ESTACION : La Pampilla

Tiempo PrecipitaciónPrecipitación Intensidad

Hora Intervalo(min) Acumulado Parcial Acumulada (mm/h)
h min min mm
16:27
16:46 19 19 1.40 1.40 4.42 0.10 0.044025157 11.46 4.754716981
18:00 74 93 9.80 11.20 7.95 0.47 0.352201258 56.08 38.03773585
18:18 18 111 8.70 19.90 29.00 0.56 0.625786164 66.93 67.58490566
19:06 48 159 9.40 29.30 11.75 0.80 0.921383648 95.88 99.50943396
19:23 17 176 1.50 30.80 5.29 0.88 0.968553459 106.13 104.6037736
19:46 23 199 1.00 31.80 2.61 1.00 1 120.00 108
20:00

Intensidad m m /h
X Y
HIETOGRAMA Tr = 10
0:00 0 20
0:00 15.70093458
0:30 15.70093458 15.70
15
0:30 11.89 30
1:00 11.89 11.89

1:00 3.36 60
10

1:30 3.36
1:30 1.57 905 5.15 4.82 4.82
2:00 1.57 3.36 3.02 3.02
2.46
2:00 2.46 120 1.57
0 0.00
3:00 2.46 0:00 4:48 9:36 14:24 19:12 0:00 4:48
3:00 5.15 180 Hora
6:00 5.15
6:00 3.02 360
12:00 3.02
12:00 4.82
0:00 4.82
0:00 0.00
0:00 0.00 1440
0 0 0
El siguiente paso es calcular las intensidades de lluvia para diferentes duraciones 0.0208333 30 0.3271028
0.0416667 60 0.5747664
i10  29.00 mm/h i10  29.00 mm/h 0.0625 90 0.6448598
0.0833333 120 0.6775701
i30  22.10 mm/h i30  29.00*18/30 + 11.75*12/30 = 22.10 mm/h. 0.125 180 0.728972
0.25 360 0.8364486
i60  16.93 mm/h i60  29.00*18/60 + 11.75*42/60 = 16.93 mm/h. 0.5 720 0.8995327
1 1440 1
i120  12.63 mm/h i120  29.00*18/120 + 11.75*48/120 + 7.95*54/120 = 12.63 mm/h.

i180  10.32 mm/h i180  29.00*18/180 + 11.75*48/180 + 7.95*74/180 + 5.29*17/180 + 4.42*19/180 + 2.5*4/180 = 10.32 mm/h.
 i180  i180 

ESTACION : Chiguata

Tiempo PrecipitaciónPrecipitación Intensidad

Hora Intervalo(min) Acumulado Parcial Acumulada (mm/h)
h min min mm
12:00
16:48 288 288 0.10 0.10 0.02 0.64 0.002808989
17:12 24 312 9.90 10.00 24.75 0.70 0.280898876
17:20 8 320 9.00 19.00 67.50 0.71 0.533707865
17:36 16 336 9.00 28.00 33.75 0.75 0.786516854
18:40 64 400 6.60 34.60 6.19 0.89 0.971910112
19:28 48 448 1.00 35.60 1.25 1.00 1
20:00
7.466666667
In t e n s id a d m m /h

X Y
12:00 0.02
16:48 0.02
16:48 24.75
HIETOGRAMA 17:12 24.75
80.00
17:12 67.50
70.00 67.50 17:20 67.50
60.00
50.00
17:20 33.75
40.00 17:36 33.75
33.75
30.00
24.75 17:36 6.19
20.00
10.00 18:40 6.19
6.19
0.00 1.25
18:40 1.25
16:00 17:00 18:00 19:00
Hora 19:28 1.25
19:28 0.00
20:00 0.00
20:00 0.00
0:00 0.00

El siguiente paso es calcular las intensidades de lluvia para diferentes duraciones

i10  60.75 mm/h i10  67.50*8/10+33.75*2/10 = 60.75 mm/h

i30  40.95 mm/h i30  67.50*8/30+33.75*16/30+24.75*6/30 = 40.95 mm/h

i60  29.14 mm/h i60  67.50*8/60+33.75*16/60+24.75*24/60+6.19*12/60 = 29.14 mm/h

i120  i120 
i120  17.33 mm/h i120  67.50*8/120+33.75*16/120+24.75*24/120+6.19*64/120 +1.25*8/120 = 17.33 mm/h

i180  11.67 mm/h i180  67.50*8/180+33.75*16/180+24.75*24/180+6.19*64/180 +1.25*20/180 = 11.67 mm/h

 1.2

0.8

0.6
Column I

0.4

0.2

0
- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 1.20

48
0
15.700935 15.7009346
27.588785 11.8878505
30.953271 3.36448598
32.523364 1.57009346
34.990654 2.46728972
40.149533 5.1588785
43.17757 3.02803738
48 4.82242991
48
 ESTACION : La Pampilla

Tiempo PrecipitaciónPrecipitación Intensidad

Hora Intervalo(min) Acumulado Parcial Acumulada (mm/h)
h min min mm
16:27
16:46 19 19 1.40 1.40 4.42 0.10 0.044025157 11.46 4.754716981
18:00 74 93 9.80 11.20 7.95 0.47 0.352201258 56.08 38.03773585
18:18 18 111 8.70 19.90 29.00 0.56 0.625786164 66.93 67.58490566
19:06 48 159 9.40 29.30 11.75 0.80 0.921383648 95.88 99.50943396
19:23 17 176 1.50 30.80 5.29 0.88 0.968553459 106.13 104.6037736
19:46 23 199 1.00 31.80 2.61 1.00 1 120.00 108
20:00
In t e n s i d a d m m /h

X Y 1.2
16:27 4.42
16:46 4.42 1
16:46 7.95
HIETOGRAMA 18:00 7.95
0.8
35.00
18:00 29.00
30.00 29.00 18:18 29.00
25.00 18:18 11.75 0.6
Column I
20.00
19:06 11.75
15.00

10.00
11.75 19:06 5.29 0.4
7.95
5.00 4.42 5.29 19:23 5.29
2.61
0.00 19:23 2.61 0.2
16:00 17:00 18:00 19:00
Hora 19:46 2.61
19:46 0.00
0
20:00 0.00
- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 1.20
20:00 0.00
0:00 0.00

El siguiente paso es calcular las intensidades de lluvia para diferentes duraciones

i10  29.00 mm/h i10  29.00 mm/h

i30  22.10 mm/h i30  29.00*18/30 + 11.75*12/30 = 22.10 mm/h.

i60  16.93 mm/h i60  29.00*18/60 + 11.75*42/60 = 16.93 mm/h.

i120  12.63 mm/h i120  29.00*18/120 + 11.75*48/120 + 7.95*54/120 = 12.63 mm/h.

i180  10.32 mm/h i180  29.00*18/180 + 11.75*48/180 + 7.95*74/180 + 5.29*17/180 + 4.42*19/180 + 2.5*4/180 = 10.32 mm/h.
 ESTACION : Chiguata

Tiempo PrecipitaciónPrecipitación Intensidad

Hora Intervalo(min) Acumulado Parcial Acumulada (mm/h)
h min min mm
12:00
16:48 288 288 0.10 0.10 0.02 0.64 0.002808989
17:12 24 312 9.90 10.00 24.75 0.70 0.280898876
17:20 8 320 9.00 19.00 67.50 0.71 0.533707865
17:36 16 336 9.00 28.00 33.75 0.75 0.786516854
18:40 64 400 6.60 34.60 6.19 0.89 0.971910112
19:28 48 448 1.00 35.60 1.25 1.00 1
20:00
7.466666667
In t e n s id a d m m /h

X Y
12:00 0.02
16:48 0.02
16:48 24.75
HIETOGRAMA 17:12 24.75
80.00
17:12 67.50
70.00 67.50 17:20 67.50
60.00
50.00
17:20 33.75
40.00 17:36 33.75
33.75
30.00
24.75 17:36 6.19
20.00
10.00 18:40 6.19
6.19
0.00 1.25
18:40 1.25
16:00 17:00 18:00 19:00
Hora 19:28 1.25
19:28 0.00
20:00 0.00
20:00 0.00
0:00 0.00

El siguiente paso es calcular las intensidades de lluvia para diferentes duraciones

i10  60.75 mm/h i10  67.50*8/10+33.75*2/10 = 60.75 mm/h

i30  40.95 mm/h i30  67.50*8/30+33.75*16/30+24.75*6/30 = 40.95 mm/h

i60  29.14 mm/h i60  67.50*8/60+33.75*16/60+24.75*24/60+6.19*12/60 = 29.14 mm/h

i120  17.33 mm/h i120  67.50*8/120+33.75*16/120+24.75*24/120+6.19*64/120 +1.25*8/120 = 17.33 mm/h

i120  i120 

i180  11.67 mm/h i180  67.50*8/180+33.75*16/180+24.75*24/180+6.19*64/180 +1.25*20/180 = 11.67 mm/h

 Column I

1.00 1.20
 ESTACION : La Pampilla

Tiempo PrecipitaciónPrecipitación Intensidad

Hora Intervalo(min) Acumulado Parcial Acumulada (mm/h)
h min min mm
16:27 199 35 3.316666667
16:46 19 19 1.40 1.40 4.42 0.10 0.044025157 19.00 1.54
18:00 74 93 9.80 11.20 7.95 0.47 0.352201258 93.00 12.33
18:18 18 111 8.70 19.90 29.00 0.56 0.625786164 111.00 21.90
19:06 48 159 9.40 29.30 11.75 0.80 0.921383648 159.00 32.25
19:23 17 176 1.50 30.80 5.29 0.88 0.968553459 176.00 33.90
19:46 23 199 1.00 31.80 2.61 1.00 1 199.00 35.00
20:00
In t e n s id a d m m /h

X Y 1.2
16:27 4.42
16:46 4.42 1
16:46 7.95
HIETOGRAMA 18:00 7.95
0.8
35.00
18:00 29.00
30.00 29.00
18:18 29.00
25.00 18:18 11.75 0.6
Column I
20.00
19:06 11.75
15.00
11.75 19:06 5.29 0.4
10.00

5.00
7.95
5.29
19:23 5.29
4.42
2.61
0.00 19:23 2.61 0.2
16:00 17:00 18:00
Hora
19:00
19:46 2.61
19:46 0.00
0
20:00 0.00
- 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 1.20
20:00 0.00
0:00 0.00

El siguiente paso es calcular las intensidades de lluvia para diferentes duraciones

i10  29.00 mm/h i10  29.00 mm/h

i30  22.10 mm/h i30  29.00*18/30 + 11.75*12/30 = 22.10 mm/h.

i60  16.93 mm/h i60  29.00*18/60 + 11.75*42/60 = 16.93 mm/h.

i120  12.63 mm/h i120  29.00*18/120 + 11.75*48/120 + 7.95*54/120 = 12.63 mm/h.

i180  10.32 mm/h i180  29.00*18/180 + 11.75*48/180 + 7.95*74/180 + 5.29*17/180 + 4.42*19/180 + 2.5*4/180 = 10.32 mm/h.
 ESTACION : Chiguata

Tiempo PrecipitaciónPrecipitación Intensidad

Hora Intervalo(min) Acumulado Parcial Acumulada (mm/h)
h min min mm
12:00
16:48 288 288 0.10 0.10 0.02
17:12 24 312 9.90 10.00 24.75
17:20 8 320 9.00 19.00 67.50
17:36 16 336 9.00 28.00 33.75
18:40 64 400 6.60 34.60 6.19
19:28 48 448 1.00 35.60 1.25
20:00
In t e n s id a d m m /h

X Y
12:00 0.02
16:48 0.02
16:48 24.75
HIETOGRAMA 17:12 24.75
80.00
17:12 67.50
70.00 67.50 17:20 67.50
60.00
17:20 33.75
50.00
40.00 17:36 33.75
33.75
30.00
24.75
17:36 6.19
20.00
18:40 6.19
10.00
6.19
0.00 1.25 18:40 1.25
16:00 17:00
Hora
18:00 19:00
19:28 1.25
19:28 0.00
20:00 0.00
20:00 0.00
0:00 0.00

El siguiente paso es calcular las intensidades de lluvia para diferentes duraciones

i10  60.75 mm/h i10  67.50*8/10+33.75*2/10 = 60.75 mm/h

i30  40.95 mm/h i30  67.50*8/30+33.75*16/30+24.75*6/30 = 40.95 mm/h

i60  29.14 mm/h i60  67.50*8/60+33.75*16/60+24.75*24/60+6.19*12/60 = 29.14 mm/h

i120  17.33 mm/h i120  67.50*8/120+33.75*16/120+24.75*24/120+6.19*64/120 +1.25*8/120 = 17.33 mm/h

i120  i120 

i180  11.67 mm/h i180  67.50*8/180+33.75*16/180+24.75*24/180+6.19*64/180 +1.25*20/180 = 11.67 mm/h

 Column I

1.00 1.20
 ESTACION : La Pampilla

Tiempo PrecipitaciónPrecipitación Intensidad

Hora Intervalo(min) Acumulado Parcial Acumulada (mm/h)
h min min mm
12:00 199 77.84 3.316666667
16:48 288 288 0.10 0.10 0.02 0.64 0.002808989 127.93 0.22
17:12 24 312 9.90 10.00 24.75 0.70 0.280898876 138.59 21.87
17:20 8 320 9.00 19.00 67.50 0.71 0.533707865 142.14 41.54
17:36 16 336 9.00 28.00 33.75 0.75 0.786516854 149.25 61.22
18:40 64 400 6.60 34.60 6.19 0.89 0.971910112 177.68 75.65
19:28 48 448 1.00 35.60 1.25 1.00 1 199.00 77.84
20:00
In t e n s id a d m m /h

X Y 1.2
12:00 0.02
16:48 0.02 1
16:48 24.75
HIETOGRAMA 17:12 24.75
0.8
17:12 67.50
67.50
17:20 67.50
17:20 33.75 0.6
Column I
33.75
17:36 33.75
24.75 17:36 6.19 0.4
18:40 6.19
6.19
1.25 18:40 1.25 0.2
16:00 17:00
Hora
18:00 19:00
19:28 1.25
19:28 0.00
0
20:00 0.00
0.60 0.65 0.70 0.75 0.80 0.85 0.90 0.95 1.00 1.05
20:00 0.00
0:00 0.00

El siguiente paso es calcular las intensidades de lluvia para diferentes duraciones

i10  67.50 mm/h i10  29.00 mm/h

i30  54.00 mm/h i30  29.00*18/30 + 11.75*12/30 = 22.10 mm/h.

i60  32.62 mm/h i60  29.00*18/60 + 11.75*42/60 = 16.93 mm/h.

i120  29.14 mm/h i120  29.00*18/120 + 11.75*48/120 + 7.95*54/120 = 12.63 mm/h.

i180  11.56 mm/h i180  29.00*18/180 + 11.75*48/180 + 7.95*74/180 + 5.29*17/180 + 4.42*19/180 + 2.5*4/180 = 10.32 mm/h.
 ESTACION : Chiguata

Tiempo PrecipitaciónPrecipitación Intensidad

Hora Intervalo(min) Acumulado Parcial Acumulada (mm/h) Duracion
h min min mm Año 5 10 45 120
12:00 1990 96 54 14 7
16:48 288 288 0.10 0.10 0.02 1991 96 48 27.00 24.00
17:12 24 312 9.90 10.00 24.75 1992 150 93 33.00 13.00
17:20 8 320 9.00 19.00 67.50 1994 68 41 13.00 8.00
17:36 16 336 9.00 28.00 33.75 1995 118 70 27.00 11.00
18:40 64 400 6.60 34.60 6.19 1996 110 80 25.00 10.00
19:28 48 448 1.00 35.60 1.25 1998 96 60 27.00 15.00
20:00 1999 120 105 25.00 10.00
2013 67.5 60.75 35.55 17.33
In t e n sid a d m m /h

X Y
12:00 0.02
16:48 0.02
16:48 24.75
HIETOGRAMA 17:12 24.75
80.00
17:12 67.50
70.00 67.50 17:20 67.50
60.00
17:20 33.75
50.00
40.00 17:36 33.75 m T i5 i10 i45 i120
33.75
30.00
24.75 17:36 6.19 1 10.00 150.00 105.00 35.55 24.00
20.00
10.00
18:40 6.19 2 5.00 120.00 93.00 33.00 17.33
6.19
0.00 1.25 18:40 1.25 3 3.33 118.00 80.00 27.00 15.00
16:00 17:00
Hora
18:00 19:00
19:28 1.25 4 2.50 110.00 70.00 27.00 13.00
19:28 0.00 5 2.00 96.00 60.75 27.00 11.00
20:00 0.00 6 1.67 96.00 60.00 25.00 10.00
20:00 0.00 7 1.43 96.00 54.00 25.00 10.00
0:00 0.00 8 1.25 68.00 48.00 14.00 8.00
9 1.11 67.50 41.00 13.00 7.00

El siguiente paso es calcular las intensidades de lluvia para diferentes duraciones

i10  60.75 mm/h i10  67.50*8/10+33.75*2/10 = 60.75 mm/h

i30  40.95 mm/h i30  67.50*8/30+33.75*16/30+24.75*6/30 = 40.95 mm/h

i60  29.14 mm/h i60  67.50*8/60+33.75*16/60+24.75*24/60+6.19*12/60 = 29.14 mm/h

i120  i120 
i120  17.33 mm/h i120  67.50*8/120+33.75*16/120+24.75*24/120+6.19*64/120 +1.25*8/120 = 17.33 mm/h

i180  11.67 mm/h i180  67.50*8/180+33.75*16/180+24.75*24/180+6.19*64/180 +1.25*20/180 = 11.67 mm/h

 19 0.1
93 10
111 19
159 28
176 34.6
199 35.6

Column I

95 1.00 1.05
 i T d log i log T log d  log T  2  log d  2 log T log d log i log T log i log d
Y X1 X2 X1 2
X22 X1X2 YX1 YX2

1 150.00 10.00 5 2.17609 1.00000 0.69897 1.00000 0.48856 0.69897 2.17609 1.52102 1
2 120.00 5.00 5 2.07918 0.69897 0.69897 0.48856 0.48856 0.48856 1.45329 1.45329 2
3 118.00 3.33 5 2.07188 0.52244 0.69897 0.27295 0.48856 0.36517 1.08244 1.44818 3
4 110.00 2.50 5 2.04139 0.39794 0.69897 0.15836 0.48856 0.27815 0.81235 1.42687 4
5 96.00 2.00 5 1.98227 0.30103 0.69897 0.09062 0.48856 0.21041 0.59672 1.38555 5
6 96.00 1.67 5 1.98227 0.22272 0.69897 0.04960 0.48856 0.15567 0.44148 1.38555 6
7 96.00 1.43 5 1.98227 0.15534 0.69897 0.02413 0.48856 0.10858 0.30792 1.38555 7
8 68.00 1.25 5 1.83251 0.09691 0.69897 0.00939 0.48856 0.06774 0.17759 1.28087 8
9 67.50 1.11 5 1.82930 0.04532 0.69897 0.00205 0.48856 0.03168 0.08291 1.27863 9
10 105.00 10.00 10 2.02119 1.00000 1.00000 1.00000 1.00000 1.00000 2.02119 2.02119 10
11 93.00 5.00 10 1.96848 0.69897 1.00000 0.48856 1.00000 0.69897 1.37591 1.96848 11
12 80.00 3.33 10 1.90309 0.52244 1.00000 0.27295 1.00000 0.52244 0.99426 1.90309 12
13 70.00 2.50 10 1.84510 0.39794 1.00000 0.15836 1.00000 0.39794 0.73424 1.84510 13
14 60.75 2.00 10 1.78355 0.30103 1.00000 0.09062 1.00000 0.30103 0.53690 1.78355 14
15 60.00 1.67 10 1.77815 0.22272 1.00000 0.04960 1.00000 0.22272 0.39602 1.77815 15
16 54.00 1.43 10 1.73239 0.15534 1.00000 0.02413 1.00000 0.15534 0.26910 1.73239 16
17 48.00 1.25 10 1.68124 0.09691 1.00000 0.00939 1.00000 0.09691 0.16293 1.68124 17
18 41.00 1.11 10 1.61278 0.04532 1.00000 0.00205 1.00000 0.04532 0.07310 1.61278 18
19 35.55 10.00 45 1.55084 1.00000 1.65321 1.00000 2.73311 1.65321 1.55084 2.56387 19
20 33.00 5.00 45 1.51851 0.69897 1.65321 0.48856 2.73311 1.15555 1.06140 2.51043 20
21 27.00 3.33 45 1.43136 0.52244 1.65321 0.27295 2.73311 0.86371 0.74781 2.36635 21
22 27.00 2.50 45 1.43136 0.39794 1.65321 0.15836 2.73311 0.65788 0.56960 2.36635 22
23 27.00 2.00 45 1.43136 0.30103 1.65321 0.09062 2.73311 0.49767 0.43088 2.36635 23
24 25.00 1.67 45 1.39794 0.22272 1.65321 0.04960 2.73311 0.36820 0.31134 2.31109 24
25 25.00 1.43 45 1.39794 0.15534 1.65321 0.02413 2.73311 0.25680 0.21715 2.31109 25
26 14.00 1.25 45 1.14613 0.09691 1.65321 0.00939 2.73311 0.16021 0.11107 1.89479 26
27 13.00 1.11 45 1.11394 0.04532 1.65321 0.00205 2.73311 0.07493 0.05049 1.84159 27
28 24.00 10.00 120 1.38021 1.00000 2.07918 1.00000 4.32299 2.07918 1.38021 2.86971 28
29 17.33 5.00 120 1.23880 0.69897 2.07918 0.48856 4.32299 1.45329 0.86588 2.57569 29
30 15.00 3.33 120 1.17609 0.52244 2.07918 0.27295 4.32299 1.08626 0.61444 2.44531 30
31 13.00 2.50 120 1.11394 0.39794 2.07918 0.15836 4.32299 0.82739 0.44328 2.31609 31
32 11.00 2.00 120 1.04139 0.30103 2.07918 0.09062 4.32299 0.62590 0.31349 2.16524 32
33 10.00 1.67 120 1.00000 0.22272 2.07918 0.04960 4.32299 0.46307 0.22272 2.07918 33
34 10.00 1.43 120 1.00000 0.15534 2.07918 0.02413 4.32299 0.32297 0.15534 2.07918 34
35 8.00 1.25 120 0.90309 0.09691 2.07918 0.00939 4.32299 0.20149 0.08752 1.87769 35
36 7.00 1.11 120 0.84510 0.04532 2.07918 0.00205 4.32299 0.09423 0.03830 1.75711 36
56.42117 13.76268 48.88227 8.38264 76.90199 18.68753 22.86620 69.58858
Sumatoria Y X1 X2 X12 X22 X1X2 YX1 YX2

log i logt log d log2t log2d logt*logd logi*logt logi*logd

ao a1 a2
Sumatoria y n x1 x2
56.4212 36 13.7627 48.8823

x1y x1 x12 x1x2

22.8662 13.7627 8.3826 18.6875

x2y x2 x1x2 x22

69.5886 48.8823 18.6875 76.9020

ao a1 a2
2,31419 0.4154075 -0.667042
ao  log k 2,061,531

a1  m 0.4154075

a2  n 0.667042
kT m
i
dn

95.5476T 0.124563
i
d 0.466142

Intensidad-Duracion-Tiempo de Retorno
d T T T T T T
min años años años años años años
2 5 10 50 100 475
5 939718.200 ### ### ### 4772682.237 9117297.388
10 591831.379 ### ### ### 3005819.308 5742043.397
15 451583.143 ### ### ### 2293520.383 4381332.417
30 284405.553 ### ### ### 1444451.465 2759348.500
60 179117.666 ### ### ### 909710.701 1737828.455
120 112807.707 ### ### ### 572932.757 1094478.548
180 86075.292 ### ### ### 437162.990 835116.353
360 54209.931 79320.623 ### ### 275323.789 525953.486
1440 21502.034 31462.036 41960.141 81883.108 109205.481 208616.203
Intensidad mm/h

Precipitación-Duración-Tiempo de Retorno
d T T T T T T
min años años años años años años
2 5 10 50 100 475
5 78309.850 ### ### ### 397723.520 759774.782
10 98638.563 ### ### ### 500969.885 957007.233
15 112895.786 ### ### ### 573380.096 1095333.104
30 142202.777 ### ### ### 722225.733 1379674.250
60 179117.666 ### ### ### 909710.701 1737828.455
120 225615.414 ### ### ### 1145865.513 2188957.096
180 258225.876 ### ### ### 1311488.969 2505349.060
360 325259.586 ### ### ### 1651942.732 3155720.915
1440 516048.828 ### ### ### 2620931.546 5006788.877
Precipitación mm
 Duracion (minutos)
AÑO 5 10 20 45 80 120
mm/h mm/h mm/h mm/h mm/h mm/h
1954 96 54 28 14 10 7
1955 96 48 44 27 26 24
1956 150 93 60 33 19 13
1957 90 66 43 25 19 15
1958 68 41 28 13 11 8
1959 118 70 54 27 16 11
1960 85 43 21 9 5 4
1961 162 11 62 51 45 40
1962 96 60 35 27 17 15
1963 120 105 53 25 14 10

probabilidad
Weibull

Numero Tiempo Duracion (minutos)

Orden Retorno 5 10 20 45 80 120
Años mm/h mm/h mm/h mm/h mm/h mm/h
1 11.00 162 105 62 51 45 40
2 5.50 150 93 60 33 26 24
3 3.67 120 70 54 27 19 15
4 2.75 118 66 53 27 19 15
5 2.20 96 60 44 27 17 13
6 1.83 96 54 43 25 16 11
7 1.57 96 48 35 25 14 10
8 1.38 90 43 28 14 11 8
9 1.22 85 41 28 13 10 7
10 1.10 68 11 21 9 5 4

i T d log i log T log d  log T  2  log d  2 log T log d log i log T log i log d
Y X1 X2 X12 X22 X1X2 YX1 YX2

1 162 11.0000 5 2.2095 1.0414 0.6990 1.0845 0.4886 0.7279 2.3010 1.5444
2 105 11.0000 10 2.0212 1.0414 1.0000 1.0845 1.0000 1.0414 2.1049 2.0212
3 62 11.0000 20 1.7924 1.0414 1.3010 1.0845 1.6927 1.3549 1.8666 2.3320
4 51 11.0000 45 1.7076 1.0414 1.6532 1.0845 2.7331 1.7216 1.7783 2.8230
5 45 11.0000 80 1.6532 1.0414 1.9031 1.0845 3.6218 1.9819 1.7216 3.1462
6 40 11.0000 120 1.6021 1.0414 2.0792 1.0845 4.3230 2.1652 1.6684 3.3310
7 150 5.5000 5 2.1761 0.7404 0.6990 0.5481 0.4886 0.5175 1.6111 1.5210
8 93 5.5000 10 1.9685 0.7404 1.0000 0.5481 1.0000 0.7404 1.4574 1.9685
9 60 5.5000 20 1.7782 0.7404 1.3010 0.5481 1.6927 0.9632 1.3165 2.3134
10 33 5.5000 45 1.5185 0.7404 1.6532 0.5481 2.7331 1.2240 1.1243 2.5104
11 26 5.5000 80 1.4150 0.7404 1.9031 0.5481 3.6218 1.4090 1.0476 2.6928
12 24 5.5000 120 1.3802 0.7404 2.0792 0.5481 4.3230 1.5393 1.0219 2.8697
13 120 3.6700 5 2.0792 0.5647 0.6990 0.3188 0.4886 0.3947 1.1740 1.4533
14 70 3.6700 10 1.8451 0.5647 1.0000 0.3188 1.0000 0.5647 1.0419 1.8451
15 54 3.6700 20 1.7324 0.5647 1.3010 0.3188 1.6927 0.7346 0.9782 2.2539
16 27 3.6700 45 1.4314 0.5647 1.6532 0.3188 2.7331 0.9335 0.8082 2.3663
17 19 3.6700 80 1.2788 0.5647 1.9031 0.3188 3.6218 1.0746 0.7221 2.4336
18 15 3.6700 120 1.1761 0.5647 2.0792 0.3188 4.3230 1.1740 0.6641 2.4453
19 118 2.7500 5 2.0719 0.4393 0.6990 0.1930 0.4886 0.3071 0.9102 1.4482
20 66 2.7500 10 1.8195 0.4393 1.0000 0.1930 1.0000 0.4393 0.7994 1.8195
21 53 2.7500 20 1.7243 0.4393 1.3010 0.1930 1.6927 0.5716 0.7575 2.2433
22 27 2.7500 45 1.4314 0.4393 1.6532 0.1930 2.7331 0.7263 0.6288 2.3663
23 19 2.7500 80 1.2788 0.4393 1.9031 0.1930 3.6218 0.8361 0.5618 2.4336
24 15 2.7500 120 1.1761 0.4393 2.0792 0.1930 4.3230 0.9135 0.5167 2.4453
25 96 2.2000 5 1.9823 0.3424 0.6990 0.1173 0.4886 0.2393 0.6788 1.3855
26 60 2.2000 10 1.7782 0.3424 1.0000 0.1173 1.0000 0.3424 0.6089 1.7782
27 44 2.2000 20 1.6435 0.3424 1.3010 0.1173 1.6927 0.4455 0.5628 2.1382
28 27 2.2000 45 1.4314 0.3424 1.6532 0.1173 2.7331 0.5661 0.4901 2.3663
29 17 2.2000 80 1.2304 0.3424 1.9031 0.1173 3.6218 0.6517 0.4213 2.3417
30 13 2.2000 120 1.1139 0.3424 2.0792 0.1173 4.3230 0.7120 0.3814 2.3161
31 96 1.8300 5 1.9823 0.2625 0.6990 0.0689 0.4886 0.1834 0.5202 1.3855
32 54 1.8300 10 1.7324 0.2625 1.0000 0.0689 1.0000 0.2625 0.4547 1.7324
33 43 1.8300 20 1.6335 0.2625 1.3010 0.0689 1.6927 0.3415 0.4287 2.1252
34 25 1.8300 45 1.3979 0.2625 1.6532 0.0689 2.7331 0.4339 0.3669 2.3111
35 16 1.8300 80 1.2041 0.2625 1.9031 0.0689 3.6218 0.4995 0.3160 2.2915
36 11 1.8300 120 1.0414 0.2625 2.0792 0.0689 4.3230 0.5457 0.2733 2.1652
37 96 1.5700 5 1.9823 0.1959 0.6990 0.0384 0.4886 0.1369 0.3883 1.3855
38 48 1.5700 10 1.6812 0.1959 1.0000 0.0384 1.0000 0.1959 0.3294 1.6812
39 35 1.5700 20 1.5441 0.1959 1.3010 0.0384 1.6927 0.2549 0.3025 2.0089
40 25 1.5700 45 1.3979 0.1959 1.6532 0.0384 2.7331 0.3239 0.2739 2.3111
41 14 1.5700 80 1.1461 0.1959 1.9031 0.0384 3.6218 0.3728 0.2245 2.1812
42 10 1.5700 120 1.0000 0.1959 2.0792 0.0384 4.3230 0.4073 0.1959 2.0792
43 90 1.3800 5 1.9542 0.1399 0.6990 0.0196 0.4886 0.0978 0.2734 1.3660
44 43 1.3800 10 1.6335 0.1399 1.0000 0.0196 1.0000 0.1399 0.2285 1.6335
45 28 1.3800 20 1.4472 0.1399 1.3010 0.0196 1.6927 0.1820 0.2024 1.8828
46 14 1.3800 45 1.1461 0.1399 1.6532 0.0196 2.7331 0.2312 0.1603 1.8948
47 11 1.3800 80 1.0414 0.1399 1.9031 0.0196 3.6218 0.2662 0.1457 1.9819
48 8 1.3800 120 0.9031 0.1399 2.0792 0.0196 4.3230 0.2908 0.1263 1.8777
49 85 1.2200 5 1.9294 0.0864 0.6990 0.0075 0.4886 0.0604 0.1666 1.3486
50 41 1.2200 10 1.6128 0.0864 1.0000 0.0075 1.0000 0.0864 0.1393 1.6128
51 28 1.2200 20 1.4472 0.0864 1.3010 0.0075 1.6927 0.1124 0.1250 1.8828
52 13 1.2200 45 1.1139 0.0864 1.6532 0.0075 2.7331 0.1428 0.0962 1.8416
53 10 1.2200 80 1.0000 0.0864 1.9031 0.0075 3.6218 0.1644 0.0864 1.9031
54 7 1.2200 120 0.8451 0.0864 2.0792 0.0075 4.3230 0.1796 0.0730 1.7571
55 68 1.1000 5 1.8325 0.0414 0.6990 0.0017 0.4886 0.0289 0.0759 1.2809
56 11 1.1000 10 1.0414 0.0414 1.0000 0.0017 1.0000 0.0414 0.0431 1.0414
57 21 1.1000 20 1.3222 0.0414 1.3010 0.0017 1.6927 0.0539 0.0547 1.7202
58 9 1.1000 45 0.9542 0.0414 1.6532 0.0017 2.7331 0.0684 0.0395 1.5776
59 5 1.1000 80 0.6990 0.0414 1.9031 0.0017 3.6218 0.0788 0.0289 1.3302
60 4 1.1000 120 0.6021 0.0414 2.0792 0.0017 4.3230 0.0861 0.0249 1.2518
89.7153 23.1250 86.3548 14.3865 138.5910 33.2825 37.8900 119.7961
Sumatoria Y X1 X2 X12 X22 X1X2 YX1 YX2

log i logt log d log2t log2d logt*logd logi*logt logi*logd

a0 a1 a2
Sumatoria y n x1 x2
89.715295968 60 23.1249549 86.3548375

x1y x1 x12 x1x2

37.890042176 23.1249549 14.3864681 33.2825288

x2y x2 x1x2 x22

119.79612688 86.3548375 33.2825288 138.590959

a0 a1 a2
2.1948 0.6262 -0.6519

n= 0.6519
0 . 6262
K 156.60297207 kT m 156 . 6029 T
m 0.6262 i i 
dn d 0 . 6519
 d T T T T T T
min años años años años años años
2 5 10 50 100 475
5 -2.637 -3.399 14.811 19.799 21.947 26.776
10 12.870 -2.510 19.405 25.940 28.755 35.082
15 14.913 -1.914 22.486 30.059 33.320 40.652
30 18.923 -0.744 28.532 38.141 42.280 51.583
60 23.692 0.648 35.723 47.754 52.935 64.583
120 29.363 2.303 44.274 59.185 65.606 80.042
180 33.165 3.412 50.007 66.849 74.103 90.408
360 40.629 5.590 61.261 81.893 90.779 110.754
1440 60.060 77.424 90.560 121.059 134.195 163.722

-0.220