AIR TRAVEL FREQUENCY

FLATTENS IN DEVELOPED MARKETS

RISES IN EMERGING MARKETS
TOP 10 LARGEST AIR TRANSPORT MARKETS
AMONGST EMERGING COUNTRIES IN 2038
Russia

Mexico

China
Vietnam
Thailand
Brazil Philippines
Malaysia
India
Nigeria

Over the next 20 years, Indonesia

the expected growth in
the frequency of air travel
of the average citizen will additional air passenger
occur in the emerging
markets.
44% trips will come from
China and India
Source: IATA/Tourism Economics Air
Passenger Forecasts, April 2019

Trip frequency change, AVERAGE ANNUAL CHANGE IN TRIP FREQUENCY 2018-38 The number of trips per
2018 to 2038, %pa person is forecast to increase
by 4-8% per year for many
12%
11% emerging countries, but could
be as high as 10-11% per year
10% Emerging Economies
10% in the case of China and India.
9% In contrast, trip frequency is
likely to grow much more
8%
8% slowly, at just 1-2% per year,
7% in the developed countries.

6% 5% 5%
5%
Developed Economies
4%
4%
4%

2% 2%
2% 2%
1% 1%

0%
0
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ia

UK
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US

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na

an
az

si

ad
ss
si
di

na

tra
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i
la

ay
ex
hi

m
Br
ne
In

pi

an
Ru

et
ai
C

s
er
al
M

lip
do

Th

C
Au
Vi

G
i
Ph
In

Download an introduction of the Air Passenger Forecast Global Report Source: IATA/Tourism Economics Air
www.iata.org/pax-forecast Passenger Forecasts, April 2019