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April, 2018
dl-sw-17/4194/16-18
Indian Highways published on 22 March, 2018
`20/- April, 2018

Indian Highways
sa infrastructure consultants pvt. ltd
(An ISO 9001-2008 Certified Company)

smart innovative infra solutions - working towards better tomorrow

About saicpl
SA infrastructure Consultants Pvt. Ltd along with its subsidiary UPHAM International Corporation and QUEST
Engineers & Consultants are focused on delivering multi-disciplinary infra projects with innovative ideas of
International Standards. The Group forms an ambious consortium of consultancy firms with commitment to
provide high quality specialized consultation into the field of Highways, Structures and Design. Volume : 46 Number : 4 Total Pages : 68
Sectors

Highways Bridges Waterways Railways Sewage Treatment Plant

Services
SA Infrastructure synchronizes every aspect of engineering with imbibed commitment to deliver high quality infrastructure and development
consultation that glorifies a new world. We have successfully carried out numerous consultancy projects in Civil Infrastructure development
transportation, primary & secondary highway networks, Project Management under BOT/Annuity Model, Resource Management, Social aspects
including poverty alleviation and institutional support.

Highways : Including Access Controlled Expressway and upgradation of


existing 2/4 Lanes.
Projects
Bridges : Including VUP, Flyovers, rehabilitation, ROB and Inspection
Report and Conditional Survey.

Metro-Rail Services : Including design of underground and elevated metro


stations, viaducts, architect design of stations and technical services.

Traffic & Transportation and intelligent Transport System - Including


preparation of Urban and Regional Transportation Plans, Land-use
Transport Modeling for Policy Testing and Traffic Predictions. Traffic
Management Plans, Road Safety Audit, Public Transport Planning and
Management.

Urban Infrastructure Development : Including preparation of Plans,


development of townships, infra corridors, water supply, sanitation and
power supply etc.

Water Resources : Including irrigation Flood Control, Ground water


exploration, Environmental and Social Aspects.

BOT/Annuity : Including project identification, Detailed Survey, Feasibility


Study, Detailed Engineering and Design, Economic and Financial Viability
analysis.

Corporate Address : 1101, 11th Floor, Tower A-II, Ansal Corporate Park, Sector 142, Noida - 201 301, Uttar Pradesh India
Tel : +91-120-6148000 / Fax : +91-120-6148090 www.sainfra.com Email - info@sainfra.com

Edited and Published by Shri S.K. Nirmal, Secretary General, Indian Roads Congress, IRC HQ, Sector-6, R.K. Puram,
Kama Koti Marg, New Delhi - 110 022. Printed by Shri S.K. Nirmal on behalf of the Indian Roads Congress
at M/s. India Offset Press, New Delhi-110 064 https://www.irc.nic.in
Indian Highways
Volume : 46 Number : 4 ● April, 2018 ● ISSN 0376-7256
Indian Roads Congress
Founded : On 10th December, 1934

Contents
 From the Editor's Desk 4-5

 Advertisements 6-9, 22, 38

 IRC Member Honoured with Padma Shri Award 10

 IRC Technical Committees Meeting Schedule 37

Technical Papers

 Model Concession Agreement for Public Private Partnership in National Highways -


Review & Recourse 11-22
By SS Joshi

 Review of Percent Time Spent Following (PTSF) as Performance Measure for


Two-lane Highways 23-28
By Vivek, Prof. Raman Parti and Prof. Indrasen Singh

 Observations on Evaluation of Flexural Stresses in Rigid Pavement 29-37


By Rameshwar J. Vishwakarma and R. K. Ingle

 A Study of Travel Choices of Bahadurgarh City School Pupils 39-50


By Amit Vashisth and Praveen Aggarwal

 Tender Notices 51-66

Publisher & Editor: S.K. Nirmal, Secretary General, IRC


E-mail: secygen.irc@gov.in
Headquarter: IRC Bhawan, Kama Koti Marg, Sector-6, R.K. Puram, New Delhi-110 022.
Phone No.: +91-11-26171548 (Admn.), 23387140 & 23384543 (Membership), 23387759 (Sale),
26185273 (Tech. Papers, Indian Highways and Tech. Committees)

No part of this publication may be reproduced by any means without prior written permission from the Secretary General, IRC.
The responsibility of the contents and the opinions expressed in Indian Highways is exclusively of the author(s) concerned. IRC and the
Editor disclaim responsibility and liability for any statements or opinion, originality of contents and of any copyright violations by the
authors. The opinion expressed in the papers and contents published in the Indian Highways do not necessarily represent the views of the
Editor or IRC.

Printed at: M/s India Offset Press, New Delhi-110 064 `20
From the Editor's Desk

TRAFFIC CALMING MEASURES FOR HIGHWAYS


As per the report of Ministry of Road Transport & Highways “Road Accidents in India – 2016”,
number of causalities due to over speeding of vehicles was 73,896 during 2016. Due to over
speeding the drivers are not able to maneuver vehicle safely. In the off-peak hours and at night,
when the roads are clear, the road user drive vehicle at speed more than design speed for the
roads.
Vehicle speed is one of the critical factors associated with road accidents because higher speeds
reduce the time available to avoid collisions and makes the impacts in collisions more severe.
Research studies from around the world demonstrate conclusively that the frequency and severity
of accidents usually reduce with reduction in vehicle speed. At certain locations like approaches
to sharp curves accident prone locations and towards manned and unmanned level crossings,
control of speed becomes necessary to promote orderly movement of traffic and to enhance
safety.
The design speed for various categories of roads has been prescribed in relevant IRC Standards.
This is the maximum speed for a particular category of road. As per the Motor Vehicle Act,
1988, Section 112 “Limits of Speed”, the State Govt. or any authority authorized in this behalf
by the State Govt. may if satisfied that it is necessary to restrict the speed of motor vehicles
in the interest of public safety or convenience or because of the nature of any road or bridge,
by notification in the official Gazette, and by causing appropriate traffic signs to be placed or
erected under section 116 at suitable places, fix such maximum speed limits or minimum speed
limits as it thinks fits for motor vehicles or any specified class or description of motor vehicles
or for motor vehicles to which a trailer is attached, either generally or in a particular area or on
a particular road or roads.
Traffic Calming techniques have emerged primarily as a society’s response to concern for safety.
It is widely accepted that differences and variations in the speed, direction, and/or weight of
vehicles are some of the key determinants of severity of road accidents. These strategies have
played an important role in enhancing road safety by ensuring lower driving speeds and smaller
speed differences between different road vehicles. Several such experiences from around the
world have established that the use of Traffic Calming principles can be used to influence road
design significantly, reduces accidents and pollution and makes neighborhoods more livable.
However, the case in our country is quite different given the heterogeneity of modes of traffic
in most sections of highways. The vehicles plying on urban roads, National Highways and State
Highways vary widely in terms of operating characteristics. Often tractors and animal carts share
the carriageway with fast moving motorized traffic. The highways that pass through villages
and towns are also shared with local traffic, resulting in wide variations in direction, speed and
vehicle weight.
Given the context of socio-economic conditions across the country, it is difficult to restrict access
of non-motorized vehicles to highways. The Traffic Calming techniques have to be adapted
to the Indian context to achieve the goals of managing efficient traffic flow at the same time
ensuring safety of all road users especially around areas where the Highways pass through the
villages and towns. The main advantage of traffic calming is that it is self-enforcing and does

4 INDIAN HIGHWAYS│April 2018


From the Editor's Desk

not normally require any complicated traffic control devices and is usually highly cost effective;
achieving benefits with a value far greater than cost incurred in implementation of measures.
Given the wide differences in traffic patterns on different roads, it is recommended that clear and
unambiguous instructions should be communicated to ensure that the design is appropriate for
the local conditions. Two main principles for speed reducing measures are:
I. Visual measures: Speed limit signs, painted strips markings across the road, zebra
crossing, stop sign marked on the road surface and three dimensional markings, etc.
II. Physical measures: speed breakers, speed bumps, rumble strips, road narrowing,
raised crossings, raised intersections, textured pavements, roundabouts, staggering,
uneven road surface and stone set pavements etc.
It is a common experience that visual measures like speed limit signs alone do not suffice to
control driving speeds but has significant effects when combined with physical measures.
Safety is a key objective for virtually all traffic calming schemes, not only in terms of reducing
accidents, but also to reduce the degree of danger felt by people using the streets. In recent years,
concerns over the environmental and public health effects of traffic have increased considerably
leading to an additional objective of minimizing environmental impacts. Reducing the speed
and volume of traffic can contribute to a better local environment, but it may often be possible,
through imaginative design and the use of appropriate materials, to provide further enhancement.
In the judgment delivered on 30th November, 2017, Hon’ble Supreme Court has given directions
to study and adopt the traffic calming measures through the Road Safety Committee with the
assistance of the MoRTH and other stakeholders”.
IRC has recently revised IRC:99 entitled “Guidelines for Traffic Calming Measures in Urban and
Rural Areas”. In the guidelines traffic calming measures in urban and rural areas, demarcation
of zones for traffic calming and a checklist for traffic calming treatment for highways corridors
passing through desolate areas/agriculture fields/industrial areas/residential/commercial area/
rail road intersection on highways/narrow bridges and hill roads has been explained with
illustrations.
Three young doctors from AIIMS lost their precious lives while over speeding on Yamuna E-Way
on 18th March, 2018. It is reported that on Yamuna E-Way most drivers drive at speed between
120 kmph to 140 kmph. The traffic violations reported between August 2012 to December 2017
are 2.3 crore, while traffic challans were issued to 17833 only. There is a need to study and
implement traffic calming measures, effective traffic management and enforcement to control
speed of vehicles on all our highways.


(Sanjay Kumar Nirmal)
Secretary General

INDIAN HIGHWAYS│April 2018 5


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INDIAN HIGHWAYS│April 2018 9


IRC Member Honoured
Padama
with
award
Padma shri Award 2018

His Excellancy the President of India presenting Padma Shri Award to Shri S.S. Rathore
His Excellancy the President of India, Shri Ram Nath Kovind presented the Padma Shri Award to Shri S.S. Rathore
on 20th March, 2018 at a Civil Investiture Ceremony held at Rashtrapati Bhavan. Among the dignitaries present
on the occasion were the Vice President of India, the Prime Minister of India, Speaker Lok Sabha and Union
Ministers.
Shri Rathore is Past President of IRC, his brief biodata is given below:
Born on 15 March 1956, Mr S S Rathore is the son of T.S. Shivshinghji, ex-Ruler of Valasna State in Gujarat. He
obtained his Bachelor’s Degree in Civil Engineering from L D College of Engineering, Ahmedabad (India) in the
year 1978 with 4 Gold Medals, topping Gujarat University. He topped the Gujarat Public Service Commission
Examination in 1980. Since then, he has worked in various capacities like Executive Engineer, Superintending
Engineer and Chief Engineer in the Roads & Buildings Department. He was promoted as Secretary to Government
of Gujarat in 1997, as Principal Secretary to Government in 2006 and superannuated as Additional Chief Secretary
to the Government of Gujarat in 2014.
Shri S.S. Rathore has 37 years of experience in the infrastructure sector.
He has pioneered various long-distance Public-Private-Partnership (PPP) projects on State Highways, including
the first long-distance four-laning projects in the country. Major projects undertaken by Mr Rathore included the
World Bank assisted Gujarat State Highway Project, the World Bank and Asian Development Bank assisted
Gujarat Emergency Earthquake Rehabilitation Project, first Cable-Stayed Bridge in Gujarat at Bhavnagar,
first three VGF road projects and projects of various prestigious Government Buildings, Air Strips, etc. He was
instrumental in completion of the Rs. 1800 Million Mahatma Mandir (Convention Centre) at Gandhinagar,
Gujarat in a record time of 182 days. He successfully initiated and completed the World Bank-assisted Gujarat
State Highways Project-I, rated as highly satisfactory and one of the most successful externally-aided Road
Project in the country. With this project, he initiated and undertook major reforms in the Highway Sector which
was appreciated by the World Bank, vide its publication “Institutional Reforms in the Highway sector – Learning
from Gujarat”.
The Ministry of Road Transport and Highways, Government of India, appointed Mr Rathore as the Chairman of
Sub-Group on State Roads for Formulation of both the Eleventh Five-Year Plan in 2006 and the Twelfth Five-
Year Plan in 2011.
He was Principal Secretary of the Narmada, Water Resources, Water Supply and Kalpsar Department from 2006
to 2009, where he successfully completed the Sujalam Sufalam Yojana for drought-prone districts and efficiently
handled the severe floods of 2006.
He is Chairman and Managing Director of Sardar Sarovar Narmada Nigam Limited (SSNNL) – an inter-State
multipurpose river valley project with an estimated cost of about 8 billion USD. As CMD of SSNNL, he is also
steering the implementation of a unique project “Statue of Unity” – a 182 meter tall world’s tallest statue of
Sardar Vallabhbhai Patel being built in front of the Sardar Sarovar Dam. This project costing about 500 million
USD is currently under construction through an EPC Contract entrusted to Larsen & Toubro.
He is Vice President -World Federation of Engineering Organisations, Past President -Institution of Engineers,
India and Past President-Indian Roads Congress.

10 INDIAN HIGHWAYS│April 2018


Technical Paper

Model Concession Agreement for Public Private


Partnership in National Highways - Review & Recourse

SS Joshi*

Abstract
No doubt that marathon effort has gone into making a commendable document called ‘Model Concession
Agreement’ (MCA) for Indian Highways by the Planning Commission (Government of India) meant for
Public Private Partnership mode (PPP’s mode) and it is worth laudable. But over the period of time at Project
level it is discovered that certain Articles/Clauses of MCA are required to be revisited to make the MCA a
just, fair and equitable document leaving little room for any dispute in implementing the same. Unlike FIDIC
there is no guide published to give the intended meaning of Articles/Clauses for general reference which
could have been a very useful tool by making it part of the MCA to help understand and clarify content of
certain Articles/Clauses of MCA.
Though the framework in the name and style of MCA for PPP is a robust and credible document as serval
aspects have been sifted and scrutinized by various best minds of the industry yet the popular maxim that
there is always room for improvement which makes us to take a plunge and outline the existing apparent
error, inconsistency, dichotomy in the noble document and offering with certain suggestions to remove the
anomaly to the possible extent and in the process turn it to an enviable document akin and analogues to
standard international document like FIDIC of EPC Contract.

1. Introduction for course correction has been compiled in respect


In present technical paper, attempt has been made of PPP Projects of MCA including DBFOT (Design
to highlight some of the anomalies and ambiguities Build Finance Operate and Transfer variant)
intercepted at project level requiring immediate variant of PPP model.
redressal to make the existing MCA more robust, It is interesting to note that after effecting needful
legally correct, less prone to dispute and equitable correction on certain ‘Articles’/Clauses of MCA
document. The probable solution/suggestions like, Clause 1.2.3, which itself is seen to be
have also been provided for general reference and inconsistent with the time tested legal doctrine
eventually for competent Authority to consider and ---- “Author loses clause” may easily be dispensed
effect suitable course corrections. with from the MCA rendering this otherwise a bit
As the Concessionaire is contractually bound by lopsided document, a legitimately fair and just
the terms Contract Agreement which in turn is document on this count as well.
based on MCA and hence any ambiguity in the said Following table includes some of the Articles/
document shall give rise to ‘dispute’ leading to Clauses of MCA seemingly suffering with
overrun of essence of the Projects namely; “Time” ambiguities & inconsistencies. In following
and “Cost”. paragraphs issues involved and suggestive
In present paper, situations encountered during measures of course corrections have been described
execution at Project level along with suggestions /detailed:
* Team Leader, URS Scott Wilson India Private Limited. Email: ssjoshi70@rediffmail.com, shankar.joshi@urs.com

INDIAN HIGHWAYS│April 2018 11


Technical Paper

Sl. No. Item/Issues Articles/ (S), of MCA and/


or Clauses of (Two laining
Highways through PPP)
1 Introduction –
2 The Scope of the Project. Art.1, 2 , 12 & 16 of MCA
3 Damages for delay:
I.  In fulfillment of any or all the condition Precedent (Disparity in
Cl. 4.2 & 4.3, Art.12 &
Quantum against Concessionaire and Authority)
Art.15 of MCA
II. Damages in relation to Mile Stone
III. Damages for delay to achieve COD
4 Duties/Function of IE and quality Aspect of the project (Requirement
Art.13 of MCA and Art.23
of regular auditing of Concessionaire’s documents related to 100%
of MCA, Schedule ‘Q’
supervision /quality check.)
5 Provisional Certificate; Art.14
6 Change of Scope (COS) – Negative Change of Scope.
Art.16 of MCA
Procedure and cost computation.
7 Assessment of Damages for breach of maintenance obligation Cl. 17.8 of MCA
8 Equity Support/Grant
Art.25 of MCA
(Correct computation of eligible amount against stage payment/ tranche.)
9 Fee Notification. (About the time of notification and adoption of Fee
Art.27 of MCA
Rule-2008 and/or amendment thereof)
10 Arbitration or Adjudication by Regulatory Authority or Commission. Art.44 of MCA.
11 Dispute resolution (On IE’s action/inaction) Art.44 of MCA
12 Total Project Cost (TPC). Art.48 of MCA
13 Schedule ‘G’ Project ‘Mile Stone’ – I, II, III & Schedule Date
Project ‘Mile Stone’ have been specified as a fixed time, i.e. 180th, 365th, Clause 2,3,4 & 5 of
550th, 650th day from the appointed date. (for 4 laning Project) Need Schedule ‘G’
review/modification.

The existing provisions having ambiguities and in conformity with the Specifications and
requiring further clarification and/or need based Standards set forth in Schedule-D:
suggestion/addendum/modification: b. Operation and maintenance of the Project
2. Scope of The Project Highway in accordance with the provisions
of this Agreement; and
Ref: Article 2 of MCA: The scope as defined
c. Performance and fulfillment of all other
under Cl. 2.1 is seen to be inclusive in nature and
obligations of the Concessionaire in
not absolute or exhaustive as reproduced here accordance with the provisions of this
under: Agreement and matters incidental therto or
Cl. 2.1 Scope of the Project: necessary for the performance of any or all of
“The scope of the Project (the “Scpope of the the obligations of the Concessionaire under
Project”) shall mean and include, during the this Agreement.
Concession Period: Issues:
a. Construction of the Project Highway on the Issue-I (a) Often we come across a situation,
Site set forth in Schedule-A and as specified wherein certain items/ structure requiring for
in Schedule-B together with provision of completion of the Project Highway are seen not
Project Facilities as specified in Schedule-C, included /shown in schedule ‘B’.

12 INDIAN HIGHWAYS│April 2018


Technical Paper

The Concessionaire’s immediate reaction to such accordance with Cl 14.3.1 and Cl 15.1 of MCA.
situation is – to convey to them COS Notice/Order (Here it is worth mentioning that Cl14.3.1 & Cl
for taking up such items/ structures under Art.16. 15.1 of MCA provides a precondition of having
But - in accordance with the definition of COS completed the highway so that it can be safely
mentioned under Art.16 we cannot accommodate and reliably placed in commercial operation while
such construction under Art.16. issuing completion certificate.)

Art.16 accommodates COS for only following Suggestion:


situations: Option -I
(a) For “Additional works” not included in Cl. 2.1 may be amended with suitable addendum
the scope of works. (At the behest of the by mentioning about completion of the Project
Employer) Highway as under:
(b) For ‘Safer’ and “Improved Services” to the New Sub Clause “(d) Notwithstanding anything to
users. (At the behest of the Concessionaire) the contrary contained herein, the Concessionaire
Moreover, Art.8 (Disclaimer) while mentioning shall ensure the completion of the Project Highway
about various information, documents including so that it can be safely and reliably placed in the
“Scope of the Project” as provided by the Authority commercial operations.”
states following: Option-II
“……………………The Authority makes no The Scope be defined in absolute term (by
representation whatsoever, express, implicit or deleting inclusive aspect of Cl 2.1 of MCA) and
otherwise, regarding the accuracy, adequacy, Schedule –B and Schedule-C be made exhaustive
correctness, reliability and/or completeness of any by including all items/components to be done by
assessment, assumption, statement or information the Concessionaire to ensure safe and reliable
provided by it and the concessionaire confirms operation on completion leaving only incidental
that it shall have no claim whatsoever against the works of the main activities already covered under
Authority in this regard” (vide Cl 8.1.1 of MCA) Cl 2.1(c). Also Art -8 (Disclaimer ) be tweaked
Thus, the scope provided in MCA ( Variants of so as to exclude open ended aspect of the Scope
PPP, viz; For BOT/DBFOT Projects) is indicative mentioned in Cl 8.1 of MCA.
and seems to be open ended…………….. Issue-I(b) Though the Scope of the Project is
Though conjoint reading of all above Articles/ defined under Cl. 2.1 yet under Cl. 12.4.1 of
Clauses and/or references made therein suggests MCA, the obligation of Concessionaire about
that the Concessionaire shall/must complete construction of the Project Highways connoting
all activities/items so that Project Highway can the scope, reads as under:
be safely and reliably placed for commercial “On or after the Appointed Date, the
operations. (But no expressed mention to this effect Concessionaire shall undertake construction
is seen stated in “The Scope” for such completion of -------------------as specified in Schedule-B
under Art.2 of MCA.) and Schedule-C, and in conformity with the
“But then, what is the significance of Schedule Specifications and Standards set forth in Schedule-
‘B’-----? and how the scope can be rationally ‘D’……………………………………….
defined with requisite clarity?------or whether the Thus, there is a distinct dichotomy between the
Concessionaire is necessarily required to ensure above two existing clauses of MCA. Cl. 2.1 of
that entire construction be done by completing MCA defining the scope starts with the inclusive
items given in Schedule ‘B’ & ‘C’ and also definition, meaning thereby the Concessionaire
completing all other items activities (at its own may require to undertake certain other works
cost) so that the highway can be said to be safely necessary to complete the Project Highway, so that
and reliably placed for commercial operation in it can be safety and reliably placed in commercial

INDIAN HIGHWAYS│April 2018 13


Technical Paper

operation. This may even include works not Thus Cl. 4.1.4 of MCA makes it obligatory on
covered under Schedule ‘B’ and ‘Ç’ whereas; Cl. the part of both parties to put sincere efforts and
12.4.1 of MCA is seen to be the truncated version connotes an equitable respective obligation/
of Cl. 2.1 of MCA and creates confusion about the responsibility.
Scope/Obligation of the Concessionaire. Although
Issue:
referral of priority Article/Clause - Cl. 1.4.2 (a)
of MCA may settle about the correct definition But, in so far as, Damages on account of ‘delay’
of Scope, of the Concessionaire, vide following (attributed to the Authority or the concessionaire)
content of Cl. 1.4.2 (a) of MCA: in fulfillment of Condition Precedent is concerned,
the distinct discrimination is evident against the
“…………Subject to the provision of Cl. 1.4.1,
Concessionaire. Though maximum Damages is
in case of ambiguities or discrepancies within this
capped same for both the parties (Authority as
Agreement, the following shall apply:
well as Concessionaire) at 20% of the Performance
(a) Between two or more Clauses of this
Security, but the amount to be calculated against
Agreement, the provisions of a specific Clause
unfulfilled obligation towards Condition
relevant to the issue under consideration shall
Precedent for the Authority is pegged @ 0.1% of
prevail over those in other Clauses;
Performance Security per day while such Damages
Yet, we may correct the content of Cl. 12.4.1
for the Concessionaire is pegged @ 0.2% of the
of MCA by specifically referring Art.2 in
Performance Security, vide Cl. 4.2 and Cl. 4.3
Cl. 12.4.1 of MCA to totally eliminate the
of MCA, respectively. (As a matter of fact , the
necessity of cross reference of Article of
rate of damages being half while cap being same
MCA and this shall avoid confusion.
does provide the respective party, relatively a
Suggestion: diminishing sense of urgency in fulfilling the
To avoid/eliminate the perennial contradiction condition precedent.)
between Art.2 and Cl. 12.4.1 of MCA, we may
Such, disparity in MCA which otherwise contains
rephrase first 4 lines of Cl. 12.4.1 of MCA as under:
equitable set of terms and condition is seen to be
(Modified) unreasonable and need review.
Cl.12.4.1 “On or after the appointed date, the Suggestion:
Concessionaire shall undertake construction
of [-------------------] as specified in The Damages for delay attributed to either party
Art.2……………………...............……… for each day of breach period may be kept same @
0.x% of the Performance Security.
3. Damages for delay:
II. Damages in relation to Mile Stone: Cl. 12.4.2
I. In fulfillment of any or all the Condition of MCA states that:
Precedent (Disparity in Quantum
“The Concessionaire shall construct the Project
against Concessionaire and Authority)
Highway in accordance with the Project
(a) By the Authority – vide Cl. 4.2
Completion Schedule set forth on Schedule –G. In
of MCA
the event that the Concessionaire fails to achieve
(b) By the Concessionaire – vide any Project Milestone within period of 90 days
Cl. 4.3 of MCA from the date set forth for such Milestone in
Cl. 4.1.4 of MCA provides that Schedule-G, unless such failure has occurred due
“Each party shall make all reasonable endeavors to force Majeure or for reason solely attributable to
to satisfy the Conditions Precedent within the time the Authority it shall pay Damages to the Authority
stipulated and shall provide the other Party with in a sum calculated at the rate of 0.1% (zero point
such reasonable cooperation as may be required one per cent) of the amount of Performance
to assist that Party in satisfying the Conditions Security of delay of each day until such Milestone
Precedent for which that Party is responsible.” is achieved…………………………”

14 INDIAN HIGHWAYS│April 2018


Technical Paper

Issue: calculated at the rate of 0.1% (zero point one per


The pertinent question is, whether the period of cent) of the amount of Performance Security for
Damages @ 0.1% of performance security per delay of each day until COD is achieved”.
day till mile stone is achieved, is to be reckoned Issue:
from the scheduled Mile Stone date specified in the Here also, the pertinent question is whether, the
Schedule ‘G’ or such delay is to be reckoned w.r. period for Damages @ 0.1% of performance
to the date after availing 90 days of apparent grace security per day is to be reckoned w.r. to Scheduled
period. Date or w.r 91st day after scheduled date.
There have been dispute on this count. While Suggestion:
apparently this does not require any clarification
A line of clarity akin to existing Cl.14.4.1 of MCA
as the scheduled mile stone date mentioned in
may be included if delay is to be reckoned w.r to
Schedule –G is further qualified through Cl14.4.1
91st day after scheduled date or it may be modified
of MCA (supra) stating that if the Concessionaire
and clarified otherwise.
fails to achieve specified Mile Stone within 90
days from the date set forth for such Mile stone in 4. Duties And Functions of
Schedule-G ………….it shall pay damages to the Independent Engineer and
Authority…… Quality Aspect of The Project:
On the face of it, it looks quite normal to effect Duties and Function of IE:
Damages commencing from 91st day of the Ref: Cl. 23.2 of MCA refers Schedule ‘Q’ of MCA.
respective date specified in schedule-G. As such if
Para 5.5 of Schedule ‘Q’- States that to determine
Mile stone is achieved within 90 days of said grace
that the work conforms to Specifications and
period then it will not attract any Damages. BUT
standards IE shall require the concessionaire to
Other interpretations are : 1. 90 days beyond carry out or cause to be carried out test on sample
specified date is the grace period and if specified basis.
mile stone is achieved within 90 days then still
Para 5.6 of Schedule-Q provides the size of the
Damages may be reckoned w.e.f. expiry of
sample….stating that the size of the sample shall
specified date mentioned in Schedule-G .
comprise 10% of the quantity/number of tests
: 2. If Mile stone is achieved even after expiry prescribed for each type/category …(This simply
of said 90 days grace period then the Damages means that the test to be conducted should be
shall be effected w.r.to expiry of Mile stone date normally 10% of the total required test of the
specified in Schedule-G. OR whether it should be sample.)
reckoned w.e.f. 91st day i.e. after grace period of
Para 5.7 of Schedule-Q refers about the timing of
90 days…
tests; The tests should be done on random samples.
Suggestion: The tests should be in addition to and independent
A line of clarity akin to existing Cl. 14.4.1 of MCA of the tests carried out by the Concessionaire…
may be included if delay is to be reckoned after Similarly, under Cl. 13.3 of MCA provision of
grace period of 90 days, If intention is not so, then sample tests not exceeding 10% of the quantity
it may be clarified accordingly. of Tests prescribed by IRC and/ or MOSRTH,
III. Damages for delay to achieve COD: exists. It further states that one half of the cost
Ref. Cl. 15.2 Of MCA, the content of which is incurred on such tests and to the extent certified by
reproduced here under: the Independent Engineer as reasonable, shall be
reimbursed by the Authority.
“Subject to the provision of Clause 12.4, if COD
does not occur prior to the 91 st (Ninety first) Issue:
day after the Scheduled Date, the Concessionaire (a) How the provision of Schedule ‘Q’ (Para
shall pay the Damages to the Authority in a sum 5.5) under Cl. 23.2 of MCA (where no

INDIAN HIGHWAYS│April 2018 15


Technical Paper

separate reimbursement is required to be must necessarily get such periodic audit


done by the Authority to the Concessionaire) done through IE. Failure in getting regular
is different from provision of Cl. 13.3 auditing by the Concessionaire and/or
of MCA. (where such reimbursement is deficiency in conducting tests and/or keeping
required to be done.) corresponding records must be provisioned
(b) Secondly, the misconstrued version in vogue with penalty and COD/Provision COD must
is that against every activity, 10% tests also be made subject to total compliance in
should be done or caused to be done by the this regard. Presently such enforcement is
IE …and to prove this alleged requirement not supported by any expressed provision in
the total number of tests for all (each and MCA and at times, affects the quality aspect
every activities) activities done/to be done in of the PPP project. Such provision may be
accordance with Standards/specifications by included in MCA.
the Concessionaire is taken as bench mark 5. Provisional Certificate; Vide
to get/determine the 10% tests to be done by Art.14
the IE… .whereas the intent of MCA does not
The Provisional Certificate has been defined under
support it. There is only random samples to
Cl. 14.3.1 as completion of the entire Project (after
be considered for 10% tests by the IE
tests are Successful) minus certain activities which
(c) Thirdly, there is no provision in MCA to may be put under “Punch List” and need to be
check/audit by IE the 100% tests done by completed within 90 days of the date of issue of
the Concessionaire of all activities… No the Provision Certificate.
expressed mechanism exists in MCA for
Under Cl. 14.3.2 of MCA it further provides that
supervision/quality check of all activities
upon request of the Concessionaire Provisional
of the project by IE. Accordingly skeleton
Certificate may be issued for operating part of the
staff of IE is provisioned. This is with a
Project Highway, if at least 75% of total length of
specific purpose to minimize the interference
the Project Highway has been completed.
and assure fast pace of progress while
responsibility is shifted to the Concessionaire. Issue:
But , still there need to be adequate provision What about balance length, (approx 25% length),
in MCA for regular auditing/checking by whether the same shall go to the “Punch List”
IE of all tests having been done by the requiring it to be completed within 90 days after
Concessionaire … issuance of Provision Certificate, along with other
Suggestion: (for ‘a’, ‘b’ and ‘ c’) minor pending works.
a. A line of clarity need to be provided between ‘OR’
Cl. 13.3 of MCA and Para 5.5 of Schedule There shall be two nos. of Provision Certificate
‘Q’: and correspondingly two O&M period, namely, (i)
b. In the interest of the overall quality of the Against exceeding 75% length and (ii) For balance
project the concessionaire or its consultant length respectively.
(PMC) must mandatorily check/supervise Suggestion:
100% in accordance with the specifications/
A line of clarification on above issue is required to
MOSRTH requirements and document the
be included in the MCA appropriately.
same.
c. To ensure that it is being done so, the 6. “Change of Scope”:
provision in MCA may be included A. Inclusion of provision for indicative cost
for random but periodic check (audit) to be communicated by the Concessionaire
of the supporting documents by IE for before issuance of notice about COS:
having conducted all referred tests by  Art.16 of MCA requires notice (Change of
the concessionaire. The Concessionaire scope) to be issued by the Authority in the

16 INDIAN HIGHWAYS│April 2018


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event of the Authority determining that a 7. Assessment of Damages for


Change of Scope is necessary. breach of maintenance
Cl. 16.2.2 of MCA provides for options and obligation: Cl. 17.8 of MCA
cost impact after issue of COS notice so that Cl. 17.8.1 provides for Damages to be paid for
under Cl. 16.2.3, the Authority shall convey each day’s beyond corresponding specified period
its preferred option and finalize the cost for until the Concessionaire repairs or rectifies any
implementation. But, the Authority must defect or deficiency set forth in the maintenance
readily have corresponding approximate cost requirement.
to be submitted by the concessionaire before
The analytical basis for computation of Damages
even issuing COS notice. More so, inter-alia,
to enable the Authority to meet the specific to be done by IE, is provided under Cl. 17.8.1 of
requirement of releasing advance payment MCA. The recovery of such Damages shall be
to the concessionaire within 7(seven) days without prejudice to the rights of the Authority
of issuing a Change of Scope order, in under this Agreement, including the Right of
accordance with Cl. 16.3.1 of MCA. Termination thereof.
Suggestion: Issue:
It is better if such provision of tentative cost aspect But under Cl. 17.8.2 of MCA the Damages
be included by making it obligatory on the part of so computed in accordance with Cl. 17.8.1 of
the Concessionaire to submit tentative cost along MCA is totally watered down and an element
with COS proposal (whether athe behest of the of ambiguity has been injected by including
Concessionaire or the Authority) before issuance discretion of the Authority to modify the Damages
of Change of Scope notice. After such inclusion, which is computed on specified rational basis to
the Concessionaire may readily provide the an unspecified smaller sum, ------------------ if the
tentative cost while requesting for COS notice. breach is seen to have been cured promptly and the
Presently, Concessionaire is providing the costing Concessionaire is otherwise in compliance with its
perforce and reluctantly after reminders as Art.16 obligation hereunder, vide Cl. 17.8.2 of MCA.
does not cover such requirement. Furthermore, Suggestion:
the procedure and basis of cost computation may
Cl. 17.8.2 needs review on following:
be spelt out in MCA. Presently in absence of
any provision in MCA certain circulars are being a. The Cl. 17.8.2 of MCA may be deleted.
referred as guidelines which are applicable for OR
DPR/feasibility study. If, the intent is to expedite the repair /
 One or two Paras may be devoted to address rectifications after the breach is occurred and
above aspects. giving the Concessionaire one more chance
B. Negative Change of Scope to expedite, then
We come across a situation where the b. Cl. 17.8.2 of MCA may be modified to
Concessionaire does not follow the specification eliminate uncalled for discretion and ”Vague”
and /or forego certain mandatory procedure or element like “Smaller Sum”, etc, as decision
obligation having cost implications. making is affected adversely on account of
absence of clarity. The following may be
The existing provisions in MCA do not expressly
replaced/modified in Cl. 17.8.2 of MCA to
cater for Negative COS. (Cl. 16.6 refers to
the following extent:
Negative COS for reduction in the scope of the
 Instead of mentioning vague statement, viz
Project on account of force majeure or for reasons
“……… Authority may, in its discretion,
solely attributable to the Authority only).
demand a smaller sum as Damages, if
Suggestion: in its opinion, the breach has been cured
Suitable provision of Negative COS (- COS) may promptly ……….…………………….;
be included under Art.16 to cater for situation may be replaced by specified degree/level
referred above of repair/cure of breach vis-à-vis 2-3 given

INDIAN HIGHWAYS│April 2018 17


Technical Paper

stringent time frame and may be paired 9. Fee Notification:


with corresponding suitably specified %age (a) About time of notification:
reduction of Damages w.r. to total computed (i) Ref. Cl. 27.1.2 is reproduced as under:
Damages to make it more rational.
The parties acknowledge that a
8. “GRANT” (Article 25 of MCA): notification for levy and collection of
There is a need to have a correct and uniform fee shall be issued by the Government
procedure across all applicable PPP projects under Section 8A of the Act read with
towards computation of eligible amount to the Rule 3 of the National Highways
Concessionaire against each tranche of Grant. The Fee (Determination of Rates and
relevant existing Cl. 25.2.3 of MCA is reproduced Collection) Rules, 2008 (the ”Fee
as under: Notification”) within 90 (ninety) days
hereof, substantially in the form set
“Equity Support shall be due and payable to the
forth in Schedule-R
Concessionaire after it has expended the Equity,
and shall be disbursed proportionately along with (ii) Fee Notification as defined under
the loan funds thereafter remaining to be disbursed Art.48 of MCA is reproduced as under:
by the Senior Lenders under the Financing “ “Fee Notification” means the
Agreements. The Authority shall disburse each notifications to be issued by the
tranche of the Equity Support as and when due, Government, prior to the Appointed
but no later than 15 (fifteen) days of receiving Date, in exercise of powers conferred
a request from the Concessionaire along with by Section 8A of the National
necessary particulars.” Highways Act, 1956 read with
Suggestion: Rule-3 of the National Highways
Fee (Determination of Rates and
The clarification by ‘example’ of above may be Collection) Rule, 2008, is respect of
included under Cl. 25.2.3 for much needed clarity the levy and collection of Fee during
as there are several interpretations being adopted. the Concession Period, substantially in
Some of them are as under: the form at Schedule-‘R’.”
After having expended the equity by the This puts an onus on the Government
Concessionaire: to issue Fee Notification during
Proportional disbursement may be as under: Development Period i.e. before the
Appointment Date.
a. (Total loan fund withdrawn) X (Total Grant) Issue:
(Total loan amount)
“OR” The conjoint reading of both (i) and (ii) above,
b. (Total loan fund withdrawn + loan reveals that the Government must issue Fee
request made) Notification within 90 Days of the signing of the
X (Total Grant)
(Total loan amount) Agreement or before Appointed Date.
c. (Balance loan fund at the time (It is presumed that the period, earlier of the above
when Equity is expended) X (Total Grant) two may be adhered to)
(Total loan amount)
d. (Balance loan fund at the time
As a matter of fact it must be issued as early as
when Equity is expended + Loan possible after signing of Agreement and must not
request made) go beyond 90 days.
X (Total Grant)
(Total loan amount) This is understandable for 4/6 laning of the
 Correct example may be provided to ensure Project Highway where Concessionaire is to
uniform (Pan India) and correct interpretation operate existing Toll Plaza just after declaration of
of the eligible amount against particular Appointed Date. But in case of Project Highway
tranche/installment under this Article of where there is no existing Toll Plaza, such, as
MCA. viz….., C/o Two lane with paved shoulder(without

18 INDIAN HIGHWAYS│April 2018


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existing Toll Plaza) or widening to 4-lane (without Agreement and National Highways
existing Toll Plaza), then such issuance of early Fee Rule-2008
Fee Notification does not seem mandatory and /or ii. Definition of Fee Rule mentioned
reasonable. under Art. 48 of MCA defines “Fee
To cater for such situation a line of clarity may Rule” as,// “Fee Rule” mean.
be introduced to the effect that Fee Notification The National Highways Fee
for such Project, may be issued after 50% of the (Determinations of Rates and
Project Highway is completed and this must be Collection) Rules, 2008
issued before 75% of the Project Highway length iii. “Fee Notifications” as defined in Art.
is completed, (Practically Fee Notification for such 48 of MCA is as under:
situation is being done as suggested above but then “Fee Notification” means the
inclusion of such clarity in MCA shall validate Notification to be issued by the
such action) Government, prior to the Appointed
(b) About reference of Fee Rule-2008 or Date, in exercise of the powers
amendment thereof for base rates: conferred by Section 8A of the
Clause 27.1.1 of MCA dwells on collection National Highways Act, 1956 read
and appropriation of Fee. Cl. 27.1.1 of MCA is with Rule-3 of the National Highways
reproduced as under: Fee (Determination of Rates and
Collection) Rule, 2008, in respect of
“On and from the COD till the Transfer Date, the
the levy and collection of Fee during
Concessionaire shall have the sole and exclusive
the Concession Period, substantially in
right to demand, collect and appropriate Fee the form at Schedule-R of MCA;
from the Users subject to and in accordance with
B. In favor of rates to be adopted as per latest
this agreement and the National Highways Fee
amendment of Fee Notification
(Determination of Rates and Collection) Rule,
2008 (the “Fee Rule”); provided that for ease of i. Cl. 27.1.1 of MCA, : Fee to be levied
payment and collection, such Fee shall be rounded in accordance with this Agreement and
off to the nearest 5 (five) rupees in accordance National Highways Fee Rule-2008
with the Fee Rule; provided further that the ii. Cl. 1.2.1(b) of MCA reads as under
Concessionaire may determine and collect Fee at In this Agreement, unless the context otherwise
such lower rates as it may, by public notice to the requires,
Users, specify in respect of all or any category of “Reference to laws of India or Indian law or
Users or vehicles.” regulation having the force of law shall include the
The relevant question related to levy of Fee is laws, acts, ordinances, rules, regulation, byelaw
about the reference of Fee Rule. In case, if during or notifications which have the force of law in the
the currency of the project construction the Fee territory of India and as from time to time may be
rates have been revised by way of amendment/ amended, modified supplemented, extended or
notification of Fee Rule, then whether the basic enacted.
rates to be adopted shall be as per Fee Rule- Now, there appears to be distinct dichotomy in ‘A’
2008 (as specified in the MCA /Agreement) and & ‘B’ --------and both are taken from MCA.
escalating @ 3% per annum to update the same or
‘A’ makes it crystal clear that Fee to be levied need
as per subsequent amended rate notified through
to be as per Fee Rule-2008 (or as mentioned in the
the Gazette.
Agreement).
MCA speaks divergent views on this issue as
This interpretation is also corroborated by the A
under:
(iii) ---------- the Fee Notification to be done before
A. In favor or Fee Rule-2008 the Appointed Date. (and basic rates are indicated
i. Clause 27.1.1 of MCA reads, ;Fee in the said Project Fee Notification) Thus, the
to be lavied in accordance with this intent of the contract (MCA) is to adopt prevailing

INDIAN HIGHWAYS│April 2018 19


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base rate as per Fee Rule as mentioned in the (a) Using best effort promptly, equitably
Agreement i.e. as per Fee Rule-2008. The Project and in good faith under Cl. 44.1.2 of
specific Fee Notification shall be published in the MCA
Gazette accordingly. (b) Conciliation under Cl. 44.2 of MCA
While conjoint reading of B (i) and B (ii) reveals (c) Arbitration under Cl. 44.3 of MCA
that rate to be adopted may be as per latest amended But
version of Fee Rules:
Cl. 44.4 of MCA inter-alia, provides, “In the event
A (i) above, provides a flexibility to adopt the of Constitution of a Statutory Regulatory Authority
amended rate, as Cl. 27.1.1 also states that fee to or Commission with powers to adjudicate upon
be levied in accordance with this Agreement and disputes between Concessionaire and the Authority
Agreement encompasses in it the amended version all disputes arising after such constitution shall
(Cl.1.2.1 of MCA) to be referred. instead of reference to arbitration under Cl. 44.3,
Although, B (ii) is not a without rider as it starts be adjudicated, upon by such Regulatory Authority
with unless the context otherwise requires. or Commission………………
Now, even after analyzing the terms of MCA Issue:
under ‘A’ & ‘B’ above, one finds that there is still (i) Now, question is as to under what circumstance
confusion/ambiguity persisting. the referred Statutory Regulatory Authority
Supposing Concession Agreement has been drawn/ or Commission with power to adjudicate is
entered into in 2010 wherein Fee Rule-2008 is made constituted;
applicable for the purpose of base rate and COD (ii) And who is empowered to constitute the same
is achieved some time in 2014 then for the entire and procedure thereof.
Concession period the base rate of Fee Rule-2008  Above two issues may be clarified/detailed in
shall continue to be applicable of course with the MCA.
annual specified hike mentioned in the Rule. This
11. Dispute Resolution:
is understandable, in keeping with the spirit of the
Contract, provided there is no amendment issued Art.44 of MCA deals with the dispute resolution
till COD/Provisional Certificate. But if amended between the parties. It provides for:
base rate is published during the construction a. Best efforts for resolving dispute in equitable
period i.e. before Provisional Certificate/COD manner and in good faith.
then in my considered view, the amended version b. In case it is not resolved through ’a’ above
of Fee Notification Rule need to be adopted for then by intervention of IE and in case of
the sake of fair, just and equitable application to stalemate, the reference to be made for
the possible extent towards Concessionaire, or amicable settlement between Chairman of
else it must be made crystal clear that Fee rates NHAI and Chairman of the Concessionaire.
prevailing at the time of bid submission/as given in c. If, not resolved in ‘b’, matter may be referred
Agreement, shall be adhered to. So, also Cl.1.2.1 to Arbitration under Cl.44.2 of MCA.
of MCA shall be amended with a rider/exception,
Issue: Now, the dispute may arise due to action or
which may include Fee Notification/levy of Fee--
inaction of IE and as per Cl. 23.6 of MCA, such
-------etc.
dispute may be resolved in accordance with the
10. Arbitration or Adjudication Dispute Resolution Procedure.
by Regulatory Authority or Now, Dispute Resolution Procedure is available
commission. under Art.44 of MCA as referred above (‘a’ to ‘c’).
Ref. Art. 44 (Cl. 44.3 and Cl. 44.4) of MCA. Thus, somehow, Art.44 of MCA is seen to be
For resolving dispute, the procedure mentioned for dispute redressal between the parties i.e.
under Art.44 of MCA requires to be adhered to in Concessionaire and ‘the Authority’. Then how
accordance with the following procedure in that dispute arising due to action or inaction of IE may
order: be resolved????

20 INDIAN HIGHWAYS│April 2018


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 A line of clarity by way of a suitable Prior to accurance of project ‘Mile Stone’ certain
mechanism to deal with dispute due to action specified activity/events are indicated which should
or inaction of IE may be introduced in MCA. have been commenced and at least a specified sum
12. Total Project Cost (TPC): should have been expended.
Ref. Art. 48 of MCA (Definition) Now, if condition spelt out corresponding to any
‘Mile Stone’ has been fulfilled, but as per definition,
Total Project Cost (TPC) is defined as under:
the ‘Mile Stone’, shall occur on a pre-determined
“The total Project Cost” means the lowest of; date only.
(a) the capital cost of the Project, {less
Thus, we can check/compare on predetermined
Equity Support} as set forth in the
date/‘Mile Stone’ as to whether or not, the
Financial Package;
Concessionaire has fulfilled the requisite
(b) the actual cost of the Project upon conditions. In accordance with the definition
completion of [four laning] of
provided in Schedule-‘G’, the ‘Mile Stone’
the Project Highway {less Equity
status may be compared only against a fixed and
Support};
predetermined time and we cannot say that the
(c) a sum of Rs………Crore (Rupee Concessionaire has achieved certain ‘Mile Stone’
………………………. crore), less
beforehand as the definition of ‘Mile Stone’ clearly
Equity Support;
states that it shall occur on a fixed predetermined
Whether, to arrive at TPC we have to necessarily date.
exclude “Equity Support”.
Suggestion:
Secondly, (b) citied above, shall be known only at
the time of completion and hence, TPC (final) may Now, In my considered view, for making it more
be ascertained only after completion of the Project rational and meaningful, the ‘Mile Stone’ should
Highway but during intervening period only (a) primarily be in relation to commencement/
and (c) shall govern to determine TPC, e.g. For the completion of certain activities/events as referred
purpose of determining limit of ‘equity support’ in Para 2, 3, 4 & 5 of Schedule ‘G’ to be added with
(40% of TPC) as defined in Cl. 25.2.2 only (a) and a specified period cap and not a predetermined
(c) may be considered for determining TPC. Then fixed time.
as per above definition while considering (a), (b) e.g. Referring to Para 2 of Schedule ‘G’, the
& (c) at the time of completion, the TPC may be modified description may be as under:
different.
13.2 Project Mile Stone-I (proposed modified
Suggestion:
version)
The definition of TPC may be modified as for
Project Mile Stone shall occur on or before 180th
“Final TPC” and also a suitable rider may be
day from the Appointed Date and the Concessionaire
provided for specific purpose such as for Art.25, it
has been done towards ‘equity support component’ shall have commenced construction of the project
therein stating that for the purpose of Art.25 equity Highway and expended not less than 10% (Ten
support shall be added. percent) of the total capital cost set forth in the
financial package.
13. Project Mile Stone – I, Ii & Iii &
Scheduled Completion Date With above modification, the related Clause 12.4
of MCA shall also need suitable amendment;
13.1 Such ‘Mile Stones’ have been covered under
wherein, the grace period of 90 days shall be read
Para 2, 3, 4 and 5 of schedule ‘G’ of MCA and a
as 90 days from the maximum date set forth for
fixed /specified time has been assigned specifying
that it shall occur on a certain date (e.g. 180th day, such ‘Mile Stone’ of schedule ‘G’.
365th day, 550th day, 650th day respectively after Similarly, Para 3, 4 & 5 of Schedule ‘G’ shall need
appointed date for 4 laning project) amendment in the same line.

INDIAN HIGHWAYS│April 2018 21


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With above modification, the confusion associated of various Articles/Clauses shall be elaborated
with the existing content of the Sch G (para 1,2,3,4 in a simplified manner with provision of need
& 5) may be totally eliminated. based examples. This shall make the MCA a more
trustworthy, flawless, fair and robust Contract
14. Conclusion:
document equitable to all parties to the contact.
The Articles and Clauses of MCA contain the rights
and duties of the Parties to the contract. Hence, List of Acronyms:
any error, anomaly therein is bound to give rise to Art. : Article (of Model Concession Agreement.)
dispute which gallops three essentials, namely time,
MCA : Model Concession Agreement
money and energy. In my considered view this is
a high time, the MCA be revisited and ambiguous Cl. : Clause of Concession Agreement.
and or complex Articles/Clauses be corrected/ COS : Change of Scope.
simplified for the benefit of all stakeholders.
IE : Independent Engineer
The MCA in present form requires corrections in
some Articles/Clauses and clarity to be injected IRC : Indian Roads Congress
against certain Articles/Clauses.
SP : Special Publication
The suggestions made in this paper may be of help
to make the MCA more responsive and robust TPC : Total Project Cost
document. Reference:
This may be supplemented by publishing “Guide Model Concession Agreement (Public Private
to MCA” forming part of MCA in line with ‘FIDIC Partnership in National Highways) by Planning
guide’ wherein correct clarification/interpretation Commission-Government of India.

22 INDIAN HIGHWAYS│April 2018


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Review of Percent Time Spent Following (PTSF)


as Performance Measure for Two-lane Highways

Vivek* Prof. Raman Parti** Prof. Indrasen Singh***


ABSTRACT
Percent Time Spent Following (PTSF) is implemented by the Highway Capacity Manual (HCM) as key service
measure for evaluating the level of service of two-lane highways. However, to measure Percent Time Spent
Following directly in the field is complicated. Because of this complication, estimation of Percent Time Spent
Following based on analytical procedure which uses equations derived from simulations and field observa-
tions at given location based on surrogate measure; as the percent of vehicles traveling with headway less
than 3 seconds (3s). Findings from existential studies confirmed that analytical procedures used in Highway
Capacity Manual in evaluating Percent Time Spent Following yield results that are irreconcilable with the
3s surrogate measure and mostly overcapitalize the indicator. This paper presents a review on the estimation
of Percent Time Spent Following on two-lane highways and suggests presumptive approach to affirm the ap-
plication of the current practice. Further, the authors of this paper argued that the use of 3s as surrogate for
estimating Percent Time Spent Following based on field observation at a specific point may not represent the
actual time spent following over a long segment of two-lane highway since Percent Time Spent Following is
space related measure. Hence, the authors suggested the use of test vehicle approach and to find out the differ-
ent approach for heterogeneous traffic condition on highway segment. It is expected that there view and sug-
gestion offered will contribute in advancing performance analysis of two-lane highways for Indian conditions.
1 INTRODUCTION ideal, prevailing and reasonable driving conditions,
Flow of traffic on two-lane highways is dissimilar respectively. According to Highway Capacity
from that on other type of carriageways mainly Manual 1950 operating speed was a performance
because of vehicles traveling on either lane are measure for practical capacity to account for the
facing oncoming traffic in the opposite lane and “quality of service” on two-lane highways because
they may be subjected to dawdling because of their engineers were eager about the traffic situation
incapability to pass slow moving vehicles moving on experienced by road-users; they were not interested
highway. Two lane highways also characterized by in the maximum performance of the system alone
vehicular interactions in the traffic stream; not only at that time.
in the same direction of travel but also in the opposite Highway Capacity Manual -1965 unrolled the idea
direction as well. As the traffic flow in both direction of practical capacity to the well-known Level of
increases, the effect of these interactions generally Service (LOS) concept. Six Level of Service (A–
strengthens. This, in turn, create the formation of F) were construing therein; this concept is still in
platoons as for a fast moving vehicle to safely pass vogue. Level of Service was expressed in terms
a slow moving one; it needs the use of opposite of two performance measures: operating speed
lane which depends upon sufficient sight distance (governing performance measure) and volume
and permissible gap in the opposing lane of highway. capacity ratio (supplementary service measure.).
An analytical method is provided by HCM 1950 While developing the third edition of Highway
for capacity analysis on two-lane highways. The Capacity Manual (1985) average speed was
manual gear three different types of capacity: basic, considered as meager measure of the balance
possible and practical, portraying capacity under between passing demand and passing supply. In
* Research Scholar, NIT Hamirpur, Himachal Pradesh
** Professor, NIT Hamirpur, Himachal Pradesh
*** Senior Professor and Dean, NICMAR Goa Campus, Farmagudi, Ponda Goa., E-mail : isingh@nicmar.ac.in
INDIAN HIGHWAYS│April 2018 23
Technical Paper

addition, despite the previous premise, average speed III highways are defined as the portions of rural
was found to be less sensitive to traffic flow rate. In highways that serve passably developed areas (small
addition to ATS, HCM 1985 thus familiarized a new town or developed recreational areas). The Florida
performance measure, Percent Time Delay (PTD), Department of Transportation formulated the
on two-lane highways. Percent Time Delay was analysis approach for these highways by updating
defined as “the average percent of time by which the rural highway method. The best contribution
vehicles are delayed while travelling in platoons of this edition was that it provided distinguishable
due to inability to pass.” Vehicles are considered performance measures by taking automobile and
delayed while moving inside a platoon due to step bicycle mode into consideration. Rife Average
down of speed from their desired speed. Highway Travel Speed (ATS) and Percent Time Spent
Capacity Manual 1985 adverted use of percent of Following conception continued unedited, except
vehicles with headways less than 5s as a surrogate that an introduction of a new measure, Percent of
measure of Percent Time Delay in field studies. Free-Flow Speed (PFFS), was found appropriate on
Class III highways, where passing restrictions are
The term “percent time delay” was somewhat
not a major issue, but drivers are expected to make
improper because the criterion was not delay but
steady progress at or near the speed limit. However,
time spent while travelling in platoons. Considering
perception model and assessed by Bicycle LOS
the above, Highway Capacity Manual (2000)
(BLOS) score defined levels of service for bicycles
explained a more descriptive term, Percent Time
on two-lane highway segments .Threshold values of
Spent Following, which explains better the effect of
Percent Time Spent Following and Average Travel
platoon and lack of passing opportunities on two-
Speed correspond to the previous edition but the
lane highways. The Percent Time Spent Following
adjustment factors to conclude these measures were
is term which is defined as “the average percentage
appropriately modified.
of travel time that vehicles must travel in platoons
behind slower vehicles because of an inability to 2 EVALUATION OF HCM MEASURES:
pass” To compute Percent Time Spent Following, STUDY CHRONICLE
the Highway Capacity Manual suggested a surrogate Number of researcher followed the tradition of
field measure of the percentage of vehicles in the HCM; researcher (De Arazozaand McLeod, 1993;
traffic stream with headways less than 3s. For high- Brilonet al., 1994) suggested the use of Average
class (Class I highways), ATS was let an auxiliary Travel Seed as a service measure in computing LOS.
performance measure as it makes LOS sensitive In developed areas of the United States, De Arazoza
to design speed. For Class II, the performance is and McLeod (1993) suggested ATS as the main LOS
measured by Percent Time Spent Following alone. criterion for flow without interruption conditions.
Because motorists’ expectation is considered lower Brilonet al. (1994) described that the LOS assessment
on Class II highways than on Class I highways, a on German two-lane highways is based on ATS. In
further increment of 5% to the Percent Time Spent Finland, Luoma and Jaatinen (1999) considered
Following threshold, was made for Class II highways. both ATS and the predictability of travel times as
As the rate of flow at the upper limit of a given LOS performance measure for goods transport. However,
is higher in Highway Capacity Manual 2000 than a couple of international studies (Brilon& Weiser,
in Highway Capacity Manual 1985, that’s why the 2006; Al-Kaisyand Karjala, 2008) made it evident
headway criterion was lowered from 5 to 3s. For that lack of a reference point along a performance
level and rolling terrain, analysis method laid down scale is a major limitation of using ATS and makes
was extended by two-way segment methodology performance comparison across sites unrealistic.
whereas, for specific upgrades and downgrades, it In support of the German experience on two-lane
was directional segment method given by Highway highways, Brilon and Weiser (2006) revealed the
Capacity Manual. The latest edition, Highway use of average speed of passenger cars as a notable
Capacity Manual 2010, represented directional performance measure. This could be calculated over
segments analysis procedure in general terrain a longer stretch of highway, contemplate the average
(level or rolling) as well. of both directions. This was further investigated
On the basis of wide range of functions provided, by Al-Kaisy and Karjala (2008) on four two-
two-lane highways were classified into three lane highway study sites in the state of Montana.
categories: Class I, Class II and Class III. The first Moreover, they proposed the use of ATS as PFFS
two classes, similar with the earlier classification, (percent free flow speed) and ATS of passenger
explain rural two-lane highways, while Class cars as PFFS of passenger cars. The functional

24 INDIAN HIGHWAYS│April 2018


Technical Paper

relationship of these measures with the platoon and Weiser (2006) reported that, in Germany, the
variables was ostensibly not observed to be strong. PTSF has never been imprudent for the considerable
The headway criteria embraced in the third measure of effectiveness as it does not directly
edition of HCM (HCM 1985) was investigated convey the degree of efficiency of traffic operation.
further for more practical estimation of PTD. For Polus and Cohen (2009) evolved a queuing model
the estimation of proportion of delayed vehicles, to evaluate PTSF from the field data. This was used
Guell and Virkler (1988) suggested headways not in a study supervised on 15 two-lane rural highway
more than 3.5 or 4 s and Luttinen (1992) suggested sections in northern Israel, and the actual PTSF
headways not greater than 3s. Besides this, to values acquired from the study were also observed
describe service quality on two-lane rural highways to be considerably lower than the corresponding
Botha et al. (1994) announced the use of PTD as HCM values. In another study, Cohen and Polus
a measure. According to the subsequent edition of (2011) found similar lower values of PTSF and
HCM assumed, PTSF to be more appropriate as provided ameliorate relationship between PTSF
performance measure and was given more attention and two-way flow by pertinent the new estimates
in later research. Several studies (Luttinen, 2001; by means of the least-squares method. Bessa Jr
Harwood et al., 2003; Pollatschek and Polus, 2005) and Setti (2011) recalibrated the HCM 2000 ATS
reported that the method suggested by HCM to and PTSF functions for Brazilian roads using a
determine PTSF overestimates the values. Luttinen genetic algorithm. These new models were able to
(2001) proposed various models to estimate PTSF better represent the behavior of traffic streams. In
based on the percentage of no-passing zones, a recent paper, Rozenshteinet al. (2012) reported
total flow and directional distribution of traffic. that they calibrated PTSF models using actual field
These models gave lower value of PTSF than that data collected on 84 one-way segments of two-lane
estimated by HCM. Based on a study conducted on rural highways in Israel and juxtaposedthose with
unpredictability in the operational analysis of two- HCM and other empirical models proposed in the
lane highways, Luttinen (2002) showed there were past. Following the trend of past research, they also
restraints in the accuracy of the analysis procedures concluded noteworthy overestimation of the PTSF
which cause errors and lessen the usefulness of the values, particularly during moderate- and low-flow
LOS concept. According to Dixon et al. (2002) the condition. Meanwhile, Morrall and Werner (1990)
HCM 2000 two-lane highway analysis procedures put forward the use of overtaking ratio, which is
using the TWOPAS simulation model and field data obtained by dividing the number of passing achieved
collected from northern Idaho. The PTSF values by the number of passing desired, as an indicator
of one-directional procedure were found to be of LOS on two-lane highways; Romana and Pérez
overestimated by both simulation models measuring (2006) indicated an alternative way of using the
about 10 % and 30 % overestimation as compared HCM 2000 performance measures namely, ATS and
with the field data. He found that the values of two- PTSF for evaluating the LOS on two-lane highways.
way procedure were observed to be more accurate On the basis of a study conducted in Egypt on
as compared to those of one-directional method. evaluation of operational performance, Hashim and
Subsequent to this research, Harwood et al. (2003) Abdel-Wahed (2011) defined seven performance
supervised the National Cooperative Highway measures and three platoon variables. Out of all
Research Program Study on the HCM’s two-lane they found follower density performance measure to
road analysis methodology and prudent an over have the strongest correlation to platoon variables.
estimation of Percent Time Spent Following by
Highway Capacity Manual. Accordingly, there 3 ALTERNATIVE SERVICE MEASURES
was formulation of revised set of curves to estimate FOR TWO-LANE HIGHWAYS
PTSF. Based on an analysis of drivers’ restiveness In response to the proposed clampdown on the
on two-lane rural highways, Pollatschek and Polus existing practice in estimating PTSF as performance
(2005) flourished theoretical models for turning measure for two-lane highways, especially the
down the critical passing gap with longer delays complication associated with its direct field
prior to the passing maneuver. The impatience of measurement and divergences among the HCM
the driver may cause willingness to accept more procedures, lot of researchers proposed other
precariousness because delay increases, which alternative service measures. In order to explore for
eventually reduces PTSF. This could be one major alternative service measures for two-lane highways
reason for overestimating the PTSF parameter by in South Africa, Van As suggested follower density
HCM. In a paper on the German experience, Brilon (number of followers with short headways per unit

INDIAN HIGHWAYS│April 2018 25


Technical Paper

length) as a new and best performance measure for indicator for two-lane roads as it relates well with
two-lane roads in South Africa. In the same study, user perception and also very easy to measure
the author scrutinized other service measures of as compared to other methods. However, its key
which included are percent followers (proportion of limitation is lack of specific yardstick across the
vehicles with short headways), total queuing delay performance level due to variations in two-lane
percent speed reduction due to traffic, followers highways in terms of operating speeds and geometry.
flow (number of followers with short headways Thus, using ATS individually may not explicitly
per hour) and traffic density. Out of all, follower describe the performance without a reference point.
density was also recommended as good service
6 AVERAGE TRAVEL SPEED AS
measure for two-lane highways based on studies
PERCENTAGE OF FREE FLOW SPEED
conducted in Idaho and Japan. Another indicator
(ATS/FFS)
recommended was threshold speed as an alternative
performance measures for two-lane highways, This method is measure of the extent of speed
specifically, a substitute for PTSF. Other proposed diminutions due to traffic. A high percentage of ATS/
alternative service measures for the road class FFS represents a minimum vehicular interaction
under discussion include average travel speed of and high performance. The opposite of this results
passenger cars, average travel speed, average travel in high vehicular interaction and low LOS. Like
speed as percentage of free flow speed of passenger ATS, ATS/FFS is also easy to measure in field
cars, average travel speed as percentage of free but lack definite benchmark regarding the level of
flow speed, percent followers and percent impeded. interaction between the vehicles in the traffic stream
The advantages and drawback of these proposed as against PTSF in HCM which specified a cut-off
measures are discussed as follows: headway value.
Threshold Speed: It is defined as the minimum 7 AVERAGE TRAVEL SPEED AS
speed drivers assume satisfactory while traveling PERCENTAGE OF FREE FLOW SPEED
on a uniform section of a carriageway under heavy OF PASSENGER CARS (ATSPC/FFSPC)
and platoon traffic whose value is based on user This measure is similar to ATS/FFS except
perception and good judgment. Although this that heavy vehicles were excluded in the speed
indicator is easy to measure, yet it is complicated measurements. The use of this indicator is based on
to assign a particular cut-off speed acceptable to all the rationale that passenger cars are more sensitive
users. For example, what a patient driver consider to speed reduction due to traffic as their speed are
as an acceptable speed, an aggressive driver may more affected by high traffic volumes than those
not and therefore, this measure is more of user bias. of heavy vehicles. ATSPC/FFSPC is also easy to
Follower Density (FD): It deals with the number measure in the field but has the same limitation as
of directional followers with short headways per that of ATS/FFS.
unit length, usually 1 kilometer or mile. The main
8 PERCENT IMPEDED (PI)
advantages of this measure are that it accounts for
freedom to maneuver and congestion level in the PI is referred to as the percentage of vehicles
traffic stream. A major limitation of this indicator hampered by slower moving vehicles in traffic
is that it is does lend itself easy to measure in the stream measured at a particular point. When
field, as such it is usually derived from flow rate and we compare PI with other service measures, PI
speed from spot measurements despite it is a space relatively correlates well with other measures and
related measure. platoon variables excluding traffic volume.
4 AVERAGE TRAVEL SPEEDS OF 9 PERCENT FOLLOWERS (PF)
PASSENGER CARS (ATSPC) This measure indicates the proportion of vehicles
ATSPC is a service measure in Finland and Germany with low headways in a traffic stream. The indicator
because the indicator more precisely describe lowering can be measured in the field in the same way
in speed which is a result of traffic as ATSPC are concluded by HCM using 3s. A key drawback
more affected by high volumes of traffic. ATSPC has of solely using PF as service measure is that it
the same advantages and weakness as those of ATS. does not reflect the consequences of traffic level
which is a vital condition in HCM LOS concept.
5 AVERAGE TRAVEL SPEED (ATS) Theoretically, low traffic levels could still yield high
ATS is one of the best methods used by HCM. PF if speed variation is relatively high and passing
This method is considered as a good performance opportunities are restricted. Consequently, the use

26 INDIAN HIGHWAYS│April 2018


Technical Paper

of PF alone could be misleading. Another weakness the same if not equal. To date, the question as to
of the indicator is that it is measured based on spot which procedure is more accurate is still ambiguous.
observation and assume applicable over long section. Overestimation by the analytical procedures could
be as result of heavy reliance on simulations while
10 DISCUSSIONS
developing the models which involved a lot of
On the basis of existing literature and/or various assumptions pertaining traffic characteristics;
studies reviewed in this paper, it is perceptibly especially drivers’ behavior in performing overtaking
corroborate that the HCM analytical and field performance. Likewise, the consistent low values of
observation procedures for estimation of PTSF do field observed PTSF using the 3s headway relative to
not produce stable results. In fact, the analytical the analytical method estimates could be as a result of
procedures created overestimated values; or the the fundamental assumption that spot observed values
field observed values based on 3s surrogate measure show long segment estimates. This could probably be
were generally less than those according to the true for short straight sections on level terrain with
analytical estimates. An extract of an approximate sufficient sight distance and passing opportunities.
overestimation of PTSF values by the HCM two- Field conditions different from these; such as road
way analytical procedure relative to field data [6, sections with inadequate sight distance and involving
14, 15] at 1000, 2000 and 3000 flow rates (PCUs/hr) sizeable proportion of hilliness and bendiness could
is presented in Table 1. The results representedthat result in higher value of PTSF. In other words, the
even at same values of flow rates, the level of field spot observation may not precisely take care of
overestimation dissimilar from one study to the other. the influence of these characteristics as they could
At flow rate of 1000 (PCUs/hr), an overestimation cause considerable reducing effects on passing
of about 12%, 24%, 19% and 20% were observed. opportunities on two-lane highways; which would
At the same flow rate, Van As and Van Niekerk consequently results in longer time spent following.
PTSF field estimates were consistently lower than Thus, measuring PTSF along the segment may produce
those according to HCM curve. Similar changes in results that are closer to reality as opposed the current
PTSF overestimations were recorded at flow rates practice of spot measurement and assume to represent
of 2000 and 3000 (PCUs/hr) respectively. Using time spent following along a stretch of the road.
the same procedure, an average overestimation of The present unanswered question on the estimation
about 23% was recorded. As the result of directional of PTSF based on the current practice of 3s rule
analysis procedure is an overestimated PTSF values is that whether the 3s cut-off headway used for
relative to field observed values. As is the case with field observation at given spot really represents
the two-way analysis approach, different levels of the actual time spent following over a long section
overestimation were observed in various studies.. of two-lane highway or not? While researchers
PTSF values recorded in South African study based corroborated that HCM equations overestimate
on field observation and model developed were also PTSF values as compared with those obtained based
comparable with those of other studies mentioned on spot observation in the field using 3s as surrogate
earlier. While other studies observed overestimation measure, the level of overestimation varies from one
of PTSF for all values of flow rates (except zero) by study to the other. Moreover, neither the HCM, nor
HCM model relative to spot observed values, pattern other studies indicated an acceptable difference or
was observed different in the case of HCM model. error between estimates from the two approaches.
Table 1Approximate Overestimation (%) of PTSF by Hence, this lack of boundary on acceptable errors
HCM Two-Way Analysis Relative to Field Values For among the procedures left users with the choice of
Selected Flow Rates (PCUs/hr) an approach they feel more comfortable with and not
Study Flow Rate (PCUs/hr) minding the accuracy of the chosen method and this
could be misleading. The authors of this paper are
1000 2000 3000 therefore on the opinion that provision of alternative
Finnish Model 12 13 10 method for field estimation of PTSF along two-lane
Exponential Model 24 26 22 highway’s segment could be more realistic and also
Polus & Cohen 19 19 15 substantiate the application of the existing practice.
Polus & Cohen 20 21 16 11 CONCLUSIONS AND SUGGESTION
For the HCM analytical and field observation FOR FURTHER STUDY
procedures to represent each other, PTSF estimates from Utilization of PTSF by HCM as service measure
the two approaches should at least be approximately for two-lane highways faces denunciation from

INDIAN HIGHWAYS│April 2018 27


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numerous researchers not because of its paucity occasionally consists of countable percentage of
as performance indicator; simply because, it is non-motorized traffic. As a repercussion, large
complicated to measure directly in the field. Also, speed variation in the traffic stream becomes one
the two approaches for evaluating PTSF; analytical of the vital factors for frequent platoon formation
procedures and use of 3s surrogate measure for and affects performance measures. The present
field observations were corroborate to produce study evaluates the HCM measures using actual
inconsistent results. In fact, the analytical procedures field data comprising considerable proportion of
notably overestimate PTSF as juxtapose to field slower vehicles collected on two-lane highways in
values. The point here is not about questioning the northeast India; which has been a matter of great
criterion of using 3s as a surrogate measure for concern to the engineers analyzing traffic flow
field estimation of PTSF as the cut-off headway has on these roads. Therefore, the PTSF approach
been widely judged satisfactory, but it is about the comparatively is better than ATS as the PTSF gives
procedure used in applying the criterion. For the fact us the close results to SCM curve.
that PTSF is a segment related measure, the authors
contend its observation at representative point and REFERENCES
its applicability over a long section of two-lane 1. Al-Kaisy, A. and S. Karjala. 2010. Car-Following
road. Although, some other studies proposed the Interaction and the Definition of Free-Moving
use of other service measures for evaluating the Vehicles on Two-Lane Rural Highways.
Journal of Transportation Engineering, ASCE.
performance of two-lane highways; yet it is equally 136(10): 925–931.
important to search for alternative method that is
devoted to reality for field measurement of PTSF. 2. Al-Kaisy, A. and C. Durbin. 2011. Platooning
Chiefly, one that would observe the indicator in on Two-lane Two-way Highways: An Empirical
Investigation. in 6th International Symposium
the field along the road’s segment as opposed the on Highway Capacity and Quality of Service.
current practice of spot observation and considered Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences.
as representative of a long section. Coming up with Stockholm, Sweden:
an alternative method for field measurement of
3. Al-Kaisy, A. and C. Durbin. 2008. Evaluating
PTSF along road segment will serve as a basis to New Methodologies for Estimating Performance
justify the application of the 3s headway criterion at on Two-lane Highways. Canadian Journal of Civil
representative point. Engineering. NRC Research Press. 35(8): 777–
Since PTSF is travel time related evaluation, the 785.
most likely way to evaluate the indicator along a 4. Al-Kaisy, A. and C. Durbin. 2007. Estimating
road segment is to use the observer(s) within the Percent Time Spent Following on Two-lane
traffic stream under study. This could be achieved Highways: Field Evaluation of New Methodologies,
through when one uses test vehicle (moving car in Presented at the Transportation Research
observer) technique. Hence, the authors suggested Board 86th Annual Meeting, January 21-25.
the use of test vehicle approach over the highway Transportation Research Board, Washington, D.C.
segment to be evaluated to identify the variables 5. Al-Kaisy, A. and S. Karjala. 2008. Indicators
that are vital for the development of a representative of Performance on Two-Lane Rural Highways:
PTSF measurement model. This would enable Empirical Investigation. Transportation Research
the estimation of PTSF over a segment based on Record. Transportation Research Board, National
Research Council. Washington, D.C. 2071(1):
actual time spent following as against the existing 87–97.
practice of using surrogate measure on the basis
of local platoon. It is hoped that this review and 6. Al-Ghamdi, A. 2001. Analysis of Time Headways
suggestion offered on the alternative method for on Urban Roads: Case Study from Riyadh. Journal
of Transportation Engineering. 127(4): 289–294.
field measurement of PTSF along segment will
impart basis to substantiate the current practice of 7. Catbagan, J. L. and H. Nakamura. 2006.
evaluating PTSF based on spot observation and Evaluation of Performance Measures for Two-
bestow in advancing the performance analysis of lane Expressways in Japan.
two-lane highways. 8. Dixon, M. P., S. S. K. Sarepali, and K. A.
Young. 2002. Field Evaluation of Highway
The above studies, however, do not consider the Capacity Manual 2000 Analysis Procedures for
effect on performance measures when the traffic is Two-Lane Highways. Transportation Research
heterogeneous in character. This is noteworthy in Record: Transportation Research Board. National
developing countries, where heterogeneity in traffic Research Council, Washington, D.C. 1802(2002):
mix is extensive. Even the traffic composition 125–132.
28 INDIAN HIGHWAYS│April 2018
Technical Paper

OBSERVATIONS ON EVALUATION OF FLEXURAL STRESSES IN


RIGID PAVEMENT

Rameshwar J. Vishwakarma* R. K. Ingle**


ABSTRACT
Concrete pavements are subjected to vehicle axle loads and temperature loads, which develops flexural
stresses at critical locations. Critical flexural stress is the main cause for the cracking in concrete pavements.
These stresses in the slab mainly depends on the thickness of concrete slab, loading, location and properties
of supporting subbase. Therefore, to prevent cracking or failure of slab, it is very important to calculate
critical stresses correctly for a given site and loading conditions. There are many guidelines or documents
available for the determination of critical edge stress. However, the results varies when compared. This
variation in stresses are mostly due to different assumptions.
The main objective of this paper is to study the variation of maximum flexural stress in the slab due to change
in various design factors like modulus of subgrade reaction, axle load and pavement thickness. The critical
stress is determined using different guidelines for vehicle axle load and the results are compared.
NOTATIONS f2 Adjustment factor for a slab with no concrete
PCA Portland Cement Association shoulder based on the results of MATS
IRC Indian Road Congress computer program
K Modulus of subgrade reaction (MPa/m) f3 Adjustment factor to account for the effect of
P Single/Tandem rear axle load (kN) truck placement on edge stress
P' Design wheel load (half of the single axle f4 Adjustment factor to account for the increase
load/ one fourth of the tandem axle load) in concrete strength after 28th day, along with
the reduction in concrete strength by one
b Radius of equivalent distribution of pressure
coefficient of variation.
S Maximum tensile stress at bottom of slab
CV coefficient of variation
(MPa)
SAL Actual single axle load (kN)
h Pavement thickness (m)
TAL Actual tandem axle load (kN)
μ Poisson’s ratio of concrete
γ Unit weight of concrete (kN/m3) 1. INTRODUCTION
E Modulus of Elasticity of Concrete (MPa) Rigid pavements are the slabs directly supported
Δt Temperature differential (ºC) on foundation soil/subbase. The slab may be
α Coefficient of thermal expansion (per ºC) subjected to light to extremely heavy loadings with
l Radius of relative stiffness (m) variations in sub-base properties. The thickness of
slab depends on many parameters like materials
fcr Flexural strength (MPa)
used for construction, type and amount of loading
fck Characteristic cube compressive strength of on slab, environmental conditions, properties
concrete (MPa) of sub-base etc. The thickness of slab mostly
f1 Adjustment factor for the effect of axle loads governed by the flexural stresses developed at
and contact areas critical locations and it may develop due to axle
*
Research Scholar, VNIT, Nagpur, Email : rameshwarjv@gmail.com
**
Professor, VNIT, Nagpur, Email : rkingle@rediffmail.com

INDIAN HIGHWAYS│April 2018 29


Technical Paper

load, thermal difference or combination of axle tridem axles) and temperature differentials. Finite
load and temperature differential between top and element analysis was carried out for pavement
bottom fibre of slab. Wheel load placed at the edge panel size 3.5m x 4.5m and subjected to various
of slab is considered as critical flexural stress for combination of axle loads and temperature
design of concrete pavement. PCA(1) guideline differentials. Results of analysis were plotted and
suggest to check the design for erosion damage can be used to determine maximum flexural stress.
along with the fatigue damage. Deflection criteria These charts are given in Appendix-IV of IRC:58-
of corner is also considered in the PCA document. 2011 and IRC:58-2015. These finite element
It is necessary to study available guidelines for the analysis results are used to develop regression
determination of flexural stresses. equations for the estimation of maximum flexural
2. METHODS TO CALCULATE tensile stress for bottom-up and top-down
FLEXURAL STRESS IN RIGID cracking case. Regression equations are given in
PAVEMENT Appendix-V of IRC:58-2011 and IRC:58-2015.
Table 1 shows the expressions which can be used
There are various methods to calculate flexural to determine flexural stress.
stress developed in the pavement due to vehicle
load and temperature. Some important and widely These expressions provided by IRC:58-2015
used methods such as method suggested in IRC:58- are same as IRC:58-2011. IRC:58-2015 also
2002(2), IRC:58-2011(3), IRC:58-2015(4) and PCA- recommends to construct tied concrete shoulder
1984(1) are briefed below. to protect the edge of high volume pavements
and reduce the flexural stresses in the wheel path
IRC:58-2002 region. Analysis of pavement for same loading
IRC:58-2002 suggest calculation of flexural with and without monolithic concrete shoulder
stresses either by charts or by equations. Charts shows pavement with shoulder produces less
given in Appendix-I of IRC:58-2002(2) are for flexural stress as compared to without shoulder as
single and tandem axle load of different magnitudes per Clause 6.6.1.
in the edge region. Stress calculation is based on
To study the variation of stresses in rigid pavement,
fundamental concept of Westergaard and Picket &
few problems were considered by varying modulus
Ray’s work. The load stress may also be calculated
of subgrade reaction. To compare the results
for critical edge region for single and tandem
of regression equation with charts; modulus of
axle load from Westergaard’s equation given in
elasticity, poisson’s ratio and coefficient of thermal
Appendix-VI, given below
expansion are considered as given in IRC:58-2015,
( )[ ] …(1) Clause 5.8.4 and 5.8.5.
To estimate the edge stress at the bottom of slab
Stresses calculated using equation (1) are based
for bottom-up cracking case, constant thickness of
on the assumption that slab is infinite, In practice
200 mm is considered. Input parameters modulus
the slab is casted in some finite size and joints are
of elasticity of concrete (E) = 30000 N/mm2, unit
provided in between panels. Temperature stresses
weight of concrete (γ) = 24 kN/m3, temperature
are calculated using Bradbury’s coefficient.
differential (Δt)= 0 ºC, poisson’s ratio of concrete
IRC:58-2002 recommends to provide hard shoulder (μ) = 0.15, modulus of subgrade reaction (K) = 40
to reduce the load stresses but does not account the to 300 MPa/m, coefficient of thermal expansion
effect of shoulder in calculation of flexural stress. (α)= 10 X 10-6 per ºC, are assumed.
IRC:58-2002(2) is silent about tridem axle load
stresses. Stress variation as per the expressions from Table
1 are plotted in Fig. 1-6 for single axle 80 kN and
IRC:58-2011 and IRC:58-2015 tandem axle 160 kN load with and without concrete
Finite element analysis is used in IRC:58-2011(3) shoulder for bottom-up cracking case for variation
and IRC:58-2015(4) to compute flexural stress due of K value from 40 to 80 MPa/m, 81 to 150 MPa/m
to combined action of load (single, tandem and and 151 to 300 MPa/m.

30 INDIAN HIGHWAYS│April 2018


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Table 1 Expressions for Maximum Tensile Stress at the Bottom of Slab for Bottom-up Cracking Case
(Appendix-V IRC:58:2015)

Modulus of
Axle Concrete Regression Equation for calculation of maximum tensile
subgrade reaction
Load shoulder stress at bottom of slab
() MPa/m

 ≤ 80 ( ) ( )

With tied
concrete 80 <  ≤ 150 ( ) ( )
shoulder

 > 150 ( ) ( )
Single
axle
 ≤ 80 ( ) ( )
Without
concrete 80 <  ≤ 150 ( ) ( )
shoulder
 > 150 ( ) ( )

 ≤ 80 ( ) ( )
With tied
concrete 80 <  ≤ 150 ( ) ( )
shoulder
 > 150 ( ) ( )
Tandem
axle
 ≤ 80 ( ) ( )
Without
concrete 80 <  ≤ 150 ( ) ( )
shoulder
 > 150 ( ) ( )

Fig. 1 Variation of Max. Edge Stresses with Variation in Fig. 2 Variation of Max. Edge Stresses with Variation in
(K) from 40 to 80 MPa/m for Single Axle Load 80 kN (K) from 81 to 150 MPa/m for Single Axle Load 80 kN

INDIAN HIGHWAYS│April 2018 31


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Fig. 3 Variation of Max. Edge Stresses with Variation in Fig. 4 Variation of Max. Edge Stresses with Variation in
(K) from 151 to 300 MPa/m for Single Axle Load 80 kN (K) from 40 to 80 MPa/m for Tandem Axle Load 160 kN

Fig. 5 Variation of Max. Edge Stresses with Variation in Fig. 6 Variation of Max. Edge Stresses with Variation in
(K) from 81 to 150 MPa/m for Tandem Axle Load 160 kN (K) from 151 to 300 MPa/m for TandemAxle Load 160 kN

It can be seen from Fig. 3-6 that flexural stresses charts of IRC:58-2015 (Appendix-IV) however
in the slab decreases with the increase in the shows expected behavior.
modulus of subgrade reaction for vehicle load Edge stresses are calculated at the bottom of
case (neglecting temperature effect), similar to slab for bottom-up cracking using IRC:58-2015
charts given in Appendix-IV of IRC:58-2015 regression equations from Appendix-V and from
for single as well as tandem axle load. However, charts of IRC:58-2015 (Appendix-IV) for 200 kN
Fig. 1-2 indicates that the maximum edge stress single axle load and for slab thickness 0.2, 0.25,
increases for modulus of subgrade reaction K=40 0.3 and 0.35 m and results obtained are plotted in
to 80 MPa/m and 81 to 150 MPa/m, which needs the Fig. 7-10 for tied concrete shoulder and Fig.
correction. Increase in this may be due to some 11-14 for slab without concrete shoulder.
typographical errors in these expressions. The

Fig. 7 Variation of Edge Stress in Slab with Concrete Fig. 8 Variation of Edge Stress in Slab with Concrete
Shoulder for K=40 MPa/m Shoulder for K=80 MPa/m

32 INDIAN HIGHWAYS│April 2018


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Fig. 9 Variation of Edge Stress in Slab with Concrete Fig. 10 Variation of Edge Stress in Slab with Concrete
Shoulder for K=150 MPa/m Shoulder for K=300 MPa/m

Fig. 11 Variation of Edge Stress in Slab without Fig. 12 Variation of Edge Stress in Slab without
Concrete Shoulder for K=40 MPa/m Concrete Shoulder for K=80 MPa/m

Fig. 13 Variation of Edge Stress in Slab without Fig. 14 Variation of Edge Stress in Slab without
Concrete Shoulder K=150 MPa/m Concrete Shoulder for K=300 MPa/m

It is observed from Fig. 7-14 that there is difference stress can be determined for single, tandem and
in the stresses calculated by using regression tridem axle load using tables provided by PCA.
equations from IRC:58-2015 (Appendix-V) and Design thickness can be calculated for slab with
with the stresses observed from the charts given in and without tied concrete shoulder. PCA does
(Appendix-IV) and needs correction. not consider the effect of thermal loading on
slab. However, from various researchers it was
3. PORTLAND CEMENT ASSOCIATION
observed that thermal loading may create large
(PCA) amount of curling stresses in slab and cracks
PCA document on “thickness design for concrete may develop due to temperature differential
highway and street pavements”, gives thickness through slab thickness. PCA design procedure
from fatigue analysis and erosion analysis, suggests that stress increase due to loss of
which is widely adopted. Pavement thickness support may vary from 5% to 15%. Concrete
is determined based on flexural strength of strength calculation is at 28 days strength, but
concrete, modulus of subgrade reaction, vehicle in procedure, it considers the concrete strength
axle load and design period. Critical edge gain with the age.

INDIAN HIGHWAYS│April 2018 33


Technical Paper

In addition to fatigue damage due to load calculation can be done for axle loads (Single
repetition, erosion analysis is also considered in and Tandem) considering slab with or without
the PCA for determining the minimum thickness tied concrete shoulder by using the edge stress
of slab. Erosion of foundation are more due to equation.
deflections than stresses. Critical location of load
for maximum deflection is slab corner, due to [ ]
discontinuity in two direction. …(2)

Lee and Carpenter(5) had implemented PCA Equivalent stress by PCA method are determined
thickness design equations in a window based by using equation (2) and expressions given in
program PCAWIN. Maximum edge stress Table 2-3.
Table 2 Expressions for Calculation of Me

In the expressions given in Table 2 and 3, h is (pci), SAL is actual single axle load (kN), TAL is
pavement thickness (m), l is radius of relative actual tandem axle load (kN) and CV is coefficient
stiffness (in), K is modulus of subgrade reaction of variation.
Table 3 Expressions for Calculation of Adjustment Factors

Adjustment Factor expression Condition

( ) ( ) Single axle load


f1
( ) ( ) Tandem axle load

( ) Slab without shoulder


f2
Slab with shoulder
f3 for 6% truck at the slab edge
f4 [ ( )]

PCA method is based on assumptions like fixed (dual wheel) load 36 kip (160 kN) is considered.
slab length 180 in (4.572 m), fixed slab width 144 Thus, the flexural stress developed will be same
in (3.666 m), slab modulus of elasticity 4 Mpsi disregarding the joint spacing, wheel spacing,
(27560 MPa), Poisson’s ratio 0.15, constant wheel axle spacing, wheel contact area and actual load
contact area 7 x 10 in2 (0.178 x 0.254 m2), wheel transfer capability of slab.
spacing 12 in (0.305 m), axle spacing 50 in (1.273 Vishwakarma and Ingle(6) suggested finite
m), axle width 72 in (1.833 m) and aggregate element model is considered for this study. Solid
interlock factor of 25000 psi (172.25 MPa) for slab as well as area element is considered to model
with tied concrete shoulder. Standard single axle slab in SAP2000 software. Single axle load of
(dual wheel) load 18 kip (80 kN) and tandem axle 18 kip (80 kN) and 54 kip (240 kN) with slab

34 INDIAN HIGHWAYS│April 2018


Technical Paper

thickness 9.5 in (241.3 mm) is considered. Fig. represents variation of flexural stress for tandem
15 shows mathematical model of slab on springs axle load of 160 kN.
and carrying single axle dual wheel load. Spring It can be observed that maximum flexural stresses
stiffnesses are assigned according to the modulus developed due to vehicle loading are more in
of subgrade reaction of foundation soil and mesh case of slab without concrete shoulder than slab
size of elements. provided with tied concrete shoulder.

Fig. 16 Variation of Max Edge Stress in Slab without


Shoulder for Single Axle Load 80 kN
Fig. 15 Finite Element Model of Slab with 18 Kip
Single Axle (dual wheel) Load
Finite element analysis results are compared
with the results obtained from PCA method and
presented in Table 4.
Table 4 Comparison of Analysis Results for Slab by
Finite Element Method and PCA

Maximum stress S (MPa) Fig. 17 Variation of Max Edge Stress in Slab with
Finite Element Shoulder for Single Axle Load 80 kN
Load Type K (pci) Analysis
PCA
Solid Area
element element
Single axle 130 1.40 1.39 1.41
18 kip load 500 1.04 1.03 1.11
Single axle 130 4.21 4.17 3.97
54 kip load 500 3.11 3.09 3.11
It is observed from Table 4 that the results by finite Fig. 18 Variation of Max Edge Stress in Slab without
element method and PCA method are in good Shoulder for Tandem Axle Load 160 kN
agreement. Vishwakarma and Ingle(6) suggested
simplified approach for the determination of critical
stresses based on radius of relative stiffness for slab
without shoulders. The results obtained from finite
element model for different slab thickness are also
validated with PCA and Simplified approach.
4. COMPARISON OF VARIOUS
METHODS
Fig. 16-17 shows the variation of flexural stress
for different K values, with and without concrete Fig. 19 Variation of Max Edge Stress in Slab with
shoulder for 80 kN single axle load. Fig. 18-19 Shoulder for Tandem Axle Load 160 kN

INDIAN HIGHWAYS│April 2018 35


Technical Paper

The result shows drop in stress as K value


changes when calculated from IRC:58-2015
regression equations. Higher stress values can be
seen when calculated with westergaards stress
equations modified by Teller and Sutherland
given in IRC:58-2002 Appendix-VI. Stress results
for tandem axle load 160kN (0 ºC temperature
differential case) by IRC:58-2015 charts does not
show any difference when analyzed for slab with
and without shoulder. IRC:58-2015 page 53-54
have provided charts for the calculation of stresses Fig. 22 Variation of Edge Stress in Slab with Concrete
developed due to tandem axle load (160 kN to 480 Shoulder by IRC:58-2015 and PCA (K=300 MPa/m)
kN) with zero temperature difference for without
shoulder condition. However for same tandem axle
load with shoulder are represented on page 63-64,
stresses observed from these charts does not show
any difference for slab with or without shoulder.
4.1 Comparison of IRC:58-2015 and Portland
cement association (PCA) method
Edge stress are calculated by IRC method as well
as by PCA method, considering single axle load
of 200 kN and attempt is made to compare the Fig. 23 Variation of Edge Stress in Slab without
results given by IRC:58-2015 with PCA method, Concrete Shoulder for Different Thickness by
considering all other parameters same. Figs. 20- IRC:58-2015 and PCA (K=40 MPa/m)
25 shown below are for slab with shoulder and
without shoulder for different thickness.

Fig. 24 Variation of Edge Stress in Slab without


Fig. 20 Variation of Edge Stress in Slab with Concrete
Concrete Shoulder by IRC:58-2015 and PCA
Shoulder by IRC:58-2015 and PCA (K=40 MPa/m)
(K=150 MPa/m)

Fig. 25 Variation of Edge Stress in Slab without


Fig. 21 Variation of Edge Stress in Slab with Concrete Concrete Shoulder by IRC:58-2015 and PCA
Shoulder by IRC:58-2015 and PCA (K=150 MPa/m) (K=300 MPa/m)

36 INDIAN HIGHWAYS│April 2018


Technical Paper

IRC:58-2015 Clause 6.3.1 suggest that the stresses concrete use of charts are restricted.
can be obtained either from charts given in Appendix- Simplified approach considers these
IV of IRC:58-2015 or by using regression equations variables to determine flexural stresses.
given in the same guideline in Appendix-V. The
REFERENCES
results of IRC:58- 2015 charts are nearly similar to
the PCA. However, it is seen that for many cases the 1. Packard R. G. (1995). “Thickness Design for
stresses obtained by regression equations and from Concrete Highway and Street Pavements”.
charts does not match. Portland Cement Assosiation, Skokie, Illinois
2. IRC:58-2002, “Guidelines for the Design
5. OBSERVATIONS AND of Plain Jointed Rigid Pavements for
RECOMMENDATIONS Highways.” Second revision, Indian Road
The above study indicates the follows. Congress, New Delhi.
i. The edge stresses calculated from 3. IRC:58-2011, “Guidelines for the Design of Plain
regression equations of IRC:58- Jointed Rigid Pavements for Highways.” Third
2015 does not match with the results revision, Indian Road Congress, New Delhi.
of charts made from finite element 4. IRC:58-2015, “Guidelines for the Design
analysis provided in the same of Plain Jointed Rigid Pavements for
guideline. Regression equations needs Highways.” Fourth revision, Indian Road
minor modification. Congress, New Delhi.
ii. Design charts given in Appendix-IV 5. Lee Y. H. and Carpenter S. H. (2001),
of IRC:58-2015 for tandem axle loads “PCAWIN Program for Jointed Concrete
with 0 ºC temperature differential Pavement Design”. Tamkang Journal of
shows same stress results for slab with Science and Engineering, Vol. 4, No. 4, 293-300
and without concrete shoulder. 6. Vishwakarma, R. J. and Ingle, R. K. (2017),
iii. Design charts given in IRC:58-2015 “Simplified Approach for the Evaluation
are prepared considering constant of Critical Stresses in Concrete Pavement”.
values of E, μ and α. If designer wants Structural Engineering and Mechanics, Vol.
to take the advantage of high strength 61, No. 3, 389-396

IRC Technical Committees Meeting Schedule for April, 2018


Date Day Time Name of the Committee
07-04-18 Sat 11.00 AM Bearings, Joints and Appurtenances Committee (B-6)
09-04-18 Mon 02.00 PM Embankment, Ground Improvement and Drainage
Committee (H-4)
13-04-18 Fri 11.00 AM Hill Roads & Tunnels Committee (H-10)
14-04-18 Sat 12.00 Noon Foundation, Sub-Structure, Protective Works and Masonry
Structures Committee (B-3)
17-04-18 Tues 10.30 AM Committee for Accreditation of New Materials and
Techniques
20-04-18 Fri 11.00 AM Reduction of Carbon Footprints in Road Construction and
Environment Committee (G-3)
Concrete (Plain, Reinforced and Pre-Stressed) Structures
Committee (B-4)
21-04-18 Sat 11.00 AM
Road Maintenance and Asset Management Committee
(H-6)

INDIAN HIGHWAYS│April 2018 37


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38 INDIAN HIGHWAYS│April 2018


Technical Paper

A STUDY OF TRAVEL CHOICES OF BAHADURGARH


CITY SCHOOL PUPILS

Amit Vashisth* Praveen Aggarwal**

ABSTRACT
Increase in traffic volumes associated with school trips give rise to a highly congested area and pollution,
also getting diverted from the sustainable development. Traffic generated by the schools put extra stress on
the transportation system of that area where the school is located. The main motive behind the study was
to inquire into factors affecting school pupils’ mode choice of travel. The study will be effective to know the
travel behaviour and will be beneficial for development and planning initiatory which will contribute to
achievement of sustainable and safer transport system. A case study involving the pupils of nine Bahadurgarh
schools was carried out. Pupils were encouraged to take part in the survey and to give their views about mode
choice and factors responsible for choosing a mode. We observe that 17% of pupils surveyed travel to school
by car/bike, 40% by school bus, 32% walk, and 11% by bicycle. Apart from this Multinomial Logit model
(MNL model) model is also prepared to take various parameters which affect the overall mode choice of
pupils.

1 INTRODUCTION Safety laws (citizen charter Delhi Police 2008).


A study was carried out to check the travel patterns It seems that some environmental factors such
of the pupils in nine schools of Bahadurgarh. as the distance between home and school, traffic
Less willingness can be observed to choose more safety, and the quality of street network at the
sustainable and environment-friendly options such neighbourhood level can encourage pupils to
as walking and cycling due to various reasons even walk to school. In addition to the environmental
when travelling for short distances. Most schools factors, the personal and social environment and
have a high proportion of Pupils who are driven to the parental decision-making have significant roles
school by Adults. This issue is not only a concern in selecting a mode of travel by children. The
of increasing the traffic volume within the city, but relationship between the mode of travel, physical
also has negative health consequences. Using cars attributes, and socio-economical characteristics
frequently limits the students’ presence in public is complex. Investigating this complexity and its
spaces and opportunities available to make them causes and effects can identify some common
more socialized. On the other hand, using collective patterns exist in students’ commuting to the
mode of travel or choosing non-motorized options elementary school. Identifying the factors affecting
such as walking and cycling – called Active Travel household decision-making regarding children
behaviour - make a kind of active and dynamic movement may help planners and policymakers
presence in urban environments. In India, programs to find better alternatives for school pupils travel
to promote safer journey to school have been pattern. By this study two questions rose, namely:
started. For example “citizen charter” initiated by What modes do school pupils use for their trips to
Delhi police attempts to help children to become school? And what are the factors which regulates
more physically active by seeking ways to improve their choice of mode of travel? (Rice, 2008). In
infrastructure, education and enforcement of addition, an attempt was made to consider the

} National Institute of Technology Kurukshetra-136119,


M. Tech. Student, Civil engineering department, amitrajvashisth22@gmail.com
*

Professor, Civil engineering department, praveen_agg@hotmail.com


**

INDIAN HIGHWAYS│April 2018 39


Technical Paper

interrelationships between the various factors of travel? The first question has been answered
influencing school pupils’ mode choice. To address definitely. The mode choice response for more than
those questions a literature review was carried 3500 pupils out of more than 21000 pupils studying
out and nine schools in the Bahadurgarh urban in these nine Bahadurgarh schools have been
were surveyed. There were components to the collected explored and analyzed. The answer to the
school surveys, namely Pupils’ surveys, Parents’ second question has been answered by studying a
survey, a School, and Neighbourhood survey. number of factors such as school roll, age, distance,
The data obtained from these surveys were then pedestrian facility, the gender of the student travel
analyzed, and Multinomial Logit (MNL) Model independence, transportation facility in school
was prepared. which could be responsible for mode choice.
2 STUDY OBJECTIVES 3 STUDY AREA
The main objective is to find out the relationship The case studies were selected from Bahadurgarh
between the mode of travel and physical attributes. city of Haryana. Bahadurgarh is located at 28.68°N
Identifying the factors affecting decision-making 76.92°E and covers an area of approximately 50
regarding children movement may help planners km2. It has an average elevation of 206 metres (675
and policymakers to find better alternatives for feet). It is part of National Capital Region (NCR)
school pupils travel pattern. By this study, two and very close to Capital of India. It is located to
questions rose such as: What modes do school the west of Delhi on the National Highway 10.
pupils prefer to use to go to school? And what are Fig. 1 shows the satellite map of Bahadurgarh city.
the factors which regulate their choice of mode (Source: Google maps)

Fig. 1: Google map of Bahadurgarh city.


3.1 Sample Size of Survey: 3 Govt. schools: with a total strength of more
This study is limited to 8 public/private schools than 21000 pupils out of which more than 3500
and 1 Govt. school out of 24 public/private and pupils were surveyed. Considering the population

40 INDIAN HIGHWAYS│April 2018


Technical Paper

size of students - aged between 6 and 17 years 5 ANALYSIS FOR MODE CHOICE
studying in these schools, the sample size for the There is a considerable difference between the
questionnaire survey was determined according modes of travel by students living in different areas.
to the research nature and its limitations. While Five alternatives were available and considered for
4500 questionnaires were distributed among the students to choose: walking, cycling, school bus,
students, out of which around 3500 questionnaires car/bike (parents’ vehicle). Fig. 2 shows that 32
were returned (the response rate was 78 percent). percent of the students living in the neighbourhoods
More than 200 parents were surveyed during this
walk to school; on the other hand, using the school
study for safety aspects
bus (40 percent), using car/bike (17 percent) and
4 STUDY PROCESS the cycling (11 percent) have the lowest shares.
4.1 Pupils Surveys
These surveys were conducted with the help of
questionnaire or survey forms. In these survey
forms, some questions were asked to respond such
as what mode they prefer, the distance between
home and school, age, gender etc. Different types
of forms were designed for different aged students
for example for primary the forms were much
attractive by giving options in cartoon style and
only 3 questions were asked that is mode and age,
gender and for secondary and senior secondary
students the forms were more of informative type.
4.2 Parents’ Survey Fig. 2: Overall Mode Choice of Pupils.
More than 200 parents were surveyed through a Above modal split is giving a distorted result
personal interview to study the safety aspects because of the fact that in 2 schools (one Govt. and
of the children traveling to school as it was not one reputed trust school) out of these 9 schools, no
possible for the children to explain safety concerns transportation facility (school bus/van) is available.
on their own. Factors such as safety and security, Out of remaining 7 schools, sincere participation
school bus facility, school fees etc were asked to from one school was lacking and survey data was
give weight. not presenting true picture. It was a mere formality
4.3 School Locality Surveys to participate in the survey process for that school.
The overall modal split for remaining six schools
These surveys were carried out in the locality
is shown in Fig. 3 below.
of each school. These surveys were conducted
around the schools so as to explore the pedestrian
environment quality. This survey technique was
basically taken from the work done in Western
Australia by Gallin (2001) and pedestrian quality
assessment system was generated. Gallin’s method
or system was modified so as to suit the pedestrian
environment present in Bahadurgarh city and used
by school pupils. The survey system used for the
study consists of various responsible factors such as
Connectivity to school, Footpath Surface, Footpath
Width, Obstruction, Encroachment, Potential for
Vehicle Conflict, Continuity, Safety and Security,
Walk Environment conform to (IRC:103-2012). Fig. 3: Modal Split without Considering 3 Schools.

INDIAN HIGHWAYS│April 2018 41


Technical Paper

We observe that percentage of choosing “bus” as Table 2: Relationship between School Roll and
a mode has drastic change as compared to overall Independent Travel.
results and 52% as shown in Fig. 2 as compared to
42%. From the data collected some relationships School 200-300 300-400 400-500 500-700
roll
were derived which are as follows such as:
i. School Roll and Mode Choice: Table 1 travel % of students
indicates that bus usage increasing with school with
roll with the likelihood that a greater proportion of
Adults 38.07 % 54.74% 62.36% 65.56%
the pupils of small school are likely to live within
walking distance and school having high school Alone 61.93 % 45.26% 37.64% 34.44%
roll are much stronger economically as compared
to small school which directly affect the mode iii. Pedestrian facility (refer Table 5) and
choice and more students in high- income schools mode choice: On the basis of survey in which we
tend to travel through car and bikes. asked to choose the option as per their observation
Table 1: Comparison of School Roll and Mode Choice.
about the condition of footpaths i.e. (Bad, Good,
Average and Very Good) and relate it with the Mode
school of travel and conclude that proportion of pupils
200-300 300-400 400-500 500-700
roll walk to the school increasing with as the quality of
mode footpaths got better and behaviour towards school
% of students bus goes up as the quality goes down of footpaths
choice
as shown in Table 3.
Car/bike 10.38 % 11.11% 17.02% 15.86%
Table 3: Relationship between a Pedestrian
Bus 27.69 % 43.63% 45.34% 49.70% Facility and Mode Choice.
Bicycle 19.61% 12.11% 6.21% 4.91%
pedestrian Very Good Average Bad
walk 42.32% 33.15% 31.43% 29.53% quality good
ii. School roll and independent travel: The Mode
schools with high school rolls considered as % of students
choice
high-income schools and the schools with low
school roll considered as low-income schools and Car/bike 05.75% 17.85% 10.00% 12.09%
students studying in these schools are with high Bus 32.33% 36.89% 52.36% 48.72%
and low-income family backgrounds respectively.
Low-income family background students studying Bicycle 22.30% 14.70% 13.63% 17.58%
in low-income school tend to travel independently
walk 39.62% 30.56% 24.01% 21.61%
i.e. by walking or cycling unlike as high-income
family background students who travel by school iv. Pedestrian facility and independent
buses and personal vehicles such as school bus, travel: Here in Table 4, We Observe that better
cars, and motorbikes driven by their parents to pedestrian facility tended to increase independent
school more frequently as shown in Table 2. travel by students.
Table 4: Relationship between a Pedestrian Facility and Independent Travel.

pedestrian quality Very good Good Average Bad

travel
% of students
with
Adults 38.08 % 54.74% 62.36% 60.81%
Alone 61.92 % 45.26% 37.64% 39.19%

42 INDIAN HIGHWAYS│April 2018


Technical Paper

Table 5: Criteria for Pedestrian Facility

Category Factors Bad condition( Average Good condition Very good


LOS- D) condition (LOS-B) condition
(LOS-C) (LOS-A)

Design factor Footpath Unpaved Unpaved and Paved but not Paved and well
(physical Surface potholes and tree maintained maintained
characteristics) Roots

Footpath Depend on no. of Depend on no. of Depend on no. of Depend on no. of


width persons per hour persons per hour persons per hour persons per hour
(1.8m) (1.8m) (1.8m) (1.8m)

Obstruction No marking on Less visible Markings present Straight shape,


obstruction marking but not properly warning marks
maintained

Encroachment Footpaths Considerable Encroachment Completely


inaccessible Encroachment free from
Encroachment

User Safety and No lighting and Safety concerns Reasonably safer Adequate lighting
characteristics security police patrolling are compromised and police
patrolling

Comfort Not suitable for Less comfortable Reasonably good Better comfort
harsh climate lack of proper but no proper such as trees and
planning planning chairs installed.

Walk Poor environment Not Good Reasonably good Ideal


environment and stinking Environment/ environment Environment
Cleanliness
Compromised

Source: IRC: 103-2012


v. Distance from school and mode choice: vi. Distance from school and independent
Table 6 shows less inclination towards car/bike travel: As expected, independent travel decreases
and school bus for distance ranges 1km-2km. with increasing distance between home and school
Higher distances show more journeys by car and as shown below in Table 7.
school buses. Table 7: Relationship between Distance from the
Table 6: Relationship between Distance from School and Independent Travel
School and Mode Choice
Distance Ikm-2km 2km-5km >5km
distance Ikm-2km 2km-5km >5km
travel % of students
Mode with
% of students
choice Adults 30.29 % 57.73% 98.07%
Car/bike 13.94 % 13.91% 20.24% Alone 69.71 % 42.27% 1.93%
Bus 16.35 % 43.82% 77.83% vii. Age of students and mode choice: Table
Bicycle 10.12% 14.24% 1.93% 8 shows that car/bike usage is similar for 6-8 yr
and 9-11yr age group and bicycle got the highest
walk 59.59% 28.03% 0%
proportion for 15-17yr age group.

INDIAN HIGHWAYS│April 2018 43


Technical Paper

Table 8: Relationship between age of Students and Mode Choice

Age 6yr-8yr 9yr-11yr 12yr-14yr 15yr-17yr

Mode choice % of students

Car/bike 17.68 % 18.67% 14.23% 08.17%

Bus 60.11 % 23.40% 46.54% 39.90%

Bicycle 03.35% 30.61% 5.99% 36.07%

walk 18.86% 27.32% 33.24% 15.86%


Source: IRC: 103-2012

viii. Age of student and independent travel: Table 11: Relationship between Transportation
Table 9 shows students with lowest age group Facility of the School and Mode Choice
travelling mostly with adults.
Transportation
Good Average Bad
Table 9: Relationship between age of Student facility
and Independent Travel
Mode
% of students
Age 6yr-8yr 9yr-11yr 12yr-14yr 15yr-17yr choice

Car/bike 13.14% 19.46% 18.33%


travel
% of students
with
Bus 54.94% 31.21% 26.14%

Adults 77.79% 42.07% 60.77% 48.07% Bicycle 12.35% 08.98% 11.49%

Alone 22.21% 57.93% 39.23% 51.93% walk 19.57% 40.35% 44.04%

ix. Transportation facility and mode choice: 6 ANALYSIS ON SAFETY ASPECTS


Table 11 clearly indicate that schools with better High traffic volume and speed are the main
transportation facility attract more students towards concerns of children and parents (wigmore et al
choosing school buses for their journey to school. 2006). The safety aspect was studied by parents’
Transport facility is classified as good, average and survey because it will be difficult for pupils
bad depending upon the number of buses as shown to explain safety concerns and make it more
in Table 10. complex. As we observe that more than 50% of the
Table 10: Criteria for Transportation pupils travelling through school bus and most of
Facility in Schools the parents use personal vehicle for their children
travelling to school due to fact that they feel safer
Criteria Good Average Bad in school bus and personal vehicles rather than
walking and cycling. But on the other hand, this
transportation facility will affect the pedestrians and cyclists travelling to
school and make them more vulnerable to accidents
No. of buses More than Less than No bus due to the increasing traffic nearby schools and de-
available per or equal to 1 bus/150 available
motivating them to use sustainable transportation
150 students 1 bus/150 students.
students such as walking or cycling. Children lack the
cognitive skills to make safe decisions regarding

44 INDIAN HIGHWAYS│April 2018


Technical Paper

approaching vehicles and gaps to cross roads Table 12: Average Influencing Factor Weighting
(wigmore et al 2006). If we talk about personal Influencing factors Average weightings
safety and security, parents give more weightage Distance 2.4
to personal safety than other factors such as school
Convenience 3.4
fees, transport facility etc. Road safety, stranger
Safety – Stranger Danger 4
danger would be the factor for children safety
Safety – Road Safety 3.9
and this motivates the parents to travel with their
Cost 2.6
children. Results of the Parents’ Survey were
Condition of footpaths 2.2
compiled and Following Observations were done:
6.2 RESULTS OF PARENTS’ SURVEY
Parents were asked to indicate the importance on
the following factors when deciding, how your Following relationship was observed from parents’
children travel to school. 0 indicates that the factor survey:
is not important at all. 5 indicate that the factor is Here we are discussing Relationship between Age
of critical importance. The factors identified in the of youngest children in home and factor influencing
survey were: travel choice and neglecting other criteria such as
no. of Cars available at home and no. of school
• Distance to School;
going children at home: Table 13, below shows the
• Convenience; relationship between the age of the youngest child
• Safety – “Stranger Danger” and the factors influencing travel choices. Safety
• Safety – Road Safety; factors, cost, distance, condition of footpath show
• Cost; a slight reduction in importance at age 8-11 yr,
but convenience increase against age 8-11yr. This
• Other.
is unexpected and difficult to explain. All factors
6.1 Average Weightings except convenience show reductions in importance
Table 12 below shows the average weighting at age 8-11yr. This may reflect the mindset of
given by parents to factors influencing their parents that that by the age of 11, children are
children’s travel choices. As expected, road and much more able to travel themselves, and need
less protection. Apart from the exceptions noted
personal safety, at 3.9 and 4.0 respectively, are
above, the importance given to factors influencing
the most important factors identified by parents as
travel weightage to Safety factors were reasonably
influencing travel choices for their children. consistent across age groups.
Table 13: Comparison of Factors and Age of the Youngest

Factors Distance Conveyance Safety Safety Cost Pedestrian


Age (Stranger (Road Facility
Danger) safety)
<5yrs 3.1 3.5 4.4 4.3 2.6 2.8
5-8 yrs 2.4 3.6 4.4 4.5 2.6 2.9
8-11yrs 2.5 3.8 3.9 3.9 2.5 2.4
7 MULTINOMIAL LOGIT MODELLING: schools, there is no transportation facility (school
The purpose of generating a Multinomial Logit bus/van) is available. Out of remaining 7 schools,
(MNL) model was to provide a method to estimate sincere participation from one school was lacking
the mode choices of school pupils. To get the and survey data was not presenting true picture.
desired variables, The MNL model is prepared It was a mere formality to participate in the
from the small sample collected from each survey process for that school. To get the desired
school, considering survey data from six schools variables, this model could be used to explore
only because of the fact that, in two schools (one the probability of choosing different modes other
Govt. and one reputed trust school) out of these 9 than “bus” and could be helpful in future planning

INDIAN HIGHWAYS│April 2018 45


Technical Paper

procedure. Apart from this, the MNL model can recorded as ”Bus” trips other modes have much
help in estimating the factors influencing a number lower percentage individually and was not possible
of independent variables in choosing mode of to generate model considering each mode, that is
travel. why we combined all modes other than “Bus” and
The multinomial logit model (XLSTAT version named as “Other” and generated a model taking
2017): these two alternatives (Rice, 2008). The model
was prepared by taking different parameters such
In multinomial logit model there are more than as gender, age, travel independence, pedestrian
two dependent variables. Its main focus is on facility and distance from home to school. The data
finding out the probability of choosing one, out of constituting a separate entity was analyzed using
the no. of categories say “j” which is dependent the XLSTAT 2017 MNL program. 750 samples
on some explanatory parameters. The expression were collected for model formulation; out of these
used for the model is: Log [p(y =j | xi)/p(y =1 | xi)] 750 observations 300 random observations were
= αj +βjXi where the category 1 comes under the used to validate the mode
reference or control category. All other parameters
are explained relative to this control category or 7.2 Details of Model.
parameter. The probability in choosing category Validation/Number of observations: 300
“j” is as follows i.e. p(y = j | xi) = exp(αj + βjXi)/[1
+ Σk=2.J exp(αk + βkXi)]. For the control category, Model: Logit
we have: p(y =1 | xi) = 1/[1 + Σk=2.J exp(αk + Response type: Multinomial
βkXi)]. The model is generated or estimated
using a max. likelihood ratio method; the log- Control category: BUS
likelihood is expressed as: l(α,β) = Σi=1.nΣj=1. Constraints: a1=0
Jyij log(p(y=j|xi))To estimate the β parameters of
the model (linear function coefficient), here we Confidence interval (%): 95
are trying to maximize the likelihood function. An Stop conditions: Iterations = 100/Convergence =
exact analytical solution does not exist as in linear 0.000001
regression. To find the best possible solution the
software XLSTAT 2017 uses the Newton- Raphson Maximization of the likelihood function using the
algorithm. (Source: XLSTAT 2017 tutorials) Newton-Raphson algorithm
7.1 Mode Choice Estimates Table 14, 15, 16 and 17 show the descriptive
Mode choice model has generated through schools statistics of variable mode and validation data set
survey data. Almost 52% of total trips were respectively.
Table 14: Descriptive Statistic on Quantitative Variable
Variable Observations missing Without Min. Max. Mean Std.
missing deviation
Age 450 0 450 4.0 17.0 8.473 3.528
Distance 450 0 450 1.0 5.0 3.280 1.312
Table 15: Descriptive Statistic on Qualitative Variables

Variable Categories frequencies %


Boy 102 22.667
Gender
Girl 348 77.333
Adult 351 78.000
Travel With
Alone 99 22.000
Bad 319 70.889
Pedestrian
Good 131 29.111

46 INDIAN HIGHWAYS│April 2018


Technical Paper

Table 16: Descriptive Statistic on Quantitative Variable (validation set)

Variable Observations missing Without Min. Max. Mean Std.


missing deviation
Age 300 0 300 4.0 17.00 8.197 3.543
Distance 300 0 300 1.0 5.00 3.290 1.388
Table 17: Descriptive Statistic on Qualitative Variables (validation set)

Variable Categories frequencies %


Boy 77 25.667
Gender
Girl 223 74.333
Adult 239 79.667
Travel With
Alone 61 20.333
Bad 206 68.667
Pedestrian facility
Good 94 31.333

Table 18: Pseudo R-square Table 19: Test of Null Hypothesis

Pseudo- R-Square Value Statistic Degree of Chi- Pr > Chi²


Freedom square
R²(McFadden) 0.549 -2 Log 5 341.786 < 0.0001
(Likelihood)
R²(Cox and Snell) 0.532 Score 5 251.576 < 0.0001
Wald 5 109.416 < 0.0001
R²(Nagelkerke) 0.710
Table 19 shows the null hypothesis which indicates
Table 18 shows the value of pseudo -R-square that Pr >Chi2 values are <0.0001 which is ok for
which is quite satisfactory as per the requirement the model.
of the model.
Table 20: Type II Analysis

Source DF Chi-square Pr > Wald Chi-square Pr > LR


(Wald) (LR)

Age 1 17.247 < 0.0001 19.176 < 0.0001

Distance 1 104.578 <0.0001 261.410 <0.0001

Gender 1 9.526 0.002 9.959 0.002

Travel with 1 9.745 0.002 10.222 0.001

Pedestrian Facility 1 14.674 0.000 15.846 < 0.0001

Table 20 shows that value Pr>Lr for all column describes the independent
the independent variables is less than 0.05 parameters taken into consideration for the
which is good for the model. Here source model generation.

INDIAN HIGHWAYS│April 2018 47


Technical Paper

Table 21: Model Parameters


Category source value Std. Wald Pr > Wald Wald Odds L.B U.B
error Chi- Chi² L.B U.B ratio (95%) (95%)
Square (95%) (95%)
Intercept 9.007 1.045 74.314 <0.0001 6.960 11.055
Age -0.365 0.088 17.247 <0.0001 -0.537 -0.193 0.694 0.584 0.825
Distance -2.213 0.216 104.578 <0.0001 -2.638 -1.789 0.109 0.072 0.167
Gender 0.000 0.000
(Boy)
Gender 1.081 0.350 9.526 0.002 0.395 1.768 2.949 1.484 5.859
(Girl)
Travel 0.000 0.000
With
Other (adult)
Travel 1.966 0.630 9.745 0.002 0.732 3.200 7.141 2.078 24.536
With
(alone)
Pedestrian 0.000 0.000
Facility
(bad)
Pedestrian 1.399 0.365 14.674 0.000 0.683 2.115 4.051 1.980 8.286
Facility
(Good)
Table 21 below shows “value” column gives the utility factors to generate the model and to find out the
probability of choosing different modes.
Table 22: Classification Table for the Estimation are 0.532, 0.549, 0.710 because as the
Sample (Variable MODE): value close to 1 the model is well adjusted.
From/to Bus Other Total % Correct ii. Table. 20 shows that the Pr > LR value is
Bus 184 28 212 86.79% much lesser than a significance threshold
Other 30 208 238 87.39% value which is (typically set to 0.05 because
Total 214 236 450 87.11% in this case confidence interval is 95%),
which concludes that the contribution of
Table 23: Classification Table for the Validation
the independent variables to the model
Sample (Variable MODE):
adjustment is significant as compared to other
From/to Bus Other Total % Correct parameters.
Bus 126 18 144 87.50% iii. From Table.21, if the “value” is negative then
Other 23 133 156 85.26% it shows that the variable is less likely to go
Total 149 151 300 86.33% for the corresponding mode as compared to
Table 22 and 23 shows the classification tables “bus” because here bus is base variable and
for estimation and validation sample respectively value 0 shows the parameter to be redundant
showing satisfactory % correct for the model. and work as a reference parameter in
particular variable.
MODEL RESULTS
iv. Table.22 and Table.23 shows the validation of
Analysis of the model to be significant and valid the model here the difference in % correct of
as per the guidelines of the software shown both the samples is 0.72 which is very good
below: or excellent result (Tushara T. et. al.2013).
i. From Table.18 we can observe that R2 (Cox and v. Finally equation of model is given below as
Snell), R2 (McFadden) and R2 (Nagelkerke) follows:

48 INDIAN HIGHWAYS│April 2018


Technical Paper

Probability (other) = School Roll: The increasing strength of school


Pupils has the effect on the number of pupils who
( ) travel by school bus. High-income schools have a
greater percentage of pupils travel by buses than
Where: small schools.
A= Age of the student Quality of Pedestrian Environment: The research
B= Distance in Km suggests that, the quality of the pedestrian facility
C= No. Of girls as well as walking environment has an impact on
D= No. Of students travelling alone the travel choices behaviour of school pupils.
E= No. Of cases Pedestrian Facility is good Multinomial logit model: we can conclude that
in future, the "model equation" model generated
vi. Above equation can be used to calculate the
above in this paper would be very helpful in future
probability of choosing mode other than “Bus”
planning which provides the probability of choosing
on putting values of different parameters
mode other than bus by school pupils. Parameters
i.e. distance between home and school, no.
such as gender, distance, and independent travel
of students with gender as “girl” and no. of
are considered to be the contributing factors in
pupils travel “alone”, Age and pedestrian
estimating the overall pattern of the Bahadurgarh
facility and multiplying with their coefficients
school pupils.
from Table 21 i.e. from “value” column.
School and Local Planning:
8 CONCLUSIONS
If we have to motivate the sustainable development
The first question has definitely been answered
and to increase interests in a more active mode of
which was asked formerly in this paper. The mode
transport such as walking and cycling then the
choices by more than 3,500 Bahadurgarh school
recommendations for Transportation Infrastructure
pupils have been identified, compared critically
at and near Schools given below may be followed
and examined. A number of factors have been
by planners of existing and new school facilities as
observed which responsible for school pupil travel
well as their surroundings. The size and location
choices are such as:
of the school must be in such that the proportion
Safety Concerns: Road safety and personal safety of pupils likely to live within comfortable walking
are taken into account for school travel choice. and cycling distance.
Children are particularly sensitive to condition
Transportation Infrastructure at and near Schools:
with heavy traffic volumes. Small sized pupils,
when compared with vehicles and adults, make Sufficient and separate footpath and cycle lane
pupils less visible to vehicle drivers and users. width must be adequate so as to cope with the
Children also lacking intellectual skills required pedestrians and cyclists using these facilities
to make safe decisions regarding the speed of in peak hours i.e. start and close of the schools,
vehicles and sight distance. According to (Turner also sufficient visibility must be provided at
et.al. 2006) the level of safety for pedestrians road crossings. Pupils with less intellectual skills
and cyclists increases as numbers of pedestrians must be addressed when visibility and stopping
and cyclists increases. Here safety of the children distances are considered and parking must be
travels to school means personal safety (stranger provided adequately and should minimize the need
danger) and road safety. for turning or reversing for the near schools.
Distance from School: As expected, study Usefulness of the paper in modifying Design codes:
indicates that as the distance to school increases This article is mere survey based and the overall
there more use of car and buses travel to school. theme of the paper is motivating students as well
13.94% of pupils who live within 1km-2km range parents to use personal vehicle less frequently and
of school travelled by car/bike, compared to those to use more environment -friendly which contribute
whose residence is farther i.e. distance >5km hugely to the traffic of the area. If we can reduce
having percentage of 20.24%. traffic just of the school trips it will contribute

INDIAN HIGHWAYS│April 2018 49


Technical Paper

significantly to the overall traffic congestions in iv. A Study for counts of a number of pedestrians
the area. It helps to get information regarding the and cyclists using facility near school
present status of the pedestrian facility of the area travelling to school or to home may be useful
and will be useful in upgrading the facilities which for revision of design standards of footpaths
directly influence the safety of the pedestrians. such as width, height etc. So that sufficient
This survey will help policy- makers to improve footpath and cycle width may be provided to
infrastructure of the facility nearby localities and cater peak pedestrian and cyclist numbers
can be applied to the other areas also.
REFERENCES:
As it need rigorous research and time in modifying 1. Bill Rice, HOW WE GOT TO SCHOOL: A
design codes, this article suggests improvements Study of, Travel Choices at Christchurch Primary
in infrastructure near school localities for pupils School, ipenz transportation group conference,
safety, as per the observations, the pedestrian Puke Ariki, New Plymouth, 2-5 November, 2008.
facilities provided in the school localities are not 2. GALLIN, N. (2001), Quantifying Pedestrian
as per the design criteria specified by IRC, what we Friendliness – Guidelines for Assessing Pedestrian
need here is to follow design guidelines specified Level of Service, Australia: Walking the 21st
in the design codes strictly. Century, February 2001, Perth.
The scope for the further research: 3. http://www.xlstat.com/en/products-solutions/
feature/dose-effect-analysis.html
i. This study can be further extended to
surveys of rural area schools. This will help 4. Tushara T, Rajalakshmi P, Bino I Koshy. Mode
in identifying the impact of geographical Choice Modelling For Work Trips in Calicut City.
International Journal of Innovative Technology
locations and how economically weak and
and Exploring Engineering (IJITEE) ISSN: 2278-
less developed infrastructure than urban areas
3075, Volume-3, Issue-3, August, 2013.
are different in school travel decision making.
5. Turner, S., Roozenburg, A., & Francis, T.
ii. This survey can be extended to different areas (2006) Predicting Accident Rates for Cyclists
of the country and to explore whether these and Pedestrians, Land Transport New Zealand
factors are applicable to other areas also. Research Report 289, Land Transport New
iii. This type of survey must be on the five- yearly Zealand, Wellington.
bases so as to identify the changing trend of 6. Wigmore, B., Baas, C., Wade, W., & Baas, P.
behaviour of the pupils and parents time to (2006) School Journey Safety – A Comparative
time regarding school travel decision- making Study of Engineering Devices, Land Transport
process. Then the results of this survey could New Zealand Research Report 271, Land
Transport New Zealand, Wellington
be compared to the future survey data.

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