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To my parents, for supporting me when I would lose faith in myself
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Acknowledgements
First, I want to thank my partner, Hannah Cheng, for grinding this out so hard; I’m so
impressed by her drive and proud of her strong role in this process. I couldn’t have asked
for a more enthusiastic and hardworking partner. Next, I want to thank my mentor, Dr.
Khalaf, for the time he put into helping us develop our idea and figuring out what all the
sources meant. I would also like to thank Ms. Harrison for her interest and excitement in
this paper, and for her critiques to improve the content. Lastly, I want to thank Dr. Roland
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Table of Contents
Chapter 1: INTRODUCTION............................................................................................. 1
Possible Treatments......................................................................................................... 3
Mesothelin ....................................................................................................................... 6
Chapter 3: METHODOLOGY............................................................................................ 9
Assessment ...................................................................................................................... 9
Protocols ........................................................................................................................ 11
v
Findings and Analysis ................................................................................................... 12
References ......................................................................................................................... 24
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List of Tables
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Chapter 1: INTRODUCTION
Research Questions
• Will a positive correlation between Mesothelin and CA-125 indicate that the two
• Will the addition of Mesothelin to the CA-125 blood test result in a higher
The problem with the CA-125 test is that it’s not an accurate test to detect early
stage ovarian cancer. Scientists are attempting to improve the test, and the biomarker
completely change the test to focus on Mesothelin. However, since there’s little known
about Mesothelin, and to create a new test is beyond the qualifications of a high school
student, the focus of this paper is to determine if comparing both CA-125 and Mesothelin
will increase the likelihood of them becoming a new test for improved results. Also, if
combined, it will become more successful rather than having an individual test for CA-
125 or Mesothelin.
Research Purpose
levels, if we can combine the original test with detection of Mesothelin levels. Studies
show that CA-125 is elevated during early stage cancer as well as Mesothelin; a
combination of these two biomarkers should help to detect more accurately. If there’s
better detection of early stage ovarian cancer, then it can hopefully increase the survival
rate of those diagnosed, not just for ovarian cancer but mesothelioma, lung cancer, and
pancreatic, which also show elevated CA-125 levels. Comparing research results already
done is a more reasonable task for high school students rather than conducting results
themselves.
Background Information
The problem statement stemmed from a project done in a Biomedical III class,
where it was discovered that there is no consistently reliable, cost efficient, noninvasive,
and regularly mandated test for ovarian cancer. There are three tests used to detect
ovarian cancer: the pelvic exam, transvaginal ultrasound, and, of course, the CA-125 test.
However, all these tests are ineffective, and women find them invasive.
For example, the pelvic exam, is where most early ovarian tumors are difficult or
impossible for any examiner to feel; this means that the patient’s ovarian cancer will not
be diagnosed until later stages, when the problem has become difficult to treat or difficult
to overcome. Another unreliable test is the transvaginal ultrasound, which uses sound
waves to look at the uterus, fallopian tubes, and ovaries by inserting an ultrasound wand
into the vagina to find masses, like tumors, but cannot identify whether the mass is
cancerous or benign. Another reason those tests are not as reliable is because women find
these tests uncomfortable and invasive, so they don’t get regularly checked for ovarian
cancer.
2
Lastly, the most noninvasive test that is being implemented presently is the CA-
125 blood test, which tests for the levels of CA-125, or cancer antigen 125, found in
ovarian cancer cells. However, it’s only real use now is to confirm cancer if a woman is
suspected of having it because doctors know that it’s not the most reliable test, and that’s
why researchers are looking for an improved test. Its many problems include levels of
CA-125 can be elevated by other bodily functions such as a woman’s menstrual cycle,
Therefore, high levels of CA-125 do not necessarily correlate with a woman’s risk of
Luckily, the protein Mesothelin binds to CA-125, is produced when cancers are
research is still being done to learn more about Mesothelin, so scientists are sketchy to
base an entire separate test for that biomarker knowing so little about it. They do know,
however, that there are elevated levels when cancer is present and has less benign results.
If possible, using Mesothelin to develop a new blood test to detect ovarian cancer earlier
and more effectively would be useful in increasing the ovarian cancer survival rate.
Possible Treatments
A possible solution is to combine the CA-125 test with a specific biomarker that
relates to ovarian cancer and can provide a more efficient detection of the cancer.
Another would be to focus of just Mesothelin, but studies have shown that Mesothelin by
3
Purpose of the Paper
combination of CA-125 and the biomarker Mesothelin could yield more positive results
for detection and decrease the amount of benign results from just CA-125. The hope is
that the calculations made in this paper will correlate with the idea that a combined test
will be more effective. There will be two tables statistically calculating results; one table
will show the correlation of actual cancer and elevated CA-125, and the other table will
do the same but with Mesothelin instead of CA-125. Once the detected numbers are filled
in the table, specificity and sensitivity will be calculated to see if the results are
successful.
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Chapter 2: REVIEW OF LITERATURE
CA-125 is a protein produced by ovarian cancer. The test checks the levels of
CA-125 in the blood, which is the first recognized tumor marker for cancer in the ovaries
(Fritsche, 1998). CA-125 is effective in diagnosing ovarian cancer; studies reveal that it
elevates in women with ovarian cancer. It can identify about 85% of clinically advanced
ovarian cancers, and the deviations in average CA-125 levels can occur well over a year
before diagnosis (McIntosh, 2009). However, it’s considered an ineffective test; CA-12
will elevate in patients with breast, endometrium, gastrointestinal tract, and lung cancer,
as well as benign diseases of the uterus, liver, and gastrointestinal tract and in the ovary
and uterus (Fritsche, 1998). It will also be present during menstrual cycles and
pregnancy.
Additionally, CA-125 suffers from low sensitivity and low specificity used to
diagnose early stage ovarian cancer; meaning that it detects a high number of false
positives and false negatives. Due to this, it detects benign diseases more than actual
high-risk cancers (Huang, 2006). CA-125 can elevate for many other bodily functions
like the menstrual cycle or diseases like endometriosis, pelvic inflammatory disease, or
uterine myoma (American Cancer Society, n.d.). It can also be increased in patients with
breast, lung, liver, endometrium, gastrointestinal, and uterine cancers. The solution for
this problem that scientists are trying to determine is to combine the biomarker CA-125
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Mesothelin
better test for early-stage detection than CA-125. The high expression shown in tests
increases the likelihood of more specific detection that can benefit the current situation
(Ho, 2005) of using CA-125. The reason that it’s such an ideal candidate is because it’s
expressed in much higher quantities in patients with tumors versus benign tumors. Due to
the improved accuracy, scientists believe that Mesothelin was a “significant predictor” of
The problem with using just Mesothelin is that there’s been very little research
done to help scientists understand specifically what it’s used for in the body; it elevates if
a patient has cancer, but that’s the only characteristic researchers understand. So,
researchers for now are focusing on its use for diagnosing. The increased expression is
found through cancer tissues and blood and can also be measured in serum and other
However, studies done have concluded that the use of Mesothelin would be more
productive in combination with another biomarker. Cheng says that Mesothelin will
require even more studies to confirm whether Mesothelin will work as an “independent
predictor” (Cheng, 2009). As of right now, also stated by Madeira (2012), Mesothelin
cannot serve as a marker alone for the detection of ovarian cancer, but the combination
with CA-125 may be able to “achieve greater sensitivity” (Madeira, 2012). Therefore,
screening test, it could more effectively diagnose ovarian cancer, but could improve “in
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combination with another biomarker, especially in the early stages of disease” (Kristen,
2016). It’s a novel tumor target for all scientists studying the effects of Mesothelin for
Huang (2006) began by talking about how that alone, CA-125 alone is inefficient.
When he and his team ran experiments, they discovered that Mesothelin can be used to
help diagnose ovarian cancer and reduce the prognosis (Huang, 2006). Additionally,
Abdel-Azeez (2010) also showed that Mesothelin and CA-125 were elevated in the
women, and when combined they produced elevated sensitivity levels (Abdel-Azeez).
well. The team discovered that “the interaction between Mesothelin and CA-125 may
facilitate the implantation and spread of tumors by cell adhesion” (Kaneko, 2009).
Basically, when they bind, the CA125 and Mesothelin will increase in expression, and the
results show that they can become a new agent for diagnosing tumors. He also recognized
that blocking the interaction between the two may reverse metastasis and contribute to
higher survival rates in patients. Scientists are also considering the possibility that
Furthermore, the combination will better the longitudinal screening program as well as in
The need for more research on them as an effective combined diagnostic test is
important to apply this research to an actual test that can better results. This research
“facilitates prioritization of tumor types for future research” to clinically benefit the
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targeting of Mesothelin (Lamberts, 2015) along with other biomarkers. Compared with
the low levels of CA-125 alone, when tested as diagnostic markers using samples
collected at clinical diagnosis, there were healthy high levels of specificity shown (Shah,
2009) for the combined test. Shah (2009) measured levels of Mesothelin and CA-125 in
his meta-analysis and obtained results about the specificity and sensitivity of a combined
test.
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Chapter 3: METHODOLOGY
Purpose Statement
So far, there is no reliable screening test to detect early stage ovarian cancer.
However, scientists are looking to combine the current CA-125 test with another
biomarker to hopefully improve the diagnostic methods for ovarian cancer and increases
survival rates. In this thesis, there will be research done that compare Mesothelin and
CA-125 and see if together, more accurate results will be found and there will be less
benign detection of ovarian cancer. To determine this, the research will be analyzed,
specifically looking for the specificity and sensitivity of Mesothelin and CA-125. It’s
hypothesized that a positive correlation could indicate that the two could be combined
Assessment
specificity of each substance alone and together. Though, there have been studies
analyzing the sensitivity and specificity of Mesothelin and CA-125 separately: most of
the research on CA-125 is older with the articles ranging from the 1990s and 2000, and
Mesothelin research is relatively new from 2010 to present, so there’s not much evidence
determining that the combination will be successful. If the two can be shown to improve
the current test together, then there will be an increase in diagnosis and improve ovarian
cancer rates. With the limited research done about them as a combined test, other sources
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Search Strategies
Most of the research on this topic is from the internet, but using reputable sources
through Google Scholar and verifying if the articles it has pulled up are relevant to the
topic and are trustworthy depending on the website address and institution the study was
conducted in. Due to the little research done on Mesothelin, there’s little put into non-
electronic sources; those that mention Mesothelin are unrelated to this topic or not
specific enough to this thesis. Little selection criteria were used to limit research with a
statistician, Dr. Kyle Prince, was involved in the analysis of this study. Dr. Khalaf
assisted in interpreting data, finding reliable research, and explaining formatting as well
as how data will be displayed. Dr. Prince assisted in calculating specificity and sensitivity
Dr. Khalaf aided in interpreting articles to help find which articles would best
serve the purpose for this thesis, as well as coaching through ideas that were either
impossible to achieve because of time or because there were qualification issues for
certain experiments. Dr Prince will help to find numbers appropriate to use for
calculations for the sensitivity and specificity. The data was extracted from reputable
online sources from numerous scientific articles and experiments done concerning CA-
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The materials are the research papers and experiments gathered for background
and results in order to combine the biomarkers. As stated, the research stems from past
studies from the 1990s to present. The information and experiments are all reliable, as
Protocols
The research and information are divided into subcategories: ovarian cancer,
ineffective diagnostic tests of ovarian cancer, specifically the CA-125 test: how it works
and its flaws, Mesothelin, and the CA-125 and MSLN as a combined diagnostic test.
These subcategories will build on previous information presented because the topics
begin broad and become more specific. The first category, ovarian cancer, will provide a
background on its nature and survival rates; it will also explain CA-125 and their relation
(CA-125 elevation during ovarian cancer). The CA-125 diagnostic test section will
explore its flaws and how these flaws make it an unreliable and undesirable test. The
Mesothelin section will discuss information about Mesothelin and its fame as a biomarker
to detect early-stage cancers when combined with other biomarkers; thus, leading to the
next section of Mesothelin and CA-125 as a combined diagnostic test. Though there has
been little research done on the test itself, there will be explanations as to the hypothesis
that together, levels indicating cancer will increase and therefore diagnosis will increase.
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Chapter 4: FINDINGS AND ANALYSIS
diagnosed in an advanced stage, and the survival rates are between 19-30%. Stages III
and IV are considered advanced, when the cancer has spread to the abdomen or beyond.
Compared to Stage I, where the cancer is concentrated to just within the ovaries, the
chances of survival are lower. The solution is obviously earlier diagnosis, before the
tumor spreads throughout the body; according to the American Cancer Society, if ovarian
cancer were to be diagnosed during Stage I, the survival rate is increased to 92%.
However, the current screening tests to detect ovarian cancer are inefficient.
The current tests include pelvic exams, transvaginal ultrasounds, and, of course,
the CA-125 test. The pelvic exam is just simply an examination of the pelvic region, but
it wasn’t designed to specifically detect tumors. Therefore, it’s easy to overlook masses
that may be present. Transvaginal ultrasounds are scans to examine the inside of the
pelvic region to detect masses; however, the transvaginal ultrasound will detect any mass,
benign or tumor, so it’s reliability and specificity is low. Women are encouraged to
regularly get checked for masses, but many women don’t because they consider the tests
invasive. Therefore, the CA-125 test is considered the most noninvasive tests and one of
the leading screening tests, due to the cost efficiency and accessibility.
the likelihood of the members having a disease (Maxim, 2014). They are not the same as
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diagnostic tests, which diagnose a disease. The purpose of a screening test is to find if a
person tests positive for a disease, so they can determine if a diagnostic test is needed.
The CA-125 screening test is supposed to be able to inform a person at possible risk of
ovarian cancer; however, this screening test is ineffective because there are significant
results with either false negatives or false positives. The specificity and sensitivity of CA-
125 is what’s responsible for these results, so in order to reduce the number of false
positives and negatives and increase the numbers of true positives and negatives, we have
decided to combine CA-125 with Mesothelin and calculate the sensitivity and specificity
Sensitivity is the test’s ability to correctly designate a person with a positive for
the disease (Maxim, 2014). This means that a high number would correlate with a higher
true positive diagnosis. A test result with a high sensitivity result could indicate that there
are a few false negative results, meaning that there are people with the disease that were
incorrectly diagnosed as disease-free; they were not shown that they are at risk so they
could not take appropriate measures to get it confirmed. However, an adjusted test with
higher sensitivity may result in more false positives and less false negatives but lowering
it could produce more false negatives and less false positives (Maxim, 2014).
Specificity is the test’s ability to correctly designate a subject without the disease
as negative (Maxim, 2014). A high specificity would show a high number of true
negatives and a higher chance for correct diagnosis. A high specificity result could
indicate that there are a few false positive results. Though this is not as much of a serious
issue as a high sensitivity test, the false specificity will show that a subject is positive for
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a disease and will therefore go through unnecessary diagnostic tests to find a disease that
was never there in the first place. If a test has low specificity, it may create false
positives.
According to Maxim, this table should show logical screening test outcomes:
results
results
disease free
A similar table was used once the results were calculated using numbers extracted
from other sources (Madeira 2016, Ibrahim 2014, McIntosh 2004, Lin 2012, Shah 2009).
Maxim discussed the idea of a “Gold Standard” where in an ideal screening test, there
would be 100% specificity and 100% sensitivity. While there’s an impossible chance of
this happening by a screening test, we are looking to find a protein that can combine with
the CA-125 successfully and hopefully increase these numbers to get more accurate
• Sensitivity: _TP_
TP+ FN
• Specificity: _TN_
TN+FP
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Research shows that Mesothelin could improve the results of the CA-125 test.
Though there’s little research done on the specific uses, it’s shown to elevate in patients
with ovarian cancer, and it could also work well for immunotherapy and drugs as well as
diagnosis (Lamberts, 2015). It’s intriguing to scientists to try and find a way to
incorporate Mesothelin into therapies and drugs, but now, scientists find that it can be
used in diagnosis for not only ovarian cancer, but lung, pancreatic, uterine cancer and
mesothelioma. It’s elevation and binding to CA-125 is shown to increase the sensitivity
and specificity of the current test, and below, the calculations will be done for
Mesothelin, CA-125, and the combination of the two to compare the reuslts.
MSLN
The numbers found for Mesothelin’s sensitivity were 44.1, 49, 49.3, 78.6, and 97.
The numbers for the quartiles of this data are listed below:
• Q1=46.55
• Median=49.3
• Q3=87.8
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The interquartile range is needed to find the outliers for the sensitivity, based on
Ibrahim’s (2014) unusually high number. Using the formula, 1.5(Q3-Q1), 1.5(87.8 -
46.55) = 41.25, and 73.15 + 41.25 = 114.4, 97 appears not to be an outlier. The mean of
these numbers is 63.6, but since 97 is relatively higher, calculations were performed
without the 97 and discovered that the mean would be 55.25. This conveys that
Mesothelin has a 63.6% chance of correctly identifying ovarian cancer, or the true
positive rate. This appears to be low, but when combined with CA-125 the number
extremely good number; however, the other numbers were considered very low.
The numbers found in Mesothelin’s specificity were 94.5, 95, 98, and 83.3. The numbers
for the quartiles of the data and the mean are listed below:
• Q1=88.9
• Median=94.75
• Q3=96.5
• Mean=92.7
This shows that Mesothelin has about a 92.7% chance of correctly identifying
those without the disease, or the true negative rate. The specificity mean for Mesothelin is
significantly higher than the mean for sensitivity. Therefore, Mesothelin alone can
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Source Sensitivity Specificity
The numbers for the sensitivity of CA-125 were found to be 80 and 97.4, the
mean being 88.7. Ibrahim (2014) got another high number for sensitivity and was the
only good calculation. Most of the numbers were poor (under 79), except for the
sensitivity calculations from Madeira (2016) and the specificity from McIntosh (2004).
This means that CA-125 has around an 88.7% chance of correctly identifying the true
positive rate. A sensitivity of 88.7% is considered good, but not great, if in the 90’s.
The numbers found for the specificity of CA-125 were found to be 56.9, 75, 78.8,
• Q1=65.95
• Median=76.9
• Q3=81.9
• Mean=73.93
According to the formula 1.5(81.9 - 65.95) 23.925 and 75 - 23.925= 51.075, 56.9
is not an outlier, though it is significantly smaller than the rest. The test has about a
73.93% chance of correctly identifying the true negative rate. In comparison with
Mesothelin, the numbers for specificity were higher and considered to be greater in
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For the combined test, the mean was calculated for all the numbers; as shown,
most of the numbers were good results, disclosing the decent result given by Shah ().
The combination of CA-125 and Mesothelin’s specificity are 97.4 and 98, making
the mean 97.7; the numbers for their specificity were 98.3 and 86.5, making the mean
92.4. Their combination for sensitivity has about a 97.7% chance of correctly identifying
the true positive and a 92.4% chance of correctly identifying the true negative rate. The
The combination results show that more research should be done on the
combination, as the numbers appear to increase in accuracy. However, there were little
sources to pull from in order to make these calculations, and there should be more meta-
analyses to compare these results with to increase the reliability of these tests to confirm
Review Limitations
Initially, the idea was to create a new, combined test and conduct an experiment
to determine if it would work; however, since there was a lack of experience to do such
work, the idea ended up having to be revised; the correlation between Mesothelin and
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CA-125 could not have feasibly been tested by inexperienced youth. The mentor, Dr.
Khalaf, advised that an experiment that in depth would also require more time than given.
It would have taken a whole year to find people willing to participate, and even then,
there would have had limited data focused on only females in Vanderbilt in Franklin.
Additionally, the experiment that was initially needed for the original idea proved
to be overqualified for the current level of expertise possessed by the testers. The
participants have not sufficiently learned the amount of knowledge needed to perform
human experiments and testing blood work; not only are they uneducated in that study,
Since the thesis was revised, it was decided to collect data from other resources
and studies to find calculated sensitivities and specificities for Mesothelin and CA-125.
Unfortunately, a wide variety of numbers were needed in order to calculate and put into
tables, but the research deemed difficult. Google Scholar was used to obtain our
information, but some sources required money to access that could not have been
contributed. Also, resources that were only abstract could not be used, and some articles
that could have related to the thesis only allowed access to the abstract unless part of a
certain institution. The time constraints reduced the amount of time to properly find other
Lastly, even qualified researchers haven’t been able to test the combination of
CA-125 and Mesothelin yet, due to the still limited amount of research available on their
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combination. So, for unqualified testers, inferences were made on how well the two
to the calculations found, it increased the chances for a correctly diagnosed patient. Of
course, more extensive research can help to confirm the use of Mesothelin to improve the
current screening test. Also, there was a lack of studies regarding the combination of
Mesothelin and CA-125, which presented difficulties for finding an adequate amount of
numbers to calculate. The increased number of tests increases the reliability of this study
on combined tests, so numbers could be better trusted and hopefully reduce confusion in
developing a combined therapy treatment for patients with cancer, due to the high
concentrations of it in tumors. Research done by Kelly (2012) and Einama (2017) show
that Mesothelin could also develop combined treatments as well as Mesothelin vaccines.
Additionally, more research should be done on other proteins like HE4 and its
potential use for the development of more tests. According to studies, HE4 levels are
elevated by more than 50% of tumors that don’t express CA-125. This combination
enables the detection of malignancies in patients with tumors that are not expressed by
CA-125 alone. However, it’s not as good as Mesothelin for detection, and Mesothelin’s
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(2004). Abdel-Azeez (2010) agrees that the combination of Ca-125 and Mesothelin
Due to the limited access of an abundance of sources, there are possibilities that
this area of study because of the high amount of death rates. This could provide a
concentrated source of baseline education for other research, and the compilation of
biomedical; courses are an optional class, and are viewed as a serious course to take for
people interested in a medical field. However, cancer can impact every person’s life, so
it’s important for people to be knowledgeable about certain risks. The most serious aspect
of ovarian cancer is the fact that it’s usually diagnosed in a late stage where there can be
no effective treatment. If more females can understand the importance of having regular
screening tests done, it can increase the likelihood of survival if it can be caught early
testing to make the female more comfortable; however, since more research needs to be
done on combined screening tests, the invasive ones will stay around for a while. Due to
that, educating women about the importance of regular screening could potentially
mesothelioma, lung cancer, and pancreatic cancer. If the combination of CA-125 with
Mesothelin proves to improve the detection, it could also improve the early-stage
21
detection of those cancers, as well as ovarian cancer. So, more research could improve
the lives of hundreds of thousands more and could increase the survival rate of more than
one cancer.
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Chapter 5: CONCLUSION
The problem started with the inaccurate CA-125 test used to detect early stage
ovarian cancer. Scientists are attempting to improve the test using a combination of CA-
125 with another biomarker to improve the test. However, since there’s little known
about Mesothelin, the focus of this paper was to determine if comparing both CA-125
and Mesothelin will increase the likelihood of them becoming a new test for improved
results. Studies show that CA-125 is elevated during early stage cancer as well as
accurately. If there’s better detection of early stage ovarian cancer, then it can hopefully
increase the survival rate of those diagnosed. A possible solution was to combine the CA-
125 test with a specific biomarker that relates to ovarian cancer and can provide a more
efficient detection of the cancer. So, instead of conducting an individual test to find
Mesothelin, research was done to compare research done from other scientists to
determine if a combination of CA-125 and the biomarker Mesothelin could yield more
positive results for detection and decrease the amount of benign results from just CA-125.
The hope is that the calculations made in this paper will correlate with the idea that a
combined test will be more effective. There were tables that statistically calculated results
that showed the correlation of actual cancer and elevated CA-125 and Mesothelin. Once
the detected numbers are filled in the table, specificity and sensitivity will be calculated
to see if the results are successful. This paper also reaches to show the possible
importance of Mesothelin in screening tests for lung and pancreatic cancer and
mesothelioma. Therefore, more research should be done to discover more uses for
Mesothelin in general, including its potential uses of cancer detection and therapy.
23
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