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THE MARKETS ON FRIDAY Chg#


SATURDAY, 4 MAY 2019 MUMBAI (CITY) ~10.00
VOLUME VI NUMBER 40 26 pages in 2 sections
Sensex 38963.3 18.2
Nifty 11712.3 12.5 WEEKEND SEPARATE SECTION ECONOMY & PUBLIC AFFAIRS P6
Nifty futures* 11764.3 52.0
Dollar
Euro
~69.2
~77.2
~69.4**
~77.7** PERFORMING ARTS FINDING DANGER OF A FULL-BLOWN NBFC
NEW WAYS TO STAY ALIVE CRISIS HAS PASSED: PURI
Brent crude ($/bbl)## 71.8## 70.7**
Gold (10 gm)### ~31236.0 ~104.0
*(May) Premium on Nifty Spot; **Previous close;
# Over previous close; ## At 9 pm IST;
### Market rate exclusive of VAT; Source: IBJA PUBLISHED SIMULTANEOUSLY FROM AHMEDABAD, BENGALURU, BHUBANESWAR, CHANDIGARH, CHENNAI, HYDERABAD, KOCHI, KOLKATA, LUCKNOW, MUMBAI (ALSO PRINTED IN BHOPAL), NEW DELHI AND PUNE www.business-standard.com

DEFAULTS BY IL&FS
MUST BE DECLARED
NPAs: IRDAI CHIEF
Financial sector may Jaypee Infra lenders
reject Suraksha bid
lose weight in Nifty
Insurance companies must declare their
exposures to Infrastructure Leasing &
Financial Services (IL&FS) non-performing NBCC top choice for homebuyers
assets (NPAs) if the infrastructure-
financing firm defaults on repayment, KARAN CHOUDHURY
said Insurance Regulatory and Bengaluru, 3 May
Development Authority of India Chairman NSE considering caps to reduce concentration of any one sector
Shubash Chandra Khuntia. Hence, The wait for the 25,000-odd homebuyers of the
insurance companies have to provide for SAMIE MODAK 24.93 per cent, followed by beleaguered Jaypee Group projects is set to RESCUE
bad investments in IL&FS and take a hit on
shareholder profit. 6>
Mumbai, 3 May financials at 21 per cent.
Similarly, the FTSE 100 index of
become longer.
According to a BSE filing by Jaypee PLANS

T
he National Stock the London Stock Exchange Infratech, the offer of the Suraksha Realty-led
Exchange of India has technology as the biggest consortium, the only player left in the race to
ECONOMY & PUBLIC AFFAIRS P6 (NSE) is considering sector with 19.6 per cent weight, acquire Jaypee Infratech, has been rejected by
REC's higher offer capping
weights in the benchmark
sectoral followed by consumer durables
and real estate at around 15 per
the Committee of Creditors (CoC) after it was
not able to get the 66 per cent votes required to
stirs up bond market Nifty50 index, a move that cent each. Japan’s Nikkei 225 get the go-ahead.
SURAKSHA REALTY’S OFFER*
Bond market participants were baffled by could trigger a sell-off in finan- has communications and tech- According to the filing, only 23.47 per cent of ~18.55 cr as upfront
an unusual deal done by government-
backed REC Ltd, which raised ~1,247 crore
cial stocks. The proposal is
aimed at providing more diver-
nology as the two biggest sec-
tors with weights of 31 per cent RESTORING BALANCE the votes were in favour of Suraksha while 41.85
per cent were against giving Jaypee Infratech
payment to lenders
from the market for bonds maturing in two
years, seven months and 15 days.
sity and reducing the concen-
tration of one sector.
and 28 per cent, respectively.
“The weight of financial
With 37%weightin Nifty50, financial stocks have
disproportionatelyhigh influence on the market
projects to them. The rest abstained from vot-
ing. Almost none of the banks voted in favour
~5,000 cr worth of land
parcels
The AAA-rated public infrastructure finance The Nifty, considered a services is at odds with the sec- Nifty Overall Sector weight (%) of Suraksha’s plans, a closer look at the Jaypee
company offered 8.5 per cent for the
money. ANUP ROY & SHREYA JAI write
barometer of the Indian econo-
my, has the representation of 13
tor’s weight in the economy. It
simply doesn’t have that kind Current Decade ago
filing shows.
“Since the members representing 23.47 per
~3,000 cr capital
infusion to complete the
sectors through 50 stocks. of share in our GDP,” said 37.36 21.87 cent of the voting rights assented to the matter,
However, financials, which Saurabh Mukherjea, founder FINANCIALS the decision on the item stands rejected,” the
construction of over
31.88 20.72 20,000 flats
include banks and non-banking and chief investment officer at papers on Voting Results for the Ninth Meeting
ON financial companies (NBFCs), Marcellus Investment Man- ENERGY
14.59
11.77
24.78
19.13
of the Committee of Creditors (CoC) of Jaypee
OTHER OFFERS
SPECIALS
SATURDAY alone account for over 37 per
cent of the index weight, exert-
agers, calling for more realign-
ment between market perform-
IT
14.14 10.51
Infratech Ltd submitted in the BSE stated.
Voting on the issue started on April 30 for NBCC
ing a disproportionately high ance and economic growth. The 10.92 8.83 banks and financial institutions as well as | ~5,000 crore worth of
WEEKENDRUMINATIONS: influence on the market. In oth- NSE has sought market feed-
CONSUMER 11.54 8.91 homebuyers and fixed-deposit holders. The land
Coldshowerafterthepolls 9> er words, the fortune of the stock back on whether it should go process ended on May 3.
GOODS 13.31 9.23 | 100 per cent equity of
market is tied closely to the per- ahead with the proposal to have According to sources close to the matter, in
The danger is that a post-poll 6.9 3.88 Yamuna Expressway, the
government might be tempted to take formance of financial stocks. a threshold on sectoral weights. AUTOMOBILE the worst-case scenario if the insolvency reso-
Experts say most popular Based on the response, the 7.1 4.67 lution professional (IRP) does not come up with
only cash generating
comfort from moderate inflation and opt asset with Jaypee Infra
for expansionist policies in order to global indices don’t have a sec- exchange could cap a sector’s Note: Overall is representation in all NSE-listed stocks Source: NSE any plan, Jaypee Infratech might head for liq-
deliver on unaffordable poll promises, toral cap, but the weight of the weight at 25 per cent, or align uidation. If that happens homebuyers are in | Promise of giving house
writes T N NINAN top sector in markets like the with the broader market. The | NSE, which has sought market feedback, the danger of not getting their apartments. keys in three years
US, Japan and the UK is little share of financial companies in could cap a sector’s weight at 25 per cent, or However, sources close to the CoC are cer- Jaypee Group
NATIONALINTEREST: Modi compared to India. Also, sector the overall listed universe is tain that Jaypee Infratech projects will now
meetshismatchinMamata 9>
align it with the broader market | Chairman Manoj Gaur has
weights in the developed world 31.88 per cent — high but still head for a third round of bidding. This would
Modi & Shah are street-fighters trying to are more in sync with the real below its Nifty weight. | Plan is aimed at providing more diversity and allow not only state-run NBCC to participate in promised to infuse
win Bengal through Hindu-Muslim economy. For instance, in the In a discussion paper, the bidding but also give a chance to the promoters ~2,000 crore to complete
bringing sector weights in sync with real economy
polarisation. But Mamata is fighting Dow Jones Industrial Average, NSE has said sectoral caps of Jaypee Group as well as Adani Group to pending apartments over
their poison with her own. an index of 30 large US-listed would lead to diversification but | Experts say the weight of financial services is throw their hat in the ring to grab the project, the next four years
SHEKHAR GUPTA writes companies, the technology sec- has also listed several negative at odds with the sector’s weight in the economy worth over ~8,000 crore. *Offer rejected on Friday
tor has the highest weight at aspects. Turn to Page 10 > Turn to Page 10 >
YES,BUT...: Celebritycouples
sparkleforbrands 9>
The era of the Celebrity Couple is finally
here, writes SANDEEP GOYAL, in the
first of a fortnightly column for CYCLONE FANI BATTERS EAST COAST N EARNINGS CENTRAL N
Business Standard

HULvolume Cognizantprojects
PAGE 16
POLITICS & PUBLIC AFFAIRS growthlowest slowestgrowth
Cong leaders to take insixquarters initshistory
general coaches to spread
NYAY message Thecountry’slargestconsumergoods US-basedinformationtechnology(IT)
Up to phase VI, number of company,HindustanUnilever(HUL), servicesfirmCognizantslasheditsfull-
women in fray crosses 600 reporteditslowestvolumegrowthinsix yearrevenueguidancefor2019byalmost
POLL quartersfortheJanuary-March2019 halfonFriday.ThisistheITfirm’sslowest
VAULT TMC digs deep, doesn’t
2019 periodasruraldemandmoderated.Forthe growthprojectionever.Thiswasdueto
rule out queen’s chair quarterunderreview,HULsaw7percent executionissuesandslowgrowthinitskey
volumegrowth,asagainst11percentinthe verticals—financialservicesandhealthcare.
year-agoperiod.Intheperiodbetween TheTeaneck-headquarteredfirm,which
COMPANIES P3 December31,2017andDecember31,2018, misseditsrevenueguidanceforthefirst
Big Four can’t offer legal HULreportedvolumegrowthintheregion
of10-12percent. 2>
quarter(January-March),saiditwould
considervariouscostoptimisation
services: Bar Council measures,includingadditionalemployee
In a double-whammy for the Big Four “FACTORS SUCH AS A STABLE separationprogrammes,aspartofits
audit-cum-consultancy firms — Deloitte,
EY, KPMG and PwC — the Bar Council of Delhi
GOVERNMENT AND A GOOD realignmentefforts.Thefirm'sfinancial
yearisfromJanuarytoDecember.Accor-
has directed the four firms to refrain from MONSOON WILL PLAYA dingtotherevisedguidance,Cognizantis
providing legal services to clients till further KEY ROLE, BUT I REMAIN likelytoclockfull-yearrevenuegrowthin
notice. The Society of Indian Law Firm said in
its complaint that the Big Four were actually
OPTIMISTIC therangeof3.6-5.1percentfor2019,as
againstitsearlierguidanceof7-9percentin
accounting firms, but were engaged in ABOUT THE constantcurrencyterms. 2>
“doing law practice”. FUTURE”
SANJIV
MEHTA
Q1 REPORT CARD
> SENSEX YoY QoQ
THIS WEEK A view of the destruction caused by Cyclone Fani in Puri, Odisha, on Friday PHOTO: PTI
Chairman & MD,
HUL Parameter growth growth
Landfall Magnitude Victims Damage Flights MARKETS P10 Revenue $4.11 bn 5.1% -0.5%
39,200 Fani,orthe Thestrongesttropical Eightpeople Roadandpower Operationsat > THE COMPASS: HUL investors need to cool Net profit $441 mn -15% -32%
39,067 39,100 hoodofsnake, cyclonetohitIndiain20 killedin infrastructure Bhubaneshwarand
39,000 madelandfall years.Itunleashedheavy separate severelyhitin Kolkataairportsremained
expectations after weak Q4 show Operating
COMPANIES P2 16% -170* -350*
38,900 around8am rainandwindstorm incidentsin severaldistricts; suspendedformanyhours; margin
38,963 38,800 inPuri gustingupto200kmph Odisha Purisufferedworst likelytoresumetoday > GODREJ CONSUMER PBT FALLS 32% *Basis points Note: Cognizant follows Jan-Dec financial calendar
38,700
Apr26 2019 May3

Godrej Properties buys a piece of film history: RK Studios


Net change -104 % change -0.3

> RESULTS RECKONER


Swankyflats,malltoreplacetheiconicproperty Thesaleofthestudiohasbeenclosely
trackedeversincetheannouncement
Quarter ended Mar 31, 2019; common sample
of 205 companies (results available of 230)
inMumbai‘seasternsuburbofChembur madebyactorRishiKapoorinAugust
2018thatthefamilyhaddecidedtoput
SALES thepropertyontheblock.UnderGodrej,
RAGHAVENDRA KAMATH Friday. Prices in high-end buildings thestudiowillmakewayforswanky
Mar 31, ’18 18.0% 4.31 trillion Mumbai, 3 May around the RK Studios area are around residentialtowersandaluxurymall.
Mar 31, ’19 15.8% 4.99 trillion ~25,000 a sq ft in terms of carpet area, Notonlyisthedealbeingseenasthe
Raj Kapoor’s RK Studios in Chembur, say real estate brokers. endofaneraforBollywood,andasoneof
NET PROFIT
an eastern suburb of Mumbai, has PirojshaGodrej,executivechairman, thelargestblocksofrealestatetogo
Mar 31, ’18 9.6% 45,693 crore slipped into history. The 2.2-acre iconic GodrejProperties,said,“Thisfitswell underthehammerintheeastern
Mar 31, ’19 22.9% 56,162 crore landmark has been sold to Godrej withourstrategyofdeepeningour suburbsofthecity,itisexpectedto
Companies that have reported zero sales are excluded
Properties, the Godrej group’s real presenceinkeylocationsacrossIndia's transformthelocallandscapeand
Data compiled by BS Research Bureau Source: Capitaline estate company. Although neither leadingcities.Wewillseektoensurewe influencepropertypricesinthearea.
party is willing to put a figure to the celebratetheremarkablelegacyofthis Forpeopleinthearea,thestudiohas
deal, the industry estimate is that the sitewiththegoalofdeliveringan beensynonymouswiththestate’s
TO OUR READERS plot went under the hammer for close outstandinglifestyleforitsresidents.” annualGanapatifestivalandtheraucous
The half-page commercial feature to ~200 crore. Setupin1950,thestudioisan Holipartiesthatdrewthewho’swhoof Set up in 1950, the studio is an indelible part of Bollywood lore and local history. A
on Bimtech, being carried on page 5, The plot is located on the Sion- indeliblepartofBollywoodloreandlocal theindustryintoitsimposingirongates number of superhits like Awara, Bobby, and Ram Teri Ganga Maili were shot here
is equivalent to a paid-for Panvel highway, an arterial road that history.Someofthebrighteststarsfrom thatwalledoffgawkingpassers-byfrom
advertisement. No Business Standard connects the southern tip of the city theHindifilmindustryhavepassed thestarsinside.Thestudio’sdecline Thefinalstrawwasafirein Indianfilmindustry,withRanbirKapoor
journalist was involved in producing with many townships of Navi Mumbai. throughitshallowedgatesandithas begansoonafterthedeathofthe September2017thatguttedlargepartsof andKareenaKapoorbeingthelatest
it. Readers are advised to treat it as an Of the total area, about 33,000 sq metre rolledoutsomeoftheindustry’sbiggest patriarchKapoorandasstudiosinthe thestudioandburntdownprecious generationofactorsinplay,saythey
advertisement. (around 350,000 sq ft) of saleable area hits.FromAwaratoBobbyandRamTeri Westernsuburbsofthecitygrewmore memorabilia.TheKapoors,widely founditdifficulttomaintaintheplace.
can be built, Godrej Properties said on GangaMaili,allwereshothere. popular,itlostitssheen. acknowledgedasthefirstfamilyofthe Turn to Page 10 >

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2 COMPANIES
>
MUMBAI | 4 MAY 2019 1

IN BRIEF
Vodafone Idea, IBM sign Now, farmers seek damages from PepsiCo
multi-million dollar IT deal Unions say farmers’ ‘right to seeds’ is non-negotiable
India's largest telecom operator
Vodafone Idea on Friday announced a VINAY UMARJI PepsiCo had on Thursday said it had for pressuring PepsiCo to agree to their
five-year multi-million dollar IT Ahmedabad, 3 May agreed to withdraw cases against potato demands for compensation. “We are not
outsourcing deal with tech giant IBM. growers in Gujarat after discussions with the going to approach the courts for compen-
“...this engagement will also eeking an unconditional withdrawal government. The company had sued nine sation but will take a call as and when
contribute to Vodafone Idea's merger
synergy objectives by reducing its IT
related costs,” the telecom firm said in
S of the case, the potato growers in
Gujarat, who were sued by PepsiCo
India Holdings, said on Friday that they
potato farmers in Gujarat, including five last
year and four this year, for allegedly buying
seeds and selling potato of the FL 2027 vari-
PepsiCo files for withdrawal of cases in the
courts,” the farmers said.
On Friday, farmers and activists also
a statement. The company did not have sought compensation from the cola ety registered by PepsiCo. This variety is used announced forming of a new outfit called Bij
divulge the size of the deal but some reports pegged it at about $700 and food giant for the harassment caused by PepsiCo for making ‘Lays’ chips. Adhikar Manch (Rights for Seeds Forum). A
million. “The collaboration will provide Vodafone Idea with a to them due to the lawsuit. “After discussions with the govern- meeting of 30 members under the new enti-
hybrid cloud based digital platform to enable more intimate In a press briefing on Friday, three of the ment, the company has agreed to with- ty, comprising farmers, farm leaders, civil
engagement with its over 387 million subscribers (as of December 31, potato farmers sued by PepsiCo along with draw cases against farmers. We are relying rights representatives, lawyers and scien-
2018), enhancing business efficiency, agility and scale plus farmer union leaders and farmers’ rights on the discussions to find a long-term and tists, was also held in Ahmedabad on Friday
simplification of its business processes,” it said. The new activists asserted that Indian farmers’ 'right amicable resolution of all issues around where the forum decided to call for a nation-
infrastructure platform will remove constraints to exponential to seeds' was non-negotiable. seed protection. The company remains wide boycott of PepsiCo products.
growth of data usage driven by increasing consumption of video, With support from other farmer deeply committed to the thousands of The forum will now continue to fight for
streaming and digital commerce, the statement said, adding that it organisations and activists, including the farmers we work with across the country farmers’ sovereign rights seeds, said its co-
will also drive enhanced customer experience to millions of RSS-affiliate Bharatiya Kisan Sangh and towards ensuring adoption of best ordinator Kapil Shah.
connected consumers and businesses in India. PTI< (BKS), the potato growers have not only farming practices,” a PepsiCo India Friday also saw PepsiCo India officials
sought compensation but also called for spokesperson had stated. hold a meeting with Gujarat government
boycott of the food giant’s products. The sued potato farmers also called officials, including chief secretary of the
“PepsiCo should withdraw the cases for more awareness of the legislation state and additional chief secretary for agri-
RBI slaps ~11-lakh RBI slaps penalty unconditionally. The company has to also around plant varieties among farmers culture, in state capital Gandhinagar.
fine on YES Bank for on PhonePe, Voda pay us compensation for all the harass- across the country. Addressing mediapersons after the
violating norms m-pesa, 3 others ment we were put through even though
the law is clear on the subject,” said Bipin
“The court proceedings came as a shock
to us, including the amount of damages
meeting in Gandhinagar, Jagrut Kotecha,
vice-president snacks, PepsiCo India, said,
YES Bank on Friday said the The Reserve Bank of India Patel, one of the four potato growers that the company was claiming. It was “We had come to update the state govern-
Reserve Bank of India has Friday said it has imposed against whom PepsiCo had filed a suit, in clearly trying to intimidate and harass us. ment about the statement we had issued
imposed a penalty of ~11.25 penalties on five prepaid KEY POINTERS a media briefing on Friday. Its real intention may have been to wipe earlier on Thursday and are looking forward
lakh on it for violating money payment instrument (PPI) “We would like the state government out competitors from the market, but it to an amicable solution for everyone.”
> Potato growers seek rights on seeds
transfer norms. "(The) Reserve issuers, including Vodafone to reveal full details of the ongoing discus- chose to harass farmers,” they said. When asked about withdrawal of cases
Bank of India (RBI) vide its m-pesa and PhonePe, for unconditional withdrawal > PepsiCo had earlier sions with the company since we are On the other hand, Maganbhai Patel of against the potato growers, Kotecha told
speaking order dates April 22, violation of regulatory norms. of case with compensation offered an out-of-court demanding an unconditional withdrawal BKS said that it was possible to get a large mediapersons that PepsiCo India would
2019, imposed a penalty of Also, penalties have been > Seek details of govt’s settlement based on a reiteration of Section 39 (1) (iv) multinational company to back out very withdraw the cases as and when the mat-
~11,25,000 under the Payment imposed on Western Union discussions with PepsiCo of the Protection of Plant Varieties and quickly, given that the PPV&FR Act 2001 ter came up for hearing before the court.
> Food major works with
and Settlement Systems Act, Financial Services Inc and Farmers’ Rights (PPV&FR) Act 2001, and was clearly on the farmers’ side. The next hearing in the matter has been
> Invoke Section 39 of around 1,200 potato
2007," YES Bank said in a MoneyGram Payment Systems anything else is not acceptable,” the pota- The potato growers and farmer activists scheduled for June 12 at a commercial
regulatory filing. PTI< Inc, both US firms, for non- PPV&FR Act for asserting farmers in Gujarat to growers said. also sought support from the government court in Ahmedabad.
compliance of guidelines. PTI<

Embassy Office
Parks to raise ~3K cr SpiceJet to add NEARNINGS CENTREN
via debentures 12 more flights
from May 11
HUL volume growth declines
Embassy Office Parks, which
recently launched India's first
real estate investment trust
(REIT), Friday said it will raise
~3,000 crore through the
allotment of debentures on a
private placement basis. Emba-
ssy Office Parks, a joint venture
as rural show disappoints
between global investment firm
Blackstone and realty firm
SpiceJet has announced
introduction of 12 new flights
Revenue, net profit company was in terms of oper-
ating profit, or earnings before
Embassy Group, had raised from New Delhi and Mumbai to miss analysts’ interest, tax, depreciation, and
~4,750 crore through REIT. PTI< other destinations. Of the 12 amortisation, which rose 13.2
new services, which comm- estimates even as per cent in Q4FY19 over

L&T Technology
ence from May 11, six are to and margins improve Q4FY18 to ~2,314 crore. This

Services Q4 net
profit up 21%
from Mumbai while the rest
connects the national Capital,
SpiceJet said in a statement. VIVEAT SUSAN PINTO
was in line with the consensus
estimate of ~2,348 crore.
Operating margin expanded
Cognizant projects
slowest growth ever
The airline will deploy Boeing Mumbai, 3 May 90 basis points to 23.3 per cent
L&T Technology Services (LTTS) on 737 NG aircraft on these routes, in Q4. A basis point is one-hun-
Friday posted about 21 per cent it said, adding the new services Hindustan Unilever (HUL), the dredth of a percentage point.
rise in consolidated net profit to from Mumbai will be operated country’s largest consumer HUL also declared final
~191.5 crore for the fourth from Terminal 2. PTI< goods company, reported its dividend of ~13 per share on GIREESH BABU & “Cognizant’s growth and
quarter of 2018-19, helped by lowest volume growth in six Friday. When added to the DEBASIS MOHAPATRA performance in the quarter
broad-based growth across
industry segments. The comp- Birla Corp’s Q4
quarters for the January-
March period (Q4), on the back
KEY FINANCIALS interim dividend of ~9 per
share announced earlier, the
Chennai/Bengaluru, 3 May leaves room for improvement,”
said Chief Executive Officer
Reported
any's revenue from operations
stood at ~1,343.1 crore, up 27 per
net profit at of moderation in rural
demand. Quarter Net sales YOY Chg Profit After YOY Chg
total dividend stands at ~22 per
share for FY19. This is 10 per
US-based information tech-
nology (IT) services firm
Brian Humphries adding:
“While I am encouraged by our
cent year-on-year and two per ~128.19 crore For the quarter under (~ cr) (%) Tax (~ cr) (%) cent higher that the total divi- Cognizant slashed its full- client centricity, our employ-
cent on a sequential basis. "We Birla Corporation’s net profit review, HUL saw 7 per cent vol- Dec-17 8,323 10.8 1,326 27.7 dend of ~20 per share given in year revenue guidance for ees’ winning spirit and our
had an excellent year, growing during the quarter ended ume growth against 11 per cent FY18, said Chief Financial 2019 by almost half on Friday. innovation, we are not yet
Mar-18 9,003 11.1 1,351 14.2
ahead of the industry once March 31, 2019 fell by 2.23 per in the year-ago period. From Officer Srinivas Phatak. This is the IT firm’s slowest delivering against the market
again. Growth in the financial cent at ~128.19 crore as against the December 2017 quarter to Jun-18 9,356 11.4 1,529 19.2 Shares of HUL fell more growth projection ever. This opportunity. We are commit-
year 2018-19 was broad-based the net profit of ~131.12 crore December 2018 quarter Sep-18 9,138 11.5 1,525 19.5 than 2 per cent on Friday to was due to execution issues ted to strengthening our exe-
and we achieved our target of registered in the similar quarter (Q3FY18 to Q3FY19), HUL close at ~1,692.80 apiece on the and slow growth in its key cution to invest in growth.”
double-digit growth in all five of the last fiscal year. Its net reported volume growth in the Dec-18 9,357 12.4 1,444 8.9 BSE, before the earnings verticals — financial services The firm’s operating mar-
of our industry segments," LTTS revenue, on the other hand region of 10-12 per cent, after Mar-19 9,809 9.0 1,538 13.8 announcement, which came and health care. gin dropped 350 basis points to
CEO and MD Keshab Panda said. grew by 13.44 per cent at gaining from price cuts under Source: Capitaline Compiled by BS Research Bureau after market hours. On the seg- The New Jersey-headquar- 16 per cent in Q1 of 2019. Based
PTI< ~1,872.76 crore as compared to the goods and services tax ment front, revenue from the tered firm, which missed its on current foreign exchange
the earning of ~1,650.81 crore regime, coupled with con- fast moving consumer goods HUL’s net profit rose 13.8 home care business rose 12.9 revenue guidance for the first rates, the company expects its
on a year-on-year basis. sumer uptick in urban and (FMCG) market grew 13.6 per per cent year-on-year (YoY) to per cent to ~3,502 crore. quarter (January-March), said second quarter and full-year
NDMC may charge BS REPORTER< rural areas. cent in Q4, versus 15.9 per cent ~1,538 crore in Q4, lower than Revenue from the beauty and it would consider various cost 2019 revenue growth to be neg-
Hotel Lalit ~8 cr per On Friday, Chairman and
Managing Director Sanjiv
and 16.5 per cent in the
December and September
the Bloomberg consensus esti-
mate of ~1,611 crore. Revenue
personal care segment grew 7.3
per cent to ~4,393 crore.
optimisation measures, incl-
uding additional employee sep-
atively affected by 130 basis
points and 90 basis points,
month licence fees Cement firms Mehta said that rural growth, quarters, respectively. (net sales plus other operating Revenue for the food and aration programmes, as part of respectively, translating to
Hotel Lalit in Central Delhi will
soon have to cough up around
under scanner for which was earlier 1.3 times
urban growth, was now in line
While Mehta said that the
FMCG market would bounce
income) rose 9.3 per cent YoY
to ~9,945 crore, marginally low-
refreshment segment rose 10.4
per cent to ~1,916 crore.
its realignment efforts. The
company follows a January-
growth of 2.6-3.6 per cent ($4.11-
$4.15 billion) for the quarter and
~8 crore a month as license over-loading with urban growth, indicating back in the near term, Nielsen er than the Street’s estimates of Kaustubh Pawaskar, rese- December financial calendar. 2.7-4.2 per cent ($16.55-$16.80
fees to the NDMC as the civic Truck over-loaded with slowdown in rural areas. lowered its forecast for CY19, ~10,001 crore. Net sales, mean- arch analyst at Sharekhan, said: According to the revised billion) for this year.
body is planning to revise the cement bags would now land Market research agency saying growth would be while, grew 9 per cent YoY to “Weakening demand in the guidance, Cognizant is likely to “Over the coming quarters,
charges. The revision of the even the manufacturer of the Nielsen had last month hinted around 12 per cent as against ~9,809 crore. rural market will impact per- clock full-year revenue growth we intend to bring our cost
license fees has been long due product into trouble in at the same, stating that the 14 per cent in CY18. The only respite for the formance in the near term. in the range of 3.6-5.1 per cent structure closer in line with our
for the hotel. The New Delhi Chhattisgarh. The state for 2019, as against its earlier revised revenue expectations,”
Municipal Council (NDMC) is government had taken a guidance of 7-9 per cent in con- said Karen McLoughlin, chief
supposed to renew the licence
fee every 33 years as per the
licence deed, which is for 99
years. However, the 33-year
decision to lodge FIR with the
police against cement com-
pany if vehicle ferrying its
product was intercepted with
‘Liquidity crunch, low food inflation stant currency terms.
Infosys guided for a revenue
growth rate of 7.5-9.5 per cent
for this financial year, while the
financial officer of Cognizant.
The IT services firm, which
has a majority of its employees
in India, incurred $2 million in
period for Lalit Hotel had
expired in 2014. The five-star
hotel currently pays ~12 lakh
over load. The company would
also face legal action for dam-
aging state’s resources as over-
contributed to rural slowdown’ TCS management was confi-
dent of achieving double-digit
revenue growth during this
costs associated with the CEO
transition, apart from the
departure of its president in Q1.
per month as license fees to loaded trucks would damage Hindustan Unilever (HUL) navigated a challenging March quarter as the period. In the first quarter of It is likely to incur another
the civic body. PTI< the roads. BS REPORTER< sector witnessed a slowdown. In a press conference, Chairman and this year, Cognizant posted 15 $23 million during the rest of
Managing Director SANJIV MEHTA responded to questions from per cent decline in net profit to 2019. Owing to the Supreme
Viveat Susan Pinto on what lies ahead for the company. Excerpts: $441 million, compared to $520 Court's order, the IT firm is also

Bharti Airtel plans to kick off How long do you see the demand. Rural growth is
million in the year-ago period.
Revenue stood at $4.11 bil-
expecting additional liability
arising out of defined contri-
slowdown lasting? Nielsen now in line with urban lion in Q4, a rise of 5.1 per cent bution obligations towards
IPO of $5-bn Africa phone unit has given a lower forecast growth, which wasn’t the on a year-on-year (YoY) basis. employees this year.
for CY19 versus CY18. What case earlier. Rural growth In constant currency terms, rev-
BLOOMBERG being boosted by emerging- are your thoughts on this? was 1.3 times that of urban enue growth was 6.8 per cent. More on business-standard.com
London/Mumbai, 3 May market companies seeking a I see the market bouncing growth, a few quarters ago.
wider investor pool. Finablr, back in the near term. Yes, But factors such as
Bharti Airtel, India’s second- the currency-exchange firm
biggest wireless carrier, is controlled by an Abu Dhabi-
factors such as a stable
government at the Centre
liquidity crunch and food
inflation being on the lower
Godrej Consumer PBT falls 32%
preparing to kick off the initial based billionaire, starting and a good monsoon will be side (which has impacted PHOTO:KAMLESH PEDNEKAR FMCG major Godrej Consumer Products (GCPL) reported a 32 per
public offering of its Africa unit taking orders this week for a key, but I remain optimistic. farm income), have cent decline in its consolidated profit before tax from ~737.59
in a deal that could raise about share sale that could raise as The market has a seen a contributed to the slowdown we will have to wait. improvement in operating crore in March 2018 quarter to ~500.57 crore in the fourth quar-
$1 billion, people familiar with much as $677 million. West reversal after a few quarters in rural areas. Wages have margins in the Q4? What ter of 2018-19. It reported a 51.5 per cent increase in conso-
the matter said. Asian payments of robust growth, but I am not also not grown significantly, Will price growth return to strategy do you have in place lidated net profit to ~935.24 crore in the fourth quarter ended
Airtel Africa is Airtel Africa is processor Network giving up. The new impacting consumer the market or will you cont- to improve margins? March 2019, but that was largely due to write-back of tax credit
planning to make a planning to International government that confidence. Having inue to depend on volume There is no big differentiator. on account of minimum alternative tax. Adjusted for the tax
formal announce- make a formal Holdings Plc comes to power will said that, I believe the growth, which is now slo- What we are focusing on is adjustments, which include other deferred tax treatment, the
ment about the announcement raised £1.1 billion make an effort to kick- tide will turn. FMCG wing? our product mix. We are net profit declined by 35.7 per cent year-on-year to ~500.57
London listing this about the ($1.4 billion) last start the economy. This growth rates have not Price growth happens when managing our costs crore. Total revenue from operations during the quarter fell
month and aims to London listing month in the should improve vanished. So, there is there are reasons such as efficiently and looking to 3.06 per cent to ~2,481.72 crore, compared with ~2,560.14 crore
start trading in June, this month and largest London sentiment and demand. no panic situation here. input cost pressures rising, or drive savings. We will in the corresponding quarter of the previous fiscal.
the people said, ask- aims to start IPO this year. when you put a compelling continue to look at 7 per cent GCPL executive chairperson Nisaba Godrej said, “We
ing not to be identi- trading in June Valuation and Apart from rural areas, What kind of an impact do proposition in terms of a of cost savings as an engine delivered a relatively weak performance in the fourth quarter of
fied because the the listing date are where else is there a you see on your business, product in the marketplace. for margin improvement fiscal year 2019. Our India business remained soft on account of a
matter is private. It’s consider- still under discussion, and slowdown? with India witnessing an Today, we are happy with and growth. general slowdown in staples consumption and the adverse
ing seeking an equity valuation final details could change In terms of distribution extremely severe cyclonic where the price-led growth In fact, the operating impact of the delayed summer on our portfolio.” During the
of about $5 billion, they said. depending on investor channels, general trade and storm in the east? is, and will work on pricing as margin of 23 per cent (in Q4) is quarter, GCPL’s India sales were marginally down 0.9 per cent to
The IPO could be one of demand and market senti- wholesale have slowed down There will be an impact, but and when the situation the highest-ever for us. We ~1,356.09 crore, while its international business sales grew 10
the biggest in London this ment, the people said. A rep- in the March quarter. it is difficult to make an demands. also delivered margin per cent on a constant currency basis, said GCPL in a statement.
year. The exchange’s lacklus- resentative for Bharti Airtel However, this is linked to the assessment right now. expansion in 30 out of 31 Its revenue from the Indonesian business was up 19.34 per cent
ter domestic volumes are declined to comment. moderation in rural Odisha is a huge market but What explains the 90 bps quarters, which is significant. while Africa business grew of 13.15 per cent. BS REPORTER & PTI

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MUMBAI | 4 MAY 2019 COMPANIES 3 <

Bar Council asks 5G deployment


will be critical
for operators,
Big 4 not to offer says Ericsson
The troubled telecom sector

legal services
in India would need to turn to
5G deployments to reduce
cost and improve perform-
ance, said Swedish telecom
equipment provider Ericsson
on Friday. Ericsson has
SUDIPTO DEY announced 18 commercial 5G
New Delhi, 3 May dealsgloballyandispartofthe
first wave of live 5G networks

I
n a double-whammy of acrosstheUS,EuropeandAsia.
sorts for the Big Four “The important aspect is
audit-cum-consultancy that its is critical for our cus-
firms — Deloitte, EY, KPMG tomers (operators) to move to
and PwC — the Bar Council 5G than for the end sub-
of Delhi has directed the com- scribers. 5G will drive down
panies to refrain from provid- the cost per gigabit and by
ing legal services to clients till deploying it they can deploy
further notice. The Bar Council order asked ed practices. The recent melt- much higher capacity at a
This follows a complaint the four firms to provide a list of down at the Infrastructure much lower cost to cater to
filed by the Society of Indian advocates on their rolls. The Leasing & Financial Services the rapidly growing demand
Law Firms (SILF), representing order copy said while Deloitte (IL&FS) group has put the spot- and smoother user experi-
around 100 Indian law firms. and KPMG filed their response light on statutory auditors. ence,” said Ludvig Landgren,
SILF said in its complaint that to the complaint, PwC and EY Many in the chartered head of network applications
the Big Four were actually asked for more time to submit accountantfraternitywereofthe and cloud infrastructure,
accounting firms, but are response. The Council has view that there were grey areas Ericsson South East Asia,
engaged in “doing law practice”. deferred the matter for further over jurisdiction of non-litiga- Oceania & India.
It had filed a similar complaint hearing to July 12. It asked the tion related legal services. In Ericsson also announced
to the Bar Council in 2015, alleg- four firms to refrain from the theirearlierresponsein2015,one that it has been selected by
ing that the Big Four were practice until further orders. of the Big Four said that it was Vodafone Idea to deploy its
resorting to “unauthorised This has come at a time not “engaged in the practice of Cloud Packet Core to enhance
practice of law” in violation of when the Big Four firms are law”. A source in one of the four its existing core network.
the Advocates Act. under scanner for audit-relat- firms reiterated the same stand. ROMITA MAJUMDAR

Used car market to reach 7 mn units by 2022: Report


SHALLY SETH MOHILE IndianBlue Book. tive officer officer at MFCW, told
Mumbai, 3 May CRUISE CONTROL Passenger vehicle (PV) sales Business Standard.
in India advanced by a mere 2.7 To tap into the growth
Demand for pre-owned cars > Used car and associated per cent to 3.3 million units in opportunity,thecompanyplans
remainedstronginthefinancial industry to touch ~50k cr FY19 — the slowest in five years to step up the number of deal-
year2018-19(FY19),crossingthe in value terms by FY22 as buyers deferred purchase ershipsfromthecurrent1,100to
4-million unit mark, even as > Over 75% pre-owned
amid high finance costs and 1,700 by FY20-end. “What
salesofnewcarswereintheslow uncertainty.Encouraged by the drives the used car market is the
lane, according to a report. buyers prefer sedans growth prospect in the used car migration up from the two-
The used cars segment is and hatchbacks space, MFCW envisages selling wheelers,” said Pandey.
expected reach 6.7 to 7.2 million 350,000 PVs in FY20, against The pool of people willing to
cars per year and be valued at 250,000 units in FY19. migrate from a two-wheeler is
~50,000 crore by FY22, accord- Mahindra and Mahindra. It is also hoping to become a significantly large, he said,
ingtoIndianBlueBook,thepric- The used car market is now profitable company by the end pointing out that the trend is
ing and valuation arm of 1.2 times the size of the new car of FY20 on the back of volume being fuelled by the second-
Mahindra FirstChoice Wheels market, according to the third growth,AshutoshPandey,man- hand market getting increas-
(MFCW), the pre-owned unit of edition of the report on aging director and chief execu- ingly organised.

Govt may allot Jet’s traffic rights to others


ANEESH PHADNIS Traffic rights or seat entitle-
Mumbai, 3 May ments on overseas routes are
exchanged between govern-
Domestic airlines have sought ments of respective countries
the government’s nod to start throughAirServiceAgreements.
flights to Dubai, Singapore and These entitlements are held by
other destinations using traffic the government. Airlines are
rights held by Jet Airways. The granteddesignatedcarrierstatus
civil aviation ministry is con- and traffic rights on a particular
sidering the request and has route by the ministry on fulfill-
asked the airlines for their increase of fares on interna- new overseas flights. “The air- ing its norms.
requirement and capacity tionalroutes.Thesetrafficrights lines have been asked to give in Indian carriers have fully
deployment plans. are now unutilised. writing their requirements and utilised the traffic rights for
JetAirwayssuspendedoper- On Friday, Civil Aviation inform how quickly can they Dubai. This means new flights
ations on April 17. The airline Secretary Pradeep Singh deploy capacity. The ministry canbeaddedtoDubaionlyifthe
had daily flights to Europe, Kharola met representatives of may consider giving the traffic government negotiates for an
South East Asia and West Asia domestic airlines, including Air rights to other airlines for 3-4 increaseinseats,ortheseatsheld
and the grounding has resulted India, IndiGo, SpiceJet and months,”saidanaviationsource by Jet are released. Jet Airways,
in reduction of capacity and Vistara, which want to launch aware of the development. however, is opposed to this.

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4 WORLD
>
MUMBAI | 4 MAY 2019 1

IN BRIEF Buffett finally embraces Amazon


SoftBank plans IPO for its
Elon Musk makes as Berkshire Hathaway buys stake
$100-billion Vision Fund
SoftBank is considering an initial public offering of its $100 billion
Vision Fund, according to the Wall StreetJournal. The Japanese
$500 bn autonomy Thousands likely to gather in Omaha to attend AGM today
BLOOMBERG
New York, 3 May
a partner with Amazon and
Wall Street bank JPMorgan
conglomerate is also negotiating with the sultanate of Oman for an
investment of 7 billion dollars in the existing Vision Fund, the Journal
reported, citing unidentified people familiar with the matter. The
bulk of the fund was initially backed primarily from the Saudi Arabian
government as well as capital from Apple Inc. and the government of
pitch to investors
BLOOMBERG investors at 11.00 am New
Warren Buffett has said
that he underestimated
Amazon.com’s Jeff Bezos.
Now one of Buffett’s deputies
Chase & Co in a health ven-
ture.
Buffett said in the CNBC
interview that he has been “a
fan” of the online retail giant
Abu Dhabi. Masayoshi Son, SoftBank’s founder and CEO, has been San Francisco, 3 May York time with Musk and is willing to put money and “an idiot for not buying”
deal making at a fast pace, and has invested nearly all of the money Zachary Kirkhorn, Tesla’s behind the tech giant. shares in the past.
that the Vision Fund took in two years ago. BLOOMBERG< lon Musk described chief financial officer, the peo- Berkshire Hathaway has He was speaking ahead of

E
Warren Buffett said he had
autonomous-driving ple said. been buying Amazon shares been “an idiot for not buying” Berkshire’s annual sharehold-
technology as “trans- Tesla later increased the and the purchases will show Amazon’s shares in the past ers meeting, set for Saturday
formative” to Tesla in a call size of the stock offering, pric- up in a regulatory filing later in Omaha. Thousands are
Peter Mayhew, who Joblessness rate in aimed at ginning up interest ing 3.1 million shares at $243 this month, Buffett told CNBC in recent years. Buffett credit- expected to flock to the city.
played Chewbacca in US hits 49-year-low in the electric-car maker’s each, according to a person in an interview on Thursday. ed some of his conglomerate’s Buffett has mostly avoid-
Star Wars, dies at 74 in April debt and stock offering of familiar with the matter, who Buffett, Berkshire’s chairman purchases of airline stocks ed technology-related stocks
about $2 billion, according to asked not to be identified and CEO, said “one of the fel- and Apple to the deputies and over the years, saying he did-
Actor Peter The United States had another two people who dialed in. because they weren’t author- lows in the office that man- noted their involvement in n’t understand the products
Mayhew, giant month of job creation The chief executive officer ized to speak about it. That’s a age money” made the pur- helping Berkshire beyond and markets well enough. One
who won in April, with strong hiring in said autonomy is a funda- Tesla CEO Elon Musk 0.5 per cent discount to chases, a reference to their stock-picking duties. exception was IBM -- his $10
over fans the vast services sector and mental driver for Tesla and Thursday’s close. The offer- investment managers Todd The Amazon stake further billion investmentin 2011 did-
worldwide as unemployment fell to a level key to how it could become a that will be fully capable of ing was increased from 2.7 Combs and Ted Weschler. cements the relationship n’t end well. After taking loss-
the Wookiee not seen since 1969, the “half-trillion dollar market driving themselves. The bil- million shares. Tesla shares Combs and Weschler have between Berkshire and es, he had sold nearly all the
warrior government reported on cap company,” said the peo- lionaire plans to put those cars rose 1.3 per cent to $247.38 at gained influence at Berkshire Bezos’s company. Berkshire is IBM stock by 2018.
Chewbacca in the blockbuster Friday. The blockbuster report ple, who asked not to be iden- into a shared robotaxi service 4.36 am in New York in pre-
StarWarsmovies, has died at will help allay fears of a slowing tified because the call wasn’t that the CEO described as market trading.
the age of 74, his family economy and cheer President open to the public. A Tesla being lucrative for both the Tesla delivered just
announced on Thursday. Donald Trump as he seeks spokesman didn’t immedi- company and its customers. 63,000 cars in the first quar- US lawmakers urge authorities not to end GSP benefits to India
Mayhew died on Tuesday at his reelection next year. Employers ately respond to a request for Ahead of the call, Tesla ter but said in a letter to
home in Texas, the family said scooped up workers in comment. filed to raise at least $2 billion shareholders last week that The US should not terminate the Generalised The GSP is the largest and oldest US trade
in a statement released on the construction, health care, The comments build on through debt and stock offer- it expects to deliver between System of Preference (GSP) programme with preference programme that allow duty-free entry
actor's Twitter account. "He put computer systems design, the case that Musk made dur- ings, after a dismal first quar- 90,000 and 100,000 vehicles India after the expiry of the 60-day notice period for thousands of products from designated ben-
his heart and soul into the role administrative support and ing an investor day focused ter depleted its cash balance in the second quarter. on Friday, a group of 25 influential American eficiary countries. On March 4, President Trump
of Chewbacca and it showed in other industries, adding a total on autonomy last week that to the lowest level in three Kirkhorn re-affirmed that lawmakers has urged the US Trade Repr- announced that the US intends to terminate
every frame of the films...,” the of 263,000 net new positions for Tesla is on the cusp of having years. Goldman Sachs and forecast during the Thursday esentative, warning that companies seeking to India’s designations as a beneficiary developing
statement said. REUTERS< the month. FP/PTI< 1 million vehicles on the road Citigroup hosted the call for call, the people said. expand their exports to India could be hit. country under the GSP programme. PTI

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MUMBAI | 4 MAY 2019 ECONOMY 5 <

IRCTC locks horns with RailYatri,


TravelKhana over food delivery
SHINE JACOB At present, RailYatri is one of the
New Delhi, 3 May largest private sector data providers for
train passengers.

T
he India Railways’ catering arm The concept of RailYatri came to
— Indian Railway Catering and the minds of promoters when they
Tourism Corporation (IRCTC) — worked with Indian Railways and
is now at loggerheads with private sec- Centre for Railway Information
tor service providers and applications Systems (CRIS) to develop
— including Nandan Nilekani-backed TrainEnquiry.com in 2012, where they
RailYatri and TravelKhana — that were realised that passengers had other
supplying food on trains. needs, which can be well communi-
According to people in the know, cated in a visual and graphic manner.
IRCTC has approached two lower Its application is currently available
courts in Karkarduma and Rohini (New in eight languages – Hindi, Marathi,
Delhi), saying that the online food Gujarati, Bengali, Tamil, Telugu,
ordering services provided by these Malayalam and Kannada.
companies are illegal. This comes after The average number of meals booked by e-catering on trains daily has now Delhi-based Duronto Technologies
the Delhi High Court recently ruled increased to about 10,000, from 5,188 in FY18 runs TravelKhana that had also raised
that railway ticketing services by the funds from seed funds such as Astarc
website and mobile application already approached the two local At present, the Railways’ arm has a Ventures and some high net-worth
RailYatri was unauthorised. courts against the on-track food tie-up with players like Dominos, individuals.
The court rejected a plea filed by providers, and expects a favourable RelFood, RailRestro, Comesum, At present, IRCTC’s e-catering serv-
Stelling Technologies, which owns and judgement, following the ruling by the Rajdhani Online Food and Zoop. ices are available at 409 A and A-1 class
operates RailYatri. The firm is backed Delhi High Court. Any impact on the “We are now working with the con- stations, for which 136 vendors and 12
by Nilekani and investors like Helion food business may affect RailYatri’s cerned authorities to complete the aggregators are empanelled.
Ventures and Omidyar Network. The business, given about 20 per cent of its required compliances according to the The average number of meals
firm had approached the Delhi High revenue stream comes from this. operating framework of IRCTC, and booked daily has now increased to
Court after IRCTC reportedly filed a This comes at a time when IRCTC is expect this to be completed at the ear- about 10,000. This average daily
petition with the Delhi Police, stating in talks with food-delivery service liest,” said Manish Rathi, chief execu- bookings under e-catering for FY18
that the ticket booking services pro- providers and restaurant aggregators tive officer and co-founder of RailYatri, stood at 5,188 meals. IRCTC provides
vided by RailYatri was illegal. such as UberEats, Zomato, Foodpanda, regarding the Delhi High Court ruling. a total of around 1.2 million meals per
An Indian Railways official told Biryani Blues, Faasos, PizzaHut and TravelKhana, however, did not respond day, out of which around 1 million are
Business Standard that IRCTC has Swiggy, to deliver food to trains. to queries by Business Standard. travelers on train.

GMR Rajahmundry Bhushan Steel former


CFO in SFIO custody
executes resolution plan PRESS TRUST OF INDIA practices at the company,
SHREYA JAI reduction. said the company’s statement. New Delhi, 3 May including manipulations in the
New Delhi, 3 May “Against the sustainable “The first-of-its-kind reso- accounts and financial state-
debt, GMR group has already lution plan offers a mutually The Serious Fraud Investi- ments during the term of Johri.
GMR Infrastructure (GIL) on infused an amount of ~395 beneficial resolution for both gation Office (SFIO) has arrest- These included maintaining
Friday announced the execu- crore towards meeting 20 per lenders and the firm through a ed former chief financial officer inflated inventories for avail-
tion of a resolution plan for its cent of the principal towards long-term solution for the of Bhushan Steel Nittin Johri ing enhanced working capital,
stressed GMR Rajahmundry repayment of the sustainable existing debt and related obli- forfraudulentactivities,includ- the sources said.
Energy (GREL), a 768 Mw gas- debt and the interest servic- gations of the group. It has ing filing false documents with According to them, he was
fired power plant in Andhra ing obligations of GREL for reduced the debt of the GMR various banks, according to also one of the perpetrators of
Pradesh. The company the first year,” GIL said in its group and we believe this will people in the know. manipulations through the
informed the stock exchanges statement. de-risk the group substantially. He was managing the instrument of Letters of Credit,
on Friday that it had paid a por- The balance ~1,130 crore This also offers quality assets affairs of Bhushan Steel and which was done by filing false
tion of the sustainable debt of will be repayable at 9 per cent built on the ground an oppor- was looking after raising of documents with various
the project. over 20 years. The lenders have tunity to perform to its poten- funds from banks and finan- banks. A large number of LCs,
The resolution plan, converted the remaining debt tial,” said Kiran Kumar cial institutions. He was also amounting to more than
approved by the lenders to the of ~941 crore into long-dated Grandhi, managing director one of the signatories to the ~20,000 crore, were opened
project, consisted of reduction cumulative redeemable pref- (MD) and chief executive offi- financial statements of the using false documents on
of total debt of ~2,353 crore to erence shares (CRPS) carrying cer (CEO) of GIL. company till fiscal 2016-17. behalf of the company over a
“sustainable” debt of ~1,412 0.1 per cent and is repayable The SFIO probe found that period of time starting from
crore which is a 60 per cent from the 17th to the 20th year, More on business-standard.com there were several fraudulent fiscal 2014-15, sources noted.

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6 ECONOMY & PUBLIC AFFAIRS
>
MUMBAI | 4 MAY 2019 1

AAR’s GST relief EPFO exposure to RCap REC’s higher


to realtors, buyers offer stirs up
INDIVJAL DHASMANA
New Delhi, 3 May

Home builders and buyers


stands at ~2,500 crore
JASH KRIPLANI & DEV CHATTERJEE in an interaction, said, "Due to
bond market
will get relief as they will be Mumbai, 3 May a timing mismatch for ongo-
paying reduced GST rate after ing securitisation transaction,
factoring abatement for serv- he Employees’ Provident LENDERS' there were delays relating to
ices associated with construc-
tion of dwellings, at least in
West Bengal.
echoed a similar view that the
overall activity should qualify
as a composite supply with the
T Fund Organisation
(EPFO) has an exposure
of ~2,500 crore to Reliance
EXPOSURE TO
RCAP AND
repayments for RCFL and
RHFL. Besides this, we do not
see any pressure on future
The state-based Authority construction service being the Capital (RCap) which is facing repayment obligations."
for Advance Rulings (AAR), has
ruled that services such as pref-
principal supply.
The AAR held that it was rea-
liquidity problems with its cash
and bank balances falling to ~11
SUBSIDIARIES In its statement on April 18,
CARE said RCap did not have
erential location charges (PLC), sonable to conclude that servic- crore as on March 18, 2019. any liquid investments or
space for parking, common es provided by the applicant are According to global broker- unutilised committed lines
area maintenance services naturally bundled and offered age firm Morgan Stanley, which further constrain its liq-
could be bundled with the in conjunction with one anoth- besides the EPFO, Life Lender Reliance Reliance Reliance uidity position.
main construction services. er in the ordinary course of busi- Insurance Corporation of India Commercial Home Capital Total "Thus, RCL's liquidity is crit-
Before the recent changes, ness and the other services of has an exposure of ~4,700 ically dependent on monetisa-
builders attracted 18 per cent the bundle are ancillary to the crore to RCap and its sub-
LIC 0 800 3,900 4,700
tion of its sale of group MONEY MATTERS
GST for their services. How- supply of construction service. sidiary Reliance Home YES Bank 1,360 990 990 3,340 assets/investments within the Govt companies that raised funds via AAA-rated bonds
ever, the effective tax rate came Singh said, “The ruling has right- Finance (RHFL). Reliance Capital given timelines, given that Amount Tenure Coupon
down to 12 per cent. Many ly held that a home buyer can- In the report showing expo- 1,840 1,080 0 2,920 there are scheduled repay- Issuer Issue Date (~ cr) (years) %
Trustee Co
builders are charging 18 per not procure PLC or parking serv- sures of various lenders, ments of NCDs and CPs (com- SIDBI 04-08-2019 750.0 3.5 7.59
cent GST on ancillary services. ices without first availing the Morgan Stanley said that
Nabard 2,800 100 0 2,900 mercial papers) worth ~593
Explaining the case, construction services and lenders with exposures to RCap EPFO 0 0 2,500 2,500 crore, ~1,035 crore and ~718 PFC 04-10-2019 * NA NA
Harpreet Singh, partner at hence, provision of such ancil- entities will likely have to mark TOTAL 19,120 13,270 20,100 52,490 crore in April, May and June REC 16-04-2019 1,600.7 10 8.85
KPMG, said Bengal Peerless lary services with construction down their exposures. Figures in ~cr; source: Morgan Stanley 2019, respectively. RCL's
NABARD 18-04-2019 2,000.0 3 7.90
Housing Development Comp- services for a single price quali- "We have collated recent resource profile mainly com-
any approached the AAR, say- fies as a composite supply.” NCD (non-convertible deben- prises NCDs whose repayments HPCL 25-04-2019 500.0 5 8.00
ing that it bundles the PLC serv- Abhishek Jain, partner at ture) prospectus data on Development (Nabard) also had likely to default). are in the range of ~2,000 crore SIDBI 26-04-2019 1,365.0 3 7.95
ices, right to use car parking EY, said," An aspect to note in lenders as of September 2018. an exposure of ~2,800 crore to This was driven by instances to ~3,000 crore per year."
space and common area main- the ruling is the department's Current exposures could be dif- RCFL and another ~100 crore to of rescheduling of NCDs and Going forward, in line with
PFC 30-04-2019 2,578.9 15 8.79
tenance services with the prin- agreement to abatement which ferent, but the exhibits give an RHFL. A Nabard official said its delays in servicing of bank facil- the revised schedule, the com- NTPC 30-04-2019 3,056.5 3 7.93
cipal services of construction. results in a lower rate being idea of potential names and exposure is to RCap, but asked ities. The rating agency also cit- pany has divestment plans REC 05-03-2019 1,247.0 2** 8.50
The revenue department available these miscellaneous approximate exposures," said not to be quoted, while a YES ed that given the moderation in aggregating to about ~14,000 *Withdrawn Issue; **2 years, 7 mths, 15 days Source: Markets
too agreed with the submis- consideration payable in the Morgan Stanley in the report Bank spokesperson declined to the profile of RCap, the parent crore including ~6,000-7,000
sions of the applicant and real estate sector." dated April 29. comment on specific clients. company, it may not be in a crore from Reliance Nippon Life
The report said YES Bank The total outstanding debt position to extend adequate Asset Management (RNAM) ANUP ROY & SHREYA JAI can be clubbed with other
has an exposure of ~1,360 crore of these three companies stood support to its subsidiaries. and ~3,000 crore from listing of Mumbai/New Delhi, 3 May NBFC. REC’s bond tenure was
to Reliance Commercial at ~52,490 crore at the end of The rating of RCap's long- its general insurance company. less than that of NTPC.
IN BRIEF Finance (RCFL) and another September 2018, according to term debt programme current- The proceeds of RNAM Bond market participants were “On the last day of April,
~990 crore to RHFL. The bank Morgan Stanley. ly stands at A, and is on credit divestment are expected to baffled by an unusual deal Power Finance Corporation
CEA in Advisory Council of lent another ~990 crore to RCap,
thus taking its total exposure to
On April 26, CARE Ratings
downgraded loans of RCap
watch for developing implica-
tions.
be received by first week of
June 2019.
done by government-backed
REC Ltd, which raised ~1,247
(PFC) raised 15-year money at
8.79 per cent. REC’s bonds
15th Finance Commission ~3,340 crore. The National Bank
for Agriculture and Rural
subsidiaries RCFL and RHFL
to D (implying in default or
Meanwhile, Amit Bapna,
chief financial officer of RCap, With inputs from Abhijit Lele
crore from the market for
bonds maturing in two years,
were way shorter in duration.
Even if you consider that REC
Chief Economic Advisor Krishnamurthy seven months and 15 days. has a financing problem, it
Subramanian has been included in the The AAA-rated public should not have paid more
Advisory Council of the 15th Finance infrastructure finance compa- than 8.15 per cent,” said a sen-
Commission as its member, an official
statement said on Friday. The Advisory
Defaults by IL&FS must be COAI prepares ny offered 8.5 per cent for the
money.
ior bond arranger.
The forced merger of PFC
Council was set up in April 2018 to advise
the commission on any issue or subject wish list for The deal is unusual
because just two days ago,
with REC posed a few chal-
lenges for both the power
related to the terms of reference (ToR) of
the commission, and also to assist in the
preparation of any paper or research
declared NPAs: Irdai chief new govt NTPC, another AAA-rated gov-
ernment firm, raised a three-
year fund at 7.93 per cent.
finance companies. For REC,
in particular, it meant losing
concessional line of credit that
study which would enhance the SUBRATA PANDA in the insurance industry MEGHA MANCHANDA The plan of REC was to it uses for financing flagship
commission's understanding on the issue contained in its ToR. Mumbai, 3 May because it was perceived that New Delhi, 3 May raise ~500 crore, with a green- energy schemes.
The council now has 12 members, including NIPFP Professor some insurance companies shoe option of another ~750 REC was suffering from
Pinaki Chakraborty, noted economists Surjit Bhalla, Arvind Insurance companies must had invested in debt instru- The Cellular Operators’ crore. Top lead managers for financing troubles and the
Virmani, Indira Rajaraman and M Govinda Rao. PTI< declare their exposures to ments that were downgrad- Association of India (COAI), the deal were HDFC Bank, merger decision encouraged
Infrastructure Leasing & ed to junk. as part of its 100-day propos- PNB Gilts and Axis Bank, rating agencies to put REC on
Financial Services (IL&FS) as On the downgrade, Khuntia al for the new government, apart from eight others. Bond ‘credit watch negative’, severe-
Moody’s changes IBHFL, subsidiary non-performing assets (NPAs) said: “Earlier IL&FS had been has said it wants issues affect- dealers say there was no ly hurting the firm’s borrow-
Lodha Developers’ to merge with if the infrastructure-financing downgraded. Now that two ing the financial health of the change in financing condi- ing plans from the market.
outlook to B2 Lakshmi Vilas Bank firm defaults on repayment, more companies have been sector addressed. tions in the two days. The NBFC sector, as a
said Insurance Regulatory and downgraded, the treatment The industry wants imple- “This shows some despera- whole, has been facing financ-
Moody's has downgraded its Lakshmi Vilas Bank has Development Authority of that was to be given to IL&FS mentation of the National tion on REC’s part. There is no ing problems after IL&FS
outlook on Lodha Devel- amended its scheme of merger India (Irdai) Chairman has to be done here. There is a Digital Communications reason to raise the money at defaults last year. The recent
opers to 'negative' from with Indiabulls Housing Subhash Chandra Khuntia. procedure that will be fol- Policy, 2018, fixing the Right of this cost. The maturity is also downgrade of Reliance Capital
'stable' citing liquidity Finance, following which IHFL Hence insurance compa- lowed. At first glance I find Way (RoW) for laying optical very unusual, but that is okay if has aggravated the problem.
concerns emanating from and its wholly-owned nies have to provide for bad there is not too much of expo- fibre, pricing of the 5G spec- there are a few investors But it is the private sector
falling sales and rising debt subsidiary Indiabulls Comm- investments in IL&FS and take sure to these two companies.” trum, besides other issues. arranged for the fund. The NBFCs, rather than the public
burden. Moody's has, ercial Credit will be merged a hit on shareholder profit. On the sidelines of an event “There is demand for 5G highest bid was only of ~300 sector companies, that have
however, affirmed the with the bank. In the previous “They have to be treated as “We have seen of the Federation of Indian spectrum and, therefore, the crore. We are very surprised,” suffered more.
corporate family rating scheme the bank was to be NPAs in the way the Reserve Chambers of Commerce and government should look at said a senior bond arranger. Moreover, spreads over
at B2. BS REPORTER< merged into the housing fin- Bank of India (RBI) has sug-
the kind of turmoil Industry, the Irdai chairman the right pricing and quantum According to a senior offi- equivalent maturity govern-
ance firm. IBHFL will hold gested. Insurance companies in non-banking expressed concern on corporate of the spectrum, which cial with REC, the issue was ment bonds have also

No gold shifted
around 90.5% of the post- will automatically do it. There financial companies governance standards in insur- essentially means large-sized just for testing waters before increased and the market is
merger enhanced equity capi- is a method of treating NPAs, ance companies and requested contiguous spectrum,” raising more money from oth- discriminating between
but I am confident
outside India in 2014 tal of the entity. BS REPORTER< which is the same as the one
the insurance
them to ensure transparency. COAI Director General er sources. companies and NBFCs, too.
used by banks under RBI “We have seen the kind of Rajan Mathews told “Currently, the market is If an AAA-rated manufac-
or thereafter: RBI guidelines,” said Khuntia. industry will not turmoil in non-banking finan- Business Standard. anyway sensitive to NBFCs. turing company is raising
The Reserve Bank of India on Foreign exchange The RBI last week asked
have that kind of a cial companies but I am confi- Mathews said the rollout So, we are just playing around. money at 100 basis points
Friday said no gold was reserves rise by banks and financial institu-
problem”
dent the insurance industry of the 5G spectrum in the This is one-time issuance and above equivalent maturity
shifted outside India in 2014 tions to declare the details of will not have that kind of a absence of contiguous spec- does not set any precedent. government securities (G-
or thereafter. The statement $4.4 bn to $418.5 bn their exposure and provisions S C KHUNTIA, problem. The insurance indus- trum would not be possible. Once we have concluded rais- Secs), an AAA-rated private
comes against the backdrop India’s foreign exchange related to the IL&FS group. Chairman, Irdai try should provide stability in He said fibre was a major ing funds through external NBFC will be raising the
of reports in certain reserves soared by $4.368 The National Company times of turmoil,” Khuntia said. requirement for the penetra- commercial borrowing (ECB), same money at 150-160 basis
sections of the print and billion to $418.515 billion in Law Tribunal (NCLAT) on recovery process because there He outlined initiatives the tion of 5G spectrum and there- our rates will stabilise,” said points above G-Secs.
social media regarding the the week to April 26, helped Thursday allowed banks to was a moratorium period. regulator was planning to fore the government should the official, requesting If REC’s move is seen as a
central bank shifting abroad by the second dollar-rupee declare the defaults of the The recent rating down- undertake. ensure a dedicated RoW for anonymity. rate signal by the market, then
a part of its gold swap auction, RBI data IL&FS NPAs but restricted grade of a few Reliance enti- seamless laying of the fibre But bond market partici- cost for private NBFCs will go
holding in 2014. PTI< showed on Friday. PTI< them from initiating any ties has caused consternation More on business-standard.com network. pants do not agree that REC up further.

IBC’s 43% recovery is fair: CRISIL NBFC crisis averted: Aditya Puri
A BETTER SYSTEM CANDICE ZACHARIAHS & RAHUL SATIJA filings show.
Gross NPA trajectory Recovery rates Trend in slippages Mumbai, 3 May DECADE OF GROWTH The exposure of the wider Indian
Gross NPA~ trn (11.5) (10.0) across recovery Slippages ~ trn Private banks and NBFCs tookmarketshare away banking industry was about $92 billion
(Gross NPA% in mechanisms (slippages % in brackets) Trouble among India’s non-bank from stressed state-run lenders in March, according to an estimate
brackets) (9.5) 10.5 10.0 Average recoveryrate* (7.4) financiers will persist for at least a year
| State-run banks | Private banks | NBFCs from the ratings firm ICRA. Puri said
60 even if the danger of a full-blown HDFC Bank has no exposure to IL&FS.
(7.5) 8.0 50 UNDER IBC (6.0) (5.3) 6.0 financial crisis has passed, according
| Others % Under Puri, HDFC Bank has also
‘09-18 41 40 (3.7)
6.0 to the head of the nation’s most skirted India’s bad-loan crisis, which
(4.4)
‘09-19 43
(3.1)
4.4 4.2 valuable bank. 2008 60 18 12 10 hurt many of the country’s other
20 3.3
3.2 Tighter regulatory oversight and lenders. That has helped its shares
2.1 asset sales have staved off the worst of 47 24 18 11 outperform the broader banking index
2018
12 0 the problems afflicting India’s non- each year since 2014, boosting its
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 E ‘07-08 ‘09-18 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 E bank financial firms following last market capitalisation to more than
*Under DRT+SARFAESI+Lok Adalat; E: Estimates Source: CRISIL-ASSOCHAM Report
0 20 40 60 80 100
year’s defaults by Infrastructure Aditya Puri double that of State Bank of India, the

ANUP ROY ASSOCHAM and rating in the NCLT under the IBC,
Leasing & Financial Services,
according to HDFC Bank’s Managing
OUTPERFORMER nation’s largest lender by assets.
The stock has gained 21 per cent in
HDFCBank's lowbad loan ratio stands out % of total loans
Mumbai, 3 May agency CRISIL. 1,143 cases were outstanding Director Aditya Puri. Even so, it will be the past 12 months, beating the 16.6 per
“Also, post-implementa- as on March 31, 2019. Of these another 12 to 18 months before the 14.8 cent increase of the 10-member S&P
The advent of Insolvency and tion of the IBC, CRISIL esti- outstanding ones, 32 per cent liquidity issues in the wider sector are 10.8 BSE Bankex Index.
Bankruptcy Code (IBC) has mates the banking sector’s had surpassed the stipulated resolved, Puri told Bloomberg in Though India still has among the
resulted in a recovery rate of gross NPA (aggregate) 270-day resolution timeline, Mumbai on Thursday. 6.5 world’s worst stressed asset ratios,
43 per cent, which, according dropped to 10% in March 2019 the paper noted. “Also, there “It’s not a Lehman-like thing that soured credit as a share of total loans is
to rating agency CRISIL, is from 11.5% at the end of fiscal are a few big-ticket accounts comes and then there is contagion
3.6 3.8 estimated to have shrunk to 10.3 per
“respectable”. 2018,” it said, adding that for which resolution has not across the system,” Puri said, referring 1.4 cent by March from 10.8 per cent in
As on March 31 of this year, India’s resolving insolvency been finalised for over 400 to the US firm that collapsed a decade September, according to the central
the resolution plan for 94 score improved to 40.8 in 2019 days,” it said. ago and plunged the global economy HDFC Foreign Private NBFC Bank sector State-run bank.
stressed assets was approved from 32.6 in 2016 after the IBC. “Then, there are other chal- into a downturn. “The crisis is over, the Bank banks banks banks The banking industry has made
by the National Company Law The IBC regime also lenges such as burden on problem remains.” “substantial progress” in dealing with
Tribunal (NCLT). improved India’s ease of doing NCLT to resolve the large Last year’s defaults by IL&FS its non-performing loan problem, Puri
“For this set of 94 business’ ranking to 77 in 2019 number of cases, clarity on pri- exposed fault lines among India’s concerns about Indian mutual funds paying about 30 basis points more said. He pointed to better recognition
accounts, resolution has been from 130 in 2017. ority of claims, limited num- shadow lenders, which had grown that hold debt issued by non-bank than other top-rated corporates, of soured debt, closer central bank
reached for ~75,000 crore out However, the IBC is a work- ber of information utilities, liq- rapidly to account for a third of all new finance companies. according to data compiled by inspections and more disciplined
of ~1.75 trillion total claim of in-progress and despite two uidation at a ‘going concern’ loans over the previous three years. Shadow banks are still struggling to Bloomberg. behaviour by borrowers after the
financial creditors admitted. amendments brought for- level, and creation of a sec- Though the government’s decision to raise funds, including from the mutual HDFC Bank had an exposure of $7 implementation of the nation’s new
That makes for a respectable ward, challenges remain, with ondary asset market, which seize the company helped contain the funds which already hold about $46 billion to non-bank finance companies bankruptcy law. This gives the
recovery rate of 43 per cent,” the major one being adher- need to be addressed,” said crisis, a lingering credit crunch has led billion of the sector’s debt, according to and related firms as of December, government a window to add fresh
said a knowledge paper pre- ence to the IBC timeline. CRISIL’s President-Ratings, to reduced demand for goods like an estimate by Credit Suisse Group. compared with $11 billion for its capital into struggling state-run banks,
pared by industry body Of the 1,858 cases admitted Gurpreet Chhatwal. automobiles and triggered investor Those that can tap the markets are nearest private-sector rival ICICI Bank, Puri said. BLOOMBERG

https://t.me/SSC4Exams https://t.me/Banking4Exams https://t.me/UPSC4Exams


https://t.me/TheHindu_Zone_official
8 ISSUES AND INSIGHTS
>
MUMBAI | 4 MAY 2019

The misallocated Why the HYV matters in UP politics Adityanath did as chief minister was a harsh
crackdown on the sand mining mafia (which
was run as a side-business by many HYV
activists); action against overloading of trucks
Once a source of Chief Minister Adityanath's clout, the Hindu Yuva Vahini is (which were allowed to go only if they paid a

T
his is the silly “tax” to HYV); and shutting down illegal hooch
season for eco- like a thorn in his side now outlets. “Unka do number ka business thupp ho
nomic policy, gaya (their illegal business crashed),” said a BJP
though some would Unthinkable in the past. But he has to. His as the unchallenged BJP leader in east UP and worker with ill-concealed satisfaction.
say it’s been that for supporters can see that a crucial rule has been to buttress his rise, he announced the formation Slowly, HYV began losing people. State pres-
five years now. It is broken. He explained gruffly to one of them of the Hindu Yuva Vahini (HYV). ident Sunil Singh quit, followed by Ram
therefore a good time that he was no longer just a mahant of the Why HYV when Akhil Bharatiya Vidyarthi Laxman, a crucial activist who is also a Dalit.
to take stock of the sort Gorakhnath mandir but chief minister of the Parishad (ABVP) and Bharatiya Janata Yuva Singh told local journalists that the BJP lost the
of economic advice entire state and all people. Morcha (BJYM), both front organisations of the Gorakhpur by-election (2018) because HYV
that is tendered in our When he was made chief minister, Prime BJP, already exist? A BJP supporter explained workers stayed away from the campaign. A BJP
country. Minister Narendra Modi was asked by a cheeky that the HYV is slightly different. While ABVP worker said it was none other than Amit Shah,
This necessarily supporter: “Why him?” The PM replied: “iss lot and BJYM are more “prabuddh”(intellectual) who requested Adityanath to tighten the reins
MARGINAL UTILITY involves taking stock of
the sort of economists
mein sabse achha wahi hai” (he’s the best of the
lot). There was Keshav Prasad Maurya, now
and “vaicharik” (ideological) the HYV is con-
sidered “lampat” (lumpen), more interested in
of the HYV’s activities, now that he was CM
(“adhyaksh-ji ne nakel kasne ke liye kaha”).
TCA SRINIVASA RAGHAVAN we have. The result is deputy chief minister and reportedly not on creating “danga” (rioting) than ideology. In oth- But Adityanath is not prepared to let go so
dismaying.
The overall prob-
PLAIN POLITICS talking terms with the CM; Manoj Sinha, min-
ister of state for railways with independent
er words, a militia.
Anecdotal data suggests membership grew
easily. On the day the 2019 elections were
announced, the state government issued a noti-
lem is that India has far too many macroeconomists and too ADITI PHADNIS charge of the ministry of communications; and from 300 in 2002 to 1.5 million in 2014. In a fication appointing scores of HYV activists to
few microeconomists. Thus, I had pointed out a few weeks somewhere on the remote horizon, Adityanath. region where large-scale unemployment and positions on boards and other lower-level
ago specifically in the context of the closure of Jet Airways The Gorakhpur Lok Sabha seat is considered migration in search of jobs is endemic, young offices of profit. Although the model code of

T
and the aviation business generally, India has around three he first compromise people noticed “mandir ki seat”. But previous incumbents — people now had a position. In the Gorakhpur conduct came into force immediately, delaying
transport economists. This is surely very odd for such a cap- was the food. Digvijaynath and Avaidyanath — never tried division alone, 500,000 people joined the HYV the perks of office (authority, salary and official
ital and labour intensive industry. to assert themselves as “true” Hindus although as it expanded to the villages. The volunteers car and accommodation), once the election is
That’s not the only problem. Ever since the data bug bit Yogi Adityanath is a mahant, a holy man. they claimed to represent the Hindu had a range of tasks: From spreading awareness over, they will take over. “In the BJP we have a
the profession about 40 years ago, very few Indian econo- He is prohibited, for pollution-purity reasons, Mahasabha and considered BJP somewhat about encephalitis or brain fever that kills peo- system. We send the name from below and it is
mists know much of economic theory or economic history. from eating just anywhere. As MP, he would be tame on issues of Hinduism. Adityanath ple like flies in the region to issues of sanitation. vetted at every stage reaching the leadership
Both are scoffed at with a sneering, “show me the data”. invited by voters and constituents for meals realised that to be taken seriously, he needed “Earlier, when you asked a young man what he via proper channel,” said a BJP worker. “In this
What this has meant is no data, no economist to think and his supporters would warn them in to make an impression within the BJP. In the did, he would say “nothing”. Now he began say- case, none of the names we sent featured on
beyond the immediate. Our economists are mere data advance: “Maharajji khana nahin khayenge… 2002 assembly elections, the BJP fielded Shiv ing proudly: “I am a padadhikari (officebearer) the list that was finally announced.”
crunchers which means robots will replace them soon. ”. He might have a piece of fruit or a nut or two, Pratap Shukla from Gorakhpur overruling of the HYV,” explained a BJP worker. How will this creative tension play out?
What is truly worrisome is that the sort of analysis we but nothing more. claims from the mandir. Adityanath was The BJP observed the growth and develop- BJP supporters say that whatever Adityanath
saw in economics till about the mid-1970s is now virtually Now, along with party President Amit incensed and he challenged the BJP by fielding ment of HYV silently but watchfully. When and HYV might say, there’s a price to be paid
extinct. This despite the fact that an overwhelming propor- Shah, the mahant of the Gorakhnath temple Radha Mohan Das Agarwal on a Hindu Adityanath was sworn in as CM, many cele- for power. Their prediction? HYV, the source
tion of ‘Nobel’ prizes in economics have gone to theorists. is eating everywhere: You can see him squat- Mahasabha ticket against Shukla. Agarwal brated, expecting a surge in their fortunes. They of Adityanath’s clout, will eventually have to
Go deeper and you will find that among the macroecon- ting and eating with Yadavs, Dalits… defeated Shukla. This established Adityanath were disappointed. The first three things shut shop.
omists, barely a handful have been trained in formal econo-
metrics. The rest just wing it on software. Indeed, now even
budding lawyers have started doing it. It will be doctors next,
I suppose. Chartered accountants have already got in there. DINNER WITH BS > ZIA MODY | FOUNDER | AZB & PARTNERS
This sad story doesn’t end here. We don’t have economists
who have specialised in the high-impact field of law and eco-
nomics. That area, too, has been left to chartered accountants
who only study the finance bill and make pronouncements.
As to economics’ younger sister, sociology, perish the
thought. India’s economists don’t allow themselves to be
tainted by something as "flaky" as sociology.

More orphans
From the school of hard knocks
The mother of all shows, of course, is monetary economics. Over pizza and ravioli, Mody talks to gating regulations, law plus image sand, how close they are, and on
Ever since the FIIs flooded into India, monetary economists management, law plus global which side.”
have blossomed like bananas in Kerala. The only thing they Pavan Lall about her reputation, firm impact, law plus business sense”. In the next four or five years,
need to know is the term "yield" which makes it easy. The I stop and take a sip of my green Mody says, we will see the emer-
rest, yes, you guessed it, is data. It's extraordinary how much
succession and how different clients tea. She works round the clock at gence of class-action law suits in a
time is devoted to discussing the financial markets, as if we
are major players on Wall Street.
require different doses of fear a pace which would deter most
youngsters half her age and then
big way. “Promoters are listening
much harder, the noises being made
Amazingly, given that fiscal matters loom so large on our there’s the matter of her reputa- by proxy advisors and minority

S
economy’s horizon dominating everything, we have very o, who have you signed on unusual Alexandrite one tion. She’s notorious for being a shareholders are getting louder and
few specialists in public finance. I doubt if it is even taught recently?” I ask of Zia Mody, that matches her tunic. merciless task master and AZB is one or two hard class-action cases
any longer in our universities. Everyone is content just founding partner of law firm Almost always, it’s known for being one of the tough- will set the tone. It’s coming.” She
tediously analysing the Budget. AZB & Partners. After all, at this easy to tell the kind of est law firms to cut one’s teeth at. also means that fear is today a
Then there is industrial economics. Three decades ago, stage of her career, Mody, who needs mood Mody is in by her Mody smiles, then says slowly stronger factor in decision-making
some Indian economists like Ashok Desai and TCA Anant no introduction, has represented hairdo. If pulled back, with jarring honesty, “I’m an and there is genuine regulatory con-
tried to develop the field. most captains of industry that like rockstars or gang- unbalanced human and it’s obvious cern, about not making a habit of
Nothing came of it because this time even though the include Ratan Tata, Mukesh Ambani sters do with pony-tails I don’t need a balanced life as much certain business processes.
data was there the effort was too much. Result: India’s indus- and Anand Mahindra. There are sev- tied up with a band, the as anyone else because I’ve gotten How does she deal with loss?
trial policy has always been made in an intellectual vacuum eral others that we don’t know about message is: Stay out of used to a certain schedule”. Mody, a follower of the Bahá’í faith
by politicians and bureaucrats who have degrees in biology, — and Mody makes it emphatically the way. If she’s got it “You here at this time of the night who visits Israel every couple years
zoology and geology. clear it’s going to stay that way. down, you can get away and working isn’t balanced either,” on pilgrimage, says she’s okay with
Oddly enough, we do have a lot of agricultural econo- We’re catching up for dinner and with pushing the envelope. she quips. it. “Some big deals will go to com-
mists. But if you ask my colleague Surinder Sud, who is an instead of meeting at a restaurant, Today, it appears, is a regular The thing is that clients expect a petitors, a few talented partners will
absolute master of the game, they don’t know the difference we have decided to order in at AZB’s hair day. response quickly, which means that leave. The element of churn is there
between the various types of Indian soils, let alone anything corporate office at Peninsula My ravioli is bang on target, the instead of taking five days to get but the objective is to keep moving
else. But since the data is there they hold forth incessantly, Corporate Park in Lower Parel, Italian dumplings stuffed with back, it needs to be done in two ahead.” Hang on a second — did
mostly about MSP! Mumbai. We sit down in the Oak spinach and ricotta cheese are driz- days. That means you push faster Mody just say she’s okay with occa-
Ditto for international trade. The world collects the data, room. India’s best known lady zled with a tangy orange sauce gar- and run harder than others, sional losses? Has time mellowed
and our lads joyously piggy-back on it without the faintest lawyer opts for a margherita pizza nished with slices of green olive Mody says, adding it’s also the the iron lady of law? It almost
clue of industrial economics which, I would think, is the with an extra dollop of sun-dried and translucent flakes of garlic. reason she’s managed to settle sounds like she’s okay to hang up
minimum you need to know to be a good trade economist. I tomatoes from Quattro on Senapati The slightly charred zucchini and fights, and do the big deals. her boots sooner than later.
asked one of them the other day about the cost structure of Bapat Marg. It’s spinach and ricotta mixed greens offer as perfect a foil “At the end of the day Mody says, “I’ve been perceived
India’s textile industry. He waved me away. ravioli with a side of grilled vegeta- as they can. I offer Mody some it’s about the let- as a larger than life presence, inter-
bles for me from Cafe Zoe. but she sticks to her com- terhead of this nally for a long time now, but as my
More of the same Mody, a vegetarian and strict pact pizza, that’s neatly firm.” other founding partners will agree,
And what about sustainability issues and environmental teetotaler, has no pretensions when pre-sliced. She isn’t fib- we have the best second line of sen-
economics? These are taught only in a handful of places and it comes to dining, and is as much AZB’s league tables bing about the ior partners in the market, and
there are too few economists who know anything much at home with street food that rankings are impeccable. big deals. In institution building stands tall for
about the subject that can be of use at the local and regional includes idlis and other spicy Mergermarket’s latest report puts recent times, all of us.” So is it going to be five,
levels. Go to any seminar and you will see the same faces snacks from lesser known eateries AZB at number one with 22 deals AZB has advised seven or eight years before she and
ILLUSTRATION BY BINAY SINHA
talking about carbon emissions. as she is to five-star favorites like valued at around $9.5 billion. Tata Steel on its her founders retire? “I hope sooner,
And how many universities teach urban economics? How the Thai Pavilion at the Taj Hotel Shardul Amarchand Mangaldas & ~35,000 crore acquisition of I mean look at my hair, it’s getting
many economists do you know of who specialise in it? This in Cuffe Parade. Inside AZB’s office Co is at number two with 19 deals years of getting it right. Sounds sim- Bhushan Steel, one of the largest white now.” I disagree and tell
in a country that is haphazardly but rapidly urbanising and in Lower Parel there’s a stillness valued at $8.5 billion. It’s the same ple but few do it well. deals under the new Insolvency and Mody it’s dark in patches and she
needs such economists like a pig needs a pool of mud. that’s periodically broken by foot- with Bloomberg’s legal rankings, and So, what is the first question she Bankruptcy Code; the $14.6 billion pushes the last slice of pizza
These gaps are clearly reflected in the amount of pub- steps and the sound of young part- that of Thomson Reuters, where typically asks while taking on a case? merger of Indus Towers with Bharti towards me and it’s clear I am not
lished research in most of these areas. Why, we have only ners and associates checking on again, Mody sits pretty at number It depends on the client but if it’s a Infratel; and the $1.2 billion ATC- being asked but told to polish it off.
two or three Indian journals in which it is considered all case updates and calls as they move one by value and count. negotiation she will ask “what’s the Vodafone-Idea Cellular merger. I oblige and once done realise it’s
right to publish. As a result, the Economic and Political in and out of rooms named after That isn’t the only reason that bottom line that you want from this Is there a secret formula to catch- almost 11 pm.
Weekly has become the acceptable substitute for our uni- trees such as Juniper, Sequoia and she is the first port of call for most deal?,” she says. If it’s litigation, then ing the most high-flying of clients? How long will Mody stay in
versities. so on. promoters, conglomerate heads and the questions are judgment calls on “Different clients require different office? “Another four-five hours or
The worst consequence of this debility is that we import Dinner is laid out for us on AZB CEOs. In her favour, she’s a unique where the matter is likely to go, how doses of fear, some get it quickly, so,” she says, as she turns to face the
NRI economists who, with one or two exceptions, are not monogrammed china ware and we blend of tough-as-nails counsel who much reputational damage is likely some need to be told categorically light flashing on her phone, an assis-
quite the sharpest pencils in the box. start the minute it’s served. Mody, can switch at light-speed to offer a to happen and so on, she says, what will happen if they cross the tant with a sky-high pile of papers
It is like buying Chinese products. Okay, but not really as always, is dressed simply in a silk, sympathetic ear when the client is adding that “every meeting is a law line, and I don't think we advise and three junior lawyers who need
German engineering. purple tunic, one very large record- losing a deal, is at war with a sibling, plus. Law plus strategy, law plus EQ being virginal but what we do is direction. And vanishes into a dif-
size diamond ring and another or has made pivotal mistakes after (emotional quotient), law plus navi- counsel clients as to the line in the ferent world.

And then there was one... The summer of discontent


to mutter about not being allowed the eymoon,” my wife insists, “now we must
the neighbourhood children who’d stop asked them to return the puppies. same privileges as him. It feels like the travel as a family.”
to feed and play with them on the way The very next day, puppy number one summer of discontent at home. My daughter, meanwhile, is keeping
to the park every evening. One morning, was killed by a speeding car. “We were I blame it on the heat, which is her council. “What are your holiday
the mother just wouldn’t stop crying. It devastated,” they said. “Having watched already at its peak. Normally, by this plans?” her mother asked her. “This and
turned out all her puppies were missing. the puppies being born, seeing one die time, we would be fleeing Delhi, having that,” my daughter said ambiguously,
The watchmen said that perhaps some in front of our eyes was horrible.” Later, chalked up our travel plans to parts cool- “here and there,” which may not have
of the children who played with them after the two surviving puppies became er than the capital in May. Alas, the city’s made sense but put my wife off her trail
had taken the puppies home. “We 40 days old, the children who had taken tryst with the 17th Lok Sabha elections — momentarily. In truth, our daughter
thought it was for the best,” they told them earlier didn’t want them anymore. will happen on May 12, considerably hasn’t been able to make up her mind
me. “They were too young to survive the Two months later, puppy number delaying our travel schedules. As a result, whether to go with one bunch of friends
PEOPLE LIKE THEM long winter nights outdoors.”
But all hell broke loose that evening.
two was also run over and killed. This
time, the watchmen were furious at the
PEOPLE LIKE US prices for tickets on even previously
unknown airlines have skyrocketed, visa
to a favourite city, or with another hop-
ing to discover a yet unchartered desti-
GEETANJALI KRISHNA Local animal lovers accused the watch- animal activists. “They ‘protected’ the KISHORE SINGH appointments are being offered weeks nation. I suspect she’s working on the
men of selling the puppies. The police puppies from children willing to adopt later, and rumblings about the unafford- logistics for both but is tightlipped about
was brought in to register a case against them,” they said, “instead of sheltering ability of international destinations is it in case her mother decides to subpoe-

T I
he other day, yet another street them as separating puppies less than 40 them from the elements and the dangers t has been a few weeks since my being laid at my door. It was the reason na one, if not both.
dog was run over by a car near our days old from their mother amounted to on the road.” The animal activists, so mother and I talked to each other my son and his wife had a tiff in the first Since I chose to defer my holiday
house. I stopped to ask the two animal cruelty. The watchmen were vociferous when it came to ‘rescuing’ the over the phone, having had an place, and even though they kissed and plans till after the elections, I now find
watchmen nearby, the only people out- flummoxed by the turn of events. puppies, were oddly silent. “They would altercation that was, shall we say, made up, the rumblings have caused myself in danger of being done out of
side in the afternoon heat, if anything “The puppies were not ours to look have sent us to jail for animal cruelty,” unpleasant? My son and his wife too unrest at home. one entirely. Which must be why I
could be done for the unfortunate ani- after,” they said. “Neither were they ours muttered one of the watchmen, “but had their first tiff as newlyweds, caus- Oblivious to their discomfort, my wife agreed on a whim to sign up for the
mal. “A change of law would be good,” to give away.” They were unaware of ani- have done nothing against the drivers ing them both to sulk — though they keeps butting in with suggestions about extended family package to the hills this
said one of them. I asked why? The story mal cruelty laws in India. Moreover, both who have run them over.” were equally quick to make up. My accompanying them. “Can I come to St weekend. It spans three generations and
they told me gave me food for thought. were convinced that their adoption gave We silently watched the mother with daughter, whose daily commute takes Petersburg with you?” she asks, when I doubt it will amount to more than a few
It all started when a street dog gave the puppies a better chance of survival. As her one remaining offspring, now almost her from Noida to Gurugram and back, she catches them checking for reserva- clan skirmishes over harboured child-
birth to three puppies in winter this year. the animal lovers became more and more as large as her, wondering what fate had at least has reason to be in a rage on tions on the Sapsan high-speed train. hood resentments, which is all one can
The watchmen finally had something to aggressive, the men decided the unpleas- in store for them. There are no easy working days. My wife tells me off so “Can we go to Moscow with them?” she anticipate over a couple of days of being
do to pass time during their long working antness wasn’t worth it. “We’re poor answers when it comes to the manage- often that I can safely say we are in a checks with me. Quietly, when she isn’t thrown together. Cooler weather should
hours. “We looked after them, brought migrants,” they told me. “People like us ment of stray canines in cities. For perpetual state of war. Our driver of looking, the children change their choice at least ensure there won’t be too many
them milk and found gunny bags for can’t afford to mess with the police.” So humans might have spent millennia many years suddenly upped and of destination. “They’re honeymooners,” frayed feathers — or tempers. Who
them to be warm at night,” they said. the next evening, when the same children domesticating animals, they still haven’t absconded, complete with loan and I remind my wife, “we should let them knows, maybe my mother and I will even
The puppies soon became popular with passed by on their way to the park, they learnt to peacefully coexist with them. motorcycle, causing the domestic staff be.” “But they’ve already been on a hon- start being civil again.

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OPINION 9
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Volume Vl Number 40

Modi meets his


Crowd: Yes
MUMBAI | 4 MAY 2019 Mamata: Lakshmi Puja?
Crowd: Yes
WEEKEND RUMINATIONS Mamata: Saraswati Puja?
Crowd: Yes

Cold shower after the polls


T N NINAN
match in Mamata Mamata: Boro din (Christmas)?
Crowd: Yes
Mamata: Ramzan?
Crowd: Yes
Modi & Shah are street-fighters trying to win Bengal Mamata: Chhat Puja?

T
he tax revenue numbers published in this newspaper yesterday are Crowd: Yes
a shock. They show a shortfall of ~1.6 trillion, when compared to the through Hindu-Muslim polarisation. But Mamata is But there’s only one thing that doesn’t happen
revised revenue numbers for 2018-19 presented to Parliament three
months ago. That represents over 0.8 per cent of gross domestic
fighting their poison with her own here — Modi. Modi hoi na (Modi doesn’t happen here)
… BJP hoi na, mithya (falsehood) hoi na, kutsha (char-

Y
product (GDP). Some of the shortfall would have been compensated by a last- ou can pick your metaphor: It takes iron to It worked in Assam, so it must work in West acter assassination) hoi na.
minute squeeze on expenditure, reported at the year-end to have been about break iron. Diamond cuts diamond. If you so Bengal. That is the reason BJP leaders have been
~60,000 crore. Taking that as accurate, the fiscal deficit numbers for the year
would have gone up from the reported 3.4 per cent of GDP to about 3.9 per cent
wish, you can even say, poison is the only
antidote to poison. It means the same thing. But the
last may be more appropriate, given that the election
claiming a near-sweep, upwards of 22 seats out of its
42. After Uttar Pradesh (80) and Maharashtra (48), M amata turns the knife and not slowly. Do your
homework, and set it on your teleprompter so
West Bengal sends the highest contingent of MPs to you don’t make a fool of yourself here, “Modi babu,”
— clear slippage from the levels of the last two years.
campaign we are talking about is our most ven- the Lok Sabha. she says, a hundred times more mockingly than
The numbers are a shock for a further reason: The Centre’s revenue growth
omously bitter yet. If this is where the BJP expected to partly make Modi calls Rahul shahzada or how Rahul may call
clocks in at only about 6.2 per cent. It is understandable if this falls short of the
The tone has been set by Prime Minister Narendra up for the losses it might suffer in Uttar Pradesh and Modi chor. She lists, in one breath, all the various
ambitiously budgeted revenue growth of 19.5 per cent. What is more worrying is Modi. Nobody can deny him that other states they had swept in pujas that take place in West Bengal, taunts Mr Modi
that growth in gross collection (including the states’ share), at 8.4 per cent, falls proud distinction. From calling 2014, they should rethink. It is true if he even knows the Saraswati Mantra, then recites
short of GDP growth (in nominal terms, ie including inflation) of 11.5 per cent. In opponents anti-national, in that the prime minister’s rallies it in Sanskrit, her crowds, including hundreds of
other words, the trend of an increasing tax-GDP ratio has been reversed. Some of cahoots with Pakistan, families on have been enthusiastic and big. Muslims, cheering. What does Mr Modi know about
the shortfall may have been on account of the progressive cutting of rates for the bail/halfway to jail, and so on. His But given the low base, the BJP has each religion?
goods and services tax. But there is the possibility that real economic growth (ie party chief Amit Shah and Uttar an electoral Kanchenjunga to She quickly moves to food. “Modi babu, if we go
adjusted for inflation) may be less than the officially reported 7 per cent. Pradesh Chief Minister Yogi climb here. to Gujarat, we eat dhokla, idly in Tamil Nadu, upma
The implications for the current year are grim. The Budget numbers for Adityanath have taken this for- Mamata isn’t also impressed by in Kerala, litti-chokha in Bihar, halwa in Gurudwara,
2019-20 project revenue growth of 14.9 per cent on the numbers that had been ward, one calling Muslim immi- the BJP’s shock-and-awe tactic. lassi in Punjab. You order people, don’t eat fish, meat,
expected for 2018-19. On the real revenue base that has emerged, tax collection grants termites or other kinds of She is probably the toughest politi- eggs. Pregnant women should not eat eggs. “Hey
vermin and the other pitching cian in India now, tougher than brother, who are you to order what women can eat
would have to grow 29.1 per cent in order to meet the new year’s Budget numbers.
Bajrangbali versus Ali. Mayawati. She is also a street-fight- or not?” The country, she says, is being told to eat
Since that is impossible, the Budget will have to be substantially re-cast as soon
as a new government takes charge after the elections. Both revenue and expen-
In large parts of the country, NATIONAL INTEREST er, which Rahul and Priyanka, what Mr Modi eats, buy the waist-coats he wears,
especially the Hindi heartland, Kamal Nath and Akhilesh Yadav watch him on TV all day. “I used to think he was a
diture numbers will have to be trimmed — and then may better reflect the decel- this is working. But there is a dis-
SHEKHAR GUPTA aren’t. But, for further clarity. selfless RSS pracharak,” she says, “but now these
eration of economic activity caused by slowing consumption trends. Since much tinction. It is working where the Arvind Kejriwal is. RSS men who paraded in khaki knickers (short-
of government expenditure is on pre-committed items like interest payments, BJP’s main rival is the Congress. Steeled through survival in a state that was no bet- pants), roam shopping malls in trousers carrying
subsidies, salaries and pensions, the axe will fall (as it did late last year) on invest- In Maharashtra, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Bihar, ter than a Left Front concentration camp for her, she briefcases and make crores”.
ment in the physical infrastructure, an important driver of growth so far. Delhi, Haryana, Uttarakhand and Himachal Pradesh, also knows the art of turning adversity into opportu- She attacks him on demonetisation, never wastes
In terms of the growth outlook, some factors have improved — like the the BJP sees this line working. Because it is mostly nity. Or, grab the opportunity when Mr Modi a second on Rafale, and delivers the final
global economic situation, and receding prospects of a US-China trade war. up against the Congress. It responds by asking as to says it’s become difficult for Bengalis to even blow: “A party that was starving not long
Oil prices have climbed, but various oil exporters may up output to neutralise how its patriotism can be questioned if Indira Gandhi hold Durga Puja. The Congress ago and used to smoke the same beedi
the stoppage of supplies from Iran. Domestically, the monsoon prospects are broke up Pakistan, or how you call us soft on terror I track her through rallies on a day when is yet to thrice a day, now owns billions.”
when our father and grandmother were assassinated the menacing advance vanguard of the com- understand “And then they call themselves chowki-
less than optimal, while two lead sectors (aviation and automobiles) have taken
by terrorists. But it sounds defensive, and its tone ing Cyclone Fani stalks her helicopter. That the Modi-Shah dar,” she says as the crowd sets up a
a toss and a third (telecom) has seen value destruction, even as construction isn’t right. Or not wrong enough. Because, as we know, Durga Puja is the theme running through method “chowkidar chor hai” chant that is louder
remains dependent on government spending. The financial and corporate sec- it can’t cut poison with coconut water. these, in Bhatapara (Barrackpore, where for- and more spontaneous than any you hear
tors have come through the worst of the twin crises of bad loans and excessive To understand how this works, come to West mer railways minister Dinesh Trivedi is con- from the front-rows in Rahul’s rallies. In
debt, and credit has picked up. But much cleaning up remains to be done, and Bengal with me, going through the most verbally and testing) and Rajarhat, on Kolkata’s outskirts, where West Bengal, Rahul’s party is her rival too. But she
further systemic shocks cannot be ruled out. Monetary policy has tried to sup- physically violent election in the entire country. This Kakoli Ghosh Dastidar seeks her third term. has neatly appropriated his slogan.
port growth, but the Reserve Bank’s rate cuts find no echo in a liquidity-con- is also where Mr Modi and Mr Shah have found their “Modi babu, you must do your homework before The question then: Why does this slogan look so
strained market for a variety of reasons, including the level of government bor- match in “didi” Mamata Banerjee — her loyalists pre- you shout expletives at us Bengalis,” she speaks at a effective in the hands of a one-state leader when the
rowing. Real interest rates remain high. fer the old-style “Bandopadhyaya”, though. Not a pace that even that other fast-talker Gautam Gambhir Congress invented it, and spread it across the coun-
This is a sobering context in which to consider the promises of expansive word she says in response to the BJP is defensive, can’t keep pace with, striding left to right and back try? The short answer is, the Congress is yet to under-
hand-outs as part of the election campaign: Loan write-offs, cash payouts, and nothing is said to play the victim, and because you on her stage with the wireless microphone, without stand the Modi-Shah method. Unlike Atal Bihari
mocked her, she mocks you back like none else can looking anybody in the eye. Vajpayee and L K Advani, these two are street-fighters
possibly a higher food subsidy. As should be obvious, there simply isn’t the fiscal
with the possible exception, lately, of Raj Thackeray. “Even kids get scolded by Didimonis (teachers) and they have accordingly changed their party’s DNA.
space for all of this, or indeed any of it. When the limits of monetary policy are
when they go to school without doing their home- To fight street-fighters, you need street-fighters.
being tested, the fisc has to be in contractionary mode — especially since the
official deficit numbers conceal off-balance sheet borrowing. As it is, the ratio of
government debt to GDP remains above the limits reckoned to be desirable.
T he Modi-Shah BJP has been targeting West
Bengal for five years. If Hindu-Muslim polari-
sation is their ticket to power, West Bengal should
work. What will people do when you lie? You come Remember, just as we said in the very beginning, iron
to Bengal and tell people that there’s no Durga puja? breaks iron, diamond cuts diamond and, only poison
“Now, tell me mothers & sisters here — do we have counters poison. If Mr Modi and Mr Shah have made
The danger is a post-poll government being tempted to go the other way, be even more amenable to it than Uttar Pradesh. Durga Puja or not? a poisonous, polarising campaign their brahmastra
taking comfort from moderate inflation and opting for expansionist policies in That’s because West Bengal, like Assam, has a nearly Crowd: We do for 2019, Mamata Banerjee is showing them its limi-
order to deliver on unaffordable election promises or in pursuit of unrealisable 30 per cent Muslim population. As with the Mamata: Does anyone stop you from celebrating tations. Or why it will “hoi na” (won’t happen) in her
growth objectives — precisely the kind of policy heresy being heard currently Congress in Assam, there is a feeling that the rulers, Durga Puja? state of 42 MPs.
in some other countries. first the Left and now Mamata, have been appeasing Crowd: No
them for votes. Mamata: Louder, does Durga Puja take place here? By Special Arrangement with ThePrint

Why it’s smart to bet on climate science Is yeti real? Not a


larly in the US Many investors are conser-
vative. As one finance professional told
Uppsala University researcher Brett
in a 2018 study by the asset management
firm Schroders.
The “show me the money” attitude is
options is small and illiquid. Billions of
dollars of such derivatives are traded over
the counter: They’re used mainly in the
matter of science
Christophers for a recently published natural, but another recent paper high- reinsurance business, given that about 30 yeti/bigfoot theory is based on such
study of institutional investor attitudes lights at least one part of the financial com- per cent of the US economy is estimated EYE CULTURE anecdotes only.
toward climate change: munity that’s taking climate science seri- to be directly affected by the weather. But And, in the words of social sci-
Oil and gas analysts are generally not ously. Wolfram Schlenker and Charles weather derivatives is still a niche area for KUMAR ABISHEK entist Frank J Sulloway: “Anecdotes

A
building climate risk into their models. Taylor from Columbia University looked major investors. Traders who specialise in couple of years ago when I do not make a science. Ten anec-
There is zero chance that any of these groups at the US market in exchange-traded these instruments have to be more attuned tagged along with a friend to dotes are no better than one, and a
are going to divest from oil or gas companies weather derivatives for 2002 through 2018, than other finance professionals to what’s watch a poorly critiqued hundred anecdotes are no better
any time soon. You still get investors in the comparing the way investors priced tem- really going on with the planet’s climate. Bengali movie, Yeti Obhijaan, little than ten.”
US who don’t believe in climate change. perature expectations for a particular There’s no reason for climate skeptics to did I know that awful experience one Science cannot completely dis-
These guys honestly couldn’t give a stuff. month with climate scientists’ tempera- go out of their way and make contrarian day would come handy to write prove that “yeti is real” because it is
LEONID BERSHIDSKY Christophers’s study, based on inter- ture forecasts based on the impact of bets on barely liquid contracts. about the legendary beast. Though not a question for science. Non-sci-
views with executives at investment firms human activity. They found something Nevertheless, investors should pay more the movie, like most researchers, dis- entific theories could not be falsified
with more than $1 billion under manage- approaching full agreement between the attention to what’s going on with weather missed the claim of a giant primate as they aren’t testable in a legitimate

A
tipping point for governments in ment, showed that these financiers weren’t traders and the white coats. Schlenker and derivative pricing. The market has existed species wandering in the Himalayas, way. There was no possible objection
aligning their policies with the sci- interested in selling their fossil fuel assets, Taylor wrote: for 20 years, long enough to make it clear it ended with a mysterious unseen that could be raised which would
ence of climate change won’t be didn’t see productive ways of incorporat- The observed annual trend in futures that betting against the consensus climate creäture lurking and watching show the theory to be wrong.
brought about by schoolkids demonstrat- ing climate change into their models, and, prices shows that the supposedly efficient models doesn’t pay. This should have humans leave the mountains, and Noted astrophysicist Carl Sagan
ing. It will come from a shift in investor if they did see it as a risk, then saw it as financial markets agree that the climate is broader implications. If the derivatives mar- thus helped keep the belief in folk- in his book The Demon-Haunted
sentiment. merely one of many. warming. At least so far, climate models ket is bearing out these projections, divest- lore alive. World: Science as a Candle in the
Data show that even if investors don’t That led Christophers to conclude that have been very accurate in predicting the ing from fossil fuel stocks and looking for Stories about yeti, popular among Dark, to encourage sceptical think-
flag environmental cataclysm as a major environmental lobbyists and progressive average warming trend that’s been observed more sustainable opportunities should be sherpas and among millions world- ing, offers a story concerning a
concern or even express skepticism about politicians wouldn’t sway the investment across the US. When money is on the line, it viewed as reasonable strategies. Stocks wide, are back in the spotlight after fire-breathing dragon that lives in
it, there are some who bet consistently and crowd until it saw a clear financial return is hard to find parties willing to bet against exposed to climate risks might be more mis- the Indian Army recently tweeted his garage.
successfully on the scientists being right. in adjusting for climate change. As things the scientific consensus. priced than commonly perceived. photographs of giant footsteps, When Sagan persuades a rational,
Conservatives are on the whole still stand, sustainability plays a minor role in That’s probably an overoptimistic con- claimed of a yeti. open-minded visitor to meet the
skeptical about climate change, particu- investment decisions, as was made clear clusion. The market for weather ETFs and ©Bloomberg It’s important to note that crea- dragon, the visitor remarks that he
tures like komodo dragon, giant pan- couldn’t see the creäture. Sagan
da and gorillas were all discovered replies that he “neglected to mention
partly because of folklore. Also, that she’s an invisible dragon”. The

Celebrity couples sparkle for brands Malik, Jyoti Randhawa-Chitrangada


Singh, Mahesh Bhupati-Lara Dutta and
Leander Paes-Rhea Pillai are all good for
Page 3 but fall short of the fame thresh-
Gigantopithecus blacki, an extinct
species of 10 ft tall apes that existed
100,000 years ago, lived in the region
which today comprises India, China,
visitor then suggests spreading flour
on the floor so that the creature’s
footprints could be seen, to which
Sagan says “this dragon floats in the
The rise of couple celebrity brands taboos of those times. But by the time old, and therefore cashable commercial Vietnam and Indonesia. air”. When the visitor considers using
begets two questions: first, are celebrity the two were married in 1969, Pataudi had value together. In 2004, Henry Gee, editor of the an infra-red camera to view the crea-
couples saleable just because they are started to fade out from cricket and the So, famous couples need more than journal Nature, wrote: “The discov- ture’s invisible fire, Sagan explains
married? Second, are individual partners couple preferred to remain low-profile just matrimony to sell brands. They ery that Homo floresiensis (3-4 ft tall that the fire is heatless. He continues
singly more powerful as brands than the post marriage. Dharmendra and Hema require togetherness, that too visible and cousin of humans) survived until so to counter every proposed physical
couples together? Malini were hardly ever seen together in enduring happiness together, that makes very recently, in geological terms, test with a “reason” for why the test
To answer the first question about public as a couple. Rishi Kapoor and them aspirational, trustworthy, respect- makes it more likely that stories of will not work.
marriage as the USP, let us go down mem- Neetu Singh were young, buzzy, success- ed, and worth emulating as a couple. other mythical, human-like crea- Sagan concludes: “Now what’s
ory lane to see why celebrity couples in ful and popular when they got married: Choices so far have been limited. tures such as yetis are founded on the difference between an invisible,
India never really caught public fancy all the right ingredients for a power Recent research by the grains of truth.” incorporeal, floating dragon who
and, therefore, did not get to do brand alliance but the marriage was very rocky Indian Institute of Human Brands Earth is a big planet and many spits heatless fire and no dragon at
endorsements together. in the initial years, never allowing them (IIHB) shows that for a couple brand to species still remain undiscovered. all? If there’s no way to disprove my
When Dilip Kumar married Saira to build a public profile of togetherness. succeed today: Could yetis be one of them? Unlikely. contention, no conceivable experi-
YES, BUT... Banu, Yusuf Saheb’s career was well neigh
over and Saira really wasn’t an ‘A’ grader.
In cricket, Sunil Gavaskar and wife
Marshneil were pretty well known
1) at least one of the two must be in top form
2) both must independently be respected
Two studies of “yeti” samples in
the past five years — one published
ment that would count against it,
what does it mean to say that my
SANDEEP GOYAL Sunil Dutt and Nargis could have been a together as a couple, when he was at his 3) be seen to be successful in 2014 in Proceedings of the Royal dragon exists? Your inability to inval-
genuine power couple but then Nargis peak in the 70s. But she had no independ- 4) be buzzy. Society B and the other published in idate my hypothesis is not at all the
just renounced the movies after they ent credentials, and did not really add to Amongst the current choice sets, Virat 2017 in the same journal — have indi- same thing as proving it true.”

V
irat-Anushka (Virushka) featured married. Rajesh Khanna was India’s first her husband’s persona as one of India’s drives the Virushka brand with his per- cated that the samples belonged to According to the principle of
together in the Google Duo ad last superstar and Dimple Kapadia was the finest cricketers. Sachin and his wife formance. Anushka adds the oomph. bears and not a primate species. Ockham’s Razor, attributed to 14th-
week, their second advertising darling of the nation after the success of Anjali could have been cricket’s original Akshay is a winner-all-the-way while Similar studies in the past, too, have century scholastic philosopher and
outing together after they became man Bobby but the marriage itself was not a first couple, but Anjali preferred to keep Mrs Funnybones provides class and discouraged any belief in yeti. theologian William of Ockham,
and wife. Their first campaign together very successful or enduring one. When her head down despite her own charisma. In Deepveer both partners are But as the popular aphorism goes: more straightforward explanations
was for Manyavar, just a few weeks before Amitabh Bachchan and Jaya Bhaduri tied independent credentials as a doctor. equally strong and individually no. 1. “The absence of evidence is not evi- are, in general, better. That is, if you
they tied the knot a year ago. the knot, Jaya was actually the Mohd Azharuddin and Sangeeta Bijlani Unfortunately for Abhiash and Saifeena dence of absence!” No research, so have two possible theories that fit
Deepika-Ranveer (Deepveer) too better-known half of the couple. As did hit the upper circuits for a while as a neither couple is a top leaguer. far, has disproved the existence of a all available evidence, the best the-
debuted together in an ad for Lloyd Amitabh carved a dominant position in couple but his getting mired in the Going forward Virushka, Deepveer, yeti or a bigfoot (the western version ory is which has fewer abstract
air-conditioners last month. They have Indian cinema, Jaya however faded into match-fixing controversy killed any pos- and Akshay-Twinkle are all well poised of a yeti-like creäture). ideas, or guesses.
done movies together in the past but this domesticity. sibilities of their becoming an aspira- to break the celebrity couple jinx of the So, should we believe in Nepalese So, a better and scientific theory
was their maiden effort for brand When Indian cinema’s heart-throb tional power couple. Dhoni and his wife past many decades. If Ranbir-Alia decide folklore? No. And here comes the would be that there is no giant hairy
endorsement together. Akshay-Twinkle Sharmila Tagore married the Indian Sakshi are part of Colgate’s latest version to tie the knot, they too will join this need for encouraging people towards primate roaming the snowy peaks
have been featuring together in ads too, cricket captain Mansoor Ali Khan of Andar se Strong campaign, but Sakshi August league of made in heaven critical and sceptical thinking. of the Himalayas. Because all it
the most recent one being for Pataudi, they together had just the right is hardly known. alliances to sell brands with their sparkle The study of animals whose exis- takes to prove this idea wrong is to
Fortune basmati rice. Saif-Kareena credentials to become a power couple: he Harbhajan Singh and his actress wife and sizzle. The era of the Celebrity tence has yet to be proved is known find one!
(Saifeena) have been featured together by was a right royal Nawab, and the Geeta Basra, Yuvraj Singh-Hazel Keech, Couple, methinks, is finally here. as cryptozoology and cryptids, or
AirBnB and Abhishek-Aishwarya youngest ever captain of the Indian crick- Zaheer Khan-Sagarika Ghatge, Stuart “hidden animals,” start their lives as Every week, Eye Culture features writers
(Abhiash) have jointly endorsed TTK et team and she was the first actress to Binny-Mayanti Langer, Dinesh Karthik- The writer is an advertising and media veteran blurry photographs, grainy videos, with an entertaining critical take on art,
Prestige pressure cookers. have posed in a bikini, breaking the Dipika Pallikal, Sania Mirza-Shoaib sandeep@goyalmail.com footmarks and countless stories. The music, dance, film and sport
https://t.me/SSC4Exams https://t.me/Banking4Exams https://t.me/UPSC4Exams
https://t.me/TheHindu_Zone_official
10 THE SMART INVESTOR
>
MUMBAI | 4 MAY 2019

HUL investors need


THE COMPASS
Lax reporting standards for HDFC Life’s
~1,400-cr OFS
subscribed
to cool expectations
after weak Q4 show PMS providers worry experts
Portfolio managers lag mutual funds not been approved or recom-
three times
SUBRATA PANDA
Mumbai, 3 May
mended, and also that it doesn’t
Near-term challenges on the in disclosures, assets stand at ~15.6 trn certify the accuracy or adequa- The ~1,400-crore offer for
volume front remain a concern JASH KRIPLANI portfolios within a strategy.
cy of their monthly reports.
However, industry insiders
sale (OFS) in HDFC Life
Insurance Company saw
Mumbai, 3 May These are also typically net say the fine print is not empha- thrice the demand com-
HAMSINI KARTHIK returns (after fees), which does- sised upon while selling PMS pared to the shares on offer.

T
he Portfolio manage- n’t show the impact of the fees products. Currently, regula- The 36-million share
After a weak show by some ment service (PMS) sec- being levied on the investor,” tions laid down by Sebi only offering garnered bids for
of India’s important fast tor has grown at a sharp said Sanjay Parikh, who is lead- mandate PMS providers to fol- 111.5 million shares from
moving goods (FMCG) pace in India, with the growing ing the initiative to implement low the weighted average institutional investors,
firms such as Britannia and pool of high networth investors the Global Investment method to calculate returns in shows data by the stock
Dabur, expectations from (HNIs) going for this invest- Performance Standards — for- individual categories. exchanges. Most of the bids
Hindustan Unilever (HUL) ment option in search of higher mulated by the CFA Institute “While the regulator has came at ~406, higher than
were a bit muted. The HUL returns. However, experts say — in India.
GAINING SCALE regulated the MF industry the base price of ~390 set for
stock, accordingly, fell by that despite the sizeable client “Moreover, there is also no Assets of PMS firms have soared, rivaling domestic MFs heavily as it is more retail- the OFS.
over 2 per cent on Friday, base, PMS providers lag their clarity on whether returns for AUM (~cr) Discretionary Non-discretionary Advisory focused, it has not set tight Shares of HDFC Life end-
before the results that came domestic MF counterparts by a financial year take into norms for the PMS sector, giv- ed at ~413.6, down 0.82 per
post market hours. This shows price hikes quite a distance, when it comes account all investor returns for Listed equity 100,609 17,744 en its orientation towards more cent, on the BSE. Another
However, the numbers undertaken in the past to reporting and disclosure that period, or excludes returns Unlisted equity 575 78 sophisticated and wealthy 3.6 million shares for retail
weren’t as bad as antici- year, coupled with efforts standards. for exiting investors,” he added. Plain debt 1,144,568 74,075 clients,” said a PMS provider, investors — those investing
pated, except for the net to improve the share of pre- Over the last four years, the According to experts, com- requesting anonymity. up to ~200,000 — will be
profit. Revenue at ~9,809 mium products, particular- size of assets managed by PMS puting returns on the basis of Structured debt 646 460 Following the 2008 market auctioned on Monday.
crore in the March quarter ly in the beauty segment, providers has grown at an only existing investors could Equity derivatives 484 -2 crash, Sebi decided to curb Standard Life, the joint
(Q4) grew 9 per cent YoY; has yielded the desired annual rate of 16 per cent. At give a lopsided view of a strate- some of the practices in the venture partner in HDFC
MFs 13,776 13,612
half a per cent lower than result. Volume growth at 7 the end of February, assets gy’s performance. PMS industry. The minimum Life, was the seller in the
the Bloomberg consensus per cent was at a 6-quarter under management of portfo- “Typically, an investor exits Others 15,572 1,258 investment size was increased share sale.
estimate of ~9,858 crore. low but met expectations lio managers stood at ~15.6 tril- a PMS-managed portfolio Total 1,276,230 107,224 171,267 from ~5 lakh to ~25 lakh, fund The UK-based firm sold
Net profit (before excep- of 6-8 per cent, coming on lion with a client base of over when he is disappointed with managers were restricted from 1.78 per cent stake, paring its
tional items) at ~1,590 the back of last year’s high 147,300. As the industry gains the returns. So, while reporting
No. of clients 136,586 6,729 3,998 pooling investments from holding to 22.88 per cent.
Source: Sebi Data as on February 28, 2019
crore (up 13 per cent YoY), base of 11 per cent growth. in size, experts say disclosures returns for a financial year, the clients, and the norms around In March, Standard Life
though, missed estimates For investors, though, made by portfolio managers, provider should adjust for exit- profit-sharing or performance- had divested 4.93 per cent
of ~1,651 crore. volume growth will be a particularly with respect to per- ing investors’ returns too,” said investors to the regulator’s ble with other PMS’ returns related fees were made tighter. stake in HDFC Life to raise
However, investors larger concern, going formance, should improve. Jinal Sheth, portfolio manager website, where returns shown reported,” Sheth added. While industry sources say about ~3,600 crore.
shouldn’t be disappointed ahead. “Lot of PMS firms report the at Multi-Act Equity PMS. are combined for all portfolios, The Securities and these changes have helped in Following the OFS, the
as HUL managed to “Operating margin of 23 returns of a model portfolio, Further, such practices can across strategies. These don’t Exchange Board of India’s giving more credibility, there is promoter’s holding in HDFC
expand its operating profit per cent (in Q4) is the high- which doesn’t give a fair picture lead to mis-selling. “There are give a fair picture of the per- (Sebi) site states the perform- more scope for improvement Life will come down to
margins (Ebidta) from 23.1 est-ever for us. We also of the performance of actual instances of advisors pointing formance and aren’t compara- ance of portfolio managers has in the reporting standards. 74.36 per cent.
per cent last year to 24 per delivered margin expan-
cent in Q4, despite a tough sion in 30 out of 31 quarters,
operating climate. which is significant,” said
While the cost of goods
sold as a percentage of rev-
enue remained at 48 per
Sanjiv Mehta, HUL chair-
man and managing direc-
tor. Analysts at ICICI
Sugar sector outlook turns positive for next season
cent, advertising costs and Securities also note that VIRENDRA SINGH RAWAT for June, the sentiment in the in Maharashtra reservoirs was announce its preliminary
other expenses grew at a with volume growth mod- Lucknow, 3 May sugar space is turning positive. below normal level on estimates of crop availability
slower pace than revenue, erating for five consecutive According to ratings account of lower rainfall in and production for the 2019-
at 3.5 per cent and 8.5 per quarters, demand is peak- The beleaguered domestic agency Icra, the hike, coupled the last monsoon season, 20 season. For the current
cent YoY, respectively. The ing out in certain rural sugar sector, which has been with seasonal higher sugar with indications that cane season (Oct 2018 to Sep 2019),
Street had pegged margins regions. impacted by mounting sug- demand in the summer — acreage in the state would be however, ISMA has projected
at 23-24 per cent. With HUL committed arcane arrears and market especially for soft drinks, ice ‘significantly’ lower in the production at 33 mt, about 0.5
Margin expansion was to deliver volume growth, glut, is looking for ‘sweet’ creams etc — will help reduce coming season. Even at the mt more than last season.
comfortably aided by analysts say there is room times next season (2019-20). domestic cane arrears to an all-India level, there is expec- Recovery in the sector has
growth across segments. to cede margins. This comes on the back of extent, though the magnitude tation that sugarcane avail- been higher across India com-
HUL’s mainstay product Investors will need to projections of lower produc- of the problem is quite big. ability will be much lower pared to last season.
line — beauty and personal moderate their near-term tion, coupled with higher The increase in sales quota than the current season, Although the quantum of
care — which accounts for expectations from the diversion of the crop for will support mills in clearing thereby reducing production. cane crushing is lower, sugar
about half its revenues, country’s largest consumer ethanol manufacturing. dues, even though the supply Further, with additional production was nevertheless
maintained margins at a firm. The HUL stock has Besides, given the likely situation continues to put greenfield and brownfield projected to be higher.
comfortable 28 per cent, corrected about 9 per cent higher offtake of sugar this pressure on sugar prices, cur- ethanol production capacities away from sugar into ethanol. depress sugar prices and Till end-April, 32.2 mt of
while its food and refresh- in 2019 so far, and valua- summer, with the Centre rais- rently hovering at coming up, the sugar industry This will further reduce result in arrears. sugar had already been pro-
ments, and home care seg- tions have moderated from ing the sugar sales quota to 2.1 ~31,000/tonne. is better placed to divert larg- production in 2019-20 and ISMA will obtain satellite duced in the country.
ments retained operating 70x its FY20 earnings to 59x million tonnes (mt) for May The Indian Sugar Mills er quantities of ‘B’ heavy insulate the sector from mar- images of domestic cane cul-
margins at 18 per cent each. the earnings. and a similar quota expected Association (ISMA) says water molasses/sugarcane juice ket glut conditions that tivations next month, to More on business-standard.com

Sebi partially relaxes order Markets end > FROM PAGE 1


marginally
against OPG Securities lower; IT Financial sector may lose weight...
PRESS TRUST OF INDIA
New Delhi, 3 May stocks drag Some of the downsides of the move and ICICI Bank are promoter-less insti-
Sebi on Friday partially PRESS TRUST OF INDIA include frequent churning of index tutions, they have high free-float mar-
relaxed the order against OPG Mumbai, 3 May components and under-representation ket cap and thus higher weights in the
Securities and three directors of large sectors of the economy. index. On the other hand, Tata
in the NSE’s co-location facil- The benchmark indices “Improper weights skew the Nifty’s Consultancy Services (TCS), the coun-
ity case, by allowing the stock surrendered early gains to performance away from the structure try’s second-most valued firm, is not
broker to close its open posi- end with modest losses on of the economy. Sectors like metal, even among the top five companies in
tions in the F&O and currency Friday — led by selling in mining and heavy industrials don’t terms of Nifty weights due to high pro-
derivatives segments within IT bluechips — as investors have adequate representation in the moter shareholding.
two months. awaited fresh buying trig- stock market as they have in the econ- Besides sectoral caps, the NSE is
On Tuesday, the regulator the end of trading on April respective contracts, or within gers amid frothy valua- omy. also considering surveillance-based
had barred OPG and its three 30, 2019, which need to be a period of two months from tions. After trading on a pos- “Some efforts need to be put in parameters for selecting stocks for the
directors from the markets closed, the regulator said. April 30, 2019, whichever is itive note through the day, towards more alignment of the stock Nifty and other indices.
for 5 years and asked them to Accordingly, “the direc- earlier," the Sebi said. the Sensex ended 18.17 market and the real economy. Under this regulatory action against
disgorge illegal gains worth tions issued vide the final The ‘noticees’ are OPG points, or 0.05 per cent, low- Otherwise, we will see this divergence a company such as additional margin
~15.57 crore, along with 12 per order shall stand relaxed for Securities and its three direc- er at 38,963.26. where the nominal GDP growth is 12 requirements for derivatives, price
cent annual interest. the limited purpose of allow- tors Sanjay Gupta, Sangeeta In similar movement, the per cent but corporate earnings are bands, addition to so-called graded sur-
Following the order, it is ing the Noticees to close the Gupta and Om Prakash broader Nifty slipped 12.50 growing at barely 6 per cent for a market capitalisation, which excludes veillance measure (GSM) or additional
understood that OPG holds open positions in the F&O and Gupta. However, the relax- points, or 0.11 per cent, to decade now,” Mukherjea added. the shares owned by promoters or those surveillance measure (ASM) would
open positions in the futures currency derivatives seg- ation is subject to certain close at 11,712.25. The weight of a particular stock is under lock-in. spoil the chances of a stock being
and options (F&O) and cur- ments of OPG Securities on or conditions, the stock market During the holiday-trun- computed on the basis of its free-float As Indian banks like HDFC Bank added to an index.
rency derivatives segments at before the expiry date of the regulator said. cated week, the Sensex fell
104.07 points, or 0.26 per
cent; the Nifty shed 42.40
points, or 0.36 per cent. IT
Godrej arm Jaypee Infra lenders reject bid
Indian automobile stocks stocks came under pressure
after tech giant Cognizant
slashed its full-year revenue
buys piece of
film history: Construction might be
delayed by a year
because it did not have the reviewed the letters.

set to skid further: Analysts


growth outlook. permission to do so. However, the veracity of
Cognizant, which has a The rejection of Suraksha’s Fears that NBCC might these allegations could not
significant number of its RK Studio bid has effectively removed not bag the project are so be independently ascer-
employees based in India, all chances of starting work high that homebuyers have tained.
BLOOMBERG among the biggest losers on BSE AUTO revised its full-year 2019 rev- Rishi Kapoor had said that in 2019, according to the written more than a thou-
Singapore, 3 May the Sensex this year, notch- enue growth outlook to 3.6- the decision to sell came people close to the process. sand letters to the prime Jaypee promoters trying
ing losses of up to 20 5.1 per cent in constant cur- after a lot of heartburn. His “Last time it took almost minister, finance minister to win back confidence
30,000
India’s car stocks have lost per cent. 18,900 rency terms, significantly announcement caused an nine months to come to the and urban development In emails as well as meetings
$42 billion in value in the “Initial trends are looking 25,000 less than the 7-9 per cent uproar with fellow actors process of voting on a firm. minister. with homebuyers, the
last 16 months, and some weaker than expected,” projected just months ago. and politicians decrying Now again fresh bids will be “Knowing very well that Jaypee promoters are trying
analysts say the rout may Nomura Holdings analysts 20,000 In the Sensex pack, los- the decision. called and this would stretch there is overwhelming sup- to win back customer confi-
not be over. Kapil Singh and Siddhartha 20,652 ers included TCS, HUL, Tata One even suggested that the process as new bidders port from both banks and dence.
A gauge of automobile Bera wrote in a May 2 note. 15,000 Steel, HCL, Infosys, Bajaj the government take it over are planning to join the race. homebuyers to NBCC’s pro- “The ongoing process for
companies has fallen “Most compa- Jan 2,’17 May 3,’19 Finance, HDFC, IndusInd and build a national film This means until at least the posal, the IRP, Anuj Jain, did over 18 months has allowed
30 percent since nies in the sec- Source:Exchange Bank, Asian Paints, ITC and museum in honour of Raj end of this year, work on not put the NBCC proposal work at snail’s pace but it is
reaching a tor have fur- Compiled by BS Research Bureau Vedanta, shedding up to 3.7 Kapoor. Jaypee sites might not to vote on the grounds that essential that the matter
record high in ther earnings per cent. HUL, too, ended in However, the family start,” said Pankaj Gupta, it did not have the finance gets resolved, incomplete
December risks due to panies on the BSE Auto the red ahead of its quarter- seems to have had the last who in 2010 gave the down ministry’s permission. “But homes are completed and
2017, and is weaker-than- Index have held their heads ly results. word. And after a long hunt payment in Jaypee Wish it is evident from the finance delivered in a time-bound
the worst- expected above water this year: Tata On the other hand, and months at the negoti- Town’s Kensington Park ministry note that NBCC manner, which alone can
performer demand.” Motors and Bajaj Auto. Bharti Airtel, ICICI Bank, ating table, Godrej Apartment project. had those permissions,” said mitigate anguish and pain
among 19 sec- Passenger Auto companies that NTPC, YES Bank, Tata Properties won the day. Manish Goyal, a homebuyer, caused to you. I am aware of
toral indices of vehicle growth have attractive products, are Motors, ONGC, Bajaj Auto, Randhir Kapoor, actor NBCC the top choice of in his letter to the prime your unhappiness yet feel
the BSE. in the financial disciplined in managing M&M, Maruti, Hero and son of Raj Kapoor, said: home-buyers minister. responsible to share the
A slowdown in consump- year ended March was the their inventories, and invest MotoCorp and Kotak Bank “This property in Chembur The homebuyers fear things Others said the voting road map which we believe
tion, amid a cash crunch in slowest since 2014, accord- in research and develop- rose up to 3.11 per cent. has been of tremendous are again going off the hinge process was sabotaged. “Just would surely address your
the banking system, has left ing to the Society of Indian ment should still outper- Meanwhile, foreign insti- significance to my family in the way they did almost before voting commenced, concern and can be the path
carmakers with a pile of Automobile Manufacturers. form during the slowdown, tutional investors bought over the many decades that eight years ago. all the passwords of home- which shall pave the way for
unsold vehicles in what was Maruti Suzuki, the nation’s Pramod Kumar and equity worth ~597.54 crore RK Studios has operated NBCC, which has had buyers were erased. The resolution of this subject
one of the world’s fastest- largest by market share, slid Anubhav Bajpai, analysts on Thursday, while domes- from there. We are excited extensive discussions with process was stopped and despite certain reserva-
growing auto market until for seven days through from Goldman Sachs Group tic institutional investors to have chosen Godrej homebuyers, was their obvi- resumed after a nine-hour tions,” Manoj Gaur as exec-
last year. Little surprise Tuesday after saying April Inc wrote in a report. sold shares to the tune of Properties to script a new ous choice. delay,” said Dharmendra utive chairman and chief
then, that Maruti Suzuki revenue declined 17 percent However, they are still ~791.69 crore, provisional chapter for this location However, it was not Kumar, another homebuyer, executive officer of the
India, Hero MotoCorp and from the year-ago month. cautious: “We don’t see any data available with stock and build upon its rich allowed to take part in the in his letter to the PM. beleaguered company said
Mahindra & Mahindra are Only two of the 16 com- relief in the near term.” exchanges showed. history.” present round of bidding Business Standard has in an email to homebuyers.

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16 POLITICS & PUBLIC AFFAIRS
>
MUMBAI | 4 MAY 2019

‘Squirrel’ TMC digs deep, doesn’t rule out queen’s chair


NIVEDITA MOOKERJI ings for 48 hours, got busy with pre- and another for Suvendu Adhikari, five years ago, that could push up es, from rosogolla with pebbles to
Kolkata, 3 May cautionary measures, including minister in charge for transport and its tally to around eight. speed-breaker Didi and much more.
shutting down of airports, while environment in the state. Behala On the other hand, BJP, which If Banerjee could be the PM if
Derek O’Brien, chief national constantly checking the social Flying Club is often the take-off does not have any strong public face the mahagatbandhan were to form
spokesperson and leader of the media updates on both Fani and point for Didi, who’s fighting it all in West Bengal, is laughing at TMC’s the government at the Centre,
Trinamool Congress (TMC) in the poll buzz. She can’t stay away from out to block the BJP from making “optimism”. At the non-descript O’Brien said she had the CV for the
Rajya Sabha, rushed to take a call on mobiles, WhatsApp and FaceBook, further inroads into the state, BJP headquarter, next to Yunani top job. “But, TMC doesn’t mind
his mobile while speaking to people who know her well say. according to people in the know. Diagnostics in Kolkata’s College being the squirrel,” he said, elabo-
Business Standard Friday afternoon. While it’s tough to chase Baner- Square, Tushar Kanti Ghosh, state rating that in every garden squirrels
On the other side was ‘Didi’, as On the campaign trail jee on her back-to-back campaign secretary of the party, told this are needed to do the ground work.
Bengal chief minister and TMC Engaged in regular face-offs with trail as she’s invariably before time, newspaper, “We are likely to cross “Squirrels can sometimes become
founder Mamata Banerjee is popu- Prime Minister Narendra Modi the talk of a growing support base 30 seats in West Bengal. Earlier, the the queen of the garden,” he joked.
larly known. Worried that former through her speeches and Twitter for Modi is hard to ignore. At a rally estimate was more than 20, but the Meanwhile, the pre-election
Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) leader messages as West Bengal has addressed by Banerjee in Palta, a to- support base is swelling.” coalition that was announced in
Yashwant Sinha, had suddenly fall- emerged one of the most important wn in the Barrackpore constituen- January, is holding meetings to join
en ill while campaigning for TMC in states in the 2019 Lok Sabha polls, cy, a homemaker said earlier this Mamata Banerjee addresses a rally in Barrackpore on Thursday PTI Modi versus Didi the manifestos of the various par-
Kolkata, Banerjee wanted to ensure Banerjee has been doing two to week, “Modi delivers, he’s a strong Leaving nothing to chance, the ties, to be prepared to form the next
the best care possible. Pilot cars and three rallies daily. The total count leader.” She has many backers. A won’t get enough to form the next compare on May 23, who’s closer to tallest BJP leaders —Modi and Shah government, it is learnt.
a team of helpers were sent out in is between 84 and 102 rallies, most- state government official, request- government at the Centre.’’ The the truth,” O’Brien said. “BJP is like- — have been campaigning in the Banerjee, who stays away from
no time and Didi was promised ly flying in and out of constituen- ing anonymity, said, “A coalition TMC, he said, would stick to its tar- ly to be the main Opposition party state regularly. They are scheduled media interviews barring to a couple
hourly updates on Sinha’s health. cies in a chopper that’s parked in government at the Centre will be no get of winning all 42 seats in West when it comes to Lok Sabha seats to come again next week ahead of of TV channels, is spearheading the
Cyclone Fani, that hit the Odisha the grounds where she addresses good, we need a strong leader at the Bengal. BJP President Amit Shah from West Bengal. Nothing more.” the two final phases. According to coalition work. In the process, she
coasts early morning, washed out gatherings up to 8,000-10,000. Add top and Modi is the answer.” had recently projected 23 out of 42 While political analysts pointed TMC partymen, there’s no match doesn’t miss her twice a day exercise
the election campaign rosters in to that 35 padyatras. Besides a heli- for his party in the state. If that hap- out that BJP’s Bengal vote share between Didi’s connect with people regime — 90 minutes on the tread-
West Bengal as well, giving some copter for Banerjee, two more are The numbers don’t match pens, the BJP would add 21 to its could increase from around 17 per and that of Modi and Shah, who mill and a round of brisk walk. A fr-
free time to political managers in a state of readiness all the time. O’Brien doesn’t want to get into the current kitty of two in the state. cent in 2014, they argued it’s being don’t know the language of the ugal eater, Didi loves her muri, and
who’ve been working 24x7. But One for Abhishek Banerjee, TMC numbers on how many seats TMC In the 2014 Lok Sabha elections, over-ambitious on the number of majority in the state. Banerjee and can do with very few hours of sleep,
Banerjee, who too cancelled her MP from Diamond Harbour con- and BJP could win. “I’m not a TMC won 34 seats, Congress four, seats. BJP could well get the seats Modi make it a point to hit out at a quality that she shares with her
campaigns, rallies and public meet- stituency and the CM’s nephew; psephologist,” he said, adding, ‘’BJP BJP two and CPI(M) two. “Let’s that Congress and CPI(M) had got each other in their election speech- biggest rival, the PM.

Will replace GST


POLL WRAP
Poll panel gives clean chit to
PM in two more speeches
Congress leaders to take general with GST 2.0:
Chidambaram
The Election Commission (EC) concluded on Friday that Prime
Minister Narendra Modi did not violate the model code or its
advisory on armed forces in his speech in Varanasi. It also found
nothing wrong in his comments made in Nanded, Maharashtra
coaches to spread NYAY message
ARCHIS MOHAN on party surveys that showed that
SIDDHARTH KALHANS
Maharajganj, 3 May

“In the ongoing campaign for


where he reportedly dubbed the Congress as a ‘sinking Titanic’. New Delhi, 3 May Rahul Gandhi’s popularity and accept- the Lok Sabha elections, only
With this, the EC has decided on five complaints against Modi ance is much more than Modi in south- the Congress manifesto is in

A
and gave him a clean chit in all matters. “In a matter related to a s the Hindi heartland prepares ern India. However, that is not the case talks. Not even Prime
complaint concerning alleged violations of advisories of the for the fifth phase of polling on in northern India states, where the PM Minister Narendra Modi or
Commission and Model Code of Conduct, in a speech delivered by Monday, the Congress has remains popular. any Bharatiya Janata Party
Narendra Modi at Nanded, Maharashtra on April 6, a detailed nuanced its campaign tactics to make In Bharatpur, Rahul Gandhi (BJP) leader is talking about
report of the Chief Electoral Officer, Maharashtra was obtained. it appear less of a contest between accused the PM of deceiving youths by their own manifesto,” former
The matter has been examined in detail ... no such violation of Prime Minister Narendra Modi and promising 20 million jobs and leaving Union finance minister P
the extant advisories/provisions is attracted,” the EC said. PTI party chief Rahul Gandhi. It has also them unemployed. "Forget about Rs 15 Chidambaram said at a rally
decided to sidestep the BJP’s core plank lakh in bank accounts, he (Modi) did in Maharajganj, where he was
of nationalism to focus on issues of not deposit even Rs 5. He thinks that addressing an election cam-
Biopic on PM Defamation unemployment and farm distress.
The Congress leadership is set to
people of the country do not under-
stand anything. He kept assuring that
paign for the first time.
At the campaign for
Modi to release complaint filed travel in unreserved compartments in
trains heading to and from some of the
money will come in bank accounts he
had opened," Gandhi said.
Congress candidate Supriya
Shrinate, Chidambaram said
on May 24 now against Kejriwal poll-bound states, particularly Madhya In a letter written in Hindi, the if voted to power, the current
The makers of Vivek Oberoi- Pradesh, next week to spread the mes- Congress president made an emotional form of GST will be replaced
starrer biopic on Prime sage of its key promise of ‘Nyay’ or min- Congress leader Priyanka Gandhi Vadra urged the PM to protect farmers PTI appeal to the voters of Amethi urging with a more simplified GST
Minister Narendra Modi imum income guarantee of ~72,000 a them to re-elect him and promising to 2.0, where liberal tax rates
Friday announced that the year to 20 per cent of India’s poorest fifth phase across seven states ends on dynastic leadership of the Congress. give momentum to the development will suit the business com-
film will be released families. Saturday evening. Congress leaders, In terms of seats going to the polls, works in his Lok Sabha constituency munity. There would be one
countrywide on May 24, a day Addressing a rally in Rajasthan’s including party chief Rahul Gandhi it is the smallest of the seven phases. "blocked" by the BJP government. simple return every three
after the results of the Lok A man, claiming to be a BJP Bharatpur district on Friday, Rahul and general secretary Priyanka Gandhi, Seats in Bihar, Jammu and Kashmir, Taking a dig at Rahul Gandhi, months for the businessmen
Sabha elections are declared. member, has filed a criminal Gandhi in a reference to the Jan Dhan kept focus on issues that had brought Uttar Pradesh, Jharkhand, Madhya Finance Minister Arun Jaitley on Frid- in the GST 2.0. Like the Saral
The film, titled PM Narendra complaint against Delhi Chief Yojana said the Congress would the party victories in the Pradesh, Rajasthan and West ay wondered how the Congress presi- form for Income Tax there
Modi, was earlier set to Minister Arvind Kejriwal deposit ~72,000 annually in the peo- December Assembly polls in Bengal will have polling in this dent could damage the image of would be Saral GST in the
release on April 11 but was before a city court for ple's bank accounts “opened” by Prime Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan phase. In 2014, the BJP had Prime Minister Modi who is riding on Congress regime.
banned by the Election allegedly defaming the Minister Modi. and Chhattisgarh. swept most of these seats. the peak of his popularity. The Addressing the NYAY
Commission. In its order last saffron party leaders. In Rae Bareli, Congress leader The BJP leadership spent Congress sources said the dynasts have self-illusionary opinion samwad in eastern UP,
month, the EC had banned Additional Chief Metropolitan Priyanka Gandhi Vadra advised the PM the day targeting the Gandhi party has changed its campaign about themselves and tend to become Chidambaram said the
the screening of film during Magistrate Samar Vishal put to protect the fields of farmers. “You family since Amethi and Rae POLL tactics as the elections has megalomaniacs, he said adding Congress brought Right to
the poll period, saying any up the matter for hearing on are protecting people from Pakistan’s Bareli Lok Sabha seats, consid- VAULT entered the north Indian states. "Rahul Gandhi is no exception", he Education, Right to Food,
such film that subserves May 16. The complainant has aggression. This is a big achievement. ered strongholds of the family, 2019 In southern India, where the stated in a blog. Right to Information and
purpose of any political entity alleged that his and his Everyone is happy. But you should also go to polls on Monday. The BJP election is now over, the In New Delhi, BJP leader Piyush MNREGA, and now it will
or individual should not be party's reputation was protect the fields of farmers. That is leaders kept the debate centred Congress had portrayed its party Goyal said Rahul Gandhi will lose from ensure that every poor gets
displayed in the electronic dented by a defamatory nationalism as well,” she said. on the leadership of Prime Minister chief Rahul Gandhi as a more able and Amethi as he has not done any devel- ~72,000 per annum as finan-
media. BS REPORTER tweet made by Kejriwal in The campaigning for 51 seats in the Narendra Modi and criticised the tolerant leader than Modi. This is based opment work there. cial assistance.
September last year. PTI
VVPAT case: SC to
hear Oppn leaders’
plea next week
Submit expense
details in 90 days, Till Phase 6, number of women in fray crosses 600
EC tells MNS SACHIN P MAMPATTA
Mumbai, 3 May
Democratic Reforms (ADR)
and released on Friday.
A LONG WAY TO GO report. A total of 11 candidates
have cases related to hate
has declared zero assets.
But the overall proportion
n % of women candidates n % of candidates with criminal cases
The Maharashtra Navnirman Some couldn’t be analysed speech against them. of candidates with assets of
n % of candidates with assets of at least one crore rupees
Sena (MNS) has been asked to Data on candidate details up because of incompleteness or Candidates with assets of more than ~1 crore is 32 per
submit details within 90 days to the sixth phase of Lok Sabha unavailability of properly sca- 32 27 33 28 32 more than ~1 crore outnumber cent in phase six (311 in num-
of expenses incurred on the polls has revealed that the nned documents. The figure is 25 both women and those with ber). There are 2,018 such can-
23
election rallies of its president number of women candidates based on analysed affidavits. 21 20 criminal records. didates so far in the first six
17 19
The Supreme Court on Friday Raj Thackeray.An election has risen to 617. The proportion of women can- 16 The average assets of can- phases of elections. They acco-
agreed to hear next week a official said the notice for The total number of didates has actually dipped in 12 didates for the sixth phase of unt for 29 per cent of all candi-
review plea filed by 21 submission of election women candidates for this the sixth phase. It is down to 9 10 9 elections is ~3.41 crore. The dates, across phases. They
7 8
Opposition leaders seeking expenditure was issued after phase is 83. Polling for phase nine per cent compared to 12 richest candidate is the include members from the
further increase in random consultations with the six will take place on May 12 per cent in phase five. Candi- Congress’ Jyotiraditya Scindia BJP, the Congress, Bahujan
matching of VVPAT slips with Election Commission while the earlier phase (fifth) dates with criminal cases con- with assets worth ~374 crore. Samaj Party (BSP) and Aam
EVMs in the ongoing general following a complaint from is on May 6. tinue to outnumber women. In Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3 Phase 4 Phase 5 Phase 6 This is followed by former Aadmi Party (AAP).
elections. The apex court had the BJP demanding that The total number of candi- fact, twice the proportion of Source: The National Election Watch and Association for Democratic Reforms (ADR) cricketer Gautam Gambhir “Among the major parties,
on April 8 directed the expenditure incurred on MNS dates for phase six is 979. Of phase six candidates have (BJP candidate) with assets of 46 of the 54 candidates from
Election Commission to rallies be shown in the this, the affidavits of 967 can- criminal cases against them. Six candidates have cases against women. This includes ~147 crore. Virender Rana from BJP, 37 of the 46 candidates
increase random matching of accounts of opposition didates have been analysed in This is consistent with ear- related to murder, 25 have cas- assault or crime to outrage the Haryana’s Gurgaon con- from Congress, 31 out of the 49
Voter Verifiable Paper Audit candidates in the nine Lok a report prepared by non-gov- lier rounds of polls. Those with es of attempt to murder and modest of a woman and cru- stituency is third with assets candidates from BSP, and 71
Trail slips with EVMs in five Sabha constituencies where ernmental organisations the criminal cases against them five related to kidnapping in elty. “Two candidates have of ~102 crore. One candidate, Independent candidates have
polling booths per assembly Raj Thackeray addressed National Election Watch as account for 19 per cent of the phase six. Twenty one candi- declared cases related to rape Rajib Mahato, from the Purulia declared assets worth more
segment from one booth. PTI rallies. PTI well as Association for candidates across phases. dates have cases of crime (IPC Section 376),” noted the constituency in West Bengal, than ~1 crore,” said the report.

SP banks on ‘boatman’ to upset Ravi Kishan in Yogi’s bastion


ADITI PHADNIS struggle for the Nishad community is an upscale mall and is decked up like a be known as the biggest actor in to his electorate, along with a place of
Gorakhpur, 3 May the right to ‘samman’ (self-respect),” wedding hall complete with huge Bhojpuri cinema. He has done a stint pride to actors and ‘kalakars’. “We are
says Ram Bhuyal. A crowd of burly wreaths of paper roses and carnations in Big Boss and has made his way into creative people. We are artists. I am
Walking into the campaign men standing around shout in in lurid colours. A crowd of — mostly Hindi, Telugu and Tamil industries. determined to counter the campaign
headquarters of Ram Bhuyal Nishad, agreement. — young volunteers trails after him. He could have lived anywhere, had that we are just ‘naachne gaane
Samajwadi Party (SP) candidate for Ram Bhuyal, called ‘mantriji’ by He looks exhausted and puffs out his anything… why the hot, dusty and wallah”. He says. “Not everyone can
the Gorakhpur Lok Sabha seat, at 7 am dint of the fact that he was made cheeks and exhales when the local exhausting business of politics and be a doctor or an engineer or an IAS
is slightly unsettling. The venue is minister for fisheries in the Mayawati MLA and his minder, Radhakrishna elections? From him it doesn’t sound officer. Any form of art is a job. Actors
someone’s vacant home. The air is government when she was the chief Das Aggarwal chides him about all the like a cliché. “I don’t know politics, are sensitive people. They are not
thick with the smell of stale sweat. minister, has been in both the SP and things that are wrong with his only the pain of the people. I am a brainless, as people often think.”
Scores of men can be seen rushing in the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP). He campaign. “You must get back into country boy. I wanted to give His campaign punchline is:
and out of toilets in various stages of knows the structure as well as the the city before 6 pm. That way you can something back,” he breathes. What is “Zindagi jhund ba! Gathbandhan ke
undress. There are no working of the two groups intimately. meet people and supporters in the he? A millionaire? A billionaire? And mooh band ba’ (life is a mess/and the
women. He is keen to talk but his workers say it city, instead of wasting your time doing this? He nods to both. Grand Alliance has its mouth shut). It
The Nishad (boatmen) is time to go — as he strides out of the lurching around in the dark in the “Somewhere along the line, I felt I was leaves BJP workers a bit confused and
community is nearly room, he flags political issues: the new villages,” Aggarwal is telling him. He getting lost. Thanks to a great man like bewildered (“is ‘jhund’ even a word,”
300,000-strong in All India Institute of Medical Sciences looks at the milling crowds, briefly Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath, I one of them asked another). But the
Gorakhpur. “Their job? (AIIMS) is nothing more than a shuts his eyes, and then squaring his found my way,” he says. Yogi people roar in approval. “Everyone
They fish by day and drink useless pile of bricks (not quite true, as shoulder, invites Business Standard to Adityanath didn’t deign to attend his wants a piece of me,” Kishan says in a
by night,” says an upper the OPD is already functional) and in an ante room for an interview. nomination. “But his blessings are sudden panic. “They want my hands,
caste Bharatiya Janata Party any case it is there only because of the The anteroom soon fills up with with me. He will be coming here to my clothes, my shoes… they’re
(BJP) leader, guffawing. The grace of Akhilesh Yadav, the SP people but he ignores them. He got to campaign for me,” he says. touching me, feeling my presence.”
Nishads consider themselves president and former chief minister know on April 14 that he was the BJP Kishan may have his heart in the But when asked about what the
Scheduled Caste, though they are who sanctioned land for it. He is nominee for the Gorakhpur seat and right place but he is seen by the BJP Nishad community might feel about
counted as Other Backward Class bundled into a waiting vehicle by a left shooting in Kochi (with Mr workers as an object of some him, his reply is pure politics. He
(OBC) which puts them in the same crowd of fierce-looking men and Bachchan and Chiranjeevi Sir) to do amusement. When he moved into stands up and says grandly: “I am an
category as the Yadavs. Socially they driven off to a meeting. ‘seva’ in Gorakhpur. He began life as temporary digs after he started his actor. I have no caste”.
Ravi Kishan (centre) may have his heart in the are far lower on the caste ladder than By contrast, Ravi Kishan, Bhojpuri an actor in Ramleela (he played Sita) campaign, he insisted that state of the
right place but many BJP workers see him as an the Yadavs. and Hindi film actor, strolls in wafting in his home town of Jaunpur in 1991 art gym equipment be installed in a
object of some amusement. (Inset) Gorakhpur SP In the room, there is no difference a cloud of some exotic after-shave. His and then, from small film parts, was spare room. He is a fanatic about
ISSUES AND INSIGHTS P8
candidate Ram Bhuyal Nishad PHOTO: ADITI PHADNIS of opinion on one issue: ‘The biggest campaign office is in the basement of offered bigger roles until he came to working out. And gyms are a promise > WHY THE HYV MATTERS IN UP POLITICS

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MUMBAI | 4 MAY 2019 ECONOMY & PUBLIC AFFAIRS 17 <

A journey down the Ganga in the age of Modi


He is seeking a second five-year term in elections this month, but voters on the country’s holiest waterway have doubts
BLOOMBERG about road construction in such moun- Manish Dubey, 39, a senior BJP official, tion, Nirmala Gupta, 60, stood on a heap of
3 May tainous terrain. Flash floods in 2013 killed was keen to show off the roads that had rubble trying to come to terms with the
more than 5,000 people in Uttarakhand, been widened for the Kumbh, which end- demise of the home she was married into
he is said to have descended to Earth and the authority fears a repeat. Some 2,500 ed in March. 40 years before. She is no longer a Modi

S to release humankind from suffer-


ing, a gift from the creator Brahma.
Every Hindu in India learns the story of
families facing displacement as a result of
the construction began a general strike in
December. Their battle continues in the
An engineer by profession, Dubey quit
his job with Alstom SA to join the BJP and
help secure Modi’s victory in 2014. He’s
supporter. “We never thought such a thing
could happen, that the government goes
out of its way to destroy such an ancient
the goddess Ganga and the medicinal qual- courts. part of the team working on Modi’s reelec- neighborhood,” she said. “One day they
ities of her waters. And every dying Hindu “So much should have changed after tion campaign. Modi’s appeal helped the spoke about it, the next they turned up with
is given a few drops from the Ganges River the floods,” Kesar Singh Panwar, 53, said by BJP to sweep 71 of the 78 seats it contested bulldozers. We’ve been living without
to free the soul from the cycle of life and the river’s banks. He lost his home in the in Uttar Pradesh. Dubey expects a repeat sewage or water connections for the last 10
death. Narendra Modi’s first act on taking 2013 flooding and has challenged the gov- win based on Modi’s handling of attacks in days now. But they say it will make life eas-
charge as prime minister in 2014 was to ernment’s development plans in court. He February on Indians in Kashmir, the dis- ier for worshippers.”
worship India’s holies t— and arguably its supports Modi but thinks he has bad advis- puted territory also claimed by Pakistan. Loaded coal wagons crossed the rice-
most polluted—watercourse. “Mother ers. “We should have ensured policies that The arrangements at the Kumbh might growing flatlands of Bihar along the Sone,
Ganga needs someone to take her out of this protect the Himalayas and the Ganga.” also help. one of the Ganges’s biggest tributaries.
dirt,” Modi declared from his electoral dis- Instead, he said, dam-building and cutting Modi chose the next stop on the river, Bihar and Jharkhand are known as India’s
trict of Varanasi as millions watched on tel- into the mountains continue unabated. Varanasi, as his constituency in 2014, win- mineral-rich states, yet they’re among the
evision, “and she’s chosen me for the job.” “That’s very, very dangerous.” ning with a huge majority. The seat has poorest financially. Bihar has barely 1.5 per
From its origins in the Himalayas to the Whoever wins India’s elections will have been solidly BJP since 2009. Known for cent of India’s industries. Unemployment
Bay of Bengal, the Ganges flows for 1,570 to confront the trade-offs required to devel- millennia as Kashi to Hindus, it is one of the is 11.6 per cent, compared with India’s aver-
miles through five of India’s most popu- op the country and meet its potential. most important Hindu shrines. “The city’s age of 7.1 per cent; in Jharkhand, it’s 14 per
lous states. A place of worship, a source of Dams on the Ganges generate 4,900 modernisation before the Kumbh may cent. Both are strongholds of the BJP or its
livelihoods, of water, power, and transport: megawatts of power, enough to supply New have angered a few locals, but will translate affiliates. As infrastructure demand grows,
It is all of those and more. As Modi seeks a Delhi, while 97 cities and towns use its into votes for the prime minister’s party developers are dredging more sand from
second term in elections that began in April water. Some 11 billion litres of industrial because it shows they can take hard deci- rivers like the Ganges and the Sone to use
and stretch through mid-May, a journey waste and effluent is discharged back into sions,” he said. for building.
along the river’s course offers a chance to the river each day, the equivalent of 4,400 Narendra Modi’s first act on taking charge as prime minister in 2014 was to worship Modi promised ~20,000 crore to clean Lack of work is the reason, said
appraise his impact on India’s heartland, Olympic-size swimming pools. India’s holies t— and arguably its most polluted — watercourse the Ganges, to be supplied from state funds Rampyari Devi, 70, sitting in the courtyard
and assess how voters judge his record. Tourism has become an economic and donations from devout Hindus world- of her mud and wood home. “Farming
At one level, Modi’s popularity seems mainstay. Uttarkashi, a town of 17,000 on his credentials as a staunch Hindu leader. They appealed against the closures all wide. As of December, less than 20 per cent doesn’t pay in India,” she said. “My hus-
largely intact, with little evidence of a the river’s upper reaches, was once where “But Modi has disappointed us.” the way up to the Indian trade ministry in of the ~240 crore received in donations had band worked in Mumbai and Delhi as a
groundswell of support for the opposition people went after renouncing the world. It The change in topography from moun- Delhi, to no avail. Now he fears the govern- been spent, according to The Wire. In a daily-wage worker for years. I raised the
Congress led by Rahul Gandhi, yet the low- doesn’t seem ready for the influx of tourists tains to the Ganges plains is abrupt, open- ment wants them closed for good. “We are recent report, India’s pollution monitoring kids by myself. I want to ask Modi, ‘Should
er castes and Muslims who together make the government plans. No hotel has more ing up into a vista of roads lined with easier to target because we are weak,” he agency found the river is relatively clean in my sons and grandsons have to do the
up one-third of the country’s 1.3 billion than one star; many sell hot water by the banyans and Indian fig trees, or peepuls. said. “Only two communities touch leather only one of 39 locations it tested. same?’ ” To the south, on the Ganges delta,
population are growing increasingly critical bucket. There was a power cut when we Kanpur is the first big industrial town in India, we Muslims and the Dalits, or low- Vishwambhar Nath Mishra, an engi- Kolkata was India’s capital during the
as they feel sidelined by Modi’s Hindu visited. Hotel owners are adding rooms after the river descends into Uttar Pradesh, er castes. Now so many people have lost neer and professor at the city’s Banaras British Raj but saw its importance fade as
nationalist party. regardless. India’s most populous state and a key elec- their livelihoods.” Hindu University, is also a Brahman and power shifted to Delhi. Kolkata is the capi-
What seems clear is the “Modi wave” The transformation of the Ganges from tion battleground. Kanpur’s tanneries have been in the high priest at the Sankat Mochan tal of West Bengal state, a target for the BJP
that helped him win India’s biggest man- a spiritual journey to an economic resource A couple of workers whitewashed the legal sights for more than three decades. Hanuman temple, one of the most revered as it seeks to expand its power eastward.
date in three decades on a pledge of jobs, is arguably the story of Modi’s new India. walls of the empty courtyard enclosing India’s Supreme Court first ordered they in Varanasi. The temple foundation runs a The city is the most important port for
economic development and ending cor- His critics say Modi’s focus on cosmetic Naiyer Jamal’s factory, where the 61-year- set up a sewage treatment plant in 1985 laboratory that tests for fecal coliform bac- the state-owned Inland Waterways
ruption is absent this time around. changes — building Himalayan highways old sat in his office drinking tea with a half- after chromium and metals from the fac- teria, science that Vishwambhar Mishra, Authority of India, and so key to govern-
When it tumbles down from its source and sprucing up riverbanks instead of tack- dozen Muslim men. The idle plant and tories were found to be contaminating the like his father before him, uses to press for ment plans to turn the lower Ganges into a
in the Himalayan glaciers, the Ganges is ling the deeper challenges facing the more endless rounds of chai have been their dai- Ganges. The tanneries say poor sewage a cleaner Ganges. national waterway for cargo. Shipping is
pristine. But any sense of purity at the great than 400 million people of the Ganges ly routine since December, when the state treatment and not their effluent is to blame. At his sprawling home on the banks of cheaper than transport by rail or road. Yet
river’s main headstream, the Bhagirathi, basin, from jobs to child malnutrition — government shut down all 256 of Kanpur’s In 2014, many Muslims in Uttar Pradesh the Ganges, Mishra cited data showing that building barrages and deepening river drafts
was lost as road rollers, earth movers, and reflects his politics. The dissonance tanneries. supported Modi for his development agen- 85 per cent to 90 per cent of the river’s prob- threaten the alligators, turtles, and dolphins
scores of workers in yellow helmets crashed between campaign promises and imple- Uttar Pradesh’s Chief Minister Yogi da. Now, watching their industry die, none lems are caused by raw sewage disposal. that inhabit this part of the Ganges, say envi-
rubble and boulders down the mountain- mentation was a recurring theme on the Adityanath ordered them shut before the of those interviewed in Kanpur, tannery City sewers along the river’s course are the ronmentalists. Shipmaster Kanhai Debnath,
side. They were widening the road to allow journey. Ardh Kumbh festival, when millions bathe owners or employees, planned to give him chief culprit, with “uncontrolled develop- 38, who has worked at the Waterways
cars to reach four iconic Hindu temples in Downstream at Haridwar, a city of more in the confluence of the Ganges and their vote. ment” also a concern. “People now say that Authority for a decade, sees the develop-
Uttarakhand, a state run by Modi’s than 300,000, a cow roamed the yard of Yamuna rivers on days considered auspi- The plains turned greener and the call of the Ganga is cleaner,” he said. “I say her ment as a chance to return jobs and prestige
Bharatiya Janata Party and assumed to the Matri Sadan ashram, a Hindu retreat. cious according to the Hindu lunar calen- the cuckoo announced the arrival of eastern condition has further worsened.” In reality, to Kolkata. Steering his ship down the river,
have voted the prime minister’s way in the Swami Shivanand Saraswati, Matri dar. Kanpur’s leather industry is worth Uttar Pradesh, where tall bamboo, teak, “all that’s needed is that we not treat Ganga he said the authority is doing more busi-
first phase of India’s seven-stage election. Sadan’s founder, complained the govern- some 480 billion rupees ($7 billion) a year. and mango trees lined the highways. The as a dustbin.” Modi’s supporters are vocal, ness under Modi. The government has
The Modi government initiated the 560- ment wasn’t serious about finding a solu- Past governments shut Kanpur’s tanner- city of Allahabad, scene of the Kumbh, was said Mishra, but there’s a silent majority ensured the river was dredged, making it
mile Char Dham highway project without tion. “We have given up the world. We have ies for three weeks at most. This year’s clo- freshly painted and newly renamed: It is that has turned against him. easier to navigate. “I have no doubt that
commissioning an environmental impact nothing left to lose but our lives,” he said. sure of four months and counting is now Prayagraj, returned to its Hindu roots Progress in Varanasi, as in Prayagraj, things have gotten better,” he said.
assessment, despite concerns raised by the He and other sadhus, or holy men, had unprecedented and has already cost mil- in October by the state’s chief minister, Yogi means clearing the way to temples. Outside
National Disaster Management Authority great hopes for Modi in 2014, counting on lions of dollars, said Jamal. Adityanath, a leading light of Modi’s BJP. one of the houses scheduled for demoli- With assistance by Evan Applegate

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18
>
MUMBAI | 4 MAY 2019 1

After killing 8 in Odisha, Fani hits Bengal Avengers:Endgame


beatsInfinityWar
> UPDATES

Over ~1,000 cr released


collectionsinIndia
in advance for states URVI MALVANIA ing weekend, joining the
affected by Fani: Modi Mumbai, 3 May ranksofmovieslikeDangal,
Prime Minister PK, and more recently
Narendra Modi Within a week of release, Sanju. These films, howev-
has said over Avengers: Endgame has er, were released in at least
~1,000 crore managed to beat the record 4,000 screens.
had been for the highest-grossing While the anticipation
released in Hollywoodfilminthecoun- for the film, fuelled by
advance for try. With ~266 crore in seven Disney’s marketing efforts
the states days, Endgame, the last has helped the film attract
affected by cyclone Fani. "Lakhs movie in the Marvel footfalls and collections,
of families are affected in the Cinematic Universe’s the rates for tickets for
coastal areas of Odisha, West (MCU) Inifinity Saga, has Endgame also appreciated
Bengal, Andhra Pradesh, Tamil outdone its 2018 predeces- by 20 per cent on an aver-
Nadu, and Puducherry. More sor Avengers: Infinity War age. This was in part due to
than ~1,000 crore have been (~240 crore). the fact that it released it
released in advance," Modi said Endgame was released formats like 3D, 3D IMAX,
at an election rally. in 2,800 screens and was and 3D 4DX which tradi-
the first-ever in India to tionally have a higher tick-
AIIMS PG 2019 exam in have 24x7 screenings in et price. Part of the hike in
Bhubaneswar cancelled: major markets. With shows tickets also came as a
Health Ministry starting at early as 3.30 am, result of the massive
The health ministry announced multiplexes and single demand Endgame saw in
cancellation of Bhubaneswar as a screenssawhugefootfalls.It the first two days of
centre for the AIIMS PG 2019 released in three Indian lan- advance bookings.
examination and launched a guages — Hindi, Tamil, and Online ticketing portal
24x7 helpline number to provide Telugu, apart from English. Bookmyshow sold a million
DILIP SATAPATHY, JAYAJIT DASH, information, assistance and With no major release tickets in a day after open-
NIRMALYA BEHERA & AVISHEK RAKSHIT support. The exam was slotted this week, the film ing bookings. According to
Bhubaneswar/Kolkata, 3 May scheduled on May 5. Another continues to have a clear data provided by fintech
exam will be conducted for those run and the second week- company 2PayLater, there

A
fter killing eight people in affected as soon as normalcy end is expected to bring in was 2x surge in bookings on
Odisha, cyclone Fani will returns, the ministry said. healthy collections as well. the day advance bookings
make a landfall in West Experts believe it will opened (as compared to the
Bengal early on Saturday. Bangladesh evacuates cross ~300 crore in the com- usual traffic).
Fani rolled through Odisha 500,000 people from
packing rain and windstorm that coastal areas
gusted up to 205 kmph after mak- Bangladesh evacuated over
ing a landfall around 8 am in Puri. 500,000 people from its
The storm severely damaged prop- southwestern districts as Cyclone
erty and public infrastructure in 13 Fani is likely to hit the country late
coast districts of the state. Deaths night and cause severe damage
were reported from Puri (3), after ravaging the Indian
Bhubaneswar (3), Kendrapara (1) Fani wreacked havoc on Odisha; commuters suffered due to train and flight cancellations coastlines.
and Nayagarh (1).
The cyclone was almost remi- poles have been ravaged in Puri melled Odisha, neighbouring West Minister Nardendra Modi’s rallies Arrangements in place
niscent of super cyclone of 1999, and Khurda districts. Restoration Bengal braced itself for the fury. in Tamluk and Jhargram have been for non-stop fuel
one of the worst calamities in the of power will take longer than we Even as seven constituencies postponed by a day. supply, says IOC
state’s history, which claimed over anticipated. In Bhubaneswar and from the state runs into the fifth Yogi Adityanath’s rally in Indian Oil Corporation (IOC) on
10,000 lives. Puri, the transmission infrastruc- phase of elections on May 6, the Jamshedpur, scheduled on Friday, Friday said it has made
Casualty was much less this ture needs to be relaid. No assess- state’s Chief Minister and was cancelled. The party’s presi- arrangements to ensure
time compared to 1999 as 1.08 mil- ment of monetary damage has Trinamool Congress (TMC) dent also cancelled three rallies in uninterrupted supply of petrol,
lion people were taken to safer been made yet,” said Hemant supremo Mamata Banerjee chose nearby Jharkhand on the same day diesel, LPG and jet fuel in Odisha
places before the cyclone struck. Sharma, secretary (energy), Odisha to monitor the situation from due to worsening weather. and West Bengal. “In the wake of
Odisha Chief Minister Naveen government. Kharagpur in the West Midnapore East and West Midnapore, both the cyclone Fani making landfall
Patnaik directed authorities to After the withdrawal of the district, a strategic location for North and South 24 Parganas, in Odisha earlier on Friday, IOC is
undertake immediate relief and super cyclone, an assessment was monitoring rescue operations. She Howrah, Hooghly, Jhargram, fully geared up and ensuring
restoration work. carried out by a team of Airports was on her way to a political rally Kolkata, and the Sundarbans are uninterrupted fuel supply from its
Also, mobile towers at many Authority of India (AAI) at in that district before deciding to likely to feel the initial impact of locations in Odisha and West
places were blown away, Bhubaneshwar Airport. The pas- cancel it and stayed back at Fani. Bengal on the east coast,” the Top Hollywood movies at
disrupting telecommunication senger terminal building has been Kharagpur. Flight operations were sus- company said.
services. “All telecom services are considerably damaged. The rooftop “Have cancelled my rallies for pended as Netaji Subhash Chandra
the Indian box office
down in Puri district,” said of ATC Tower has also been blown the next 48 hours because of what International Airport closed Voda Idea initiates AVENGERS: AVENGERS : JUNGLE
Special Relief Commissioner away, affecting VHF Antennas at could be an impending disaster down from 3 pm on May 3 to 8 am contingency measures ENDGAME INFINITYWAR BOOK
Bishnupada Sethi. the rooftop. Alternate ATC arrange- #CyclonicStormFANI. We are mon- on May 4. for Odisha subscribers
Bhubaneswar plunged into ment have been made. Based on itoring the situation 24x7 and doing Railways have cancelled Vodafone Idea on Friday said it ~266 cr ~240 cr ~186 cr
darkness as evening fell. The effect the feedback, it was decided that all it takes. I appeal to all people to over 225 trains anticipating has initiated contingency net after tax net after tax net after tax
has been catastrophic on the low Bhubaneshwar will resume com- cooperate. Be alert, take care and disruptions in operations because measures, including activating (seven days) (lifetime) (lifetime)
tension lines that feed the domes- mercial flight operation from 1 pm stay safe for the next two days,” she of the cyclone and has also put in emergency helpline number and
Note: Typically, a film's lifetime is considered 8 weeks’ run in movie
tic power consumers, an official on May 4. tweeted. place a quick-response team to free SMS, for its customers in halls Source: Industry estimates
said. As Fani, which means head of a The Bharatiya Janta Party also address any exigencies arising out Odisha. AGENCIES
“More than 100,000 electric snake and pronounced foni, pum- called off its rallies. While Prime of the cyclone.

‘Fed might Walmart International chief impressed


have to aim
for inflation with Flipkart’s innovations
above 2%’ PEERZADA ABRAR & value-added services.
KARAN CHOUDHURY These include flexible pick-
REUTERS Bengaluru, 3 May up and drop, instant returns,
Stockholm, 3 May trial room and free alteration
E-commerce major Flipkart on of products.
The Federal Reserve might Friday said that Judith The kiosks will be launched
have to aim for inflation McKenna, president and chief at locations such as tech parks
above 2 per cent to achieve executive officer (CEO) of and large educational institu-
its 2 per cent target, a top Walmart International, is tions aimed at enhancing the
policymaker at the central “impressed” with Flipkart’s online shopping experience for
bank said on Friday. innovation to create world class customers. Myntra is planning
“We had too many under- experiencesforcustomersusing to launch 30 service kiosks
shoots for quite some time. technology. across Bengaluru, Hyderabad,
We’re symmetric and that This included making a big Delhi, Mumbai, Chennai and
means even if it’s going to go difference to the whole ecosys- Kolkata in the first phase.
back up to 2 (per cent), tem, including sellers and McKenna also met ‘kiranas’
because it's unsure, maybe manufacturers across the that are part of Myntra’s unique
we should aim for 2.25 per country. “She is delighted to Myntra Extended Network for
cent to get to 2 per cent,” see Flipkart excelling by lever- Judith McKenna (right) with Myntra head Amar Nagaram Service Augmentation (MEN-
Federal Reserve Bank of aging its homegrown innova- meeting kirana partner of it’s MENSA network SA) network.
Chicago President Charles tions and making the most of During her visit, McKenna
Evans (pictured) said in synergies with Walmart as it Walmart, based in Walmart International, and also met Sameer Nigam, CEO
Stockholm. seeks to bring the next 200 mil- Bentonville, Arkansas, is Leigh Hopkins, international of digital payments company
The US Federal Reserve lion Indian shoppers online,” locked in a fierce battle with strategy and business develop- PhonePe, and his leadership
held interest rates steady on said Flipkart. US rival Amazon for domi- ment head. team. At a townhall with
Wednesday and signaled lit- McKenna visited India for nance in India’s online retail McKenna, along with PhonePe staff, McKenna had
tle appetite to adjust them an internal business trip market. Kalyan Krishnamurthy, CEO, said she appreciated the work
any time soon, taking heart between April 30 and McKenna, who interacted Flipkart group, and Amar the payments company
in continued job gains and May 3 to assess the progress with Flipkart group’s leadership Nagaram, head of Myntra and was doing to “revolutionise”
economic growth and the made by Flipkart since acqui- andemployees,wasalsoaccom- Jabong, unveiled Myntra’s financial payments through
likelihood that weak infla- sition of the company last May panied by Richard Mayfield, first-of-its-kind service kiosk technology, according to
tion will edge higher. for $16 billion. chief financial officer (CFO), that offers shoppers a host of Flipkart.

London top choice for Indian investors: Report


PRESS TRUST OF INDIA projects — a giant leap from the previous expansion and we look forward to wel- Steeley, CEO of AccountScore, one of
London, 3 May year, it said. coming more companies,” said Laura the companies participating in the
“Foreign direct investment (FDI) Citron, CEO of London & Partners, who trade mission next week.
London emerged as the top choice for from India into London increased by will be leading a four-day trade mission Nadia Sood, founder and CEO of
Indian investors ahead of other cities 255 per cent from 2017 to India from Monday. Credit Enable, another participating
such as Dubai and Singapore, with to 2018. And, invest- The L&P’s trade dele- company, added: “India is bubbling over
investments by Indian companies in the ment into the UK from Indian companies gation, comprising some with opportunity, promise and above
British capital reaching an all-time high India grew by over 100 choosing to invest of London’s fastest all, entrepreneurial talent”.
last year, according to a new analysis. per cent compared with and expand in growing fintech and According to the latest data, over the
The UK emerged as the top most the previous year, with London reached an enterprise tech firms, past 10 years, Indian companies have
country to attract Indian FDI with London accounting for all-time high in will cover Mumbai, added £2.49 billion in capital expendi-
52 projects, ahead of the US (51) and the over 60 per cent of all 2018, with 32 Bengaluru and Chennai ture and created over 5,691 new jobs for
UAE (32), in 2018, said London & Indian investment into investment projects as part of the Mayor of London’s economy.
Partners (L&P), the Mayor of London's the UK in 2018,” notes London’s International Some of India’s fastest growing
promotional agency, in the new analysis the analysis, based on Business Programme. companies have also announced
released on Friday. fDi Markets and fDi Intelligence data. “India and London share strengths in investments in the British capital in
Indian companies choosing to invest “We’re delighted that a record num- financial services and technology, 2018, including taxi hailing firm Ola
and expand in London reached an all- ber of Indian businesses have chosen making India a natural market for our and more recently Indian hospitality
time high last year, with 32 investment London as a base for their international international growth,” said Emma firm OYO.

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