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predictable. In addition to demand, the lead time required to receive delivery of inventory
once an order is placed is usually subject to some variation. Owing to these fluctuations,
it is not usually feasible to allow expected inventory to fall to zero before a new order is
anticipated, as the firm could do when usage and lead time were known with certainty.
Therefore, when we allow for uncertainty in demand for inventory as well as in lead time,
a safety stock becomes advisable. The concept of a safety stock is illustrated in Figure 10.9.
Frame A of the figure shows what would happen if the firm had a safety stock of 100 units and
if expected demand of 200 units every 10 days and expected lead time of 5 days were to occur.
However, treating lead time and daily usage as average, or expected, values, rather than as
Order point (OP) = (Average lead time × Average daily usage) + Safety stock (10.5)
269
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Safety stock
in reserve as a
cushion against
uncertain demand
replenishment
lead time.
Figure 10.9
••
270
Note that with a safety stock of 100 units, the order point must be set at (5 days × 20 units) +
100 units = 200 units of inventory on hand as opposed to the previous 100 units. In other
words, the order point determines the amount of safety stock held. Thus, by varying the order
Frame B of the figure shows the actual experience for our hypothetical firm. In the first
segment of demand, we see that actual usage is somewhat less than expected. (The slope of the
line is less than that for the expected demand line in frame A.) At the order point of 200
remaining units, an order is placed for 200 units of additional inventory. Instead of taking
the expected 5 days for the inventory to be replenished, we see that it takes only 4 days. The
second segment of usage is much greater than expected, and, as a result, inventory is rapidly
used up. At 200 units of remaining inventory, a 200-unit order is again placed, but here it
takes 6 days for the inventory to be received. As a result of both of these factors, heavy inroads
In the third segment of demand, usage is about the same as expected: that is, the slopes
of the expected and actual usage lines are about the same. Because inventory was so low at
the end of the previous segment of usage, an order is placed almost immediately. The lead
time turns out to be 5 days. In the last segment of demand, usage is slightly greater than
expected. The lead time necessary to receive an order is 7 days – much longer than expected.
The combination of these two factors again causes the firm to go into its safety stock. The
example illustrates the importance of safety stock in absorbing random fluctuations in usage
and lead times. Without such a buffer stock, the firm would have run out of inventory on
two occasions.
The Amount of Safety Stock. The proper amount of safety stock to maintain depends on
several factors. The greater the uncertainty associated with forecasted demand for inventory, the
greater the safety stock the firm will wish to carry, all other things being the same.
Put another way, the greater the risk of running out of stock, the larger the unforeseen fluctuations in
usage. Similarly, the greater the uncertainty of lead time to replenish stock,
the greater the risk of running out of stock, and the more safety stock the firm will wish to
maintain, all other things being equal. Another factor influencing the safety stock decision
is the cost of running out of inventory. The cost of being out of raw-materials and intransit inventories is
a delay in production. How much does it cost when production closes
down temporarily? Where fixed costs are high, this cost will be quite high, as, for example, in
the case of an aluminum extrusion plant. The cost of running out of finished goods comes
from lost sales and customer dissatisfaction. Not only will the immediate sale be lost but
future sales will be endangered if customers take their business elsewhere. Although this
opportunity cost is difficult to measure, it must be recognized by management and incorporated into
the safety stock decision. The greater the costs of running out of stock, of course,
the greater the safety stock that management will wish to maintain, all other things staying
the same.
The final factor is the cost of carrying additional inventory. If it were not for this cost, a
firm could maintain whatever safety stock was necessary to avoid all possibility of running out
of inventory. The greater the cost of carrying inventory, the more costly it is to maintain a
safety stock, all other things being equal. Determination of the proper amount of safety stock
involves balancing the probability and cost of a stockout against the cost of carrying enough
safety stock to avoid this possibility. Ultimately, the question reduces to the probability of
inventory stockout that management is willing to tolerate. In a typical situation, this probability is
reduced at a decreasing rate as more safety stock is added. A firm may be able to
reduce the probability of inventory stockout by 20 percent if it adds 100 units of safety stock,
but only by an additional 10 percent if it adds another 100 units. There comes a point when
it becomes very expensive to further reduce the probability of stockout. Management will
not wish to add safety stock beyond the point at which incremental carrying costs exceed
l l l Just-in-Time
The management of inventory has become very sophisticated in recent years. In certain
industries, the production process lends itself to just-in-time (JIT) inventory control. As the
name implies, the idea is that inventories are acquired and inserted in production at the exact
times they are needed. The JIT management philosophy thus focuses on pulling inventory
through the production process on an “as-needed” basis, rather than pushing inventory
through the process on an “as-produced” basis. This requires a very accurate production
and inventory information system, highly efficient purchasing, very reliable suppliers, and
inventory can never be reduced to zero, the notion of “just in time” is one of extremely tight
control so as to cut back on inventories. The goal of a JIT system, however, is not only
to reduce inventories but also to continuously improve productivity, product quality, and
manufacturing flexibility.
EOQ in a JIT World. At first glance, it might seem that a JIT system – in which inventories
would be reduced to a bare minimum and the EOQ for a particular item might approach one
unit – would be in direct conflict with our EOQ model. However, it is not. A JIT system, on
the other hand, rejects the notion that ordering costs (clerical, receiving, inspecting, scheduling, and/or
setup costs) are necessarily fixed at their current levels. As part of a JIT system,
steps are continuously taken to drive these costs down. For example:
l Small-sized delivery trucks, with predetermined unloading sequences, are used to facilitate economies
in receiving time and costs.
l Pressure is placed on suppliers to produce raw materials with “no defects,” thus reducing (or
eliminating) inspection costs.
l Products, equipment, and procedures are modified to reduce setup time and costs.
By successfully reducing these ordering-related costs, the firm is able to flatten the total ordering cost
curve in Figure 10.7. This causes the optimal order quantity, Q*, to shift to the left,
thus approaching the JIT ideal of one unit. Additionally, continuous efforts to reduce supplier
delays, production inefficiencies, and sales forecasting errors allow safety stocks to be cut
back or eliminated. How close a company comes to the JIT ideal depends on the type of
production process and the nature of the supplier industries, but it is a worthy objective
JIT Inventory Control, Supply Chain Management, and the Internet. JIT inventory
control can be viewed as one link in the chain of activities associated with moving goods from
the raw material stage through to the end user or customer. These activities are collectively
referred to as supply chain management (SCM). The advent of instant information through
For standard inventory items, the use of the Internet has enhanced supply chain management.
If you need to purchase a certain type of chemical for use in your production process, you can
specify your exact need on a chemical B2B exchange. Various suppliers will then bid for the
contract. This auction technique significantly reduces the paperwork and other costs involved
in searching for the best price. This, together with competition among suppliers, may
significantly reduce your costs. A number of B2B exchanges already exist for a wide variety of
products, and new ones are developing all the time. Again, the raw material in question must
Although inventory management is usually not the direct operating responsibility of the
financial manager, the investment of funds in inventory is a very important aspect of financial
271
••
Just-in-time (JIT) An
approach to inventory
management and
control in which
inventories are
in production at the
are needed.
Supply chain
management (SCM)
of moving goods,
services, and
information from
suppliers to end
customers.
Business-to-business
(B2B)
Communications
and transactions
conducted between
businesses, as
opposed to between
customers. Expressed
in alphanumeric form
to such transactions
Internet.
B2B exchange
Business-to-business
Internet marketplace
••
272
Source: “What is needed to make a ‘just-in-time’ system work,” Iron Age Magazine (June 7 1982)
••
management. Consequently, the financial manager must be familiar with ways to control
inventories effectively so that capital may be allocated efficiently. The greater the opportunity
cost of funds invested in inventory, the lower the optimal level of average inventory, and the
lower the optimal order quantity, all other things held constant. This statement can be verified
by increasing the carrying costs, C, in Eq. (10.3). The EOQ model can also be used by the
When demand or usage of inventory is uncertain, the financial manager may try to effect
policies that will reduce the average lead time required to receive inventory once an order
is placed. The lower the average lead time, the lower the safety stock needed, and the lower
the total investment in inventory, all other things held constant. The greater the opportunity
cost of funds invested in inventory, the greater the incentive to reduce this lead time. The
purchasing department may try to find new vendors that promise quicker delivery, or it may
pressure existing vendors to deliver faster. The production department may be able to deliver
finished goods faster by producing a smaller run. In either case, there is a trade-off between
the added cost involved in reducing the lead time and the opportunity cost of funds tied up
in inventory. This discussion serves to point out the value of inventory management to the
financial manager.
information to determine the applicant’s creditworthiness, and (3) makes the credit decision. The
balance the benefits of economies of production, purchasing, and marketing against the cost of carrying
the
additional inventory. Of particular concern to the financial manager is the cost of funds invested in
inventory.
inventory.
EOQ amount.
l Under conditions of uncertainty, the firm must usually provide for a safety stock, owing to fluctuations
new emphasis by firms on continuous process improvement. The idea is that inventories are acquired
are needed.
FUNO_C10.qxd 9/19/08 17:16 Page 273
Questions
1. Is it always good policy to reduce the firm’s bad debts by “getting rid of the deadbeats”?
2. What are the probable effects on sales and profits of each of the following credit policies?
a. A high percentage of bad-debt loss but normal receivable turnover and credit rejection
rate.
c. A low percentage of past-due accounts but high credit rejection and receivable
turnover rates.
d. A low percentage of past-due accounts and a low credit rejection rate but a high
4. What are the various sources of information you might use to analyze a credit applicant?
5. What are the principal factors that can be varied in setting credit policy?
6. If credit standards for the quality of accounts accepted are changed, what things are
affected?
8. What is the purpose of establishing a line of credit for an account? What are the benefits
of this arrangement?
9. The analysis of inventory policy is analogous to the analysis of credit policy. Propose a
measure to analyze inventory policy that is analogous to the aging of accounts receivable.
10. What are the principal implications to the financial manager of ordering costs, storage
11. Explain how efficient inventory management affects the liquidity and profitability of the
firm.
12. How can the firm reduce its investment in inventories? What costs might the firm incur
13. Explain how a large seasonal demand complicates inventory management and production
scheduling.
15. Should the required rate of return for investment in inventories of raw materials be the
Self-Correction Problems
1. Kari-Kidd Corporation currently gives credit terms of “net 30 days.” It has $60 million in
credit sales, and its average collection period is 45 days. To stimulate demand, the company may give
credit terms of “net 60 days.” If it does instigate these terms, sales are
expected to increase by 15 percent. After the change, the average collection period is
expected to be 75 days, with no difference in payment habits between old and new customers. Variable
costs are $0.80 for every $1.00 of sales, and the company’s before-tax
2. Matlock Gauge Company makes wind and current gauges for pleasure boats. The gauges
are sold throughout the Southeast to boat dealers, and the average order size is $50. The
company sells to all registered dealers without a credit analysis. Terms are “net 45 days,”
and the average collection period is 60 days, which is regarded as satisfactory. Sue Ford,
vice president of finance, is now uneasy about the increasing number of bad-debt losses
on new orders. With credit ratings from local and regional credit agencies, she feels she
would be able to classify new orders into one of three risk categories. Past experience shows
the following:
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275
ORDER CATEGORY
The cost of producing and shipping the gauges and of carrying the receivables is 78 percent of sales. The
cost of obtaining credit information and of evaluating it is $4 per order.
Surprisingly, there does not appear to be any association between the risk category and the
collection period; the average for each of the three risk categories is around 60 days. Based
on this information, should the company obtain credit information on new orders instead
3. Vostick Filter Company is a distributor of air filters to retail stores. It buys its filters from
several manufacturers. Filters are ordered in lot sizes of 1,000, and each order costs $40 to
place. Demand from retail stores is 20,000 filters per month, and carrying cost is $0.10 a
a. What is the optimal order quantity with respect to so many lot sizes (that is, what
b. What would be the optimal order quantity if the carrying cost were cut in half to $0.05
c. What would be the optimal order quantity if ordering costs were reduced to $10 per
order?
4. To reduce production start-up costs, Bodden Truck Company may manufacture longer
runs of the same truck. Estimated savings from the increase in efficiency are $260,000 per
year. However, inventory turnover will decrease from eight times a year to six times a year.
Cost of goods sold is $48 million on an annual basis. If the required before-tax rate of
return on investment in inventories is 15 percent, should the company instigate the new
production plan?
Problems
1. To increase sales from their present annual $24 million, Kim Chi Company, a wholesaler,
may try more liberal credit standards. Currently, the firm has an average collection period
of 30 days. It believes that, with increasingly liberal credit standards, the following will
result:
CREDIT POLICY
A B CD
Increase in sales from previous level (in millions) $2.8 $1.8 $1.2 $.6
The prices of its products average $20 per unit, and variable costs average $18 per unit.
No bad-debt losses are expected. If the company has a pre-tax opportunity cost of funds
of 30 percent, which credit policy should be pursued? Why? (Assume a 360-day year.)
2. Upon reflection, Kim Chi Company has estimated that the following pattern of bad-debt
CREDIT POLICY
A B CD
Given the other assumptions in Problem 1, which credit policy should be pursued? Why?
A B CD
4. The Acme Aglet Corporation has a 12 percent opportunity cost of funds and currently
sells on terms of “net/10, EOM.” (This means that goods shipped before the end of the
month must be paid for by the tenth of the following month.) The firm has sales of
$10 million a year, which are 80 percent on credit and spread evenly over the year. The
average collection period is currently 60 days. If Acme offered terms of “2/10, net 30,”
customers representing 60 percent of its credit sales would take the discount, and the
average collection period would be reduced to 40 days. Should Acme change its terms
5. Porras Pottery Products, Inc., spends $220,000 per annum on its collection department.
The company has $12 million in credit sales, its average collection period is 2.5 months,
and the percentage of bad-debt losses is 4 percent. The company believes that, if it were
to double its collection personnel, it could bring down the average collection period to
2 months and bad-debt losses to 3 percent. The added cost is $180,000, bringing total
San Jose Company. Examination of the records of San Jose has produced the following
financial statements:
Current assets
Cash $ 1.5 $ 1.6 $ 1.6
Fixed assets
LIABILITIES
Current liabilities
Net worth
••
The San Jose Company has a Dun & Bradstreet rating of 4A2. Inquiries into its banking
disclosed balances generally in the low millions. Five suppliers to San Jose revealed that
the firm takes its discounts from the three suppliers offering “2/10, net 30” terms, though
it is about 15 days slow in paying the two firms offering terms of “net 30.”
Analyze the San Jose Company’s application for credit. What positive factors are
7. A college bookstore is attempting to determine the optimal order quantity for a popular
book on psychology. The store sells 5,000 copies of this book a year at a retail price of
$12.50, and the cost to the store is 20 percent less, which represents the discount from the
publisher. The store figures that it costs $1 per year to carry a book in inventory and $100