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(c) Produce a map of expected frequency By overlaying the maps derived above
of shallow, earthquakes of magnitude showing frequency of occurrence of earthquakes
7.0 or greater throughout Papua New of magnitude 7.0 or greater as determined
Guinea. from each magnitude range, it was possible
to construct a further map illustrating
(d) Use of recurrence relationship to the expected frequency of shallow earthquakes
calculate the expected frequency of of magnitude 7.0 or more per square degree
occurrence of earthquakes above any per century based primarily on epicentral
magnitude, or within any magnitude data.
interval.
Rationalisation of the map to account
2.2 HISTORICAL FREQUENCY OF OCCURRENCE for geological data was then carried out.
OF SHALLOW EARTHQUAKES:
2.3 ASSESSMENT OF THE FUTURE OCCURRENCE
The historical occurrence of earth- OF EARTHQUAKES:
quakes was based on an earthquake listing
provided by the Bureau of Mineral Resources The final assessment of future occur-
in Australia. Plots of Major Shallow rence of earthquakes was made by amending
Earthquakes (< 65km in depth) and Major the map of expected occurrence of earthquakes
Deep Earthquakes (>65km in depth) obtained from epicentral data (determined in 2.2
from this listing for the period 1900-^-1978 above) to take into account geological
are given in Figures 1 and 2 respectively. data. In general terms for Papua New
Guinea this involved adjusting the contours
The more complete a listing of so that they followed the trends of generally
earthquakes, the more valuable it is for accepted seismotectonic plate boundaries.
making estimates of future seismicity.
From a simple study of earthquake From this final map (refer Figure 6)
frequencies it was concluded that the list it is possible to once again apply the
of shallow earthquakes would contain relationship described in section 2.2 and
practically all earthquakes of magnitude 7 thus determine the expected frequency of
or more since 1900, of magnitude 6 or occurrence of earthquakes greater than any
more since 1930 and of magnitude 5 or more magnitude value, or by further manipulation,
since 1960. From the listings amended the expected frequency of occurrence of
for the above time periods contour maps earthquakes within any magnitude interval
showing the average historical frequency at any selected point on the map.
of occurrence per century per square
degree were produced for earthquakes above The specification of Figure 6 together
magnitude 7.0, above magnitude 6.0 and above with appropriate 'b value therefore pro-
1
magnitude 5.0. These maps are presented vides a complete statement on the estimate
in Figures 3, 4 and 5. of expected earthquake occurrence in Papua
New Guinea.
The average frequency of occurrence for
each of these maps has been calculated by 3.0 ATTENUATION OF BUILDING ELASTIC RESPONSE
summing the numbers of earthquakes within the WITH DISTANCE FROM AN EARTHQUAKE:
specified magnitude ranges within each one
degree square, and assuming that this 3.1 General
frequency is to apply*at the centre of the
respective square, contours have been drawn The seismicity of Papua New Guinea is
by linear interpolation. described in Section 2 by the estimated
average expected occurrence of earthquakes
In any region the number of earthquakes of varying magnitude. This information
"N" above some stated magnitude "M" is found alone is insufficient to determine the
to foj-low a law of the type, log N = a - bM, seismic risk to structures. This is
where a and b are constants. If it is because moderate to large earthquakes will
assumed that for any period of record the cause damage to structures at varying
slope of the line, b, will remain constant • distances from their epicentres depending
it is possible to relate the frequency on the earthquake magnitude and the type
of earthquakes above any magnitude to the of ground condition near to the structure
frequency of earthquakes above any other and other parameters.
magnitude. A value of b = 1.0 was used
in this study. The risk at any point is therefore also
dependent on the likelihood of earthquake
This value was selected as being occurrence at surrounding points. Further-
representative for the type of seismic more , the relative risk between points is
activity in Papua New Guinea on the basis measured in terms of relative probability
125
127
128
The production of response spectra from The result is the expected frequency of
strong-motion records is a lengthy process. occurrence of an elastic acceleration
Partly for this reason, very few Papua response of 0.2g or more in structures
New Guinea strong motions have been analysed. with 5% damping with the selected
It has been necessary therefore to adopt period of vibration and site condition
typical average acceleration response at this particular site.
spectra for Papua New Guinea on data from
regions outside Papua New Guinea. Two refinements to the calculation
procedure are necessary before the
3.2 DETERMINATION OF THE RELATIONSHIP return period is correctly determined.
BETWEEN STRUCTURAL RESPONSE DISTANCE The first involves an adjustment to
AND GROUND CONDITION (ATTENUATION take account of the elliptical nature
RELATIONSHIPS) of the contours of equal shaking
isoseismals. The second refinement
In a previous s t u d y of over 130
1
takes account of the errors introduced
strong motion records from 90 earthquakes by using deterministic attenuation
from 15 countries, a statement on the relationships. Further discussion
attenuation with distance of structural of these points is however beyond the
response (in terms of expected average scope of this paper. The return
elastic peak acceleration of short and period of this response then follows
long period structures), on soft and hard directly by inversion of the frequency.
ground for earthquakes of varying magnitudes,
was determined. This relationship is shown 7. Repeat steps 2. 6. for a number of
in Figure 7. In the absence of data from different elastic responses (i.e.
Papua New Guinea earthquake records the 0.05, 0.10, 0.15, 0.20, 0.30, 0.40,
relationship shown in Figure 7 has been 0.60, 0.80, 1.00, 1.20g in this s t u d y ) .
adopted as the best available for the
purposes of this study. 8. Repeat steps 2. 7. for a number of
different sites on a grid covering
Papua New Guinea.
129
The calculation procedures described Papua New Guinea. Extremely high risk
above were carried out by computer. By areas include Bougainville and Buka Islands
interpolation it is now possible to draw and the eastern region of New Britain.
contours of response for any given return The very south of Western New Guinea would
period. be an area of very low risk along with
Louisiade Island arch. Areas of moderately
The following four maps of structural high risk would include the northern coast
response for a 20 year return period are of Papua New Guinea and for moderate risk
presented: the central region of Papua New Guinea
including the D * Entrecasteaux Islands.
Figure 8 Short (i.e. up to 0.5 sees)
period structures on hard By selecting appropriate contour
ground intervals to from zone boundaries the
following areas were chosen:
Figure 9 Long (i.e. over 2 sees)
period structures on hard Interval of Maximum Acceleration
ground Response for 20 year Return Represent-
Area Period. (Refer Figure 8) ative Response
Figure 10 Short (i.e. up to 0.25 sees)
period structures on hard 0.68g or greater 0.75
ground 0.54g - 0.68g 0.61
0.4g - 0.54g 0.47
Figure 11 Long (i.e. over 2 sees) Less than 0.4g 0.29
period structures on hard
ground In defining the areas above, some attempt
was made to match the boundaries to zone
5.0 SELECTION OF SEISMIC ZONES FOR boundaries in existing documents .
BUILDING CONSTRUCTION IN PAPUA
NEW GUINEA: The representative response levels for
the four areas is also illustrated in the
5.1 General: right-hand column. If the frequency of the
potential onset of structural damage was the
In the context of this study, seismic only criteria, the lateral load levels in each
zones are regions where, for a particular zone for stiff structures on soft ground would
structural type, the expected frequency be proportional to these values.
of occurrence of structural damage from
earthquakes is approximately uniform. Figure 12 illustrates the four areas.
Seismic zoning maps were constructed from The figure can be considered as a possible
Figures 8, 9, 10 and 11 for different seismic zoning map based on scientific
structural periods and ground conditions. evidence. Different maps with fewer or
However, for administrative and for more zones could have been prepared and the
practical reasons it was considered boundaries could have been altered by adjusting
desirable to have only one map in a the response intervals for each area.
loadings code. The zones in this study
have been based on a return period of 20 It should be noted that the use of
years, however the zone boundaries are Figure 8 as a basis for zoning does not
unlikely to change significantly for mean that Figures 9, 10 and 11 are of no
other choices of return period. further value. In Section 6.0; factors
are derived from a comparison of Figure 8
5.2 DEVELOPMENT OF SEISMIC ZONES: with Figures 9, 10 and 11 and these factors
are subsequently used to define relative
In this study seismic zones for lateral loads for long period structures
building construction were delineated on soft and hard ground and for short
from the contour map for short period period structures on hard ground.
structures founded on soft ground (Figure 8 ) .
There were two main reasons for this choice. Figure 13 indicates the zoning map
Fir stly, it can be assumed that most finally adopted for the Papua New Guinea
structures in Papua New Guinea are most Loadings Code. It is administratively
likely to be founded on soft ground in expedient to rigorously define zones and
river valleys and that most would tend this means that the boundaries do not
to have a low natural period of vibration. necessarily follow exactly those shown in
Secondly, detailed inspection of the Figure 12. The deviation of the south-
relative level of response between sites western boundary between Zones 3 and 4 to
in Figures 9, 10 and 11 has shown that include Kiunga, Mendi and Kerema in Zone 3
the adoption of Figure 8 as a basis for results from recent studies by the PNG
the zoning map does not lead to inaccuracies Geophysical Observatory (unpublished)
above those inherent in the risk calculation which indicate that some magnitude 6
procedure. This means that zones based on earthquakes may have occurred prior to 1950
other combinations of soil stiffness and which have remained undetected and
building period will not differ significantly uncatalogued. It was decided that the
from those proposed. above amendments should be made until
further data is available to assess historical
Seismic zones were derived from Figure activity in this area. The zoning map
8 by defining suitable intervals of could then be changed if appropriate.
acceleration response. For example a
seismic zone could be defined by the 6.0 REVIEW OF PROCEDURES FOR DETERMINING
0.15g and 0.20 g contours on Figure 8. SEISMIC LOADING PROVISIONS:
— Soft Ground
\^ ; /-/ard Ground
200 300
Epicentral Distance (km)
ATTENUATION OF AVERAGE PEAK HORIZONTAL ACCELERATION
RESPONSE AT 5% DAMPING ON SOFT AND HARD GROUND FOR
EARTHQUAKES OF VARYING MAGNITUDE (For intermediate structural
periods .curves can be obtained by interpolation) FIGURE 7
132
133
included in codes of practice in the United intensity and long duration, and
States and in New Zealand in the 1 9 3 0 s
1
(b) several earthquakes of moderate
following damaging earthquakes at Santa intensity and duration. It is further
Barbara (California) in 1925 and Murchison assumed that probability of such
and Napier (New Zealand) in 1929 and 1931. occurrences is less in zone B than
The loadings were defined as CW where W zone Aand less in zone C than zone B".
was the weight of the structure (including
some live load) and C was a coefficient (NZS 4203:1976 ) 6
Code changes since 1961 have been dir- 1. Provide the structure with sufficient
ected towards the incorporation of adequate strength and stiffness to resist
ductility to ensure survival of structures moderate earthquakes so that the
in large earthquakes. Recent examples of frequency of occurrence of structural
such changes are the 1975 amendments to and non-structural damage is acceptably
SEAOC^ and the subsequent publication of low.
A T C - 3 , and the 1976 revisions to the
5
given below:
Where V is the total horizontal seismic
"The earthquake provisions of this base shear and W. is the weight of the
standard are based on the assumption structure (including some live l o a d ) ,
that during its lifetime a building
in zone A will probably experience C is the basic seismic coefficient which
(a) one or more earthquakes of high depends on the risk of potentially
134
damaging ground motions at the site, the 7.2 The Frequency of Occurrence of
natural period of vibration of the Potentially Damaging Ground
structure and the stiffness of the founda- Motions in Papua New Guinea
tion soils. (Objective 1)
The expected average frequency of
I is the importance factor, which takes a occurrence of specified levels of 5% damped,
value of 1.0 for typical structures. horizontal acceleration response spectra
Higher values are used for important have been presented in Section 4 as Figures
structures to provide a decrease in the 8, 9, 10 and 11. The adopted zoning map is
probability of damage from the implied by given in Figure 13.
the value of "C".
Average spectra for soft and hard
K, the structural type factor, is intended ground conditions for varying return
to reflect the potential performance of periods of onset of structural damage in
different types of structures and materials structures with K factor one, have been
in severe earthquakes. Structures with calculated for each seismic zone, ground
substantial ductility and capable of condition and period range. These spectra
dissipating energy at a substantial number are illustrated in Figure 14.
of locations are assigned K = 1.0, and
K increases as the available ductility 7.3 Determination of the Lateral Design
decreases (Objective 2) Load Coefficient (C)
Values for C, I and K are developed in the The purpose of C in the loading express-
next section. ion (see Section 6.3) is to ensure that the
return period for the onset of structural
7.0 DETERMINATION OF LATERAL DESIGN damage in structures of K factor one, is
LOADINGS FOR NORMAL PAPUA NEW acceptable. C is therefore dependent on
GUINEA STRUCTURES; the expected frequency of occurrence of
potentially damaging ground motions, and
7.1 General will differ between seismic zones as
illustrated in Figure 14. C is also
A description of the derivation of dependent on the natural period of
the values for the lateral design load vibration of the structure and on site
coefficient (C), the importance factor (I), conditions.
and the structural type factor (K) is
given in this Section. The acceleration response (in g's)
associated with the onset of structural
The values were based on an acceptable damage in typical Papua New Guinea structures
average return period for the onset of designed with a lateral design load
structural damage of 20 years. It must coefficient C can be represented by
be noted that the level of "damage" f± x f x C*.
2
A,
Ksdefinedas ~^-^Cxfj = CxfjxR
A,
Ductility ju = A3.
A,
FIGURE 17
FIGURE 16
137
7.4 Determination of Importance Factor (I) (a) Introduction
The desired level of earthquake The purpose of the structural type
protection will vary depending on the factor in the loading expression (see
importance of the facility and the section 6.3) is to take account of the
consequences of failure. The importance expected difference in performance of
factor, I, is used to increase the lateral varying structure types and materials in
design load to achieve the required degree severe earthquakes. The K factor provides
of acceptable risk. For normal structures sufficient laterial strength to ensure
I is 1.0. that demands do not exceed available
ductility in severe earthquakes. Structures
To illustrate an increase in C from with substantial ductility and which are
.10 to .12 for zone 4 in Papua New Guinea capable of dissipating energy in a signifi-
corresponds to an increase in return cant number of members will have low K
period from 20 to 30 years for stiff struc- factors. Structures which have few energy
tures on soft ground. Similar calculations dissipating mechanisms (for example masonry
for other return periods, soil conditions structures and cantilever type structures)
and seismic zones lead to generalised values need to have higher lateral strength to
for I. provide adequate protection in severs
shaking. These structures therefore
Change in return period Importance Factor, (I) have higher K factors.
NOTE: I and K are assumed to be 1.0. (b) The Design Earthquake Response (E )
1
DUCTILE MOMENT
RESISTING FRAME
COMPLYING WITH
CLAUSE 3.4.4.1 (1) Reinforced Concrete 0.8 6 6*s 0.44 0.5 = 1.0 lOOOyr
ANN EXU RE ONE - (ii) Steel ft
0.6 6% 6*5 0.44 0.5 = 1.0 lOOOyr
Part 4 (iii) Timber
DUCTILE CANTI-
LEVER SHEAR WALL
COMPLYING WITH
CLAUSE 3.4.4.2 (i) Reinforced Concrete 0.7 6 0.41 0.52 = 1.2
> lOOOyr
ANNEXURE ONE - (ii) Timber
Part 4 (iii) Reinforced Masonry 0.5 4% 0.31 0.52 = 1.5 > lOOOyr
DUCTILE COUPLED
SHEAR WALL
COMPLYING WITH (i) Reinforced Concrete 0.8 6h lOOOyr
CLAUSE 3.4.4.3
ANNEXURE ONE -
Part 4
CANTILEVER SHEAR
WALL OF LIMITED
DUCTILITY COMPLY- (6)
ING WITH CLAUSE (i) Reinforced Concrete <0.25 0.38 0.6 = 1.5
> lOOOyr
3.4.4.4 ANNEXURE (ii) Timber (6)
ONE - Part 4 (iii) Reinforced Masonry <0.25 0.30 0.6 =2.0 > lOOOyr
CANTILEVER
SINGLE STOREY
FRAME COMPLYING
WITH CLAUSE (i) Reinforced Concrete 0.5 6h 3% 0.27 0.55 =2.0
> lOOOyr
3.4.4.5 ANNEXURE (ii) Steel 0.5 6H 3% 0.27 0.55 =2.0
ONE - Part 4 > lOOOyr
DIAGONALLY BRACED
FRAME COMPLYING
WITH CLAUSE (i) Reinforced Concrete <0.25 0.26 0.6 =2.5 > lOOOyr
<0.25 0.26 0.6 =2.5
3.4.4.6 ANNEXURE (ii) Steel *
ONE - Part 4 (iii) Timber > lOOOyr
CABLE STAYED
CHIMNEYS AND
ELEVATED TANKS
ON 4 OR MORE (?)
DIAGONALLY < 0.25 0.21 0.6 *3,0
(i) Reinforced Concrete (?) > lOOOyr
BRACED LEGS <0.25 0.21 0.6 = 3.0
COMPLYING WITH (ii) Steel > lOOOyr
CLAUSE 3.4.4.7
ANNEXURE ONE -
Part 4
NOTES;
1. Refer Annexure One - Part 4 for STRUCTURE TYPES. High return periods implied for the design earthquake response
2. The level of viscous damping increase due to damage are likely where the zone is close to a region of high seismic
has been assessed as follows: activity. Therefore the seismic design load level (return period
equal to 20 years) is high compared with that with a very large
L - small increase in viscous damping with damage return period.
M - medium increase in viscous damping with damage It has been assumed for cantilever shear walls of limited ductility
of approximately 30 + 70% that severe damage may occur at levels of deformation not necessarily
involving yielding of the reinforcement. Thus the resulting increase
H - high increase in viscous damping with damage
of in excess of 70% in damping would tend to have more effect in terms of load limitation.
It has been assumed that seismic loads in cable stayed structures will be
(These increases are as recommended in reference 14).
limited principally by damping.
3. f^ is assumed to be 1.7
denotes items referring to similar constructions in timber. Design
4. The calculation sequence requirements for timber were not available at the time of preparation of
R x C x f/ this table and therefore appropriate K factors could not be assessed.
factors approximately equal to those given.