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Timeline Values Forecast Lower Confidence Bound Upper Confidence Bound

1990 10
1991 13 2000
1992 22
1993 28 1500
1994 31
1995 42
1000
1996 50
1997 55
500
1998 61
1999 74
0
2000 79
2001 94
2002 102 -500

2003 117 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16
19 19 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
2004 144
Val ues
2005 171
Lower Confidence Bound
2006 233
2007 249
2008 249
2009 291
2010 325
2011 405
2012 451
2013 492
2014 488
2015 454
2016 422
2017 461 461 461 461
2018 473 425 521
2019 485 407 562
2020 497 391 602
2021 508 373 644
2022 520 354 686
2023 532 334 730
2024 544 312 776
2025 556 288 823
2026 567 264 871
2027 579 237 921
2028 591 210 972
2029 603 181 1025
2030 615 151 1078
2031 626 119 1133
2032 638 87 1190
2033 650 53 1247
2034 662 18 1305
2035 674 -18 1365
2036 685 -55 1426
2037 697 -93 1488
2038 709 -133 1551
2039 721 -173 1615
2040 733 -215 1680
2041 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
2042 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
2043 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
2044 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
2045 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
2046 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
2047 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
2048 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
2049 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
2050 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
2 4 6 8 0 2 4 6 8 0 2 4 6 8 0 2 4 6 8 0 2 4 6
00 200 200 200 201 201 201 201 201 202 202 202 202 202 203 203 203 203 203 204 204 204 204

Val ues Forecast


Lower Confidence Bound Upper Confidence Bound
Timeline Values Forecast Lower Confidence Bound Upper Confidence Bound
1990 8
1991 9 250
1992 10
1993 10 200
1994 11
1995 12
150
1996 14
1997 16
100
1998 18
1999 23
50
2000 25
2001 28
2002 29 0

2003 39 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 1
19 19 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
2004 36
Val ues
2005 41
Lower Confidence Bound
2006 50
2007 62
2008 54
2009 54
2010 51
2011 51
2012 63
2013 66
2014 82
2015 90
2016 94
2017 100 100 100 100
2018 100 89 112
2019 104 91 116
2020 107 93 121
2021 110 95 125
2022 113 97 130
2023 117 99 134
2024 120 102 138
2025 123 104 142
2026 126 106 146
2027 130 109 151
2028 133 111 155
2029 136 114 159
2030 140 116 163
2031 143 119 167
2032 146 121 171
2033 149 124 175
2034 153 127 179
2035 156 129 183
2036 159 132 187
2037 162 135 190
2038 166 137 194
2039 169 140 198
2040 172 142 202
0 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40
20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20

Val ues Forecast


Lower Confidence Bound Upper Confidence Bound
Timeline Values Forecast Lower Confidence Bound Upper Confidence Bound
1990 27749
1991 27738 30000
1992 27725
1993 27703 25000

1994 27675 20000


1995 27644
1996 27602 15000

1997 27552 10000


1998 27497
1999 27436 5000

2000 27362 -
2001 27283
2002 27189 ^

2003 27087 90 93 96 99 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 26 2
19 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
2004 26970
Val ues
2005 26826
Lower Confidence Bound
2006 26655
2007 26422
2008 26173
2009 25925
2010 25633
2011 25308
2012 24904
2013 24453
2014 23962
2015 23473
2016 23020
2017 22598 22598 22598 22598
2018 22172 22085 22260
2019 21750 21571 21930
2020 21329 21033 21625
2021 20907 20475 21338
2022 20485 19902 21068
2023 20063 19314 20813
2024 19642 18712 20571
2025 19220 18098 20341
2026 18798 17473 20123
2027 18376 16836 19916
2028 17955 16189 19720
2029 17533 15532 19534
2030 17111 14865 19357
2031 16689 14189 19189
2032 16267 13504 19031
2033 15846 12811 18881
2034 15424 12109 18739
2035 15002 11399 18606
2036 14580 10681 18480
2037 14159 9955 18362
2038 13737 9222 18252
2039 13315 8482 18149
2040 12893 7734 18053
2041 12472 6979 17964
2042 12050 6218 17882
2043 11628 5450 17806
2044 11206 4675 17738
2045 10784 3893 17675
2046 10363 3106 17620
2047 9941 2312 17570
2048 9519 1512 17526
2049 9097 706 17489
2050 8676 ^ 17458
2051 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
2052 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
2053 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
2054 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
2055 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
2056 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
2057 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
2058 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
2059 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
2060 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
2061 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
2062 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
2063 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
2064 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
2065 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
2066 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
2067 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
2068 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
2069 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
2070 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
2071 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
08 11 14 17 20 23 26 29 32 35 38 41 44 47 50 53 56 59 62 65 68 71
20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20

Val ues Forecast


Lower Confidence Bound Upper Confidence Bound
Coal and
lignite
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998
productio
n (Mtoe)

Indonesia 10 13 22 28 31 42 50 55 61
0.297263 0.658353 0.286532 0.08381 0.363053 0.203261 0.090324 0.116627
13.271 22.008 28.314 30.687 41.828 50.33 54.876 61.276

Coal and
lignite 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998
domestic
consumption
(Mtoe)
Indonesia 8 9 10 10 11 12 14 16 18

Coal and
lignite 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998
reserve
(Mtoe)
27749 27738 27725 27703 27675 27644 27602 27552 27497
Notes: Total proved reserves of coal- Generally taken to be those quantities that geological and engineering information indicates with reasonable certainty
can be recovered in the future from known reservoirs under existing economic and operating conditions. The data series for total proved coal reserves does no
meet the definitions, guidelines and practices used for determining proved reserves at company level, for instance as published by the US Securities and Exch
nor does it necessarily represent BP’s view of proved reserves by country.
Notes: Total proved reserves of coal from 1990 - 2016 are calculated by adding the amount of coal reserve in 2017 with coal production a year before (2016) t
the reserve of coal in 2016 and the rest
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

74 79 94 102 117 144 171 233 249 249


0.203636 0.07624 0.179233 0.091118 0.146583 0.227234 0.186669 0.368093 0.066502 -0.00027
73.754 79.377 93.604 102.133 117.104 143.714 170.541 233.316 248.832 248.766

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

23 25 28 29 39 36 41 50 62 54

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

27436 27362 27283 27189 27087 26970 26826 26655 26422 26173
ation indicates with reasonable certainty
es for total proved coal reserves does not necessarily
published by the US Securities and Exchange Commission,

th coal production a year before (2016) to get


2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

291 325 405 451 492 488 454 422 461


0.170767 0.115891 0.244671 0.113896 0.091247 -0.00691 -0.07123 -0.07018 0.093694
291.247 325 404.518 450.591 491.706 488.306 453.522 421.693 461.2031

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

54 51 51 63 66 82 90 94 100

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

25925 25633 25308 24904 24453 23962 23473 23020 22598

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