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Market in India
P Supreet Kumar
Ritu Chaturvedi
Sulabh Arya
▪ The mobile services market continues to grow in India. The market is expected to grow at ~13% per
annum in the next 4 years (~851 mn in 2013, up from 525 mn in 2009). Further penetration into the
rural markets and the provision of next-gen data services create new avenues of growth for the
mobile operators. This in turn provides an impetus to the overall handset market in India, creating
demand for both new as well as replacement handsets. The handset market is expected to grow
~1.5x times in value in next 4 years (~$9 bn in 2013, up from ~$ 6 bn in 2009).
Total Subscribers
Million
2007 08 09 10 11 12 2013
Penetration 21 30 43 53 60 65 69
%
Current reported penetration is 33%.. There is enough steam left and expect Operators continue to demonstrate
expect this to rise to 57% by FY12, largely the subs base to reach 654 mn by strong momentum in monthly subscriber
driven by rural customers…. Net adds in FY12E from 386 mn currently… by 2012 additions… expect Indian wireless
India of 13.6 mn in Feb was well ahead of the Indian market would be ~52% operators to reach 800m subs by Mar
China’s 9-10 mn and Indonesia’s 2-3 mn penetrated 2012, implying 66% SIM penetration
- Nomura Singapore Ltd. , Apr 2009 - ICICIDirect.com, June 2009 - Macquarie Research, Sept 2009
SOURCE: Pyramid Research; Analyst Reports; Team Analysis McKinsey & Company | 2
Industry Overview Basic Phones
Growing subscriber base will expand the handset market to Enhanced Phones
Smart Phones - Entry-Level
~ 1.5x, from $6 Bn in 2009 to $9 Bn in 2013
Smart Phones - Feature
Lowering of prices
1 ▪ Handset Prices have fallen by ~9% YoY between 2007 and
Handset Shipments (Millions, Percent)
2009
-23% p.a.
-6% p.a.
Basic Phones 48 40 28 26 25 23 22
-9% p.a.
-8% p.a.
437 408 359 345
Smartphones - 313 280 257
Feature
▪ ~80% of districts in ▪ Strategy of “sell deep ▪ High-end handsets for ▪ 600 distributors
After sales
▪ > 350 services centers ▪ ~400 service centers in ▪ Multi vendor service ▪ No details available
across country (incl. 250 cities network (>1 vendor per
service 150 dedicated ▪ Toll free complaint city)
company centers) registration, onsite
service (select cities)
▪ 7-10% share of ▪ Turnover of Rs 1,500 ▪ Sales volume of >1.5 ▪ 10% mobile share by
Growth multimedia segment by cr (FY 2010), and Rs mn (FY 2011) 2010
Plans 2011 3,000 cr (FY 2011) ▪ Enhance product ▪ Invest Rs. 100 cr. in FY
▪ Expand in neighboring ▪ Expand retail reach to lineup (~25 models to 2010
markets like Nepal, Sri >70, 000 stores and launched in 2010)
Lanka and Middle East launch exclusive stores ▪ Adopt a direct retail
region ▪ Expand service centers model for distribution
▪ Invest of ~$ 5 mn in to 700 by end of 2010
product dev., marketing
and sales
Other domestic players include – Lemon mobile, Videocon, Onida, Usha Lexus etc.
SOURCE: Voice & Data, Vendor Website, Press Search McKinsey & Company | 6
Industry Overview
4 Handset vendors are adopting innovative distribution channels and
providing customized offering to penetrate rural market
▪ IFFCO - Indian Farmers Fertilizer Co- ▪ ITC e-choupal - an initiative of ITC Ltd.
Partner operative Limited, is a cooperative to link directly with rural farmers for
▪ Leverages strong distribution network; Market Share by Value (USD Billions, Percent)
Offers higher margins to retailers than rivals
▪ Bundles extra features in handset than 100% = 2 4 8 7 8
rivals at particular price point
▪ Focusing on touch screen handsets
(ranging over a wide price range) 55 55 54 62 64
4 23 7 14 21
RAZR2 V8 5300 XpressMusic KF510 Corby (S3653) Cyber-shot C510
INR 5,000 –
INR 15,000
9 25 13 24 27
W388 1200 KP107 B Guru E2120 W200i
INR 1,000 –
INR 5,000
7 16 12 23 9
Available models 20 64 32 61 57
▪ Launched in June 2009 via the Nokia 2323 and 2330 ▪ Focus on three things popular amongst Indians –
classic devices. Bollywood, Cricket and Astrology.
▪ Concept is to deliver valuable and up-to-date information ▪ Tied-up with Indian companies like Infomedia India, South
Nokia ‘Mobile
Nokia’s Direct Content Kiosks
to Consumer Initiatives
Domestic vendors
invest heavily on
establishing:
Distributors
▪ Robust supply
chain
Consumer ▪ Wide retail
Electronics distribution
Player
channel
▪ Brand visibility
Established
Handset
Vendors
Mobile
Operators
How would vendors innovatively lower the prices for 3G handsets to enable
1 uptake?
How would the market dynamics in India change with the launch of Google’s
3 Nexus One?
What role would the handset vendors play in the new app store phenomenon
4 hitting the Indian market? Or would this be left for operators to shape?
As handset vendors further penetrate the rural market, what role would the
5 organised retailers play?
Providing the
▪ Samsung’s strategy is to bundle more features
than rivals at specific price points
right features
– Entry level ‘Guru’ comes with features like
Expanded
▪ Plan to launch 32 new models across all price
points including 3G enabled handsets, touch
Continued
▪ Focus on integrating the communication and
entertainment needs with the launch of three
focus on high-
new handsets like Aino, Satio and Yari.
end
multimedia
▪ Introduction of unique features like 12.1 Mp
camera, gesture controlled actions, motion
SOURCE: Sony Ericsson, Voice and Data, Press McKinsey & Company | 18
Player Strategies
Motorola – Going slow on India Strategy due to economic
downturn and falling market shares
Motorola’s India Strategy
Description
Considering
▪ Motorola’s handset business has been under
pressure globally and management may
selling off
consider selling off the unit globally.
handset Unit
▪ Videocon group, among many, is interested to
buy the unit
▪ Motorola has a limited product portfolio
Limited ▪ Even in 2009 only a handful of models
handset launched
launches ▪ Usually late to the market for any new feature
or technology. For eg, Motorola entered slider
phone market in 2007, when market well under
control of Nokia, Samsung
Restructured ▪ Terminated contract with Bharti Teletech “Product Portfolio issue has ‘A number of companies have
sales & distribn ▪ Roped in fresh distributor – Jaina Marketing & been characteristic of Motorola. expressed interest in acquiring
network Appliances It has not taken into account the Motorola’s handset business,
booming market and diverse including India’s Videocon.
Reducing ▪ Considerably reduced Advertising needs of the customer." - However the sale will happen at
Advertising ▪ Laying off its executives in the marketing and Mahesh Uppal, Director Comfirst the right valuation’’ – Company
spend communication division. official
– 400 employees by Dec 2008
– 100 more employees by Dec 2009
IPhone launched in August 2008 Airtel sold ~20,000 phones in first 3 quarters*