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As the fourth industrial revolution blurs the physical and digital divide, its impact shall be
perceived upon all levels of socio-economic, industrial, governmental and individual
dimensions. In the context of ASEAN countries, the greatest threat to employment comes in
the form of automation that will make the human resource redundant and replaceable
particularly in China and Bangladesh: two of the leading manufacturing countries in the world.
If we look at the current scenario, it can be obvious for us to deduce that Bangladesh is not
taking much of an initiative towards the fourth industrial revolution. But there are plenty of
ways the fourth industrial revolution can be utilized to develop human capital.
Human capital development starts from as early as the childhood phase of the people as it
represents skills, knowledge, and health that people accumulate over their lives. Encouraging
livestock production will be helpful for child growth due to the increase in dairy production.
Rather than a siloed approach, multisectoral coordination while taking initiatives, in nutrition
interventions is effective. Family planning programs that enable birth spacing reduce demands
on the low maternal nutrient stores in developing countries. We also should focus to
collaborate with programs such as Jhilmili, Proshikkha, Brac Development Programs, UNICEF.
While taking a look at the actual situation regarding education and unemployment, one finds
a rather paradoxical relationship. Higher levels of education are associated with lower levels of
unemployment in developed countries, but not so in developing countries. By introducing
automation technologies, the yield of agriculture sector can be increased, this will ensure two
things together, it will attract the technologically proficient people and make the sector
lucrative enough towards being able to compete with lucrative jobs. We should also look to
introduce vocational and technical education early in junior secondary school to encourage
attaining dual qualification.
Table of Figures
Figure 1 Sector Specific Skillset Requirement: Primary, Secondary and Tertiary Sectors .......................... 3
Figure 2 Sector Specific Skillset Requirement: Quaternary and Quinary Sectors ...................................... 4
Figure 3 Risk on the spectrum of Time and Impact predictability ............................................................. 5
Figure 4 A quote by Professor Klaus Schwab ............................................................................................ 7
Figure 5 Industrial Revolution 4.0: The Forces of Change ......................................................................... 8
Figure 6 The image on the left show the automation potential industrial sector wise in the Asia Pacific
region ...................................................................................................................................................... 9
Figure 7 Percentage of Unemployed Degree Holders in Bangladesh, India and Sri Lanka ....................... 11
Figure 8 Fourth Industrial Revolution Impact in RMG and Healthcare .................................................... 12
Figure 9 Fourth Industrial Revolution Impact in Agriculture, Banking and Financials and Insurance ...... 13
Figure 10 Percentage of children under 5 who are stunted..................................................................... 14
Figure 11 Employment Distribution by Sectors of Bangladesh 2016-17 (BBS SURVEY) ........................... 18
Figure 12 Unemployment Rate among Adult Citizens ............................................................................ 19
1. Introduction
A mega transition is on the brink of arrival as the Fourth Industrial Revolution begins to
emerge. Investment in human potential will be paramount to tackle the political, economic,
societal challenge that is yet to emerge. Human Capital Management by reducing skill-gap
has to be sped up. But there is an ever growing need to keep an eye out for the future
generation. And that’s why Human Capital Development has a very crucial role to play.
Through this strategic paper, we would research on how skills can be acquired or deployed
through the working life as well as the formative years. The education system and other factors
2. Background
One of the government ministries of Bangladesh is the Ministry of Labor and Employment,
responsible for ensuring employment, protecting and safeguarding the worker's interest and
to assist in human resource development. [1] The ministry has to revamp in the coming future
as they have a very role to play for Human Capital Management and Development.
Dispersed in 162 countries of the world, at present 1.3 crore Bangladeshis are employed
Bangladesh. [2] Signs are promising for the increasing number of Bangladeshi migrant workers
with plenty of future job prospects in the queue. The positive trend of Migrant outflow in the
recent time is a seemingly important factor to validate the positive perception revealed about
the future of migration. From 2014, overall migration level has been consistently increasing, it
was 409,253 in 2013, and by 2016 it ascended to 757,731, and reaching around 1.3 crores by
2017 – which is the highest outflow of migrants reached in a year. [2] [3]
Human Capital Development is another aspect which has a dire need of addressing. The skill
gap is an ever-present obstacle among the Bangladesh workers resulted due to the divergence
between the required experience and education from the point of view of an employer.
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Education Vs Unemployment paradox, stunting among children, lack of entrepreneurship
3. Objectives
3.1 Specific Objective
1. Finding and exploring demanding job sectors in the international market
2. Identifying specific countries where the manpower of Bangladesh could be utilized
4. Identify room for improvement of Human Capital Development from the formative
years
3. Explore the advent of the Fourth Industrial Revolution and the impact that it will create
4. Identifying the effects of stunting in the early years and effective ways to address the
concerning situation
market effectively
prospects of labor migration from Bangladesh has been quite limited to its potential,
highlighting major underlying factors, and projecting the future level and trend of migration.
Task-specific human capital: This concept emphasizes the development of human capital
specific to the nature of the task (or, skills required for the task), and the human capital
accumulated for a task is valuable to a firm as they require the transferable skills. This concept
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can be applied to job-assignment, wage dynamics, tournament, promotion dynamics inside
firms, etc. In the next point, we have divided skillset requirement in 5 defining sectors
Figure 1 Sector Specific Skillset Requirement: Primary, Secondary and Tertiary Sectors
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Figure 2 Sector Specific Skillset Requirement: Quaternary and Quinary Sectors
5. Risks
Human Capital Development bears some known and unknown risks based on timing and its
impact. Automation is a big example of such an event as we know this will bring change, but
we don’t exactly know when it will take place (however its occurrence is not really far away
now). It will significantly lessen the value of labor power. It is also possible to turn automation
to an advantage. Other events like an election or cultural events can lessen or increase the
type and quantity of human capital needed in a country. These events fall under the category
where we know when it will take place, but we don’t know what the change it will bring. Events
like economy change or factor change (e.g. Namibia is currently driven by mining and if
suddenly their economy shifts towards fishing or agriculture then the whole human capital
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need will shift towards a different type of labor power.) also fall under one of these two
categories. All of these events have to be analyzed before they take place and the possible
consequences of these events have to be addressed. For this, the bigger picture for each
economy has to be provided. An example would be focusing on the economy of the country
and finding out what secondary skill they are looking for, or looking into their trade and finding
out which export goods have an increasing demand so that if they shift their focus towards
that good, we can send trained labor for that sector. Whatever the event is we always have to
find out the characteristics of it in order to adapt. Adaptability will be able to decrease the
Now if we consider “black swan”, we have to look at the events that we don’t know the
characteristics of and when they will take place. For human capital events like disasters are the
most common. Events like destruction and death happen from time to time and if they happen
for the capital that we sent our competitors are sure to take advantage of that. Another type
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of event which can be classified as the black swan is the shift in the economy. This can go both
• Having simple but effective work diagrams: Making the sector our labor force will work
in simple and centering our skillset if we focus on the construction or RMG sector of
• Holistic thinking: Having a blueprint which touches every factor connected with the
one that we are dealing with, for example with this divided focus any change in
economy or society will lead to us being ready for any unpredictable events, giving us
• Mastering the field: To do this sending skilled labor through a filter is one way. As this
will ensure the labors having knowledge themselves on how to avoid the unpredictable
events. Just we having the knowledge isn’t always enough, examples can be in mining
which is very prone to disasters has to be done by labor with mastery, disasters can be
It should be noted that even after all these tasks “black swan” can always take place. To make
sure that these events don’t give others a competitive advantage, we need to ‘expect always’.
Being ready for everything can be the best task to counter black swan in the long run.
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6. Human capital development: Facing Industrialization 4.0
The advent of the fourth industrial revolution shall bring about extensive changes through all
industries which will mutate consumption, production, transportation and delivery systems
along with many other factors. Concurrently, the essence of work is changing: some of it can
be attributed to new technologies and their impact on business models, and some to new
platforms that allow talent to connect and collaborate holistically in markets in contemporary
methods.
It is imperative that visionary leaders from a wide range of skills emerge to guide these changes
for optimal outcome. Unless we develop relevant skills to adapt to the rapidly emerging VUCA
world, we shall not only miss out on the opportunities presented by the revolution but also
experience its disruptions as bystanders. As emerging technologies rattle the labor markets,
this presents the potential to alter the way we learn throughout our lifetimes, how we re-train
those who are facing declining returns to their skills and how we educate the next generation.
Apart from bringing forth robust new data, they are also providing metrics that allow us to
understand the alterations taking place and help manage them better.
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Figure 5 Industrial Revolution 4.0: The Forces of Change
As the fourth industrial revolution blurs the physical and digital divide, its impact shall be
dimensions.
“With every industrial revolution there has been a requirement for a skill change” [4] and
although the same trend is observed with industry 4.0, “this is perhaps the first time that
countries and companies have had to worry about how their manpower will keep up with the
pace of change. Previous revolutions were seen as job and growth creators; with Industry 4.0
there is a concern that it may eradicate jobs and lead to unemployment.” [4]
In the context of ASEAN countries, the greatest threat to employment comes in the form of
automation that will make the human resource redundant and replaceable particularly in China
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Figure 6 The image on the left show the automation potential industrial sector wise in the Asia Pacific
region
ASEAN countries have historically maintained competitive advantage relying on low skilled,
On the bright side of industry 4.0, it’s correct utilization can unlock productivity gains of 30-
40%. This however crucially depends upon the improvement of labor capabilities. TO take
advantage of the opportunities awaiting at the edge of the era, the workforce needs to be
prepared and equipped with the right skills. “In an ASEAN context, this will represent
1) Productivity will be much higher for automated systems and countries outside ASEAN
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2) A massive portion of the employed labor base will be threatened
The impact of this force of change is not limited to low skilled workers, according to a report
published by Mckinsey Global Institute, at least 30% of all activities in 60% of all jobs can be
automated. “That amounts to almost $15 trillion in wages.” [5]. So, in the context of upper
management personnel in corporations, their jobs are more likely to change in nature than be
replaced. Even a CEO’s job is can be automated to the extent of 30%. Regardless of where in
the hierarchal stairs an employee/executive operates, the impacts are bound to affect the
focus on for the future. This shall call for a change in the learning system established today
worldwide. Students and employees can no longer be just told to learn specific topics or skills,
to truly employ the opportunities of industry 4.0, they have to be taught the skill of learning
rather than just teaching and training specific development programs. Below is a comparison
manner that results in the acquisition and application of knowledge and skills’ [6]. This
discipline strives to find the most efficient way of performing instructions by designing a
curriculum that is assessed on the effectiveness and efficiency of the learning program
developed.
The learning design is bound to become increasingly an important and crucial element in the
human capital management process under the timeline of fourth industrial revolution as this
fosters a learner-centric and collaborative approach ensuring the learner’s ability to adapt to
a rapidly changing market. As machines get “cognified” and learn by itself to become more
efficient, humans need to focus more the learning aspects of creativity and innovation to stay
“The activities most susceptible to automation are physical ones in highly structured and
predictable environments, as well as data collection and processing” [5] These dire
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consequences of automation will however not happen overnight. Even in the presence and
availability of the technology, it will take years for automation’s effect on current work activities
taking much of an initiative towards the fourth industrial revolution. They are not taking the
issue seriously. The graph below was made from a World Bank report.
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33
7.8
Figure 7 Percentage of Unemployed Degree Holders in Bangladesh, India and Sri Lanka
Instead of acquiring a particular skill set, getting a degree is more important in countries like
Bangladesh. This is mostly because of the degree centric education in this country. The six
billion dollars that foreign six hundred thousand skilled workers remit from Bangladesh is
comparatively way more than the fourteen billion dollars that ten million expatriate workers
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Figure 8 Fourth Industrial Revolution Impact in RMG and Healthcare
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Figure 9 Fourth Industrial Revolution Impact in Agriculture, Banking and Financials and Insurance
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7. Human Capital Development Strategies
Human capital development starts from as early as the childhood phase of the people as it
represents skills, knowledge, and health that people accumulate over their lives. So, starting
from the strategies for human capital development in the childhood phase identifying the
gaps, the paper will work its way up to more mature levels.
evidence that delivering better conditions in children’s health and learning can significantly
boost the incomes of people with high returns in the future. [8]
A Human Capital Index launched on the same day shows that 56 percent of children born
today around the world will lose more than half their potential lifetime earnings because
governments are not making effective investments in their people to ensure an educated and
Source: UNICEF, WHO, World Bank Joint Child Malnutrition Dataset, May 2018
Bangladesh performed better than the South Asian average in all criteria except for Stunting.
In Bangladesh, stunting and quality of education hold back a child for achieving its full
potential and with present education and health conditions, a child born today in
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Bangladesh will be 48 percent as productive as it could have been. Here, one-third of the
children under the age of five suffer from stunted growth. [9]
So, the strategies for developing human capital in this phase should revolve around reducing
1. Increase in Dairy Intake: A study found that milk consumption helps reducing stunting by
as much as 10.5 points among the children in Bangladesh. Bangladesh has lower levels of per
capita milk consumption. [10] Compared to India, it’s less than half. Grameen Danone’s Social
• Encouraging livestock production will be helpful for child growth due to the increase
• The promotion of dairy farming is likely to have beneficial effects on child health. Such
Experience in other countries suggests that improving public health and nutrition has been
more successful where the highest level of government bodies was involved characterized by
• The Nexus Nutrition Plan is the way to go. In Yemen, development partners and the
action plan for combating undernutrition from 2015 to 2019, with the engagement of
all sectors.
• Agriculture, food security and social protection need to converge and work together
in proximity.
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3. Nutrition-Specific and Nutrition Sensitive Interventions: Nutrition specific
interventions like calcium supplementation during pregnancy, balanced energy-protein
Scaling these up can reduce the mortality rate and stunting. [11]
Combining nutrition sensitive interventions with nutrition specific intervention can bring
effective results. United Nations Scale Up Nutrition or SUN movement is the most prominent
here. Bangladesh joined the SUN countries in 2012 to fight malnutrition and maternal health
The Scaling Up Nutrition (SUN) Movement Strategy and Roadmap (2016-2020) presents a
practical vision of how we can all work together, toward our vision of a world without
malnutrition by 2030.
Objectives:
• Increasing investment from the government and mobilizing resources from external
sources for nutrition has worked for most countries. The main challenge here is the
• Directives should be circulated to the local bodies. From Nepal’s experience, legal
provisions in the acts and regulations make local bodies more responsible for
• Family planning programs that enable birth spacing reduce demands on the low
• It would be helpful to design policies to improve the iron content of staple foods such
as rice and beans while increasing the intakes of vegetables such as orange flesh sweet
4. Reducing Low Birthweight: A life cycle approach is effective in reducing LBW which
requires improving the health of adolescent girls, encouraging optimum family food and rest
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Objectives:
rural areas of the country. There are clinics, e.g. Surjer Hashi Clinic, where there are
authorized doctors who will spread the message among the people of the village to
consult a doctor before they conceive a baby. They will also have volunteers who will
go from door to door to newly married couples and other couples to spread the
message.
5. Water, Hygiene, and Sanitation: SDG goal 6 focuses on this issue. Focus should be put on
problems like clogged drainage systems in urban areas, handwashing at critical times, proper
disposal of waste, safe preparation of complementary food etc. Developing collaboration with
While taking a look at the actual situation regarding education and unemployment, one finds
a rather paradoxical relationship. Higher levels of education are associated with lower
The real question lies within the reasons behind such a phenomenon. Once the reasons are
identified, the paradox might not seem as surprising as it was at its face value.
Nature of labor market: The segmented nature of the labor market and the demand for
educated labor being limited to mainly modern sectors of the economy bottlenecks the
situation. For that reason, expansion of education especially at tertiary and secondary levels
Sectoral Demand: Bangladesh in terms of employment and labor market is dominated by the
agricultural sector. The BBC data shows that most of the employment in the country comes
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The contribution to employment by the
More graduates are joining the jobless ques. Unemployment among graduates is rising and
rose significantly in the fiscal year of 2016-17. For a country with a significant proportion of
The youth labor force in our country now stands at 20 million. The labor force surveys of the
years mentioned below show more compelling evidence to back it up. [14]
If most of the people beyond the higher secondary levels of education remain unemployed,
there must be something that we’re doing wrong and we have to fix it. This is what brings us
to channeling our focus into the right kind of skill-based education. The strategies are
mentioned below:
1. Sectoral Renovation: Most of the times, it is seen that those with higher levels of education
do not look for jobs in outside sectors like agriculture, construction, transport etc. and instead
they keep waiting till they find the jobs that match their demand. Hence temporary
Objectives:
• By introducing technology, the yield of agriculture sector can be increased, this will
ensure two things together, it will attract the technologically proficient people and
make the sector lucrative enough towards being able to compete with lucrative jobs.
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• Investing in the smarter value chain is another way to change this. These sectors should
focus more on the value that they are adding to the lives of people rather than being
a tool. This will give them more stories to tell which will, in turn, give them more
audience and in the long run increase investment and people interested in working in
2. Women empowerment and education in rural areas: It is seen that for women living in
urban areas, even a bit of education can inflict a notable difference in their earnings whereas
for rural women the difference becomes significant only after crossing the level of SSC.
significant ways. It also helps with the health of newborn children and their wellbeing.
3. Adapting the level of education with the changes in economic growth: The level of
education that is required changes with the economic growth of a country. Where at the earlier
stage of development, basic education may be sufficient for many jobs that open up. As an
economy soars high, the requirements of education and skills change. Bangladesh is now a
developing country. For us, primary education should now be considered a must while the
focus should be put more on the secondary and tertiary levels of education. On the side of
skills, requirements have now evolved from basic cognitive skills to ones with the ability to
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create and think. Investment in skill and education development has to be in line with the rate
consider the quality of education and training offered by formal institutions as inadequate and
not in line with their needs. Unsurprisingly, many with vocational training from formal
institutions stay unemployed. The poor performance of graduates is mainly due to an absence
of connection and linkage between the labor market and the system.
The real question here is how the education system can best address the needs of a developing
economy. And propel it to the heights of industrialization 4.0. Kenya like most African countries
has a significantly young population that forms a critical portion of the human workforce.
Agenda 2063 of the African Union includes education aspirations to catalyze an education and
skills revolution and actively promote science, technology, research, and innovation. [15] [16]
Students who have passed SSC/equivalent exams of all groups should get an opportunity to
enroll in HSC level Technical or Vocational courses. At least a few technical subjects should be
introduced in HSC level courses so students can avail the necessary skills. At this moment there
Objectives:
encourage attaining dual qualification (i.e. academic and industry) and education as a
which are Junior Skill Certificate, and Senior Skill Certificate. And based on that, candidates are
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adoption of these types of skill development courses starting from higher secondary level. Skill
certificates of various sectors can be identified and compared with the degrees of general
education certificates, to match the skill certificate holders with the appropriate social
recognition as well as the skill identification among the individual to become heightened.
Apprenticeship or dual training systems followed in, Germany, Austria, Denmark and
Ours is a country where brain drain is a very common phenomenon. In these days, reverse
brain drain is also starting to rile up. That’s where the silver lining lies. If the graduates are
encouraged and trained from very early on and infused with the entrepreneurial spirit, a lot
can happen. Successful entrepreneurial venture not only creates employment but also
major role here and could be considered as a major strategy in developing human capital.
no time to take a decision. So, a strong brand's capacity to simplify decision making, set
expectations and lessen risk is invaluable. The Bangladeshi construction workers have
experience working on diverse projects across the world particularly the Middle Eastern and
the North African countries. Therefore, to brand the Bangladesh’s construction workers we
need to create a fundamental positioning idea based on our market needs and strength.
Proposed Campaign: Since mothers (and fathers) are the decision makers for children, target
parents and educate them on stunting. Investing in their children now will pay off later.
Some possible positioning ideas includes “We don't build beams; we build dreams",
“Construction skill for tomorrow," and so on. Establishing the idea or key positioning message
"Construction skill for Tomorrow-week” in order to uncover the present status and position of
construction workers of Bangladesh can be initiated. Besides, other branding strategies like
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global roadshows, a trade magazine, info-campaign, sector-specific conferences etc. are
recommended. The expected outcome of these strategies has also been outlined.
9. Conclusion
The shape of Human Capital is going to take a drastic turn with the emergence of the fourth
industrial revolution. Bangladesh has shown both signs of progress in some sectors and a level
of disarray in others. With the right strategy in line to reform education sector, ensuring skill
development from formative years, improving training development activities and branding
the specific skillset of labors, this challenge can be well utilized to push ahead in line of the
developing nations.
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