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INTRODUCTION
R ecent events around the world have highlighted the critical—and often delicate—
nature of the supply chains many companies rely on to produce their products and
deliver them to customers. Among the natural and man-made occurrences in the last two
years that have risen as potential or real supply chain threats are:
■ the earthquake and resulting tsunami that hit Japan in March 2011
■ the surprising impact of flooding in Thailand later in the year
■ the volcanic eruption in Iceland that disrupted air travel to and from Europe in 2010
■ 2011’s “Arab Spring” political upheavals
■ and decisions in China to restrict the export of rare earth minerals.
Companies increasingly are centering operations on just-in-time inventory strategies and
also are outsourcing the manufacture of product components. Those factors, combined
with the rise of online communications and advances in worldwide delivery, mean supply
chain risks aren’t just the province of large businesses today. Smaller companies also are
tied into far-flung vendor networks or distribution systems. Complicating things further,
frequently the exposure doesn’t end at a company’s direct supplier but may well extend
further up the chain to suppliers of the supplier. CONTENTS
And the disruption might not come from an inability to receive the product for which a
company has contracted, but rather from discovering that that product is not to the
UNDERSTANDING NATURE
anticipated standards, as in recent cases that have resulted in massive recalls.
OF SUPPLY CHAIN RISKS 3
When supply chain disruptions do occur, insurance coverage issues can be complex in
determining not only the extent of coverage but also the extent of losses. These
complexities have proven to be the case with businesses and their insurers trying to sort out ASSESSING EXPOSURES
claims resulting from Japan’s March earthquake and tsunami, and with companies facing ACROSS GLOBAL CHAINS 6
losses as a result of Thai floods. Experts say that in both cases, supply chain losses stemming
from business disruption to suppliers of companies’ suppliers or from damage to PRODUCTS, POLITICS CREATE
transportation networks offer not only challenges in sorting out insurance coverage, but SUPPLY CHAIN RISKS 9
present additional burdens to companies as they look to recover from supply chain
disruptions. FILLING GAPS LEFT BY
Physical distance and language differences present additional struggles to companies TRADITIONAL INSURANCE 12
looking to address supply chain disruptions stemming from events such as the Japanese
earthquake and tsunami and the flooding in Thailand, and experts say these problems may CONCLUSION 14
well become a factor as companies consider supply chains going forward.
As companies have become increasingly aware of the exposures presented by their supply
chains, many of them have come to realize that addressing the exposure is a classic risk
management exercise involving identifying the exposures, mitigating them where possible,
transferring risk when needed and continually monitoring the risk management process to
ensure it’s functioning effectively and to make timely adjustments when necessary.
Often, the effort to manage supply chain risks must by necessity be approached on an
enterprisewide basis, as the best way to understand the supply chain risks facing an
organization is to look broadly across the organization and the exposures that might
threaten its viability. For risk managers, it can be an opportunity to take the lead in that
process, guiding the effort to look across the various aspects of an organization as it seeks
to identify areas of the business in which supply chain risks might reside.
This white paper will examine the recent rise to prominence of the issue of supply chain
risk, issues associated with the exposure and some of the solutions being advanced to
address the risk, both in terms of risk management and risk transfer.
Entire contents copyright © 2012 Crain Communications Inc. All rights reserved.
SUPPLY CHAIN RISK BUSINESS INSURANCE WHITE PAPER
CHAPTER 1
AP PHOTO
The March 2011 earthquake and tsunami in Japan caused extensive damage, including to the Fukushima
Daiichi nuclear power plant, and focused many companies’ attention on supply chain risks.
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AP PHOTO
The devastating earthquake and tsunami that struck Japan in 2011 caused extensive damage to
commercial facilities, creating significant disruptions to global supply chains.
If the impact of the March 2011 Japanese service, estimates indicated the catastrophe would
earthquake and tsunami opened many eyes to the cause lost production of 250,000 vehicles
issue of supply chain risk, the extent of the impact worldwide.
of the worst floods to hit Thailand in more than 50 Toshiba Corp., Sony Corp., Nikon Corp. and
years took many by surprise as flooding shut down Canon Inc. were among the other firms hard hit by
industrial parks occupied by major electronics the Thai floods.
companies and auto makers, among others.
Particularly surprising to many who saw their CAUSES OF SUPPLY CHAIN DISRUPTIONS
supply chains disrupted was the realization of the Given the reach of those events in global supply
important position Thailand occupied in many chains, it’s not surprising that most companies
supply chains. The midsized country’s supply chain report having been affected by supply chain
prominence in industries such as electronics and disruptions. A large majority of companies—85%,
automobiles seemed disproportionate to many, that responded to a survey conducted by Zurich
compared with its population of 65 million. Financial Services Group and the U.K. Business
With the country responsible for an estimated Continuity Institute that was released in November
45% of the world’s hard drive production and 2011—said they had suffered at least one supply
flooded plants affecting such manufacturers as chain disruption during 2011. The survey of 559
Seagate Technology Inc. and Western Digital Inc., companies from 62 countries across 14 industry
technology industry analysts said the impact of sectors showed that 40% of disruptions occurred
disruption to the hard drive supply was expected to beyond the direct supplier.
be felt through 2012. Adverse weather was the most common cause of
Meanwhile, with auto makers such as Honda supply chain disruption, cited by 51% of
Motor Co. Ltd., Nissan Motor Co. Ltd. and Toyota respondents. Unplanned IT or telecommunications
Motor Corp. forced to close Thai facilities while the outage was the second-most common cause of a
floods receded and plants could be returned to disruption, cited by 41% of respondents, while
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Only 1% of respondents said the cost of a single Source: Supply Chain Resilience 2011, The Business Continuity Institute
disruption reached more than €100 million.
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CHAPTER 2
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AP PHOTO
Political and social volatility stemming from the Arab Spring of 2011 also presented supply chain
exposures for many organizations.
much of its profit is dependent on key suppliers for might affect their business. Going further, they’re
which it has no alternatives, and how that exposure making backup supplier arrangements, diversifying
changes over time. It’s easier to implement such the locations of suppliers and arranging to use
models and embed them in the business process different backup suppliers than their competitors.
when a company is starting a new business line. Some companies are also beginning to do
But even for an existing business, it’s a necessary, scenario analysis of potential supply chain
worthwhile exercise to truly understand supply disruptions, calculating the potential impact of
chain exposures. Again, it’s an example of basic risk having to re-engineer processes if alternative
management, identifying abnormal volatility and components or raw materials don’t match original
determining the potential impact of that volatility specifications.
on the enterprise. In general, the recent supply chain disruptions are
Some liken the fashion in which consideration of leading many companies to embrace more of a
supply chain risks is becoming embedded in resiliency mindset, considering hypotheticals and
operations at some companies to the way a focus trying to determine responses to disruptions before
on quality improvement has become a basic part of they face a crisis—and the accompanying costs.
business processes at many businesses. With recent disruptions having also raised various
Oak Brook, Ill.-based Ace Hardware Corp. is an stakeholders’ expectations that companies will be
example of such a company. With considerable aware of and manage supply chain risks, many are
sourcing of products from China and elsewhere in looking to such tools as predictive modeling, as well
Asia, the company recognizes its supply chain as considering how to incorporate supply chain risk
exposures are only likely to grow, so it’s necessary to management into the organization’s strategic plan
identify and assess exposures and take steps to and its enterprise risk management process.
manage them. At the end of the day, managing supply chain risk
With the Thai floods raising awareness of the risk is a classic risk management process, trying to get a
of geographical concentrations of suppliers, many glimpse into the future of events that might have
companies are now looking to identify an impact on the organization and determining the
concentrations of suppliers and industries that appropriate steps to address them.
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CHAPTER 3
AP PHOTO
Mattel Inc. recalled millions of toys in 2007 over concerns that the Chinese-made products were
dangerous because of the possible presence of lead-based paints.
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AP PHOTO
China in 2011 greatly reduced its exporting of rare earth elements, forcing manufacturers worldwide to
find new sources of the materials.
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trying to select the best suppliers it can that do have able to discuss technical matters in Chinese with the
coverage. vendor and inspects components in China to make
Honeywell also is developing a vehicle that can sure they meet specifications before they leave the
provide product liability insurance to suppliers that factory.
can’t get insurance. Among other approaches, it is
exploring the possibility of using its Bermuda captive POLITICAL RISKS
in the coverage, with Chinese suppliers paying Supply chain disruptions can also have political or
premiums to the captive. national policy origins. In the summer of 2010, for
example, a political issue turned into an operational
QUALITY CONTROL and revenue challenge for manufacturers of
Rockford, Ill.-based Mega Fabrication Inc., a metal electronics, optics, rechargeable batteries and other
fabrication manufacturer, buys components from products that rely on rare earth elements such as
vendors all over the world, including China. The scandium, yttrium and lanthanum. That was
company also pays a Chinese manufacturer to because China, which previously supplied nearly all
assemble its smallest product line. A U.S. insurer the world’s demand for such metals, decided to
provides product liability coverage for Mega dramatically scale back exports of the substances.
Fabrication’s Chinese and U.S. operations. Chinese leaders decided to withhold rare earths
Among other things, the company has found that due to increasing demand among domestic
outsourcing to outside vendors has forced it to manufacturers. The move sent many manufacturers
document instructions fully and ensure the absolute elsewhere in the world scrambling to make up the
accuracy of blueprints. The effort has paid a supply shortfall and meet the inevitably rising price
dividend in terms of receiving better parts from its for rare earth metals.
suppliers. Once again, addressing such issues involves
After its decision to outsource some companies identifying potential exposures in
manufacturing to China, the company also took advance and identifying alternative sources of
steps to design new roles for two of its machine necessary materials so that they can continue to
shop employees, assigning them to new global supply products to their customers.
sourcing positions. Those individuals worked with An enterprise risk management approach is
vendors as the company built strong support for its necessary as risk management works with other
supply chain, helping its suppliers to be successful. areas of the organization to identify potential
In addition, quality control was formalized when exposures, future product line requirements, the
the company became an outsourcer. It recently impact of different materials or components on
engaged a global engineering consulting firm that is production and the like.
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CHAPTER 4
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pricing can find doing so a difficult task. particular circumstances and exposure of the client.
That’s been the experience at Volkswagen Group Every policy is different, and limits will vary by
of America Inc. While the company tries to provide customer. Willis starts by determining the client’s
a list of suppliers to insurers, there’s a feeling that needs, and then looks to see what sort of limits and
Volkswagen’s insurers try to hold it to that list, even terms it can get from the underwriters with which it
though the supplier situation can be a fluid one. is partnering on the exclusion-zone coverage.
New Brunswick, N.J.-based Johnson & Johnson is
another company focusing increasing attention on THE ROLE OF CAPTIVES
risks associated with its suppliers. The company is Some companies have also brought their captive
addressing this challenge by working very closely insurance companies to bear in addressing supply
with its operating units to understand who and chain risks. Such was the case at Paris-based
where key suppliers are. Part of the process includes pharmaceutical maker Sanofi-Aventis Groupe.
working with its lead insurer to conduct on-site Because local rules often require that at least one
supplier inspections and use any recommendations step of the pharmaceutical manufacturing process
from those inspections to mitigate risk, either be performed in a country where that product is
through physical improvements or contingency sold, and because its business is global, Sanofi-
planning, Aventis has huge quantities of pharmaceuticals in
Johnson & Johnson purchases contingent time transit at any one time.
element extended coverage from unnamed multiple The company makes about 65,000 to 70,000
insurers, which protects it from interruptions caused shipments annually, and covering the exposure can
by suppliers that cannot be easily identified down present a challenge because the products can be
the supply chain. The company believes that helping targeted by thieves. Breaks in the supply chain could
its insurers better understand the risks they’re happen at any time, and a product liability claim
writing leads to enhanced policy terms. caused by a supply chain breakdown would damage
Sanofi-Aventis’ reputation.
EXCLUSION-ZONE COVERAGE Stock-in-transit coverage—or insurance that
Exposure information is also an essential element covers damage to or the theft of goods in transit—
of a particularly focused coverage offered last year forms a vital part of the company’s overall risk
by Willis, an insurance product to cover business protection. While examining how incoming E.U.
disruptions resulting from exclusion zones regulatory regime Solvency II would affect the
implemented to contain damage from incidents at captive, the company decided to run all stock-in-
nuclear power plants. transit risks through Sanofi-Aventis’ Dublin-based
The coverage was developed by the Willis Global captive, Carraig Insurance Ltd., which enabled the
Markets International division in response to the company to better analyze claims patterns.
exclusion zone that Japanese officials established Since the frequency and average cost of stock-in-
around the Fukushima nuclear power plant as a transit claims have increased in recent years,
result of radiation leaks after the March 11 particularly in emerging markets, the company
earthquake and tsunami. worked to restructure its stock-in-transit program.
The policy will respond to exclusion zones The result was obtaining broader coverage that is
imposed around nuclear plants as a result of natural adaptable to the differing needs of local operations.
catastrophes or other events or failures at a nuclear In addition, the company’s risk management
plant. It covers disruptions resulting because of department engaged logistics colleagues across the
client locations in exclusion zones, and disruptions group in risk management efforts. That result has
that companies face because key suppliers or been a more than 50% reduction in Sanofi-Aventis’
customers are located in those areas. stock-in-transit insurance costs and a significantly
Policies are custom-written, based on the improved loss ratio.
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CONCLUSION
Unplanned outage Adverse weather Adverse weather Adverse weather Adverse weather
Product quality
1 of IT or telecom (windstorm,
incident
(windstorm, (windstorm, (windstorm,
systems flooding, snow, etc.) flooding, snow, etc.) flooding, snow, etc.) flooding, snow, etc.)
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