Observaciones Salarios reales Producto Salarios reales Producto

1959 59,200 48,600 59.20 48.60

1960 60,700 49,500 60.70 49.50
1961 62,500 51,300 62.50 51.30
1962 64,600 53,600 64.60 53.60
1963 66,100 55,700 66.10 55.70
1964 67,700 57,600 67.70 57.60
1965 69,100 59,700 69.10 59.70
1966 71,700 62,100 71.70 62.10
1967 73,600 63,500 73.60 63.50
1968 76,000 65,500 76.00 65.50
1969 77,200 65,800 77.20 65.80
1970 78,600 67,100 78.60 67.10
1971 80,100 70,000 80.10 70.00
1972 82,300 72,200 82.30 72.20
1973 84,100 74,500 84.10 74.50
1974 83,100 73,200 83.10 73.20
1975 83,900 75,800 83.90 75.80
1976 86,200 78,400 86.20 78.40
1977 87,400 79,700 87.40 79.70
1978 88,900 80,600 88.90 80.60
1979 89,100 80,500 89.10 80.50
1980 88,900 80,300 88.90 80.30
1981 89,000 81,900 89.00 81.90
1982 90,500 81,600 90.50 81.60
1983 90,400 84,500 90.40 84.50
1984 90,700 86,800 90.70 86.80
1985 92,100 88,500 92.10 88.50
1986 95,200 91,200 95.20 91.20
1987 95,600 91,600 95.60 91.60
1988 97,000 93,000 97.00 93.00
1989 95,500 93,900 95.50 93.90
1990 96,300 95,300 96.30 95.30
1991 97,400 96,400 97.40 96.40
1992 100,000 100,000 100.00 100.00
1993 99,900 100,500 99.90 100.50
1994 99,700 101,700 99.70 101.70
1995 99,400 102,300 99.40 102.30
1996 99,800 105,100 99.80 105.10
1997 100,700 107,400 100.70 107.40
1998 104,800 110,200 104.80 110.20
1999 107,200 113,000 107.20 113.00
2000 111,000 116,500 111.00 116.50
2001 112,100 118,800 112.10 118.80
2002 113,500 125,100 113.50 125.10
Resumen

Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente de correlación múltiple 0.98768858
Coeficiente de determinación R^2 0.97552872
R^2 ajustado 0.97494607
Error típico 2.25171911
Observaciones 44

ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crítico de F
Regresión 1 8489.08996 8489.08996 1674.29781 1.7974E-35
Residuos 42 212.950036 5.07023896
Total 43 8702.04

Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95%

Intercepción 29.5749693 1.46051533 20.2496808 2.7367E-23 26.62753
Producto 0.70058933 0.01712171 40.9181843 1.7974E-35 0.66603632

Análisis de los residuales

Observación Pronóstico Salarios reales

Residuos
1 63.6236107 -4.4236107
2 64.2541411 -3.5541411
3 65.5152019 -3.0152019
4 67.1265574 -2.5265574
5 68.597795 -2.497795
6 69.9289147 -2.2289147
7 71.4001523 -2.3001523
8 73.0815667 -1.3815667
9 74.0623918 -0.4623918
10 75.4635704 0.53642956
11 75.6737472 1.52625276
12 76.5845134 2.01548663
13 78.6162224 1.48377757
14 80.157519 2.14248105
15 81.7688744 2.33112559
16 80.8581083 2.24189172
17 82.6796405 1.22035946
18 84.5011728 1.69882719
19 85.4119389 1.98806106
20 86.0424693 2.85753067
21 85.9724104 3.1275896
22 85.8322925 3.06770747
23 86.9532355 2.04676454
24 86.7430587 3.75694134
25 88.7747677 1.62523228
26 90.3861232 0.31387682
27 91.577125 0.52287495
28 93.4687162 1.73128376
29 93.748952 1.85104803
30 94.729777 2.27022296
31 95.3603074 0.13969257
32 96.3411325 -0.0411325
33 97.1117808 0.28821924
34 99.6339024 0.36609765
35 99.984197 -0.084197
36 100.824904 -1.1249042
37 101.245258 -1.8452578
38 103.206908 -3.4069079
39 104.818263 -4.1182634
40 106.779914 -1.9799135
41 108.741564 -1.5415637
42 111.193626 -0.1936263
43 112.804982 -0.7049818
44 117.218695 -3.7186946
 Producto Curva de regresión ajustada
150.00

Salarios reales
100.00 Salarios rea
Pronóstico S
50.00 reales
0.00
or crítico de F 40.00 60.00 80.00 100.00 120.00 140.00
Producto

Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%

Superior 95,0% Producto Gráfico de los residuales
32.5224085 26.62753 32.5224085
6
0.73514234 0.66603632 0.73514234
4
2
Residuos

0
-240.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00 90.00 100.00 110.00 120.00 130.0
-4
-6
Producto
e regresión ajustada

Salarios reales
Pronóstico Salarios
reales

.00 120.00 140.00

e los residuales

90.00 100.00 110.00 120.00 130.00

ucto
 Residuos Ressid - 1 Resumen
-3.5541411 -4.4236107
-3.0152019 -3.5541411 Estadísticas de la regresión
-2.5265574 -3.0152019 Coeficiente de correlación múltipl 0.8839663
-2.497795 -2.5265574 Coeficiente de determinación R^2 0.78139642
-2.2289147 -2.497795 R^2 ajustado 0.77606462
-2.3001523 -2.2289147 Error típico 1.01422146
-1.3815667 -2.3001523 Observaciones 43
-0.4623918 -1.3815667
0.53642956 -0.4623918 ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
1.52625276 0.53642956 Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadrados
2.01548663 1.52625276 Regresión 1 150.752175 150.752175
1.48377757 2.01548663 Residuos 41 42.1744522 1.02864518
2.14248105 1.48377757 Total 42 192.926627
2.33112559 2.14248105
2.24189172 2.33112559 Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t
1.22035946 2.24189172 Intercepción 0.02756583 0.15479237 0.17808263
1.69882719 1.22035946 Ressid - 1 0.87081094 0.07193245 12.1059534
1.98806106 1.69882719
2.85753067 1.98806106
3.1275896 2.85753067
3.06770747 3.1275896
2.04676454 3.06770747
3.75694134 2.04676454
1.62523228 3.75694134
0.31387682 1.62523228
0.52287495 0.31387682
1.73128376 0.52287495
1.85104803 1.73128376
2.27022296 1.85104803
0.13969257 2.27022296
-0.0411325 0.13969257
0.28821924 -0.0411325
0.36609765 0.28821924
-0.084197 0.36609765
-1.1249042 -0.084197
-1.8452578 -1.1249042
-3.4069079 -1.8452578
-4.1182634 -3.4069079
-1.9799135 -4.1182634
-1.5415637 -1.9799135
-0.1936263 -1.5415637
-0.7049818 -0.1936263
-3.7186946 -0.7049818
 F Valor crítico de F
146.554107 4.0426E-15

Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%

Superior 95,0%
0.85953507 -0.2850437 0.34017538 -0.2850437 0.34017538
4.0426E-15 0.7255404 1.01608148 0.7255404 1.01608148
Resumen

Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente de correlación múltiple 0.86421638
Coeficiente de determinación R^2 0.74686996
R^2 ajustado 0.74084305
Error típico 1.61307894
Observaciones 44

ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crítico de F
Regresión 1 322.449594 322.449594 123.922622 4.1499E-14
Residuos 42 109.284994 2.60202367
Total 43 431.734588

Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad Inferior 95%

Intercepción 2.97675682 0.91960033 3.23701149 0.00236011 1.12092823
Variable X 1 0.78400862 0.07042803 11.1320538 4.1499E-14 0.6418791
or crítico de F

Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%

Superior 95,0%
4.83258541 1.12092823 4.83258541
0.92613814 0.6418791 0.92613814
Sal_ real Sal_ real(-1) R-Retar-Y Ydif Producto Producto(-1) R-Retar-X Xdif
59.20 29.0524 48.6 23.85045
60.70 59.20 51.58096 9.12 49.5 48.6 42.34518 7.15482
62.50 60.70 52.88791 9.61 51.3 49.5 43.12935 8.17065
64.60 62.50 54.45625 10.14 53.6 51.3 44.69769 8.90231
66.10 64.60 56.28598 9.81 55.7 53.6 46.70168 8.99832
67.70 66.10 57.59293 10.11 57.6 55.7 48.53141 9.06859
69.10 67.70 58.98701 10.11 59.7 57.6 50.18688 9.51312
71.70 69.10 60.20683 11.49 62.1 59.7 52.01661 10.08339
73.60 71.70 62.47221 11.13 63.5 62.1 54.10773 9.39227
76.00 73.60 64.12768 11.87 65.5 63.5 55.32755 10.17245
77.20 76.00 66.2188 10.98 65.8 65.5 57.07015 8.72985
78.60 77.20 67.26436 11.34 67.1 65.8 57.33154 9.76846
80.10 78.60 68.48418 11.62 70 67.1 58.46423 11.53577
82.30 80.10 69.79113 12.51 72.2 70 60.991 11.209
84.10 82.30 71.70799 12.39 74.5 72.2 62.90786 11.59214
83.10 84.10 73.27633 9.82 73.2 74.5 64.91185 8.28815
83.90 83.10 72.40503 11.49 75.8 73.2 63.77916 12.02084
86.20 83.90 73.10207 13.10 78.4 75.8 66.04454 12.35546
87.40 86.20 75.10606 12.29 79.7 78.4 68.30992 11.39008
88.90 87.40 76.15162 12.75 80.6 79.7 69.44261 11.15739
89.10 88.90 77.45857 11.64 80.5 80.6 70.22678 10.27322
88.90 89.10 77.63283 11.27 80.3 80.5 70.13965 10.16035
89.00 88.90 77.45857 11.54 81.9 80.3 69.96539 11.93461
90.50 89.00 77.5457 12.95 81.6 81.9 71.35947 10.24053
90.40 90.50 78.85265 11.55 84.5 81.6 71.09808 13.40192
90.70 90.40 78.76552 11.93 86.8 84.5 73.62485 13.17515
92.10 90.70 79.02691 13.07 88.5 86.8 75.62884 12.87116
95.20 92.10 80.24673 14.95 91.2 88.5 77.11005 14.08995
95.60 95.20 82.94776 12.65 91.6 91.2 79.46256 12.13744
97.00 95.60 83.29628 13.70 93 91.6 79.81108 13.18892
95.50 97.00 84.5161 10.98 93.9 93 81.0309 12.8691
96.30 95.50 83.20915 13.09 95.3 93.9 81.81507 13.48493
97.40 96.30 83.90619 13.49 96.4 95.3 83.03489 13.36511
100.00 97.40 84.86462 15.14 100 96.4 83.99332 16.00668
99.90 100.00 87.13 12.77 100.5 100 87.13 13.37
99.70 99.90 87.04287 12.66 101.7 100.5 87.56565 14.13435
99.40 99.70 86.86861 12.53 102.3 101.7 88.61121 13.68879
99.80 99.40 86.60722 13.19 105.1 102.3 89.13399 15.96601
100.70 99.80 86.95574 13.74 107.4 105.1 91.57363 15.82637
104.80 100.70 87.73991 17.06 110.2 107.4 93.57762 16.62238
107.20 104.80 91.31224 15.89 113 110.2 96.01726 16.98274
111.00 107.20 93.40336 17.60 116.5 113 98.4569 18.0431
112.10 111.00 96.7143 15.39 118.8 116.5 101.50645 17.29355
113.50 112.10 97.67273 15.83 125.1 118.8 103.51044 21.58956
Resumen Regresión sin el primer término

Estadísticas de la regresión
Coeficiente de correlación múltiple 0.8851253
Coeficiente de determinación R^2 0.78344679
R^2 ajustado 0.77816501
Error típico 0.92812278
Observaciones 43

ANÁLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF
Regresión 1 127.773153 127.773153 148.329914
Residuos 41 35.317888 0.8614119
Total 42 163.091042

Coeficientes Error típico Estadístico t Probabilidad

Intercepción 5.45861304 0.59303902 9.20447534 1.5775E-11
Variable X 1 0.56882111 0.04670478 12.1790769 3.3283E-15

Análisis de los residuales

Observación Pronóstico para YResiduos

1 9.5284257 -0.4093857
2 10.1062512 -0.4941612
3 10.5224349 -0.3786849
4 10.5770474 -0.7630274
5 10.6170185 -0.5099485
6 10.8698765 -0.7568865
7 11.1942581 0.29891186
8 10.8011345 0.3266555
9 11.2449173 0.62740265
10 10.424336 0.55686399
11 11.0151193 0.32052069
12 12.0204025 -0.4045825
13 11.8345289 0.67434113
14 12.052467 0.33954301
15 10.1730877 -0.3494177
16 12.2963206 -0.8013506
17 12.4866595 0.61127048
18 11.937531 0.356409
19 11.805172 0.94320798
20 11.3022375 0.33919255
21 11.2380346 0.02913539
22 12.2472712 -0.7058412
23 11.2836427 1.67065731
24 13.0819081 -1.5345581
25 12.9529165 -1.0184365
26 12.7800006 0.29308943
27 13.4732741 1.47999595
28 12.3626451 0.28959485
29 12.9607492 0.74297083
30 12.7788288 -1.7949288
31 13.1291259 -0.0382759
32 13.0609698 0.43284024
33 14.5635505 0.57182946
34 13.0637513 -0.2937513
35 13.4985297 -0.8413997
36 13.2450858 -0.7136958
37 14.5404166 -1.3476366
38 14.4609864 -0.7167264
39 14.9137737 2.1463163
40 15.1187541 0.76900592
41 15.7219092 1.87473077
42 15.2955494 0.09015063
43 17.7392105 -1.9119405
 Variable X 1 Curva de regresión
20.00
15.00
10.00

Y
5.00
0.00
Valor crítico de F 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
3.3283E-15 Variable X 1

Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%

Superior 95,0%
4.26094644 6.65627963 4.26094644 6.65627963
0.47449889 0.66314333 0.47449889 0.66314333
Variable X 1 Gráfico de los res
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
Residuos

0
-0.5 6 8 10 12 14 16
-1
-1.5
-2
-2.5
Variable X 1
 1 Curva de regresión ajustada

Y
Pronóstico para Y

0 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Variable X 1

X 1 Gráfico de los residuales

12 14 16 18 20 22 24

Variable X 1