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Jon Chadwick
Chairman – Shell Malaysia
Note: US volumes added to USGS foreign volumes to obtain world totals - EIA.
250
200
150
100
50
0
1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002
Source: BP
SPE IIORC, Oct ‘03
Slide 5
IOR Definition & Processes
IOR
2.0
Millions of Barrels per Day
Chemical
1.5
Gas
1.0
0.5 Thermal
0.0
1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002
Water Injection
Current 2
)
Planned
EOR
Gas
Steam
600 •• Deepwater
Deepwater development
development
3% p.a. •• Exploration
Exploration
500
400
300
•• Forecasted
Forecasted decline
decline from
from 2007
2007
200
•• Increasing
Increasing domestic
domestic consumption
consumption
100
•• Net
Net crude
crude importer
importer by
by ~2010
~2010 ??
0
2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
Year
SF30 Barton
SB-302 S.Furious
Block K Kebabangan St.Joseph
Appraisal
Appraisal & &
Infill
Infill drilling
drilling
SBG
Gas
Gas injection
injection
SBJ
SB-301 Kota
Water
Water injection
injection Kinabalu
(dump
(dump flood)
flood) &
&
gas injection
gas injection
Kinabalu
Labuan
LCOT
LCOT // LIF
LIF
SABAH
0 50 100km
Depressurisation
600
Gas Extra 1.51.5
Extra TcfTc
500 Gas
gas Reserv
reserves
100
Waterflood Depressurisation
0
1976 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
• Surveillance
¾ Pressure & flow measurements
¾ Contact mapping
¾ GLR trends
¾ Web-based database
• Gascap monitoring
¾ Gascap sizes reviewed every 6 months
¾ Free gas replacement efficiency
• Reservoir cross-sections
¾ Updated maps per sub-cycle every 6 months
er
Riv
e
ac
Pe
Athasbasca
Oil Sands
r
Peace Project Site ve
Ri
River
Peace River
Oil Sands an
hew
c
at
sk
S a Cold Lake
Oil Sands
rth
No Edmonton
¾ Discovered in 1951
¾ Lease holdings : 142 square miles,
100% Shell Share
Bo w
0 200
Calgary
¾ Bitumen in place : 7 billion bbl
km Riv er ¾ Fluvial / Estuarine sandstone reservoir,
15-35 m pay, 28% porosity, 50-3000 mD
m
500
3-5m
Steam Injection
110 m
Steam injection via Production Well
basal water zone 500m of Wellbore
2000-2001 2001-2002
Soak Radial - Haybob Soak Radial - Tuning Fork
?
SPE IIORC, Oct ‘03
1000 m of Wellbore 1500 m of Wellbore Slide 18
Peace River Production Performance
Current
Currentproduction
productionwith
with
14,000 58
58 wells is same as peakrate
wells is same as peak rateinin
SR2000 early
early‘90s
‘90swith
with200+
200+wells
wells
12,000
SR
Bitumen rate (bbl/d)
SAGD
10,000
HWDP
H Wells
8,000
PREP
PRISP
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
Jan-88
Jan-02
Jan-90
Jan-92
Jan-96
Jan-80
Jan-84
Jan-86
Jan-94
Jan-98
Jan-00
Jan-82
Waterflood
Primary
Polymer
Reservoir
Reservoir/ /Process
ProcessCharacteristics
Characteristics
10-md
10-mdcarbonate
carbonate1-mile
1-miledeep
deepbearing
bearinglight
lightoil
oil
20-acre
20-acrewell
wellspacing
spacing
Primary
Primary/ /waterflood
waterfloodrecovers
recovers35%
35%STOIIP
STOIIP
Natural CO
Sources
2 EOR
EORadds
adds15% 15%STOIIP
STOIIPatat40
40bopd
bopdper
perwell
well
Uses
Uses11
11Mcf
McfCO
CO2 2/ /EOR
EORbbl*
bbl*atat11Bcf/d
Bcf/dper
perwell
well
* *half
halfpurchased,
purchased,half
halfrecycled
recycled
Permian
Basin
1000000
Water
Injection
100000
BBL/D, MCF/D
Oil
CO2 EOR
Injection
10000
Water
Production
1000
Jan-38 Jan-43 Jan-48 Jan-53 Jan-58 Jan-63 Jan-68 Jan-73 Jan-78 Jan-83 Jan-88 Jan-93 Jan-98
0.04
0.02
0.00
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8
CO2 + Water Injected (fraction HCPV)
SPE IIORC, Oct ‘03
Slide 27
Future IOR / EOR Applications
¾ Acoustic stimulation
¾ Bacteria
¾ Air injection
¾ New gels
¾ Co-production of sands (heavy oil)
• Technology advancements
¾ Wells (mono-diameter, snake wells)
¾ Smart fields, wells
¾ 3D subsurface geophones
¾ 4D seismic techniques
¾ Future applications
36"
26"
20"
16"
1 3 -3 /8 "
1 1 -3 /4 "
9 -5 /8 "
7"
5 -1 /2 ”
T D = 2 5 ,0 0 0 ’
FLP
Lift gas
Gas
P, T, Flow
Partial
Separator Stab
Pressure
Gross
Flow