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CFA一级培训项目
C
Corporate
t Fi
Finance
纪慧诚
金程教育高级培训师
地点: ■ 上海 □北京 □深圳
Summary of Readings & Framework
Study Session 11
R36: Capital Budgeting
St d Session 1
Study Ethics & Professional Standards 15
(2) (1)
(3) (4b)
Cash flows received earlier are worth more than cash flows to be received
(accelerated depreciation).
Only projects that are excepted to return more than the cost of the capital
needed to fund them will increase the value of the firm.
4 Discount
4. Di payback
b k period
i d (DBP)
Year (t) 0 1 2 3 4
Net cash flow -2,000 1,000 800 600 200
C
Cumulative
l i NCF -2,000
2 000 -1,000
1 000 -200
200 400 600
200
payback period = 2 2.33 years
600
Year (t) 0 1 2 3 4
Net cash flow -2,000 1,000 800 600 200
Discounted NCF -2,000 909 661 451 137
Cumulative NCF -2,000 -1,091 -430 21 158
430
Discounted payback 2 2.95 years
451 The Net Present
Value
Crossover Rate=7.2
Rate=7 2
IRRA=14.5
5
IRRB=11.8
Cost of Capital (%)
5 10 15
Size of the company: Larger companies tended to prefer the NPV and
IRR over the payback period.
Public and Private: Private companies used the payback period more
often than did public ones.
The
Th NPV off th
the project
j t = change
h off the
th market
k t value
l off the
th stocks
t k
Cost of debt
Kd = ? Debt-rating approach
CAPM approach
Ks = ?
Cost of equity
q y DDM approach
D ps
k ps =
P
Where:
Wh
D: preferred dividends
P:
P market
k t price
i off preferred
f d stock
t k
Answer:The company
p y can issue ppreferred stock at 6.5%.
P = $1.75/0.065
$1 75/0 065=$26
$26.92
92
ks = rf +β(rm - rf)
(1 t ) D E
debt equity
(1 t ) D E E (1 t ) D
Returns on debt do not vary with returns on market.
Pay predetermined INT and PRN
debt 0
without regard to market
Then we have:
1
asset equity
D
1 (1 t )
E
CRP
Annualized standard deviation of equity index of
developing country
Sovereign yield spread ( )
Annualized standard deviation of sovereign bond market
in terms of the developing market currency
where:
Sovereign yield spread= difference between the yield of
government bonds in the developing country and Treasury bonds
of similar maturities
44-133 100% Contribution Breeds Professionalism
R.37.4 Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
Example: Country Risk Premium
Robert Rodriguez, an analyst with Omni Corporation, is estimating a
country risk Premium to include in his estimate of the cost of equity for a
project Omni is Starting in Venezuela . Rodriguez has compiled the
following information for his analysis, then calculate the country risk
premium and the cost of equity for Omni’s Venezuelan project.
Venezuelan 10-year government bond yield = 8.6%
10-year
10 U S ttreasury bbond
U.S. d yield
i ld = 44.8%
8%
Annualized standard deviation of Venezuelan stock index = 32%
Annualized standard deviation of Venezuelan U.S.
U S dollar
dollar-denominated
denominated 10
10-
year government bond = 22%
Project beta = 1.25
Expected market return = 10.4%
Risk-free rate = 4.2%
P0 = D1 / (Kce-g)
Assumption
Kce>g
Kce= D1 / P0+g
The WACC is the appropriate discount rate for projects that have
approximately
pp y the same level of risk as the firm’s existingg projects.
p j
Project IRR
Cost of Capital Investment
(%) Opportunity Marginal
Schedule Cost of
C it l
Capital
Optimal
C i
Capital
New Capital
Budget
Investment
/Raised
Amountt off N
A New D
Debt
bt After-tax
Aft t Cost
C t Amountt off N
A New E
Equity
it Costt off
C
(in millions) of Debt (in million) Equity
$0 to $99 4.2% $0 to $199 6.5%
$100 to $199 4.6% $200 to $399 8.0%
$200 to $ 299 5.0% $400 to $599 9.5%
Calculate the break points for Omni Corporation and Graph the marginal cost
of capital schedule.
Omni will have a break point each time a component cost of capital
changes, for a total of four break points.
The table shows Omni Corporation’s WACC for the different break points.
* Keeping
p g the original
g capital
p structure
capital
250 330 500 667
D1 D1
re = +g OR re = [ ]+ g
P0 - F P0 (1- f)
Method 2
In fact,, floatation costs are a cash flow at the initiation of the pproject
j
Consider as CF0
$150,000
$150 000 $150,000
$150 000
N PV -$400,000 - $9,000 + +
1.0739 1.0739 2
$150,000 $150,000
+ 3
+ 4
= $94,640
$94 640
1.0739 1.0739
ΔEBIT
percentage change in EBIT EBIT elasticity
DOL= =
percentage change in sales ΔQ
Q
Equation:
Q( P VC ) S TVC
DOL
Q( P VC ) FC S TVC FC
ΔEPS
percentage change in EPS
DFL= = EPS
percentage change in EBIT ΔEBIT
EBIT
Equation:
EBIT
DFL
EBIT Interest
When interest is zero, DFL=1. There is no financial leverage.
Q( P VC ) S TVC
DTL
Q( P VC ) FC I S TVC FC I
i
increase equity ’ ROE
i owner’s
Profitability
Net loss
Breakeven point
Fixed cost
0 Sales unit
68-133 100% Contribution Breeds Professionalism
R.38.5 Breakeven Analysis
Operating breakeven quantity of sales ( QOBE ): calculate as Breakeven
quantity of sales but only consider fixed operating costs and ignore fixed
fi
financing
i cost
Fixed operating costs
Q OBE =
P i V i bl costt per unit
Price-Variable it
EXAMPLE: Operating costs for A company described as follow:
Price 4
Variable costs 3
Fixed operating costs 10,000
Fixed financing costs 30,000
The further a firm's sales are from its breakeven level of sales,
the greater the magnifying effects of leverage on net income.
2 days
Th declaration
The d l ti dated t D t off paymentt
Date
O
Once th
the company sets
t the
th record
d ddate,
t the
th stock
t k exchanges
h fix
fi the
th ex-dividend
di id d
date.
Ex-dividend date is normally set for stocks two business days before the
record date.
Answer:
Total earnings = $5.00×
$5 00× 20,000,000
20 000 000 = $100,000,000
$100 000 000
total earnings -after-tax cost of fund
EPS after buyback=
y
shares
h outstanding
di after
f buyback
b b k
$100, 000, 000 (600, 000 shares $50 0.08)
20,
20 000 600, 000 shares
000, 000 - 600
$100, 000, 000 $2, 400, 000
19 400,
19, 400 000 shares
= $5.03
Because
Beca se the 8% after-tax
after ta cost of borro
borrowing
ing is less than the
10% earnings yield (E/P) of the shares, the share repurchase
will increase the company
company'ss EPS
20,000,000
20 000 000 $50 - $30
$30,000,000
000 000 $970,000,000
$970 000 000
$50
20,000,000 - 600,000 19,400,000
20,000,000
20 000 000 $50 - $30
$30,000,000
000 000
$48.50
20,000,000
total wealth from the ownership of one share = $48.50 + $1.50 = $50
EPS N change
No h D
Decrease D
Decrease U
Uncertain
t i
P/E Decrease No change No change Uncertain
Market value Decrease by cash No change No change Decreased by
paid cash paid
Share owned by No changes Increase Increase Depends
individual
Ownership value Decrease in No changes No change Increase
value but same in
% off ownership
hi
Inventory A/R
Purchase Sale
Cash on hand
Cash tied up
Accounts
A t Accounts
A t Cash
Inventory
Receivable Payable
current assets
current ratio=
current liabilities
The higher the liquidity ratio, the more likely it is the company will
be able to pay its short
short-time
time bills
credit sales
receivables turnover
average receivables
365
number of days receivable=
receivable turnover
cost of g
goods sold
i
inventory
t turnover=
t
average inventory
365
y inventory=
number of days y
inventory turnover
purchases
payables turnover ratio=
average trade payables
365
number of days of payables=
paybles turnover ratio
discount 365/t
cost of trade credit=(1+ ) 1
1-discount
2% 365/(60-10)
cost of trade credit if paid on day 60 = (1+ ) 1
1-2%
Pay $98
(Save $2 or have to raise
pay
finance for extra 40days) $100
Answer
365
400
2% 40
or
1 1 EAR 0.98 (1 EAR) 365
1
1 2%
EAR = 20.40%
VS
The cost of debt of the customer
FV - P 360
discount basis yield=( )( )
FV t
360
=% discount ( )
t
F P 365
F-P 365
BEY=(( )( )
)=HPR ( )
P t t
Study Session 11
R36: Capital Budgeting
A principal-agent problem
The agent may act for his own well being rather than that of the principal.
For listed
li d companies,
i there
h are Board off Directors
i to ensure
that management is acting in the best interest of shareholders
Corporate governance
•The system of internal controls, processes, and procedures by which individual
Companies are managed
•Provides a framework that defines the rights,
rights roles and responsibilities of
management , the board of directors , and shareholders within an organization.
The Independence
p and Q
Qualification of board is essential
Independence
Considering other policies to ensure independence
Discourage board members from receiving consulting fees for work
done on the firm’s behalf
Discourage board members from receiving finders’ fees for bringing
merger/acquisitions, and sales to management attention
Limit board members’ ability to receive compensation beyond the scope
of their board responsibilities
Disclose all material related – party transactions or commercial
relationship with board members
试着训练自己的思想朝好的一面看,这样你就会汲取
实现目标的动力,而不会因为消极沉沦停滞不前
实现目标的动力,而不会因为消极沉沦停滞不前。