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TEMPO AND THE ART

OF DISRUPTION
By George Stalk and Sam Stewart

T he rate of change in business today


is so rapid that new products, tech­
nologies, and business models sometimes
OODA loops, and thus increasing the tem­
po of the battle, they consistently caught
their opponents off-guard. According to
become outdated before companies can Boyd, when the loop is so fast and tight
fully capitalize on them. Recent research that a competitor’s response rate drops to
by Boston Consulting Group suggests that zero, the opponent with the faster tempo
only one in three companies successfully has disrupted the competitor—and the end
evolves in the face of industry disruption. result is victory.
Often, however, companies that do make
the transition create even more sharehold­ The same concept applies to today’s uncer­
er value than they had before the disrup­ tain business environment. Disruptors—
tion occurred. (See “Creating Value from the most agile, responsive, and aggressive
Dis­ruption (While Others Disappear),” BCG companies—put the squeeze on competi­
article, September 2017.) Why do some tors with a similar dynamic loop. But since
companies thrive in this environment while a solo pilot’s reaction time is unique to the
others fail? circumstances and is far faster than an
organi­zation’s, we have adjusted the loop
Military history provides some insight. US to better reflect that business reality. Our
Air Force Colonel John Boyd, a renowned business version consists of four repeating
military strategist, observed that some US aspects: scan, orient, decide, and act
fighter pilots in the Korean War had a far (SODA). Disruptors continually scan the
higher kill rate than others and were less landscape, orient themselves to new cir­
likely to be killed themselves. Boyd’s analy­ cumstances, decide how to respond, and
sis revealed that the ace pilots had faster act quickly. (See the exhibit.) Then they
OODA loops: they were able to observe, ­regroup and repeat the process. With expe­
orient, decide, and act more quickly than rience and expertise, their SODA loop
their peers. By continually shortening their tightens and their tempo accelerates.
The Scan, Orient, Decide, Act (SODA) Loop

Systematically scan Develop a strategic perspective


the environment for to orient management in the
opportunities and risks Scan shifting landscape of
• Explore key trends and their competitive advantage
impact on aspects of the
business: customers, Orient • Distill key issues, uncertainties, and
future scenarios into a shared
competitors, technologies,
perspective on current and future
regulators, and investors
sources of competitiveness

Act
Translate the strategy Decide
into priority actions Decide on a strategy
• Identify and launch the key • Align on and communicate
initiatives required to realize the plan for how to win
the strategic objectives

Source: BCG analysis.

A tempo advantage relative to the competi­ ously scans customer behavior patterns,
tion is the best long-term insurance against analyzing more than a petabyte of
being disrupted. In any sector, the compa­ customer data every day. By scanning
ny that sustains the fastest cycle time usu­ the landscape nonstop, companies are
ally wins. We call this rapid, continuous able to maintain an external focus and
­cycle tempo-based competition. avoid the surprises that come with
complacency.
To illustrate how the SODA loop works,
let’s examine each of the four aspects more •• Orient. The orient phase is about
closely: connecting the dots to understand what
all of the strong—and weak—signals
•• Scan. Since competitors, technologies, observed in the scanning process actual­
and markets can change quickly, ly mean. Are sources of competitive
companies must systematically scan the advantage shifting? Are existing profit
horizon for new opportunities and for pools drying up and others forming?
potential disruptions. Scanning broadly Which broad value propositions and
is crucial, but so is focusing on factors business models are winning? How are
that could undermine or strengthen key the needs of target customers changing?
profit and value drivers, such as trend Where are the greatest opportunities
lines, new customer behaviors, anoma­ and risks? What are the most plausible
lies, unexpected competitors, shifting scenarios for how the sector will evolve,
customer economics, and changing and what potential “black swans” may
demand patterns. For key megatrends, be lurking? The goal is not to set the
organizations should look for tipping strategy, but to develop a broadly shared
points signifying that a new trend or map of the landscape—an understand­
technology is gaining traction. For ing of where the organization and its
instance, new price, performance, and rivals are situated, where treasure may
adoption thresholds of component be buried, and where quicksand awaits
technologies—which were visible to all the unwary.
who were keeping track—preceded the
explosion in global demand for robotics. Effective orienting requires a diverse
leadership team that can continuously
Data analytics can be a great source of analyze different scenarios, discuss and
input for scanning. China’s Alibaba, the realistically evaluate the choices that
massive online marketplace, continu­ are available, and look beyond the

Boston Consulting Group | Tempo and the Art of Disruption 2


obvious to envision opportunities and free, send flowers to a customer’s sick
risks that may lie beyond the horizon. mother, and spend as many hours on
the phone as necessary to resolve a
•• Decide. This phase involves defining problem.
and communicating the organization’s
broad strategic intent. What position(s) One hallmark of tempo-based competitors
in the landscape does the organization is their ability to move more and more
want to own—and at a high level, how quickly through the four steps of the SODA
will it get there from its current posi­ loop as they accumulate learning and
tion? Who are the target customers? experi­ence. In a broader sense, the SODA
What value proposition will help win loop describes the process of scaled learn­
them? And what, if any, broad changes ing on a company-­wide level.
in operating model are necessary to
support the strategy? In the interest of Market leaders stay ahead of the pack—
speed, these decision points require not and keep the competition guessing—by
granular plans but clear choices about constantly changing and improving key
strategic direction, customers, and value ­aspects of their value proposition and
chain presence that can direct and opera­ting model. Ralph Hamers, the CEO
empower teams throughout the organi­ of ING, put it this way: “Don’t wait for new
zation to bring the plan to life. Because players or incum­b ents to compete with
the teams are already oriented to the you, disrupt you, or disrupt your model.
playing field, they can make smart, You take the lead. If you feel there’s an
aligned decisions and help spot signs of oppor­tunity to disrupt and change your
changing conditions. business model, do so. It’s very hard to
make this decision as a manager or a lead­
•• Act. Maintaining a suitably rapid tempo er because, basically, you’re cannibalizing
requires swift execution of strategy. your own business.” (See “Ralph Hamers
Throughout the organization, teams on Disrupting the Banking Industry,” BCG
define and test the tactics that they interview, September 2016.)
believe are most likely to realize the
organization’s strategic intent. Then, on Quicken Loans offers a perfect example of
the basis of experience, they adapt their this aggressive strategy in action. Once a
tactics to better realize the organiza­ traditional mortgage provider, the company
tion’s objectives. To ensure alignment shifted its focus to online in the late 1990s.
and fast action, leaders must explicitly Through its online arm, Rocket Mortgage,
link individual and team missions to the Quicken Loans makes the mortgage pro­
company’s overall mission and strategy. cess easy for the average consumer to un­
Any incongruities among goals, resourc­ derstand. As of 2018, Quicken Loans was
es, and constraints must be identified the largest home lender in the US.
and flushed out early, to minimize
wasted time and effort.

For instance, Zappos—the online retailer


of shoes and more—has identified one
M ost companies spend far too much
time on things that slow people down,
consume resources, and add little value.
overriding mission: to make its custom­ Tempo-­based competitors such as Quicken
ers happy. The company’s service reps Loans, Alibaba, Amazon, and Zappos
know that they are authorized to do under­stand that the best way to avoid dis­
whatever it takes to achieve that goal, ruption is to maintain an unwavering focus
without having to get approval from on the factors that confer a competitive
their superiors. So they will refund advan­tage—and to never stand still. Sta­
defective products and replace them for tionary companies become targets.

Boston Consulting Group | Tempo and the Art of Disruption 3


About the Authors
George Stalk is a senior advisor in the Toronto office of Boston Consulting Group and the coauthor of
Competing Against Time. You may contact him by email at stalk.george@advisor.bcg.com.

Sam Stewart is a partner and managing director in the firm’s Sydney office and an expert on strategy de-
partment excellence. You may contact him by email at stewart.sam@bcg.com.

Boston Consulting Group (BCG) is a global management consulting firm and the world’s leading advisor
on business strategy. We partner with clients from the private, public, and not-for-profit sectors in all re-
gions to identify their highest-value opportunities, address their most critical challenges, and transform
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© Boston Consulting Group 2019. All rights reserved. 2/19 Rev. 3/19

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Boston Consulting Group | Tempo and the Art of Disruption 4

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