Training-Workshop on Risk Management DAP Bldg., San Miguel Avenue, Pasig City August 06 – 10, 2018 Risk • The effect of uncertainty on objectives. – ISO 31000:2018 • The effect of uncertainty on an expected result. – PNS ISO 9001:2015 • An uncertain event or condition that, if it occurs, has a positive or negative on a project’s objectives. – PMBOK 5th Edition
Training on Basic Risk Management
Training-Workshop on Risk Management DAP Bldg., San Miguel Avenue, Pasig City August 06 – 10, 2018 Risk An effect is a deviation from the expected — positive and/or negative. Objectives can have different aspects (such as financial, health and safety, and environmental goals) and can apply at different levels (such as strategic, organization-wide, project, product and process). Risk is often characterized by reference to potential events and consequences, or a combination of these. Risk is often expressed in terms of a combination of the consequences of an event (including changes in circumstances) and the associated likelihood of occurrence. Training on Basic Risk Management Training-Workshop on Risk Management DAP Bldg., San Miguel Avenue, Pasig City August 06 – 10, 2018 Uncertainty • Uncertainty is the state, even partial, of deficiency of information related to, understanding or knowledge of an event, its consequence, or likelihood. • Uncertainty on what will happen/what happened, what are the consequences, what is the likelihood of the event.
Training on Basic Risk Management
DAP Bldg., San Miguel Avenue, Pasig City August 06 – 10, 2018 Related Terms Risk Source - element which alone or in combination has the intrinsic potential to give rise to risk Hazard – source of potential harm (can be a risk source) Vulnerability – intrinsic properties of something resulting in susceptibility to a risk source that can lead to an event with a consequence
Training on Basic Risk Management
Training-Workshop on Risk Management DAP Bldg., San Miguel Avenue, Pasig City August 06 – 10, 2018 Related Terms Event - occurrence or change of a particular set of circumstances Consequence - outcome of an event affecting objectives Likelihood - chance of something happening
Training on Basic Risk Management
Training-Workshop on Risk Management DAP Bldg., San Miguel Avenue, Pasig City August 06 – 10, 2018 Consequence • Outcome of an event affecting objectives • An event can lead to a range of consequences • Can be certain or uncertain, positive or negative effects on objectives • Can be expressed qualitatively or quantitatively • Can escalate through knock-on effects
Training on Basic Risk Management
DAP Bldg., San Miguel Avenue, Pasig City August 06 – 10, 2018 Likelihood • A chance of something happening • Defined, measured or determined objectively or subjectively, qualitatively or quantitatively, or described using general terms or mathematically • Same broad interpretation as the term “probability” in many languages
Training on Basic Risk Management
DAP Bldg., San Miguel Avenue, Pasig City August 06 – 10, 2018 Related Terms Risk Description – structured statement of risk usually containing four elements: sources, events, causes and consequences
Training on Basic Risk Management
Training-Workshop on Risk Management DAP Bldg., San Miguel Avenue, Pasig City August 06 – 10, 2018 Risk Identification • Process of finding, recognizing and describing risks • Involves the identification of: – Risk sources, – Events, – Their causes and their potential consequences • Can involve historical data, theoretical analysis, informed and expert opinions, and stakeholder's needs. Training on Basic Risk Management Training-Workshop on Risk Management DAP Bldg., San Miguel Avenue, Pasig City August 06 – 10, 2018 Workshop 2A • Review the Risk Source/Hazard Types and Sub- Types Sheet provided. • Identify which of the categories and sub- categories are applicable to your department/agency/office. • If we are to consider positive risk sources, what would be the main categories and sub- categories under each of them. Training on Basic Risk Management Training-Workshop on Risk Management DAP Bldg., San Miguel Avenue, Pasig City August 06 – 10, 2018 Training on Basic Risk Management Training-Workshop on Risk Management DAP Bldg., San Miguel Avenue, Pasig City August 06 – 10, 2018 Workshop 2B • Identify risks or potential events that have an effect on your organization’s objectives • Using the Risk Source/Hazard Types and Sub- Types sheet, indicate the risk source type and sub-type of your identified risks • Indicate internal potentials or vulnerabilities that makes your organization sensitive or susceptible to the risk source/hazard • State the possible root causes of the risks identified and the scenario in which the potential event could occur Training on Basic Risk Management Training-Workshop on Risk Management 21-25 May DAP Bldg., San Miguel 2018Pasig City Avenue, August 06 – 10, 2018 Training on Basic Risk Management Training-Workshop on Risk Management DAP Bldg., San Miguel Avenue, Pasig City August 06 – 10, 2018