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Course Professor
By
March 2019
PAMANTASAN NG CABUYAO
Senior High School Department
Katapatan Subdivision, Brgy. Banay-Banay, City of Cabuyao, Laguna
Cases:
1. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is measured to see the overall
production of an economy. There are three approaches in measuring
it namely: (1) The Expenditure Approach, (2) The Income Approach,
and (3) The Value Added Approach. Describe and explain how each
of these approaches measure GDP. Based on your research, which of
the three approaches is best in measuring GDP? Explain your answer
comprehensively.
CASE 1
Calculating GDP
When economists talk about the “size” of an economy, they are referring
to GDP.
There are many different ways to measure a country's GDP. It's important
to know all the different types and how they are used.
quicker or slower than the quarter before. Most countries use real GDP to
remove the effect of inflation.
Use the GDP report from the BEA to determine which sectors of the
economy are growing and which are declining.
Expenditures Approach
(C) Consumer Spending – this is the amount that all consumers spend on
goods and services for personal use.
(I) Investment – this is the amount that businesses or owners spend to invest
in new equipment or expansions.
PAMANTASAN NG CABUYAO
Senior High School Department
Katapatan Subdivision, Brgy. Banay-Banay, City of Cabuyao, Laguna
(NX) Net Exports – this includes spending on a country’s exports minus its
spending on imports.
Income Approach
best approximate the monetary value of all final goods and services
produced in an economy over a set period of time (normally one year).
Value-Added Approach
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Case 2
Demand-pull inflation
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Cost-push inflation
1. Rising wages
If trades unions can present a united front then they can bargain for
higher wages. Rising wages are a key cause of cost push inflation
because wages are the most significant cost for many firms. (higher
wages may also contribute to rising demand)
PAMANTASAN NG CABUYAO
Senior High School Department
Katapatan Subdivision, Brgy. Banay-Banay, City of Cabuyao, Laguna
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2. Import prices
The best example is the price of oil. If the oil price increase by 20%
then this will have a significant impact on most goods in the economy
and this will lead to cost-push inflation. E.g., in 1974 there was a spike in
the price of oil causing a period of high inflation around the world.
Source: World Bank. In 2008, we had a smaller spike in oil prices causing a
rise in inflation – just before the great recession of 2008/09
PAMANTASAN NG CABUYAO
Senior High School Department
Katapatan Subdivision, Brgy. Banay-Banay, City of Cabuyao, Laguna
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Although there were many other reasons for the housing bubble,
they wouldn't have been as attractive without government fiscal policies.
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prices except food and energy — increased 2.1% last year and will grow
2.2% this year.
Shelter costs will end 2019 up 3%, down from 3.1%. Food prices will
pick up to 1.9% — and could rise higher if trade tensions with China are
resolved and exports surge. All other commodities will see their prices go
up a bit; and medical care services’ costs will jump 2.7%, about the same
as las year. Physicians’ services and prescription drug prices have been
lower than expected for a while but should start gaining. Hospital visits will
keep getting more expensive faster than other goods and services. Other
services will be 2.2% more expensive in 2019, down from 2018’s 2.4%
increase.
PAMANTASAN NG CABUYAO
Senior High School Department
Katapatan Subdivision, Brgy. Banay-Banay, City of Cabuyao, Laguna
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CASE 3
Financial Market
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1.Kellogg
Kellogg is a breakfast producer that has, over the years, expanded into
other packaged food segments. The company, which is valued at $18
billion, has battled declining sales throughout the last couple of years, but
Kellogg has made some progress in 2018 and forecasts that 2019 will be
an even better year:
PAMANTASAN NG CABUYAO
Senior High School Department
Katapatan Subdivision, Brgy. Banay-Banay, City of Cabuyao, Laguna
19
Kellogg hasn’t been a high-growth business for a long time, but recently
growth rates improved thanks to the company’s focus on the better-
performing snack foods business (e.g. Pringles) and on acquisitions, such
as RXBAR.
Kellogg’s share price has been under pressure over the last couple of
months, along with that of many of its peers, which is why Kellogg’s
dividend yield has risen to a quite high level of 4.2% — more than twice
the broad market’s yield.
PAMANTASAN NG CABUYAO
Senior High School Department
Katapatan Subdivision, Brgy. Banay-Banay, City of Cabuyao, Laguna
20
At the same time Kellogg’s valuation has declined to just 13 times this
year’s earnings, which represents a significant discount relative to how
Kellogg’s shares were valued in the past (median earnings multiple of 16).
With expected total returns of 13% per year, Kellogg is rated the
packaged food stock with the best total return outlook in our database.
Kellogg has a Dividend Risk Score of C and a Retirement Suitability Score
of B.
Conagra Brands is a food company that operates through the Grocery &
Snacks, the Refrigerated & Frozen, the International, and the Foodservice
segments.
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The combined market value of the two companies is not much higher
than the price Conagra paid for Pinnacle Foods alone.
We believe that Conagra should be able to grow its profits during the
coming years, due to a solid underlying sales growth rate and benefits
once Pinnacle Foods is fully integrated. Our forecast sees Conagra
growing its earnings-per-share by 3.6% annually.
PAMANTASAN NG CABUYAO
Senior High School Department
Katapatan Subdivision, Brgy. Banay-Banay, City of Cabuyao, Laguna
22
Since Conagra Brands’ shares trade below the historic median valuation
right now, shareholders should benefit from some multiple normalization
tailwinds going forward, which we believe will fall into the 2%-3% range.
All in all, Conagra Brands has thus potential to generate total returns of
~10% annually over the coming five years, despite the fact that the
company is not growing at an overly high pace. We give Conagra Brands
a Dividend Risk Score of C and a Retirement Suitability Score of B.
The coffee and the pet food market are growing at above-average rates
compared to other segments of the food industry, which is one reason
why JM Smucker has a solid sales growth outlook.
PAMANTASAN NG CABUYAO
Senior High School Department
Katapatan Subdivision, Brgy. Banay-Banay, City of Cabuyao, Laguna
23
Margin pressures have been a headwind in the recent past, but due to
the positives we still forecast earnings-per-share growth at a mid-single
digits pace over the coming five years.
JM Smucker will also, in all likelihood, continue to raise its dividend, which
currently yields 3.3%. Despite a relatively low payout ratio of ~50% JM
Smucker thus offers a lot of income generation potential, at the same time
the dividend looks very safe.
PAMANTASAN NG CABUYAO
Senior High School Department
Katapatan Subdivision, Brgy. Banay-Banay, City of Cabuyao, Laguna
24
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Case 4
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The AEC’s vision for the next nine years, laid out in the AEC Blueprint 2025,
includes the following:
5. A global ASEAN.
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Vietnam’s stock exchange is getting ready for its largest initial public
offering (IPO). Shares in Vincom, a mall operator, will be sold at an
amount that could range from US$620 million to US$680 million. The
company currently operates 41 malls, and plans to raise this number to
200 by 2021.
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Mutual Funds
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Unit Investment Trust Fund or UITF for short is much similar as mutual
fund in concept and the way it is invested. It is also a pool or collection of
fund from many people.
UITF can be opened in any bank that offers this kind of investment.
Most of the major banks in the Philippines these days have UITF in their
portfolio. The fund here is also managed by a fund manager who
employed by the bank and very knowledgeable about investments.
However, you still need to send the printed form and other
requirements to their office for validations and security purposes. So I
PAMANTASAN NG CABUYAO
Senior High School Department
Katapatan Subdivision, Brgy. Banay-Banay, City of Cabuyao, Laguna
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would suggest that you enroll your bank account to online banking in
order for you to open a UITF in the future.
Below you can see some of the articles I made to give you more
understanding about this investment opportunity in the Philippines. You
can also check this link from PNB that good explanation about UITF.
Treasury Bills
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advance though the whole amount of the money you invested will be
given to you on the maturity date.
Philippine Stocks
Last year, Philippine stock market beat almost all stock market in the
world in terms of return it gives to investors. There is a promising opportunity
in stocks though not all people can venture in it.
So how can you invest in stock? First of all, before you invest, you
must understand how it works and the consequences of your investment.
Be reminded that stock is a high-risk investment and the profit is not
guaranteed by anyone.
PAMANTASAN NG CABUYAO
Senior High School Department
Katapatan Subdivision, Brgy. Banay-Banay, City of Cabuyao, Laguna
32
Second, you should open a stock broker account. There are many
stock brokers in the Philippine that you can choose from that also offers
online service. Check here the list.
Lastly, you should fund your account to start buying stocks which
you can do online. If you are a BPI or Metrobank customer, you can add
money to your stock account through Internet banking.
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References:
An Introduction to the Financial Markets. Retrieved from
https://www.thebalance.com/an-introduction-to-the-financial-markets-
3306233
http://learnfinancialeducation.com/what-are-the-investment-
opportunities-in-the-philippines/
https://wealthinasia.com/wisdom/investment-opportunities-southeast-
asias-stock-markets/
https://www.economicshelp.org/macroeconomics/inflation/causes-
inflation/
https://www.investing.com/markets/philippines
https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/070715/how-do-you-
calculate-gdp-income-approach.asp
https://www.suredividend.com/food-stocks/
PAMANTASAN NG CABUYAO
Senior High School Department
Katapatan Subdivision, Brgy. Banay-Banay, City of Cabuyao, Laguna
34
https://www.thebalance.com/what-is-gdp-definition-of-gross-domestic-
product-3306038
https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2016/05/asean-economic-
community-what-you-need-to-know/
www.myaccountingcourse.com/accounting-dictionary/expenditure-
approach