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Structure
16.0 Learning Outcome
16.1 Introduction
16.2 Disasters and Development Processes
16.3 Need for a New Paradigm
16.4 Conclusion
16.5 Key Concepts
16.6 References and Further Reading
16.7 Activities
16.1 INTRODUCTION
Disaster reduction and coping with disasters touch many areas of human life and society
constituting a core task for sustainable development. Major UN Conferences on Environment
and Development (Rio de Janerio, 1992) and on the Reduction of Natural Disasters
(Yokohama, 1994) have stressed that natural disasters cannot be attributed solely to
natural causes; they are as much a result of incorrect human conduct. The IDNDR
articulates the prime ones as: irresponsible approach to the environment, the proneness
of mega cities to grow out of control and population growth (Sinha, 2003).
Over the past few years, there has been an apparent increase in the number of natural
disasters, and with it, increasing losses on account of urbanisation and population growth.
Clearly, the perspective on development has been one-dimensional, that is, cognisance has
been taken exclusively of the growth aspect, without an eye on sustainability. As a result,
the impact of natural disasters is now felt to a greater extent. According to the United
Nations, in 2001 alone, natural disasters of medium to high range caused at least 25,000
deaths around the world, which is more than double the previous year and economic
losses of around US$ 36 billion. These figures would be much higher, if the consequences
of the many small and unrecorded disasters that cause significant destruction at the local
community level were to be taken into account. Some 75 per cent of the world’s
population lives in areas affected at least once by earthquake, tropical cyclone, flood or
drought between 1980 and 2000.
Disasters and Development 315
globalisation: increased global tourism, which has led to a chain of hotels coming up in
vulnerable areas, particularly along the coasts and the consequent destruction of natural
mangroves and forests. As has been explained in Unit 1, a hazard turns to disaster, when
natural phenomenon interfaces with populations and settlements without adequate capacity
to cope with inherent threats.
The Disaster Cycle
Disasters and Development are interrelated, both in positive and negative ways. Skewed
choices in development planning result in adverse consequences for the environment and
people; however, if the same choices are made ‘rationally’ on the basis of hazard
evaluation and risk assessment exercises with an eye on disaster prevention, development
becomes a boon, not a bane, as alleged in every case. The following model (Figure-1)
of Disaster Cycle demonstrates the interconnection between disasters and development.
Development could lead to crisis and disaster. Post disasters, lessons learnt and factored
in subsequent decisions result in ‘sustainable development.’
The concept of a disaster management cycle has emerged which emphasises the
interconnection between the three phases of response, recovery and prevention. Learners
have been apprised of the concept in Unit-2 of this course. Relief, rehabilitation,
reconstruction comprise the recovery phase and inspire subsequent development policy
towards disaster prevention. Hence, they should be studied, not as isolated events but as
integrated, along a linear continuum. The Disaster Cycle, however, has been criticised for
oversimplifying the disaster situation. This is because even though it views the stages as
integrally connected, it still visualises them as occurring along a linear continuum, where
policy returns to the pre -disaster stage of preparedness, if the apprehended disaster does
not occur, when actually, the situation carries the germ/potential of a disaster. Hence,
instead of a disaster cycle, a risk management cycle is considered more appropriate, to
tackle inherent hazards and not just manifest disaster (White, Phillip et al, 2004). The
diagram, Figure-1, of disaster cycle represents disasters and development as integrally
linked, in that they operate as causes and affects of/to the other variable. The concept
of disaster management cycle has significant implications for developing countries like
India. In India the distinction between disaster management and development was clear-
cut as the latter appeared as a non-plan item of expenditure, under “calamity relief.” This
was obviously a misconstruing of the problem, as was soon learnt after a spate of
disasters, when the Orissa Super Cyclone of 1999, Gujarat earthquake and floods in
different states in 2001 set back development a number of years. Hence, the Tenth Plan
announced a paradigm shift in that disaster management would now be appreciated or
perceived with/from a development perspective, and be factored into plan schemes under
relevant sectors. This is in keeping with the concept of disaster management cycle.
Disasters and Development 317
(Source: http://ocw.jhsph.edu/courses/RefugeeHealthCare/PDFs/Lecture17.pdf)
Fig. 16.1: Model of a Disaster Cycle
The interconnection between disasters and development is also brought out by the fact
that public policy has been deficient in many respects. This has resulted in vulnerabilities
that have exacerbated disaster losses that would otherwise not have accrued. For
example, as rightly pointed out by the Sustainable development Network (2005), in poor
countries, planning regulations are such that residents do not have secure tenure to their
properties and are therefore dissuaded from carrying out much needed repairs, which
make the structures weak overtime. Instead of going in for substantial investments which
would provide them safe dwellings, poor residents prefer to live in ramshackle tin huts
which provide little or no resistance to strong currents or wind storms. Besides, since
legal procedures are often time consuming and weak, contracts and other property rights
cannot be enforced, which means financial institutions cannot provide insurance. The
current planning regulations give the bureaucrats too many powers of interjection and
direct interface with the public, which increases the probability of corruption. This lacuna
was made evident by the recent tsunami of 2004. Many such homes were swept away,
even though construction technologies have been developed that can ward off such threats
from the sea to some extent.
Hence, securing property rights, ensuring freedom of contract and unflinching application
of the rule of law are the three basic requirements of a liberal economy, which India is
embarking upon presently. It also has significant implications for disaster management.
Good governance is another eminent requirement. Corruption stalls effective implementation
of poverty alleviation programmes as also disaster relief and response programmes. While
good governance may be hard to define in precise terms, broadly it is conceived as a
government which is transparent with regard to its working and where bureaucrats are
accountable for omissions/commissions. As per the Sustainable Development Network,
“poverty and corruption seem to occur jointly”. Wealthiest countries, as per the Corruptions
318 Disaster Management
Perception Index (2004), such as Finland, New Zealand, Denmark and Iceland, Singapore,
Sweden, Switzerland; Norway, Australia, United Kingdom, Canada, US along with Ireland
and Belgium, are also the most well governed, implying more corruption free, and the
poorest, Angola, Democratic Republic of Congo, Cote d’Ivoire, Georgia, Indonesia,
Tajikistan and Turkmenistan, Azerbaijan, Paraguay, Chad, Myanmar, Nigeria, Bangladesh
and Haiti are the poorest and also the most corruption ridden.
There is a positive correlation between wealth and resilience to disasters. While the rich
can secure lives and property by accessing insurance, and retrofitting structures, the poor
cannot access such means. More the economic inequality, greater is the vulnerability of
large masses of people to disasters. Given the negative correlation between economic
development and disaster damage, governments in developing countries could not be
excused for inadequate effort in this regard. Every week, 120,000 people, especially
children would die from preventable diseases, like Malaria, indoor air pollution, malnutrition,
lack of clean water and poor sanitation. These happen exclusively in poor countries due
to lack of economic development and access to technology.
Desideratum of the discussion /arguments stated above, is, that “ only through institutions
of a free society can poor people move from the vicious cycle of poverty and oppression
to a virtuous cycle of empowerment and development” (Ibid).
Public Policy for development of telecommunications and broadcasting infrastructure at the
local level is a critical requirement in disaster response. The same was realised during the
2004 Tsunami, when information about sea surges from affected areas did not reach the
Centre even after 48 hours with the result that aid could not reach these areas in time.
Another factor, which again concerns ‘mainstream’ development, is communication
infrastructure, which was found weak at the field level during the recent tsunami. Since
the information network was highly centralised, information from many affected areas did
not reach the centre in time, which resulted in avoidable catastrophe. The National
Disaster Management Policy enunciated after the Gujarat earthquake in India focused on
early warning and information sharing between agencies that are timely and accurate. As
per Sinha (2003), emphasis areas were: Increase of networking, Resource and knowledge
sharing, Blending science and technology with the ongoing development process, efficient
linkages with other Disaster Management Systems, Adoption of multi-hazard approach
within the paradigm of prevention, mitigation and reduction.
The United Nations has been advocating proactive policy, especially for developing
countries, to preempt/prevent disasters and/or towards mitigating their impact(s) if/when
they strike. Accordingly, the decade of 1990 was declared the International Decade for
Natural Disasters Reduction. The plan of action chalked out in pursuit of the objective
was outlined in the Yokohama Conference of 1994. The strategy is to urge nations to
share technology and expertise between them; the onus clearly is on the developed world,
which has to generate awareness in this regard among poor nations where disasters risk
reduction is still not a priority agenda. Since resource is the prime constraint, United
Nations and other international agencies such as the UNDP, UNIDO, and World Wide
Fund for Nature et al have committed fund assistance for projects to developing
countries. At the same time, developing countries are being prompted to invest more in
disaster prevention and mitigation activities, than relying on foreign aid, which is not the
panacea as has been brought out in experience with recent calamitous events. The United
Nations has declared a five point agenda in their Draft Programme Document in this
regard:
z Ensure that disaster reduction is a national and local priority, with a strong institutional
basis for implementation
Disasters and Development 319
z Identify, assess and monitor disaster risks and enhance early warning
z Use knowledge, innovation and education to build a culture of safety and resilience
z Reduce the underlying risk factors
z Strengthen disaster preparedness for early response
In order to clarify the ways in which disasters and development interact, it is helpful to
distinguish between economic and social elements of development. These social and
economic development work directly or indirectly to decrease or increase disaster risk.
The table below outlines the relation between social and economical development with
disasters.
Disaster-Development
Looking at the relationship between disasters and development one can identify ‘four’
different dimensions to this relation:
1) Disasters can set back development
2) Disasters can provide development opportunities
3) Development can increase vulnerability and
4) Development can reduce vulnerability
The whole relationship between disaster and development depends on the development
choice made by the individual, community and the nation who implement the development
programmes. Let us now try to understand these ‘four’ different dimensions mentioned
above with suitable examples for a better understanding.
1) Disasters can set back Development: Disasters wipe out decades of economic
and social development, which has taken place over a period of time. In 1982,
hurricane Isaac destroyed 22 per cent of the housing stock in the Togan archipelago.
Reconstruction cost to improve damage to water and sanitation, energy,
telecommunications, roads and railway infrastructure, from flooding in Mozambique in
2000, cost US$ 165.3 million.
Disasters and Development 321
assessed over a longer time frame, while that of earthquakes or hurricanes require shorter
time frame. More reliable indices are expected to emerge with regard to progress in
achievement of MDGs by 2015.
Disasters exacerbate poverty manifold through a range of macroeconomic mechanisms in
that following short-term losses like loss of assets, the more intense long-term impacts
follow from cuts in social spending and post disaster inflation, especially in food prices
following flood or drought. In Zimbabwe, the 1991/92 droughts led to a jump in inflation
to 46 per cent and food price inflation to 72 per cent by the end of 1992. Besides,
disasters cause reallocation of funds and also donor assistance from development to relief
and rehabilitation which usually mean cuts on capital expenditure. This sets up a vicious
cycle of retardation in development and consequent income erosion, which affects the
poor, disproportionately more. Repeat events successively erode the coping capacity of
the poor, initially, selling jewellery or taking loans, to selling productive assets (livestock,
land, housing rights) to survive, and finally, to destitution and distress migration. HIV
AIDS or protracted conflicts as a result of dislocation and loss of social capital owing
to competition for scarce means and loss of social solidarity are known to take over at
this stage. These have set in motion a pernicious cycle in Africa, where destitution
combines with poor governance and disaster risk to create misery that is never ending
since the wherewithal to cope have been nearly annihilated (White, Phillip et al, 2004).
2) Disasters can provide development opportunities: Disaster events often give a
fillip to development, especially in the period immediately following a disaster. They
provide a spur to development policy in the aftermath period. Stephenson and DuFrane
(2002) opine that disasters can elevate the development potential of a society ‘at-risk’
for damage from a hazard. The political impact of damage and disruption can actually be
a catalyst for change. A lot of reconstruction and social development schemes are taken
up which would otherwise have not been paid attention to. Examples include, housing
improvements, land reform, social forestry, restructuring of the economic base due to
resource transfer from other areas, infrastructure development as contingent requirements
etc.
There could be enhanced investments in upgrading administrative capability and training of
personnel involved, which serves long term development goals. Development is also
imparted ‘direction’ in that pockets of underdevelopment, where damage is disproportionate
to the impact of the disaster, get highlighted during such events, which provides guidelines
for future policy in this regard. The Recovery phase gives important indications for
development planning. Reforestation programmes usually follow landslides and flash floods
to check soil erosion, which have spin off effects on other sectors, such as improved air
quality, better flora and fauna, health and longevity for people, etc., which improve
outcomes from ‘mainstream’ development programmes in the form of more sources of
income for the poor, enhanced employment opportunities, better animal husbandry, and
better forest produce for people living in the adjoining areas. Changes in cropping patterns
ameliorate erosion problems, and also losses due to floods and droughts. Programmes for
soil conservation, water harvesting and on farm storage mitigate the effects of droughts.
Hence, development is a variable in both the input and the output aspects of the disaster
mnagement cycle. In fact, it is central to disaster management.
At the request of the Government of India (GoI), The Asian Development Bank (ADB),
the United Nations and the World Bank put together a Joint Assessment Mission (JAM)
comprising experts from different disciplines and relevant vocations to assess the damage
from the Tsunami in Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, Kerela and Pondicherry and make
Disasters and Development 323
caused air pollution in neighboring Malaysia were partly caused by the uncontrolled use
of fire by the farmers wishing to expand production of a major export crop for
manufacturing palm oil. Another example that can be cited is tourism development that
benefited Barbados, but which may inadvertently be adding to their own risk as waste
water and recreational sports which contribute to the denudation of coral reefs, which act
as a first line of sea defence against storm surges. Many urban disasters have been
known to result, not from initial shock of the hazard, but from secondary releases from
industrial units that store/use hazardous material. Metropolitan Calcutta and Vadodara are
susceptible to such risks.
It is hard to imagine that increase in social development can increase the risk of disasters.
The only possible situation that would actually place social development as a causal factor
in disaster risk is one where people are forced to expose themselves or others to risk
in order to fulfill their needs and desires. Rapid urbanisation has increased the
vulnerability of the community. The growth of informal settlements and inner city slums
normally inhabited by migrants have often led to development of settlements in vulnerable
pockets like the low lying areas; on steep slopes; along flood plains or close to dangerous
industrial sites. Over 600 million urban dwellers in Africa, Asia, Latin America and the
Caribbean live in life and health threatening homes and neighborhoods as a result of poor
quality housing and inadequate provision of basic needs. These developments impact the
frequency and severity of disasters, exposing a growing proportion of the world’s
population to hazards. As reported in International Federation of Red Cross and Red
Crescent Societies’ (IFRCRCS’s) World Disasters Report, 2004, “while the growth of
mega-cities and mega-risks like earthquakes capture headlines, far more lives in urban
areas are lost to everyday disasters caused by dirty drinking water and sanitation.” In the
last half century, human development has been characterised by rapid and unplanned
urbanisation in the developing world like India. Between 1950 and 2000, the urban
population in the developing countries increased from less than 18 per cent to more than
40 per cent. Nearly half the world lives in urban areas, and numbers are accelerating.
Over the next two decades, 90 per cent of population growth in developing countries will
be urban. Municipalities can’t keep up. In Mumbai, 60 per cent of the city’s 23 million
inhabitants occupy 6 per cent of its total area; an average density of 2,000 people per
hectare. In some slums, 50 families share a single toilet. The land where slum dwellers
settle is often dangerously steep slopes, flood plains, near railway lines, industrial zones.
As building activity spreads, rainwater cannot soak away. Monsoon floodwaters that
remain a few days in well-serviced districts can stay for a month in slums. Since sewage
cannot be controlled the municipalities leave it in the open, which leads to disease and
death, especially reported among infants in Mumbai. Urban livelihoods are also less secure
than their rural counterparts (World Disasters Report, 2004). Unplanned and ill-planned
urbanisation has been the cause for environmental degradation (for example, deforestation),
over exploitation of natural resources (for example, water), ecological disturbance (for
example, pollution) and social destitution (for example, increase in poverty). These factors
turn hazards into disasters. Increased population concentrations and sub-standard
construction increase the vulnerability of the built environment and the fragility of socio-
economic systems. Land use and urban development practices often do not take into
account the susceptibility of natural hazards. United Nations statistics indicate that in the
1990s, close to 70 per cent of construction in the developing countries was built illegally.
Hence, year after year, exposure to natural hazards increases as a result of unsustainable
development.
326 Disaster Management
Since 1991, two-third of the victims of natural disasters, were from developing countries,
while just two per cent were from highly developed nations. Those living in developing
countries and especially those with limited resources tend to be more adversely affected.
With the alarming rise in the natural disasters and vulnerability per se, the world
community is strengthening its efforts to cope with it. Lack of access to education and
information often has wider implications for vulnerability, since people may simply be
unaware of the options open to them for vulnerability reduction. Poor people have far
fewer assets to invest in resources, which may reduce their vulnerability. Poor people are
less likely to be in a position to organise collectively to reduce risks, partially because
poorer people have a high proportion of women, young children, the sick and the
disabled. Furthermore, after a disaster, the effects of malnutrition and chronic illness put
people at additional risk. Thus, natural disaster risk is intimately connected to the
processes of human development.
Although in aggregate terms, development will usually contribute to a reduction in
vulnerability to natural disasters; development activities within an area, might increase
certain types of vulnerability, for example:
z Urban development often leads to an influx of relatively low income groups, with
large scale settlement of marginal land or in high density, poor quality housing.
z Marine and coastal zone development leads to population concentrations, exposed to
possible storm surge, high wind, flash flood and landslide risks. Tsunami and tropical
cyclones can destroy all the development gains.
z Mechanisation of agriculture could be fraught with adverse environmental consequences.
There have been numerous examples to endorse the argument. The rationale of the
argument is that the change being introduced is ‘exogenous’, not based on indigenous
adaptations, which makes it doubtful with regard to suitability/veracity. Endogenous
practices are in consonance with the ecology of the area and the requirements of the
people. Reportedly, long-standing agro-forestry systems in Pacific Islands are threatened
by agricultural modernisation.
4) Development can reduce vulnerability: If development can act as an agent for
increasing the vulnerability of the community; it can also sometimes reduce the
vulnerability of the people. For economic development to proceed without increasing
disaster risk, development planning needs to reconcile some potentially conflicting
drivers for development. First the generation of wealth, that can raise the basic level
of human development and second the distribution of wealth, which can enable the
poorest to overcome human vulnerability. The mainstreaming of disaster risk assessment
into the existing development instruments is critical in achieving economic development
without generating new risk. This includes incorporating disaster resistant technologies
in buildings that are being newly constructed. The Klang River Basin Flood Mitigation
and Environment Management Project in Malaysia is a good example of development
oriented towards risk reduction. The Klang River Basin is rapidly urbanising and its
population is more than 3.6 million, with major proportions of urban land being
converted for urban use. Frequent flooding and degradation of the environment has
also been escalating as urbanisation continues. An Environmental Master Plan is
planned to direct environmental management. The planning aims to improve river
water quality and provide flood warning and protection.
Disasters and Development 327
Apart from economic development, social development too plays a key role in shaping
governance regimes for disaster risk management set within a development agenda. To
reduce disaster risk, governance must be sensitive to the needs of those who are at risk
and able to facilitate timely assistance with appropriate measures. Social development
would include awareness/education, and more importantly, health. Improved health and
education status help reduce vulnerability and can limit human losses in a disaster.
Following the direct impact of a disaster event, a better nourished healthier population, in
which children have also been vaccinated will do much better in homes, shelter and
camps set up for those displaced by disaster.
A literate and better-educated population, including women and girls, is better able to
cope up effectively to any disaster. An educated community will also be in a position to
respond immediately to early warning and other warnings of any disaster.
Impact of Globalisation
Development has progressed at a rapid pace in many developing countries, though
dictated by globalisation, since tourism has grown considerably, and, as a result infrastructure
has come up especially in coastal areas. This has increased considerably the damage
potential of hazards if/when they strike. The developed world is equally at risk since
development has meant more exposure of people and physical infrastructure. Also, many
people have large disposable incomes travel for recreation is high on their agenda, which
makes them vulnerable to unforeseen catastrophes. This has also induced more construction
activity in attractive tourist destinations. Ironically, the most attractive tourist hotspots are
also the most vulnerable to hazards such as floods, cyclones, storm surges, and volcanoes
that mean disasters are almost inevitable. Globalisation undoubtedly has exposed more
people and infrastructure to risks from hazards, besides disturbing the ecological balance
of fragile ecosystems, such as small island states and regions around volcanoes. However,
it would not be practicable to hope any of this would stop. Globalisation is an economic
and political imperative, since the neo-liberal ideology dominates theory and practice in
economics and political science. Rising prosperity in developing countries is providing
newer fillip to the trend towards global integration.
It could be argued however, that increased travel and free trade between countries has
led to economic gains to developing countries where employment opportunities have
grown commensurate to growth in business in the economy. While that is accepted, it
remains an incontestable fact that globalisation also has also widened income disparities
within national boundaries. Opportunities have been availed by the educated elite, while
the poor farmer has also been exposed to precocious competition in that while he is
unable to access European markets, cheaper alternatives from other countries have pushed
his goods out of the market. Reduced subsidies, dearer credit, and improper market
access has put him at a clear disadvantage (Alternate Economic Survey, 2004-05).
Globalisation places too much faith in unregulated markets, reduced state action, to create
condition for human development. However, the balance is unfairly tilted in the favour of
the rich developed nations. Corporate Social Responsibility hasn’t made up for reduced
state action as far as the welfare of the workers is concerned. Unchecked business also
exacerbates environmental degradation and disaster risk through land alienations, unregulated
extraction of primary products and rapid growth of urban slums. In post-cold war, there
has been an increase in trade in arms, etc., which fuel conflicts. Armed conflicts and
disasters are a deadly combination, which have destroyed communities such as in the
Horn of Africa. Globalisation created a new class of deprived in Guyana, where people
328 Disaster Management
lost jobs in the public sector. In the following floods they fell prey to diseases since they
did not have the means to replace lost resources (White, Phillip et al, 2004).
16.4 CONCLUSION
Disaster management henceforth would be an integral aspect of public policy for
development, which means, physical infrastructure has to be hazard resistant. Resettlement
and rehabilitation of affected populations as a result of development, such as building
Disasters and Development 329
dams has to ensure that displaced poor are not exposed to newer vulnerabilities. Since
disasters adversely affect progress in achieving the Millennium Development Goals,
targeted risk reduction needs to be attempted, as per the specific vulnerability identified,
such as, training teachers and students in emergency preparedness and building safer
structures for schools in hazard prone areas, instituting health infrastructure and arranging
for awareness and training in hazard prone areas and also promoting better maintenance
of such infrastructure, promoting awareness of gender concerns and health issues like HIV,
involving communities in such activities in a proactive way (White Phillip et al, 2004).
The aim in all such similar cases should be to minimise the adverse side effects of
development projects if any/apprehended. In this context, siting decisions regarding
projects have to be taken after due consideration, technically, risk assessment, of the
hazard vulnerability of the area. Besides people vulnerability, adverse impact of the
environment if any has to be duly accounted for. To that end, Environment Impact
Assessments or EIA norms/stipulations should be duly complied with. All of these
measures contribute greatly to minimising losses when eventually disasters strike. Development
that proceeds without factoring sustainability concerns leads in time to crisis, and thence,
disaster on encountering unavoidable hazards. Post disaster, after recovery gets underway,
development is embarked upon again, hopefully, factoring vulnerability concerns. For
instance, abiding by building codes and zoning regulations can mitigate future losses from
similar events, such as earthquakes, floods and cyclones. Besides saving lives, such
measures protect high value economic property, such as educational, medical hospitality,
entertainment and industrial facilities.
While natural disasters could not be completely averted, damages accruing resultantly
could be significantly minimised, if policy planners in the course of ‘mainstream’ development
planning make the right choices. The onus is on the government, the international
community and the people alike, since public policy towards disaster mitigation/preventive
policy is an integral concern and depends on the Risk Perception among policy makers,
and also the public for effective interest articulation on their part for public policy
regarding sustainable development
16.7 ACTIVITIES
1) Explain with examples how development activities increase the vulnerability of the
community towards natural hazards.
2) Do you think disaster resistant features need to be added in all the development
activities carried out by the Government? Discuss.
3) Explain how urbanisation and population growth have accounted for a greater impact
in case of a disaster.
4) How have disasters set back decades of development? Explain this with suitable
examples.