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- Economic growth model that captures the transition of an economy from being mainly
agricultural to becoming mainly industrial based
- In this model, there are 2 main sectors of an economy
1. Modern sector – based in cities
2. Traditional sector – based in country side
- In the post war era, all the economies in Asia were dependent on agriculture
- Taiwan (1955-1998): Agriculture absorbed majority of its labor force, but gradually diminished
as service and industry sectors had risen
- Southeast Asia and East Asia had high GDP and agricultural growth, meanwhile, South Asia had
the opposite. Many of the economies in Asia were at the early stages of industrialization, thus,
high GDP and agricultural growth were hard to achieve. The future “miracle economies” were in
the high growth group compiled by the World Bank (1982).
- Exceptions
a. Indonesia and Malaysia: did not have to rely exclusively on primary products due to their
large mineral imports
b. Korea: Had large local savings due to large amounts of foreign borrowings
c. Hong Kong and Singapore: Did not have any agricultural resources, thus, focused on labor-
intensive manufacturing
- The tendency of agriculture’s share of income to fall can be explained by 2 powerful effects
1. Engle’s Law
Timmer (1991)
- Agricultural productivity growth is generally higher than industry at the beginning of the process
(when industry was still weak and needed protection from foreign competition)
- There was a wide productivity gap between agriculture and the rest of the economy
- The surplus in agriculture fueled the beginning of the industrialization process
- The agricultural sector in China is significant because it employs more than 60% of the local
population, and feeds 25% of the world
- The growth of agriculture was rapidly increased by implementation of various agricultural
reforms
- The relaxation of the government opened the doors for diversifying production and producing
other food crops such as sugarcane and vegetables
- The rise in productivity and income served as a catalyst to accelerate domestic demand, thereby
further stimulating production in the manufacturing and service sectors
- The rise of industrialization shrank the share of agriculture in GDP to 15%
- Measures taken by China in order to remain competitive in terms of agriculture despite focusing
on other produce such as livestock was the use of Genetically Modified (GM) crops
- Agricultural growth was also very high in richer countries such as Korea and Japan
- Peasant farmers have adapted and refined their methods in terms of agriculture
Three techniques used to test the efficiency of allocation of resources by traditional farming
1. Cobb-Douglas production
• Compared marginal value of products using different factors
• If marginal value is close to equal → resources were allocated efficiently
• Based on Indian data, variable factors were allocated efficiently, but, fixed factors such
as the working animals (water buffalos and bullocks) were not
• In order to utilize the animals, they must either be shared among farmers or used in a
wider land area which can utilize their work
2. Econometric studies
• Suggested that traditional farming utilized and allocated efficiently their resources
3. Linear programming model
• State of Maharastra, India
• There were inefficiencies since potential output was higher than actual output
- Conclusion, traditional agriculture is reasonably efficient, but can use minor adjustments
What worked?
A. Green Revolution
- The phenomena created by the development of higher-yielding varieties of rice
- International Rice Research Institute in Los Banos, Philippines
B. Application of Fertilizers, Pesticides and Herbicides
- Increased use of fertilizer has been the single most important indicator of technological change I
agriculture
C. Irrigation
- Contributed to the water management, furthermore, to the agricultural development in Asia
- Increase in overall productivity and reduced the risk of flooding
- Allowed farmers to introduce multiple cropping
A. Farm size
- There is an inverse relationship between farm size and overall farm productivity
- Other factors such as farming intensity, land quality, and use of irrigation suggest that this
inverse effect disappears when other factors are help constant
- The inverse relationship may also be broken down when modern technologies are introduced
B. Changes in Land Tenure
- Major forms of Land tenure
a. Owner-operated farms
• These vary dramatically in terms of size
• Large – typically grow plantation crops such as coconuts and rubber. Uses hired labor
• Small – mainly dependent on family labor
b. Tenancy arrangements (2 kinds)
1. Tenant gives a portion of output to the landlord
2. Land is rented to the tenant at a fixed fee