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A trend is a behavior or new way of doing things and it has a big impact on our
society. It is a sequential pattern of change in a condition, output, or process,
or an average or general tendency of a series of data points to move in a certain
direction over time, represented by a line or curve on a graph.
Strategic Analysis
Strategic Thinking: 11 Critical Skills Needed
Strategic thinking is a process that defines the manner in which people think
about, assess, view, and create the future for themselves and others. Strategic
thinking is an extremely effective and valuable tool. One can apply strategic
thinking to arrive at decisions that can be related to your work or personal life.
Strategic thinking involves developing an entire set of critical skills. What are
those critical skills? I offer the following list of critical skills that the best
strategic thinkers possess and use every day.
Critical Skill #1: Strategic thinkers have the ability to use the left (logical)
and right (creative) sides of their brain. This skill takes practice as well as
confidence and can be tremendously valuable.
Critical Skill #2: They have the ability to develop a clearly defined and focused
business vision and personal vision. They are skilled at both thinking with a
strategic purpose as well as creating a visioning process. They have both skills
and they use them to complement each other.
Critical Skill #3: They have the ability to clearly define their objectives and
develop a strategic action plan with each objective broken down into tasks and each
task having a list of needed resources and a specific timeline.
Critical Skill #4: They have the ability to design flexibility into their plans by
creating some benchmarks in their thinking to review progress. Then they use those
benchmarks to as a guide and to recognize the opportunity to revise their plans as
needed. They have an innate ability to be proactive and anticipate change, rather
than being reactive to changes after they occur.
Critical Skill #5: They are amazingly aware and perceptive. They will recognize
internal and external clues, often subtle, to help guide future direction and
realize opportunities for them and their companies or organizations. Great
strategic thinkers will listen, hear and understand what is said and will read and
observe whatever they can so that they will have very helpful and strategic
information to guide them. Strategic thinkers often have those “Ah Ha” experiences
while on vacation, walking, sitting and relaxing or during many other activities
because they see or hear something that resonates and because they are so aware and
perceptive.
Critical Skill #6: They are committed lifelong learners and learn from each of
their experiences. They use their experiences to enable them to think better on
strategic issues.
Critical Skill #7: The best and greatest strategic thinkers take time out for
themselves. Their time out may be in the form of a retreat (some prefer to call it
an “advance” since it “advances” their thinking”); a walk in a special environment;
relaxing in a comfortable chair in the lobby of an historic hotel; or an afternoon
in a quiet place with a blank sheet of paper or their lap top computer with “their
thinking caps” on.
Critical Skill #8: They are committed to and seek advice from others. They may use
a coach, a mentor, a peer advisory group or some other group that they can confide
in and offer up ideas for feedback.
Critical Skill #9: They have the ability to balance their tremendous amount of
creativity with a sense of realism and honesty about what is achievable in the
longer term. This ability to balance does not deter them in their thinking.
Sometimes they refer to themselves as realistic optimists.
Critical Skill #10: They have the ability to be non-judgmental and they do not
allow themselves to be held back or restricted by judging their own thinking or the
thinking of others when ideas are initially being developed and shared. This is
especially true during any “brainstorming” exercises to ensure a flow of great
ideas. There will be time to test the ideas AFTER the “brainstorming” is concluded.
Critical Skill #11: They have the ability to be patient and to not rush to
conclusions and judgments. Great ideas and thoughts require time to develop into
great successes in the future to reach your defined vision.
The greatest and most successful organizations in the world, over many years and
decades, would think ahead and encourage great strategic thinking at least
somewhere in their business plans. However, the challenge to that in too many
organizations today is the “self-centered,” “greedy,” and too often “unethical”
focus on the short-term measures of the current year’s bonus and dividend. A
sustainable successful future requires much more, no matter how big or small your
business is, and a major requirement is strategic thinking. Therefore, I strongly
recommend that you develop these eleven (11) critical skills of a strategic thinker
to use in your business and personal life to ensure success.
Intuitive Thinking
Intuitive thinking has different qualities: it's unfocused, nonlinear, “contains no
time”, sees several things without delay, sees the large image, contains
perspective, is heart targeted, destined in area and time, and tends to the
important or concrete. Intuition comes into its own wherever analytical thinking is
inadequate: below time pressure, wherever conditions are dynamic, wherever the
differentiation between observer and discovered is unclear. It works best
wherever the observer has expertise within the explicit scenario, Is tough to
show within the room, eschews seeking the best possibility, in favor of the
‘workable’, and is ready to act on feelings or hunches wherever explanations are
either not needed or there's no time for them. Intuition is expertise translated
by experience to provide fast action.
Climate change could affect our society through impacts on a number of different
social, cultural, and natural resources. For example, climate change could affect
human health, infrastructure, and transportation systems, as well as energy, food,
and water supplies.
Some groups of people will likely face greater challenges than others. Climate
change may especially impact people who live in areas that are vulnerable to
coastal storms, drought, and sea level rise or people who live in poverty, older
adults, and immigrant communities. Similarly, some types of professions and
industries may face considerable challenges from climate change. Professions that
are closely linked to weather and climate, such as outdoor tourism, commerce, and
agriculture, will likely be especially affected.
Climate change is projected to increase the frequency and intensity of some extreme
weather events. Specifically, heat waves will likely be more severe, sea level rise
could amplify storm surges in coastal areas, and precipitation will likely be more
intense.[2] These changes could increase the risk of delays, disruptions, damage,
and failure across our land-based, air, and marine transportation systems. Most
transportation infrastructure being built now is expected to last for 50 years or
longer. Therefore, it is important to understand how future climate might affect
these investments in the coming decades.
Climate Impacts on Water Resources
The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) is the main
international agreement on climate action. It was one of three conventions adopted
at the Rio Earth Summit in 1992. To date, it has been ratified by 195 countries. It
started as a way for countries to work together to limit global temperature
increases and climate change, and to cope with their impacts.
1. Kyoto Protocol
In the mid 1990s, the UNFCCC signatories realised that stronger provisions were
needed to reduce emissions. In 1997, they agreed the Kyoto Protocol, which
introduced legally binding emission reduction targets for developed countries.
The second commitment period of the Kyoto Protocol began on 1 January 2013 and will
end in 2020. 38 developed countries, including the EU and its 28 member states, are
participating. This second period is covered by the Doha amendment, under which
participating countries have committed to reducing emissions by at least 18% below
1990 levels. The EU has committed to reducing emissions in this period to 20% below
1990 levels.
The main weakness of the Kyoto Protocol is that it only requires developed
countries to take action. As the United States has never signed up to the Kyoto
Protocol, Canada pulled out before the end of the first commitment period and
Russia, Japan and New Zealand are not taking part in the second commitment period,
it also only now applies to around 14% of the world's emissions. However, more than
70 developing and developed countries have made various non-binding commitments to
reduce or limit their greenhouse gas emissions.
On 13 July 2015, the Council adopted a decision enabling the EU to ratify the Doha
amendment establishing the second commitment period of the Kyoto Protocol.
2. Paris Agreement
The Paris climate conference took place from 30 November to 11 December 2015.
On 12 December, the parties reached a new global agreement on climate change. The
agreement presents a balanced outcome with an action plan to limit global
warming 'well below' 2°C.
The Paris Agreement entered into force 4 November 2016 after the conditions for
ratification by at least 55 countries accounting for at least 55% of global
greenhouse gas emissions were met. All EU Countries ratified the agreement.
The work on implementation tools for the Paris Agreement will continue at the COP23
conference in November in Bonn.
In October 2011 the world population reached 7 billion. The world’s population in
1967, just 44 years previously, was half that: 3.5 billion. Even though the rate of
increase has almost halved since growth rates reached their peak of 2.2% in 1963 it
is still 1.14% (or more than 75,000,000 people) per year.
Many experts predict that the world’s population will crest at some time in the
21st century due to the ongoing decrease in birth rates. Projections are difficult
because of the number of unknown variables such as famine, disease and war. Climate
change catastrophes – such as sea level rises, droughts, flooding and other extreme
weather events will also have an impact. However a ‘peak’ figure of over 9 billion
people has been estimated.
It is arguable that the world can’t sustain 7 million people let alone 9 billion.
But population numbers aren’t the only problem.
Changes in patterns of consumption may have an even greater effect than population
increase. As populous countries such as China and India become more industrialised
they will consume more energy and other resources. If China had the same per capita
carbon emission as New Zealand they would produce over 11 billion tonnes of carbon
dioxide (compared to the 3.5 billion tonnes that they actually produce) which would
increase the total world carbon dioxide emissions from 24.1 billion tonnes to over
31.6 billion tonnes (using 2002 figures published by the UN). And even if China
caught up with New Zealand’s rate of emission they would still be far behind that
of the US, Canada and Australia.
Consumption
Why household consumption matters
The way we consume has both direct and indirect impacts on the environment.
For example, the use of energy in our homes and our dependence on cars are causing
air pollution and increased emissions of greenhouse gases (GHGs) that lead to
climate change. Also, we are creating more and more waste from household
activities. But in addition to those and other direct effects, consumption also
indirectly leads to environmental impacts from the production, processing and
transportation of the goods we consume.
Despite the advances that have been made, for example in introducing more
ecologically efficient production methods and reducing harmful emissions from
vehicles, these have been offset by the rapidly rising consumption of goods and
services.
In the last ten years we have seen major developments that have changed how and
what we consume. One is economic growth, globalisation and the opening of markets.
As we become wealthier, we consume more. The average New Zealander now has a higher
income and a higher standard of living than in the past, and has access to products
from all over the world.
Another development is that households are getting smaller on average, and partly
because of that we use more energy and water and generate more waste per person.
In fact, our passion for cars is now so strong that many people are prepared to put
up with pollution and congested roads rather than use alternative forms of
transport.
Many of the resources we need, such as fossil fuels and metals, are extracted in
other parts of the world, and many goods consumed in New Zealand are now being
produced in Asia and Latin America where labour is cheaper.
The emissions from the transport of those goods also takes place mainly outside New
Zealand. The responsibility for these direct negative environmental effects from
production activities in those regions therefore belongs to New Zealand.
Around a third of all the environmental impacts from households are related to food
and drinks consumption. These include emissions to water, soil and air from
livestock, agriculture and industry, overuse of fish resources and increased
transport of food, but also waste from production processes.
At the other end of the chain, the shift to off-season fresh food, as well as to
bottled water and convenience foods, has resulted in large streams of packaging
waste.
The demand for new housing is eroding the available land, and we are using more
energy in our homes than we used to. We are buying, and frequently replacing, many
more electric and electronic goods such as computers, DVDs and kitchen appliances.
As a result, even though the goods we buy are more energy-efficient than they used
to be, we are continuing to produce the same amount of emissions of GHGs and rising
amounts of waste. Total energy use has increased because we now have more
appliances.
The picture for water use is more positive. Consumption by households is on average
less than 25% of total water use in Europe and has actually decreased in all
regions of Europe in the past decade. This reduction can be directly linked to the
water pricing and metering measures put in place to ensure the price of water
better reflects its true costs.
How we travel
Higher disposable incomes, longer distances between home, work and school, more
shopping and leisure activities, and deteriorating public transport which is
becoming more and more expensive, are all factors in the shift towards the private
car in recent decades. The number of households with two or more cars is on the
rise.
New Zealand is a car-dominant society and growing energy consumption and emissions
of GHGs from personal travel are increasingly contributing to climate change. The
building of new roads has fragmented natural habitats and affected biodiversity,
and noise from traffic is also a problem.
Technologies such as hybrid cars and fuels cells may help to reduce emissions but
as long as consumption keeps growing, the net benefit may continue to be
overwhelmed by growth in demand.
There are other prices to pay for our excessive car use. Congestion makes urban
areas less and less accessible and leads to significant costs in terms of delivery
delays and lost working hours, not to mention raised stress levels.
Another growing cause for concern is the escalation in plane trips. People are
tending to visit more remote destinations and are taking more short breaks, partly
as a result of the current low air fares. Aviation now almost matches rail
transport in terms of total passenger kilometres travelled, and it is currently
growing much faster than the economy. The environmental concern is mainly based on
the high level of aircraft fuel emissions, which contribute to climate change.
On the plus side of personal travel, the numbers of walkers and cyclists are on the
increase.
Given the different types of consumer behaviour and influencing factors in New
Zealand it is a complex challenge to design and implement suitable measures.
Nevertheless public authorities at the global, national, regional and local levels
can influence the sustainability of consumption and production by providing a
framework within which business and consumers can operate. The tools available
include:
Consumers have arguably an important role to play since it is we who decide what
goods and services to consume and in what amounts.
Provided that information on the environmental effects of the goods and services is
available within the framework set by public authorities, and that prices are
affordable, consumers can choose to buy goods and services that are sustainable
through their life-cycle from production to consumption.
Introduction
Climate change is the most serious and most pervasive threat facing humanity
today[3]. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the highest scientific
body responsible for evaluating the risk of climate change, reported that warming
of the earth’s surface is unequivocal. If left uncontrolled, impacts of climate
change to human and nature are unprecedented and will continuously affect lives of
future generations.
Section 16 of the 1987 Philippine Constitution declared that the State shall
protect and advance the right of the people to a balance and healthful ecology in
accord with the rhythm and harmony of nature. It is in this statement where the
creation of the Republic Act (R.A.) No. 9729 otherwise known as the Climate Change
Act of 2009 was built upon. The law which was enacted on July 27, 2009 was
primarily conceived as the country’s response to the worldwide phenomenon on
climate change. Towards the attainment of this goal, R.A. No. 9729 allowed
mainstreaming of climate change into government formulation of programs and
projects, plans and strategies, and policies, creation of Climate Change
Commission, and establishment of Framework Strategy and Program for climate change.
Mainstreaming of Climate Change into Government Policy Formulation. R.A. 9729 calls
for the State to integrate the concept of climate change in various phases of
policy formulation, development plans, poverty reduction strategies, and other
government development tools and techniques. This is to ensure that government
plans and actions are founded upon sound environmental considerations and
sustainable development principles. Aside from that, the government shall take into
consideration gender-sensitive, pro-children, and pro-poor perspective as an input
to its climate change efforts, plans, and programs. Likewise, the government shall
encourage the participation of the national and local government, businesses, non-
government organizations (NGOs), and local communities and public to mitigate the
adverse effects of climate change. This is to align initiatives on climate change
into a collective approach (e.g. the disaster and risk reduction measures
integrated to climate change programs and initiatives).
Creation of Climate Change Commission. The Climate Change Commission (CCC), an
attached agency to the Office of the President, was created as the lead policy
making body on concerns related to climate change. The CCC is tasked to coordinate,
formulate, and monitor and evaluate programs and actions on climate change.
Ultimately, the CCC’s primary goal is to formulate the National Framework Strategy
on Climate Change which shall serve as basis in formulating and developing programs
on climate change planning, research and development (R&D), and monitoring of
activities. Further, the CCC supports capacity building activities of and provides
technical and financial assistance extension to agencies and institutions. It also
recommends key development investment areas on climate-sensitive sectors such as
water resources, agriculture, and forestry.
The Commission is composed of 27 government agencies, local government units and
representatives from the academe, business sector, and NGOs which formed part of
the Advisory Board. It is chaired by the President of the Philippines together with
three (3) Commissioners, one being the Vice-Chairperson. The CCC also constituted a
panel of technical experts consisting of practitioners of climate change-related
disciplines. The panel of technical experts primarily provides technical advices
on climate science, technologies, and best practices for risk assessment and
management to the Commission.
Formulation of Framework Strategy and Program on Climate Change. The National
Framework Strategy on Climate Change (NFSCC) was established to serve as the
roadmap for national programs and plans towards more climate risk-resilient
Philippines. Its main goal is to build the adaptive capacity of communities,
increase the resilience of natural ecosystems to climate change, and optimize
mitigation opportunities towards sustainable development. As a principle, NFSCC
serves as the framework for the formulation of climate change action plans both at
the national and local level.
In 2010, NFSCC identified key result areas (KRAs) or climate-sensitive sectors that
would be greatly affected by the phenomenon. The sectors include among others
agriculture, biodiversity, infrastructure, energy, and population, health and
demography. From these climate-sensitive sectors, objectives and strategies were
laid down either in the form of mitigation or adaptation.
Mitigation strategies aimed to facilitate the transition of the country towards low
greenhouse gas emissions for sustainable development in the long run. Targets
include enhancement of clean energy source; realization of full potential of
country’s renewable energy capacity; improvement in efficiency of the transport
sector through increased uptake of alternative fuels and expansion of mass
transport system; reduction of carbon footprints through energy-efficient design
and materials for public infrastructure and settlements; reduction of emissions
from deforestation and forest degradation; and full implementation of proper waste
management.
Adaptation strategies on the other hand, aimed to build the adaptive capacity of
communities and to increase the resilience of natural ecosystems to climate change
in the long run. Objectives in each KRA include enhancement of the availability and
quality of vulnerability and adaptation assessment; strengthen the Integrated
Ecosystem-based Management in the Philippines through management of watershed
ecosystem and multi-polar environments through river basin management approach,
improvement of coastal and marine ecosystems and communities’ resilience to climate
change, and mainstreaming biodiversity adaptation strategies to climate change in
government plans and actions; reduction of water sector vulnerability to climate
change through participative water governance, resource management and sectoral
policy reforms; protection and enhancement of ecosystem and ecosystem services to
secure food and water resource and livelihood opportunities; management of health
risks brought about by climate change; and reduction of disaster risk from climate
change-induced natural hazards.
In order to achieve the objectives in each KRA, cross-cutting strategies are
likewise given. These include capacity building, knowledge management and
information, education and communication (IEC), R&D, and technology transfer.
Implementation on the other hand, is carried out through coordination, financing
and partnership among national and local government agencies and other
stakeholders.
Development of the National Climate Change Action Plan (NCCAP). In order to detail
the proposed strategy under the NFSCC, the NCCAP was developed. Streaming down to
the local units, NCCAP served as the guide of the municipal and city governments in
drafting their corresponding Local Climate Change Action Plans (LCCAP). In all
levels of plans and actions, integration of climate change concept and
encouragement of participation and involvement of concerned agencies and units are
promoted.
Under the NCCAP, priority programs and activities for the government were
developed. Seven priority areas were identified which include: (1) food security;
(2) water sufficiency; (3) ecosystem and environmental stability; (4) human
security; (5) climate-smart industries and services; (6) sustainable energy; and
(7) knowledge and capacity development. On the other hand, the LCCAP vary in each
local government and are drafted consistently with the NCCAP. The Barangays, the
smallest unit of government in the Philippines, are expected to support the
municipal and city government in implementing the climate change-related activities
indicated under the LCCAP.
Establishment of People’s Survival Fund (PSF). In July 2011, the Climate Change Act
of 2009 was amended to create the PSF. The law creating the PSF is embodied in RA
10174 otherwise known as the “Act Establishing the People’s Survival Fund to
Provide Long-term Finance Streams to Enable the Government to Effectively Address
the Problem of Climate Change”. The fund is established to finance adaptation
programs and projects planned under the NFSCC. An appropriation of one billion
pesos (PhP 1,000,000,000) under the General Appropriation Acts served as its
opening balance which can be augmented by donations, endowments, grants and
contributions. The said fund is being managed by PSF Board lodged under the
Commission. The CCC, on the other hand, evaluates and reviews project proposals for
funding and recommends approval of the proposal to the PSF Board.
The fund is used to support adaptation activities of local governments and
communities. Fund allocation are prioritized based on projects that has, but not
limited to the following: (a) level of risk and vulnerability to climate change,
(b) participation from the affected communities in the design of the project, (3)
poverty reduction potential, (4) cost effectiveness and sustainability, (5)
responsiveness to gender-differentiated vulnerabilities, and (6) availability of
climate change action plan.
Conclusion
The Climate Change Act was enacted to protect the right of the people to a balance
and healthful ecology. The law serves as an action plan that lays out the
strategies, initiatives, and activities to prepare the country to the inevitable
effects of climate change. Both the identified mitigation and adaptation strategies
aimed to build a more climate-risk resilient Philippines. In the end, achieving the
goals of the plans as stipulated in R.A. 9729 is deemed attainable with the support
and assistance of all stakeholders to include among others the national and local
government units, the private sector, the NGOs, and the local communities.