SOLUCION PLIEGO EVALUACION DE PROYECTOS: PROYECTO 3 ALTERNATIVAS

ALTERNATIVA 1: "SITUACION BASE"

ALTERNATIVA 2: "SITUACION AMPLIACION COMPLEMENTO DE MAQUINARIA"
ALTERNATIVA 3: "SITUACION AMPLIACION SUSTITUCION DE MAQUINARIA ACTUAL"
I. ANALISIS DE PUNTOS CRITICOS ALTERNATIVA 1 Y ALTERNATIVA 2
i)Determinar el nivel de produccion mínima del proyecto:
Rpta: 227 3,247
ii)Determinar el precio mínimo del proyecto:
Rpta: 9,180
II.ANALISIS DE SENSIBILIDAD UNIDIMENSIONAL ALTERNATIVA 2 Y ALTERNATIVA 3
a)Determinar las variaciones del VAN y TIR, cuando la producción disminuye y aumenta en: 20%, 15%,10%,5% y 0%.
ALTERNATIVA 2:
Var Prod Produc VAN ALT 2 TIR ALT 2
67,648,334 187%
20% 1,600 50,170,024 166%
15% 1,700 54,539,602 171%
10% 1,800 58,909,179 177%
5% 1,900 63,278,756 182%
0% 2,000 67,648,334 187%
5% 2,100 72,017,911 192%
10% 2,200 76,387,488 196%
15% 2,300 80,757,066 201%
20% 2,400 85,126,643 205%
ALTERNATIVA 3:
Var Prod Produc VAN ALT 3 TIR ALT 3
59,497,485 110%
20% 1,600 42,019,175 93%
15% 1,700 46,388,753 97%
10% 1,800 50,758,330 102%
5% 1,900 55,127,907 106%
0% 2,000 59,497,485 110%
5% 2,100 63,867,062 114%
10% 2,200 68,236,639 118%
15% 2,300 72,606,217 122%
20% 2,400 76,975,794 126%

III.ANALISIS DE SENSIBILIDAD MULTIDIMENSIONAL ALTERNATIVA 2 Y ALTERNATIVA 3

a)Determinar las variaciones del VAN, cuando la producción y los costos de mantenimiento anuales disminuyen y aumentan en: 20%, 15%,1
ALTERNATIVA 2:
Var Prod CMA 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 5%
67,648,334 240,000 255,000 270,000 285,000 300,000 315,000
20% 1,600 50,392,044 50,336,539 50,281,034 50,225,529 50,170,024 50,114,520
15% 1,700 54,761,621 54,706,116 54,650,611 54,595,107 54,539,602 54,484,097
10% 1,800 59,131,199 59,075,694 59,020,189 58,964,684 58,909,179 58,853,674
5% 1,900 63,500,776 63,445,271 63,389,766 63,334,261 63,278,756 63,223,252
 0% 2,000 67,870,353 67,814,848 67,759,343 67,703,839 67,648,334 67,592,829
5% 2,100 72,239,931 72,184,426 72,128,921 72,073,416 72,017,911 71,962,406
10% 2,200 76,609,508 76,554,003 76,498,498 76,442,993 76,387,488 76,331,984
15% 2,300 80,979,085 80,923,580 80,868,076 80,812,571 80,757,066 80,701,561
20% 2,400 85,348,663 85,293,158 85,237,653 85,182,148 85,126,643 85,071,138

ALTERNATIVA 3:
Var Prod CMA 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 5%
59,497,485 480,000 510,000 540,000 570,000 600,000 630,000
20% 1,600 42,463,214 42,352,205 42,241,195 42,130,185 42,019,175 41,908,166
15% 1,700 46,832,792 46,721,782 46,610,772 46,499,762 46,388,753 46,277,743
10% 1,800 51,202,369 51,091,359 50,980,350 50,869,340 50,758,330 50,647,320
5% 1,900 55,571,946 55,460,937 55,349,927 55,238,917 55,127,907 55,016,898
0% 2,000 59,941,524 59,830,514 59,719,504 59,608,495 59,497,485 59,386,475
5% 2,100 64,311,101 64,200,091 64,089,082 63,978,072 63,867,062 63,756,052
10% 2,200 68,680,678 68,569,669 68,458,659 68,347,649 68,236,639 68,125,630
15% 2,300 73,050,256 72,939,246 72,828,236 72,717,227 72,606,217 72,495,207
20% 2,400 77,419,833 77,308,823 77,197,814 77,086,804 76,975,794 76,864,784

IV.ANALISIS DE ESCENARIOS ALTERNATIVA 2 Y ALTERNATIVA 3

RESUMEN ANALISIS DE ESCENARIOS ALTERNATIVA 2
Valores actuales: ESCENA 1 ESCENA 2 ESCENA 3 ESCENA 4
Costo Fijo 2,600,000 1,820,000 2,600,000 2,600,000 2,600,000
Precio 20,000 20,000 27,000 20,000 20,000
TIO 13% 13% 13% 16% 13%
Producción 2,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 1,750

PRI 0.53 0.52 0.35 0.53 0.65

VAN 67,648,334 69,925,389 108,518,561 61,678,937 63,975,767
TIR 187% 192% 284% 187% 165%
R(B/C) 6.64 6.83 10.04 6.14 6.33

RESUMEN ANALISIS DE ESCENARIOS ALTERNATIVA 3

Valores actuales: ESCENA 1 ESCENA 2
TIO 13% 16% 13%
Producción 2,000 2,000 1,750

PRI 0.88 0.88 1.07

VAN 59,497,485 53,522,616 55,824,918
TIR 110% 110% 99%
R(B/C) 4.04 3.74 3.86
uyen y aumentan en: 20%, 15%,10%,5% y 0%.

10% 15% 20%

330,000 345,000 360,000
50,059,015 50,003,510 49,948,005
54,428,592 54,373,087 54,317,582
58,798,169 58,742,664 58,687,160
63,167,747 63,112,242 63,056,737
67,537,324 67,481,819 67,426,314
71,906,901 71,851,397 71,795,892
76,276,479 76,220,974 76,165,469
80,646,056 80,590,551 80,535,046
85,015,633 84,960,129 84,904,624

10% 15% 20%

660,000 690,000 720,000
41,797,156 41,686,146 41,575,137
46,166,733 46,055,724 45,944,714
50,536,311 50,425,301 50,314,291
54,905,888 54,794,878 54,683,869
59,275,465 59,164,456 59,053,446
63,645,043 63,534,033 63,423,023
68,014,620 67,903,610 67,792,601
72,384,197 72,273,188 72,162,178
76,753,775 76,642,765 76,531,755