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Dutch Lady
Performace
No indicator 2006 2007 2008
1 ROSF 36 38.1 29.5
2 ROCE 50.21 52.4 40.27
3 COGS/ revenue 62.61 69.75 74.02
4 Gross margin 37.40 30.25 25.97
5 SGA & E / revenue 21.45 14.62 14.16
6 Operating margin 11.69 10.75 8.17
7 Effective tax rate 28.14 27.05 26.29
8 Net profit 8.38 7.81 5.99
ROA ( Net income/
9 TA) 20.37 16.04 14.65
Nestle
Performace
No indicator 2006 2007 2008
1 ROSF 48.79 48.82 59.13
2 ROCE (%) 57.67 62.68 80.00
3 COGS/ revenue 66.28 67.06 68.95
4 Gross margin 33.72 32.94 31.04
5 SGA & E / revenue 22.36 20.32 19.13
6 Operating margin 11.38 11.99 11.99
7 Effective tax rate 27.27 26.12 22.76
8 Net profit 8.07 8.55 8.79
ROA ( Net income/
9 TA) 19.46 20.00 22.3
Nestle 2009 Net profit of Nestle rose by 29% compared to FY2006 and stood
at
RM340,887,000 .On the other hand, DLM’s 2009 net profit declined by
0.97% as
compared to its 2006 Fiscal year net profit and recorded RM 42,647,000
(Table C)
+29
1. DLM operating profit margin was declining at year 2008 due to following
reasons :
a. Erosion of gross profit margin from year to year at 7.15% and 4.28%
in year 2007 and 2008 due to
– Increased of raw material and consumables has increased from RM
299,199 to RM 470,038 or 60.97% increament between year 2006
and 2008.
– COGS / sales ratio has increased from 62.61 % in year 2006 to
74..02% in year 2008 or the increment of cost of goods sold
(COGS) is 174.2% which is faster than the sales revenue growth
(38.50%) between year 2006 and 2008. One of the reason is the
commodities pricing of raw material such as milk powder and solid,
cocoa and oil palm has increased significantly by 50 to 60 %
(Chairman report, 2007 & 2008 of Annual report ; 2006
tftchart.com; Dow Jones International News 2009; Business Times
2007).
– Thus, the increment of COGS was outpaced the sales growth by
135.7% during the duration between 2006 and 2008.
– Hence, the gross profit has been hovering around RM 183,000,000
without recorded any significant growth compare to Nestle which
has diversify their business while less affected by the high cost of
commodity such as milk , cocoa and oil palm.
a. Administrative expenses increased by 46% since 2006.
b. Director remuneration increased by 40.5% to RM 1,808,000
c. Rental of premises has increased by 111.6% from RM 293,000 to
RM620,000 between year 2006 to 2008 respectively.
d. Rental equipment has increased by 59.4% from RM 69,000 to RM
110,000 between year 2006 to 2008 respectively.
e. Allowance for slow moving and obsolete inventories increased from
zero to
RM 1,613,000 between year 2006 to 2008 respectively.
Below are some of the plausible reasons behind why Nestle’s net profit
margin was
increased significantly between year 2006 and 2008
1. Nestle gross profit has been increased marginally at 1.89% and 6.97%
respectively in year of 2007 and 2008.
a. Increment of sales revenue is greater than COGS /sales ratio
increment by 3.51 % and 11.61% in year 2007 and 2008 respectively.
As a result, gross profit has improved in term of Riggit from year to
year.
Nestle
2006 2007 2008
Sales revenue
(RM'000) 3275541 3416028 3877068
Growth (%) / 4.29 13.50
COGS/Sales (%) 66.28 67.06 68.95
Gross profit
(RM'000) 1104445 1125309 1203750
Growth (%) / 1.89 6.97
Effective tax rate
(%) 27.27 26.12 22.76
Nestle
2006 2007 2008
Operating profit (RM'000) 362950 394984 441578
Growth (%) / 8.83 11.80
SGA & E / revenue (%) 22.36 20.32 19.13
Amortization of intangible asset
(RM'000) 6382 5062 256
Other expenses (RM'000) 6968 22606 2930
Following is the likely reason behind the fluctuation of ROE in DLM during
2006 and 2008:
Dutch Lady
2005 2006 2007 2008
11829
Shareholder funds (RM'000) 8 120947 127258 161585
Average shraeholders funds 119622. 124102. 144421.
(RM'000) / 5 5 5
Growth (%) / / 3.7 16.4
Net profit (%) / 8.38 7.81 5.99
Net profit (RM'000) / 43065 47255 42647
Growth (%) / / 9.73 -9.75
Following is the likely reason behind the fluctuation of ROE in DLM during
2006 and 2008:
Nestle
Dupont identoty 2006 2007 2008
Net Profit margin (%) 8.07 8.55 8.79
Total asset turnover ( TA / 2.245 2.131 2.335
3. ROE for year 2008 was definitely higher than 2006 by 10.37%
because of the increment observed in all three factors including net
profit margin , total asset turnover and multiplier by 0.72, 0.09 and
0.19 relatively.
Comment on ROCE
Overall Nestle has a much better ROCE than DLM by 7.46, 10.28, 39.73 in
year 2006 , 2007 and 2008 respectively.
Nestle
2006 2007 2008
Liquidity Ratio
Current Ratio 1.196 1.08 0.856
Quick Ratio 0.711 0.567 0.409
Working capital
Stock holding period (days) 49.86 61.93 61.86
Debtors payment period
(days) 49.7 32.6 22.9
Creditor payment period
(days) 39.1 45 39
Cash conversion cycle
(days) 60.46 49.53 45.76
Asset turnover Ratio
( times) 2.43 2.05 2.45
Overview
However, in actual fact, Nestle might be slightly more liquid than DLM based
on the fact that
Nestle’s cash conversion cycle for year 2007 and 2008 are much shorter
than DLM by 21.32
At the end of 2007, both DLM’s current and quick ratio were drop
significantly and stood at by
1.41 and 0.71 respective compared with year 2006. Quick ratio decreased
more significantly as
compared to current ratio as the inventories growth by 65% from 2006 to
2007. Thus,
inventories contributing 36.9% of the total current asset in 2007 versus
33.5% in 2006.
2. The reason why current liabilities increased much rapidly than current
asset:
a. Shorterm borrow ( RM 16,400)
b. Trade payables ( RM 25,891) or 59% increased
As a results of the reduction on both current and quick ratio in year 2007,
following are some of the likely effects:
A. Nestle
At the end of 2007, Nestle’s current and quick ratio were drop significantly
and stood at
by 1.08 and 0.567 respective compared with year 2006. Below are the
likely contributing
factors behind the reduction of both current and quick ratio:
2.The 2007 current liabilities was significant higher than 2006 by some
27.4% due to the remarkable increased in 2007 short term loan and
borrowing coupled with slight increased on trade payable. The loan and
borrowing in 2007 is RM 302,703,000 which represent 353% increment over
last year short-term borrowing. At the same time, trade payables also rose to
RM310,439,000 or 22.3% increased over last year. Hence, both current and
quick ratio was declining sharply by 0.224 and 0.158 respectively.
3.The growth of nestle 2007 total asset was slower compared to its total
liabilities due to the fact that cash on hand was reduced by 46.3% to RM
31,670,000; trade receivables reduced marginally by 4.1%; remarked
increase in impairment of trade receivable by 42.9% over last year; Hence,
both current and quick ratio was declining sharply by 0.224 and 0.158
respectively.
As a result of the reduction on both current and quick ratio, following are
some of the likely effects:
1. Due to reduction on both current and quick ratio from year to year
analysis, the creditor like bank will be very much concern about Nestle
capability to service their short -term debt such as loan and borrowing.
At the same time, banker will consciously reduced the amount of
overdraft , unsecured loan and raised the effective interest rate
correspond to the financial risk such as low current and quick ratio for
Nestle should nestle were to apply for more loan to financial it business.
3. Due to low level of current and quick ratio, Nestle will probably take
moderate tactical plan to improve and reduced its cash conversion cycle
(CCC) by
a. reduced debtor payment period among their top 30 to 50 percentile
client or dealer while maintain the debtor payment period among their
top 30 percentile client or dealer to prevent loss of sales due to this
factor alone , given other factors remain constants.
b. Reduction of inventory holding period through more effective planning
and
Nestle
inventories at 31
Table J : Nestle average inventories data
3 (a)
Average inventor
Calculate gearing ratios for the two companies. ( 4 marks)
Growth (%)
Dutch Lady
Nestle
No Performace indicator 2006 2007 2008
1 Gearing ratio (%) 16.1 0.81 0.52
Interest cover ratio
2 ( times) 37 27.6 20.1
3 Proprietary ratio 0.383 0.398 0.3106
Debt-to-Equity ratio
4 (LTD/SF) 19.1 0.81 0.521
5 Fixed asset to SF ratio 1.11 1.041 1.51
6 CA/ SF ratio 1.496 1.474 1.71
7 Capital gearing ratio 5.21 123 191.7
8 Debt Ratio (TL/TA) 61.7 60.25 68.94
*SF = Shareholders funds ; CA = Current asset ; TL= Total liabilities ; TA= Total Asset ; LTD =
Long term debt
(b) Discuss the capital structure of the two companies and the implications of
the
funding decisions that were made in the past. (8 Marks)
During 2006 to 2008, Dutch Lady Milk Berhad (DLM) has better long-
term solvency
position as compared Nestle.
Firstly, DLM’s gearing ratio and capital gearing are both zero (Table K)
as compared to
Nestle ( Gearing ratio ranging from 0.52 to 16.1%) due to the fact that
they did not call
for any long term debt such as debenture or preference share issues.
This shown that
Dutch Lady was less relying on external funding to finance their total
asset due to
Thirdly, DLM finance their business with short term borrowing such as
overdraft and
loan which had increased the interest expense by 85% and 20.3% in
year 2007 and
2008 respectively.
4 (a) Calculate investment ratios for the two companies. For this purpose, you can
use the
current share price as the share price on the last day of the financial year may
be
difficult to obtain. (8 marks)
Nestle
Investment Ratio 2006 2007 2008
Dividend payout ratio
(%) 88.75 91.39 131.52
Dividend yield (%) 4.03 4.34 7.08
Dividend per
share,DPS (RM) 1.00 1.138 1.912
EPS (RM) 1.127 1.245 1.454
PE ratio 22 21.08 18.57
b. Nestle has increased EPS at the rate of 9.3% and 16.79% in year
of 2007 and 2008 respectively. The growth of the EPS was due to
the fact that its net profit by 10.53% and 18.73% in 2 year
consecutively after year 2006. (Table M)
c. Nestle has increase its dividend yield more than 3.05 % since
2006 while maintaining healthy growth of its net profit as shown
in Table M.
Dutch Lady
Performace
indicator 2006 2007 2008
Gross margin (%) 37.40 30.25 25.97
Operating margin
(%) 11.69 10.75 8.17
Net profit (%) 8.38 7.81 5.99
Sales revenue
(RM'000) 513650 604732 711,567
Growth in sales (%) 17.7 17.7
COGS (RM'000) 321587 421792 526711
Growth in COGS (%) 31.2 24.9
Table S: Nestle performance indicator
(5) Discuss the problems that are faced by people who wish to assess the
performance and financial position of a public company if only the published
reports are available. (15 marks)
* I am using Dutch lady milk berhad (DLM) as a example for this section.
First of all, they are many groups of people who wish to assess the
performance and
financial position of a public company such as DLM. Namely, they are DLM
‘s supplier,
lenders, potential investor & investment analyst , competitors,
government body (Inland
department) besides their “internal customers” such as manager, owner
and employee.
From the perspective of lender such as banker, they will facing problems if
only DLM’s
published reports such as financial report quarterly and annual are make
available to them.
First of all, Banker or lender need to assess Nestle the most recent gearing
ratio, capital
structure, cash conversion cycle (CCC), net cash from operating activities,
net cash flow at the
latest fiscal year or end of quarter in order to assess their financial
solvency and its associated
risk ; the ability to repay borrowing interest and its principal when due.
However, those
information mentioned was captured within the annual financial reports
which will be
published only few months after the fiscal year end. Thus, lender has to
take calculated risk
based on the most recent data available to make judgement on the loan
amount and its
margin and interest rate with the assumption that there isn’t any drastic
changes (i.e. change
in accounting policy) happen during this grey period.
Shareholder need to assess all the profitability and investment ratio timely
before decided to
hold or sell or buy in more share from the stock market. Also, they can
gauge the share holders
confident level of the company future earning by comparing its trailing PE
ratio with their latest
PE ratio. However, the EPS data only make available few months after the
fiscal year end.
Thus, share holder would need to rely on document or other sources such
as financial
Investment strategy related magazine, mutual fund managers besides
published report
provided by company in order to maximize their returns.
Competitor like Nestle and F&N will be facing difficulties in finding more
information with
regards to the details of intangible asset such as brand name (worth) ,
patented technology,
spending in research and development (R&D) for new products which are
not make available
as there are not mandatory by Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange (KLSE).
Secondly, competitor
The group of supplier which supply raw material, machinery spare parts,
audit firm would face
problems as they need to assess to the company solvency position and
their credit risk. They
would be very much interested to look into the net cash flow , interest
cover, liquidity ratios
and the length of cash conversion cycle (CCC). However, if only company
published reports is
avaibale to them , they might facing problem
a. They can not really make the correct judgement on the credit limit and
its term to DLM as
they didn’t not about their latest financial status.
b. They didn’t know when they should chase for overdue payment if they
didn’t monitor their debtor’s solvency, on going concept and its indicator
in a timely manner.
Dutch Lady Milk Berhad Liquidity and working capital ratios working calculation
as below:
Following is the working solution for Dutch Lady milk berhad investment ratios:
*All the historical market price per share from 2006 to 2008 were obtained
from Yahoo finance website.
*All the historical market price per share from 2006 to 2008 were obtained
from 2008 Nestle
annual report.
Reference list :
1. Chairman statement, 2007 DLM annual report, page 4
6. Dutch Lady Sees 2009 Gross Margins Above 2008's 20%, Dow Jones
International News, 5 Feb 2009 ( from Factiva, SBS Intranet)
7. Dutch Lady dairy products to cost on average 5pc more, Business Times,
2 May 2007
( from Factiva , SBS Intranet)