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Top Five Digital Consumer

Trends in 2018
February 2018
Michelle Evans, Global Head of Digital Consumer Research
INTRODUCTION 2

Euromonitor International

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INTRODUCTION 3

About the speaker

Michelle Evans
Global Head of Digital Consumer Research
Euromonitor International

Industry Expertise
At Euromonitor, Michelle oversees the company’s digital
consumer research to provide actionable insights into how
technology is reshaping commerce. Recognized as a thought
leader in digital commerce, she was named to Innotribe’s Power
Women in Fintech in 2015, Asian Entrepreneur's Women on Top
in Tech in 2016 and to Remodista’s Women2Watch in 2018. She
regularly shares her expertise across industry events whether as
a speaker, chairperson or juror and authors a biweekly column
for Forbes.

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4

3.6 billion
Global internet users as of 2018,
53%
Connected consumers reporting
which equates to nearly half of they would be lost without said
the population being online internet access

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5

The constant
innovation driven by
technology has inspired
a number of
megatrends
that are reshaping the
world.

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6 6

Connected Shopping Experience


Consumers Reinvented More

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28%
Connected consumers use a
24%
Connected consumers use a
phone to compare prices in store phone on a weekly basis for
on at least a weekly basis buying a good or service

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INTRODUCTION 8

The five most impactful tech-driven trends


that will reshape commerce in 2018

1. 2. 3. 4. 5.
Digital life Data as the new Keeping the tab Mobile wallets Outlets will get
converges in currency open going global their tech
super apps injection

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1.
Digital life converges in
super apps

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DIGITAL LIFE CONVERGES IN SUPER APPS 10

Mobile apps were first developed around


individual activities

Most Popular Mobile Phone Activities, 2017


Browse the internet
Send and receive emails
Send a text message
Use of a messaging app
Visit a social networking site
Take a photo or video
Watch a TV or video
Stream music online
Read reviews
Compare prices in store
Use health or fitness app
In-store mobile payment
Buy an item or service
Order foodservice online
Control appliances

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%


% of Online Respondents

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Utility Lifestyle

Financial

Retail Communication

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DIGITAL LIFE CONVERGES IN SUPER APPS 12

Opportunities for stakeholders across


commerce ecosystem

Manufacturers
Connect with consumers in more authentic ways to engage and serve

Merchants
Target consumers in new ways to increase foot traffic and drive conversion

Payment Networks
Reap benefits from an increase in digital payments due to cards being
preloaded in platforms

Consumer
Experience a more convenient and enhanced commerce interaction

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13

China shows the world where the


internet is going

Chinese super apps, such as WeChat, have expanded beyond the


protection of the great firewall, giving others a glimpse of what
seamless integration across channels and platforms looks like.

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DIGITAL LIFE CONVERGES IN SUPER APPS 14

WeChat is the posterchild for super app


revolution

Top Social Media Websites in China


WeChat

QQ

Q Zone

Sina Weibo

Youku/Tudou

Baidu Tieba

Meipai

MOMO

LinkedIn

Douban
2017 2016
0 200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000
Active Number of Monthly Users Mid-Year (‘000 Persons)

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DIGITAL LIFE CONVERGES IN SUPER APPS 15

Western tech titans are making strides


toward the super app

Alphabet
• Communication: Gmail, Google Plus
• Financial: Google Pay
• Lifestyle: YouTube
• Retail: Google Search, Google Express, Google Shopping
• Utility: Google Maps, Google Assistant, Google Drive, Google Translate

Apple
• Communication: Mail
• Financial: Apple Pay
• Lifestyle: iTunes
• Retail: Apple Pay
• Utility: Apple Maps, AirDrop

Facebook
• Communication: Facebook, Facebook Messenger, WhatsApp
• Financial: Facebook Messenger (P2P payments)
• Lifestyle: Facebook Timeline
• Retail: Marketplace, Order Food, Facebook Messenger Chatbots
• Utility: Facebook Events Calendar and Weather

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China A Tale of Two Markets:


US and China

Old habits die hard

Mobile-first mentality

US S-commerce sophistication

New ways of saying “Hello”

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DIGITAL LIFE CONVERGES IN SUPER APPS 17

Implications of super apps on players across


the commerce ecosystem

Who owns the Evolving Acceleration of


A new breed of
consumer consumer the digital
competitors
relationship expectations transformation

Tech companies could Growing app


Competitors may no Companies are being
become intermediaries integration would likely
longer come from judged on the last
in more consumer accelerate the shift
one’s core category or great experience the
transactions and thus toward digital channels
industry as new types consumer had with a
control the end-user for all steps in the path
of players emerge brand
relationship to purchase

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2.
Data as the new currency

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DATA AS THE NEW CURRENCY 19

Data has emerged as the world’s most


valuable commodity

Most Valuable Companies in the US, 1967 Most Valuable Companies in the US, 2017
1) IBM 1) Apple

2) AT&T 2) Alphabet

3) Eastman Kodak 3) Microsoft

4) General Motors 4) Amazon

5) Standard Oil of NJ 5) Facebook

6) Texaco 6) Berkshire Hathaway

7) Sears, Roebuck 7) Johnson & Johnson

8) General Electric 8) Exxon Mobil

9) Polaroid 9) JP Morgan Chase

10) Gulf Oil 10) Wells Fargo & Co.


Source: Forbes
Note: 2017 rankings as of November. 1967 rankings were adjusted for inflation.
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DATA AS THE NEW CURRENCY 20

Consumers expect brands to craft


individually tailored stories

Desires to be Distinct from Others, 2017

Baby Boomers

Generation X

Millennials

Generation Z

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Strongly agree Agree Neither agree nor disagree Disagree Strongly disagree

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DATA AS THE NEW CURRENCY 21

Tech plays a key role in enabling brands to


craft the story of one

Machine learning
• About: Teaches itself with minimal programming
• Example: Marketers can use it to determine the best time to send emails to customers

Image recognition
• About: Recognises patterns in images
• Example: Enable brands and retailers to curate search results for individual consumers

Cluster analysis
• About: Organises mounds of data into insights
• Example: Marketers could leverage for more effective customer segmentations

Natural language processing


• About: Interpret what people are saying in words or text
• Example: Companies could automate the customer service experience of the future

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Empower store Providing the Improving


associates personal touch recommendations

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Beauty giant L’Oréal sells a connected The high-tech brush transmits this data to a mobile
hairbrush that analyses the user’s hair, app, which provides the user with a quality score
including the force used when brushing, as well and ranking as well as offers hair tips and
as the number of strokes taken. personalised product suggestions.
24

Dynamic Yield’s technology leverages machine Brands could leverage these segments to better
learning to build customer personas based on match customers to the products they are most likely
data points like geo-specific events, on-site to use or to prevent limited stock from being
interactions and purchasing behaviour. promoted to shoppers who frequently return items.
DATA AS THE NEW CURRENCY 25

Concerns regarding data privacy continue to


plague digital uptake

Attitudes Towards the Internet Among Global Consumers, 2017

I would be lost without internet access

Targeted ads are an invasion of privacy

It is important to cultivate my personal brand online

I prefer to communicate online rather than face to face

I freely share personal information online

Using the internet adds a great deal to my daily stress

0 20 40 60 80 100
% Online Respondents

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DATA AS THE NEW CURRENCY 26

The European Union’s sweeping privacy laws


have global implications

Key Aspects of the European Union’s General Data Protection Regulation

Tougher requirements for obtaining consent for collecting personal data

Requires a company to delete data if it is no longer used for the purpose it was collected

Requires a company to delete data if the individual revokes consent

Requires companies to notify the EU government of data breaches within 72 hours of learning about
the breach

Firms handling significant amounts of sensitive data will be required to appoint a data protection
officer

Fines of up to EUR20m or 4% of a company’s global revenue for non-compliance

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27

3.
Keeping the tab open

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KEEPING THE TAB OPEN 28

Digital boosts old-time


subscription models

Surprise
Long-term
subscription
leasing
boxes

Short-term Regular
access supplies

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Subscription Service Use by Generation,


2017

Millennials

Generation Z

Many subscription
services were born in Generation X

the last decade


Baby Boomers

0% 50% 100%
% Online Respondents

Currently use a subscription service


Have used a subscription service in the past
Have never used a subscription service

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KEEPING THE TAB OPEN 30

How the subscription business model


benefits both sides

WHAT’S IN IT FOR THE CONSUMER?

Guarantee
revenue Convenience
stream

Attract new Build direct Experiential


Value
consumers relationships consumption
What’s in it What’s in it
for the for the
business? consumer?

Encourage
Build data on Premium
consumer Community
consumers offers
loyalty

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Per Capita Spend on Digital Streaming


Services, 2017 / 2022

US

United Arab Emirates

UK

France

Subscriptions reinvent Australia

areas of consumption Japan

like entertainment South Korea

Canada

Germany

China

0 20 40 60 80 100
Digital streaming services, USD

2017 2022

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Device Ownership, 2016 / 2017

Smartphone

Laptop computer

Digital flatscreen TV

Internet of Things is Desktop computer

expected to further Tablet

Console gaming system


boost subscription
Wireless speakers
business models Wearable fitness tracking

Smart appliance

Smartwatch

0 20 40 60 80 100
% of Online Global Respondents

2017 2016

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Case study: Amazon

One company with a strategy that most illustrates an intent to capture on this
shift is Amazon with its Amazon Dash programme, which has evolved from
purchases that a consumer can make at a tap of a button to automation.
KEEPING THE TAB OPEN 34

Home care likely to be impacted by shift


toward passive consumption

Promising Markets for Internet-Based Home Care Purchases


100
South Korea UK
90
US Australia

China
80 Canada
Sweden
Hong Kong, China
Switzerland
Belgium Norway
Israel
70 Germany
Japan
Austria
Italy
Greece
60 Czech Republic
Hungary Poland Argentina Saudi Arabia
Turkey
Slovakia Romania
Russia
50 Mexico Malaysia
Brazil
Thailand

Philippines 2017-2022 Absolute Value


40 Morocco
Indonesia
0
Egypt Ukraine
200
30 Vietnam 400
Digital
600
20
800
1,000
10
1,169

0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28
Home Care Internet Retailing 2017-2022 CAGR %

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KEEPING THE TAB OPEN 35

Machine-aided commerce will re-define


what brand loyalty means

Traditional Marketing Funnel

Awareness

Interest

Consideration

Intent

Evaluation

Purchase

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4.
Mobile wallets going global

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MOBILE WALLETS GOING GLOBAL 37

Consumers in motion propel the expansion


of payment networks

Growth in the Number of Trips Taken Worldwide, 2007-2017


10

4
Y-o-Y Growth

0
2007 - 2008 - 2009 - 2010 - 2011 - 2012 - 2013 - 2014 - 2015 - 2016 -
-2 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

-4

-6
Number of Domestic Trips Number of International Trips

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MOBILE WALLETS GOING GLOBAL 38

China is the biggest market for outbound


tourism spend since 2012

Outbound Tourism Expenditure from China, 2017-2030

300,000
Thailand

Japan
USD mn

200,000 Hong Kong


USA
Macau

100,000

Others
0
'17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22 '23 '24 '25 '26 '27 '28 '29 '30

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Chinese travellers play a key role in
mobile wallet globalisation

Chinese wallets like Alipay are moving West, as the spending power of the
country’s residents grows and the government improves international
cooperation, allowing consumers to travel to more nations.
He (Steve Jobs) wanted to
create something that was
so instrumental and
integrated in peoples'
lives that you'd rather
leave your wallet at home
than your iPhone.

Former iPhone product marketing engineer


Bob Borchers said of Steve Jobs’ vision for the iPhone
MOBILE WALLETS GOING GLOBAL 41

Apple Pay global expansion follows US


traveller to wealthy markets

Outbound Departures from the US, 2017 Outbound Tourism Expenditure from the
US, 2017
Mexico Mexico

Canada Canada

France China

UK India

Italy Italy

Puerto Rico Germany

Germany UK

Dominican Republic Spain

Spain Australia

China Puerto Rico

0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000


Retail Value RSP, USD
Number of Trips in 2017
Apple Pay supported
Apple Pay not supported

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MOBILE WALLETS GOING GLOBAL 42

Samsung Pay followed the South Korean


traveller more closely

Outbound Departures from the South Outbound Tourism Expenditure from South
Korea, 2017 Korea, 2017
Japan US

China Japan

US China

Philippines Thailand

Thailand Phillippines

Vietnam Taiwan

Hong Kong Australia

Taiwan Vietnam

Macau Singapore

Indonesia Macau

0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000


Number of Trips in 2017 Retail Value RSP, USD
Samsung Pay supported
Samsung Pay not supported

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$3 trillion
Payments expected to be made
on a mobile device in 2022
across the 47 countries where
Euromonitor International
conducts this research

75%
China and the US will contribute
to the overall size of the mobile
payments market in 2022
44

5.
Outlets will get their
tech injection

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47% 83% 92%
Connected consumers Goods expected to be Foodservice expected to be
globally who want to “see purchased in-store globally purchased in outlets globally
or try before buying” in 2022 in 2021
OUTLETS WILL GET THEIR TECH INJECTION 46

Digital shifts are changing competitive


realities

Consumer Payments Made By Digital Device, 2017 / 2022


Australia
US
UK
Poland
South Korea
Japan
France
United Arab Emirates
Germany
Canada

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%


Digital Purchases as a Percentage of Consumer Payments
2017 2022

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In-Store Shopping Motivations, 2017

See or try before buying

Immediate purchase

Better warranty / easier to return

Consumers motivated to if defective

shop in person to “see” Convenient location / access

or “try” before buying To avoid paying for shipping

an item Experience of shopping in store

No delivery-related hassles

Stores are more trustworthy

0 20 40 60
% Online Respondents

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Attitudes Toward Experiences, 2017

15-19

20-24

25-29

30-34

35-39
Consumers demonstrate 40-44
an increased need to 45-49
“experience more” 50-54

55-59

60+

0% 20% 40% 60%

% of Online Respondents

I prefer to spend money on experiences, rather than things

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Virtual and
augmented
NFC tags realities 3D imaging

© Euromonitor International
In an era in which fans can easily stream games The club’s state-of-the-art venue will offer LED
online, the Tottenham Hotspur football club is signage, mobile points of sale, electronic
deploying the most advanced technology to turnstiles with mobile phone ticket entry and
create the ultimate “game day” experience at click-and-collect food and drink systems to
its new stadium when it opens in 2018. capacity crowds of 61,559 football fans.
Since unmanned checkouts like Tao Café from In its simplest form, consumers scan their
Alibaba first made headlines, retailers have smartphone for entry. Sensor technology then
been knocking on the doors of technology firms tracks the consumer in store and adds items they
wanting to replicate. The rise of more have removed from the shelf to a virtual shopping
affordable item-level tagging and machine cart. Others like JD.com in China and Amazon in
learning have made this possible. the US are working on similar initiatives.
Restaurants are utilising technology to Red Arrow Tap Room in suburban
improve operational efficiencies and to Chicago has 48 self-serve taps featuring
provide diners with a more seamless craft beer and cider, and tabletop
consumer experience. tablets for placing food orders.
53

Key takeaways

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5454

Data as the new Keeping the tab


currency open
Leveraging the avalanche of The old-school subscription
available data to cultivate the model received a digital boost in
“story of one” will be what the last decade. In the
distinguishes the winners from forthcoming Internet of Things
the losers in the next decade. era, the idea of keeping the tab
open will take on a new
Digital life converges meaning.
in super apps

Super apps could enable a new


breed of competitors, change
Mobile wallets going Outlets will get their
who owns the customer
global relationship, force an evolution tech injection
The battle for mobile wallet of consumer expectations and Commerce is in the midst of a
supremacy will come down to most importantly accelerate the head-to-toe makeover both in
the ability of US companies to overall digital transformation. and outside the physical outlet.
export their offerings abroad As such, players are leveraging a
against the expanding influence plethora of technologies to
of China’s growing middle class. re-imagine physical spaces.
©
© Euromonitor
Euromonitor International
International
Thank you
Michelle Evans, Global Head of Digital Consumer Research

Michelle.Evans@Euromonitor.com
Facebook.com/euromonitor/
@mevans14
Linkedin.com/in/michelleevansmaclachlan
Forbes: https://www.forbes.com/sites/michelleevans1/#

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