Koefisien

(xi (xi-x) (xi-x)² (xi-x)³ (xi-x)⁴ (log xi)

Tahun Pmax
2014 132 42 1764 74088 3111696 2.120574
2013 25 -65 4225 -274625 17850625 1.39794
2012 102 12 144 1728 20736 2.0086
2011 98 8 64 512 4096 1.991226
2010 145 55 3025 166375 166375 2.161368
2009 99 9 81 729 729 1.995635
2008 35 -55 3025 -166375 9150625 1.544068
2007 130 40 1600 64000 2560000 2.113943
2006 45 -45 2025 -91125 4100625 1.653213
2005 89 -1 1 -1 1 1.94939
1.893596
10 15954 -224694 36965508 18.93596
Σxi 900
x 90 PERBANDINGAN x=
Std= 42.10305 Std =
Cs= -0.41814 Ck=
Cv= 2.137612 Cs=
Ck -1.14741 -2246940 Cv=
5373696

Std Log =

-0.57618
(log xi-logx) (log xi - log x)² (log xi - log x)³ (log xi - log x)⁴ Distribusi probabilitas

0.2269782011 0.0515191038 0.0116937135 0.0026542181 JENIS DISTRIBUSI

-0.495655721 0.2456745942 -0.1217700182 0.0603560062 NORMAL
0.1150044416 0.0132260216 0.0015210512 0.0001749276
0.0976303456 0.0095316844 0.0009305816 0.000090853 GUMBLE
0.2677722721 0.0717019897 0.0191998047 0.0051411753
0.1020394645 0.0104120523 0.0010624402 0.0001084108 LOG PERSON
-0.349527686 0.1221696031 -0.0427016587 0.0149254119 LOG NORMAL
0.2203476222 0.0485530746 0.0106985545 0.0023574011
-0.240383216 0.0577840907 -0.0138903256 0.0033390011
0.0557942765 0.0031130013 0.0001736877 9.690777E-06

0 0.6336852157 -0.133082169 0.089157096

90
42.103048187 3696550800
2.3340598384 1583742944
-0.41814 226248992 -2246940
2.1376124503

0.2653478253
i probabilitas

SYARAT PERHITUNGAN KESIMPULAN

CS ≈ 0 -0.41814 ≈ 0 TIDAK MEMENUHI
CK ≈ 0 -1.14741 ≈ 3
CS ≤ 1,1396 -0.41814 ≤ 1.1396 MEMENUHI
CK ≤ 5,4002 -1.146 ≤ 5.4002 MEMENUHI
CS ≠ 0 -0.41814 ≠ 0 MEMENUHI
CS ≈ 3 CV + CV² 10.98222 ≤ 0.3016 TIDAK MEMENUHI
CK = CV⁸ + 6 CV⁶ + 15 CV⁴ + 15 CV² + 3 1324.568 ≤ 9.18858 MEMENUHI

unntuk 5% (0,05) dk 2

jumlah kelas (k)

dk
 m = no urut 100/jumlah kelas Ef = jumlah data/jumlah kelas
n = jumlah data Of =

m tahun P P=m/n+1 no nilai batasan

1 2013 25 9.090909 1 0 ≤X≥
2 2008 35 18.18182 2 25 ≤ X ≥
3 2006 45 27.27273 3 50 ≤ X ≥
4 2005 89 36.36364 4 75 ≤ X ≥
5 2011 98 45.45455 Jumlah
6 2009 99 54.54545 Memenuhi
7 2012 102 63.63636
8 2007 130 72.72727 hujan rencana untuk gumble
9 2014 132 81.81818
10 2010 145 90.90909 periode ulang Xr S
2
5.991 5
T = Periode ulang 10
jumlah kelas (k) 4.0 25
2.0 50
100
200
 Ef = jumlah data/jumlah kelas

nilai batasan Of Ef (Of-Ef)^2 (Of-Ef)^2/Ef

25 2 2.5 0.25 0.1
5 2 2.5 0.25 0.1
75 2 2.5 0.25 0.1
100 2 2.5 0.25 0.1
Jumlah 0.4
Memenuhi ≤ 5.991

Kt LogX Pmaks Yt Yn Sn K Pgumbel Pnormal

0.366513 0.4952 0.9497 -0.1355 84.29492 90
1.500 0.4952 0.9497 1.057955 134.5431 125.3666
2.250 0.4952 0.9497 1.848128 167.8118 143.8919
3.199 0.4952 0.9497 2.846514 209.8469 -
3.902 0.4952 0.9497 3.587173 241.0309 176.3112
4.600 0.4952 0.9497 4.322364 271.985 188.1001
5.296 0.4952 0.9497 5.054872 302.8255 198.6259
P Log Normal KT P Log Pearson
78.270071423 0 82.34166
46.849348608 0.84 132.0485
35.805563562 1.28 164.5351
- - 203.8899
22.368285033 2.05 231.8029
18.851039225 2.33 264.8285
16.180738557 2.58 283.7585

1.8935957301 1.91562
1.6707035568 2.120733
1.5539505137 2.216259
2.309396
1.3496326882 2.365119
1.2753352971 2.422965
1.2089983408 2.452949