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JAPAN’s 2nd NATIONAL WORKSHOP 4 November 2010 Hilton Hotel Tokyo, Japan
Assessment of Vulnerability of Crop
Production to Climate Change
549 participants
Themes of Parallell Sessions
Southeast Asia
VCr = { Cr(i) - }2
Simple regression
Cr(i) = α1×Tm(i) + β1
Cr(i) = α2×Pr(i) + β2
Cr(i) = α3×Dy(i) + β3
Multiple regressions
Cr(i) = a1×Tm(i) + b1×Pr(i) + d1 :T-P-2 Regression Model
Cr(i) = a2×Tm(i) +c2×Dy(i) + d2 :T-D-2 Regression Model
UK 0.32(3-8) 0.48(3-8)
33
Yield vs. Amount of precipitation (up)
Yield vs. Number of days of precipitation (down)
34
Which factor (temperature / Precipitation) does affect
predominantly over crop productivity?
T-P-2
51
Points to be improved
• Detail information based on surveys in each
country
• Quantitative analysis on vulnerability of crop
production derived from socio‐economic
factors
• Further development of Indicators to measure
vulnerability of to climate change
• others
ご清聴ありがとうございました。
Thank you for your attention!
Area harvested Data refer to the area from which a crop is gathered.
Area harvested, therefore, excludes the area from which, although
sown or planted, there was no harvest due to damage, failure, etc. It
is usually net for temporary crops and some times gross for
permanent crops. Net area differs from gross area insofar as the
latter includes uncultivated patches, footpaths, ditches, headlands,
shoulders, shelterbelts, etc. If the crop under consideration is
harvested more than once during the year as a consequence of
successive cropping (i.e. the same crop is sown or planted more
than once in the same field during the year), the area is counted as
many times as harvested. On the contrary, area harvested will be
recorded only once in the case of successive gathering of the crop
during the year from the same standing crops. With regard to mixed
and associated crops, the area sown relating to each crop should
be reported separately. When the mixture refers to particular crops,
generally grains, it is recommended to treat the mixture as if it were
a single crop; therefore, area sown is recorded only for the crop
reported. (from
FAOSTAT)