDL SXWHUQLF VSUH
VWkQJD vQ FD]XO FkQG EXQXO HVWH FRQVLGHUDW LQIHULRU úL FRQVXPXO
V X x YD VFDGH RGDW FX FUHúW erea bugetului de consum) sau spre
GUHDSWD vQ FD]XOFkQG EXQXO HVWHFRQVLGHUDW LQIHULRU úL FRQVXPXO
9DULD LDSXQFWXOXLRSWLPGHFRQVXPvQUDSRUW
la valoarea R/py vQ WLPS FH vQFD]XO FkQG VH DFKL]L LRQHD] QXPDL
1
GLQ EXQXO FDQWLWDWHD FXPS UDW YD FUHúWH 5Sx < R/px2 <
<R/px3…, astfel încât în planul (x, y) va apare un fascicul de drepte
de buget toate având ca punct comun punctul (0, R/py) (fig. 23).
ÌQ FD]XO UHGXFHULL SUH XOXL XQLWDU DO EXQXOXL FDQWLW LOH
115
U1 U2 U3 U4
y
Curba consum-SUH
R/py
yD D
yC A C
yA B
yB
Pentru aceast PXO LPH GH SXQFWH DYHP [A < xB < xC < xD
FHHDFHHVWHILUHVFGLQFDX]DUHGXFHULLSUH XOXLSx , în schimb pentru
cel de-DOGRLOHDEXQHYROX LDHVWHRVFLODQW VFDGHGHOD$OD%DSRL
FUHúWH 5HGXFHUHD SUH XOXL EXQXOXL vQ WLPS FH SUH XO EXQXOXL
U PkQHQHVFKLPEDWPRGLILF DSUHFLHUHDSHFDUHFRQVXPDWRUXORG
DFHVWXLD GLQ XUP I FkQGX O ³PDL VFXPS´ vQ UDSRUW FX SULPXO úL
-
modificând astfel raportul de substituire dintre ele.
3H GH DOW SDUWH LHIWLQLUHD EXQXOXL GHWHUPLQ R FUHúWHUH D
116
FH vQVHDPQ R FUHúWHUH vQ WHUPHQL UHDOL DL SXWHULL GH FXPS UDUH D
bugetului de consum.
5H]XOW F PRGLILFDUHD SUH XOXL OD XQ EXQ LQGXFH SHQWUX
(IHFWXOGHVXEVWLWXLUHúLHIHFWXOGHYHQLW
din fiecare bun ca rezultat exclusiY DO PRGLILF ULL UDSRUWXOXL vQWUH
SRDWH RE LQH vQ VLWXD LD FHD PDL IDYRUDELO UH]XOWDW SHQWUX HO vQ
DFHDVW vPSUHMXUDU e.
Efectul de venitH[SULP LQIOXHQ DPRGLILF ULLYHQLWXOXLUHDO
DO FRQVXPDWRUXOXL úL HVWH HYLGHQ LDW SULQ PRGLILF ULOH LQWHUYHQLWH
FD UH]XOWDW DO DFFHV ULL XQXL DOW QLYHO GH XWLOLW L XQHL DOWH FXUEH GH
LQGLIHUHQ
117
U1 U2
y
R/py
yB B
yA
A
C
yC
3
1
2
xA xB xC R/px1 R/px2 x
Fig. 24 EfectuOGHVXEVWLWXLUHúLYHQLWSHQWUXXQEXQ³QRUPDO´
1
&RQVLGHU PVLWXD LD vQFDUHSUH XO EXQXOXL VFDGH Sx > px2
astfel încât acest bun devine mai atractiv pentru consumator.
'UHDSWDEXJHWXOXLVHVFKLPE GLQvQúLIDFHSRVLELODFF esul la o
XWLOLWDWH VXSHULRDU 82 > U1 'HRDUHFH SXWHUHD GH FXPS UDUH D
FRQVXPDWRUXOXL D FUHVFXW SULQ DFHDVW UHGXFHUH GH SUH HO DUH XQ
EXJHW UHDO GH FRQVXP PDL PDUH DGLF HVWH FD úL FXP HODU DYHD XQ
EXJHW QRPLQDO PDL PDUH vQ FRQGL LLOH vQ FDUH SUH XUL le nu s-ar fi
PRGLILFDW 'UHDSWD DFHVWXL EXJHW HVWH SDUDOHO FX GDWRULW
118
EXJHWPDLPDUHFRQVXPDWRUXOSRDWHDFFHVDXWLOLWDWHDVXSHULRDU 82 ;
DFHDVW XWLOLWDWH úL QX DOWD PDL PDUH GHRDUHFH HD UHSUH]LQW
PD[LPXP GH XWLOLWDWH OD FDUH SRDWH VSHUD FXPS U WRUXO vQ
SULQWUHFHUHDGLQSXQFWXO$vQ%úLDSRLvQ&
− trecerea din A vQ % vQVHDPQ HIHFW GH YHQLW SHQWUX EXQXO úL
este:
ET1 = EV1 + ES1 > 0 ET2 = EV1 + ES2 < 0
Efectul de substituire pentru bunul 1 este pozitiv, în mod
ILUHVF GHRDUHFH SUH XO XQLWDU DO DFHVWXL SURGXV D VF ]XW WRW DúD VH
H[SOLF YDORDUHD QHJDWLY SHQWUX HIHFWXO GH VXEVWLWXLUH OD EXQXO
119
− GDF _(9_!_(6_ → ET > 0 (14.1)
− GDF _(9__(6_ → ET < 0 (14.2)
− GDF _(9_ _(6_ → ET = 0 (14.3)
MeULW PHQ LRQDW F vQ FD]XO GLPLQX ULL SUH XOXL XQXL EXQ
FHOH GRX HIHFWH (9 úL (6 SHQWUX FHO GH -al doilea bun vor fi
vQWRWGHDXQD GH VHPQH FRQWUDUH GXS FXP vQ FD]XO PDMRU ULL
generale:
(i) efectul de substituire este întotdeauna negativ pentru
EXQXODOF UXLSUH FUHúWHúLSR]LWLYSHQWUXFHO ODOWEXQ
(iii) HIHFWXO GH YHQLW HVWH vQWRWGHDXQD QHJDWLY FkQG SUH XO XQXL
GLPLQXHD]
(iv) HIHFWXO GH YHQLW HVWH vQWRWGHDXQD SR]LWLY FkQG SUH XO XQXL
120
(v) efectul total este negativ SHQWUX EXQXO DO F UXL SUH D
- 14.3);
(vi) HIHFWXO WRWDO HVWH SR]LWLY SHQWUX EXQXO DO F UXL SUH VFDGH
GHVHQVXOGHYDULD LHDOHIHFWXOXLWRWDODOORU
− vQ FD]XO FUHúWHULL GH SUH OD XQ EXQ HIHFWXO WRWDO DVXSUD
OXFUX úL vQ FD]XO UHGXFHULL GH SUH OD XQ EXQ GDF HIHFWXO WRWDO
VXEVWLWXLELOLWDWHODUJ vQUDSRUWFXSULPXODFHODúLOXFUXvQFD]XO
UHGXFHULL GH SUH OD XQ EXQ GDF HIHFWXO WRWDO SHQWUX FHO GH -al
doilea bun este negativ – VH ]LFH F SULPXO EXQ HVWH ODUJ
121
5.5.2. Cazul bunurilor inferioare
%XQXULOHLQIHULRDUHVXQWFHOHDOF URUFRQVXPHVWHDIHFWDWGH
XQ HIHFW GH YHQLW SR]LWLY vQ FD]XO FkQG SXWHUHD GH FXPS UDUH D
SUH XOXL ORU DQWUHQHD] XQ HIHFW GH VXEVWLWXLUH QHJDWLY 6H GLVWLQJ
GRX FDWHJRULLGHEXQXULLQIHULRDUH
A
yA
yC
C
xB xC R/px2 xA R/px1 x
)LJ(IHFWXOGHVXEVWLWXLUHúLGHYHQLWSHQWUXXQ
− GH WLS *,))(1 FkQG SUH XO úL FDQWLWDWHD HYROXHD] vQ DFHODúL
122
y
U2
R/py
B
yB
A
yA
yC C
U1
xB xA xC R/px2 R/px1 x
)LJ(IHFWXOGHVXEVWLWXLUHúLGHYHQLWSHQWUXXQEXQ
inferior GIFFEN
1
3HQWUX XQ EXQ LQIHULRU VLPSOX FUHúWHUHD SUH XOXL GH OD Sx la
2
px GHWHUPLQ R PRGLILFDUH D SXQFWXOXL GH RSWLP GLQ $ vQ &
123
%XQXOSUH]LQW FRPSOHPHQWDULWDWHODUJ vQUDSRUWFXEXQXO
SRQGHUH vQ FKHOWXLHOLOH GH FRQVXP HVWH PDUH PDL FX VHDP FkQG
YHQLWXO FRQVXPDWRUXOXL HVWH PLF &UHúWHUHD SUH XULORU OD DVWIHO GH
1
GH WLS *,))(1 FUHúWHUHD SUH XOXL GH OD Sx la px2 GHWHUPLQ R
124
UHYHQLP vQ FDS 8WLOLWDWHD LQWHUWHPSRUDO SUHVXSXQH
respectiv V0 úL 91 SUHFXP úL QLYHOXO JHQHUDO DO SUH XULORU SHQWUX
bunurile consumate p0úLS1. Volumul consumului, necunoscut, este
C0 úL UHVSHFWLY &1LDUIXQF LD GH XWLOLWDWH LQWHUWHPSRUDO 8&0 , C1).
)DFWRUXOGHDFWXDOL]DUHvQWUH FHOHGRX PRPHQWHHVWH GXQGH d
HVWH R UDW GH DFWXDOL]DUH FH DU SXWHD IL GH H[HPSOX UDWD GREkQ]LL
momentul 1;
− OD PRPHQWXO W FRQVXPDWRUXO QX PDL HFRQRPLVHúWH FL vúL
LPSRUWDQW PRELO XQ WHUHQ SHQWUX R FDV GH YDFDQ XQ LPRELO
125
care s-ar vinde cash etc.) sau OD XQ FRQVXPDWRU FDUH vúL SUHJ WHúWH
XQVXUSOXVSHQWUXFRQVXPXOGHGXS SHQVLRQDUH
0RGHOXOGLQDPLFDOFRQVXPDWRUXOXLFXSLD PRQHWDU
126
− GLQ FRQGL LLOH GH RUGLQXO , SHQWUX H[WUHPXO IXQF LHL
UH]XOW
8Q UH]XOWDW LQWHUHVDQW VH RE LQH vQ FD]XO vQ FDUH IXQF LD GH
H[SRQHQ LORU ILLQG GH HODVWLFLW L YH]L FDS 8UP ULQG SURFHGXUD
α V V (1 + d ) −1
C0 = ∗ 0 + 1 (15.8)
α + β po p0
β V (1 + d ) V1
C1 = ∗ 0 + (15.9)
α + β p1 p1
127
este un venit real exprimat prin actualizarea la t = 0, deoarece
V1(1+d)-1HVWHYDORDUHDSUH]HQW DYHQLWXOXLYLLWRU91 ; în (15.9) este
un venit real exprimat la t = 1, deoarece V0(1+d) este valoarea
viitoare a venitului prezent V0.
&RQVXPXOILHF UHLSHULRDGHHVWHRFRW GLQYHQLWXOUHDOWRWDO
FRW UHSUH]HQWkQG SRQGHUHD SH FDUH R DUH HODVWLFLWDWHD XWLOLW LL vQ
XWLOLW α+β
LL
pozitive la t = 1.
6ROX LD R RE LQHP GXS DFHHDúL SURFHGXU vQ SDúL YH]L
128
λ = U ’C1 / p1 = U ’C0 / p 0 ∗ (1 + d ) , (16.5)
UHOD LH vQ FDUH VH REVHUY F SUH XULOH VXQW FRQVLGHUDWH OD W
ILQDQFLDU SR]LWLY DGXV GH HD HVWH PD[LP DWXQFL FkQG HILFLHQ D HL
1
UT = U(C0) + U ( C1 ) , (17.1)
1+ t
vQFDUHWHVWHUDWDGHSUHIHULQ SULQIDFWRUXOWLPS&XFkW t este mai
PDUH FX DWkW SUHIHULQ D SHQWUX SUH]HQW HVWH PDL PLF 'H SLOG
HFKLYDOHQW FX XQLW L GH XWLOLWDWH vQ SUH]HQW GDF W DWXQFL
SUHIHULQ DSHQWUXSUH]HQWHVWHÌQPRGRELúQXLW
129
ÌQ UDSRDUWHOH GH IRUPD 80S UHSUH]LQW LQYHUVXO
este indicele acestui cost, din care se poate determina rata lui de
FUHúWHUH$YHP
1+ d
(p1 / U ’C1 ) /(p 0 / U ’C0 ) = (17.3)
1+ t
d−t
rata CUM = (17.4)
1+ t
astfel încât:
− dDF G > t →FUHúWHUHDFRVWXOXLXWLOLW LLPDUJLQDOH
− FX FkW UDWD GH SUHIHULQ WHPSRUDO HVWH PDL PLF DGLF
PDUJLQDOHFUHúWHPDLUHSHGH
130
p1 1 + p
g (C 0 ) = U ’C0 ⋅ ⋅
p0 1 + d
Înlocuind C1 în (16.3) în care s-D vQORFXLW úL (o conform
VHRE LQHRHFXD LHvQ&o :
[U’]−1 (g(C 0 )) + p 0 (1 + d) C 0 = V1 + V0
−1
+ [f (I 0 ) − I 0 (1 + d )]
1
p1 p1 p 0 (1 + d ) p1
(17.6)
GLQFDUHVHRE LQH nivelul de optim de consum pentru t = 0, fie Co*,
*
FXFDUHVH RE LQHGLQ&1 . Nivelele de optim de consum sunt
GHSHQGHQWHGHWR LSDUDPHWULLPRGHOXOXL
ORJDULWPXOQDWXUDODGLF
1
UT = ln C 0 + ln C1 (18.1)
1+ t
FRUHOD LDGHRSWLPGHYLQH
1 1 1+ t
= ∗
p 1C1 p 0 C 0 1 + d
5DWD GH FUHúWHUH D FRVWXOXL PDUJLQDO HVWH GH IRUPD ,C ∗ Ip unde Ic
este indicele consumului fizic, iar Ip LQGLFHOH SUH XULORU 5H]XOW F
131
'DF H[SULP PLQGLFHOHSUH XULORUSULQUDWDLQIOD LHL, = 1+ ri,
p
atunci
1+ d
IC = , (18.3)
(1 + t )(1 + ri)
GLQFDUHUH]XOW F UDSRUWXOvQWUHFRQVXPXULOHFHORUGRX PRPHQWH
W úL W GHSLQGH GH UDWD GH DFWXDOL]DUH G GH UDWD SUHIHULQ HL
FUHúWH
− GDF UDWD LQIOD LHL FUHúWH FRQVXPXO SUH]HQW VFDGH vQ IDYRDUHD
EDQLLODFHDPDLPDUHSXWHUHGHFXPS UDUHDORU
132
CAPITOLUL 6
)81& ,$'(352'8& ,(
VWXGLXOXLHFRQRPLFDOSURGXF LHLÌQDFHODúLWLPSOXFUXFHGHILQHúWH
UD LRQDO vQ VHQVXO F XUP UHúWH V -úL DPHOLRUH]H SURSULD VLWXD LH vQ
UDSRUWFXRSRUWXQLW LOHSHFDUHLOHRIHU PHGLXHFRQRPLFDGLF vúL
)XQF LD GH SURGXF LH HVWH IRUPDOL]DUHD UHOD LHL vQWUH
RE LQHUHD DFHVWHLD )XQF LD GH SURGXF LH GHVHPQHD] OHJ WXUD
realizarea acestuia.
133
9ROXPXOGHSURGXF LHFH
PD[LPL]HD] SURILWXO
------------------------------
IXQF LDGHSURILW
ETAPA 4
9ROXPXOSURGXF LHLúL
FRVWXULOHGHSURGXF LH
minime
------------------------------ ETAPA 3
IXQF LDGHFRVW
SURGXF LHL
progresul tehnic
Metode (procedee,
WHKQLFLUH HWH
WHKQRORJLLGHSURGXF LH
-----------------------------
IXQF LDGHSURGXF LH ETAPA 1
YROXPXOSURGXF LHLúL
cantitatea de factori)
3URGXF WRUXO
P
Mediul social economic
134
$FHVWH HOHPHQWH SRW IL FRQVLGHUDWH DJUHJDW VDX QX GXS FXP R FHU
FRQGL LLOH úL RELHFWLYHOH VWXGLXOXL )RU D GH PXQF SRDWH IL OXDW vQ
prelucraUH WHUHQXUL SODQWD LL DQLPDOH GH UHSURGXF LH HWF VDX SH
QLYHOH WHKQRORJLFH H[SULPDWH SULQ ³JUXSD GH YkUVW ´ DQXO
IDEULFD LHL
ÌQ WHUPHQLL FHL PDL VLQWHWLFL IXQF LD GH SURGXF LH HVWH R
– SURFHVXO GH IDEULFD LH GH SURGXF LH DO F UXL FRQ LQXW
PHFDQLVP QX HVWH LQYHVWLJDW úL QLFL QX HVWH QHFHVDU V ILH
GLUHFWRU VDX GLUHFWRU JHQHUDO DO XQHL VRFLHW L XQ SUHúHGLQWH DO
³PDFUR´ HVWH ILUHDVF úL GH PXOWH RUL VXILFLHQW SHQWUX D OXD R
VWUXFWXUDO RUJDQL]D LRQDO GH WLS GH PDWHULDO IRORVLW GH QLYHO GH
135
PDUH VLQWH] SULYLQG DFWLYLWDWHD vQWUHSULQGHULL ÌQ DVWIHO GH VLWXD LL
I E
Mecanism de
SURGXF LH
LQWU UL LHúLUL
FHFDUDFWHUL]HD] SURGXF LD
E = f(I), (1.1)
XQGHIÂHVWHIXQF LDGHSURGXF LH
3UHVXSXQkQGQHOHPHQWHSDUWLFLSDQWHODSURGXF LH
L « Q DOH F URU FDQWLW L XWLOL]DWH VXQW [i LDU SURGXF LD
136
SRVLELOLW LORUGHFRPELQDUHSHQWUXRE LQHUHDXQHLSURGXF LLGDWHVH
GLVWLQJGRX FDWHJRULL
a) IDFWRULVXEVWLWXLELOLDGLF DFHLDFXFDUHSRWILFRQVWUXLWHGLIHULWH
aceia.
'LVWLQF LDvQWUHVXEVWLWXLELOLWDWHúLFRPSOHPHQWDULWDWHVHIDFH
SURGXF LHL RE LQXWH QHFHVLW YDULD LD HYLGHQW vQ DFHODúL VHQV D
FDQWLW LLGHIDFWRULXWLOL]DW
b) IDFWRUL GH SURGXF LH ILFúL DGLF FHL SHQWUX FDUH YDULD LD
137
GH SURGXF LH DX FDUDFWHULVWLFD GH YDULDELOLWDWH GDU F QDWXUD
WLPS´úL³SHULRDGDOXQJ GHWLPS´
1. Atât pURGXF LD FkW úL IDFWRULL GH SURGXF LH SRW OXD QXPDL
YDORULSR]LWLYHFHHDFHvQVHDPQ F
IDFWRUXOXLGHSURGXF LHQXSRDWHILQHJDWLY
ÌQ SUDFWLF vQV vQ DFHVW LQWHUYDO VXQW R PXO LPH GH YDORUL
VDX/ ∗ 10 10
QXVXQWUHSUH]HQWDWLYHILHSHQWUXF VXQWSUHDPLFL
138
ILH F VXQW DWkW GH PDUL vQFkW QX YRU SXWHDILDWLQVH QLFLRGDW úLFX
LQILQLWDWHGH]HFLPDOHúLXQDWDUHQLYHOGHXWLOL]DUHDPXQFLLQXYDIL
QLFLRGDW GHFLVSHQWUXGHUXODUHDXQHLDFWLYLW L
DFHDVW YDULD LH HVWH GHILQLW SHQWUX XQ VLQJXU IDFWRU GH SURGXF LH
3. )DFWRULLGHSURGXF LHVXQWVWULFWQHFHVDUL
$FHDVWD vQVHDPQ F GDF FHO PXOW XQD GLQ FRPSRQHQWHOH
YHFWRUXOXL;HVWHQXO DWXQFLI;
IXQF LL DFHVWD DUDW YDULD LD IXQF LHL vQ FD]XO F DUJXPHQWXO DUH R
YDULD LH LQILQLWHVLPDO 'HULYDWD HVWH XQ UDSRUW vQWUH GRX YDULD LL
139
PDUJLQDO DIDFWRUXOXLvQUDSRUWFXFDUHV DI FXWGHULYDUHD
-
$FHDVW SURSULHWDWH SRDWH IL vQ HOHDV úL vQ VHQVXO F
SURGXF LD QX VFDGH GDF QLYHOXO GH XWLOL]DUH D XQXL IDFWRU FUHúWH
fapt ce corespXQGH SULQFLSLXOXL UD LRQDOLW LL QX DUH QLFL XQ VHQV
Limita acestei prRSULHW L HVWH GDW GH FRQGL LLOH WHKQLFH úL
WHKQRORJLFH DOH SURGXF LHL FHHD FH vQVHDPQ F vQ FRQGL LL GDWH
YDULD LD FDQWLW LL XWLOL]DWH GLQWU XQ IDFWRU DWXQFL FkQG FDQWLW
- LOH
XWLOL]DWH GLQ FHLODO L IDFWRUL U PkQ QHPRGLILFDWH QX SRDWH IL RULFkW
úL PXQF OLPLWHOH UDSRUWXOXL GH FRPELQDUH /. VXQW GDWH GH
LQWHUYDOXO > @ vQVHDPQ F SURGXF LD VH SRDWH H[HFXWD XWLOL]k nd
ODRXQLWDWHGHFDSLWDOvQWUHúLXQLW LGHPXQF $GLF SHQWUX
140
GHMDGHS úLWHúLDXIRVWDEDQGRQDWH
QLYHOXO GH XWLOL]DUH D XQXL IDFWRU GH SURGXF LH VSRUXO GH SURGXF LH
RE LQXW UDQGDPHQWXO HVWH GLQ FH vQ FH PDL PLF SHQWUX ILHFDUH
GHIDFWRULGHSURGXF LHVHSRDWHUHDOL]DXQHIHFWPDLPDUHGHFkWFHO
RE LQXWSULQIRORVLUHDVHSDUDW DUHVSHFWLYHORUFDQWLW L
141
ProprietateD VHPQLILF IDSWXO F GDF QLYHOXO GH XWLOL]DUH D
IDFWRULORU GH SURGXF LH VH PXOWLSOLF GH XQ QXP U GH RUL λ, atunci
YROXPXO SURGXF LHL UH]XOWDWH VH PXOWLSOLF GH λ h
RUL 'DF K
IXQF LDVHQXPHúWHRPRWHWLF .
5DQGDPHQWXOGHVFDU
DFHDVW QR LXQH VH LQWURGXFH VWXGLXO LQIOXHQ HL SH FDUH R H[HUFLW
PRGLILFDUHD FDQWLW LORU XWLOL]DWH GH IDFWRUL GH SURGXF LH DVXSUD
volumului acesteia.
3HQWUX vQFHSXW V SUHVXSXQHP K ÌQ DFHVWFD] IXQF LD VH
]LFHFXUDQGDPHQWFRQVWDQWGDF
SURSULHWDWHD FRQIRUP 3H GH DOW SDUWH vQ SDUWLFXODU HVWH
exprLPDW úL FD]XO PRGLILF ULL XQLW LL GH P VXU D IDFWRULORU GH
SURGXF LH &RQIRUP SURSULHW LL IRUPDIXQF LHLQX VH PRGLILF FL
QXPDL H[SUHVLD YROXPXOXL RE LQXW DO SURGXF LHL FD UH]XOWDW DO
142
Q Q
40
25
20
15
10 10
1 6 1 3 6 12 L
3 L
2 2
12
4 4
K
K
UDQGDPHQWGHVFDU FRQVWDQW UDQGDPHQWGHVFDU GHVFUHVF WRU
60
25
10
1 6 12 L
3
2
4
K
UDQGDPHQWGHVFDU FUHVF W or
)LJ5DQGDPHQWXOGHVFDU JOREDO
143
ÌQGDF λ >IXQF LDVH]LFHFXUDQGDPHQWGHVFDU
FUHVF WRU LDU GDF λ < IXQF LD VH ]LFH FX randameQW GH VFDU
JOREDO ILJ vQ FH SULYHúWH R IXQF LH GH SURGXF LH GDW
UDQGDPHQWXO HL GH VFDU HVWH DFHODúL LQGLIHUHQW GH FRPELQDUHD GH
IDFWRULVDXGHGLPHQVLXQHDDQJDMDW DDFHVWRUD
În fig. 29 s-D SUHVXSXV R IXQF LH GH SURGXF LH GHGRL IDFWRUL
4 I./úLQLYHOHFRQVWDQWFUHVF WRDUHFXFRHILFLHQWPXOWLSOLFDWLY
GDF FRHILFLHQWXO PXOWLSOLFDWLY DO SURGXF LHL D FUHVFXW vQ VLWXD LD
ID GH VLWXD LD GHRDUHFH HO U PkQH vQ FRQWLQXDUH PDL PLF GHFkW
144
5DQGDPHQWXOGHVFDU VHH[SULP vQJHQHUDOSHQWUX λ ÌQ
DFHVWFD]VHDVXP λ > 1, astfel încât tipul de randament este redat
de valoarea lui h:
− GDF K UDQGDPHQWXOGHVFDU HVWHFRQVWDQW
'DF UDQGDPHQWXO GH VFDU HVWH FUHVF WRU VH ]LFH GHVSUH R
FDUDFWHULVWLFLOHWHKQLFHDOHSURFHVXOXLGHSURGXF LH
QHIDYRUDELOH GH GH]HFRQRPLH GH VFDU HIHFWXO UHVLP LW ILLQG GH
FRPELQ ULL IDFWRULORU GH SURGXF LH FD úL FRQVWDQ D XQRU FKHOWXLHOL
PHGLX úD 3H GH DOW SDUWH vQV DSDU HIHFWH QHIDYRUDELOH FXP sunt
FUHúWHUHD FRPSOH[LW LL SUREOHPHORU GH RUJDQL]DUH FX LPSDFW
145
QHJDWLYvQHILFLHQ úLFRVWXULLQFOXVLYSULQFUHúWHUHDJUDGXOXLLQWHUQ
VDXDPHGLXOXLúD
IDFH PRGXODU DGLF SH PRGXOH GH FDSDFLWDWH 2 LQVWDOD LH XQ
HFKLSDPHQW R PDúLQ XQ DJUHJDW HWF SRW GD R DQXPLW SURGXF LH
EXF DQXDO UH]XOWDW SULQ XWLOL]DUHD OD PD[LP D FDSDFLW LL H[LVWHQWH
PRGXOH D FkWH GDU FHUHUHD SH SLD HVWH vQ FUHúWHUH
HVWLPDW SHQWUX DQXO XUP WRU vQ MXU GH – 43000 buc.
&UHúWHUHDGHFDSDFLWDWHVHSRDWHIDFHvQV QXPDLPRGXODUFX
IDFH LQYHVWL LD SHQWUX FUHúWHUHD GH FDSDFLWDWH FX EXF )LUPD
S VWUD HD YD SXWHD SURGXFH vQ SOXV I U R LQYHVWL LH VXSOLPHQWDU
146
IXQF LRQDUH D QRLL FDSDFLW L GHRDUHFH HD QX OXFUHD] OD PD[LP
GH]HFRQRPLHGHVFDU
5DQGDPHQWXO GH VFDU HVWH OHJDW úL GH DOWH DVSHFWH DOH
SURGXF LHLúLDQXPH
− QR LXQHD GH UDQGDPHQW GH VFDU HVWH IXQGDPHQWDW SH YDULD LD
VLPXOWDQ D FDQWLW LL XWLOL]DWH GLQ GLIHUL LL IDFWRUL GH SURGXF LH
GH VFDU QX PRGLILF IRUPD IXQF LHL GH SURGXF LH vQ WLPS FH
HVWH GH UHPDUFDW F PRGLILFkQGX úL WDOLD SULQ DFKL]L LL UHSHWDWH
-
úL VXSOLPHQWDUH GH IDFWRUL GH SURGXF LH R întreprindere
EHQHILFLD] QX QXPDL GH UDQGDPHQW GH VFDU FL úL GH SURJUHV
XQLW LOH PDL YHFKL H[SHULHQ D FUHVFXW D IRU HL GH PXQF
nivele dH FDOLILFDUH VXSHULRDU JHQHUD LL PDL QRL GH WHKQRORJLL
úLDOWHPLMORDFHGHSURGXF LHHWF
− QR LXQHD GH UDQGDPHQW GH VFDU H[SOLF HYROX LD FRVWXOXL SH
D ILHF UXL IDFWRU GH SURGXF LH GDU úL GH HILFLHQ D FRPELQ ULL
147
,]RFXDQWDúLUDWDPDUJLQDO GHVXEVWLWXLUH
posibilit LOH WHKQLFH GH FRPELQDUH D ORU FD úL GLQ FDUDFWHULVWLFLOH
de substituire.
6.3.1. Izocuanta
,]RFXDQWD HVWH PXO LPHD GH YHFWRUL GH SURGXF LH ;
LQFOX]kQG FDQWLW L GLIHULWH GLQ IDFWRULL GH SURGXF LH FDUH DX FD
UH]XOWDWXQDFHODúLYROXPGHSURGXF LH
hiperplanul Q din Rn+1 6SD LXO 5n+1 HVWH VSD LXO YHFWRULORU ;¶
RE LQX L SULQ H[WLQGHUHD QXP UXOXL GH FRPSRQHQWH Q GLQ YHFWRULL ;
148
FX vQF R FRPSRQHQW D Q D úL FDUH UHSUH]LQW YROXPXO
-
SURGXF LHL
SURGXF LHL SH FDUH OH DP LQYRFDW OD FXUED GH LQGLIHUHQ
- FDS
cu doi IDFWRUL 4 I./ GDF QLYHOXO FRQVWDQW DO SURGXF LHL HVWH
L LC LB LA L
Fig. 30 Izocuanta Q0 = f(K,L)
GHSURGXF LH
149
Q0 = f(KA,LA) = f(KB,LB) = f(KC,LC)
,]RFXDQWD VH FDUDFWHUL]HD] SULQWU -un nivel variabil al
UDSRUWXOXL vQWUH IDFWRULL GH SURGXF LH 3UHVXSXQkQG DFHVW UDSRUW vQ
UDSRUW VFDGH GDF QH GHSODV P SH L]RFXDQW VSUH GUHDSWD úL FUHúWH
&RQVLGHUkQG úL DOWH FRPELQ UL GH IDFWRUL FDUH DX FD UH]XOWDW
FRQVWLWXLUHD GH VXEPXO LPL 0¶ SHQWUX FDUH QLYHOXO SURGXF LHL HVWH
Q1, Q2 etc SXWHP YRUEL GH R IDPLOLH GH L]RFXDQWH 3URLHF LD ORU vQ
SODQXO ED]HL JHQHUHD] R VXFFHVLXQH GH FXUEH ILHFDUH GH IHOXO FHOHL
GLQ ILJ D F URU GLVSXQHUH UHVSHFW UHOD LD GH RUGLQH GLQWUH
Q1 Q2
Q0
150
Q0 = f(K,L), (4.1)
SHFDUHRH[SOLFLW PvQUDSRUWFL.úLDQXPH
K = g(L,Q0), (4.2)
în care g (⋅HVWHRIXQF LHGHRYDULDELO 40ILLQGFRQVWDQW
ÌQ FD]XO vQ FDUH IDFWRULL GH SURGXF LH VXQW FRPSOHPHQWDUL
SURGXF LH QXPDL úL QXPDL GDF VXQW FRPELQD L vQWU -un raport dat,
strict.
KA A
K2 Q2
K1 Q1
K0 Q0
L0 L1 L2 LB L B
)LJ,]RFXDQWDIDFWRULORUGHSURGXF LHFRPSOHPHQWDUL
9DULD LD RULF UXLD GLQWUH IDFWRULL GH SURGXF LH vQ DIDUD
raportului strict K0/L0, K1/L1, K2/L2 HWF QX DUH FD HIHFW RE LQHUHD
DOWXL YROXP GH SURGXF LH &RPELQD LD $ FDUDFWHUL]DW SULQWU -un
nivel al capitalului KA > K0 DUH FD HIHFW RE LQHUHD DFHOHLDúL
151
SURGXF LL 40 FD úL FRPELQD LD .0 ,L0 GXS FXP FRPELQD LD % FX
5DWDPDUJLQDO GHVXEVWLWXLUH
FRQRWD LH WHKQLF úL GH DFHHD LQGLFDWRUXO SULPHúWH DWULEXWXO GH
VFKLPEHDGLF
152
∆Q ∆Q
wmg i = ⇒∆ x i = (5.2)
∆x i wmg i
úLVLPLODU [j 4ZPJj (5.3)
)RORVLQGúLvQRE LQHP
wmg j
RMST = (5.4)
wmg i
DGLF 5067 DUH R YDORDUH HJDO FX LQYHUVXO UDSRUWXOXL
∆RE LQHP
∆K f L’ wmgL
= , DGLF RMST = (5.6)
∆L f K’ wmgK
$PY ]XWF L]RFXDQWDSRDWHILH[SULPDW SULQIXQF LD
153
K
KC C
KD D
B
KB A
KA
LC LD LB LA L
9DULD LD QLYHOXOXL IDFWRULORU GLQ SXQFWXO & vQ SXQFWXO ' úL
H[LVW UDSRUWXOGHRUGLQH
eVWH WRW PDL JUHX GH vQORFXLW GH F WUH XQ DOWXO FDUH GHYLQH WRW PDL
DEXQGHQW $FHDVWD UHIOHFW GLILFXOWDWHD GLQ FH vQ FH PDL PDUH VDX
PDLPLF GHDVXEVWLWXLXQIDFWRUSULQDOWXO
,QGLFDWRULLGHHILFLHQ DLIDFWRULORUGHSURGXF LH
XWLOL]D L vQ DQDOL]D ED]DW SH IXQF LD GH SURGXF LH YRP FRQVLGHUD R
IXQF LH GH IRUPD vQ FDUH UH]XOWDWXO SURGXF LD QX PDL HVWH
154
constant.
1. Indicatori medii
Q f ( K , L) −
− productivitatea medie a muncii = = WL (6.1)
L L
_
Q f ( K , L)
− productivitatea medie a capitalului = = WK , (6.2)
K K
ILHFDUHGLQHOHUHSUH]HQWkQGYROXPXOSURGXF LHLRE LQXWvQPHGLH
ODRXQLWDWHGHPXQF UHVSHFWLYFDSLWDO
XQLWDWHGHPXQF
2. Indicatori marginali
− SURGXFWLYLWDWHDPDUJLQDO DPXQFLLZPJ/ ∂f / ∂L (7.1)
− SURGXFWLYLWDWHDPDUJLQDO DFDSLWDOXOXLZPJ. ∂f / ∂K, (7.2)
DúDFXPDXIRVWLQWURGXVHúLGHILQLWHvQFDSSURSULHWDWHD
UHOD LD
SHQWUX R IXQF LH GH SURGXF LH FX GRL IDFWRUL DúD FXP D IRVW
3. Indicatori de elasticitate
Elasticitatea unui fenomen economic în raport cu factorii
OXD L GLVWLQFW XQXO FkWH XQXO FDUH vO GHWHUPLQ HVWH GHILQLW FD
155
YDULD LH UHODWLY SURFHQWXDO D IHQRPHQXOXL vQ FD]XO vQ FDUH
x1 QLYHOXOFXUHQWDOIDFWRUXOXLGHLQIOXHQ
∆y = y1 – y0úL ∆x = x1 – x0 (8.4)
Fie operatorul ∆%VHPQLILFkQGYDULD LDUHODWLY DVWIHOvQFkW
156
'LQ UHOD LD VH RE LQH XQ UH]XOWDW LQWHUHVDQW SULQ FkWHYD
&D LQGLFDWRUL GH HODVWLFLWDWH OHJD L GH IXQF LD GH SURGXF LH
avem:
- HODVWLFLWDWHDSURGXF LHLvQUDSRUWFXPXQFD
wmgL
EQ/ L = −
(8.8)
wL
- HODVWLFLWDWHDSURGXF LHLvQUDSRUWFXFDSLWDOXO
wmgK
EQ/ K = −
, (8.9)
wK
VHPQLILFkQG FUHúWHUHD SURFHQWXDO D SURGXF LHL OD YDULD LD FX XQ
adesea cu σ .
3HQWUXD GHWHUPLQDH[SUHVLDDFHVWHLHODVWLFLW LSRUQLPGHOD
157
IDSWXOF 5067HVWHRIXQF LHGHYDULD LDvQ]HVWU ULLWHKQLFHDGLF
Tabel 7
Denumirea
Ipoteza )RUPDIXQF LHL
FRQVDFUDW
1 2 3
α
EQ/L = α Q=a∗K 1-α
∗L Cobb-Douglas
158
1 2 3
1-α / β
α Q=a∗K ∗ Sato-Revancar
EQ/L =
β − kγ ∗ (βLγ - Kγ)α / β γ
α( k − γ ) Q = a ∗ K1-α / β γ ∗ L-α ∗
EQ/L =
k +β ∗ (K+βL)-α (1+γ / β)
αk ( k − γ ) Q = a ∗ K(K+βL) α ( β + γ) ∗
EQ/L =
k +β ∗ L-α ( β + γ) ∗ exp (-k)
RMST = α + βk Q = a [(β + 1)K + α L]
RMST = α ∗ Q = a ∗ L ∗ exp (1/α ∗ exp k)
∗ exp (-k) - k
γ − αk Q= Allen
RMST =
β− γk = (2γ ∗ K ∗ L - α∗K - β∗L ) 2 2 1/2
a ( k − 2) K 2 ∗ L2 Rowe-Sato
RMST = Q=
k (k − 1) a ∗ α∗ K 3 + a ∗ L3
σ = 1 / (1 + ξ) Q= CES
ξ -1/ξ
= a [ σ ∗ K + (1 - σ ) ∗ L ]
-ξ
1RW FRQIRUP 0 $OW U & $UVHQH 5 6WURH – “Probleme privind identificarea
IXQF LLORU GH SURGXF LH PDFURHFRQRPLFH SHQWUX HFRQRPLD URPkQHDVF ´ $6(
%XFXUHúWL 5
159
)XQF LDSURGXFWLYLW LLPXQFLL
RPRWHWLF DVWIHOvQFkWDYHP
f ( K , L)
f(k,1) = (10.3)
L
care, prin abuz de notare, se poate scrie
−
WL = f (k )sauq = f (k ) , (10.4)
unde prin q am notat productivitatea medie a muncii; abuzul de
QRWDUH FRQVW vQ XWLOL]DUHD DFHOHLDúL QRW UL D IXQF LHL UHVSHFWLY I
DWkW vQ FD]XO FkQG HVWH GHILQLW SULQWU R YDULDELO úL R FRQVWDQW
-
IN FkW úL vQ FD]XO FkQG HVWH GHILQLW QXPDL SULQWU R YDULDELO
-
(f(k)).
)XQF LD HVWH IXQF LD SURGXFWLYLW LL PXQFLL
WRDWH SURSULHW LOH IXQF LHL GH SURGXF LH &X DMXWRUXO IXQF LHL
160
SURGXFWLYLW LL VH SRW UHVFULH FD H[SUHVLL GH FDOFXO WR L LQGLFDWRULL
− Q
WL = = q = f (k ) (11.1)
L
2. productivitatea medie a capitalului:
− Q Q L 1 f (k )
WK = = ∗ = f (k ) ∗ = (11.2)
K L K k k
3. SURGXFWLYLWDWHDPDUJLQDO DPXQFLL
∂Q
wmg L = , unde Q = L * f(k) (conform 11.1),
∂L
∂Q ∂
astfel încât = (L * f(k)) sau wmg L = f(k) – k * f’ (k)
∂L ∂L
(11.3)
4. SURGXFWLYLWDWHDPDUJLQDO DFD pitalului
∂
FDúLvQFD]XOSUHFHGHQWZPJ. (L * f(k)),
∂K
astfel încât wmg K = f‘ (k) (11.4)
5. UDWDPDUJLQDO GHVXEVWLWXLUHDIDFWRULORU
wmgL f (k )
RMST = = − k = ξ( k ) (11.5)
wmgK f ’ (k )
161
6. elasticitatea ratei marginale de substituire a factorilor
ξ ’ (k ) k ∗ f (k ) ∗ f ’’ (k )
σ= = ’
ξ(k ) [
f ( k ) ∗ k ∗ f ’( k ) − f (k ) ] (11.6)
k
7. HODVWLFLWDWHDSURGXF LHLvQUDSRUWFXIRU DGHPXQF
Q ’L f ’(k )
EQ/L = = 1− k ∗ ,
Q f (k )
L
XQGH IUDF LD UHSUH]LQW UDSRUWXO vQWUH FUHúWHUHD SURGXFWLYLW LL
PXQFLL úL QLYHOXO HL DGLF ULWPXO FUHúWHULL SURGXFWLYLW LL PXQFLL
astfel avem:
EQ/L = 1 – k * ritm w
8. HODVWLFLWDWHDSURGXF LHLvQUDSRUWFXFDSLWDOXO
Q’K f ’(k )
EQ/L = = k⋅ = k ∗ ritm w
Q f (k )
K
úLVHREVHUY F FHOHGRX HODVWLFLW LVXQWF omplementare în raport
cu unitatea.
162
CAPITOLUL 7
)$&725,/25'(352'8& ,(
5H HWD GH IDEULFD LH HVWH R FRPELQD LH GH IDFWRUL GH
SURGXF LH GH IRUPD LQWURGXV vQ FDSLWROXO 5H HWD HVWH
SURGXF LH VH SRDWH RE LQH FX R PXO LPH GH UH HWH DVWIHO vQFkW
LQWURGXFH XQ FULWHULX GH DOHJHUH 8Q DVWIHO GH FULWHULX HVWH SUH XO
ÌQ DFHVWH FRQGL LL SURGXF WRUXO SRDWH GHILQL GRX WLSXUL GH
probleme de decizie:
a) RE LQHUHD XQXL YROXP GDW GH SURGXF LH OD XQ FRVW GH SURGXF LH
minim:
n
minCT= ∑ p i ∗ xi (1.1)
I =1
163
Q = f (X), (1.2)
XQGH&7 FRVWXOWRWDOGHSURGXF LH
b) RE LQHUHDFHOXLPDLPDUHYROXPSRVLELOGHSURGXF LHODXQEXJHW
HFKLYDOHQWH &HO PDL DGHVHD vQV VH IDFH UHIHULUH OD SUREOHPD D
GHRDUHFH vQ SUDFWLF XQ SURGXF WRU VH JKLGHD] GXS SRUWRIROLXO GH
FRQWUDFWH GH FDUH GLVSXQH FD úL GXS SRUWRIROLXO GH "posibile
comenzi" DJHQ L HFRQRPLFL F URUD OH D RQRUDW FHUHUL GH OLYUDUH úL
-
FDUHDUSXWHDV úLOHUHvQQRLDVF
164
3UHVXSXQkQG VSD LXO -dimensional (doi factori de
SURGXF LH FDSLWDO . úL IRU GH PXQF / UHSUH]HQWDUHD L]RFXDQWHL
úL D GUHSWHORU GH L]RFRVW SUHVXSXQkQG F DYHP UHOD LD GH RUGLQH
B CT4
CT3
CT2
A
KA CT1
LA L
)LJ,]RFXDQWDúLL]RFRVWXULOH
165
Dreapta de izocost este dreapta ce trece prin punctele
(0;CT/pK úL &7SL ;0). Pentru valorile CT1, CT2,….etc. ale
FRVWXOXLVHRE LQHRIDPLOLHGHGUHSWHGHL]RFRVWGHIRUPD
pL CT
K=− ∗L+ , (1.7)
pK pK
DOW SDUWH SH L]RFXDQW ILHFDUH SXQFW DUH R SDQW GH P ULPHD ratei
PDUJLQDOHGHVXEVWLWX LHWHKQLF 5067YH]LUHOD LLOH -
úL -(5.6)). De aceea putem scrie:
wmgL p L
RMST = = , (1.8)
wmgK p K
XQGHZPJ/ SURGXFWLYLWDWHDPDUJLQDO DPXQFLL
OHJ WXUL FRQIRUP FDSLWROXOXL UHOD LLOH VROX LD R
-
RE LQHPGLQFRQGL LLOHGHPLQLPSHQWUXODJUDQJHDQ
respectiv:
∂L
= 0 DGLF λ = p K f K′
∂K
166
∂L
= 0 DGLF λ = p L f L′
∂L
sau p K f K′ = p L f L′ ,
UDSRDUWH FH UHSUH]LQW FRVWXO PDUJLQDO DO SURGXF LHL RE LQXWH SH
VHDPD XQXLD VDX D DOWXLD GLQWUH IDFWRUL DVWIHO vQFkW FRQGL LD GH
RSWLPVHUHGXFHODHJDOLWDWHDFHORUGRX FRVWXULPDUJLQDOH
f K′ p
= L
f L′ p K
PDUJLQDOH HVWH FKLDU 5067 FDSLWROXO UHOD LD DWXQFL
úL &72 VXQW LQVXILFLHQWH SHQWUX D SXWHD IL IDEULFDW R SURGXF LH GH
P ULPHD FHOHL FH D JHQHUDW L]RFXDQWD 4 3H GH DOW SDUWH DFHVW
YROXP GH SURGXF LH SRDWH IL RE LQXW FX FKHOWXLHOL GH P ULPH &73
VDX PDL PDUL 3XQFWHOH $ % úL & H[SULP JUDILF DFHVW OXFUX GDU
dintre ele este de preferat A, care corespunde celui mai mic izocost.
&RPELQD LD RSWLP vQWUH IDFWRULL GH SURGXF LH UH HWD RSWLP HVWH
(LA,KA).
167
7.2. 9DULD LDUH HWHLRSWLPH
5H HWD RSWLP GH IDEULFD LH YDULD] vQ UDSRUW FX SUH XULOH
L]RFRVWXO VH PRGLILF DFFHQWXkQGX úL SDQWD DVWIHO F VH RE LQH XQ
-
nou punct de optim, punctul B (fig. 35).
K
CT/pK izocuanta Q
K B
B
CT/pK
KA A
LB CT/PL2 L CT/PL1 L
168
Deoarece pL1 < pL2 IDFWRUXO PXQF VH VFXPSHúWH QRXD
UH HW YD LQFOXGH R FDQWLWDWH PDL PLF GH PXQF /B < LA úL PDL
mare de capital (KA > KB DGLF YD PRGLILFD UDWD PDUJLQDO GH
VXEVWLWX LHvQWUHFHLGRLIDFWRUL
SDUDOHO FX GUHDSWD GH L]RFRVW FH FRQ LQH SXQFWXO % &RQIRUP
VXEVWLWXLUH DGLF R IXQF LH LQYHUV FHOHL LQWURGXVH vQ FDSLWROXO
SULQUHOD LD
169
k = [g] (RMST) ,
−1
(3.1)
(3.2)
[g ] −1
(RMST)
RMST
Deoarece RMSTK/L HVWH HJDO FX UDSRUWXO LQYHUV DO
SUH XULORULDUHODVWLFLWDWHDYDGHYHQL
′
E k / (p = σ −1 =
([g] ) (p
−1
L / pK )
(3.3)
L / pK )
[g] (p −1
/ pK )
L
pL / pK
&RQ LQXWXO HFRQRPLF DO DFHVWHL HODVWLFLW L HVWH QXP UXO GH
170
necesita un alt cuantum de cheltuieli CT1<CT2<CT3<«HWFGDWRULW
GHSURGXF LHILJXUD/C > LB > LAúL.C >KB > KA.
K
CT3
KC CT1 C
KB B
KA A Q3
Q2
Q1
LA LB LC
)LJ9DULD LDUH HWHLRSWLPHvQUDSRUWFXYROXPXO
171
WUDVHD] traiectoria de extindere RSWLP DSURGXF LHL3HQWUXILHFDUH
pK pL
=
f K′ (K, L) f L′ (K, L)
K = K(L, p K , p L ) , (4)
rescrie în forma:
(
Q = f K(L, p K , p L ), L , )
HFKLYDOHQW FXIRUPD
Q = f1 ( L, p K , p L ) , (5)
L = [f1 ] (Q, p K , p L )
−1
(6)
172
FDUHFRURERUDW FXUHOD LDQHFRQGXFHODH[SUHVLDFDSLWDOXOXL
(
K = K [f1 ] (Q, p K , p L ), p K , p L
−1
)
sau, altfel scris,
K = f 2 (Q , p K , p L ) (7)
SURGXF LH SH GH R SDUWH úL YROXPXO SURGXF LHL úL SUH XULOH XQLWDUH
GH FHUHUH D IDFWRUXOXL GH SURGXF LH )LLQG FRQVWUXLW SH ED]D
DWLQJHUHDXQXLYROXPGDWGHSURGXF LHFXFHOPDLPLFFRVWSRVLELO
173
CAPITOLUL 8
PXOWH RELHFWLYH vQ UDSRUW FX LQWHUHVXO LPHGLDW DO SURGXF WRUXOXL
6WUXFWXUD úL YROXPXO SURGXF LHL VXQW GLIHUHQ LDWH vQ UDSRUW FX
FDUH OD IHO FD úL SUH XULOH IDFWRULORU GH SURGXF LH HVWH FRQVLGHUDW
Q = f(X) (1.2)
174
úL GLIHU GH PRGHOXOFRVWXOXLWRWDO PLQLP - (1.2), capitolul 7)
doar prin constanta Q∗pQ. Ori, în acest caz, modelul profitului total
optim se reduce la modelul costului total optim.
ùFRDODHFRQRPLF PRGHUQ SRVWFODVLF DSXVvQGLVFX LHúL
)XQF LLOH GH FRVW H[SULP UHOD LD vQWUH FRVWXO WRWDO GH
SURGXF LH UH]XOWDW DO FRQVXPXOXL GH IDFWRUL úL YROXPXO SURGXF LHL
IDFWRULORUGHSURGXF LH
doi factori):
- ecXD LDGHFDOFXODFRVWXOXLWRWDO
CT = K ∗ pK + L ∗ pL (1.3)
-IXQF LDGHFHUHUHGHFDSLWDO
175
K=K(Q,pK,pL) (1.4)
-IXQF LDGHFHUHUHGHPXQF
L=L(Q,pK,pL) (1.5)
3ULQ VXEVWLWXLUHD UHOD LLORU úL DOH PRGHOXOXL vQ
UHOD LD VH RE LQH R IXQF LH GH FRVW DO F UHL DUJXPHQW HVWH
IXQF LL SH WHUPHQ VFXUW SHQWUX FDUH VH FRQVLGHU F XQHOH GLQ
FRQVXPXULOH GH IDFWRUL QX VXQW YDULDELOH úL SH WHUPHQ OXQJ SHQWUX
aici o IXQF LH GH FRVW SH WHUPHQ OXQJ úL R IXQF LH GHFRVW SHWHUPHQ
scurt.
)XQF LDGHFRVWSHWHUPHQOXQJ
176
- costul marginal: CTmg = CT′(Q ) , (3.2)
H[LVW XQ PLQLP DO DFHVWXLD 1LYHOXO SURGXF LHL SHQWUX FDUH VH
′
(CT ) (Q) = 0 sau CT′′(Q) = 0
mg (4)
CT
A
Q1 Q
Fig. 37 Curba costului total
9ROXPXO GH SURGXF LH 41 HVWH FHO SHQWUX FDUH VH RE LQH
PLQLPXOFRVWXOXLPDUJLQDOGDUúLFHOGHODFDUHvQFHSkQGDOXUD
177
FRVWXOXL WRWDO VH VFKLPE DGLF VH PRGLILF WHQGLQ D YLWH]HL OXL GH
HYROX LH GH XQGH SkQ OD 41 WHQGLQ D HUD GH GLPLQXDUH GH OD DF
est
SXQFWvQDLQWHWHQGLQ DHVWHGHFUHúWHUH
([LVWHQ D XQXL PLQLP vQ HYROX LH HVWH DFFHSWDW úL SHQWUX
FRVWXO PHGLX 1LYHOXO SURGXF LHL SHQWUX FDUH VH vQUHJLVWUHD] DFHVW
PDUJLQDOHVWHSHVWHFHDDFRVWXOXLPHGLXDFHVWDGLQXUP FUHúWH
9DORDUHDSURGXF LHLSHQWUXFRVWXOPHGLXPLQLPHVWH
CT
Q2 = (7)
CTmg
úL UHSUH]LQW XQ SXQFW OD GUHDSWD OXL 41 ILJXUD $FHDVW
raportFXQLYHOXOFHOXLGLQWkLÌQJHQHUDOHVWHDFFHSWDWF
178
CTmg4 &704 7UHFHUHDODQLYHOXOGHSURGXF LH4 vQ
FRQGL LLOH WHQGLQ HL SURGXF WRUXOXL GH D úL PD[LPL]D SURILWXO HVWH
-
HIHFWXDW QXPDL vQ P VXUD vQ FDUH &704 < CTM(Q=1), din
care rezulW LPSOLFLW F &7mg (Q=2) < CTM(Q=1). Astfel, curba
FRVWXOXL PDUJLQDO VH DIO VXE FHD D FRVWXOXL PHGLX DWkWD WLPS FkW
FRQGL LHL GH PLQLP $FHVW OXFUX QX HVWH SRVLELO GHRDUHFH vQ
intervalul (1;Q1) FRVWXO PDUJLQDO HVWH vQ VF GHUH DVWIHO vQFkW FRVWXO
PHGLXQXSRDWHFUHúWHILJXUD
)LJ&XUEHOHFRVWXOXLPDUJLQDOúLPHGLX
XQ HIHFW IDYRUDELO SHQWUX SURGXF WRU $FHVW HIHFW VH vQUHJLVWUHD]
179
SkQ OD QLYHOXO GH SURGXF LH 4 42 , deoarece costul total mediu
HVWH vQ GHVFUHúWHUH SkQ vQ DFHVW SXQFW 'XS DFHVW QLYHO GH
SURGXF LH UDQGDPHQWXO GH VFDU DSDUH vQ VHQVXO GH]HFRQRPLLORU GH
GH SURGXF LH DUDW GHYDQVDUHD VDX QX D FUHúWHULL SURGXF LHL GH F WUH
K!
)LJ(YROX LDFRVWXOXLWRWDOvQUDSRUWFXUDQGDPHQWXOGHVFDU
180
FRVWXULOHIL[HúLFHOHYDULDELOH
181
&7
&7
&9
&9
&)
&)
4 4
)LJ)XQF LLOHG
e cost pe termen scurt
&RVWXOIL[PHGLXHVWHRIXQF LHGHVFUHVF WRDUHvQUDSRUWFX
Costul total mediu admite un minim Q2 vQ DFHOHDúL FRQGL LL
úL FX DFHHDúL PRWLYD LH FD vQ FDSLWROXO ÌQ SOXV LQkQG VHDPD
GHUH]XOW
CVM ′(Q) = 0 ,
182
CV
Q3 = (14)
CVmg
úL UHSUH]LQW XQ SXQFW vQWUH 41 úL 42 ILJXUD $FHDVW
SR]L LRQDUH HVWH PRWLYDW SULQ HYROX LD FRVWXOXL IL[ PHGLX $FHVWD
HVWH SHUPDQHQW GHVFUHVF WRU ID GH FRVWXO WRWDO PHGLX FDUH HVWH
GHVFUHVF WRU QXPDL vQ LQWHUYDOXO 4 ∈(0;Q2] 'DF SURGXF LD 43 >Q2,
DFHDVWDDUvQVHPQDF vQLQWHUYDOXO4 ∈(Q2;Q3] costul variabil mediu
ar fivQVF GHUH'HRDUHFHúLFRVWXOIL[PHGLXHVWHvQVF GHUHUH]XOW
WHUPHQ OXQJ úL FRQIRUP PRWLYD LHL GDWH vQ FDSLWROXO GXS
UHOD LD PLQLPXO FRVWXOXL PHGLX HVWH OD GUHDSWD FHOXL DO FRVWXOXL
PDUJLQDO (YROX LD FRVWXOXL WRWDO HVWH vQ SULP DQDOL] GHWHUPLQDW
GHHYROX LDFRPSRQHQWHORUVDOHFDúLGHUDSRUWXOORUGHRUGLQHWRDWH
183
&70 &PJ
&70
&)0
&90 &90
&PJ
&)0
4444
Tabelul 8
9DULD LD ,QWHUYDOHGHSURGXF LH
∆CTM <0 <0 <0 <0 <0 pentru =0 pentru >0 pentru
F |∆CFM | F |∆CFM | F |∆CFM |
<∆CVM =∆CVM >∆CVM
184
8.2. Modele ale optimului cifrei de afaceri
PDQLIHVWDWH SH SLD D DPHULFDQ ÌQ GRULQ D GH D úL H[WLQGH DIDFHULOH
-
úL PDL DOHV GH D úL VSRUL FRWD GH SLD
- SURGXF WRULL XUP UHVF
UHDOL]DUHD XQRU vQFDV UL FLIUH GH DIDFHUL PD[LPH FX FRQGL LD GH D
VWDWRUQLFLHLILUPHLúLDEXQHORUHLSHUVSHFWLYH
SURGXF LHL
p = p(Q ) (15.1)
185
-IXQF LDFLIUHLGHDIDFHUL&$ S4 ∗Q (15.2)
-UHVWULF LDGHSURILWS4∗ Q - CT(Q) > PD, (15.3)
unde PD este nivelul dorit al profitului total.
3HQWUX PRGHOHOH GH DFHVW IHO FRQGL LD GH RSWLP VH RE LQH SH
ED]DIXQF LHL/DJUDQJH
∂L ∂p(Q) ∂p(Q )
= p(Q) + ∗ Q + λ ∗ ( p(Q ) + ∗Q-
∂Q ∂Q ∂Q
∂CT(Q) ∂L
- ) <úL ∗Q=0 (16.2)
∂Q ∂Q
)XQF LD /DJUDQJH PDL SRDWH IL VFULV LQkQG VHDPD GH
PDUJLQDODGLF
∂p(Q)
CA′= p(Q) + ∗Q (16.5)
∂Q
186
∂CT(Q)
CT′= (16.6)
∂Q
5HOD LD LQkQGVHDPDGHúLVHUHVFULH
1+ λ
'DF λ >UH]XOW F &7mg = ∗ VTmgDGLF
λ
VTmg < CTmgFHHDFHvOGHWHUPLQ SHSURGXF WRUV QXPDLSURGXF
QLPLF vQ SOXV SHVWH FHHD FH SURGXVHVH GHMD GHRDUHFH VSRUXO V X GH
venit este mai mic decât sporul de cheltuieli, caz în care volumul de
SURGXF LHIDEULFDWDVLJXU PD[LPL]DUHDFLIUHLGHDI aceri (figura 42).
ÌQILJXUDVHSUH]LQW úLFXUEDSURILWXOXLWRWDO37UH]XOWDW
FDGLIHUHQ vQWUHFLIUDGHDIDFHULúLFRVWXOWRWDO
începând cu nivelul QC DO SURGXF LHL vQFDV ULOH DU VF GHD vQ WLPS
FH FRVWXULOH VXQW vQ FUHúWHUH DVWIHO vQFkW QX V DU PDL SXWHD RE LQH
-
187
SHQWUX QLFL XQ QLYHO DO SURGXF LHL XQ SURILW mai mare decât cel
GLQDLQWH DGLF SURILWXO DU IL vQ VF GHUH FHHD FH vQVHDPQ F DU IL
)LJ5HOD LDvQWUHQLYHOXOGDWDOSURILWXOXLúLPD[LPXO
cifrei de afaceri
188
SURGXF LHL 4C DVLJXU úL FLIUD PD[LP GH DIDFHUL 2ULFH DOW QLYHO DO
CA*, se poate determina ″regretul″ vQWUH SURILW úL FLIUD GH DIDFHUL
UHOD LLOH - FDSLWROXO 0RGHOXO U VSXQGH XQHL
SURGXF WRUXOXL vQ FRQGL LLOH vQ FDUH FRVWXULOH VDOH IL[H GH SURGXF LH
VH P UHVF ÌQ DFHVW FD] HO UHDOL]HD] XQ FRVW WRWDO GH SURGXF LH
GDU GHSODVDW ″în sus″. Drept urmare, noua FXUE 37 SDUDOHO FX
189
'DF vQWUHSULQ] WRUXO ″ULJLGL]HD] ″ nivelul dorit al
SURILWXOXL DWXQFL QX YD PDL SXWHD RE LQH YDORDUHD PD[LP D FLIUHL
YUHDV UHQXQ H
DFFHSWkQGXQQLYHOPDLVF ]XW3'DOSURILWXOXLGRULW
întrHSULQGHULL OD XQ PRPHQW GDW HVWH ULWPXO GH FUHúWHUH DO DFHVWHLD
0RGHOXO OXL 5 0DUULV IRUPXOHD] SUREOHPD SHQWUX VLWXD LD vQ FDUH
XQ vQWUHSULQ] WRU GRUHúWH DFKL]L LD XQHL vQWUHSULQGHUL SULQ RIHUW
DILUPHLúLULWPXOHLGHFUHúWHUH
190
YDORDUHD EXUVLHU D ILUPHL 9% úL YDORDUHD FRQWDELO D DFWLYHORU
UHLQYHVWLULLXQHLS U LPDLPDULGLQSURILW
− rata profitului FDOFXODW vQ UDSRUW FX DFWLYHOH VRFLHW LL ra,
reprezentând raportul între total profiWúLDFWLYHOHILUPHLGDF UD
ILUP GDF UDWD VFRQWXOXL FUHúWH DWXQFL ILUPD DUH WHQGLQ D GH D
191
QXWUDQVIRUPDvQ OLFKLGLW LHIHFWHOHVDOHFRPHUFLDOHDVWIHOvQFkW
GLPHQVLXQLORU ILUPHL IRQG GH VDODULL QXP U GH SHUVRQDO YROXP GH
FH GHILQHúWH OHJ WXUD vQWUH ULWPXO GH FUHúWHUH úL UDWD GH HYDOXDUH
− UHOD LD vQWUH UDWD GH HYDOXDUH SH GH R SDUWH úL ULWPXO FUHúWHULL
DFWLYHORU DSUR[LPDW vQ F úL UDWD SURILWXOXL UD SH GH DOW SDUWH
ULWPXOPD[LPGHFUHúWHUHDILUPHL :
ra(d) = c(d) (18.3)
192
'LQ UHOD LLOH UH]XOW F UDWD GH HYDOXDUH HVWH
-
vQIRQGGHSHQGHQW GHUDWDGHFUHúWHUH
∂L ∂U ∂F ∂L
= + λ∗ < 0, ∗F = 0
∂c ∂c ∂c ∂F
∂L ∂U ∂F ∂L
= + λ∗ +µ < 0, ∗H = 0
∂e ∂e ∂e ∂H
Dac FúLHQXVXQWQXOHúLUHVWULF LDQXHVWHIOH[LELO
DWXQFL VH RE LQH FD R FRQGL LH GH RSWLP SURSRU LRQDOLWDWHD vQWUH
∂U ∂F ∂U ∂F
= sau
∂c ∂c ∂e ∂e
∂U ∂U ∂F ∂F
= , (19.4)
∂c ∂e ∂c ∂e
193
HJDOLWDWHFDUHvQGUHDSWDFRQ LQHUDWDPDUJLQDO GHVXEVWLWXLUHvQWUH
FHOH GRX UDWH FHD GH FUHúWHUH SULQ FHD GH HYDOXDUH DGLF FX FkWH
FRPSHQVD XWLOLWDWHD RE LQXW GH DFKL]LWRU GDF ULWPXO GH FUHúWHUH DO
ILUPHLVHGLPLQXHD] FXXQSXQFWSURFHQWXDO
'DF UHVWULF LD HVWH IOH[LELO DWXQFL FRQGL LD
devine:
∂U ∂U ∂F ∂F µ
= + (19.5)
∂c ∂e ∂c ∂e λ
194
CAPITOLUL 9
(&+,/,%58/3,( (,3(5)(&7(
SURGXF WRUXOXL V DX ED]DW SH LSRWH]D XQRU SUH XUL H[RJHQH DO F URU
-
HIHFW VH UHJ VHúWH SULQ HFXD LD GH EXJHW VDX vQ IXQF LLOH GH
FHUHUHRIHUW
SUH XO FDUH SHQWUX XQ SURGXV GDW IDFH FRPSDWLELO FHUHUHD
IRUPXODW GH FRQVXPDWRU FX RIHUWD JHQHUDW GH SURGXF WRU 3LD D
úL YkQ] WRUL UHODWLY OD XQ SURGXV PDUI RELHFW DO VFKLPEXOXL OD
DQXPLW SUH úL XQ DQXPLW YROXP FDQWLWDWH GLQ UHVSHFWLYXO SURGXV
vL GHWHUPLQ SH DJHQ LL HFRQRPLFL V -úL FRQFUHWL]H]H GRULQ D GH D
YLQGHVDXFXPS UDJHQHUkQGWUDQ]DF LDWUDQ]DF LLOH
XQ DQXPLW EXQ úL FDUH DUH FD UH]XOWDW VWDELOLUHD XQHL FDQWLW L FH VH
YD WUDQ]DF LRQD úL D XQXL SUH DIHUHQW 9DULD LD FHUHULL VDX D RIHUWHL
195
YDULD LD ORU VLPXOWDQ SRDWH VDX QX vQ FD]XUL SDUWLFXODUH V
(FKLOLEUXO HVWH R VWDUH vQ FDUH VH J VHúWH OD XQ PRPHQW GDW
SDUWLFLSDQ L OD VFKLPE V D IRUPDW vQ PRG VSRQWDQ úL SULQ vQVXúL
-
PHFDQLVPXO WUDQ]DF LRQ ULL FDQWLWDWHD FH VH WUDQ]DF LRQHD] úL
SURGXV VDX OD WRDWH SURGXVHOH OD XQ ORF DQXPH XQGH VH GHVI úRDU
196
XQGH'
úL2
UHSUH]LQW YROXPXOGHHFKLOLEUXDOWUDQ]DF LLORU
S 2
'
' '2
)LJ&HUHUHDRIHUWDúLHFKLOLEUXO
sociDOH DVSHFWH SROLWLFH HYROX LD úL VWUXFWXUD GHPRJUDILF ú D P
SFHUHUHDSRDWHILPDLPDUHVDXPDLPLF ILJ
H[SULPDW SULQ IXQF LD '2 *UDILF DFHDVWD vQVHDPQ F IXQF LD '0
s-DPLFúRUDW
197
ÌQ FRQGL LLOH vQ FDUH RIHUWD QX VH PRGLILF VH YD SURGXFH R
S 2U S 'U
2
' '
2
'
2
'
S
2
S
S
S
S
S
198
Or (fig. 45), iar cea a cererii este dreapta Dr (fig. 46). Volumul de
HFKLOLEUXDOWUDQ]DF LHLQXVHPRGLILF vQVFKLPEVHPRGLILF SUH XO
SLH HL FDUH SHUPLWH DJHQ LORU HFRQRPLFL V DGRSWH GHFL]LL GH
unui bun;
(ii) SLD DSHUPLWHH[SULPDUHDSURGXF LHLvQWHUPHQLGHFRVWSRUQLQG
GH OD SUH XO SLH HL úL GH OD YROXPXO WUDQ]DF LLORU SURGXF WRUXO
EXQ HO SURGXFH vQ P VXUD vQ FDUH FRVWXO GH SURGXF LH HVWH
LQIHULRUSUH XOXL
199
produs, conseFXWLY GLPLQX ULL SUH XOXL GH HFKLOLEUX vL
GHWHUPLQ SH SURGXF WRUL V LDV GH SH SLD úL V vQFHUFH V
SURGXF DOWHSURGXVHPDLSURILWDELOH
∂PT
(i) = 0 → p = C mg , (2.1)
∂Q
∂CT
unde C mg = = costul marginal.
∂Q
200
∂ 2 PT ∂C mg
(ii) 2 < 0→ > 0, (2.2)
∂Q ∂Q
DGLF HVWHQHFHVDUV H[LVWHXQFRVWPDUJLQDOFUHVF WRU
vQ FDUH SUHVXSXQHP F GHULYDWD IXQF LHL GH FRVW &7 ′, admite o
LQYHUV DYHP
în care []
−1
⋅ este nRWD LDSHQWUXIXQF LDLQYHUV
3HQWUX SURILWXO QXO 37 IXQF LD GH RIHUW DUH H[SUHVLD
3RUQLQG GH OD IXQF LD GH RIHUW 4 4S VH SRDWH GHILQL
HODVWLFLWDWHDRIHUWHLvQUDSRUWFXSUH XO
201
∆ %Q
EQ/P= , (4)
∆%p
în care am utLOL]DW DFHOHDúL QRWD LL FD úL vQ FDSLWROXO - 8.6),
LQGLFDWRU FH H[SULP VHQVLWLYLWDWHD RIHUWHL vQ UDSRUW FX SUH XO
UHVSHFWLY FkW GH PXOW YDULD] RIHUWD OD R YDULD LH FX % D SUH XOXL
'DF (Q/P RIHUWD VH QXPHúWH SHUIHFW LQHODVWLF GDF (Q/P = ∞,
RIHUWD VH QXPHúWH SHUIHFW HODVWLF GDF (Q/P > RIHUWD VH QXPHúWH
HODVWLF GDF (Q/P ∈RIHUWDVHQXPHúWHLQHODVWLF GDF (Q/P =1
VHVSXQHF RIHUWDHVWHGHHODVWLFLWDWHXQLWDU HFKLHODVWLF
WUDQ]DF LLORU QX HVWH PD[LP &D XUPDUH DFHVW SUH VH GHWHUPLQ QX
(1.1 - 1.2).
Pentru a determina efectul de profit sau de pierdere indus de
DFHVWSUH WUHEXLHV LQHPVHDPDúLGHFRUHOD LDOXLFXFRVWXOPHGLX
DO SURGXF LHL D F UHL HYROX LH HVWH FRQIRUP FHORU SUH]HQWDWH vQ
202
)LJ3LHUGHUHDUHVSHFWLYSURILWXOLQGXVHGHSUH XOGHHFKLOLEUXvQ
acela pentUX FDUH SUH XO GH YkQ]DUH HVWH HJDO FX FRVWXO PDUJLQDO
SXQFWXO % UHVSHFWLY & F URUD OH FRUHVSXQG SURGXF LLOH 41 ,
respectiv Q2.
/D DFHVW SUH GH YkQ]DUH DSDUH R GLIHUHQ ID GH FRVWXO
deoaUHFH SUH XO HVWH VXE QLYHOXO FRVWXOXL PHGLX DVWIHO vQFkW
JUDILFSULQVXSUDID DGUHSWXQJKLXOXLKDúXUDW'HRDUHFHDYHPvQSOXV
F SUH XO HVWH OD DFHVW QLYHO GH SURGXF LH SHVWH YDORDUHD F ostului
PHGLXYDULDELOUH]XOW F SURGXF WRUXOQXDDWLQVSUDJXOGHvQFHWDUH
D DFWLYLW LL DVWIHO vQFkW vQ DQXPLWH VLWXD LL HVWH SRVLELO FD HO V
FRQWLQXH SURGXF LD $ GRXD GLIHUHQ HVWH XQ SURILW GHRDUHFH SUH XO
203
este peste nivelul costului, astfel încât profitul total este dat de
produsul (p* - CTM) ∗ Q2LGHQWLILFDWJUDILFSULQVXSUDID D
GUHSWXQJKLXOXLKDúXUDW
a volumului de HFKLOLEUX DO WUDQ]DF LLORU '2 VH SRDWH IDFH SH R
SLD SHUIHFW vQ PDL PXOWH PRGDOLW L GLQ FDUH YRP SUH]HQWD vQ
FRQWLQXDUHPRGHOXOHYDOXDWRUXOXLJHQHUDOúLPRGHOXO&REZHE
P UIXUL úL FKLDU SH SLD D YDOXWDU vQ ULOH FH QX DX R
FRQYHUWLELOLWDWHGHSOLQ
ILHF UXL DJHQW HFRQRPLF úL D SUH XOXL GH FXPS UDUHYkQ]DUH OD FDUH
DQXQ DWGHHOScúLYROXPXOFHUHULLDIHUHQWHOXL'c
204
v = LQGLFH SULQ FDUH LGHQWLILF P XQ YkQ] WRU SUH XO GH YkQ]DUH
DQXQ DWGHHOSvúLYROXPXORIHUWHLDIHUHQWHOXL2v
H[HPSOX GHVFUHVF WRU úL VXQW LGHQWLILFDWH SULQWU -un indice i (i=1÷I)
DVWIHOF S1HVWHFHOPDLPDUHSUH DQXQ DWSmax ), iar pI este cel mai
PLFSUH DQXQ DWSmin ).
3HQWUXXQSUH Si pot fi identificate atât cererea, D(piFkWúL
oferta, O(pi), astfel:
C
D(pi) = ∑D
c =1
c i = 1÷I (5.1)
pc = pi
V
O(pi) = ∑O
v =1
v i = 1÷I (5.2)
p v = pi
UDSRUW FX SUH XO GHMD DQXQ DW DU IL GLVSXúL V FXPSHUH OD DFHVW SUH
GHRDUHFH HL DX DQXQ DW GHMD XQ SUH PDL PDUH GH FXPS UDUH
precum úL RIHUWD WXWXURU YkQ] WRULORU FDUH vQ UDSRUW FX SUH XO GHMD
205
PHQ LRQDW DU IL GLVSXúL V YkQG OD DFHVW SUH GHRDUHFH HL DX
DT(pi) =
∑ ' (5.3)
=1
≥
V
OT(pi) = ∑O
v =1
v (5.4)
p v ≤ pi
6H SRDWH FRQVWUXL XQ WDEHO VLQRSWLF WDEHOXO DO SUH XULORU
DOFHUHULLRIHUWHLSHQWUXXQSUH GDWúLDOFHUHULLRIHUWHLFXPXODWH
Tabelul 9
Cererea Cererea la un Oferta la un Oferta
&& #" %
$
$
!"#
!"#
1 2 3 4 5
DT(p1)=D(p1) D(p1) p1 O(p1) OT(p1)=
∑ O(p )
I
=
j
j =1
∑ O(p )
+D(p2) =
I
j
j= 2
( )= ( )=
C V
' (
+, * ) -
= ∑' S
= ∑D c = ∑O =∑
+
v
'
c =1 v =1 =
=1 pc = p i
pv = p i
c
= ∑D
c =1
c
……… = ∑O
V
v
pc ≥pi ……… ………… v =1
pv ≤ p i
…………… ………
206
1 2 3 4 5
DT(pI-1)= D(pI-1) pI-1 O(pI-1) OT(pI-1)=
∑ D(p )
I −1 =O(pI-1)+
= +O(pI)
j
j=1
∑ D(p )
I =O(pI)
=
j
j=1
″
VHDPD úL GH FHOH IRUPXODWH OD FHO PDL EXQ SUH ″ 'HDFHHDUHOD LLOH
úLVHPRGLILF GXS FXPXUPHD]
C
DT(pi) = ∑D
c =1
c + D0 (5.5)
pc ≥ pi
V
OT(pi) = ∑O
v =1
v + O0 (5.6)
p v ≤pi
FRPSDUD LH SH ILHFDUH QLYHO GH SUH DO FHUHULL úL RIHUWHL FXPXODWH
GHRDUHFH vQ PRG RELúQXLW GLIHUL L FXPS U WRUL UHVSHFWLY YkQ] WRUL
207
XQHOH GLQ SUH XULOH DQXQ DWH GH FXPS U WRUL VXQW LGHQWLFH FX XQHOH
GLQWUH FHOH DQXQ DWH GH YkQ] WRUL ÌQ FD]XO vQ FDUH XQ SUH Sr nu se
UHJ VHúWH SULQWUH SUH XULOH GH FXPS UDUH FHUHUHD 'r GXS FXP
GDF DFHVW SUH QX VH UHJ VHúWH SULQWUH SUH XULOH GH YkQ]DUH 2r =0.
Modelul evaluatorului general nu este afectat de acest lucru
GHRDUHFH VH ED]HD] SH FHUHUHD UHVSHFWLY RIHUWD WRWDO FXPXODW
$VWIHO FHUHUHD WRWDO OD SUH XO Sr , respectiv D(pr), nu este nul FL
HVWH HJDO FX FHUHUHD WRWDO H[SULPDW OD QLYHOXO SULPXOXL SUH GH
FHUHUH H[LVWHQW vQ úLUXO Si , (i=1÷I), imediat înaintea lui pr, deoarece
DFHVW SUH HVWH PDL PDUH GHFkW Sr úL WR L FXPS U WRULL FDUH O -au
DQXQ DW FD úL FHL FDUHDX DQXQ DWSUH XULPDL mari decât acesta, vor
IL GH DFRUG V FXPSHUH OD XQ SUH PDL PLF 6LPLODU VH vQWkPSO vQ
care l-DX DQXQ DW FD úL FHL FH DX DQXQ DW SUH XUL PDL PLFL GHFkW
DFHVWDYRUILGHDFRUGV YkQG ODXQSUH PDLPDUH
208
JHQHUHD] XQJUDILFFHRVXJHUHD]
9RP SUHVXSXQH F IXQF LLOH GH FHUHUH úL GH RIHUW VXQW
OLQLDUH vQ SUH úL F SDUDPHWULL FDUDFWHULVWLFL ILH D E F úL G VXQW
pozitivi:
D(p) = a - b ∗ p (6.1)
O(p) = - c + d ∗ p (6.2)
3H ED]D FRQGL LHL GH HFKLOLEUX 'S 2S RE LQHP SUH XO
de echilibru:
a+c
p* = , (6.3)
b+d
SUHFXPúLYROXPXOGHHFKLOLEUXDOWUDQ]DF LLORU
ad − bc
D* = O* = (6.4)
b+d
0HQ LRQ PFRQ LQXWXOHFRQRPLFDOSDUDPHWULORUEúLGVXQW
VHQVLWLYLW L DOH FHUHULLRIHUWHL vQ UDSRUW FX SUH XO DGLF YDULD LL DOH
acesWRUD OD YDULD LD FX R XQLWDWH D SUH XOXL D úL F VXQW QLYHOH GH
FHUHUHRIHUW SHQWUX SUH XO ]HUR LQkQG VHDPD GH DFHVWH
H[FHGHQWXO GH FHUHUH SHQWUX SUH XO ]HUR úL LQYHUV SURSRU LRQDO cu
VXPDVHQVLWLYLW LORUFHUHULLRIHUWHLvQUDSRUWFXSUH XO
209
'H UHJXO FHUHUHD HVWH LQIOXHQ DW GH SUH XO DILúDW vQ
PRPHQWXO vQ FDUH HD HVWH IRUPXODW DVWIHO vQFkW GDF OX P vQ
FRQVLGHUDUHIDFWRUXOWLPSIXQF LDFHUHULLHVWH
D(pt) = a - b ∗ pt (7.1)
ÌQ FHHD FH SULYHúWH RIHUWD HD HVWH LQIOXHQ DW GH SUH XO
SUDFWLFDW SH SLD OD XQ PRPHQW GH WLPS SUHFHGHQW GHRDUHFH vQWUH
LQWHQ LD GH RIHUL úL RIHUWD SURSULX ]LV VH LQWHUSXQH XQ LQWHUYDO GH
-
timp în care pURGXVHOH FH IDF RELHFWXO RIHUWHL WUHEXLH V ILH
a+c b
pt = − ∗ pt-1 (7.3)
b d
ÌQ FD]XO vQ FDUH SUH XULOH VH VWDELOL]HD] OD QLYHOXO GH
úL SUHVXSXQH H[LVWHQ D XQHL ″istorii″ D SLH HL D XQRU VHULL
GLQDPLFH GH SUH XUL GDU úL D FHUHULL úL RIHUWHL St cu t∈[0,-T], unde
210
-T este momentul din tUHFXWSkQ ODFDUHH[LVW VWDWLVWLFLVDXSkQ OD
presupunându-l relevant. În acest caz p0 HVWH SUH XO GLQ DQXO GH
ED] XOWLPXO FXQRVFXW 3HQWUX YDORUL DOH OXL W > SUH XULOH FD úL
cererea/oferta QX PDL VXQW FXQRVFXWH úL XUPHD] D OH GHWHUPLQD SH
ED]DVROX LLORUGDWHGHPRGHOXO&REZHE
xt = pt - p* , (8.1)
DVWIHOF SHQWUXW [0 = p0 -S
HVWHRDEDWHUHGHP ULPH
FXQRVFXW
211
xt + p* = α - β ∗ (xt-1+p*) sau xt + p* = α - β ∗ xt-1 - β ∗ p*,
GLQFDUHGDF LQHPVHDPDGHUH]XOW
xt = - β ∗ xt-1 (8.5)
FDUHSULQLQGXF LHLQFRPSOHW QHFRQGXFHOD
xt = (-β)t ∗ x0
VDX LQkQGVHDPDGHSHQWUXW QHG
a parametrului β:
xt
|β| = (8.8)
x t−1
SUH XOXL ÌQ HFXD LD GH GLQDPLF D SUH XOXL SXWHP IDFHLSRWH]H
212
úL DVXSUD OXL S0 úL DQXPH S0 <p* sau p0>S
LQkQG VHDPD GH
valorile pe care le pot lua β úL S0, stuGLXO FDOLWDWLY DO HFXD LHL
QHUHOHY YDULDQWHGHHYROX LHDSUH XULORUUHGDWHvQWDEHOXO
Tabelul 10
/0/ .1
/1
2 61
383 7
49 51
Ipoteze Ipoteze Ipoteze Starea economiei
3/
privind β privind p0 privind t
44023 5
1
42030 15
09
β<1 p0<p* p1>p3>…>p* convergent spre p*
;3; :71
33< 7=
40 15>
impar
par p0<p2<…<p* convergent spre p*
;3; :71
33< 7=
40 15>
impar
par p0>p2>…>p* convergent spre p*
p*<p0<p2<… divergent
/3@ ?51
par
β=1 p0<p*
8439 5
323 1
/<3 5
3/@ 1
p0>p*
8439 5
323 1
/<3 5
3/@ 1
3< =15
40 >
49 7
impar p1=p3=……=
23
=2p*-p0<p*
489 7
/09 5
CB/17
< 17
/03 :15
8;/3 :1
par
30D :
*UDILF HYROX LD SUH XULORU HVWH SUH]HQWDW vQ ILJ 3HQWUX VLWXD LD
213
″bang-bang″ G E 'LQ DFHVW PRGHO UH]XOW F SHQWUX HFKLOLEUXO
HFRQRPLF HVWH QHFHVDU FD YDULD LD RIHUWHL vQ UDSRUW FX SUH XO V ILH
GFEH
GFEH
H
E
E
NOP IIII J
KP I J
LKM III
ML III
ON III
I
VYUSWU TX
EF H [W\ Z
UV `T
YWU XZ
VU]^U aZ
\_
\_
VU]^U
H
E
IJ
QI
RI
I
214
9.4. Modelul Laffer
WHQGLQ D GH D vQFHUFD V -O UHFXSHUH]H SULQ SUH 0DMRUDUHD SUH XOXL
SRDWH GHWHUPLQD vQV R UHGXFHUH D FHUHULL úL DVWIHO UHFXSHUDUHD
consumului, astfel încâW GXF OD FUHúWHUHD SUH XOXL úL PRGLILF
UDSRUWXO FHUHUHRIHUW LPSOLFLW FDSDFLWDWHD GH DEVRUE LH D SLH HL úL
ÌQ OLSVD ILVFDOLW LL FHUHUHD ' úL RIHUWD 21JHQHUHD] XQSUH
úL SXQFWXO GH HFKLOLEUX VH VFKLPE QRXO SUH GH HFKLOLEUX HVWH
p2*>p1
LDU QRXO YROXP DO WUDQ]DF LLORU HVWH '2* = O2*< D1* sau
decât O1*.
215
jl jk
b
g
d b feb c d b c
e ihggcj
d gc
ce
cjj d
)LJ 0RGLILFDUHDHFKLOLEUXOXLSLH HL
VXELQIOXHQ DILVFDOLW LL
Cererea s-D UHGXV GDWRULW SUH XOXL PDL PDUH SH FDUH FXPS U WRUXO
WUHEXLH V -O SO WHDVF OD DFKL]L LD EXQXOXL 2IHUWD QX V -a majorat
GHRDUHFH VXUSOXVXO GH SUH QX UHYLQH RIHUWDQW ului, ci este încasat la
EXJHWXO VWDWXOXL 'DF QX DU IL H[LVWDW ILVFDOLWDWH SUH XO DIHUHQW
acestei oferte (O2*) ar fi fost p2 'LIHUHQ D ID GH VLWXD LD vQ FDUH
RIHUW 7
216
FH DFKLW LPSR]LWXO F WUH VWDW ILH SgúLFDUHHVWHGHIDSW XQSUH
GH JHVWLXQH DO SURGXF WRUXOXL DGLF SUH XO OD FDUH HO VH UHIHU
GLYLGHQGHVXUVDGHLQYHVWL LLHWF
$YHPUHOD LD
pc = pg + T (9)
0RGLILFDUHD FRQGL LLORU GH HFKLOLEUX D SLH HL vQ FD]XO
SH XQLWDWHD GH RIHUW 'DF 7 HVWH P ULPHD DFHVWXL LPSR]LW DWXQ ci
cuantumul impozitului mobilizat la buget este T∗Q, unde Q este
YROXPXO IL]LF DO YkQ] ULORU 'LQ SXQFWXO GH YHGHUH DO EXJHWXOXL
DFHVWFXDQWXPDUWUHEXLV ILHFkWPDLPDUHIDSWFHVHSRDWHUHDOL]D
ILH SULQ FUHúWHUHD OXL 7 ILH SULQ FUHúWHUHD OXL 4 3ULPDSURFHGXU DU
SLH HL ÌQ DFHVWH FRQGL LL GHYLQH RSRUWXQ SUREOHPD GHWHUPLQ ULL
DFHOXL FXDQWXP DO LPSXQHULL FDUH vQ FRQGL LLOH GH SLD GDWH SRDWH
DVLJXUD FHD PDL PDUH vQFDVDUH OD EXJHW $FHDVW SUREOHP IDFH
RELHFWXOPRGHOXOXLPHQ LRQDWHODERUDWGHHFRQRPLVWXODPHULFDQ$
Laffer.
217
Modelul de echilibru în FRQGL LLOH H[LVWHQ HL ILVFDOLW LL VH
în forma:
O = - c + d ∗ (pc - T) (10.3)
3HED]DFRQGL LHLGHHFKLOLEUX' 2VHRE LQHSUH XOGH
HFKLOLEUX SUDFWLFDW SH SLD FHO SO WLW GH FXPS U WRU DWXQFL FkQG
FXPS U XQSURGXV
a+c d
pc* = + ∗T > p* , (10.4)
b+d b+d
XQGH S
HVWH SUH XO GH HFKLOLEUX vQ OLSVD ILVFDOLW LL UHOD LD
a+c b
pg* = − ∗ T < p* , (10.5)
b+d b+d
XQGHSHQWUXS
VXQWYDODELOHDFHOHDúLFRQVL derente ca mai sus.
9ROXPXOGHHFKLOLEUXDOWUDQ]DF LLORUvQFRQGL LLOHILVFDOLW LL
este:
218
ad − bc bd
Df* = Of* = − ∗ T < Q*, (10.6)
b+d b+d
XQGH'I
HVWHFHUHUHDGHHFKLOLEUXvQFRQGL LLOHILVFDOLW LL
4 HVWH YROXPXO GH HFKLOLEUX DO WUDQ]DF LLORU vQ OLSVD
ILLQG YROXPXO GH HFKLOLEUX DO WUDQ]DF LLORU vQ FRQGL LLOH ILVFDOLW LL
ad − bc bd
max IB = max T ∗ Qf* = max [ ∗T- ∗ T2]
b+d b+d
∂IB
úLVHUHDOL]HD] DWXQFLFkQG = 0 , ceea ce conduce la o valoare a
∂T
LPSR]LWXOXLSHXQLWDWHDIL]LF GHWUDQ]DF LH
ad − bc
T* = (10.7)
2 bd
FX FDUH VH SRDWH GHWHUPLQD YROXPXO GH HFKLOLEUX DO WUDQ]DF LLORU vQ
FRQGL LLOHILVFDOLW LL
ad − bc 1
Qf* = = Q* (10.8)
2(b + d ) 2
úLPD[LPXOSRVLELODOvQFDV ULORUEXJHWDUHvQFRQGL LLGHSLD GDWH
219
(ad − bc)2
IBmax= . (10.9)
4 bd(b + d )
6H REVHUY F WR L LQGLFDWRULL DWkW FHL GH SLD FkW úL FHL
EXJHWDUL GHSLQG GH SDUDPHWULL IXQF LLORU GH FHUHUH úL RIHUW GH
DVHPHQHD YROXPXO PD[LP DO vQFDV ULORU EXJHWDUH vQ FRQGL LL GDWH
GH SLD SUHVXSXQH XQ YROXP GH HFKLOLEUX DO WUDQ]DF LLORU OD
H[LVW ILVFDOLWDWHGHYLQ
2ab + bc + ad 2cd + bd + ad
pc* = úLSg* =
2 b(b + d ) 2d ( b + d )
&RQWULEX LD FRQVXPDWRUXOXL OD SODWD LPSR]LWXOXL 7 HVWH
VXUSOXVXO GH SUH SH FDUH HO vO SO WHúWH vQ FRQGL LLOH SLH HL FX
asupra consumatorului:
d
iD = ∗ 100, (10.10)
b+d
D F UXL YDORDUH HVWH HYLGHQW VXEXQLWDU 5HVWXO LPSR]LWXOXL GH SODW
ofertantului este:
220
b
iO = 100 - iD = ∗ 100 (10.10’)
b+d
,QFLGHQ D vQ DFHDVW H[SULPDUH HVWH GHWHUPLQDW GH
VHQVLWLYLW LOH IXQF LLORU GH FHUHUH úL RIHUW 0 ULPHD HL HVWH GDW
FHUHULLúLDRIHUWHL7DEHOXO
Tabelul 11
}|qpw z{
r
Ipoteze privind Raportul de ordine
xnq r nsq rrt
vsy r qsq u
r vp u
vwq tr npq om
sensitivitatea
svn nq
p o
svn
~|w
~|v
b>d iD<iO
vw
mare din impozit
iD<50%; iO>50%
~pvs t
~~vp| ou
yww r
vp o
pq o
vw
din impozit
ypq
vp o qpqs vp o w|v {
n~pq om o ~npq om ~ ou
x qnw ru x ur qnw ru
b=0 iD=100%
|s or yv |s or
~~vp| ou q|q o ~~vp| ou q|q o
vqpw ~s sqpqpq
yp o yp w
d=0 iO=100%
or
l impozit
~s
HVWH GH UHPDUFDW F vQ FHHD FH vO SULYHúWH SH FRQVXPDWRU SODWD
LPSR]LWXOXL HVWH HIHFWLY vQ WLPS FH SHQWUX SURGXF WRU HIHFWXO HVWH
221
CAPITOLUL 10
financiar-monetare.
7HQGLQ D GH FXDQWLILFDUH D IHQRPHQHORU úL SURFHVHORU
HFRQRPLFH FD úL GH IRUPDOL]DUH D FRUHOD LLORU GH WLS FDX] -efect
(factori-IHQRPHQSURFHVSRDWHILLGHQWLILFDW ODFHOHPDLYHFKLúFROL
economice.
/HJ WXUD vQWUH EDQLPRQHG H[SULPD L FD PDV PRQHWDU
222
− IXQF LDYROXPXOXLWUDQ]DF LLORU7 70FX7 ’> 0 (1.2)
EDQLORU FUHúWH DWXQFL PDVD PRQHWDU VH PLFúRUHD] úL LPSOLFLW VH
FRQH[LXQL DX DVW ]L vQ WHRULD HFRQRPLF úL ILQDQFLDU PRGHUQ
economic.
ÌQ DFHHDúL PDQLHU GH DERUGDUH FX PLMORDFHOH DFWXDOH GH
223
,QWURGXFHP RSHUDWRUXO GH YDULD LH ∆) (similar capitolul 6.4,
UHOD LLOH SXWHP DVWIHO H[SULPD YDULD LD YHQLWXOXL WRWDO
-
SULQYDULD LDUHQWHL
SURSRU LRQDOFXHODVWLFLWDWHDDFHVWXLYHQLWvQUDSRUWFXUHQWDúLLQYHUV
SURSRU LRQDO FX SR nderea rentei în total venit. Cu cât venitul social
total este mai ″inelastic″ în raport cu renta, iar ponderea acesteia
HVWH PDL PDUH vQ WRWDOXO DFHVWXL YHQLW FX DWkW ULWPXO GH FUHúWHUH DO
HFRQRPLHL vQ VSH DO YHQLWXOXL VRFLDO WRWDO HVWH PDL PLF /D
lLPLW GDF YHQLWXO VRFLDO WRWDO HVWH SHUIHFW LQHODVWLF vQ UDSRUW FX
UHQWDDWXQFLULWPXOFUHúWHULLHFRQRPLFHHVWHQXO
″
ùFRDOD HFRQRPLF D VHFROXOXL ;,; FODVLF ″ UHSUH]HQWDW
224
prin Jean Baptiste Say, David Ricardo, John Stuart Mill, Irwing
)LVKHUúDPGFRQVLGHU F HFKLOLEUXOHFRQRPLFHVWHUHJOHPHQWDW
EXQXULORU vQ H[FHV OH VFDGH SUH XO P ULQG FHUHUHD JOREDO úL
UHDOL]kQGDVWIHOHFKLOLEUXO%DQLLVXQWFRQVLGHUD LQHXWULvQUDSRUWFX
DOH HFRQRPLHL ID GH FDUH SUH]LQW WRWXúL R OHJ WXU GH QDWXU
v-YLWH]DGHURWD LHDEDQLORU,
P-SUH XOXQLW LLGHWUDQ]DF LH
T- YROXPXOWUDQ]DF LLORU
S VWUHD] OHJ WXUD FDQWLWDWLY EDQL HFRQRPLH UHDO UHOD LD OXL
-
)LVKHU HFKLOLEUXO DXWRPDW DO SLH HL JUD LH IOH[LELOLW LL SHUIHFWH D
225
VSHFLILF LQWURGXV HVWH FRPSRUWDPHQWXO UD LRQDO DO DJHQWXOXL
HFRQRPLFDOF UXLVFRSHVWH
SHQWUXDJHQWXOSURGXF WRU
− PD[LPL]DUHDXWLOLW LLFRQVXPXOXLSHQWUXDJHQWXOFRQVXPDWRU
HFRQRPLFL H[LVWHQ D XQHL IXQF LL GH SURGXF LH JOREDOH XQLIDFWRULDOH
(factorXO GH SURGXF LH HVWH PXQFD H[LVWHQ D FD PHGLX HFRQRPLF
DFWLY D XQXL VWRF GH FDSLWDO úL GH FXQRúWLQ H LQVHSDUDELO GH PXQF
IXQF LD RIHUWHL GH PXQF IXQF LD GH LQYHVWL LL IXQF LD GH HFRQRPLL
úL FRQGL LLOH GH HFKLOLEUX JHQHUDO DO VHFWRUXOXL PRQHWDU úL DO SLH HL
muncii.
226
)XQF LDGHSURGXF LH
Y = Y(N), (3.1)
XQGH < HVWH SURGXF LD IL]LF úL 1 IDFWRUXO PXQF vQ HOHV vQ DFHVW
FRQWH[WFDFHUHUHGHPXQF 1D ).
)XQF LD GH SURGXF LH DUH SURSULHW LOH FXQRVFXWH < ′> úL
Y″< úL SH ED]D HL VH SRDWH IRUPDOL]D FRPSRUWDPHQWXO UD LRQDO DO
SURGXF WRUXOX i:
max Π = max (P ∗ Y - w ∗ N), (3.2)
XQGH 3 HVWH SUH XO XQLW LL IL]LFH GH SURGXF LH LDU Z HVWH VDODULXO
nominal unitar.
'LQ úL VH SRDWH GHWHUPLQD FX DMXWRUXO IXQF LHL
VDODULXO UHDO 3H ED]D DFHVWHL UHOD LL VH SRDWH IRUPXOD IXQF LD GH
FHUHUHGHPXQF
−1 w
ND = [Y ′] (3.4)
P
FDIXQF LHGHVFUHVF WRUHDFHUHULLGHPXQF vQUDSRUWFXVDODULXOUHDO
ND′< 0. (3.5)
227
ÌQIXQF LDGHSURGXF LHLQGLFDWRUXO1DUHvQPRGFODUVHQVXO
XUPHD]
)XQF LDRIHUWHLGHPXQF
LQYHUVXO YLWH]HL GH URWD LH D EDQLORU PDVD PRQHWDU VH FRQVLGHU
UHSUH]LQW RIHUWD GH EDQL H[SUHVLD GLQ SDUWHD GUHDSW D UHOD LHL
UHSUH]LQW FHUHUHDGHEDQL
228
'LQ FRQGL LD GH HFKLOLEUX D SLH HL PXQFLL FRUHODW FX
úL VH SRDWH GHWHUPLQD QLYHOXO GH HFKLOLEUX DO VDODULXOXL
[Y ′]−1 (w / P) = N S (w / P) (3.12)
Cu ajutorul salariului real de echilibru, (w/P)*, se poate
GHWHUPLQD GLQ UHOD LD VDX QLYHOXO GH HFKLOLEUX DO IRU HL
GH PXQF 1 úL DSRL GLQ UHOD LD QLYHOXO GH HFKLOLEUX DO
SURGXF LHL<
&X 0 GHWHUPLQDW H[RJHQ úL FX < VH SRDWH RE LQH GLQ
P* = M/k ∗ Y* (3.13)
úLDSRLQLYHOXOVDODULXOXLQRPLQDOGHHFKLOLEUX
W* = (w/P)* ∗ P* (3.14)
5HOD LDHFKLOLEUXOXLJHQHUDOHVWHGHIDSWRHFXD LHv n i,
SULQ D F UHL UH]ROYDUH VH RE LQH QLYHOXO GH HFKLOLEUX DO GREkQ]LL L
úL DSRL QLYHOXO GH HFKLOLEUX DO LQYHVWL LLORU , GLQ úL DO
229
Salariul Salariul
real nominal
Gradul de Cererea/Oferta
ocupare
cererii de
bani
Echilibrul
sectorului
monetar
Consumul Oferta de
bani
Economii
Echilibrul
sectorului Rata dobânzii
monetar
economii
salariul reDO UDWD GREkQ]LL úL GRX QRPLQDOH QLYHOXO SUH XULORU úL
230
HYLGHQ LD] XQ ODQ GH FDX]DOLW L GLQ FDUH XQHOH VXQW H[FOXVLY GH
FRQGL LLGHHFKLOLEUX
ED]DYROXPXOXLGHHFKLOLEUXDOSURGXF LHL
″grad de ocupare″ UHIHULWRU OD IRU D GH PXQF SULQ FDUH VH GRUHúWH
H[SULPDUHD P VXULL vQ FDUH HVWH XWLOL]DW SRWHQ LDOXO GH PXQF
ModHOXO QX XWLOL]HD] vQ PRG H[SUHV DFHVW LQGLFDWRU HO SRDWH IL
SHUPLWH RE LQHUHD QLYHOXOXL GH HFKLOLEUX DO IRU HL GH PXQF úL D
231
0RGHOXO SUH]LQW SURSULHW L LQWHUHVDQWH SULYLQG
FRPSRQHQWHOHúLSROLWLFLOHILQDQFLDU -monetare:
(i) sectorul financiar-monetar este ″lipit″, nu este integrat efectiv în
PRGHOOHJ WXULOHVDOHFXUHVWXO economiei fiind limitate strict la
YROXPXO SURGXF LHL DVWIHO F SLD D ILQDQFLDU DSDUH FD R SLD
LQYHVWL LLORU SXEOLFH QX GXFH OD FUHúWHUHD SURGXF LHL FL GRDU OD
PRGLILFDUHD VWUXFWXULL HL DVWIHO vQ FRQGL LLOH vQ FDUH ILVFDOLWD tea
HVWH GDW úL QX VH PRGLILF YHQLWXULOH VWDWXOXL VXQW GHWHUPLQDWH
FD XUPDUH UDWD GREkQ]LL FUHúWH úL VH DFFHQWXHD] WHQGLQ D spre
HFRQRPLL úL LPSOLFLW GH GLPLQXDUH D FRQVXPXOXL vQWUXFkW
232
FRQVXPXO JXYHUQDPHQWDO FUHúWH VH SURGXFH GRDU R FRPSHQVDUH
vQWUH XQD úL DOWD GLQWUH FRPSRQHQWHOH FRQVXPXOXL FHO SULYDW úL
global vQ VHQVXO FUHúWHULL SRQGHULL FHOXL SXEOLF úL DO UHGXFHULL
ponderii celui privat.
(iv) SROLWLFD PRQHWDU QX HVWH HILFLHQW GHRDUHFH DIHFWHD]
SUH XULORU LPSOLFLW D VDODULLORU QRPLQDOH FD SUH DO IRU HL GH
PXQF vQ YHGHUHD S VWU ULL VDODULLORU UHDOH vQ FD] F DFHVWHD
VFDG VH YD GLPLQXD úL FHUHUHD GH PXQF úL DWXQFL SURGXF LD VH
FRQGL LLOH XQHL SURGXF LL GDWH SUH XULOH VH PLFúRUHD] LPSOLFLW
SUH XO PXQFLL FX DWkW PDL PXOW GDF VH FRQVLGHU GDWIL[DW
VDODULXO QXO DVWIHO vQFkW JUDGXO GH RFXSDUH VH S VWUHD] úL vQ
(v) FD R FRQVHFLQ D SROLWLFLL PRQHWDUH LQHILFLHQWH VH SRW SXQH vQ
HYLGHQ HIHFWHOH QHGRULWH vQ FH SULYHúWH SURGXF LD DVWIHO GDF
VDODULXOQRPLQDOFUHúWHPDLOHQWGHFkWSUH XULOHDWXQFLVHUHGXFH
VDODULXO UHDO úL RIHUWD GH PXQF FX HIHFWH vQ GLPLQXDUHD
233
SURGXF LHL QRLOH FRQGL LL GH SH SLD D PXQFLL RIHUWD PDL PLF
GXF OD FUHúWHUHD UHODWLY D FHUHULL GH PXQF FX HIHFWH vQ
FUHúWHUHD SUH XOXL PXQFLL úL D FRVWXOXL SURGXF LHL FHHD FH vL
MRGHOXO SUH]LQW úL DOWH SURSULHW L SULYLQG IRORVLUHD IRU HL
GH PXQF úL VHQVLWLYLWDWHD SURGXF LHL QXPDL OD ″stimulii reali″,
DVXSUD F URUD QX LQVLVW P GHRDUHFH FRPSRQHQWHOH GH QDWXU
QHRFODVLFH úL SH YDORULILFDUHD XQRUD GLQ FULWLFLOH DGXVH DFHVWXLD GH
F WUH HFRQRPLúWLL ″QHRUWRGRFúL″ FHL FH VXQW vQ FRQWUDGLF LH FX
234
(FRQRPLúWLL ″QHRUWRGRFúL″ KHWHURGRFúL VXQW FHL FDUH
DGRSWDWH GH .H\QHV GH OD DFHúWL ″QHRUWRGRFúL″ vQ VSH GH OD
F LSRWH]D HJDOLW LL ORU SRDWH IL DFFHSWDW GRDU FD R LSRWH]
GLIHUHQ vQWUH YDORDUHD SURGXF LHL úL FRVWXO V X IRUPDW GLQ
IDFWRUXOXL PXQF úL SURILW &HOH PDL FRQVLVWHQWH REVHUYD LL FULWLFH ,
DGDSWDWH GH .H\QHV VH UHIHU OD PHFDQLVPXO UHOD LHL FRQVXP -
SURGXF LH vQ FDUH UROXO SULPRUGLDO HVWH DWULEXLW FHOXL GLQWkL
235
LQYHVWHDVF SHQWUXD úLYDORULILFDHFRQRPLLOHvQWU
- -un mediu în care
deja capitalul este în exces în raport cu evROX LDFHUHULLGH FRQVXP
$FHVWPHFDQLVPHVWHFRPSOHWDWSULQREVHUYD LDOXL+REVRQF VXUVD
LGHQWLILFDW FX UDWD GREkQ]LL REVHUYD LD FRUHFW vQ IRQG úL TXDVL -
XQDQLP DFFHSWDW D]L HVWH PRWLYDW vQV GH *HVHO vQ PRG OLPLWDW
doar prin factori psihologiFL 'LIHUHQ LHUHD HVWH IRUPXODW GH *HVHO
OG = OG(N) (4.1.1)
CG = CG(N) (4.1.2)
0 ULPHD RIHUWHL JOREDOH HVWH SURGXVXO DúWHSWDWGRULW GH
236
UHVSHFWLYXOXL YROXP GH PXQF LPSOLFLW D FDSLWDOXOXL QHFHVDU
SURGXF LHL úL SH FDUH DFHúWLD vO SRW SXQH vQ IXQF LXQH vQ WHUPHQLL
XQXL UDQGDPHQW SULQ FDUH V SRDW DFFHGH OD XQ SURILW PD[LP vQ
FRQGL LLOHUHVSHFWLYHLSLH H
vQWUHSULQ] WRULL VSHU V -O RE LQ vQ FRQGL LL GDWH GH SLD DVWIHO
ÌQ PRG RELúQXLW XQ SURGXF WRU QX SURGXFH ″pe stoc″ úL GLQ
acest motiv GHUD LRQDOLWDWHSURGXF LDHVWHHJDO FXRIHUWD9ROXPXO
SURGXF LHL DSUR[LPHD] ELQH SURGXVXO RE LQXW GH vQWUHSULQ] WRU FD
úL YHQLWXULOH RE LQXWH GH DJHQ LL HFRQRPLFL vQ JHQHUDO DVWIHO F VH
venit (Y):
C = C(Y) (4.3)
Dintre factorii obiectivi (patrimoniul, fiscalitatea, rata
GREkQ]LL ú D P G úL VXELHFWLYL SVLKRORJLFL FDUH SRW IL
237
YHQLWXOXLVSUHGHRVHELUHGHFODVLFLFDUHH[SOLF YDULD L a consumului
SULQ YDULD LD UDWHL GREkQ]LL PRWLYkQGX úL DOHJHUHD SULQ DVFHQGHQ D
-
YHQLWXOXLSULQLPSDFWXO PDLPRGHVWDODOWRUIDFWRULRELHFWLYLúLSULQ
TXDVLFRQVWDQ DSHWHUPHQVFXUWDIDFWRULORUVXELHFWLYL
DWXQFL FUHúWH úL FRQVXPXO vQWUH FHOH GRX FUHúWHUL S VWUkQGX -se
UHOD LDGHRUGLQH
DWXQFL FUHVF úL YHQLWXULOH LDU vQFOLQD LD PDUJLQDO VSUH FRQVXP
VHGLPLQXHD]
(iii) XWLOL]DUHD YHQLWXOXL SUHVXSXQH XQ SURFHV GH FRQVXP úL XQXO GH
HFRQRPLVLUH GH]HFRQRPLVLUHD HVWH VLWXD LD vQ FDUH FRQVXPXO
este mai mare decât veQLWXO úL DSDUH SH IRQGXO GLPLQX ULL
238
SURFHVXO HVWH UH]XOWDWXO WHQGLQ HL DJHQ LORU HFRQRPLFL GH D úL -
S VWUD VWDQGDUGXO GH YLD DWLQV vQDLQWH FD YHQLWXO V vQFHDS V
VFDG
∆Y − ∆C ∆S
s = 1− c = = , (4.6)
∆Y ∆Y
XQGH6UHSUH]LQW HFRQRPLLOH< &6úL ∆Y = ∆C+∆S (4.7)
*UDGXO GH RFXSDUH QX SRDWH FUHúWH GHFkW vQ FRUHOD LH FX
crHúWHUHD LQYHVWL LLORU GDF DFHVWHD GLQ XUP QX FUHVF vQVHDPQ F
DFHODúLFDSLWDOVHSXQHvQPLúFDUHFXXQYROXPGHPXQF PDLPDUH
PRGLILF
)DFWRUXO FDUH UHJOHD] FRUHOD LD vQWUH YDULD LD JUDGXOXL GH
RFXSDUH úL YDULD LD LQYHVWL LLORU SUHFXP úL HIHFWHOH DFHVWHL FRUHOD LL
D JUDGXOXL GH RFXSDUH úL LPSOLFLW D YHQLWXOXL DFHDVW vQFOLQD LH QX
VH PRGLILF QX VFDGH DWXQFL FRQVXPXO FD úL HFRQRPLLOH FUHVF vQ
DFHODúL ULWP FX YHQLWXO 6SRUXO GH HFRQRPLL QX HVWH vQ P VXU V
DVLJXUH XQ VSRU VXILFLHQW LQYHVWL LLORU DFHVWHD QX SRW JHQHUD R
239
GH YHQLWXUL VXSOLPHQWDUH QX HVWH VXILFLHQW LDU DJHQ LL HFRQRPLFL
SURGXF WRUL vúL GLPLQXHD] FHUHUHD GH PXQF úL VFDGH LPSOLFLW
gradul de ocupare.
3H GH DOW SDUWH GDF vQFOLQD LD PDUJLQDO VSUH FRQVXP
scDGH SUHD PXOW FRQVXPXO YD FUHúWH vQ SUHD PLF P VXU vQ UDSRUW
FX HFRQRPLLOH DVWIHO vQFkW OD LQYHVWL LL FUHVFkQGH úL LPSOLFLW OD R
SURGXF LH FUHVFkQG VH YD IRUPXOD SH SLD R FHUHUH LQVXILFLHQW
ÌQ WHUPHQLL OHJ WXULL H[SULPDWH GH UHOD LD YDULD LD
∆C
C Y ′ = lim =c (4.8)
∆Y→ 0 ∆Y
úLGDF LQHPFRQWGHUHOD LDSXWHPDILUPDF
&
′ > 0 úL & ′ ∈ (01) , (4.9)
240
I = Y - C = Y - C(Y) (4.10)
din care, pULQGLIHUHQ LHUHRE LQHP
dY dC dY dY 1
1= − ⋅ sau = sau
dI dY dI dI 1 − dC dY
1
k= cu kc′>úLN> 1, (4.11)
1− c
XQGHN G<G, PXOWLSOLFDWRUXOLQYHVWL LLORU
FX FkW vQFOLQD LD HVWH PDL PDUH FX DWkW FUHúWHUHD HVWH PDL
YDORUL PLFL DOH vQFOLQD LHL VSUH FRQVXP DJHQ LL HFRQRPLFL vúL
)XQF LD GH LQYHVWL LL H[SULP OHJ WXUD GLQWUH LQYHVWL LL úL
dobânzii (i):
241
I = I(Y,i) cu IY′>úL,i′< 0 (4.12)
,QWURGXFHUHD UDWHL GREkQ]LL FD IDFWRU DO LQYHVWL LLORU HVWH
marginale a capitaOXOXL úL FDUH VH DWLQJH QXPDL vQ FRQGL LLOH vQ FDUH
SURILWXO HVWH PD[LP ÌQ DFHVWH FRQGL LL GDF HILFLHQ D PDUJLQDO D
FHUHUHRIHUW YD GXFH OD GLPLQXDUHD SUH XULORU GH YkQ]DUH úL
UDSRUWXO FHUHUHRIHUW YD GXFH OD FUHúWHUHD SUH XULORU GH YkQ]DUH úL
,QYHVWL LD SRDWH IL FRQVLGHUDW FD ILLQG SUH XO FDSLWDOXOXL
242
FDSLWDOXOXLSHGXUDWDGHYLD HFRQRPLF GYHDDFHVWXLD
d .v .e. −t
pK = ∑ rk t (1 + i) ,
t =1
(4.14)
unde t este indice de timp, iar rkt este efectul produs de utilizarea
capitalului în anul t. Acest efect este echivalent cu randamentul
capitalului.
)DFWRUXO L HVWH HILFLHQ D PDUJLQDO D FDSLWDOXOXL úL HVWH SULQ
FRQ LQXW DFHD UDW GH GREkQG FDUH DSOLFDW VXFFHVLXQLL GH
FD IDFWRU DO LQYHVWL LHL GH FDUH VH OHDJ PLMORFLW SULQ LQWHUPHGLXO
LQYHUV vQWUH SUH XO FDSLWDOXOXL HFKLYDOHQWXO LQYHVWL LHL úL UDWD
dobânzii.
)XQF LD FHUHULL GH EDQL HVWH R IXQF LHFHIDFH OHJ WXUD vQWUH
FHUHUHD GH EDQL 0G SH GH R SDUWH úL YROXPXO GH DFWLYLWDWH
243
− PRWLYXOWUDQ]DF LLORUFXFkWYROXPXOGHWUDQ]DF LLHVWHPDLPDUH
úL LPSOLFLW QLYHOXO YHQLWXULORU VRFLDOH UH]XOWDWH FX DWkW DJHQ LL
− PRWLYXO SUHFDX LHL FX FkW YROXPXO GH WUDQ]DF LL HVWH PDL PDUH
úLLPSOLFLWYROXPXOYHQLWXULORUVRFLDOHUHDOL]DWHFXDWkWUH]HUYD
FX DWkW WHQGLQ D DJHQ LORU HFRQRPLFL GH WLS 8&( úL 8&6 YH]L
FDSLWROXO GH D VSHFXOD GLVSRQLELOLW LOH ORU HVWH PDL PLF
PDLPLF
ILLQG GHWHUPLQDW FHO SX LQ vQ HJDO P VXU GH DWUDF LD VDX
DYHUVLXQHD ID GH ULVF D DJHQ LORU HFRQRPLFL DGLF GH XQ IDFWRU
244
VXELHFWLY 'LQ DFHVW PRWLY FHUHUHD GH EDQL SHQWUX SUHFDX LH SRDWH
FHUHUHD WRWDO GH EDQL 0G FL FX GLIHUHQ D GLQWUH DFHDVWD úL
&HUHUHDWRWDO GHEDQLHVWHDVWIHO
factorial:
Md = f(Y) + g(i), cu MdY′>úL0Gi′< 0 (4.19)
ÌQ FHHD FH SULYHúWH RIHUWD GH EDQL 0V DFHDVWD HVWH
Ms = dat (4.20)
Modelul lui Keynes include:
− IXQF LDFHUHULLGHEDQL
245
Md = Ms (4.21)
− IXQF LDGHFRQVXP
− FRQGL LD GH RSWLP SHQWUX SURGXF WRU GH IRUPD LGHQWLF
ù 3'- N* , (4.22)
XQGH ù HVWH P ULPHD úRPDMXOXL 3' HVWH SRSXOD LD GLVSRQLELO
RIHUWD GH PXQF úL 1 HVWH FHUHUHD GH PXQF vQ FRQGL LL GH
ND = [h ] (Y )
−1
(4.23)
Y=C+S (4.24)
− HFXD LD GH HFKLOLEUX PDFURHFRQRPLF vQ DEVHQ D UHOD LLORU
economice externe:
S=I (4.25)
'LQUHOD LLOHVHRE LQH
246
i = [g] (Ms − f (Y)) ,
−1
(4.26)
unde []
⋅
−1
VHPQLILF LQYHUVDIXQF LHL []
⋅ .
)XQF LD GH LQYHVWL LL VH UHVFULH FD R IXQF LH GH R VLQJXU
YDULDELO UHVSHFWLY<DGLF
(
I = I Y, [ g ]
−1
(Ms − f (Y))) .
3HED]DUHOD LLORUúLVHRE LQHRHFXD LHvQ
Y de forma:
(
C(Y)+I Y, [g]
−1
(Ms − f (Y))) = Y,
SULQ D F UHL UH]ROYDUH VH RE LQH QLYHOXO GH HFKLOLEUX DO YHQLWXULORU
fie Y*.
&X DMXWRUXO OXL <
VH RE LQ YDORULOH GH HFKLOLEUX SHQWUX
&X DMXWRUXO OXL < VH RE LQH GLQ IXQF LD FHUHULL GH PXQF
GH RSWLP D SURGXF WRUXOXL FX DMXWRUXO YDORULL 1D VH RE LQH
247
IRORVLW SHQWUX IXQF LD GH SURGXF LH QRWD LD K1 FX GHULYDWD K ′(N).
5 PkQH YDODELO REVHUYD LD IRUPXODW OD PRGHOXO QHRFODVLF vQ
În fine, SH ED]D UHOD LHL VH SRDWH GHWHUPLQD QLYHOXO
úRPDMXOXL vQ FRQGL LL GH HFKLOLEUX 3RSXOD LD GLVSRQLELO HVWH GH
GH QDWXU GHPRJUDILF ÌQWU R DQDOL] PDL FRPSOH[ SRW IL SXVH vQ
-
evidHQ GHSHQGHQ H DOH DFHVWXL LQGLFDWRU GH YDULDELOH HFRQRPLFH
FXPVXQWYHQLWXOVDODULXOUHDOúDPG
SHQWUXOLFKLGLWDWHúLGHFDQWLWDWHDGHEDQLGHWHUPLQ ODUkQGXOHL
LQYHVWL LLOH úL LQYHVWL LLOH GHWHUPLQDWH GH UDWD GREkQ]LL úL
248
Fu
Productivitatea
!
"
#
&
$
#
1
#
consum
3
2
&
Consumul Gradul de
Salariul real
&
ocupare
$
spre consum)
'
Cerere
#
!
"
#
-
(venitul)
.
/
1
#
.
+
/
2
0
.
/
+
&
&
$
"
$
#
capitalului)
1
#
cererii de bani
*
&
&
"
"
#
2
!
pentru
lichiditate) Echilibrul
Rata dobânzii
monetare
Oferta de bani
GH SURGXF LH SULQ UDQGDPHQWXO FX FDUH SRWHQ HD] PXQFD
úL FHUHUHD GH PXQF úL ID GH FRQVXP SULQ vQFOLQD LD PDUJLQDO
spre consuP FD úL VWUXFWXUD VRFLDO FH JXYHUQHD] UHSDUWL LD
venitului.
249
BIBLIOGRAFIE
1. AGHION, PHILLIP Endogenous Growth Theory,
HOWITT, PETER Cambridge, MIT Press, 1998.
(2 vol.), %XFXUHúWL$6(
STROE, RADU
250
450
10. % &(6&80$5,86 Macroeconomie %XFXUHúWL (GLWXUD
% &ESCU, ANGELICA (FRQRPLF
251
451
20. KLEVMARKEN, N. Demard analysis, IIESR, Stockholm,
ANDERS 1981.
252
452
31. STOICA, MARCEL Introducere în modelarea proce-
ANDREICA, MARIN GXUDO , Craiova, Editura Scrisul
6 1'8/(6&8,
Românesc, 1989.
32. STROE, RADU $QDOL]D IDFWRULORU GH SURGXF LH úL
BOB, CONSTANTIN rezultatele financiare ale VRFLHW LORU
VLAD, MARIA
comerciale, %XFXUHúWL )('-DEBS,
1991.
1999.
253
453