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Unit2
Arjun Madan Ph D
Corporate Failure
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External Causes
of
Failure
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Are the few trends and events that strike at the core of a
company's business
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Economic Failure
From an economic standpoint, failure represents a situation
where the realized rate of return on invested capital is
significantly lower than prevailing rates on similar investments.
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Economic Failure
A boom covers many sins, and a bust uncovers many weaknesses.
Economic problems come in many forms, including
slackening overall demand,
devaluation of currencies,
sanctions and tariffs war
political uncertainty
international monetary crises,
high fiscal deficit,
interest rate hikes, and
credit squeezes (it is one of the most potent causes of collapse)
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Economic Failure
Edward Altman developed the following equation to links
failure rates with GNP, the stock market index, and the money
supply:
FR = 1.54 - 0.222GNP, - 1.90SP, + 0.495MS + e
where FR is the change in the failure rate from one quarter of the
year to the next;
GNP, is the change in GNP in billions of dollars between those
quarters;
SP, is the change in the Standard and Poor Index of Common
Stock Prices;
MS, is the change in the money supply in billions of dollars; and
The
e isequation
an error term.
is good for measuring failure rate in small and
medium size companies
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Economic Failure
Economic change are responsible only for a fraction of corporate
failure
Well-managed company outperforms even the better giant
corporations in bad times as well as good.
They do so through
disciplined control over the economics of the business,
intensive development of the right market niches and products,
and,
a leadership style that sustains entrepreneurial drive and
commitment among its key managers.
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Competitive Change
A world of constantly shifting competition cause changes -
The emergence of foreign, low-cost producers,
the merger of two competitors,
the announcement of a competitor's new range of products,
the appearance of an entirely new company in your industry
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Competitive Change
Competition can cause decline, but usually this happens to
companies that are not monitoring the outside environment.
Eg. NCR, Nokia, Kodak, Consumer Electronics
manufacturers(India) Soft-drinks, etc
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Government Constraints
Politicians are playing a growing role in business all over the
world.
New quotas and duties and taxes and levies and legislation of
all sorts pour out of government agencies.
Even more insidious are the changes in political attitudes
toward business in general and certain industries in particular.
The government impinges on corporate life by :
taxation,
involvement in employee records,
welfare legislation,
pollution control, and product safety and
consumer welfare legislation
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Social Change
A fairly long time span is required to accommodate many of the
changes in society.
When companies do not see, or do not react to social trends
such as -
changes in life-styles,
in composition by age or gender of a given population, and
in attitudes toward pollution and consumer decline.
They risk loosing their market share.
Since social change affects some industries much more than
others, for ex. entertainment business or a style-oriented
business, they have to be more adept at monitoring social
change.
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Social Impact
Unsuccessful business is viewed as a negative economic event,
both to the principals of the economic entity and to society in
general.
Besides the obvious and quantifiable costs to employees,
creditors, and owners, there are serious second-order effect
borne by the community at large.
suppliers suffer reduced demand,
customers are often inconvenienced, even if alternative goods or
services are available,
the public is forced to shoulder a portion of overall bankruptcy
costs because of increased tax burdens.
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Social Impact
However, not everyone agrees that the long-range social impact
of corporate failure is negative.
Many economists advocate the cleansing effect business failure
has on competition and innovation.
The competitive environment is often favorably cited for its
weeding out of inefficient and poorly managed entities in order
to perpetuate a healthy, vibrant economy.
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Technological Change
Technological progress has created new materials, processes, and
manufacturing techniques.
The possible combinations of products and the means of getting
them staggers the imagination.
Consumers can choose from a host of options in materials, quality,
price, service features, dependability, style, color, and shape.
But the need to create and satisfy product demands has put
manufacturing organizations in the contradictory position of being
both contributors to change, and its victims.
Companies that are victims of technological change are
only victims of their own lack of foresight.
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Internal Causes
of
Failure
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“It all boils down to human frailties. Some people have the natural
abilities to manage and some don't. In lots of situations somebody
incompetent will be promoted into top management. If the business
factors are all lining up reasonably well, it probably doesn't matter.
In rough economic times or in an unusually competitive situation,
management is not capable of dealing with the adverse factors.” ~
Glenn Penisten of American Microsystems
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Management Errors
If management of a company is poorly handled, it will make
two types of errors:
errors of omission and
errors of commission.
Errors of omission fall into two main categories:
(1) the company fails to respond properly to changes in its
external environment, and
(2) it is lax in developing or utilizing control information.
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Management Errors
The errors of omission – when the company fails to develop and
communicate a unified and directed strategy to which all
members of the organization can relate.
The lack of strategy will eventually lead to errors of
commission that put the company in grave danger.
For example -
The company may over-expand while becoming noncompetitive.
As the company declines, it will compound its errors by borrowing
and becoming excessively leveraged.
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