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CPIE-2010
subsystems may be adjusted for higher value of reliability, maintainability and availability. The
reliability. classification of the power plant is presented in Table 1.
It is interesting to note that most of the reliability
and availability analysis has been carried out on
individual equipments on oil-fired or on nuclear or on TABLE 1
gas turbine power plant. But very few studies have been SUBSYSTEMS OF THE POWER PLANT AND THEIR CODE
conducted on individual equipments of coal fired No Subsystem Code
thermal power plants. So there is a clear need to analyze 1 Economizer ECO
reliability, maintainability and availability of a whole 2 Primary Superheater PSH
3 Final Superheater FSH
coal fired power plant considering its subsystems 4 Pendent Reheater PRH
affecting the power plant failure for taking decision 5 Final Reheater FRH
regarding maintenance policies. 6 Furnace FUR
7 Turbine TUR
8 Condenser CON
II. OBJECTIVES
A. DATA COLLECTION
Here the nature of the failure patterns (increasing,
constant or decreasing) of the power plant's subsystems
Collection of quality failure data is usually
has been studied. The significant components that
necessary in the analysis of system reliability for getting
seriously affect the failure of the power plant are
reliable and accurate results. Data collected from the
identified using Pareto chart. The reliability and
field over a long period of time are assumed to be the
maintainability are estimated and the recent availability
best for true failure characterization of the complex
of the power plant subsystems is calculated. The critical
system although they are expensive and time
subsystems with respect to reliability and
consuming to collect [11]. The maintenance data (TBF
maintainability characteristics are identified for further
& TTR) has been collected from the maintenance
improvement through effective maintenance policies to
logbook records of the coal fired thermal power plant
enhance the availability of the plant as a whole.
over a period of 13 years. Then data of each subsystem
Formulation of a reliability-based preventive
has been classified in the form required for analysis (i.e.
maintenance policy prior to failure is generated which
TBF, TTR, frequency, total breakdown hours, total
in turn will improve the reliability of the subsystems.
working hours, total maintenance hours, etc).
30
is converted into dry and saturated steam at a pressure
Frequency
25
5
where pressure energy of steam is converted into 0
mechanical energy and electricity is generated from ECO PSH FSH PRH FRH FUR TUR CON
generator connected to the turbine. The exhaust steam
from the turbine is sucked into the condenser due to Fig.1 Failure characteristics of the power plant subsystems.
negative pressure, where the wet steam loses its thermal
energy and gets converted into water. This water from It is observed from Fig. 1 that the most frequent
the condenser is again pumped into the boiler. failure occurrence takes place in the economizer
The power plant is classified into eight subsystems (31.09%), which is followed by primary superheater
for categorizing the failures and for analysis of (18.49 %). So these subsystems need to be inspected for
maintenance more than the other subsystems.
2nd International Conference on Production and Industrial Engineering 1507
CPIE-2010
Cum. frequency
INDEPENDENT AND IDENTICAL DISTRIBUTION 10
ASSUMPTION 8
6
The TBF and TTR data of all subsystems are 4
arranged in chronological order for statistical analysis 2
to determine the trend of failure. The validity of 0
assumption of independent and identical distribution of
00
00
0
0
00
00
00
00
00
00
data set has been verified using Trend Test and Serial
20
40
60
80
10
12
Cum. TBF
Correlation Test. The trend test for TBF/TTR data set is
done by plotting the cumulative frequency against the Fig.2 Trend plot for TBF for subsystems of the power plant
cumulative time between failures (CTBF)/cumulative
time to repair (CTTR) respectively. The serial Trend plot for ECO
correlation test is done by plotting the ith TBF/TTR 35
against (i-1)th TBF/TTR. The trend test for TBF and 30
Cum. frequency
25
TTR data of ECO, PSH, FSH and PRH of the power
20
plant for example, are shown in Fig.2 and Fig.3
15
respectively. The serial correlation test for both TBF 10
and TTR data of the same subsystems for example, are 5
shown in Fig.4 and Fig.5 respectively. 0
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200
Cum. TTR
Trend plot for ECO
40
35
Cum. frequency
20 14
15 12
10 10
5 8
0 6
4
0
00
0
2
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
10
0
Cum. TBF 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700
Cum. TTR
Trend plot for PSH
25
Trend plot for FSH
Cum. frequency
20 10
Cum. frequency
15 8
10 6
5 4
0 2
0
00
00
0
0
00
00
00
00
0
00
00
20
40
60
80
10
12
5
10 4
3
5 2
1
0 0
0 20000 40000 60000 80000 100000 0 50 100 150 200
Cum. TBF Cum. TTR
Fig.3 Trend plot for TTR for subsystems of the power plant
ith TTR
40
Trend plot curve of PRH exhibits concave upward.
30
This indicates that there is a trend in data set of PRH. 20
10
0
Serial Correlation test for ECO 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
12000
(i-1) th TTR
10000
8000 Serial Correlation test for FSH
i th TBF
80
6000
60
i th TTR
4000
2000 40
0
20
0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000
(i-1) th TBF 0
0 20 40 60 80
Serial Correlation test for PSH (i-1) th TTR
12000
10000 Serial Correlation test for PRH
40
i th TBF
8000
30
i th TTR
6000
4000 20
2000
10
0
0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 0
(i-1) th TBF 0 10 20 30 40
(i-1) th TTR
Serial Correlation test forFSH Fig.5 Serial correlation test plot for TTR of the subsystems
14000
12000
From Fig.4 & Fig.5 it is observed that the points
10000
are randomly scattered, which indicates that the data set
i th TBF
8000
6000
are independent or free from serial correlation.
4000 So the data set (TBF/TTR) can be assumed to be
2000 independent and identically distributed (iid) except TBF
0 data set of PRH. Data set of PRH is not independent
0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 and identically distributed.
(i-1) th TBF
Fig.4 Serial correlation test plot for TBF of the subsystems D. FITTING OF THE TBF DATA WITH
THEORETICAL PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION
Serial Correlation test of ECO AND ESTIMATION OF THE RELIABILITY
120 PARAMETERS
100
80 The trend free data are further analyzed to
ith TTR
Sl. Sub- Best-fit Parameters TTT plot for TBF data of PRH
No. systems distribution 1.2
H(ti)
3 FSH Weibull 0.6
4 PRH Non iid, θ= 9773 hrs. β=1.0394
0.4
NHPP, Power
0.2
law process
5 FRH Lognormal μ= 8.873 tmed=7136.65hrs. 0
s=1.2431 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2
preventive maintenance is suggested for these
{ln(ti ) }2
n
1.00
1 t (7)
R(t ) 1 ln 0.80
Reliability
s tmed
0.60
where, tmed is median time to failure, s is shape
0.40
parameter and Ф is the probability density function.
All the subsystems are functionally arranged in a 0.20
0
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
0
20
60
00
00
00
00
10
14
18
23
30
40
50
70
90
when all the subsystems are working satisfactorily. The
12
16
20
26
Time (hours)
reliability of the whole plant is calculated according to
ECO PSH FSH
equation 8 Reliability of the subsystems and of the total PRH FRH FUR
power plant is shown in Fig.8. The calculated values are T UR CON T OT AL PLANT
tabulated in Table 4. Fig.8 Reliability plot for subsystems and of the whole power
n plant
Rs (t ) Ri (t ) (8)
i 1
TABLE 4
RELIABILITY OF THE POWER PLANT AT THE END OF DIFFERENT TIME INTERVALS
Time TOTAL
ECO PSH FSH PRH FRH FUR TUR CON
(hours) PLANT
0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
400 0.9191 0.9541 0.8098 0.9646 0.9898 0.9994 0.9891 0.9965 0.6679
800 0.8068 0.9013 0.7256 0.9285 0.9608 0.9961 0.9721 0.9906 0.4515
1200 0.6902 0.8475 0.6637 0.8931 0.9236 0.9901 0.9520 0.9834 0.2969
1600 0.5791 0.7945 0.6139 0.8586 0.8849 0.9817 0.9297 0.9751 0.1910
2000 0.4781 0.7431 0.5721 0.8251 0.8461 0.9713 0.9058 0.9660 0.1206
2600 0.3497 0.6696 0.5197 0.7768 0.7910 0.9535 0.8679 0.9511 0.0589
3000 0.2796 0.6234 0.4898 0.7460 0.7580 0.9419 0.8418 0.9405 0.0360
4000 0.1530 0.5184 0.4277 0.6736 0.6808 0.9082 0.7747 0.9119 0.0100
5000 0.0792 0.4281 0.3783 0.6076 0.6141 0.8729 0.7073 0.8812 0.0026
6000 0.0391 0.3515 0.3377 0.5476 0.5557 0.8389 0.6412 0.8490 0.0006
7000 0.0185 0.2872 0.3037 0.4932 0.5079 0.8051 0.5777 0.8158 0.0002
8000 0.0084 0.2337 0.2747 0.4439 0.4641 0.7734 0.5176 0.7819 0.0000
9000 0.0037 0.1894 0.2497 0.3993 0.4247 0.7422 0.4613 0.7478 0.0000
10000 0.0016 0.1530 0.2279 0.3591 0.3936 0.7123 0.4092 0.7137 0.0000
14000 0.0000 0.0633 0.1632 0.2339 0.2946 0.6103 0.2427 0.5809 0.0000
20000 0.0000 0.0157 0.1055 0.1218 0.2033 0.4960 0.0997 0.4066 0.0000
26000 0.0000 0.0037 0.0717 0.0630 0.1492 0.4091 0.0368 0.2712 0.0000
30000 0.0000 0.0013 0.0565 0.0404 0.1230 0.3632 0.0181 0.2023 0.0000
2nd International Conference on Production and Industrial Engineering 1511
CPIE-2010
From Table4, it is seen that there is only 45% where, tmed is median time to failure, s is shape
chance that the power plant will not fail for 800 hours parameter and Ф is the probability density function
of operation whereas at the same time ECO has 81% The calculated maintainability of all subsystems as
chance of failure free operation. It is also found that well as of the whole power plant for different given
ECO and PSH have the largest effect on reliability of time is tabulated in Table5 and is shown in Fig.9
the whole power plant. Therefore subsequent measures From Table 5, it is seen that the maintainability of
are to be taken such that the critical subsystem (ECO & PSH and FUR is lower than other subsystems. So
PSH) reliability gets improved in order to enhance the special attention is required to improve their
reliability of the power plant as a whole maintainability as well as of the whole plant by
reducing maintenance time with proper resource
F. POWER PLANT MAINTAINABILITY ANALYSIS allocations like skilled manpower, spare parts etc.
Maintainability
1.00
subsystems has been calculated according to equations 0.80
9, 10 & 11 for exponential, weibull or lognormal 0.60
distribution [14] of TTR data set respectively.
0.40
M (t ) 1 et / MTTR (9) 0.20
where, MTTR is mean time to repair 0.00
t
0
10
20
34
50
70
5
10
15
25
35
45
(10)
M (t ) 1 e ECO PSH FSH
PRH Time
FRH (hours) FUR
where, β is Shape factor & θ is Scale parameter T UR CON T otal Plant
1 t (11)
Fig.9 Maintainability plot for subsystems and of the whole
M (t ) ln power plant
s t med
TABLE 5
MAINTAINABILITY OF THE POWER PLANT AT THE END OF DIFFERENT MISSION TIMES
Time ECO PSH FSH PRH FRH FUR TUR CON Total
(hrs.) Plant
5 0.0554 0.0526 0.0000 0.0000 0.1751 0.0516 0.0000 0.3136 0.0000
10 0.1731 0.1660 0.0005 0.0000 0.3551 0.1005 0.0000 0.8648 0.0000
15 0.3192 0.2776 0.0082 0.0000 0.5085 0.1469 0.0001 0.9951 0.0000
20 0.4695 0.3745 0.0401 0.0004 0.7000 0.1909 0.0010 1.0000 0.0000
30 0.7226 0.4761 0.2005 0.0998 0.8019 0.2722 0.0179 1.0000 0.0000
40 0.8792 0.6293 0.4247 0.9945 0.8976 0.3454 0.0808 1.0000 0.0059
50 0.9556 0.7054 0.6217 1.0000 0.9488 0.4112 0.1977 1.0000 0.0323
70 0.9963 0.8023 0.8577 1.0000 0.9881 0.5236 0.4880 1.0000 0.1731
100 1.0000 0.8829 0.9693 1.0000 0.9989 0.6533 0.7996 1.0000 0.4465
150 1.0000 0.9418 0.9973 1.0000 1.0000 0.7959 0.9664 1.0000 0.7224
200 1.0000 0.9671 0.9997 1.0000 1.0000 0.8798 0.9945 1.0000 0.8459
300 1.0000 0.9865 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 0.9583 0.9998 1.0000 0.9452
400 1.0000 0.9934 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 0.9856 1.0000 1.0000 0.9790
500 1.0000 0.9964 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 0.9950 1.0000 1.0000 0.9914
TABLE 6
AVAILABILITY OF THE SUBSYSTEMS AT THE END OF TIME UNDER STUDY
Subsystems Total Cum. Cum Cum. MTBF MDT Aop MTTR Ain
No. of TBF Down- TTR (hrs.) (hrs.) (hr.)
Failure (hr.) time (hr.)
ECO 38 93148 5118 1995 2451.26 134.68 0.95 52.5 0.98
PSH 22 101249 3110 2542 4602.27 141.35 0.97 115.53 0.98
FSH 14 93927 1359 971 6709.07 97.09 0.99 69.37 0.99
PRH 10 105589 707 423 10558.90 70.66 0.99 42.26 1.00
FRH 8 94325 407 175 11790.63 50.87 1.00 21.87 1.00
FUR 9 93945 792 540 10438.33 88.04 0.99 60.04 0.99
TUR 10 94065 786 486 9406.50 78.58 0.99 48.58 0.99
CON 7 95317 235 45 13616.71 33.64 1.00 6.49 1.00
where, MTBF is mean time between failures, MTTR is power plant. Then, after observation of the benefits
mean time to repair and MDT is mean down time obtained in terms of cost, safety and operational
Table 6 shows that the availability of ECO and effectiveness of the subsystems, adjustments may be
PSH is less than that of the other subsystems and is done for a higher value of reliability.
critical. The availability of the ECO and PSH has to be
improved in order to improve the availability of the
whole power plant. IV. CONCLUSIONS