Calendar Analysis Sunday, April 28 to Friday, May 3

In Focus: (Announcement Order)

EUR Spanish Elections – preliminary results midafternoon EDT Sunday! Most scenarios “Positive”?
Comments suggest effect may not be instant but will be with time?
Brexit talks continue?
Weaker ECD and Global Growth may affect EUR?
Thursday Watch EUR News – Is downturn continuing? German Retail Sales forecast less -0.5%
German, Spanish, French & Italian news will be tell all?
Friday CPI may tell on EUR?
EURNZD Opens 70 pips below WP – correction to WP?

GBP Monday BOE Carney – not interested in GBP as yet!

Thursday Red Announcements!!

JPY Long Holiday scene with most Brokers suggesting real caution. Will not Trade JPY Pairs.

NZD Monday ANZ Business Confidence – Will strength continue?

Are any thoughts of Rate Change off the table due to last week’s data?
Tuesday Employment Change/Unemployment – Forecast improvement!
EURNZD Will down trend continue? Opens 70 pips below WP! Correction to WP?

CNY Monday PMI

Wednesday Caixin PMI

AUD Wednesday: Although Yellow News watch HIA New Home Sales – Will market depress further?
Thursday Building Approvals – will the decline continue? Yes according to forecast!!
AUDNZD Opens 45 pips below WP “Correction to WP?

USD Will USD strength continue Monday? China-US Trade Deal on the cards??
Wednesday FOMC Meeting – Very important – see Kathy Lien Report Investing.com
Rate change may be off the Agenda due to Friday’s GDP Report 3-2% vs Forecast 2.3%.
Powell: “..it’s a great time for the Fed to be patient, to watch and wait.”
US-China Trade Talks may be finalized?
Pres. Xi last week implied that many US demands are likely to be met? Deal close?
This if announced will be a mover for USD & Commodity Pairs especially AUD, NZD and CAD?
Friday NFP etc….!
FOMC Members speak from 10.15am through to 7.45pm.
Why? Good US News from NFP etc.?? Or not so good???

CAD Wednesday BOC Poloz speaks

Monday through early Wednesday am, favor again commodity Pairs, NZD, AUD, CAD and USD
Most likely exit all trades before 10.00am EDT??? Not likely to trade till the next week!
AUD & NZD Rate decisions next week (5/06 & 5/07)
No to JPY Pairs.
Will EURNZD correct then down again?
Watch AUDNZD now a favorite!
Watch WTI Crude – Daily Price Action – Will 60.30 hold or break above 60.30-50??
Visit: Investing.com Live Charts Look at Weekly and Daily candles.
Calendar Events (EDT)

Sun EUR Spanish Elections

Mon 4.10am GBP BOE Carney speaks

8.30am USD Core PCE Price Index Feb & Mar data Forecast Improvement on all
Personal Spending Feb & Mar data
Personal Income
9.00pm CNY Manufacturing PMI Forecast to improve
Non-Manufacturing PMI Forecast to improve
9.30pm NZD ANZ Business Confidence Previous -38.0 to ?????
AUD Private Sector Credit

Tue 1.30am to 6.00am EUR French, German, Spanish News – WATCH

8.30am CAD GDP m/m
RMPI m/m
USD Employment Cost Index q/q Forecast same 0.7%
9.45am Chicago PMI Forecast 59.1 from
10.00am USD CB Consumer Confidence Forecast 126.2 from 124.1
Pending Home Sales Forecast increase 1.1% from -1.0%
11.00am CAD BOC Poloz speaks
6.30pm AUD AIG Manufacturing Index
6.45pm NZD Employment Change q/q Forecast increase 0.5% from 0.1%
Unemployment Rate Forecast decrease 4.2% from 4.3%

Wed EUR EC Bank Holiday

4.30am GBP Manufacturing PMI Forecast decrease 55.1 to 53.2
Net Lending Forecast decrease 4.5B from 4.6B
10.00am USD ISM Manufacturing PMI Forecast decrease 55.0 from 55.3
2.00pm USD FOMC Statement
Funds Rate
2.30pm Press Conference
4.15pm CAD BOC Poloz speaks
6.45pm NZD Building Consents m/m Watch
Tentative AUD New Home Sales Watch
9.45pm CNY Caixin Manufacturing PMI Forecast increase 51.0 from 50.8

Thu 2.00 to 4am EUR Rash of announcements WATCH

7.00am GBP BOW Inflation Report
MPC Official Bank Rate Votes
Monetary Policy Summary
Official Bank Rate
7.30am BOE Carney speaks
9.30pm AUD Building Approvals Forecast to -12.5% from 19.1%

Fri 4.30am GBP Services PMI Forecast increase 50.4 from 48.9
5.00am EUR Services PMI, CPI Flash, Core CPI Flash
8.30am USD Average Hourly Earnings Forecast increase 0.3% from 0.1%
Non-Farm Payrolls Forecast Decrease 181K from 197K
Unemployment Rate Forecast same
10am – 7.45pm FOMC speakers